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Will Markets Crash Further When $2B Bitcoin Options Expire Today?

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3 Things That Could Impact Crypto and Bitcoin Prices This Week


Friday has come around again, which means another batch of expiring Bitcoin options as spot markets continue to melt down. 

Around 34,000 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, Feb. 6, with a notional value of roughly $2.1 billion. This event is much smaller than last week’s end-of-month expiry.

Crypto markets have collapsed into bear market territory, losing around $686 billion since the start of the week, as sentiment plunges and both retail and institutional investors dump crypto assets.

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Bitcoin Options Expiry

This week’s batch of Bitcoin options contracts has a put/call ratio of 0.59, meaning that there are more expiring calls (longs) than puts (shorts). Max pain is around $82,000, according to Coinglass, which is well above current spot prices, so many will be out of the money on expiry.

Open interest (OI), or the value or number of Bitcoin options contracts yet to expire, remains highest at $100,000 and $70,000, which have $1.1 billion at these strike prices on Deribit. Total BTC options OI across all exchanges has been in decline for a week and is at $32.5 billion.

“BTC option flows suggesting downside plays not over,” said Deribit.

“Bitcoin’s open interest is stacked through the $80K to $90K region, with elevated put activity showing traders leaned defensive into the move.”

“The upcoming $60,000 range represents the consolidation zone prior to the Trump rally, where support remains relatively strong. Should a rapid dip occur in the short term, it may present a buying opportunity,” said crypto derivatives provider Greeks Live.

In addition to today’s batch of Bitcoin options, around 217,000 Ethereum contracts are also expiring, with a notional value of $400 million, max pain at $2,550, and a put/call ratio of 1.15. Total ETH options OI across all exchanges is around $7.1 billion. This brings the total notional value of crypto options expiries to around $2.5 billion.

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Spot Market Outlook

Crypto market capitalization has tanked to a 16-month low of $2.27 trillion as the digital asset exodus continued.

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Bitcoin was smashed by double digits, tanking below $60,000 in early trading in Asia on Friday. The asset has now lost 50% from its all-time high, dumping more than $60,000 in just four months.

Ether is back at bear market lows, falling below $1,800 briefly, and the altcoins have been destroyed in what appears to be the start of another long, drawn-out crypto winter.

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Crypto World

Oil Rose 3% to Open the Week: Here’s What Moved the Market on Monday

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Oil prices jumped more than 3% on Monday, pushing Brent crude above $116 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US benchmark, climbed to roughly $102 per barrel.

The latest rise comes as the US-Israel war on Iran entered its fifth week with no signs of abating.

Oil Extends Its War-Fueled Rally 

Several escalatory developments over the weekend fueled the surge. President Donald Trump told the Financial Times he could possibly seize Kharg Island, the terminal that handles roughly 90% of Iran’s crude exports.

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The US president struck a mixed tone on diplomacy with Iran, saying he was “pretty sure” of making a deal with Iran but conceding that talks could still collapse.

Meanwhile, Iran’s parliament speaker warned that Tehran would “set them on fire” when American forces arrived and promised consequences for US-allied nations in the region. 

The oil price surge is far from over, according to market analysts, who warn that the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz could drive crude even higher.

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“A scenario in which the Strait remains closed for an additional month would be consistent with oil prices rising towards $150/bbl and constraints on industrial consumers of energy supply,” Bruce Kasman, global head of economics at JPMorgan, said.

According to Bloomberg, US officials and Wall Street analysts have also begun discussing the possibility of crude reaching $200 per barrel.

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Asian Stocks Tumble, Crypto Feels the Pressure

The energy shock rippled across Asia. Google Finance data showed that Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell over 4.5%, while South Korea’s KOSPI dropped more than 4.3% as import-dependent economies repriced risk.

The volatility has spread to crypto markets, with asset prices dipping early in the morning before rebounding. 

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“The market briefly crashed just now — ETH dropped below $1,940 and BTC fell below $65,000,” Lookonchain reported.

Oil above $100 per barrel continues to pressure risk assets by fueling inflation expectations and delaying anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts.

The post Oil Rose 3% to Open the Week: Here’s What Moved the Market on Monday appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Lido DAO Mulls $20M LDO Buyback to Boost Token Price

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Lido DAO Mulls $20M LDO Buyback to Boost Token Price

Lido’s decentralized autonomous organization is considering a one-off $20 million buyback of its governance token to address so-called price dislocation, which is at “historically depressed levels” relative to Ether, according to the DAO. 

The proposal, submitted Friday, seeks permission to swap 10,000 Lido Staked Ether (stETH) tokens, currently worth $20 million from the DAO’s treasury for Lido DAO (LDO), arguing that LDO is undervalued.

“This is not a routine fluctuation. It represents one of the most significant dislocations between LDO’s market price and its underlying protocol fundamentals in the token’s history.”

A token buyback of this size could boost the price of the token, which has fallen roughly 96% from its all-time high. In November, a Lido DAO member pitched an automated buyback mechanism for LDO to improve the token’s price. However, that proposal hasn’t been implemented.

LDO’s change in price relative to ETH since 2024. Source: Lido DAO

Lido DAO pointed out that LDO is trading at a steep discount to Ether (ETH) at a ratio of 0.00016, roughly 63% below its two-year median.

This is despite the protocol holding the top spot of the Ethereum liquid staking market, with a 23.2% share of staked Ether, according to Dune Analytics data. The protocol’s dominance has even been flagged as a centralization risk to the network in previous years.

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Share of Ethereum network validators. Source: Dune Analytics

Related: Ethereum builders propose ‘economic zone’ to tackle L2 fragmentation 

LDO is currently trading at $0.30, down 95.9% from its $7.30 high set in August 2021, according to CoinGecko data. LDO’s $255 million market cap makes it the 141st largest token by value at the time of writing.

“That dislocation is not justified by a proportional deterioration in protocol performance,” Lido DAO said. 

Lido DAO proposes buying stETH in batches

Lido DAO proposed buying up to 10,000 stETH in smaller batches of 1,000 to buy LDO. 

Lido DAO said it would use limit orders or adopt a dollar-cost averaging strategy to avoid market volatility. 

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