Crypto World
Solana price risks a dead cat bounce as recent rally lacks volume
Solana’s price has rebounded from key support, but weak volume and heavy overhead resistance raise the risk that the current rally is only a temporary dead cat bounce.
Summary
- $70 high-timeframe support triggered the bounce, but structure remains bearish
- Price is entering major resistance near $87, with VWAP and Fibonacci confluence
- Low volume weakens the rally, raising rejection and downside rotation risk
Solana (SOL) price action has staged a short-term recovery after respecting a major high-timeframe support zone near $70. While the bounce has provided brief relief following sustained selling pressure, the broader technical picture suggests caution is warranted.
The recent advance has occurred on below-average volume and is now approaching a dense cluster of resistance, increasing the probability that this move may be corrective rather than the start of a sustained trend reversal.
As Solana trades higher into key technical barriers, market participants are closely watching whether buyers can generate enough momentum to shift structure, or whether sellers will reassert control and rotate price back toward recent lows.
Solana price key technical points
- $70 high-timeframe support has held, triggering a short-term bounce
- Current price is entering major resistance confluence, including VWAP and Fibonacci
- Low volume undermines the rally, increasing dead cat bounce risk
From a higher-timeframe perspective, the $70 level has proven to be a significant area of demand for Solana. This zone has acted as a structural support level, and the recent defense of this region allowed price to stabilize and push higher on the intraday timeframe. Following the bounce, Solana reclaimed its local point of control, signaling short-term acceptance and encouraging a brief bullish reaction.
However, while the bounce itself is technically valid, it must be viewed within the context of the broader trend. Solana remains in a bearish market structure, and isolated rallies from support do not automatically imply a trend reversal, particularly when other confirming signals are absent.
Resistance confluence caps the upside
As the price moved higher, Solana is now trading into a well-defined resistance zone around the $87 region. This area represents a significant confluence of technical factors, including the value area high, VWAP-based resistance, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the prior decline. Together, these levels form a supply zone where sellers are likely to become active.
Historically, when price rallies into such confluence zones without strong volume confirmation, the probability of rejection increases. This is especially true in bearish market environments, where rallies often serve as opportunities for distribution rather than accumulation.
Weak volume signals fragile rally
One of the most important concerns surrounding the current Solana rally is the lack of bullish volume. Despite the price moving higher, participation has remained below average, suggesting that large buyers have not meaningfully stepped in. In healthy trend reversals, a rising price is typically accompanied by expanding volume, reflecting growing demand and conviction.
In this case, the lack of strong volume suggests the move higher may be driven by short-covering or opportunistic buying rather than sustained accumulation. This dynamic aligns closely with the characteristics of a dead cat bounce — a temporary recovery within a broader downtrend that ultimately fails.
Bearish structure remains intact below resistance
As long as Solana remains below the current resistance cluster, the broader bearish market structure remains unchanged. Failure to reclaim and hold above this zone would keep downside rotation as the higher-probability scenario. A rejection from resistance would likely send the price back toward the $70 support, setting up a potential retest of that level.
Repeated tests of support often weaken demand, increasing the risk of a breakdown if buyers fail to defend the zone convincingly. As a result, how price reacts to any return to $70 will be critical in determining whether Solana can stabilize or if further downside is likely.
What to expect in the coming price action
From a technical, price action, and market structure perspective, Solana’s current rally appears vulnerable. The combination of low volume and heavy resistance overhead suggests that downside risk remains elevated. A rejection near current levels would favor a rotation back toward $70, keeping the bearish structure intact.
For the outlook to improve meaningfully, Solana would need to break above resistance with strong volume confirmation and sustain acceptance at higher value. Until that occurs, traders should treat the current move cautiously and remain focused on price behavior as Solana navigates this critical resistance zone.
Proponents of AI agents say the new technology will simplify crypto trading and other financial activities for the average user.
AI platform ai.com, founded by Crypto.com co-founder and CEO Kris Marszalek, announced on Friday that it will be launching an autonomous AI agent for retail consumers.
The agentic AI will be able to execute functions including trading stocks, workflow automation and simple tasks like calendar updates and managing changes to online social profiles, according to an announcement from the company.
The agents will feature segregated user data, secured by encryption keys unique to each user, and run according to user-set restrictions on what the agent is allowed to do, the announcement said.
AI agents have garnered significant attention from users over the last year. About one quarter (23%) of respondents surveyed by investment research firm McKinsey indicated that their organizations were expanding the use of AI agents, according to a November report from the company.
The growth of autonomous AI agents can automate crypto trading strategies and wallet management, removing the technical barrier-to-entry for new users unfamiliar with blockchain systems and onchain transaction execution, proponents of the technology say.
Related: Crypto dev launches website for agentic AI to ‘rent a human’
How agentic AI can remove the barrier to entry for cryptocurrencies and Web3
These technical barriers include choosing the correct blockchain network and token protocols to send funds to, and complex user interfaces that are harder to navigate for new users, according to Jonathan Farnell, CEO of crypto exchange Freedx.
Agentic AI can abstract away the technical complexity of cryptocurrencies by selecting the cheapest and fastest execution pathways and simplifying stablecoin usage, according to Tether co-founder Reeve Collins.
This can include optimization for arbitrage or yield-bearing opportunities, Collins told Cointelegraph.
“When AI is integrated, all of the complexity in this space will be gone,” Collins said, adding that autonomous AI agents will allow users to hold and navigate larger portfolios of increasingly diverse token standards.
Magazine: Why AI sucks at freelance work and real-life tasks: AI Eye
Crypto World
Michael Saylor’s Strategy’s (MSTR) big Q4 loss looks dramatic, but bitcoin would have to fall below $8K to trigger trouble
Wall Street analysts covering Strategy (MSTR) broadly agree on one point after the company’s fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday: the headline losses look dramatic, but they do not signal a liquidity crisis or forced bitcoin selling.
Strategy reported a $17.4 billion operating loss and a $12.6 billion net loss for the quarter, figures driven largely by non-cash mark-to-market accounting tied to bitcoin’s price decline. Both TD Cowen and Benchmark said the market reaction missed that context, sending shares down about 17% on a day when bitcoin and other risk assets were already under pressure.
Shares are higher by 21% on Friday as bitcoin climbs from yesterday’s low of $60,000 to back above $70,000.
The two analysts agree the core debate centers on solvency, not profitability. Strategy holds 713,502 bitcoin, worth nearly $50 billion at current prices, against about $8.2 billion in convertible debt. Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer said the company would only face true balance-sheet stress if bitcoin fell below $8,000 and stayed there for years. Management emphasized on the earnings call that none of its debt carries covenants or triggers tied to bitcoin’s price or its average purchase cost.
TD Cowen’s Lance Vitanza also focused on the durability of the capital structure. He argued that Strategy was built to amplify bitcoin’s volatility by design, with common equity trading at roughly 1.5 times bitcoin’s swings. That leverage cuts both ways. Vitanza said the company’s $2.25 billion cash reserve and staggered debt maturities mean there is no reasonable scenario where Strategy would be forced to sell bitcoin in the near term, even if prices remain depressed.
Where analysts differ is less about risk and more about framing. TD Cowen leaned into Strategy’s role as a “digital credit engine,” highlighting its growing preferred equity business and the liquidity of its STRC preferred stock, which pays an 11.25% annualized dividend. Benchmark placed more weight on bitcoin’s long-term price path and the optionality embedded in Strategy’s equity if bitcoin rallies.
Both firms remain constructive on the stock. Benchmark reiterated a Buy rating with a $705 price target, based on a sum-of-the-parts model that assumes bitcoin reaches $225,000 by the end of 2026. TD Cowen also maintained a Buy rating, arguing that Strategy remains one of the most efficient ways for investors to gain leveraged bitcoin exposure outside of ETFs, though it did not disclose a specific price target in its note.
For a brief moment, the digital asset treasury (DAT) was Wall Street’s bright, shiny object.
But in 2026, the novelty has worn off.
The star of the “passive accumulator” has dimmed, and rightly so. Investors have realized that simply announcing a bitcoin purchase is no longer a magic trick that guarantees stock appreciation. The easy money trade is over.
But this cooling-off period is not a death knell; it is a reckoning. It is stripping away the hype to reveal a stark reality: Dozens of public operating companies are attempting to transform themselves into unregulated hedge funds—often without the risk architecture of a fund or the governance standards of a public company.
The playbook was alarmingly simple: raise capital, accumulate cryptocurrency, and pray for appreciation.
But as a securities attorney and CEO who has overseen more than $5 billion in capital raises, including as the General Counsel to MARA Holdings during its run to a $6 billion valuation, I know that accumulation is not a sound business strategy. It’s a crapshoot. And as we approach annual reporting deadlines, the bill for those bets is coming due.
If the DAT sector is to mature from a speculative frenzy and gain credibility as a respected fintech strategy, we must stop treating governance as an afterthought. It must be the foundation.
The risk of the “blind buy”
The prevailing DAT model has been defined by a singular mandate: raise cash, buy assets, hold. While this works in a bull market, it exposes shareholders to catastrophic downside in a bear market or during times of volatility, as we’ve all seen recently.
Without a clear, articulated strategy for why a specific asset is being chosen or how liquidity will be managed, these companies are essentially gambling with shareholder value. Both retail and institutional investors are beginning to ask harder questions. They are no longer satisfied with“we believe in crypto.” They want to know: How are you balancing capital allocation? What are the specific risks of the protocol you are invested in, and what are you doing in terms of risk mitigation? If the current strategy stalls, do you have a plan B?
A fair number of periodic reports filed by DATs today appear to offer generic boilerplate risk factors. They tend to reiterate warnings about volatility and hacking, but fail to address the idiosyncratic risks of their specific treasury assets. This is where the new generation of DATs will need to distinguish themselves to survive and be competitive.
Using the annual report as a storytelling tool
As reporting deadlines loom, management and counsel at DATs need to revamp their filings. For instance, the Risk Factor section of a 10-K should not be a regurgitation of every risk factor that has appeared on EDGAR, the SEC’s primary digital database; it should be a thoughtful assessment of realistic short- and long-term risks, specifically addressing the issuer’s business at hand.
A mature DAT must move beyond the basics and explain the trade-offs transparently. Investors deserve to know why a dollar is going into AVAX (or BTC) versus R&D or marketing, and exactly how the company generates solid revenue streams outside of asset appreciation to keep the lights on during a crypto winter. Furthermore, companies must disclose the specific protection mechanisms and controls they have in place to prevent the treasury from becoming a single point of failure.
The “governance alpha”
The next wave of successful DATs will be defined by their governance architectures. This isn’t just about regulatory compliance; it is about shareholder trust and the fulfillment of fiduciary duty.
We recently navigated this at AVAX One. We recognized the insufficiency of simply announcing a pivot to a DAT model, which meant going to our shareholders—the true owners of the capital—and asking for explicit approval for our digital asset strategy.
The result was telling. Over 96% of voting shareholders approved the move. This was not just a vote for another crypto treasury. It was a vote mandating a governance strategy for crypto.
It gave us a license to operate that “blind buy” DATs simply do not have, and we intend to use that mandate to support fintech through utilizing the Avalanche ecosystem.
The regulatory shield
Finally, we cannot ignore the SEC and the broader regulatory landscape. While many in the industry view regulation as a hindrance, for a public DAT, it is a necessary and welcome shield.
SEC disclosure obligations force a level of transparency that protects shareholders from the worst excesses of the crypto market. It is a strong tool that enables public DATs to distinguish themselves from opaque private entities.
By embracing these obligations rather than doing the bare minimum to scrape by, we build a moat of credibility and provide verifiable behavior and safety assurance.
We are entering a new phase. The “wild west” days of treasury management are ending. The market will soon punish those who are merely collecting coins and reward those who are building durable, governed financial fortresses.
Your annual report is your final term paper, and market reaction is your report card. Make sure you’ve done your homework.
002
Welcome back to Inside DeFi
It’s been an especially painful week for crypto markets and DeFi. So bad, in fact, that even the FT was reduced to posting wojaks with the rest of us.
With bitcoin dipping below the previous cycle’s peak, and ether (ETH) sub-$2,000, it may feel like there’s not much further to fall. But remember, even when down 99%, there’s still another 99% to go.
The bloodbath has also seen DeFi’s TVL drop to under $100 billion for the first time since May last year. Reactions ranged from sober doomerism to gallows humor.
Charts aside, InsideDeFi 003 returns to catch up with the week’s goings on.
Security scares
The week was, despite the ugly backdrop, thankfully light on DeFi hacks, with just two significant incidents. A failed attempt at a third was spotted and publicly mocked on-chain.
On Friday, an “arbitrary call vulnerability” in one of Gyroscope’s cross-chain contracts allowed a hacker to grant themself “full allowance to the escrow’s GYD holdings.”
Around $700,000 was lost, a third of which Gyroscope later decided to offer to the exploiter as a bounty.
A larger attack then hit CrossCurve’s bridge on Sunday. BlockSec put the losses, estimated at $2.7 million, down to an “authorization bypass,” while a post-mortem report from MixBytes claimed $1.4 million.
Puzzle Network’s founder has claimed that $700,000 of his own funds were amongst the losses in an on-chain message.
In a series of subsequent messages, he continued to request the return of his funds, even offering to buy the exploiter a beer in exchange.
According to Spearbit researcher “sujith,” the same attack vector had been previously identified but the report was dismissed as “invalid.”
While not a smart contract hack, a significantly larger loss affected the so-called frontpage of Solana, Step Finance, on Friday.
Read more: 2025’s biggest crypto hacks: From exchange breaches to DeFi exploits
A later update confirmed that approximately $40 million worth of assets were drained from the project’s treasury after executives’ devices were compromised.
Almost $5 million was subsequently recovered.
MetaMask’s Taylor Monahan implied that the theft was tied to a spate of incidents linked to hijacked Telegram accounts which, she estimates, is responsible for a total of over $300 million of losses, so far.
In better news, The DAO’s Griff Green followed up last week’s announcement of a 75,000 ETH security fund with a whitehat operation on a decade-old The DAO contract, rescuing a further 50 ETH to be added to the pot.
Read more: The DAO hacked again, but this time it’s the good guys
L2s left behind?
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin made a lengthy post on Tuesday, arguing that “the original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path.”
He pointed to drastic improvements in mainnet scaling (which are set to continue, 1,000-fold), along with the slow progress on L2 decentralization, as evidence that L2s must offer a specific “value add” to remain relevant.
He followed up, underlining that pursuing more “copypasta” EVM L2s and chains is a “dead end” and suggesting that networks offering something specific, such as “privacy, app-specific efficiency [or] ultra-low latency” should be the goal.
For all his confidence in Ethereum’s future, reportedly dumping $13 million on-chain definitely didn’t do ETH sentiment any favors.
Perhaps waiting to sell until after using a mixer would be preferable in future.
Elsewhere in L2 land, a few days before Vitalik’s comments, Base suffered its latest bout of disruption, with “intermittent transaction inclusion delays.”
An incident report clarifies that, over a period of two hours and 26 minutes, approximately 80% of transactions (2.1 million) were dropped.
The network’s status page registers an outage of 11 minutes on January 31.
Transaction inclusion delays were again showing on February 5, leading to a mempool upgrade. Delays are currently ongoing, with improvements including a “transaction propagation redesign” expected to take “four to six weeks.”
Read more: Coinbase Base network halts for 44 minutes due to ‘unsafe head delay’
AAVE whale in danger
Also on Thursday, all eyes turned to a highly leveraged whale, borrowing $28 million USDC against AAVE tokens.
As prices dropped, the position entered dicey territory, which would lead to further pain for AAVE holders if liquidated.
Against the backdrop of an ongoing debate over future control of the Aave brand, the assumption the position belonged to Aave founder Stani Kulechov was apparently too tempting for some to resist.
Parallels to the DeFi founder playbook of aggressively borrowing stables against their own project’s governance tokens, especially given this week’s news of Kulechov’s purchase of a £22 million London mansion, were hard to miss.
However, Kulechov roundly denied the position was him, insisting he stakes his AAVE rather than borrowing against it.
Read more: AAVE whale crashes token 10% amid ‘disgraceful’ governance vote
Most notably, Curve Finance’s Michael Egorov used this approach long term, whilst buying up a pair of luxury properties in Melbourne.
After striking a gentleman’s agreement in the wake of 2023’s Curve hack, Egorov managed to dodge disaster before ultimately being stung in a $20 million liquidation cascade in June 2024.
Rune Christensen of Sky (formerly Maker) also uses the same approach, which occasionally leads to its own governance dramas.
Kulechov though, with no need to worry about getting liquidated, instead celebrated the protocol’s resiliency at scale, after over $450 million was liquidated this week.
Cambodia scam compound crackdown ongoing
News out of Cambodia continues to outline the sheer scale of the nationwide crackdown on online “pig butchering” scam syndicates.
The widespread disruption has led to over 100,000 foreigners leaving the country since the beginning of the year, according to local media reports, citing the country’s Secretariat of Commission for Combating Technology Crimes.
Authorities claim to have shut down 190 locations, including 44 casinos, across the country and made over 2,500 arrests.
Additionally, almost 500 people, mostly Chinese and Philippine nationals, have reportedly been deported, though it’s unclear how many of these cases were related to the scamming industry.
As well as raids on compounds, the organizations involved have been hit with high profile arrests and executions of leaders in China.
The operations are now rumored to be on the move, with Sri Lanka being the next destination.
TLDR:
- HYPE price rises to $33.98 with a 5.69% gain in the last 24 hours, showing strong market activity.
- Weekly gains reach 13.52%, signaling increasing investor confidence and positive market momentum.
- $1.25B trading volume indicates high liquidity and sustained active participation from traders.
- Accumulation zones and chart structure support potential continued upward price movement.
The price of Hyperliquid (HYPE) is $33.98 today with a 24‑hour trading volume of $1,256,990,922. This represents a 5.69% increase in the last 24 hours and a 13.52% gain over the past week.
HYPE’s current trading dynamics underscore heightened trading activity and renewed interest in the asset’s trend trajectory.
Shorting Strength and Accumulation Setup
HYPE reached $50 after moving along the upper boundary of a rising channel. Momentum indicators clearly showed weakening strength, and repeated attempts to push higher were met with selling pressure.
This structure allowed traders to identify a short opportunity at $50. The short strategy targeted the $20 demand zone while ignoring intraday noise and social sentiment.
Price respected this zone precisely, resulting in a 60% decline. Spot trading without leverage ensured risk remained controlled, demonstrating disciplined execution instead of emotional reaction.
After the price drop, HYPE entered the $20–$15 accumulation zone. This region coincided with previous high-volume support levels and long-term structural lows.
Retail sentiment had incorrectly anticipated further declines to much lower levels, but the chart indicated selling pressure was nearly exhausted.
Price began consolidating and absorbing supply, confirming this as an optimal accumulation point. Buyers could establish positions without chasing price, allowing a stress-free entry.
This accumulation phase reinforced the importance of timing trades according to structure rather than market noise.
Shorting into strength and identifying the accumulation zone together formed a high-probability setup. Traders following trend channels and structural support avoided emotional trading and ensured disciplined entry points, laying the foundation for the next phase of the cycle.
Long Flip and Controlled Bullish Expansion
Once short profits were secured, the bias flipped long at $20. Traders maintained spot positions without leverage, reducing risk and avoiding unnecessary stress.
Price steadily advanced to $35–$38, achieving an 86% gain from the accumulation entry. February derivatives data showed OI-weighted funding rates largely positive, signaling sustained bullish participation.
Occasional red dips coincided with minor pullbacks, which were quickly absorbed as the price reclaimed higher levels. This pattern reflected a balanced and controlled market expansion.
Funding spikes near the $35–$38 zone remained contained. This indicated market participants were positioning for continuation rather than overleveraging.
Price respected structure while forming higher lows and reclaiming mid-channel ranges, creating a predictable environment for trend-following traders.
This phase highlights disciplined execution. Controlled entries based on accumulation, trend channels, and monitoring derivatives data ensure stress-free, sustainable gains.
Traders following this structured approach benefited from predictable price action while minimizing risk.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Remittix gains attention with live utility and 300% bonus, attracting selective investors amid market turbulence.
Summary
- Remittix leads the crypto rotation with live PayFi utility, a 300% bonus, and $28.9m raised in private funding.
- Built on Ethereum, Remittix targets $19 trillion cross-border payments, enabling real-time crypto-to-fiat transfers globally.
- Investor confidence rises as Remittix completes CertiK audit, ranks top on Skynet, and secures BitMart and LBank listings.
This week in Crypto has been characterized by heavy selling on centralized exchanges as Bitcoin dropped to new lows in 2026 following the violation of key support levels. Risk appetite has calmed down a lot, and fund managers of top institutions are also rebalancing their portfolios as macroeconomic challenges continue to hit many digital assets.
The majority of altcoins have followed the same free-fall Bitcoin has shown, and with correction taking place, capital flows now paint a more stratified image. An increasing number of investors are choosing to place selective investments in projects that show real progress, solid schedules, and strong asymmetric potential.
One name now dominating that rotation is Remittix, a PayFi-focused Ethereum protocol that is rapidly gaining attention thanks to a rare combination of live utility and a time-limited 300% bonus window that analysts say materially changes the short-term risk-reward profile.
Remittix’s PayFi model is built for real adoption, not market cycles
Remittix is positioning itself squarely at the intersection of crypto and real-world finance. Built on Ethereum, the protocol is here to bridge the inefficiencies that businesses and individuals encounter when trying to send money internationally.
The top Defi project is on course to become one of the biggest players in the $19 trillion global cross-border payments market, enabling direct crypto-to-fiat transfers with real-time settlement to bank accounts in 30+ countries, providing real-time utility to businesses, merchants, and individual clients. This execution-only strategy is among the reasons why investor interest has been so strong despite the broader markets retreating.
Strong backing has also helped boost confidence. According to recent reports, Remittix has already raised over $28.9 million in private capital, which reflects continued involvement of institutional and high-net-worth investors.
On the exchange front, listings on BitMart and LBank are already confirmed, with additional centralized exchange discussions reportedly ongoing. From a security standpoint, the project has completed a full CertiK audit and currently holds a leading pre-launch ranking on CertiK Skynet, adding an independent layer of credibility at a time when trust matters.
Remittix latest bonus incentive fuels aggressive capital influx
While infrastructure and adoption underpin the long-term thesis, near-term momentum around Remittix is being driven by its active deposit incentive tied to the native RTX token. According to official project updates, participants can receive up to a 300% bonus on qualifying deposits, one of the most aggressive incentive structures currently available in the market.
This dynamic is why some analysts suggest scenarios where relatively modest capital allocations can be meaningfully amplified during the campaign window. With the bonus applied, a $5,000 deposit can translate into substantially higher effective token exposure, creating a setup that many market commentators have described as unusually favorable under current conditions.
Additional factors reinforcing momentum include:
- Confirmed listings on BitMart and LBank
- Live crypto-to-fiat settlement across 30+ countries
- A growing and active global holder community
- A functional Remittix wallet is already live
- A clear roadmap centered on measurable PayFi adoption
February 9, 2026 PayFi launch anchors the long-term thesis
Beyond the bonus-driven surge, Remittix has confirmed that its full PayFi platform will officially go live on February 9, 2026. That milestone provides a concrete timeline, something increasingly valued as markets mature and speculative narratives lose favor.
As volatility reshapes capital allocation strategies, investors are becoming more selective. Projects with audited security, working products, exchange access, and real-world relevance are increasingly separated from the noise. With its PayFi infrastructure already live and a limited-time bonus amplifying early exposure, Remittix is being framed less as a short-term trade and more as a calculated positioning play ahead of broader adoption.
For more information, visit the official website, and socials.
Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
XRP price remains vulnerable to further downside as unresolved single-print imbalances continue to exert technical pressure toward the $0.50 support zone.
Summary
- Value area low has been lost, confirming bearish continuation
- Single-print imbalance remains unfilled, acting as a downside magnet
- $0.50 is critical support, where a potential macro pivot may form
XRP (XRP) price action has turned decisively bearish following an impulsive move to the downside, with structural weakness continuing to dominate the chart. After losing key value levels, the market has failed to regain bullish control, despite short-lived buying reactions.
From a long-term perspective, XRP appears to be trading within a broader corrective phase, with unfinished price structures remaining exposed below current levels.
One of the most notable technical features influencing the current outlook is the presence of a single-print candle imbalance. This structure, which often acts as a magnet for price, suggests that XRP may need to trade lower to complete unfinished auction activity before any meaningful macro pivot can occur.
XRP price key technical points
- Value area low has been lost, confirming bearish continuation
- Single-print imbalance remains partially unfilled, creating downside magnet
- $0.50 marks the base of the single-print structure, a critical high-timeframe level
XRP’s decline accelerated after the price failed to hold above the value area low, a key indication that buyers were unable to maintain acceptance at higher prices. Once this level was lost, the price fell aggressively, producing a bearish impulse that established a new swing low around $1.11.
Although price has since printed a buying tail, suggesting short-term demand, this reaction has not altered the broader market structure. Lower highs and weak follow-through continue to define price behavior, indicating that any upside moves remain corrective rather than trend-changing. As long as XRP remains below reclaimed value, downside risk stays elevated.
Understanding the single-print candle imbalance
Single-print candles occur when price moves rapidly through a zone without sufficient two-way trade, leaving behind an area of inefficiency. From a market profile and auction theory perspective, these zones are often revisited as price seeks to rebalance and complete unfinished business.
In XRP’s case, a high-timeframe single-print structure has been exposed, with only part of the imbalance filled during the recent decline. The upper portion of the single prints has already been retraced, but the base of the structure remains open. This unfinished area is located near the $0.50 level, creating a strong technical incentive for price to rotate lower.
Historically, markets show a high probability of revisiting these imbalances, particularly when broader structure aligns with bearish momentum, as is currently the case with XRP.
$0.50 emerges as a critical support zone
The $0.50 region is not only the base of the single-print candle but also aligns with a high-timeframe support zone. This convergence increases the importance of this level and makes it a key decision point for the market.
A move toward $0.50 would likely represent a continuation of the current corrective phase rather than a breakdown into uncharted territory. Such moves are often necessary to flush remaining weak hands and reset positioning before a potential macro pivot can form.
However, reaching support does not automatically imply a reversal. The reaction quality at $0.50, including volume expansion, rejection wicks, and structural behavior, will ultimately determine whether XRP can form a durable bottom or continue consolidating at lower levels.
What to expect in the coming price action
From a technical, price-action, and market-structure perspective, XRP remains biased toward further downside until the exposed single-print imbalance is fully resolved. The $0.50 level stands out as the most likely target for this rebalancing process and a zone where the market may attempt to establish a macro pivot.
If price reaches this level and shows strong acceptance and demand, it could mark the beginning of a broader base-building phase. Conversely, a weak reaction or continued acceptance below support would suggest prolonged consolidation before any sustained recovery.
For now, XRP remains structurally weak despite a short-term balance, with incomplete auction dynamics favoring a continuation of the lower trend. Traders should closely monitor how price behaves as it approaches the $0.50 region, as this area is likely to define the next major phase of XRP’s market cycle.
Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin’s derivatives signal caution, with the options skew hitting 20% as traders fear another wave of fund liquidations.
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Bitcoin price recovered some of its Thursday losses, but it still struggles to match the gains of gold or tech stocks amid low leverage demand.
Bitcoin (BTC) has gained 17% since the $60,150 low on Friday, but derivatives metrics suggest caution as demand for upside price exposure near $70,000 remains constrained. Traders fear that the liquidations of $1.8 billion of leveraged bullish futures contracts in five days indicate that major hedge funds or market makers may have blown up.
Unlike the Oct. 10, 2025, market collapse that culminated with a record $4.65 billion liquidation of Bitcoin futures, the recent price weakness has been marked by three consecutive weeks of downside pressure. Bulls have been adding positions between $70,000 and $90,000, as aggregate futures open interest increased despite forceful contract liquidations due to insufficient margins.
The aggregated Bitcoin futures open interest on major exchanges totaled 527,850 BTC on Friday, virtually flat from the prior week. Although the notional value of those contracts dropped to $35.8 billion from $44.3 billion, the 20% change perfectly reflects the 21% Bitcoin price decline in the seven-day period. Data indicates that bulls have been adding positions despite the steady price decline.
To better understand if whales and market makers have turned bullish, one should assess the BTC futures basis rate, which measures the price difference relative to regular spot contracts. Under neutral circumstances, the premium should range between 5% and 10% annualized to compensate for the longer settlement period.
The BTC futures basis rate dropped to 2% on Friday, the lowest level in more than a year. The lack of demand for bullish leverage is somewhat expected, but bulls will take longer than users to regain confidence even as Bitcoin price breaks above $70,000, especially considering that BTC is still 44% below its all-time high.
Bitcoin derivatives metrics signal extreme fear
Traders’ lack of conviction in Bitcoin is also evident in the BTC options markets. Excessive demand for put (sell) options is a strong indicator of bearishness, pushing the skew metric above 6%. Conversely, when fear of missing out kicks in, traders will pay a premium for call (buy) options, causing the skew metric to flip negative.
The BTC options skew metric reached 20% on Friday, a level that rarely persists and typically represents market panic. For comparison, the skew indicator stood at 11% on Nov. 21, 2025, following a 28% price correction to $80,620 from the $111,177 peak reached twenty days earlier. Since there is no specific catalyst for the current downturn, fear and uncertainty have naturally intensified.
Related: What’s really weighing on Bitcoin? Samson Mow breaks it down
Traders are likely to continue speculating that a major market maker, exchange, or hedge fund may have gone bankrupt, and this sentiment erodes conviction and implies a high probability of further price downside. Consequently, the odds of sustained bullish momentum remain low while BTC derivatives metrics continue to signal extreme fear.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto’s latest sell-off isn’t just a price story. It’s showing up on balance sheets, inside spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and even in how infrastructure gets used when markets turn.
This week, Ether’s (ETH) slide is leaving treasury-heavy companies nursing massive paper losses, while Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs are giving a new wave of investors their first real taste of downside volatility.
At the same time, extreme weather is reminding miners that hash rate still depends on power grids, and a former crypto miner-turned-AI darling shows how yesterday’s mining infrastructure has quietly become today’s AI backbone.
This week’s Crypto Biz newsletter breaks down BitMine Immersion Technologies’ widening paper losses, BlackRock Bitcoin ETF investors slipping underwater and the impact of a US winter storm on public miner production.
BitMine’s ETH paper losses widen
BitMine Immersion Technologies, chaired by Tom Lee, is facing mounting paper losses on its Ether-heavy treasury as ETH slid below $2,200 during the latest crypto sell-off.
The decline has pushed the company’s unrealized losses past $7 billion, underscoring the risks tied to balance sheets built around volatile digital assets.
BitMine currently holds about $9.1 billion worth of Ether, including a recent purchase of 40,302 ETH, leaving the company highly exposed to further price swings.
While the losses remain unrealized unless assets are sold, they highlight the fragility of crypto treasury strategies when markets turn lower. Lee has pushed back on the criticism, arguing that unrealized losses are inherent to ETH-holding companies. “BitMine is designed to track the price of ETH,” he said, adding that in a downturn, ETH weakness is to be expected.
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF holders slip underwater
As Bitcoin crashed below $80,000, aggregate returns for investors in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) turned negative, highlighting the depth of the recent selloff and its impact on investor portfolios.
According to Unlimited Funds chief investment officer Bob Elliott, the average dollar invested in IBIT is now underwater. Bitcoin has since extended its decline below $75,000, adding further pressure to returns.
IBIT was one of BlackRock’s most successful ETF launches, becoming the asset manager’s fastest fund to reach $70 billion in assets. Those investors are now getting a firsthand lesson in Bitcoin’s volatility, especially when price action moves decisively to the downside.
US winter storm slams Bitcoin production
A powerful winter storm sweeping across the US in late January forced Bitcoin miners to sharply curtail production, underscoring how sensitive mining remains to energy grid stress during extreme weather.
New data from CryptoQuant shows daily output from public miners averaged about 70 to 90 BTC before the storm, then plunged to just 30 to 40 BTC at the height of the disruption. The drop was abrupt, reflecting widespread shutdowns as miners reduced load or went offline to avoid strain on local power grids.
The slowdown proved temporary. As weather conditions improved, production began to recover, highlighting the flexibility miners retain but also the volatility introduced by grid-dependent operations.
The CryptoQuant data tracks publicly listed miners, including CleanSpark, MARA Holdings, Bitfarms and Iris Energy, offering a snapshot of how large-scale US mining operations respond when power becomes scarce.
CoreWeave shows how crypto infrastructure became AI’s data center backbone
CoreWeave’s evolution from crypto miner to AI infrastructure provider offers a clear example of how mining-era hardware is being repurposed for the AI boom, highlighting how computing resources migrate across technology cycles.
According to The Miner Mag, Ethereum’s shift from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake sharply reduced demand for GPU-based mining, pushing CoreWeave and similar operators to pivot toward AI and high-performance computing.
While CoreWeave no longer operates as a crypto company, its transition has become a blueprint for other miners exploring diversification, including HIVE Digital, Hut 8 and MARA Holdings.
CoreWeave’s pivot gained new prominence after Nvidia agreed to a $2 billion equity investment in the company, reinforcing the idea that infrastructure built for crypto mining is now forming a critical layer of AI’s data center backbone.
Crypto Biz is your weekly pulse on the business behind blockchain and crypto, delivered directly to your inbox every Thursday.
Amid the market uncertainty, Bitcoin shed over 20% in the past week alone.
Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao sparked a flurry of responses on Monday after tweeting “Poor again” following Bitcoin’s decline to $60,000 in early Asian trading hours on Friday.
The comment came amid controversy over Binance’s role in last weekend’s market turbulence, including a sharp sell-off that briefly pushed Bitcoin below $75,000.
Retail Frustration Boils Over
CZ’s remark ignited a wave of responses from investors. One of the most pointed reactions came from popular crypto commentator, pseudonymously known as “Nebraskangooner,” who tweeted,
“You dumped the market, and now you’re mocking everyone for being poor? Weird flex.”
His response echoed frustration from retail investors who suffered losses while speculation circulated that Binance may have influenced the market decline. Earlier this week, CZ had addressed multiple allegations he labeled as “pretty imaginative FUD,” as he denied claims that Binance sold $1 billion in Bitcoin to trigger the sell-off and countered criticism that he single-handedly “canceled the crypto supercycle.”
He clarified that Binance’s wallet balances indicate user deposits and withdrawals, not proprietary trading, and explained that the conversion of the exchange’s SAFU fund from stablecoins to Bitcoin would be executed gradually over 30 days.
CZ also joked that if he had the power to control the supercycle, he would be “snapping his fingers all day long.” Despite these explanations, Nebraskangooner’s response points to the ongoing tension between retail investors and large exchanges. Several crypto community members also blamed Binance for last year’s October 10 crash, which wiped out billions in leveraged positions. Industry peers, including OKX founder Star Xu, had also pointed fingers at Binance following the event.
Dismantling Fake Accounts
The former Binance CEO recently dismantled a long-running misinformation campaign targeting him and the exchange. The campaign centered on a fake account named “Wei 威 BNB,” which posed as a loyal supporter but posted critical content about Binance. The account, which had 863,000 followers and used images from a BNB Chain event, initially appeared legitimate.
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CZ, however, revealed that photos showing him and Binance executive Yi He were altered, and one image featured him wearing a shirt color he does not own. The account’s history also suggested it had either been hacked or sold, as it originally posted only female photos before abruptly switching to crypto content in 2015. CZ called the campaign “lazy” and said it likely came from a competitor more focused on undermining Binance than running their own business.
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