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Will BTC Keep Plunging Below $65K? Expert Predictions for February 2026 Recovery

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Bitcoin Price Crash: Will BTC Keep Plunging Below $65K? Expert

Bitcoin has tumbled to its lowest levels since last fall, briefly dipping below $61,000 this week before rebounding slightly to around $64,800 amid a brutal sell-off that has wiped out nearly 50% of its value from October highs. The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap — now hovering at $1.29 trillion — faces mounting questions: Is this the bottom, or will BTC keep going down as investor panic deepens?

The dramatic plunge, down 32% over the past 12 months and 44% from its $126,296 peak, has triggered widespread deleveraging, ETF outflows and skepticism about crypto’s post-election rally. Yet historical patterns, improving macro signals and technical rebounds suggest the bleeding may soon stop — though analysts warn of more pain before any sustained recovery.

Bitcoin’s brutal week: From $92K dreams to $60K reality

Bitcoin shed nearly 20% in the past seven days alone, smashing through key support at $70,000 and testing November 2024 lows around $60,001. Thursday’s session saw BTC briefly crater below $61,000 — its steepest single-day drop in months — fueled by $3.48 billion in spot ETF outflows since November and liquidations hitting overcrowded long positions.

Major platforms like Bitstamp clocked lows of $70,002 early Thursday, while Coinbase watched BTC flirt with $60K amid risk-off sentiment spilling from stocks. Ether and XRP suffered worse, amplifying the crypto bloodbath as traditional investors soured on digital assets.

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Deutsche Bank’s Marion Laboure pinned the rout on fading hype: “Traditional investors are losing interest… Bitcoin isn’t trading on narratives anymore; it’s pure liquidity dynamics.” FG Nexus’s Aja Vinovic added that post-ETF euphoria has given way to balance-sheet pressures, with put options now outpacing calls.​

Why Bitcoin is crashing now: ETF flows, macro headwinds

Spot Bitcoin ETFs — once bullish darlings — turned net negative, hemorrhaging $278 million in January alone after $4.57 billion in late-2025 outflows. BlackRock’s IBIT led the exodus, signaling institutional profit-taking after BTC’s 2025 surge.

Macro jitters amplified the slide. Fed hawkishness crushed rate-cut bets, strengthening the dollar and squeezing risk assets. Bitcoin’s correlation with Nasdaq hit 0.85, dragging BTC down as tech stocks wobbled. On-chain data shows new buyer activity stalled since October, with sentiment nearing fear extremes — historically bullish contrarian signals.

Technicals scream oversold: Wedge pattern eyes rebound

Charts paint a mixed but intriguing picture. Bitcoin trades inside an ascending broadening wedge, bouncing from the lower boundary near $60K — a classic reversal setup. Bulls must reclaim $89,241 and $90,000 for bullish confirmation; failure risks $55K tests.

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The 50-day moving average sits at $87,974, with the 200-day at $103,031 — both far above spot price, underscoring the correction’s depth. Yet RSI readings below 30 signal extreme oversold conditions, while February’s historical 14.3% average gains favor upside.

Changelly forecasts BTC climbing to $77,862 by month-end (20% from here), with short-term targets at $71,840 Friday and $77K late February. BeInCrypto eyes $98K on wedge breakout, followed by $95K consolidation.

Historical precedent: 30% drops are BTC’s normal

Pullbacks of 30%+ are routine in Bitcoin cycles. Post-2021 and 2017 peaks, BTC endured multiple 30-50% corrections before resuming uptrends. The current 44% retracement mirrors March 2025’s 32.7% dip and January’s 31.7% slide — “normal volatility,” per CoinDesk’s Jacob Joseph.​

Santiment data confirms: Extreme fear precedes bounces, with current caution levels priming gradual advances. ETF outflow slowdown — from $3.48B (Nov) to $278M (Jan) — hints at stabilization.

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Bull case: ETF rebound, halving tailwinds, macro pivot

Optimists see catalysts ahead. Spot ETF flows could flip positive in February, providing “structural support.” The 2024 halving’s supply shock lingers, with 3.125 BTC block rewards tightening issuance amid rising demand.​

Macro tailwinds beckon: Potential Fed cuts, election-cycle liquidity and Trump’s pro-crypto stance (Bitcoin reserve talk) could ignite FOMO. On-chain metrics show long-term holders accumulating, HODL waves strengthening.​

Price targets cluster at $90K (near-term resistance), $101K (14% historical February gain) and $126K year-high retest.

Bear case: $55K floor, recession risks loom

Pessimists warn of deeper pain. Failure at $70K invites $55K — 2024 lows — with $44K psychological support. Persistent ETF selling, regulatory clouds (SEC vs. Ripple redux?) and equity contagion threaten further slides.​

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Deutsche Bank’s Laboure flags “overall negativity” as traditional capital flees. If Nasdaq cracks, BTC’s 0.85 correlation amplifies downside.​

Expert predictions: Where BTC heads next

Analyst/Firm Short-Term (Feb) Year-End 2026 Key Catalyst
BeInCrypto $98K breakout $120K+ ETF inflows ​
Changelly $77.8K $95K avg Technical rebound ​
CoinDesk Stabilize $80K Cycle peak Halving effects ​
Deutsche Bank $60K risk Bearish Macro caution ​

February averages 14.3% gains historically; current $64.8K base projects $74K end-month.​

What Bitcoin investors should do now

  1. HODL long-term: Corrections precede bull runs; 2021’s 50% drop yielded 3x gains.​
  2. Dollar-cost average: Buy dips below $65K; avoid FOMO at $90K.​
  3. Watch ETF flows: Inflow reversal signals bottom.​
  4. Monitor Fed: Rate cuts ignite risk-on.​
  5. Risk management: Never invest more than 5-10% portfolio.​

Bitcoin’s at a crossroads: capitulation or coil for explosion? History favors the latter, but patience rules. As Vinovic notes, “The bull run narrative evolves — liquidity now drives price.” Tune into macro prints, ETF data and $70K hold for clues. The king of crypto endures — battered, but unbowed.

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NatWest to support 50,000 UK entrepreneurs through Accelerator in 2026

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NatWest to support 50,000 UK entrepreneurs through Accelerator in 2026

NatWest has announced plans to dramatically expand its Accelerator community, with an ambition to support 50,000 entrepreneurs across the UK in 2026 – a five-fold increase on the target it set for 2025.

The move follows a standout year for the programme, during which the bank supported around 12,000 founders. That figure exceeds the total number of entrepreneurs the Accelerator had backed over the previous decade combined, highlighting the rapid acceleration in both scale and impact.

The expansion forms part of NatWest’s new five-point Growing Together plan, which outlines how the bank intends to support long-term UK growth. The strategy focuses on backing regional economies, championing mid-market businesses, strengthening infrastructure and housing, improving financial confidence among families and young people, and supporting the innovators shaping the future economy.

NatWest said it believes banks have a role to play beyond providing finance, using their regional footprint, expertise and convening power to bring together businesses, communities and policymakers to help remove structural barriers to growth and unlock productivity across the UK.

At the heart of the expansion is the NatWest Accelerator community, which is built around peer networks, local cohorts and access to expert mentors, investors and specialist support. The programme is designed to help early-stage and high-growth businesses launch, scale and build resilience.

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Data released by the bank shows the impact of the programme on participating businesses. Companies that completed the Accelerator grew their turnover by an average of 104 per cent year-on-year, compared with 20 per cent growth among a control group. In addition, nine out of ten Accelerator businesses were still trading three years later, compared with fewer than half in the control group.

Robert Begbie, CEO of Commercial & Institutional Banking at NatWest Group, said the expanded ambition reflects the bank’s confidence in the programme’s effectiveness.

“We know that to build the economy of the future we need to back the innovators who will power it,” he said. “Entrepreneurs are the driving force behind innovation, job creation and long-term economic growth across the UK. By raising our ambition for 2026, we’re reinforcing our commitment to back founders at every stage – from idea to scale-up – and help them turn ambition into sustainable success.”

The commitment was welcomed by government and business groups. Small Business Minister Blair McDougall said the announcement reflected the kind of practical support needed to unlock the potential of small businesses nationwide, while Aaron Asadi, CEO of Enterprise Nation, described NatWest as unmatched among banks in its support for UK entrepreneurs.

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Shevaun Haviland, Director General of the British Chambers of Commerce, added that expanding the Accelerator would give more founders access to the advice and peer networks they need to grow with confidence.

As part of the expansion, NatWest will continue to grow its network of Accelerator hubs and on-campus university partnerships. The bank has already established hubs in collaboration with universities including Manchester, Oxford, York, Brighton and Warwick, and plans to set up hubs in up to ten universities over the next three years.

The Accelerator also delivers structured growth journeys through its UK hub network and via the NatWest Accelerator app, working in partnership with Google to provide access to digital tools, training and specialist expertise. Pitch events and founder forums held across the UK give entrepreneurs opportunities to showcase their businesses, build networks and access funding.

One business to benefit from the programme is Leeds-based production company Mood Films, which launched in 2024 after evolving from a long-standing mentor-mentee relationship into a creative partnership. After joining the NatWest Accelerator, the founders gained access to co-working space, one-to-one coaching and workshops covering funding, sales, marketing and future planning.

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Louis Jones, co-founder and director of photography at Mood Films, said the programme helped the team move from being filmmakers learning the basics of business to confident founders with a clear understanding of how to scale.

“Joining the NatWest Accelerator was one of the best decisions we ever made for our business,” he said. “The support helped us understand every area of the business and gave us the confidence to grow now and into the future.”


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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LakeShore Biopharma’s $0.90 per share going-private deal at risk

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LakeShore Biopharma’s $0.90 per share going-private deal at risk

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Bitcoin falls below $70,000, wiping out post-election gains

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Bitcoin has slipped below the $70,000 mark, erasing the gains made after Donald Trump’s return to the White House, as weakening investor demand and regulatory uncertainty weigh on the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin has slipped below the $70,000 mark, erasing the gains made after Donald Trump’s return to the White House, as weakening investor demand and regulatory uncertainty weigh on the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

The digital asset fell to around $65,600 on Thursday, its lowest level since November 2024, amid a combination of hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve, a slowdown in institutional buying and continued delays in crypto regulation.

Bitcoin had rallied sharply following Trump’s second election victory after he pledged to turn the US into the “crypto capital of the world”, fuelling expectations of lighter regulation and greater political backing for digital assets. However, those hopes have faded as progress on legislation has stalled and central banks have signalled they will keep interest rates higher for longer.

The cryptocurrency is now down around 30 per cent over the past year, as enthusiasm from both retail and institutional investors has cooled. Analysts say delays to US legislation aimed at creating a clear regulatory framework for digital assets have played a key role in undermining confidence.

The so-called Clarity Act, a bipartisan proposal designed to define how cryptocurrencies should be regulated, has been held up by disagreements within the sector and in Congress. In contrast, the UK has set out plans to bring cryptoasset firms under Financial Conduct Authority oversight from 2027, although that framework remains some way off.

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In a research note, analysts at Deutsche Bank said regulatory inertia has slowed the integration of bitcoin into mainstream investment portfolios. They noted that while the recent sell-off looks sharp, it also reflects a retreat from highly speculative gains made over the past two years.

“Despite the recent drop, bitcoin remains around 370 per cent higher than in early 2023,” the bank said, adding that the steady selling suggests traditional investors are losing interest and broader pessimism around crypto is growing.

Created in 2008 by the pseudonymous developer Satoshi Nakamoto, bitcoin has no physical form and exists purely as computer code. Once worth almost nothing, it reached parity with the US dollar in 2011 and has since become the bellwether for the wider crypto market.

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India-owned military supplier opens Swindon manufacturing plant, creating 80 jobs

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It is the company’s second facility at its site at Headlands Grove

Westwire's new facility in Swindon

Westwire’s new facility in Swindon(Image: handout)

A new manufacturing plant that will make electrical harnesses for the military, aerospace and transport sectors has opened in Swindon, creating 80 jobs. Westwire Harnessing designs and produces mission-critical electrical systems used by military aircraft, drones, armoured vehicles and space satellites.

The company, which was established in 1987, is already based in the town and has built its new manufacturing plant opposite its current facility at Headlands Grove.

The new site expands Westwire’s footprint from 10,000 to more than 21,000 sq ft. It also positions the business to double output over the next three years in response to demand from the defence market, the company said.

“Today marks an important milestone for Westwire,” said managing director Andy Russell. “The opening of our new Swindon facility significantly enhances our manufacturing capability and underlines our commitment to delivering innovative, high-quality solutions that support our armed forces.

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“We are proud to create around 80 new skilled jobs in Swindon, providing opportunities for skilled talent in a sector that is vital to the local area.”

Westwire is owned by India-headquartered SASMOS HET Technologies, which acquired the Swindon-based manufacturer in 2021. The acquisition marked the company’s first investment outside India.

Westwire said its parent firm “continues to support the UK operation” with advanced technology transfer and “complementary capabilities”, including fibre optics, photonics, and power management.

Local MP Will Stone said: “Westwire is an important part of Swindon’s industrial fabric. The creation of 80 high-quality jobs is fantastic news for our community and reflects the town’s growing role in advanced manufacturing and the UK defence sector.”

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The announcement comes as defence contractors continue to be drawn to the town.

Last November, German defence firm Stark officially opened a drone factory in Swindon, creating 100 jobs, while Tekever, one of Europe’s top drone manufacturing enterprises, opened its own site in the north of the town in September.

Councillor Jim Robbins, leader of the Borough Council, said at the time the company’s decision was a “huge endorsement” for Swindon.

Another tech company to establish a site in Swindon recently is Munin Dynamics – a drone defence firm founded by a former paratrooper in the Norwegian special forces. And drone business Flyby also announced plans last year to set up in the town.

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Mr Stone previously told the BBC that Swindon’s “very good strategic location” along with its skilled workforce and cheap employment land meant it was an “easy sell” for defence firms.

Its long industrial history, which stretches back to the 1800s, also helps. In the 19th century Great Western Railway helped transform Swindon from a small, Wiltshire market town into an industrial giant with one of the largest railway engineering complexes in the world.

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Is It Really a Good Sign When Executives Buy Their Own Stock? We Ran the Numbers

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Is It Really a Good Sign When Executives Buy Their Own Stock? We Ran the Numbers

Is It Really a Good Sign When Executives Buy Their Own Stock? We Ran the Numbers

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Northern Minerals seeks another AGM deferral amid China concerns

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Northern Minerals seeks another AGM deferral amid China concerns

Northern Minerals is again appealing to the court to further delay its annual general meeting amid concerns about Chinese interference in its share registry and board.

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Aussie shares log worst session since ‘Liberation Day’

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Aussie shares log worst session since ‘Liberation Day’

Australia’s share market has logged its worst session in 10 months, after US tech worries and aftershocks from the precious metals sell-off hammered risk sentiment.

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Head of firm founded by Mandelson to quit after Epstein releases

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Head of firm founded by Mandelson to quit after Epstein releases

Benjamin Wegg-Prosser concluded his association with Lord Mandelson – and references to them both in the Epstein files – was doing the business Global Counsel harm.

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Market Wrap: Sensex adds 266 pts, Nifty above 25,650; Indian rupee logs best week in over 3 years

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Market Wrap: Sensex adds 266 pts, Nifty above 25,650; Indian rupee logs best week in over 3 years
Benchmark indices Nifty and Sensex pared early morning losses to end the day higher on Friday, February 6 as the Indian rupee logged its best week in over 3 years. The Reserve Bank of India left its policy repo rates unchanged at 5.25%. The decision to keep interest rates on hold was also taken “unanimously.” The MPC also left the policy stance as “neutral.”

The BSE Sensex rose 266 points or 0.32% to close the week at 83,580 while the Nifty 50 gained 51 points or 0.20% to end the day at 25,693.

In his address, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the central bank’s inflation outlook remains comfortable, with CPI inflation for FY26 projected at 2.1%, according to Monetary Policy Committee. The central bank expects price pressures to stay broadly contained, reflecting stable domestic conditions and manageable demand trends.

In today’s session, cigarette makers including ITC, Godfrey Phillips and VST Industries surged up to 13% after reports indicated companies had raised prices following the recent tax hike, passing on higher costs to consumers. The rally was also supported by value buying at lower levels after a sharp correction triggered by the cigarette taxation overhaul announced on December 31, which came into effect from February.

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The broader market, represented by the Nifty Midcap and Smallcap 100 indices, ended 0.2% and 0.3% lower, respectively.

Expert views

Indian equity markets traded with a cautious, range-bound bias today as investors digested the central bank’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, reinforcing its preference for stability amid improving global trade visibility following recent U.S. tariff adjustments. Sentiment, however, drew support from regulatory clarity after the RBI indicated that banks would be permitted to lend to REITs, enhancing long-term funding visibility for the real estate and credit ecosystem. On the domestic front, support also came from a slight recovery in the Indian rupee, aided by moderated corporate dollar demand, which helped ease near-term currency concerns, Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money said.

Global Markets

Global markets retreated on Friday as a Wall Street selloff spilled across regions, with volatility hitting precious metals and cryptocurrencies while AI-related concerns weighed on equities. The MSCI All-Country World Index recovered from intraday lows to trade near flat, but it still remained on track for its worst weekly performance since mid-November, down about 1.6%.European markets also opened lower as a busy earnings week drew to a close. The pan-European Stoxx 600 slipped 0.37% in early trade, with most major indices and sectors in negative territory. Share price movements this week were largely driven by corporate updates from major names including LVMH, Novo Nordisk, Shell and several large banking groups, while Friday’s earnings calendar appeared relatively light.

In Asia, equities weakened, with MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan falling 0.7% and heading for a second consecutive day of losses. Japanese markets bucked the trend, with the Nikkei 225 rising 0.8% ahead of the upcoming election, offering some support amid broader regional caution.

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Crude impact

U.S. crude futures extended losses on Friday and were headed for their first weekly decline in several weeks, as easing concerns over Middle-east supply disruptions shifted investor focus to the outcome of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks scheduled in Oman later in the day. Brent crude futures fell 50 cents, or 0.74%, to $67.05 per barrel at 0102 GMT after settling 2.75% lower in the previous session.

Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 52 cents, or 0.82%, to $62.77 per barrel, following a 2.84% drop on Thursday. The continued decline reflects cautious market sentiment as traders assess potential developments from the negotiations and their impact on global oil supply.

Rupee vs Dollar

The Indian rupee closed 0.33% lower at 90.6550 per U.S. dollar, compared with the previous close of 90.3550.

The Indian rupee advanced 1.4% for the week, marking its strongest weekly gain since January 2023.

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(With inputs from agencies)

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Form S-1/A Subversive Bitcoin Acquisition Corp. For: 6 February

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Form S-1/A Subversive Bitcoin Acquisition Corp. For: 6 February

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