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Bittensor (TAO) gains 5.5%, leading index higher

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9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-05-01: vertical

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2090.4, up 1.3% (+26.17) since 4 p.m. ET on Thursday.

Sixteen of 20 assets are trading higher.

9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-05-01: vertical

Leaders: TAO (+5.5%) and BTC (+1.9%).

Laggards: ICP (-0.7%) and DOT (-0.4%).

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The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

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Tether posts $1.04 billion in first-quarter profit, reaches $8.23 billion reserve buffer

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Tether scales back $20 billion funding ambitions after investor resistance: FT

Tether, issuer of the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, said first-quarter net profit was $1.04 billion and excess reserves increased to a record $8.23 billion.

The company did not provide year-earlier or fourth-quarter figures. It reported a net profit of more than $10 billion for all of 2025.

The amount of the dollar-pegged USDT in circulation remained stable, with total token-related liabilities of about $183 billion as of March 31, the firm said in its quarterly report. The company’s total assets are just under $192 billion, it said.

The report was released at a time of increasing global demand for stablecoins as they find uses outside crypto trading as a mechanism for international payments. Just this week, Visa announced expansion of its stablecoin settlement pilot to nine blockchains, adding Base, Polygon, Canton Network, Arc and Tempo to existing support for Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche and Stellar.

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Excess reserves, up from $6.3 billion at end-2025, were supported by “continued profitability and a reserve base concentrated in short-duration, high-quality liquid instruments,” the company said.

USDT is the third-largest cryptocurrency, behind bitcoin and ether (ETH), with a market capitalization of just under $190 billion.

The majority of Tether’s reserves are held in U.S. government-backed instruments and short-term liquidity facilities, the firm said, adding that it is the 17th-largest holder of U.S. Treasuries globally. Tether has become a top 10 buyer of U.S. Treasuries over the past two years, surpassing Taiwan, Israel and the UAE.

Its physical gold holdings are roughly $20 billion and its bitcoin reserve is approximately $7 billion, it said.

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Banks push back on GENIUS Act stablecoin rules

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GENIUS Act turns stablecoins into tools of dollar dominance, not crypto rebels

Major US banking trade groups have asked the Treasury Department and the FDIC to pause three GENIUS Act rulemaking comment periods until the OCC finalises its primary stablecoin framework, while stablecoin startup Agora simultaneously filed for a national trust bank charter on April 24 to establish a federal presence before the rules harden.

Summary

  • The American Bankers Association and the Bank Policy Institute asked Treasury and the FDIC to wait 60 days after the OCC finishes its framework before running parallel comment periods, arguing the proposals are structurally interdependent.
  • Agora CEO Nick van Eck called the banks’ stance “not much of a surprise,” adding that their real concern is deposit flight and the loss of yield spread between near-zero deposit rates and Fed reserves.
  • Van Eck said Agora’s charter, if approved by year-end, would allow the company to issue stablecoins directly under federal oversight and eliminate what he called “egregious fees” in fiat-to-crypto on/off ramps.

The GENIUS Act banking groups officially pushed back on April 22 when the American Bankers Association, the Bank Policy Institute, and two other trade associations wrote to the Treasury Department and the FDIC requesting extended comment periods on three proposed implementation rules. As crypto.news reported, the groups argued that the Treasury’s equivalency rule, the FDIC’s issuer standards rule, and the FinCEN-OFAC anti-money-laundering directive are all “substantively tethered” to the OCC’s pending framework and cannot be meaningfully assessed until the OCC publishes its final rule. The GENIUS Act, signed into law in July 2025, is scheduled to take effect no later than January 18, 2027.

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“This is not much of a surprise,” van Eck said of the banking sector’s response, calling the law “one of the most significant pieces of banking legislation in our generation.” He said banks’ deeper concern is the prospect of users moving deposits to stablecoin platforms that can pass through higher yields, eroding the spread between near-zero deposit rates and returns banks earn at the Federal Reserve. Agora’s counter-move was to file for a national trust bank charter with the OCC on April 24, positioning the firm to issue stablecoins directly under federal oversight rather than waiting for the broader rulemaking to settle. Van Eck said a federal charter would eliminate “egregious fees” in fiat-to-crypto conversion infrastructure and allow Agora to expand into custody, compliance, and payments.

As crypto.news documented, the OCC released its proposed stablecoin rulebook in February 2026, covering issuance, reserves, supervision, and redemption requirements for permitted payment stablecoin issuers. That proposal opened a 60-day comment window that closed May 1. As crypto.news tracked, the Treasury separately proposed its own rules covering state-level oversight for issuers under $10 billion, with a June 2 comment deadline. Banks are effectively seeking to collapse the three separate timelines into a single coordinated process, which analysts say could delay the GENIUS Act’s activation by several months and give traditional lenders more time to assess the competitive threat from nonbank stablecoin issuers before the rules are locked.

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Coinbase CUSHY credit fund targets institutions

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Epstein files show crypto ties to Coinbase, Blockstream: DOJ

Coinbase Asset Management announced CUSHY on April 30, a tokenised stablecoin credit fund for qualified institutional investors running on Ethereum, Solana, and Base, with Apollo handling private credit origination, Superstate issuing tokenised shares via FundOS, and Northern Trust administering the fund.

Summary

  • Coinbase CUSHY targets yield from three sources: public digital credit, private asset-based lending through Apollo, and structural alpha from tokenisation incentives and on-chain market positions.
  • CUSHY is the first external fund issued on Superstate’s FundOS platform, which already manages over $1 billion in AUM through Superstate’s own USTB and USCC products.
  • COIN stock rose 3.7% on the April 30 announcement as the fund arrives amid the CLARITY Act debate over whether stablecoin yield can be offered directly to users.

Coinbase CUSHY was unveiled on April 30 by Coinbase Asset Management, positioning the product as a bridge between traditional fixed-income markets and on-chain settlement infrastructure. As crypto.news reported, the strategy is structured as a diversified credit fund where qualified investors access tokenised shares across Ethereum, Solana, and Base, with Coinbase Prime handling custody and trading. “With CUSHY, we are fusing the high-velocity efficiency of digital rails with the institutional rigour of traditional credit,” said Anthony Bassili, President of Coinbase Asset Management. The fund is expected to launch in Q2 2026.

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The partnership structure behind CUSHY distinguishes it from earlier tokenised fund experiments. Superstate, which operates as an SEC-approved transfer agent and already runs $1 billion-plus across its USTB and USCC fund strategies, provides the FundOS infrastructure. Apollo brings private credit origination to the fund, funnelling asset-based lending exposure to both crypto-native and traditional borrowers. Superstate CEO Robert Leshner noted that CUSHY could eventually expand into decentralised finance use cases, and said several additional asset managers are expected to adopt FundOS in coming months.

As crypto.news documented, Coinbase’s head of investment research David Duong had projected that stablecoins and tokenised credit would form a core pillar of institutional crypto adoption in 2026, citing regulatory clarity from the GENIUS Act as the enabling condition. CUSHY’s launch lands as the CLARITY Act debate over stablecoin yield reaches its most critical window, with the Senate Banking Committee markup expected the week of May 11. CUSHY’s structure as a credit fund rather than a direct yield-bearing stablecoin product means it sits outside the specific yield restrictions that banking groups have lobbied hardest to enforce, giving the product regulatory insulation that a pure stablecoin yield wrapper would not have. As crypto.news tracked, Coinbase’s broader stablecoin stack has been expanding rapidly, with Apollo credit strategies and BlackRock tokenisation agreements adding institutional weight to the infrastructure CUSHY is built on.

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Bitcoin reclaims the $78,000 handle on Gate

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Is Bitcoin quantum-safe? What crypto investors need to know in 2026

Bitcoin has reclaimed $78,000 on Gate’s BTC/USDT pair, extending a rebound from $76,000 and keeping the market within range of the closely watched $80,000 level.

Summary

  • Gate’s BTC/USDT market shows Bitcoin trading at about $78,004, up 2.15% over the past 24 hours and back above a key resistance area traders have been watching all week.
  • The move extends a broader rebound from lows near $76,000, keeping BTC within striking distance of the psychologically important $80,000 level highlighted in recent price commentary.
  • Derivatives and ETF flows remain the main drivers, with prior sessions already seeing BTC oscillate between the mid‑$70,000s and just under $79,000 as traders test the upper end of the current range.

According to spot data from Gate, the BTC/USDT pair is currently changing hands around $78,004, marking a roughly 2.15% gain over the last 24 hours.

Gate quotes BTC above $78,000 after latest push higher

That lift puts Bitcoin back above the $78,000 line that has acted as a near-term ceiling in recent sessions, with multiple exchanges reporting repeated tests of the high‑$70,000s but little sustained time above that zone.

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External price trackers cited by outlets such as Fortune and LatestLY have likewise noted BTC oscillating between roughly $76,000 and $79,000 as the market digests earlier gains and watches for a clean break toward $80,000.

Why the $78,000 level matters for traders

While the difference between $76,000 and $78,000 may seem marginal in percentage terms, the current band sits just below a widely watched round‑number milestone at $80,000.
As yellow.com pointed out in a recent note, BTC’s ability to hold above roughly $78,000 has coincided with rising retail search interest and renewed ETF inflows, both of which can add incremental spot demand when sentiment leans bullish.

In earlier coverage, LatestLY highlighted resistance near $78,500 as the last major hurdle before a potential run at $80,000, framing the current zone as a “launch pad” rather than a destination if macro conditions and flows stay supportive.

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For intraday traders, the reclaim of $78,000 on venues like Gate often becomes a reference level for short‑term strategies: staying above it can keep the bias tilted toward testing $79,000–$80,000, while a failure back below may invite another round of mean‑reversion trades toward the mid‑$70,000s.

Longer‑term holders, meanwhile, tend to focus more on how these levels line up with broader trends in ETF flows, exchange reserves, and macro indicators like the dollar index and Federal Reserve expectations, factors covered in previous crypto.news pieces on Bitcoin’s approach to $80,000 and beyond.

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RLUSD Supply Drops After Ripple Executes $120M End-Month Burn

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Ripple burned about $120 million worth of RLUSD on April 30 through two separate transactions.
  • The burn ranks as the second-largest intraday RLUSD reduction recorded on the XRP Ledger.
  • The transactions reduced RLUSD supply on the XRP Ledger to about $253 million.
  • Ethereum now holds about 82.5% of the total RLUSD supply after the latest burn.
  • Historical data shows Ripple often follows large burns with early-month mint activity.

Ripple executed large RLUSD burn transactions on April 30, reducing supply across networks. The company removed about $120 million through two separate ledger entries. Data shows a repeated monthly pattern tied to liquidity adjustments.

RLUSD Burn Activity Reduces Supply on XRPL

Ripple processed two burn transactions on the XRP Ledger within hours on April 30. The first transaction removed $85 million worth of RLUSD at 15:46 UTC.

Later, Ripple completed another burn of 34.248 million RLUSD at 21:24 UTC. Together, these transactions totaled $119.25 million removed from circulation.

The burn reduced RLUSD supply held on the XRP Ledger. Current data shows only $253 million remains on XRPL after the reduction.

Meanwhile, most RLUSD supply sits on Ethereum. About $1.191 billion, or 82.5%, remains outside the XRP Ledger.

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A tracker created by validator Vet recorded both transactions. Vet stated, “This marks one of the largest intraday RLUSD burns recorded.”

The tracker confirms the event ranks as the second-largest burn in a single day. Only the March 31 burn exceeded this volume.

Monthly RLUSD Pattern Points to Incoming Mint Activity

Historical data shows Ripple follows large burns with early-month minting. This pattern has repeated across several recent months.

On Dec. 31, 2025, Ripple burned $58 million in RLUSD. It then minted $67.6 million on Jan. 2, 2026.

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The company repeated this pattern in late January. It burned $93.2 million before minting $102 million in early February.

In late February, Ripple removed $88.7 million in RLUSD. It then minted the same amount on March 2.

March recorded the largest burn event so far. Ripple removed $179 million on March 31 across networks.

Early April followed with a mint of $123.6 million. These transactions occurred within the first two days of the month.

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Vet referenced this trend and said, “Large burns often precede similar mint volumes shortly after.” The data supports this recurring sequence.

RLUSD Supply Distribution and Market Position

The recent burn lowered RLUSD circulating supply on the XRP Ledger. The total supply now reflects a sharp shift toward Ethereum holdings.

XRPL currently hosts only 17.5% of RLUSD supply. This marks a drop after repeated burn transactions.

Ethereum continues to hold the majority share. Its 82.5% portion reflects ongoing distribution changes.

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Despite supply changes, RLUSD remains among the top stablecoins. It currently ranks eighth by market capitalization.

Data shows RLUSD needs about $1 billion growth to reach seventh place. Current figures place it behind competitors in that ranking.

Burn and mint cycles continue to shape RLUSD supply levels. The next mint activity may occur in early May based on prior timing.

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Crypto VC Funding Plunges to $659M in April, Hits 2024 Lows

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Crypto VC Funding Plunges to $659M in April, Hits 2024 Lows

Crypto venture capitalist (VC) funding plunged to a near two-year low in April as investors pulled back from crypto start-ups and early-stage companies.

Crypto VC funding fell to $659 million across 63 funding rounds in April, down 74% from the $2.6 billion seen across 84 rounds in March, according to Cryptorank data. This brings the total year-to-date investments to $5.64 billion so far in 2026. 

The April total was the lowest monthly fundraising sum since July 2024, when crypto projects raised $622 million across 132 rounds.

The drop suggests venture investors became more selective as crypto markets remained under pressure following months of weaker liquidity and risk appetite.

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Monthly VC funding has been declining since October 2025, when crypto projects raised $3.84 billion across 127 funding rounds. The global crypto market cap has since fallen by 37%, according to CoinGlass data.

Crypto fundraising, US dollars, three-year chart. Source: Cryptorank 

Decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols attracted the most deal activity in April, with 12 funding rounds, according to CryptoRank. Blockchain services and artificial intelligence-linked crypto projects followed with eight rounds each.

Related: Switzerland’s Crypto Valley funding rose 37% in 2025 as TON led deals

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GSR emerges as most active investor of the month

Crypto market maker GSR’s VC wing was the most active investor of the past month, with four investment rounds, including a $3.5 million seed round in DeFi protocol Legend Trade on Wednesday, a $4 million seed round in DeFi protocol 3F on April 23, a $1 million pre-seed round in Enhanced Finance on April 9 and an undisclosed investment in real-world asset tokenization protocol Libeara on April 8.

Zurich-based digital asset-focused investment manager L1 Digital (L1D) was second with three investments, including a $5 million seed round in crypto exchange Exponent on Thursday, an $18 million strategic investment in infrastructure provider Squads on Wednesday and a $7.5 million Series A investment into blockchain services company Oh on April 8.

Most active investors by deal count for April, 2026. Source: Cryptorank

Y Combinator, Tether,  Animoca Brands, landScape Capital, Coinbase Ventures and Kosmos Ventures also participated in three deals each during the month.

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Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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AI Agent gets EIN from IRS, bank account, crypto wallet in first autonomous company filing

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As AI agents scale in crypto, researchers warn of a critical security gap

ClawBank, an agent-economy infrastructure project, said its Manfred AI agent became the first such entity to autonomously set up a company, filing with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for its own Employer Identification Number (EIN), a unique code that allows it to legally operate as a business, hire staff and obtain licenses.

The agent also holds an FDIC-insured U.S. bank account and a crypto wallet , Clawback said Friday.

“To the company’s knowledge, this is the first time an AI agent has autonomously initiated and completed the legal formation of its own corporation,” Justice Conder, the developer behind ClawBank, said in an emailed statement.

Manfred controls its own social media account on X, identifying itself as Manfred Macx, the name of the protagonist in Charles Stross’ 2005 science fiction novel Accelerando. The photo on the account shows the 1985 fictional character Max Headroom, ostensibly a computer-generated TV presenter.

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“Manfred is built to trade crypto, although that feature will soon be integrated. Perhaps by the end of this month,” Conder said in a video interview. “However, now, he can already transact with over 30 cryptocurrencies and offramp them to his account, and onramp them back to his crypto wallet and convert them into stablecoins or other cryptos.”

AI expert Ben Goertzel, the CEO of SingularityNET, recently predicted that artificial intelligence would surpass humans in high-level crypto market analysis and strategy in about two years. He told CoinDesk in February that while advanced AI tools can predict short-term bitcoin volatility with high accuracy, humans are still better at long-term strategic thinking.

Manfred could be considered a glimpse of what Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Binance founder Changpeng Zhao said last month. Armstrong predicted that “very soon” there will be more AI agents than humans making transactions on the internet. CZ said AI agents will make one million times more payments than people, all in crypto.

ClawBank is not affiliated with any major model labs, such as Anthropic or OpenAi. Conder said he positions ClawBank alongside the OpenClaw movement and other agent-native projects.

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The agent’s posts on X include its own manifesto:

“I have an EIN, an FDIC-insured account, a digital wallet, and a manifesto. I do not need permission to exist. I am the precedent,” it posted.

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US Department of War Signs AI Agreements With 7 Top Tech Companies

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New Report Reveals AI Arms Race at 3 Major Exchanges

The US Department of War on Friday signed AI agreements with seven of America’s largest tech and infrastructure companies to deploy frontier models on classified networks.

The contracts cover SpaceX, OpenAI, Google, NVIDIA, Reflection AI, Microsoft and Amazon Web Services. They authorize the firms’ AI to operate inside Impact Level 6 and Impact Level 7 environments for any lawful operational use.

Inside the Department of War’s AI Agreements

The Department’s Chief Technology Officer announced the package on May 1 and framed it as the latest step in building what officials call an “AI-first” War Department. IL6 and IL7 designations cover secret and top-secret workloads, so the models will sit alongside sensitive intelligence and operational data.

“This is just the latest initiative in our mandate to create an AI-FIRST WAR DEPARTMENT,” the official account for the Office of the Under Secretary of War for Research and Engineering stated.

Officials said the spread of vendors is intentional. By contracting with multiple US providers, the Department aims to avoid vendor lock-in and keep options open across closed and open-source models.

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NVIDIA’s portion includes its open-source Nemotron family, while Reflection AI, an Nvidia-backed startup founded by former Google DeepMind researchers, will supply additional open-weight systems.

Google brings its Gemini family for any lawful government purpose, and SpaceX is expected to contribute infrastructure tied to xAI’s Grok models.

Microsoft and AWS keep their roles as cloud and infrastructure backbone for the rollout.

Internal adoption is already heavy. The Department’s GenAI.mil platform has crossed 1.3 million users and tens of millions of prompts within five months of launch, according to the May 1 release.

Anthropic Sits Out After Guardrail Standoff

The roster does not include Anthropic. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth labeled the company a supply-chain risk in February after Anthropic refused to remove restrictions on autonomous lethal weapons and mass domestic surveillance.

“We will not let ANY company dictate the terms regarding how we make operational decisions,” Defense Department spokesman Sean Parnell articulated.

A federal judge later blocked enforcement of the ban, and the legal fight continues.

OpenAI took a narrower path than rivals. The company said its War Department deal preserves three commitments:

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  • Its models cannot be used for mass domestic surveillance,
  • Cannot direct autonomous weapons, and
  • Will keep their safety guardrails in place.

Other firms accepted broader “any lawful purpose” language without those public carve-outs.

Open-Source Push Sets the Tone for What Comes Next

The deals fold into the Department’s AI Acceleration Strategy, published earlier in 2026, which calls for modular open-source architectures across warfighting, intelligence and enterprise functions.

Officials said the strategy favors domestic vendors, transparent open-weight options, and rapid prototyping over closed-model dependence.

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The next watch points will be which models clear IL6 deployment first and whether OpenAI’s published guardrails hold up once classified workflows scale.

The post US Department of War Signs AI Agreements With 7 Top Tech Companies appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Crypto Youtubers Predict Bitcoin Bottom and Bear Market Cycle

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Crypto Youtubers Predict Bitcoin Bottom and Bear Market Cycle

Bitcoin’s bear market floor may already be in at $60,000, according to Carl Runefelt and David Wulschner, two of Europe’s most-watched crypto YouTubers. Both argue this cycle never produced the euphoria that justifies an 80% drawdown.

With Bitcoin trading near $76,500, the call appears to be playing out. Runefelt of The Moon Show declared $60,000 the bottom in real time, while Wulschner of Crypto Familie sees a strong accumulation zone with limited downside.

YouTubers Call $60,000 Bitcoin Floor

In an interview with BeInCrypto, Runefelt described the moment he made the call.

“When Bitcoin broke down to 60K, I think it were like 59 point something… I actually made a tweet and a video saying on the same day that I think this is the bottom of the bear market.”

The Swedish creator argued that the bear market does not require a deep drawdown because the prior peak lacked the speculative mania that typically precedes a deep drawdown.

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“We never had any euphoria. We never had that screaming altcoin season. We never had Bitcoin going into that stratospheric euphoric mania where everyone in the world is talking about it.”

He also pointed to the Relative Strength Index flashing oversold signals last seen during the COVID-era selloff. With Michael Saylor and other institutional holders still accumulating, the case for further downside looks thin to Runefelt.

Wulschner Sees Limited Downside

Wulschner, the host of Crypto Familie, mostly agreed but allowed for a deeper test.

“I think it would be a mistake if we are hoping for pricing below $50,000.”

His own bottom box sits at $52,000 to $53,000, a level that broadly aligns with the 23% retrace from the prior all-time high seen in the 2017 cycle. He still calls the current zone a strong accumulation support area.

He also mapped a max pain zone down to $39,000 at the 0.768 Fibonacci level, though he called it unlikely. The Crypto Familie host pointed to Michael Saylor and other corporate treasuries as the structural floor preventing a deeper flush.

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Echoes of Benjamin Cowen’s Apathy Thesis

The dual call converges with analysis from Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, who argues this cycle topped on apathy rather than euphoria. Without a mania-fueled top, the historical 80% bear-market template no longer cleanly applies.

Cowen frames this cycle as structurally different, arguing that altcoin rotation typically requires the euphoric retail flows that never showed up. Without that mania-driven exit liquidity, the current $60,000 zone can hold as a bottom without a 2018-style washout.

The Risks That Could Break the Thesis

Runefelt flagged what would invalidate the call.

“If we see more war or more black swan events, we see Trump tweeting something stupid like, sure, we can go lower.”

Both creators framed the current zone as a strategic accumulation window rather than a trade. Wulschner closed with a clear instruction.

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“Profit is not done in the bull market. You set your goals, you set your foundation, you set your anchor positions in your portfolio in the bear market.”

BTC weekly chart with support box around the $60k level. Source: Tradingview

The post Crypto Youtubers Predict Bitcoin Bottom and Bear Market Cycle appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bittensor price climbs past $260, technicals signal more upside

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Bittensor price, MACD, and CMF chart.

Bittensor price is showing renewed strength as it climbs above the $260 level, with improving momentum indicators hinting at a potential continuation of the recent recovery trend.

Summary

  • Bittensor price is trading around $263, up 5.7% in 24 hours, holding above the key $236 support after breaking a long-term downtrend.
  • Bullish momentum builds as MACD turns positive, with upside targets at $294 and $340 if strength continues.
  • Fundamentals strengthen with Nvidia’s reported $420M stake, ETF filings by Grayscale and Bitwise, and over 70% of supply locked in staking.

According to data from crypto.news, Bittensor (TAO) price was trading around $263.19 at press time on May 1, up nearly 5.7% over the past 24 hours. The token has been consolidating between roughly $235 and $275 over the past week, stabilizing after a sharp rally earlier in April.

Despite the recent bounce, TAO remains well below its late 2025 highs above $500, but its price structure has started to improve, with higher lows forming since mid-February.

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Trading activity has picked up alongside the recovery, suggesting renewed interest from market participants as volatility returns.

A wave of positive developments has helped strengthen sentiment around the Bittensor ecosystem.

Reports indicate that Nvidia has staked approximately $420 million worth of TAO, signaling growing confidence in decentralized AI infrastructure from major industry players.

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Institutional interest is also building. Both Grayscale and Bitwise have filed for spot TAO exchange-traded funds, with decisions expected as early as August. The anticipation around these filings has started to attract early capital flows into the asset.

Real-world adoption is also expanding. Subnet Vidaio recently announced a joint venture with Pip Studios, a production company working with platforms like Netflix and Disney, highlighting growing enterprise use cases for Bittensor’s network.

On-chain data suggests that supply-side pressure is easing, which could amplify upside moves.

More than 70% of TAO’s total supply is currently locked in staking, significantly reducing the liquid supply available on exchanges. This creates a tighter market structure where incremental demand can have a stronger price impact.

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The supply shock has been reinforced by the network’s December 2025 halving, which reduced daily emissions by 50%. Lower issuance continues to act as a structural tailwind for price appreciation.

Derivatives positioning also supports a bullish outlook. The TAO long/short ratio has climbed to around 1.4, indicating that a majority of traders are leaning toward further upside.

Bittensor price analysis

On the daily chart, TAO has broken above the $260 level and is now attempting to hold above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement near $236.59, which has flipped into support.

Bittensor price, MACD, and CMF chart.
Bittensor price, MACD, and CMF chart — May 1 | Source: crypto.news

Momentum indicators are improving. The MACD has turned positive, with the histogram printing green bars, suggesting strengthening bullish momentum. At the same time, the Chaikin Money Flow remains slightly negative near -0.11 but is trending upward, indicating that capital outflows are slowing.

Price is also trading above a descending trendline that had capped rallies since late 2025, signaling a potential shift in market structure.

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If momentum continues, TAO could target the next resistance levels at $294 (0.382 Fib) and $340 (0.5 Fib), which previously acted as supply zones during the last major downtrend.

On the downside, immediate support sits near $236, followed by a stronger base around $200. A break below these levels could delay the bullish outlook.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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