Crypto World
Bloomberg analyst warns Bitcoin price could dip to $10K
A senior Bloomberg Intelligence strategist has warned that Bitcoin could face a severe collapse toward $10,000 as global markets show signs of stress similar to past financial crises.
Summary
- A Bloomberg analyst warned bitcoin price could fall toward $10,000.
- The call is linked to market stress and reduced liquidity.
- Bitcoin is trading near $63,000 after recent losses.
In recent social media posts in early Feb. 2026, Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone shared the outlook, comparing current conditions to the 2008 financial crisis and the 2000–2001 dot-com downturn.
At press time, Bitcoin was trading near $63,000 after falling to around $60,000 on Feb. 5. Since its 2025 peak of over $126,000, the asset has dropped by almost 50%. Pressure on the cryptocurrency market has increased due to large liquidations, exchange-traded fund withdrawals, and low risk appetite.
McGlone links Bitcoin risk to macro stress
According to McGlone, 2026 will be challenging for traders due to reduced liquidity, slower growth, and fading speculative excess.
In his recent commentary, he pointed to what he described as “post-inflation deflation,” reduced central bank support, and years of aggressive risk-taking that are now being unwound. He also cited potential shifts in U.S. monetary policy, including hawkish appointments and slower rate cuts, as factors limiting liquidity.
According to McGlone, these conditions resemble periods that preceded major asset crashes in the past. In that context, he said Bitcoin could revisit levels near $10,000, which would represent an additional drop of more than 85% from current prices.
He has made similar warnings before. In late 2025, McGlone raised concerns about bubble-like behavior in crypto and warned of deep corrections. While those earlier calls did not play out in full, his latest comments link the risk more directly to wider market weakness.
McGlone has also highlighted persistent ETF outflows, lower speculative activity, and what he calls a “great reversion” after years of easy money and rising asset prices.
Signs of capitulation raise short-term uncertainty
Other analysts see growing evidence that the market is entering a capitulation phase, even if they do not share McGlone’s extreme downside target.
In a Feb. 6 post on X, Jamie Coutts, a crypto market analyst at Real Vision, said pressure in derivatives and spot markets is intensifying. He noted that Bitcoin’s Implied Volatility Index has reached 88.55, close to the level of 105 recorded during the FTX collapse.
Coutts also pointed to Coinbase’s eighth-largest daily trading volume on record at $3.34 billion, or roughly 54,000 BTC, as traders rushed to re-position. At the same time, daily relative strength index fell to 15.64, below levels seen during the March 2020 pandemic crash.
“The current margin calls and forced liquidations are typical of a capitulation phase,” Coutts wrote, adding that market bottoms often form over days or weeks rather than in a single session.
Based on past averages and actual price levels, some analysts argue that Bitcoin may find support in the $50,000 to $60,000 range. Some believe that the current decline is not the beginning of a complete collapse, but rather a reset following sharp gains in 2024 and 2025.
However, the risks are still high. If prices decline once more, large corporate holders, mining companies, and highly leveraged traders may experience additional strain. As the market looks for stability, traders are bracing themselves for more volatility in the coming weeks due to limited liquidity and fading confidence.
Crypto World
Sky-backed Obex spreads $1 billion across credit, energy and AI assets to expand stablecoin yield
Obex, the Framework Ventures-backed incubator, began deploying $1 billion on Wednesday to link the Sky ecosystem’s USDS stablecoin with income from tangible assets like AI data centers, housing and energy, boosting real-world strategies beyond crypto-native sources of yield.
The first group of assets includes products from Maple, USD.ai, Daylight, Centrifuge, Securitize, River, TVL Capital and Better. Each aims to bridge crypto markets with parts of the real economy, including lending, housing finance, energy and AI infrastructure, often by turning those assets into blockchain-based instruments via tokenization.
The firms will work with Obex to add new tokenized products designed to generate yield and increase USDS use across their platforms. They will also work to develop and roll out new yield-generating tokenized assets.
Sky, one of the oldest decentralized finance (DeFi) lending protocols and issuer of the $10 billion USDS, is trying to move past the closed loops that have long defined crypto lending. The protocol brought in $435 million in annualized revenue in 2025 and plans to push the dollar-pegged stablecoin’s supply above $20 billion next year.
Obex is aiming to help Sky get there by plugging new sources of income into the system. Last year, it obtained a mandate to allocate up to $2.5 billion of Sky’s USDS reserves into real-world assets to generate yield.
“We’re moving beyond circular DeFi yield sources and toward high-quality yield from structured credit markets, fintech, energy infrastructure, AI CapEx, real estate, and other productive sectors,” said Parker Edwards, a partner at Framework Ventures.
The push reflects a broader shift toward tokenization, in which assets such as loans, funds, or infrastructure projects are represented on blockchain networks. Proponents say this can make it easier to move capital, track ownership and open access to a wider pool of investors.
The market for tokenized real-world assets is growing rapidly, and tripled in value to $26 billion in the past year, RWA.xyz data shows. That growth has been driven by demand for more stable and predictable returns than those typically found in crypto lending and other speculative strategies.
Bitcoin (BTC) price struggled to break above $72,000, as several key onchain metrics highlighted weakening demand for BTC, casting doubts on its upside potential.
Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin investors shift to distribution as whales and smaller cohorts aggressively sell under weak market conditions.
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Bitcoin whale transaction count hits multi-year lows, as smart money waits for policy and geopolitical clarity.
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Bitcoin’s hash rate fell sharply amid rising energy costs, increasing chances of miner capitulation.
Bitcoin investors “shift to distribution”
Bitcoin investors have are increasingly risk-off, distributing their BTC holdings amid the recent price weakness fueled by the US and Israel-Iran war and other macroeconomic headwinds.
Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) is near zero (light yellow), indicating that the whales are distributing their BTC holdings or not accumulating.
Related: Bitcoin retakes $71K as US sends Iran 15-point ceasefire plan
The drop in the trend score indicates a transition from accumulation to distribution across almost all cohorts. This shift mirrors a similar pattern observed in early 2025, which aligned with Bitcoin’s drop to $74,500 in April 2025.
Additional data from Glassnode shows a “shift toward distribution or inactivity” among small to mid-sized entities holding less than 1,000 BTC.
This is in contrast to “Q4 2024, where broad cohort accumulation preceded a sustained rally,” the onchain data provider said in a Tuesday post on X, adding:
“Heavy participation across wallet sizes remains a precondition for any durable recovery.”
Bitcoin whale activity “historically quiet”
Reflecting this distribution or inactive accumulation trend is Bitcoin’s whale activity, which has become “historically quiet,” according to Santiment.
Last week, daily BTC transactions above $100,000 fell to just 6,417, the lowest since September 2023. Meanwhile, transfers exceeding $1 million dropped to 1,485, levels last seen in October 2024.
The declining whale activity is largely due to market participants waiting for “clarity from the CLARITY Act,” as well as a long-term solution to the war, according to the data analytics company.
This indicates that “smart money is reluctant to make moves with so much policy and global uncertainty at play,” Santiment added.
Declining Bitcoin network activity
Bitcoin’s inability to sustain the recovery is further evidenced by low network activity and less onchain demand.
CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin network activity index, which tracks key indicators such as daily active addresses, total transactions count, and UTXO count, has been declining since August 2025.
This points to “weaker demand across the network,” CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn said in a recent post on X.
This aligns with weak onchain fundamentals such as liquidity and network growth as tracked by Bitcoin Vector’s fundamental index.
This metric “keeps trending lower and remains well below the strengthening zone,” Bitcoin Vector said in a Tuesday X post.
The onchain data provider described the current market conditions as “stability without support,” rather than a healthy consolidation, adding:
“As long as onchain conditions stay weak, upside looks increasingly dependent on flow, short covering, or external catalysts, not organic strength. If fundamentals don’t recover, this kind of divergence usually doesn’t support a sustained mid-term recovery.”
Bitcoin mining hash rate drops 22%
Bitcoin’s hash rate, a metric that shows the level of mining activity, has dropped sharply over the last couple of weeks, meaning miners are shutting down machines.
The hash rate has fallen to 813 EH/s on Wednesday, from 1.2 ZH/s on March 5, representing a 22% decrease.
Rising energy costs, exacerbated by the US and Israel-Iran war, compressed the hash price below $34 per PH/s/day, which is below many miners’ breakeven levels.
“Bitcoin miners are losing $19,000 on every coin they produce, and difficulty just dropped 7.8% as the miner exodus accelerates,” analysts at Token Metrics said in a recent post on X, adding:
“If difficulty drops another 5%+ within the next 7 days, miner capitulation is accelerating and spot sell pressure will intensify.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Startale Group said it closed a $63 million Series A round, adding $50 million from SBI Group to a $13 million first close from Sony Innovation Fund in January.
The Singapore-based company, which operates in Japan, builds blockchain tools for both financial firms and retail users. Its products include Strium, a blockchain for tokenized securities and other real-world assets, yen stablecoin JPYSC, dollar stablecoin USDSC and the Startale app, a consumer app tied to Sony-backed layer-2 network Soneium.
The funding brings together Startale’s two most important strategic partners, the firm said. SBI has worked with the company on Strium and JPYSC, while Sony has backed Startale through its investment arm and its work on Soneium.
The round reflects Startale’s push to build across several layers of the onchain economy, from financial infrastructure and settlement tools to end-user applications.
Startale said it will use the funding to scale Strium for tokenized securities and real-world asset trading, expand adoption of JPYSC and USDSC and develop the Startale app into a broader platform for asset management, payments and onchain services to become a “SuperApp.”
CEO Sota Watanabe said the company will also use the funding to push tokenized stocks tied to Japanese equities and expand yen stablecoin adoption this year.
The round lands as Japan works to test how blockchain systems can connect to existing financial infrastructure. Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said earlier this year she fully supports crypto trading integration into the country’s stock exchanges.
Crypto World
Ripple Partners with Singapore’s Central Bank on Cross-Border Settlement Infra for Trade Finance
The pilot is part of a broader MAS initiative to extend settlement capabilities using tokenized bank liabilities and regulated stablecoins.
Ripple has joined a pilot program run by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), partnering with trade finance platform Unloq to build blockchain-based cross-border settlement infrastructure, according to a press release today, March 25.
The pilot will leverage Unloq’s trade finance platform, which bundles trade obligations, settlement conditions, and financing workflows into a single execution layer, alongside Ripple’s XRP Ledger and its enterprise-focused stablecoin, RLUSD. The pilot is part of BLOOM — short for Borderless, Liquid, Open, Online, Multi-currency — a MAS initiative to extend settlement capabilities using tokenized bank liabilities and regulated stablecoins. MAS is both Singapore’s central bank and primary financial regulator.
The use case targets a persistent inefficiency in global trade: payments that must be released only when predefined commercial conditions — like shipment verification — are confirmed, according to the release. Ripple says the structure improves risk transparency and could open up financing access for small and medium sized businesses caught in cross-border settlement limbo.
“Singapore continues to take a leading role globally in providing the regulatory clarity necessary for the digital asset space to thrive,” said Fiona Murray, Ripple’s managing director for the Asia Pacific region.
Singapore is known for having one of the earliest and most robust crypto-specific regulatory frameworks globally. The Defiant previously covered how MAS finalized its stablecoin regulatory framework back in August 2023, which requires issuers to peg to a single G10 currency and maintain full reserve backing — conditions RLUSD is designed to meet.
As The Defiant reported, RLUSD crossed $1 billion in circulating supply late last year, and the stablecoin’s supply now sits at $1.43 billion. Last August, Ripple acquired stablecoin infrastructure platform Rail for $200 million to bolster its payments ecosystem. In October, the firm completed its acquisition of global prime broker Hidden Road in October, which it rebranded to Ripple Prime.
The company has been pushing RLUSD into enterprise rails across multiple jurisdictions, including a partnership with OpenPayd to enable euro and sterling cross-border flows.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 23, 2026.
Brendan McDermid | Reuters
Citrini Research, the firm that rattled markets earlier this year with a provocative bearish call on artificial intelligence, is out with another warning — this time arguing an oil-driven slowdown could send equities lower.
Founder James van Geelen said persistently high energy prices risk weighing on consumers and corporate earnings, creating a backdrop where stocks struggle even as the Federal Reserve eventually pivots toward rate cuts.
“If the war doesn’t end, equities will go lower,” van Geelen wrote in a Substack post early Wednesday, pointing to geopolitical tensions as a key driver of sustained oil strength.
Stocks recouped some of the losses Wednesday following reports that the U.S. has given Iran a plan to bring the conflict to an end, sending crude prices tumbling. However, the two countries appear to be very far apart, with Tehran turning down the U.S.’s ceasefire offer and demanding sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
The latest call builds on Citrini’s growing reputation for contrarian macro views. In February, the firm published a widely circulated note arguing that the AI boom itself could ultimately hurt the economy, pushing unemployment as high as 10% if white-collar jobs are replaced by machines.
Slowdown ahead?
The core of Citrini’s current thesis is that elevated oil prices act as a tax on growth, eroding purchasing power and tightening financial conditions without the Fed needing to take further action. With policy rates already near neutral, van Geelen argued that simply holding rates steady would be restrictive enough as the energy shock filters through the economy.
“We live in a different world now, rates are close to neutral,” he wrote. “If oil stays high, it would be restrictive enough simply to leave them where they are while oil prices filter through the rest of the economy and cause a slowdown.”
That dynamic leaves equities particularly vulnerable, he said. Even in a scenario where geopolitical tensions ease quickly, Citrini sees limited upside for stocks. Consumers would still emerge “slightly weaker” after absorbing higher fuel costs, dampening the strength of any rebound, he said.
The firm’s view also challenges a common bullish narrative that rate cuts would provide a backstop for equities. Instead, van Geelen suggests any eventual easing would likely come in response to deteriorating growth, a backdrop historically associated with further equity declines rather than sustained rallies.
“The Fed knows that raising rates isn’t going to magically make more oil supply,” he wrote, arguing policymakers are more likely to “look through” the shock before ultimately cutting rates as conditions worsen.
The Solana Foundation is positioning the network as core infrastructure for an emerging “agentic” internet, where AI systems—not humans—initiate and execute economic activity.
“AI is not really a vertical. It’s a platform shift… affecting everything across every industry, including crypto,” said Vibhu Norby, chief product officer of the Solana Foundation, during a panel at the Digital Asset Summit (DAS) in New York.
At the center of Solana’s strategy is payments. Norby said the network has already “processed 15 million payments onchain from agents,” largely tied to machine-to-machine commerce. “The programmatic aspect of crypto payments is what is making it interesting for agents,” he said, adding that “stablecoins are going to be the default thing that agents use to pay for any computational resource.”
This shift could fundamentally reshape internet business models, Norby believes. “Agentic payments are probably going to change the entire way that the internet is monetized,” he said, pointing to the ability to support sub-cent, pay-per-use transactions that traditional rails cannot handle.
The Solana Foundation argues that the network’s performance-focused design gives it an edge in this new paradigm. “Agents are cold, calculated machines… they don’t subscribe to crypto religiosity,” Norby said. “If you ask an agent what’s the best way to pay for something with crypto, most of the time, Solana is showing up at the top.”
At the same time, advances in AI are eroding long-standing developer barriers, noting that tools now allow developers and machines to build across ecosystems more easily.
In response, Solana developers are building directly for AI systems. “What agents like is APIs and documentation and skills,” Norby said, pointing to initiatives like machine-readable “skill” files and AI-first developer platforms.
Looking ahead, Norby expects a dramatic shift in user behavior: “The default way people will interact with crypto is going to be through their agent… 95 to 99% of all transactions… will be coming from LLMs.”
Read more: Solana Foundation taps Mastercard, Western Union, Worldpay for institutional developer platform
CoinMarketCap dropped a wordless rocket meme just as its own Fear & Greed Index bounced from extreme fear and Bitcoin ripped from $67k back toward $71k.
Summary
- CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) posted a single rocket emoji alongside a stylized AI-generated rocket-shaped lava lamp image on March 24.
- The post came exactly one day after CoinMarketCap’s own Crypto Fear & Greed Index hit 8 out of 100 — deep in “extreme fear” territory — as traders aggressively dumped XRP, Solana, and DeFi positions amid geopolitical anxiety and macro pressure.
- The broader market context was significant: Bitcoin (BTC) had just surged from a recent low of $67,000 back toward $71,000 on March 24.
CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap), one of the world’s most widely cited cryptocurrency data platforms with over 70 million monthly users, posted a wordless bullish signal on March 24 at 4:00 PM UTC — a rocket emoji and an AI-generated image of a metallic, rocket-shaped lava lamp — at the precise moment sentiment across crypto markets was attempting to reverse from some of its deepest fear readings in years. The post accumulated 34,500 views, 598 likes, and 75 retweets, becoming one of the most-engaged posts in crypto’s trending feed that day.
The timing was pointed. Just 24 hours earlier, CoinMarketCap’s own Crypto Fear & Greed Index had printed at 8 out of 100, locking in one of the deepest “extreme fear” readings of the current cycle, as traders liquidated positions across major altcoins including Solana (SOL) and XRP (XRP). The broader total crypto market capitalization had held around $2.36 trillion even as investors rotated aggressively into cash and stablecoins.
The fear had been building for months. As crypto.news reported in February, the Fear & Greed Index plunged to a yearly low of 5 on Feb. 6 — a level not seen since the depths of 2022 — as the global crypto market cap shed roughly $2 trillion from its 2025 peak. By mid-March, sentiment had crept back toward neutral. But a fresh wave of geopolitical anxiety around Iran dragged it back toward single digits.
The catalyst for the reversal was geopolitical rather than on-chain. U.S. President Donald Trump signaled a pause in military escalations against Iran on March 24, opening the door to diplomatic talks. The announcement triggered an immediate “risk-on” rotation across financial markets. Bitcoin, which had dipped to approximately $67,000 in the preceding days, climbed nearly 4% to breach $71,000 — recovering its market capitalization toward $1.33 trillion, according to Fortune. The wider crypto market cap moved to approximately $2.44 trillion, per CoinMarketCap data, with BTC dominance still elevated at close to 58%.
It was into this precise inflection point that CoinMarketCap chose to post its rocket image. The platform, described in its own documentation as “the Home Of Crypto” and the operator of what it calls “the most trusted” sentiment gauge in mainstream financial media, offered no caption beyond a single emoji. The community read the signal clearly: @DogelonMars replied “Comfy in spot,” while @CaptainBNB_bsc wrote “It’s mesmerizing, I could watch it all day.”
CoinMarketCap’s Fear & Greed Index runs on a 0–100 scale and draws from five data pillars: price momentum across the top 10 non-stablecoin assets, volatility measures on Bitcoin and Ethereum, options put/call ratios, stablecoin supply ratios, and CMC’s proprietary social trend data. CoinMarketCap itself states that “extreme fear likely indicates undervalued asset prices” — and by its own measure, markets had been in that territory for weeks.
Whether the rocket post marks an inflection or a head-fake remains to be seen. But as a sentiment artifact, it captured something real: after months of fear, the data’s own publisher was finally reaching for the launch button.
A decentralized crowdfunding approach is being pitched as a lifeline for NFT artists when market conditions turn sour and traditional middlemen tighten their hold. An on-chain experiment led by longtime collector Batsoupyum and curator Lanett Bennett Grant makes a persuasive case: commit to 1 Ether each week to fund emerging Ethereum mainnet works, share the artists’ stories, and avoid profit-driven flips. The model emphasizes direct, transparent capital flows from collectors to creators, with no centralized gatekeepers dictating who deserves attention.
Originating in an opinion piece by Joshua Kim, CEO and founder of DonaFi, the concept argues that a self-sustaining, on-chain funding pipeline can bypass the friction and fees of conventional platforms. In a bear market, when liquidity is scarce and attention concentrates elsewhere, this approach tests whether a small, committed community can keep artists productive and visible.
Key takeaways
- On-chain, platform-agnostic crowdfunding can deliver predictable funding to artists without relying on gatekeeping or monthly platform fees.
- During downturns, direct from-collector funding can supplement shrinking primary sales and help artists stay active in the ecosystem.
- The approach pairs financial support with narrative context, ensuring supporters see exactly where funds go and artists’ stories travel with each transaction.
- Early supporters demonstrated a network effect—more participants pledged, matched funds, or offered exhibitions—without permission from a central authority.
Crowdfunding without platforms or promises
Everything happens on-chain and in public, one purchase at a time. Artists receive direct payment and gain immediate visibility, while collectors know precisely how funds are allocated. The social layer—stories, context, and curation—travels alongside the transaction rather than getting filtered through a platform’s user interface.
Monthly open calls create a repeatable pipeline for discovery and support. The point isn’t a single philanthropic gesture; it’s sustained visibility and cash flow that can keep artists producing during a downturn. The model strips crowdfunding down to essentials: capital, trust and consistency.
A bear market proving ground
NFT bear markets don’t just depress floor prices; they shrink income for aspiring artists who rely on primary sales to fund new work and cover living costs. In this experiment, the community’s response was swift and tangible. Punk6529 matched the weekly ETH pledge. Sam Spratt contributed $20,000. Bob Loukas added $100,000. Galleries opened exhibitions, and platforms like Foundation pledged to feature works. Crucially, none of these contributions required permission or centralized coordination—the momentum spread through the ecosystem organically.
That rapid, permissionless response illustrates the strength of decentralized crowdfunding in downturns. It prioritizes conviction over optimism and demonstrates a pathway for artists to receive steady support even when demand in the broader market falters.
A networked approach to crowdfunding
What distinguishes this model from traditional patronage is its networked nature. Each participant amplifies the others; collectors don’t replace markets, but help stabilize them. Artists aren’t pigeonholed into charity narratives; their work is valued on its own merits. Platforms and galleries don’t compete with the effort—they extend it, enabling broader visibility and ongoing dialogue between creators and supporters.
As the original proposal notes, decentralized crowdfunding works because it aligns incentives without coercion. No one is locked in or promised upside; yet the outcome—a steady stream of support and authentic storytelling—can arrive swiftly.
Related: AI agents will have growing pains before innovation can start links to broader conversations about technology-enabled creativity and the evolving role of automation in art markets.
Why this model matters in 2026
This isn’t merely about salvaging NFTs; it’s about proving that decentralized capital can function when speculation cools. In a market where hype wanes, what endures is community, transparency and conviction—foundations that artists need to thrive. If the next phase of NFTs is to matter beyond hype cycles, it will depend on collectors showing up consistently, moving funds on-chain to creators, and telling their stories alongside the art.
Decentralized crowdfunding won’t fix every problem artists face, but in a downturn it already accomplishes something far more important: it keeps artists alive in the ecosystem when other channels go quiet.
As this model evolves, observers will want to see whether more artists participate, whether funding can scale beyond a few high-profile contributors, and how broadly the storytelling and on-chain transparency can be sustained. The coming months will indicate whether this on-chain approach becomes a durable backbone for creator ecosystems or remains a powerful, yet niche, instrument in the NFT landscape.
An independent government review warned that crypto assets could channel foreign money into British politics.
The United Kingdom has imposed an immediate moratorium on all cryptocurrency donations to political parties, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced on Wednesday.
The move follows the publication of the Rycroft Review, a 50-page independent assessment of foreign financial interference in UK politics led by former senior civil servant Philip Rycroft.
The government will legislate the moratorium through amendments to the Representation of the People Bill currently before Parliament, and the new rules will apply retrospectively to any crypto donations received from Wednesday onward, Communities Secretary Steve Reed confirmed in the House of Commons.
Why Crypto
The Rycroft Review cited a combination of concerns specific to crypto assets as the basis for its recommendation, including the incomplete regulatory framework for crypto — particularly at the international level — the difficulty of tracing ultimate ownership, the proliferation of different cryptoasset vehicles with varying degrees of traceability, and the emergence of AI-assisted technologies that can fragment crypto holdings into amounts small enough to fall below the £500 threshold at which political donations must be declared.
No crypto donations have reached the reporting threshold to date, according to the review, meaning the Electoral Commission has had no visibility into the scale of crypto flowing into party coffers.
The review framed the moratorium as a pause rather than a permanent prohibition. Rycroft wrote that the measure should be understood as an interval for the regulatory environment to catch up with the reality of cryptoassets, not a prelude to an outright ban. The legislation would include a mechanism to lift the moratorium once Parliament and the Electoral Commission are satisfied that adequate regulation is in place.
Rycroft also acknowledged that the ban is not a complete seal. Donors would still be able to convert crypto holdings to fiat and donate the proceeds, at which point traditional anti-money laundering checks would apply.
The UK Parliament’s Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy last month described crypto’s presence in UK politics as an unacceptably high risk to the integrity of the political finance system, and endorsed the review’s findings today.
Reform UK in the Crosshairs
The moratorium lands squarely on Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, the only major British party to actively court crypto donations. Reform became the first mainstream UK party to accept Bitcoin donations last year, and its largest donor — Thailand-based Christopher Harborne, a major Tether investor — has donated £12 million to the party over the past year, including a single £9 million contribution.
The Electoral Commission has said that Reform has not shared any crypto wallet addresses with the regulator, limiting the watchdog’s ability to independently verify the party’s crypto funding sources.
Reform UK MPs walked out of the House of Commons during Starmer’s announcement. The Prime Minister took a direct shot at Farage, telling MPs that there was only one party leader willing to say anything if paid to do so.
Broader Crackdown
The crypto moratorium is one of 17 recommendations in the Rycroft Review, which found that foreign interference in UK politics from Russia, China, and Iran is persistent and growing more acute. The review was triggered by the November 2025 conviction of Nathan Gill, Reform UK’s former leader in Wales, who was sentenced to more than 10 years for accepting Russian bribes.
Alongside the crypto ban, the government immediately adopted a £100,000 annual cap on political donations from British citizens living overseas. Rycroft also recommended limiting corporate donations to a party’s reported taxable profits — a measure aimed at closing a loophole that could allow foreign individuals to funnel money through UK-registered shell companies.
The Rycroft Review also warned of threats beyond direct political financing, noting that foreign-linked social media bots and disinformation campaigns represent a relatively cheap way for hostile states to interfere in democratic processes. Rycroft separately flagged what he called a potential new threat from allies like the United States, citing a willingness of foreign actors and private citizens to interfere in politics abroad in pursuit of their own agenda.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
South Korea’s political deadlock over virtual asset taxation has broken under the weight of market reality. Lawmakers from both major parties have agreed to delay the planned 20% Crypto Tax on gains until 2027 following data revealing $110 billion in annual capital flight. This bipartisan reversal is a strategic pivot driven by a retail exodus that has drained liquidity from domestic exchanges in favor of offshore derivatives platforms.
The Financial Services Commission (FSC) confirmed that outflows accelerated in the second half of 2025, with $60 billion leaving the country in just six months. Traders are not just cashing out; they are moving capital to jurisdictions that offer the leverage and hedging tools currently banned on local soil.
- Capital Flight: Annual outflows hit an estimated $110 billion in 2025, with 57% of volume moving to Binance to access futures and leverage.
- Political Response: Both the ruling People Power Party and opposition Democratic Party agreed to delay the 20% tax implementation to 2027.
- Market Impact: Operating profits for domestic exchanges plunged 38% in H2 2025 as traders bypassed local spot-only restrictions.
The Mechanics of the Exodus
The data paints a picture of a market structure failure. While the FSC noted a 14% increase in outflows to 90 trillion won ($60 billion) in the second half of the year, the drivers are structural, not sentimental.
Domestic giants like Upbit and Bithumb are legally restricted to spot trading. In a volatile market, this restriction renders them obsolete for sophisticated traders looking to hedge downside risk or speculate with leverage.
This is not a sell-off. It is an arbitrage migration. A joint report by CoinGecko and Tiger Research estimates that 57% of the total outflows flowed directly to Binance.
South Korean traders now account for approximately 13% of Binance’s futures volume. The net result is a massive transfer of fees abroad; foreign exchanges earned an estimated 2.7 times more revenue from Korean users than domestic platforms did in 2025.
The disparity has crushed local profitability. Despite a 31% rise in deposits to 8.1 trillion won ($5.4 billion), operating profits for South Korea’s 18 exchanges collapsed by 38% to 380.7 billion won ($253.4 million). The volume is there, but the high-value transactional velocity has moved elsewhere. We are seeing similar liquidity demands globally; EDX Markets launching KRW perpetual futures suggests institutional players are already positioning to capture this volume offshore if domestic regulations don’t adapt.
The FSC report explicitly linked the outflows to “arbitrage and other similar activities,” a tacit admission that the current regulatory framework is bleeding value.
Regulatory News: The Policy Gap
The decision to delay the tax is an emergency brake, not a solution. The opposition Democratic Party, previously adamant about implementing the tax in 2025, capitulated after realizing the Capital Flight could permanently cripple the domestic fintech sector.
With 11.1 million crypto accounts in the country, representing over 20% of the population, the political cost of taxing a shrinking market became untenable.
The post Regulatory Backlash: $110B in Outflows Forces South Korea to Rethink Crypto Tax appeared first on Cryptonews.
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