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Nifty bears regret not buying the dip. Will Trump hand them a second chance?

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Nifty bears regret not buying the dip. Will Trump hand them a second chance?
The Nifty50 has surged 9% this month, with mid-caps up 13% and small-caps a staggering 15%, as Indian equities staged one of their sharpest recoveries in recent memory. Those who held their nerve and bought the March crash are sitting on swift gains. Those who waited on the sidelines for a deeper dip are now watching a rally they missed as it unfolded even as Iranian missiles flew.

Amid Trump and Iran giving conflicting statements on peace and the opening of Strait of Hormuz, bears are hoping that they will get a second chance to buy. As the ceasefire expires Tuesday, a fresh flare-up in Middle East hostilities could hand sidelined investors the re-entry they’ve been waiting for. But market signals, for now, are sending a different message entirely.

“Markets have clearly turned into buy-on-dips and no war information, whatever negative, is impacting the market,” said CA Rudramurthy BV, MD at Vachana Investments. “This is a very clear sign that the market texture has completely changed.” He sees Nifty heading toward 24,800-25,000, and is unequivocal in saying that this market cannot be shorted now.

Also Read |Smallcap stocks skyrocket up to 79% after crash. Is this breakout rally or bull trap?

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The rebound comes after Nifty50 ended a four-month losing streak in March 2026, a decline of that length that has occurred just seven times in the index’s entire monthly history. The recovery since has been fast, broad, and largely driven by retail and HNI buying. The pace of FII selling has also slowed down.


“A rally of sorts last week was mostly retail and HNI driven as they felt the market was oversold,” said market expert Sunil Subramaniam, noting that FIIs only began accumulating gradually toward the end of last week. DIIs, meanwhile, have been booking profits, building firepower ahead of the earnings season. “They will redeploy as you get clarity around the earning season,” he said.
Subramaniam says oil at $95 is painful, but not spiraling and suggests much of the bad news is already in the price. “This is a time when you can be reasonably confident that the market is close to a bottom unless there is a very dramatic military development,” he said, adding that the scenario most likely to break the market — US boots on the ground — remains a low-probability outcome, even if nothing is off the table with Trump.Manish Gunwani of Bandhan AMC goes further on valuations. “Valuations on a broad basis are quite attractive. We have been deploying cash across the board,” he said, pointing to private banks and other sectors where stocks have languished for three to five years despite earnings growth. “It is not about valuations,” he argued. The bigger structural challenge for India, in his view, is the global AI narrative — and whether India can compete for foreign capital against markets directly leveraged to that theme.

Near-term direction, analysts say, hinges on three variables: progress toward Middle East de-escalation, crude oil holding below $100, and the trajectory of foreign flows. Sustained cooling of the conflict could ease inflation and currency pressures, improving risk appetite for an import-sensitive economy like India’s. Q4 earnings and FY27 management guidance will then shape which sectors lead.

For now, Subramaniam’s advice to latecomers is pragmatic: “Keep buying, but small amounts. Stagger them. Do not go in today.” The setup, he says, favors patience.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Opinion: Magic pudding a health spending treat

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Opinion: Magic pudding a health spending treat

OPINION: The government commits a further $1.5 billion to the health portfolio before the May budget.

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Perma-Pipe International : From High Expectations To A More Attractive Entry Point (NASDAQ:PPIH)

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steel long pipes in crude oil factory during sunset

This article was written by

My name is María Fernanda and I’m currently studying an MBA. My inspiration investors are Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch and Terry Smith, so I look for quality companies at a reasonable valuation. I believe that, in the long term, fundamentals are what drive the share price, so I look to predict what a business’s earnings per share will do.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of PPIH either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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North East coach tours brand launches hoping to cater for over 55s market

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Primrose Holidays hopes to tap into a projected increase in holiday spending by older travellers over the next decade

Primrose Holidays will offer tours across the country.

Shaun Read (left) with his parents who are helping to promote the new business.(Image: Shaun Read)

A new coach tour operator has launched in the North East hoping to tap into demand for UK-based getaways for the over-55s market.

Primrose Holidays is being launched by “wholesale” coach holiday provider, Ashley & Newey, which normally offices coach services to other operators in the sector. The Darlington-based firm will used Ashley & Newey’s resources but expects to create new jobs next year if its model – catering for “silver tourists” – proves successful.

Bosses point to projections from the European Parliament that tourism spending by those aged 55 and over will nearly double by 2040. They say active, health-conscious lifestyles and higher disposable incomes are coupled with a desire to travel closer to home.

Primrose’s target market is also more likely to travel outside of peak season more often, with a preference for less crowded destinations and “off the beaten track” tours. It will cover a range of locations across Scotland, England, Wales and Ireland, promising “slower tourism” where holidaymakers will get chance to spend more time in fewer places.

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So far the firm is marketing themed trips including the ‘Golden Age of Railways, Canals and Rivers’, and ‘Great Houses and Gardens of Cheshire’, ‘Romantic Journeys of Scotland’ and ‘Sailing and Steaming in Delightful Devon’. It is even offering an ABBA Voyager Weekend in London.

Shaun Read, owner of Primrose Holidays and board member of the Coach Tourism Association, said: “Today’s older travellers are increasingly discerning. They’ve holidayed more than previous generations, they’re comfortable travelling and they want to continue exploring – but without the hassle of planning and booking every trip from scratch.

“At Primrose Holidays, we remove the pain points. We’ve chosen each destination for its rich mix of things to see and do, hand-picked every hotel for its high standard of rooms, meals and facilities, and selected the most interesting attractions based on visitor feedback.”

Primrose Holidays offers a door-to-door transfer service within the advertised package price for many postcodes, or for a small surcharge for those living further away.

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Mr Read added: “From south Northumberland and along the east coast, to Sunderland and Durham, Primrose Holidays will collect customers from their homes and transfer them directly to and from the comfort of our executive coaches. It’s all part and parcel of our more personalised offer for older travellers, prioritising quality over quantity to deliver a more relaxed holiday.”

Ashley & Newey was set up in the late 1980s, starting with Emmerdale and Heartbeat themed coach tours to Yorkshire, before expanding to offer holidays across the UK and Ireland as demand grew. The business now provides hotel-only bookings, “mystery tours” and coach touring holidays ranging from one to 10 nights, to coach tour operators across the country.

Mr Read added: “Coach holidays can be a really social way to holiday, whether for solo travellers, couples or groups, providing shared experiences in a safe, friendly and supportive setting.”

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UPS and FedEx have begun filing for some tariff refunds

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UPS and FedEx have begun filing for some tariff refunds

FedEx and UPS delivery vans are seen in Krakow, Poland on February 22, 2022.

Beata Zawrzel | Nurphoto | Getty Images

The refund process for tariffs has begun, but it could be months before consumers start reaping those rewards.

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Following the Supreme Court ruling that some tariffs were unconstitutional, U.S. Customs and Border Protection opened up a refund process on Monday for companies to begin requesting money back.

The refund process only affects levies collected under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or IEEPA, which were the specific tariffs that the Supreme Court invalidated. Some tariffs —like those under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 or those under Section 301 — remain in place.

The tariff refund portal, called the Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries, will allow importers of record to submit refund requests. CBP will then process those requests in phases, and the first phase will only cover refund requests for entries that CBP finalized within the last 80 days.

For shippers UPS and FedEx, that could mean a payday for the companies and, eventually, for customers.

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UPS said this week that it will work to request and retrieve tariff refunds from CBP on customers’ behalf for any shipments where the company was the importer of record, meaning customers do not need to contact UPS.

Still, the company noted that the refunds could take up to three months to be delivered to UPS, which can only then issue refunds to customers.

“We remain focused on keeping shipments moving and helping ensure our customers can fully exercise their rights throughout this complex process,” UPS said in a statement. “We are closely monitoring legal developments and will share updates as available.”

The shipment company said it has only received CBP guidance about the first phase of tariff refunds.

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FedEx also told CNBC it has begun filing claims with CBP for tariff refunds.

“Supporting our customers as they navigate regulatory changes remains our top priority,” FedEx said in a statement.

The company said its process is “straightforward”: If CBP issues refunds to FedEx, it will in turn issue those refunds to shippers and consumers who paid those charges.

FedEx said it will also generate the reports needed to secure refunds on behalf of its customers.

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DHL told CNBC it has also begun filing for tariff refunds, launching the process automatically for any shipments where it was the importer of record.

“We will continue to monitor developments closely, engage with authorities and communicate transparently as further guidance becomes available,” the company said in a statement.

On Tuesday, President Donald Trump told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” that he would “remember” companies that did not request tariff refunds.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.
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Home Bargains development firm sees double planning success

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Davos Property Developments to push ahead at schemes on stalled Liverpool sites

The plans for the Greenland Street scheme

The plans for the Greenland Street scheme

The development arm of the company behind Home Bargains has secured approval for more than 250 new homes across Liverpool city centre. Davos Property Developments is to move forward on the development of two stalled sites after winning over the local authority’s planning committee.

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The company, which handles the property arm of TJ Morris, has been granted permission for a 13 storey tower near the proposed £100m Baltic Triangle Merseyrail station. Almost 200 one and two-bed homes will be built on land bounded by St James Street, Greenland Street, New Bird Street and the former LeeFloorstok warehouse.

Davos, which has already secured significant approvals within the Kings development, will also deliver plans for an additional 59 units at Blundell Street, Kitchen Street and Simpson Street. Matthew Sobic, on behalf of the applicant, addressed councillors at Liverpool Town Hall.

Regarding the Baltic Triangle application, Mr Sobic said it was one of several high profile stalled sites in the city. He added: “Today the site is derelict, enclosed by hoardings, affected by flyposting and graffiti and unmanaged vegetation.

“It makes no positive contribution to the area.” Alongside 199 homes, the proposal will provide co-working space, ground floor commercial units and residents’ amenities, such as a gym and rooftop terraces.

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The designs draw on the Victorian industrial heritage of the area, with its vertical proportions, deep window reveals and iron detailing. Mr Sobic added how the proposal will “meet increasing demand for inner city living in one of Liverpool’s most sustainable neighbourhoods” and it would “create a genuine neighbourhood rather than simply a building”.

It was cleared in 2018, and has since been used as a surface car park. A total of 89 one-bed apartments will be delivered alongside a further 110 two-bed homes and townhouses.

How the new build could look near Baltic Station

How the planned new build near Baltic Station could look

Mr Sobic said the development was the “best possible future for this site” and there was a “strong ambition and will to invest and regenerate in the city centre” by Davos. The company also secured permission for work to begin on almost 60 further properties at Blundell Street, Kitchen Street and Simpson Street.

The scheme will include the construction of a part eight/part six storey building with a two storey bridge link at first and second floor levels between the new block and a retained three storey warehouse. It would provide three commercial units on the ground floor.

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Mr Sobic said the existing warehouse would be retained in a creative way and revitalise “another stalled site where planning permission had been approved”.

To find all the planning applications, traffic diversions, road layout changes, alcohol licence applications and more in your community, visit the Public Notices Portal.

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Tata Investment Q4 Results: Profit jumps 69% YoY to Rs 64 crore; co declares Rs 3.4 dividend

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Tata Investment Q4 Results: Profit jumps 69% YoY to Rs 64 crore; co declares Rs 3.4 dividend
Tata Investment Corporation reported a sharp jump in its March quarter earnings, with net profit rising 69% year-on-year (YoY) to Rs 63.83 crore, compared with Rs 37.72 crore in the same period last year. Revenue from operations saw an even stronger expansion, climbing 143% YoY to Rs 39.98 crore from Rs 16.43 crore, driven by higher dividend income and gains from investments.

Dividend income stood at Rs 25.54 crore during the quarter, while interest income came in at Rs 9.88 crore. The company also reported a turnaround in fair value changes, posting a gain of Rs 1.01 crore versus a loss in the year-ago period.

Total income rose to Rs 42.16 crore from Rs 16.61 crore a year earlier, reflecting strong portfolio performance amid market volatility. Tax expenses declined significantly during the quarter, further aiding net profit growth.

Total expenses increased modestly to Rs 11.69 crore from Rs 10.02 crore in the year-ago quarter. Employee benefit costs and other expenses saw a slight uptick, but remained broadly stable relative to income growth.

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The board has recommended a dividend of Rs 3.4 per share (340%) on a face value of Rs 1 per share. The dividend will be paid after shareholder approval at the upcoming annual general meeting.


For the full year ended March 2026, profit after tax rose to Rs 433.68 crore from Rs 312.09 crore in the previous year, while total income increased to Rs 403.47 crore from Rs 306.22 crore.

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Burkina Faso increases Kiaka stake for $175m

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Burkina Faso increases Kiaka stake for $175m

West African Resources has announced Burkina Faso’s junta government will increase its stake in the Kiaka gold project.

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What Happened With Semiconductors In 2020 Is Repeating Itself Now In This Sector

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IGA: Discount Widens Back Out, Making It A More Interesting Choice (Upgrade) (NYSE:IGA)

This article was written by

More than 7 years of experience in equity analysis in LatAm. We provide our clients with in-depth research and insights to help them make informed investment decisions.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Middle East war has pushed up air fares 24%, research shows

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Middle East war has pushed up air fares 24%, research shows

The consultancy Teneo says airspace restrictions caused by the conflict have forced airlines to reroute many flights.

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CEO explores opportunities as flour demand wanes

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CEO explores opportunities as flour demand wanes

Ardent Mills’ Wallace confident the industry can rise to the occasion.

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