Almost 7,000 responses were received

Belfast Live readers would vote overwhelmingly to remain in the United Kingdom if a border poll were held tomorrow, according to our latest reader poll.

6,955 responses were recorded in our reader poll between 18th and 26th March.

Of those respondents, 57 per cent (3981) said that they would vote to remain in the United Kingdom if a border poll were held tomorrow. 40 per cent (2781) said that they would vote for a united Ireland, 2 per cent (161) were undecided, while less than half a per cent (32) would not vote.

What the results tell us and what they could hide

Analysing the results, Prof. Fidelma Ashe from Ulster University said: “The question of a border poll has become heavily focused on numbers, reflecting the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement’s provision that the Secretary of State should call a poll when it appears likely, in his judgement, that a majority would express a wish for a change in Northern Ireland’s constitutional status.

“That provision helps explain why every new survey is quickly read as evidence for or against how close Northern Ireland might be to such a moment. No doubt there will be some eyerolling at the appearance of yet another unity poll.

“Belfast Live’s recent readership survey is another snapshot in that ongoing debate. As with any self-selecting readership poll, it should be treated cautiously; the findings cannot be assumed to reflect the wider electorate. Even so, it offers a useful opportunity to think more carefully about how people respond when asked to choose between two constitutional options, and what that response can and cannot tell us about the dynamics of the unity debate.”

What the survey findings suggest

Prof. Ashe added: “First, the survey tells us something straightforward: among Belfast Live readers who responded, there is a sizeable gap between support for Irish unity and support for remaining in the United Kingdom.

“A second, perhaps more striking feature of the Belfast Live survey is that very few respondents described themselves as “undecided”. The survey suggests the undecided share is just over 2 per cent, which is exceptionally low for a constitutional question that is widely recognised as complex and contested.

“That unusually small ‘undecided’ category is a prompt to interpret the findings carefully because the size of the undecided group often tells us as much about question format and context as it does about deep certainty on ill-defined constitutional choices.

Is the undecided category shrinking?

“In larger surveys using probability-based random sampling on Irish unity, the undecided group is bigger,” Prof. Ashe said. “The ARINS North–South project with the Irish Times regularly finds that a higher percentage of respondents in Northern Ireland say they are unsure how they would vote in a border poll. In the most recent ARINS survey published in 2025 by the Irish Times, 14 per cent were undecided, with 34 per cent favouring unity and 48 per cent opposed.

“So why might a readership survey produce such a small, undecided category? Has this survey uncovered a shift towards more binary choices in the form of for and against, or could there be another explanation?

“One possibility is not that voters have suddenly become more certain, but that many people respond differently when faced with a for or against choice framed in immediate terms (for example, unity “tomorrow” versus staying in the UK). When questions are posed in this way, some respondents who hold mixed views, conditions or reservations may still select an option rather than choose “undecided”. This does not mean their choice is insincere; rather, it reflects the way people often resolve uncertainty by choosing the option that feels more secure in the moment.

“This matters because constitutional preferences are frequently conditional. A voter might favour the Union in principle but worry about the performance of devolved governance. Another might support unity in principle but remain unconvinced that it is feasible, affordable or that it would be a better choice in the immediate future. Others may feel pulled in competing directions, as identity, economic considerations, public services, stability and rights rarely align neatly.

“When those considerations are compressed into a single immediate choice, uncertainty does not always present itself as ‘undecided’. Where details about a future constitutional arrangement are unclear, many people may reasonably prioritise what feels institutionally familiar. In a context of uncertainty, that may be a rational response.”

Risk, reassurance and constitutional futures

Prof. Ashe continued: “Concerns about economic security and social provision are central to how many people engage with questions of constitutional change, particularly where the practical implications of change remain uncertain. Findings from research I have conducted with collaborators highlight how everyday social and economic issues shape constitutional attitudes.

“Using more intensive participatory research methods, this work shows that questions of healthcare, welfare security, employment, housing, childcare and community resources are inseparable from constitutional futures as they are lived and imagined.

“That research captures a cautious concern with material, social and security consequences. Where people lack clear, credible information about how social and economic protections would be maintained in a new constitutional arrangement, uncertainty is bound to constrain support for immediate change. Constitutional questions, in this sense, are rarely abstract: they are evaluated through lived experience, everyday stability and perceptions of risk.

“My research highlights the importance of process: without clarity on economic and social outcomes, apparent certainty often reflects caution rather than settled constitutional preference. Research associated with the ARINS project, including focus group and participatory work by Jennifer Todd and colleagues, supports this interpretation.

“That long-running research similarly shows that individuals who express uncertainty about a future unity referendum often do so because of limited information, lack of prior discussion and unresolved questions about economic and social governance. Rather than articulating fixed opposition or endorsement, participants frequently express conditional views and emphasise the need for deliberation and detail before being asked to make a definitive choice.

“Taken together, this research helps explain why uncertainty may not register as ‘undecided’ in a binary survey format. Faced with unanswered questions about the organisation of healthcare, pensions, welfare provision or employment protections, some voters may reasonably default to remaining in the UK. Additional research from the ARINS/Irish Times, including survey findings and associated focus group analysis by Jennifer Todd, Joanne McEvoy and John Doyle, suggests that undecided voters want much more discussion and information on the issue.”

What this means going forward

“If there is a single lesson here, it is that polls do not merely measure opinion. They also reflect how opinion is shaped by uncertainty, question format and what voters believe is realistically on offer,” Prof. Ashe concluded.

“That is not a judgment on the legitimacy of union support (or unity support). Belfast Live readers are perfectly capable of evaluating survey findings and assessing the validity of this recent survey themselves. It is, however, a reminder that in constitutional politics, headline “certainty” often sits alongside a deeper and more complex political context that can be obscured by headline numbers. Despite these survey results, there may be a wider landscape of conditionality and contingency that suggests the need for wider deliberation. More deliberation does not imply a particular outcome; it simply clarifies what different outcomes would entail.”

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In the past three years, North Yorkshire Police recorded 73 acid-related offences — among the highest in the UK.

Of these, just eight per cent were closed without a suspect being named or identified, contrasting sharply with national figures showing more than 800 attackers remain at large.

Ellie Lamey, a Criminal Injuries Compensation Authority specialist at Legal Expert, said: “These figures highlight a deeply concerning lack of accountability for what is a barbaric and life-altering crime.

“When perpetrators of such horrific attacks go unidentified, victims are robbed of the justice and closure they so rightfully deserve.

“Corrosive substance attacks leave victims with devastating physical and psychological scars that can take a lifetime to heal.

“It is absolutely vital that survivors understand they are not alone and that they can still seek specialist support and financial compensation to help rebuild their lives, even if their attacker has completely evaded the courts.”

Just eight per cent of North Yorkshire cases were closed without a suspect being named or identified (Image: Legal Expert)

The findings come from new research by legal injury specialists Legal Expert, based on UK-wide police data from 2023 to 2025.

London topped the list with 904 recorded acid attacks, followed by Essex with 428 and Lancashire with 172.

Other high-ranking forces included Northamptonshire (167), Devon and Cornwall (91), Kent (86), West Midlands (74), North Yorkshire (73), Greater Manchester (68), and West Yorkshire (66).

Victims’ rights campaigners say the latest figures reveal a “deeply concerning” lack of accountability and support for those left with lasting injuries.

Legal Expert is encouraging survivors to seek legal advice and support regardless of whether a suspect has been caught.

The organisation offers free consultations through a 24-hour helpline, with tailored advice on accessing compensation and care.

The issue has gained renewed attention following the death of 38-year-old Plymouth father Danny Cahalane, who died in April 2025 — ten weeks after being attacked with industrial sulphuric acid.

A high-profile court case in Hampshire has also placed national focus on the use of corrosive substances as a weapon.

Other recent cases, such as the January 2024 attack in Clapham, have further highlighted the urgent need for action.

Every election is a storytelling contest, with campaigning parties competing to frame the plot. This year’s local elections, the largest test of voters’ mood since the 2024 general election, have been dominated by two master-narratives.

The first is about the demise of the old two-party system under which Labour and Conservatives have been the battling giants for almost 100 years. Vast regions of England have long been regarded as safe electoral zones. They have been disrupted only occasionally by strategic incursions by the Liberal Democrats or mid-term revolts against whoever formed the Westminster government.

The story of the 2026 local elections is one of a conspicuous public impulse to punish the old incumbents, resulting in the ascendancy of the new kids on the political block – Reform UK and the Greens.

In the 2024 general election, Reform won 15.3% of the vote in English constituencies and the Green Party won 7.3%. Since then, Labour’s poll ratings have fallen and the Tories have hardly recovered from their devastating result when they lost 238 seats.

But the story amounts to more than numbers. We are witnessing a pervasive and powerful expression of desire by the electorate – not just for radical political alternatives, but for a radical alternative to politics itself.

The rise of the outsider

This is a story about the rejection of anyone who looks or speaks like a conventional politician. Both Reform leader Nigel Farage and Zack Polanski, the leader of the Greens in England and Wales, have cultivated images of themselves as outsiders who eschew the caution and attachment to well-rehearsed cliche that has so discredited their opponents.

It was an election in which voters came to believe that what these political mavericks say is what they actually mean. Left-inclined voters might feel repelled by Farage’s strident nationalism and right-inclined voters might regard Polanski as a dangerous dreamer. But neither doubts that they are up against genuine commitments.

Meanwhile, Labour and Conservative candidates have continued to campaign in the way they have been for decades. This means they have often actually been talking about local policies relating to refuse collection, libraries and care services. The newcomers have tended to ignore the rules of the game and fought their campaigns on headline values rather than policy detail.

Reform UK has said that it planned to open migrant detention centres in areas where the vote for the Green Party is high, while Green candidates in Haringey produced an election video stating that if elected they would uphold the inalienable rights of the Palestinian people.

The fact that elected local councillors lack any power to place detention centres in other areas or determine UK foreign policy was ignored. Local elections were turned into a showcase for a style of politics in which cultural symbolism outweighed the prudential technicalities of local governance.

À lire aussi :
After a year of Reform UK in local government, the cracks are starting to show

However, as Reform politicians are learning in the few areas where they already hold local power, attention to policy complexity calls for rather more than the repetition of populist slogans, leading several of their councillors to leave the party as the responsibility of hard policy choices has dawned upon them.

For many voters, these local elections present a chance to gamble on the promise of the untried. And this brings us to the second story of this campaign, which is taking place almost exactly a decade after the Brexit referendum.

That was a moment when the politics of “anything must be better than this” appealed to electoral gamblers. As an insurgency of the unheard, Brexit reflected a feeling that the political establishment needed a good poke in the eye. This was regardless of the consequences for the assailants.

A key story of this year’s local elections is that the division between Leavers and Remainers, far from fading into the distance, has hardened over the past decade. Socially liberal Remainers and culturally conservative Leavers have each sought political homes in which to complete what they see as unfinished business.

YouGov polling in early 2026 suggested that how people voted on Brexit is a key predictor of how they would vote in this year’s elections. Some 50% of those who voted Leave in 2016 intended to back Reform this year. Among Remainers, the largest number (28%) say that they will vote Labour, but both the Greens and the Liberal Democrats each have around a fifth of the Remainer vote, making them the largest political home for those who opposed Brexit ten years ago.

The results of these elections say a lot about how much voters are tired of the old incumbents and continue to dwell on changes that Brexit promised or threatened. In terms of how councils will be run between now and the next local elections, during a period of constrained public spending, hollowing out of services and energy insecurity, this election campaign has had precious little to say.

Recent concerns have prompted a collaborative clean-up effort and a long-term improvement plan involving rail operators, local councils, and the wider community.

Volunteers from the Durham City Riverscape Community Group recently removed more than 50 bags of litter from the station area, drawing public attention to the scale of the problem.

Councillor Carole Lattin, chair of the parish council’s environment committee, said: “This is a really positive step forward, and we are delighted to see partners coming together with a shared commitment to improving such an important gateway to our city.

“The Parish Council is very happy to support this collaborative work, and we look forward to playing our part in ensuring lasting improvements”.

The station is a key arrival point for visitors to Durham and sits just moments from the city’s World Heritage Site.

It also provides access to nearby attractions such as Wharton Park and offers visitors a first impression of the city and its heritage.

The parish council described recent talks with London North Eastern Railway (LNER) as “positive and forward-looking,” and said all parties share the ambition of making Durham Station the very best stop along the East Coast Mainline.

Suggested improvements include better waste management, new floral displays, closer coordination with local volunteer groups, and an application to the North East Combined Authority for funding to carry out a thorough jet washing of the station.

Cllr Lattin said: “Durham Station is a key arrival point for residents and visitors alike, and we want it to reflect the very best of what our city has to offer.

“We sincerely hope that the North East Combined Authority – who have recently announced some transport funding – will also get behind these plans.

“Our ambition is clear—we want Durham Station to be the very best along the East Coast Mainline, providing a clean, welcoming and high-quality environment for everyone arriving here or who passes through.”

The Durham City Riverscape Community Group welcomed the support, saying long-term progress will rely on continued cooperation between organisations and the public.

Graham Hollingworth, a lead member of the group, said: “The area around Durham Station had, quite frankly, fallen into a shocking state.

“As a community group, we felt strongly that something needed to be done, so our volunteers have been out litter picking and working hard to restore the site to a condition that the city can be proud of.

“Since then, we’ve been really encouraged by the positive and constructive conversations we’ve had with the City of Durham Parish Council about how we can maintain this space for the long term.

“We’re extremely grateful for that support and collaboration.

“This is such an iconic part of Durham, offering some of the most fantastic views towards the World Heritage Site.

“It should always provide a warm and welcoming first impression for visitors arriving in our city.

“We’re also grateful to LNER and Network Rail for engaging with us, and we would remind everyone that keeping Durham beautiful is a shared responsibility.

“It belongs to all of us, and together we can ensure it remains a place we’re proud to call home.”

All parties involved have stressed that keeping the area clean is a shared responsibility.

There is growing confidence that with continued cooperation, Durham Station can set an example of effective partnership between residents, volunteers, and organisations.

The wider public is encouraged to take pride in the city and play their part in maintaining its welcoming character.

On Friday, 1 May, the Renters’ Rights Act will take effect in England. The long-awaited law, which is the first set of significant reforms to rental housing legislation since 1988, includes several changes that will affect renters and landlords alike. 

One of the most significant is the abolition of ‘Section 21’ or no-fault evictions. Previously, landlords could evict tenants without a specific reason, which some campaigning groups say is a leading cause of homelessness. Now, landlords will only be able to evict if they plan to sell or move into a property. Notice periods will also increase from two months to four. 

Another major change is around tenancies, which will revert to rolling contracts as opposed to being fixed for 12 or 24 months. The ability for tenants to challenge rent hikes will also be introduced. Additionally, Awaab’s Law, which already requires social landlords to respond to emergency hazards and serious damp and mould within fixed timeframes, will also be extended next year to cover a wider range of health and safety risks. It’s named after two-year-old Awaab Ishak, who died in 2020 after prolonged exposure to mold.

Groups such as homelessness charities and unions welcomed the legislation. Acorn, a renters and community union, said that the act will affect around 12 million renters across the country and is the biggest change in a generation. Chelsea Phillips, Acorn national chair, said: “We won this. This wasn’t just handed to us from above. It came from more than 10 years of tenants organising, taking action, and refusing to accept a system that wasn’t working for us.”

Critics, however, say that the new law could force landlords with smaller operations out, while favouring larger corporate landlords. Some landlords fear that it will give them reduced powers to remove genuinely problematic tenants, while others argue that rent prices could edge upwards if the volume of properties on the market decreases.

Image: HiveBoxx

The show, Public Record, was commissioned and produced by the National Theatre, Sunderland Culture, and the Sunderland Empire, and last year wowed packed audiences at The Fire Station in Sunderland.

Described as a “musical portrait” of Sunderland, Public Record featured more than 100 community members who performed alongside professional musicians and dancers.

Director Emily Lim said: “Dan and I have been working hard on this for some time now and while it’s been quite a wild experience trying to make it happen across the other side of the pond, it’s proving a very wonderful process.

Public Record, a theatre production inspired by Sunderland’s people and heritage, is set to be staged in New York after success in the UK (Image: LUKE WADDINGTON)

“Everyone is so excited about its potential to say something really important and meaningful about the community and values of New York.

“We’re thinking of the incredible Sunderland community all the time and cannot express enough how grateful, lucky and inspired we feel to be continuing this journey which we began with you all.”

The show transformed The Fire Station into a live recording studio, where the cast helped to create an album celebrating life in the city and its people.

Now, a reimagined version of the production is heading to the United States under the title Public Works.

Just like the North East original, the New York adaptation will bring together a cast of more than 100 people, including community members, musicians, and dancers.

Public Works aims to capture the spirit of New York through music, movement, and storytelling, with the result a live album created on stage in real time.

The New York version will be performed at the Delacorte Theater in September as part of the city’s Shakespeare for the City celebration.

A subsequent album will be preserved by the New York Public Library for the Performing Arts.

Nick Malyan, chief executive at Sunderland Culture, said: “We’re thrilled that Public Record didn’t start and finish in Sunderland.

“It was a wonderfully warm, inspiring, and moving production forged from the talents of Sunderland creatives and people living and working in our communities.

“Emily and Dan were a delight to work with, and we hope New York’s Public Works has the impact on audiences that Public Record did.”

Marie Nixon, theatre director at the Sunderland Empire, said: “Public Record, and now Public Works, could not have happened without the brilliant partnership between Sunderland Culture, National Theatre, and the Empire.

“Public Record was evidence of a confident, ambitious city – and one now exporting culture to a global cultural hub.”

The original production in Sunderland was part of the National Theatre’s Public Acts programme, which delivers large-scale participatory theatre in partnership with venues and community groups across England.

Performers in Public Record came from four local groups: Back on the Map, the Connect Company from the Sunderland Empire, The Odyssey Alumni group, and the Sunderland Nigerian Family Group.

Two additional “cameo” groups also took part: Dance JAM street dancers, led by Jennifer Oswald (also known as Pinky), and the Young Musicians Project, led by Laura Brewis.

The event, organised by Tennants Auctioneers in Leyburn, will take place on June 13 and marks the 150th anniversary of Mr Thompson’s birth by honouring his legacy of hand-carved oak furniture, each piece distinguished by its trademark mouse motif.

Diane Sinnott, Mouseman specialist at Tennants Auctioneers, said: “Having worked with Mouseman for over thirty years, I am absolutely thrilled to be celebrating this milestone anniversary with what is set to be a landmark sale”.

Robert ‘Mouseman’ Thompson, English Oak Newel Posts – Estimate; £2,000-3,000 (Image: Tennants)

The auction will feature 300 lots of Mouseman furniture and carvings, drawing from three major private collections as well as additional contributions from other vendors.

Among the items on offer is a rare English oak carving of Fighting Stallions, with an estimated value of £8,000 to £12,000.

The North Yorkshire Collection, assembled over a decade by a dedicated collector, includes several rare pieces, sourced directly from the Mouseman workshop in Kilburn or through auction houses.

Workshop of Robert ‘Mouseman’ Thompson, English Oak ‘Six Mouse’ Bowl – Estimate:£2,000-3,000 (Image: Tennants)

Another standout item is an oak carving of Racing Greyhounds, estimated at £4,000 to £6,000.

Other pieces up for auction include a selection of furniture, monk’s chairs, tables, bookends and a rare steamer deck chair dating back to the 1920s or 1930s.

The auction will also feature items from the former Mouseman-fitted interior of Stone Lodge on Skipton Road in Silsden.

Completed in 1953 and since demolished, the house included oak panelling, a fireplace, doors and newel posts, all crafted by Thompson’s workshop, and will now be offered to collectors and enthusiasts.

Viewing will be held at Tennants Auctioneers on June 11 and June 12.

Robert Thompson (1876-1955) built his workshop in the small North Yorkshire village of Kilburn and embodied the ethos of the Arts and Crafts movement.

Drawing inspiration from medieval craftsmen, Thompson developed a distinctive style rooted in tradition and individuality.

He famously incorporated a carved mouse into every piece, a detail that became his enduring signature.

Mr Thompson described the inspiration behind the motif, saying: “I though how a mouse manages to scrape and chew away the hardest wood with its chisel-like teeth, and it works quietly; nobody takes much notice.

“I thought that was maybe like this workshop hidden away in the Hambleton Hills.

“It is what you might call industry in quiet places, so I put the mouse on all my work”.

Thompson created in a time when mass production threatened to overshadow traditional handcrafting, yet he continued to produce unique furniture using native oak and time-honoured methods.

Each item from his workshop is known for its character and individuality.

The Mouseman sale will take place alongside Tennants’ 20th Century Design Sale and Modern and Contemporary Art Sale on the same day, providing collectors an opportunity to explore a range of distinctive and historical pieces.

A fully illustrated catalogue for the auction is available on the Tennants Auctioneers website.

More information about the sale and the legacy of Mouseman Thompson can be found at www.tennants.co.uk or by contacting their team directly at 01969 623780.

HMRC and Social Security Scotland have confirmed payments due on Monday, May 25 will be paid early on Friday, May 22, with DWP expected to follow the same pattern

Those expecting a State Pension or benefit payment towards the end of this month will receive their money ahead of schedule due to an upcoming bank holiday. HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) and Social Security Scotland have confirmed that certain payments due on Monday, May 25 will be brought forward, with the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) expected to follow suit with a similar amended payment schedule.

This is due to DWP offices and phone lines being closed over the bank holiday, as payments are ordinarily processed when all services are fully operational, including webchat and Jobcentre Plus offices.

Payments including State Pension, Universal Credit, Personal Independence Payment (PIP), Child Benefits, Adult Disability Payment (ADP) and Attendance Allowance due on Monday, May 25 will land in bank accounts on Friday, May 22.

Below is a full list of DWP, HMRC and Social Security Scotland payments which could be affected by the May bank holidays, reports the Daily Record.

It is worth noting that if your forthcoming payment does not fall on Monday, May 25, it will be issued as normal.

DWP May bank holiday payment date changes

DWP has yet to formally confirm any payment date changes, but is anticipated to follow the same revised schedule as HMRC and Social Security Scotland.

Payments due to be made on Monday, May 25 will be issued on Friday, May 22.

Payments affected:

• Attendance Allowance
• Carer’s Allowance
• Employment Support Allowance (ESA)
• Income Support
• Jobseeker’s Allowance (JSA)
• Pension Credit
• Personal Independence Payment (PIP)
• State Pension
• Universal Credit

HMRC May bank holiday payment date changes

Payments due to be made on Monday, May 25 will be issued on Friday, May 22.

Payments affected:

• Child Benefit
• Guardian’s Allowance

Social Security Scotland May bank holiday payment date changes

Payments due to be made on Monday, May 25 will be issued on Friday, May 22.

Payments affected:

• Adult Disability Payment
• Child Disability Payment
• Scottish Child Payment
• Carer Support Payment
• Pension Age Disability Payment
• Scottish Adult Disability Living Allowance

Social Security Scotland has confirmed Best Start Foods payments will not be affected.