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Why the copper-to-gold breakout could point to bitcoin (BTC) breakout

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Why the copper-to-gold breakout could point to bitcoin (BTC) breakout

The copper-to-gold ratio has broken above its 200-day moving average for the first meaningful time since September 2020, a development that has historically coincided with the early stages of bitcoin bull markets.

The ratio currently stands at 0.00142, with copper trading at $6.65 per pound and gold near $4,700 per ounce. Previous surges in the ratio during 2013, 2017, and 2021 aligned with major gains in bitcoin prices.

The correlation coefficient between bitcoin and the copper-to-gold ratio currently sits at -0.11, though it has rebounded sharply from -1.00. This suggests the two assets are not yet positively correlated, but the relationship is beginning to strengthen. Historically, during bitcoin’s strongest bull runs, the correlation has moved toward or above 1.0.

The current negative reading largely reflects the earlier divergence phase, when the ratio was falling and bitcoin typically declined faster than copper. As the ratio recovers, that relationship has historically converged alongside improving market conditions.

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Historically, the copper-to-gold ratio has led bitcoin by several weeks to months, suggesting the current move may still be in its early stages.

The copper-to-gold ratio is widely viewed as a gauge of economic momentum and investor risk appetite. Copper is closely tied to industrial demand and tends to outperform during periods of economic expansion, while gold is traditionally associated with defensive positioning. A rising ratio therefore signals a more risk-on macro environment.

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Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Soars 17% on Earnings Beat and Major AI Chip Contracts Worth $1.3B

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TSEM Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Tower Semiconductor surpassed Q1 2026 earnings expectations with adjusted EPS of $0.65, topping the $0.55 Wall Street consensus
  • First-quarter revenue reached $413.6 million, marking a 15% year-over-year increase and exceeding the $408 million projection
  • Second-quarter revenue forecast of $455 million surpassed analyst expectations of $436 million — potentially setting a new company milestone
  • The company secured $1.3 billion worth of silicon photonics agreements for 2027 delivery, with customers already providing $290 million in upfront payments
  • TSEM shares skyrocketed more than 17%, reaching a 52-week peak of $267.42

Tower Semiconductor delivered an impressive performance on Tuesday. The Israel-based chip manufacturer reported solid earnings results, provided robust forward guidance, and unveiled $1.3 billion in artificial intelligence chip agreements — creating a trifecta of positive catalysts.


TSEM Stock Card
Tower Semiconductor Ltd., TSEM

TSEM shares surged over 17% during early U.S. market hours, climbing to a 52-week peak of $267.42. Meanwhile, broader market indices remained subdued, with the S&P 500 declining 0.11% and the Nasdaq essentially unchanged, highlighting that Tower’s rally was driven purely by company-specific developments.

First-quarter 2026 revenue totaled $413.6 million, representing a 15% climb compared to the prior-year period, and narrowly exceeding the Street’s $408 million projection. Adjusted earnings per share landed at $0.65, comfortably beating the analyst consensus of $0.55 by a dime.

Gross profit expanded 52% year-over-year to reach $111 million. Operating profit saw even more dramatic growth, nearly doubling with a 96% surge to $65 million compared to $33 million in the first quarter of 2025.

Looking ahead to Q2 2026, Tower projected revenue of $455 million, with a variance of plus or minus 5%. Wall Street analysts had penciled in $436 million. Successfully hitting this target would establish a new revenue record for the semiconductor manufacturer.

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However, the most significant development centers around silicon photonics. Tower locked in $1.3 billion in agreements for 2027 revenue from its primary silicon photonics clients — specialized chips that utilize light instead of electrical signals for data transmission, making them particularly effective for AI data center applications.

Secured Revenue Stream of $1.3 Billion

Customers demonstrated serious commitment beyond mere paperwork — they’ve already transferred $290 million in advance payments to reserve manufacturing capacity. Furthermore, they’ve pledged to place even larger orders for 2028, with additional upfront payments scheduled for delivery by January 2027.

CEO Russell Ellwanger expressed confidence, stating the company is “confident in our path toward achieving our financial model targets of $2.8 billion in annual revenue and $750 million in net profit in 2028.”

These financial objectives now carry substantial weight. The order pipeline continues to strengthen.

Credit Rating Boost Reinforces Positive Trend

S&P’s Maalot maintained Tower’s “ilAA” credit rating while elevating its outlook from stable to positive — a subtle yet significant validation of the company’s business direction.

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Tower’s semiconductor products support automotive, industrial, consumer electronics, and communications sectors, though current momentum stems primarily from AI data center requirements.

In March, competitor GlobalFoundries initiated legal action against Tower, claiming patent infringement on 11 patents associated with chip production for smartphones and related devices. This legal matter remains unresolved.

Tower concluded the trading day at a new 52-week high, with the stock’s appreciation stemming exclusively from company-specific announcements rather than broader semiconductor industry trends.

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Farage Faces UK Standards Probe over $7M Gift from Crypto Billionaire

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Farage Faces UK Standards Probe over $7M Gift from Crypto Billionaire

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage is reportedly facing a parliamentary standards inquiry over whether he failed to declare a 5 million pound ($6.7 million) gift from crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne.

The UK Parliamentary Standards Commissioner has opened an inquiry into whether Farage breached House of Commons rules by not registering the payment, the BBC reported Wednesday.

Farage said he was under “no obligation” to declare the gift from the Reform party backer, which he received before he was elected to the Commons in 2024. Critics argue he should have registered the payment after becoming a member of parliament.

The Conservatives wrote to the parliamentary standards watchdog asking it to investigate the matter, according to the BBC. The Conservatives also raised the issue with the Electoral Commission, which is reportedly deciding whether to launch a formal investigation into the donation.

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The inquiry adds to scrutiny of Farage’s financial ties to crypto-linked backers and businesses, as UK lawmakers and regulators pay closer attention to the role of digital asset money in politics.

The development comes a month after the UK Liberal Democrats called on the Financial Conduct Authority to investigate whether Farage breached market rules by appearing in a promotional video for Stack BTC while holding a financial stake in the company.

Farage previously disclosed a $286,000 equity investment in the company after acquiring a 6.31% stake through his media vehicle Thorn In The Side in March.

Related: Revolut among 4 companies chosen to test stablecoins in UK sandbox 

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UK lawmakers mull halt to political crypto donations

Cryptocurrency donations to political parties have come under growing scrutiny in the UK.

Farage’s Reform UK was the first party to start accepting crypto donations in 2025. Reform recently disclosed a $4 million donation from Harborne in the fourth quarter of 2025, after receiving a record $12 million gift in the previous quarter

Political cryptocurrency donations are currently legal in the UK, subject to permissible rules under the Electoral Commission guidance. However, some parliamentary committees have called for a halt.

On March 18, the Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy urged the UK government to impose an immediate moratorium on crypto donations to political parties until the Electoral Commission produces statutory guidance ahead of the next general election, which is due to take place by August 2029.

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The committee also called for the creation of a Political Finance Enforcement Unit and for reducing the minimum declaration threshold of political donations from $14,900 to $668. It cited growing foreign-state threats and efforts to influence the UK’s positions on critical issues, including its relations with the US, the European Union and Ukraine.

Three weeks earlier, Matt Western, chair of the committee, urged the government to put a temporary halt on crypto donations to political parties, citing foreign interference risks, Cointelegraph reported on Feb. 26. 

Magazine: Clarity Act risks repeat of Europe’s mistakes, crypto lawyer warns

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crypto reaction and Polymarket odds shift?

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Trump token initiative begins: More pay for play?

U.S. President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 for a formal state visit at the invitation of Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Summary

  • U.S. President Donald Trump has arrived in Beijing for a state visit following an invitation from Xi Jinping.
  • Markets are closely watching geopolitical sentiment, with prediction platforms pricing shifts in U.S.–China diplomatic expectations.
  • Crypto traders are assessing whether renewed U.S.–China engagement could impact risk appetite and global liquidity flows.

The visit marks a renewed high-level diplomatic engagement between the world’s two largest economies amid ongoing strategic and economic competition.

The announcement has quickly drawn attention across financial markets, where geopolitical developments between the U.S. and China often influence risk sentiment, trade expectations and cross-asset volatility. Crypto traders, in particular, are watching for potential spillover effects into liquidity conditions and speculative positioning.

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Prediction markets are also reacting to the development. Platforms such as Polymarket are tracking event-based probabilities tied to U.S.–China relations, including the likelihood of trade policy shifts, tariff adjustments, or formal agreements emerging from diplomatic meetings.

Geopolitics meets prediction markets and crypto sentiment

On Polymarket, traders typically express views on scenarios such as “U.S.–China trade deal probability,” “new tariff escalation risk,” or “high-level diplomatic agreement outcomes,” allowing sentiment to be priced in real time rather than through traditional polling or analyst forecasts.

These markets have become increasingly relevant to crypto participants because geopolitical risk is now tightly linked to digital asset volatility cycles. When tensions rise, liquidity often tightens and risk assets tend to experience sharper repricing, while diplomatic easing can trigger broad-based risk-on rotations.

In the current context, the Trump–Xi meeting is being interpreted less as a single political event and more as a signal node for global macro positioning. Traders are watching whether it leads to policy clarity, trade de-escalation, or further strategic uncertainty between the two nations.

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Crypto markets watch macro signals for liquidity direction

Crypto investors are closely monitoring geopolitical developments like this because digital assets increasingly trade as high-beta macro instruments sensitive to global liquidity expectations.

Improved U.S.–China relations could support broader risk appetite by reducing tail-risk uncertainty in global trade, while escalation or breakdown in talks could have the opposite effect, tightening liquidity conditions and increasing volatility across speculative markets.

At the same time, prediction markets are amplifying the speed at which sentiment is priced in. Platforms like Polymarket allow traders to hedge or speculate directly on geopolitical outcomes, effectively turning diplomatic events into tradable macro signals.

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As a result, the Trump visit to Beijing is being watched not only as a diplomatic milestone but also as a potential catalyst for shifts across prediction markets, equities, and crypto-linked risk assets, depending on how negotiations and messaging unfold in the coming days.

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US PPI Shocker Hits 6% in April 2026, Crushing Fed Rate Cut Hopes

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10-Year US Treasury Yields.

US Producer Price Index (PPI) Final Demand jumped 6% in April 2026, the highest reading since January 2023. The print came in well above the 4.9% consensus forecast.

The monthly gain hit 1.4%, nearly triple the 0.5% consensus, while core PPI rose 1% on the month. Both headline and core figures now sit at three-year highs.

Services Drove the April Surge

Final demand services climbed 1.2%, the largest monthly advance since March 2022. The gain accounted for roughly 60% of the headline move, according to the BLS release.

Trade services margins rose 2.7%, while transportation and warehousing prices jumped 5%. Final demand goods advanced 2%, with energy up 7.8% and gasoline prices climbing 15.6%.

The narrowest core measure excludes food, energy, and trade services. It rose 0.6% on the month and 4.4% annually, near its highest reading since early 2023.

Energy contributed heavily as the Iran war jolted crude and refined prices. Yet the breadth of services gains flagged stickier underlying pressure, echoing stagflation concerns that returned after recent prints.

Markets Reprice the Fed Path

Treasury yields pushed higher after the release. The 30-year yield rose to 5.042%, just below its 19-year peak.

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10-Year US Treasury Yields.
10-Year US Treasury Yields. Source: TradingView

Bond traders priced in renewed Fed rate hike risks, and Goldman Sachs recently pushed back its next-cut forecast to December 2026.

Equity futures sold off on the print. The dollar firmed against major peers as widening rate differentials supported the greenback.

“Both CPI and PPI Inflation are now officially at 3+ year highs. Odds of rate HIKES are rising,” stated analysts at the Kobeissi Letter.

Whether Federal Reserve officials now signal a hawkish pivot will set the tone for risk assets in coming sessions. A sustained rebound in producer costs could push consumer inflation higher into the second half of 2026.

The post US PPI Shocker Hits 6% in April 2026, Crushing Fed Rate Cut Hopes appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin Bulls Target $100K as Strategy’s STRC Enables More BTC Buying This Week

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Bitcoin Bulls Target $100K as Strategy’s STRC Enables More BTC Buying This Week

Bitcoin (BTC) may reach $100,000 by June as Strategy’s renewed buying power and falling stablecoin dominance suggest liquidity is returning to crypto.

Key takeaways:

  • Michael Saylor’s Strategy may purchase at least 3,127 BTC this week via the sales of STRC shares.
  • Falling crypto market dominance of USDT and USDC stablecoins increases BTC’s odds of reaching $100,000.

Strategy resumes Bitcoin buying as STRC stock reclaims $100 par

Strategy’s preferred stock, Stretch (STRC), has reclaimed its critical $100 par value, restoring one of the company’s funding mechanisms for Bitcoin purchases, data from STRC.LIVE shows.

As of Wednesday, STRC was trading around $100.01, with estimates suggesting the preferred-share program has already unlocked enough buying power for Strategy to acquire at least 3,172 BTC this week.

Strategy’s weekly BTC buying estimates via STRC stock sales. Source: STRC.LIVE

That is nearly 235% of Bitcoin’s newly mined supply over the same period.

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Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation model becomes significantly more efficient whenever STRC trades at or above par. In those conditions, the company can issue preferred shares more aggressively, raise fresh capital, and redirect proceeds into Bitcoin.

Since February, the company has added roughly 101,700 BTC, lifting its holdings to nearly 819,000 BTC as of May 11 from about 717,000 BTC in mid-February.

Source: X

Bitcoin rose more than 40% over the same stretch, underscoring how Strategy’s latest accumulation wave has coincided with BTC’s broader recovery.

“STRC raised $5.58 billion YTD since January,” market analyst Pio Vincenzo said in a Wednesday post, adding that MSTR may raise “another $20 billion by the end of the year.”

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Related: Strategy CEO Phong Le says company will sell BTC only in specific cases

Falling stablecoin dominance is bullish for Bitcoin’s price

Another bullish signal is coming from the stablecoin market.

The combined dominance of Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC is showing signs of topping near the 10%–11% resistance zone, according to a fractal analysis shared by analyst MikybullCrypto.

Net USDT and USDC’s crypto market dominance monthly chart. Source: TradingView/MikybullCrypto

Stablecoin dominance measures how much of the crypto market is sitting in digital dollars. When it falls, it usually means capital is rotating back into Bitcoin and other crypto assets.

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Past cycles show a similar pattern.

During 2022–2024, stablecoin dominance dropped nearly 70% while Bitcoin rose by around 600%. Similarly, in 2021, a 54% drop in stablecoin dominance aligned with BTC’s 525% price gains.

Net USDT and USDC’s crypto market dominance vs. BTC/USD monthly chart. Source: TradingView

On average, stablecoin dominance has fallen by 61.3%, while Bitcoin has rallied by around 560% in the same period.

“BTC therefore has a higher chance for a sustained bullish reversal on the weekly chart,” MikybullCrypto said, adding:

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“Reaching $100k this quarter seems likely.”

On the flip side, Bitcoin upside continues to show signs of exhaustion near its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA, the blue line) at around $82,000.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

Failing to break above this resistance increases the odds of sell-offs in the coming weeks, with a potential rising wedge pattern hinting at a drop under $70,000 by June.

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SUI drops 3.2% as index trades lower

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9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-05-13: vertical

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2185.22, down 0.3% (-5.55) since yesterday’s close.

Seven of 20 assets are trading higher.

9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-05-13: vertical

Leaders: DOT (+2.6%) and BNB (+1.7%).

Laggards: SUI (-3.2%) and TAO (-2.7%).

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The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

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Solana News: Coinbase Just Added Solana as Loan Collateral Alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum: Is SOL Finally Getting Its Moment?

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🛡

Coinbase has added Solana as eligible collateral for its crypto-backed lending service, allowing U.S. users to borrow up to $100,000 in USDC against their SOL holdings. Bullish news for Solana.

The integration was on May 12, confirming SOL joins Bitcoin and Ethereum as accepted collateral on Coinbase’s non-custodial loan product built on the Morpho protocol over Base.

The maximum loan-to-value ratio for SOL is set at 70%. That number is the key variable; it determines how much borrowing power a holder unlocks, and it sets the distance to liquidation in a volatile asset.

In practice: a holder with $10,000 in SOL can draw up to $7,000 in USDC. Collateral is locked in a smart contract on-chain.

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No repayment deadline applies, but if the LTV hits the liquidation threshold, which carries a 4.38% penalty, the position is auto-liquidated, and the remaining collateral is returned.

Borrowed USDC cannot be used for trading on Coinbase directly.

Solana (SOL)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Solana Price Momentum Makes the integration News Timing Deliberate, Breakout to $100 Soon?

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SOL is sitting at $95.69 on the 4h chart, and the price action since early May has been the most decisive upside move since the February collapse, with price breaking out of the $82 to $92 range that had been containing it for weeks and pushing toward the $98 to $100 zone that has been the ceiling since January.

The structure of higher lows from the $77 bottom in late February through March and April built a solid base, and the breakout that is now unfolding has real momentum behind it rather than looking like another fakeout.

The $94 level is now the immediate support to watch on any pullback, as it marks the breakout zone from the prior range. Holding that on a retest would confirm the move is genuine and not just a wick into resistance.

Source: SOLUSD / Tradingview

Above the current price, $98 to $100 is the next meaningful wall, and a clean break there opens the path toward $106 and $110, where heavier resistance sits from the January distribution.

What makes this move more interesting than a mere technical breakout is the Coinbase lending news behind it.

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SOL being added as the third major collateral tier after Bitcoin and Ethereum, alongside $2.3 billion in cumulative crypto-backed loan originations, means holders with unrealized gains can now access liquidity without selling, which structurally reduces sell pressure while demand stays intact.

The long-term trend recovery is still incomplete with price below its 200-day moving average, but the short and medium-term setup is the most constructive it has been all year.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

The post Solana News: Coinbase Just Added Solana as Loan Collateral Alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum: Is SOL Finally Getting Its Moment? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Danish ice hockey team partners with Concordium for AI identity pilot

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Danish ice hockey team partners with Concordium for AI identity pilot
  • DIU names Concordium official AI partner for 2026 IIHF event.
  • Concordium launches blockchain fan ID pilot with Danish hockey.
  • Partnership fee settled fully in Concordium CCD tokens.

Danmarks Ishockey Union (DIU), the governing body for ice hockey in Denmark, has named Concordium as the Official AI Partner of the Danish National Ice Hockey Team in a partnership centered on blockchain-based digital identity and artificial intelligence infrastructure.

The collaboration will officially launch during the 2026 IIHF Ice Hockey World Championship in Switzerland and will include multiple technology-focused initiatives aimed at enhancing fan engagement through AI-powered systems and on-chain identity verification.

Concordium, which describes itself as a regulatory-grade AI infrastructure platform powered by blockchain technology, said the partnership will serve as a real-world demonstration of how verified digital identities and AI agents can operate at scale in consumer-facing environments.

Verified fan program to debut at IIHF Championship

The partnership between DIU and Concordium will initially focus on two core initiatives built on Concordium’s infrastructure.

The first is a Verified Fan Programme designed to pilot a privacy-preserving fan experience using zero-knowledge proof technology.

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The system is intended to allow users to verify identity-related credentials while limiting exposure of personal information.

The second initiative is an Agentic Commerce pilot, which aims to demonstrate how verified AI agents can operate autonomously while interacting with fans and digital commerce systems.

The project builds on Concordium’s previous work involving the x402 agentic payments protocol, which is focused on enabling secure and verifiable machine-driven transactions.

“Agents transacting at scale need a verified identity they can carry and settlement rails they can trust,” said Varun Kabra, Chief Growth Officer at Concordium.

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“The infrastructure for that already exists. What it has lacked is legibility, a place where mainstream audiences can see it working. We are very excited to partner with the Danish Ice Hockey team to build together a solution where AI can deliver a much superior fan experience.”

DIU said the partnership was structured around long-term technology collaboration rather than traditional sponsorship branding alone.

“We approached this the way we approach every serious collaboration, starting with what we could build together, not what would go on the jersey,” said Michael Dupont, CEO of Danmarks Ishockey Union. “Concordium is a Swiss-built and regulatory-grade AI infrastructure. The programmes planned over the course of the partnership are the kind of work that fits how Danish hockey wants to be seen.”

Partnership settled entirely in CCD tokens

As part of the agreement, Concordium branding will appear on the Danish national team’s helmets and jerseys, alongside category exclusivity across digital assets during the term of the partnership.

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The organizations also said the full partnership fee was settled entirely in CCD, Concordium’s native blockchain token.

According to the announcement, the agreement represents the first national-team partnership fully paid and locked in a native protocol token.

The transaction was settled on-chain at signing, while a 12-month lock-up period was enforced directly at the protocol level.

DIU will maintain full self-custody of the digital assets under the arrangement.

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Global tournament exposure supports partnership visibility

The partnership launches ahead of the 2026 IIHF World Championship, where Denmark’s national team is expected to receive broad international television exposure.

Games involving the Danish team are broadcast across Sweden, Finland, Germany, Switzerland, Canada, and the United States through networks including Viaplay, ZDF, ARD, TSN, and ESPN.

According to the organizations, the 2025 IIHF World Championship generated a cumulative live television audience of 215 million viewers and 25.6 billion event impressions across 155 territories.

DIU noted that Denmark has become an established host nation for international hockey tournaments, hosting four IIHF World Championships within eight years, including the men’s tournaments in 2018 and 2025, and women’s tournaments in 2022 and 2026.

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Pi Network (PI) Price Predictions for This Week, May 13

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The price remains in a flat channel. When will it break away?

PI Network (PI) Price Predictions: Analysis

Key support levels: $0.16

Key resistance levels: $0.20, $0.28

PI Remains Stuck in a Channel

With momentum lacking, the PI price has been moving sideways above 17 cents in the past week. Buyers attempted to test the 20-cent resistance in late April but were rejected. Since then, the volume has been falling as well.

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This consolidation could last quite a while longer, but it remains a positive development considering that the price has stopped making lower lows. This builds confidence that PI has bottomed already.

pi_network_price_chart_1305261
Source: TradingView

Low Momentum, but Higher Lows

At the time of this post, the price and momentum indicators don’t give any indication that they want to aim for a breakout. Nevertheless, the price has been making higher lows after the bottom at 13 cents.

This could be interpreted as bullish and would be confirmed as soon as the price moves above the 20-cent resistance. For that to happen, the buy volume will need to pick up since it has been falling in May so far.

pi_network_price_chart_1305262
Source: TradingView

Flat Volume Keeps the Price Stuck

Volume is the second most important indicator after the price itself. Since the start of April, the volume has remained low, even if there were small attempts at changing this. Because of that, the price was unable to move out of its current range between 16 and 20 cents.

A sign to watch for is higher highs on the volume profile. For now, this is missing, but PI is a momentum coin and could change that at any point. Until then, best to be patient here as the price grinds slowly.

pi_network_volume_chart_1305261
Source: TradingView

The post Pi Network (PI) Price Predictions for This Week, May 13 appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Metaplanet Q1 Operating Profit Rises as Bitcoin Loss Widens

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Metaplanet Q1 Operating Profit Rises as Bitcoin Loss Widens

Tokyo-listed Metaplanet reported first-quarter operating income Wednesday of 2.27 billion Japanese yen (roughly $14.38 million) on net sales of about $19.5 million, implying an operating margin of 73.6% as surging Bitcoin option income more than tripled revenue from a year earlier, according to the company’s Q1 fiscal year 2026 earnings release.

The strong operating performance contrasted with an ordinary loss of around $728 million, driven mainly by non-cash valuation losses as Bitcoin’s price declined during the period, and the company marked its expanding Bitcoin (BTC) holdings lower.

The price of Bitcoin fell around 24% during the quarter, from around $87,000 on Jan. 1 to roughly $66,000 on March 31, according to data from Coingecko.

Revenue for the quarter ending March 31 rose from about $5.5 million a year earlier to about $19.5 million, the filing shows, with the Bitcoin Income Generation business of option premiums and derivative valuation gains contributing the bulk of sales, while hotel operations remained a small, stable contributor.

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BTC price fell 24% in Q1. Source: Coingecko

Metaplanet posted a basic loss of roughly $0.63 per share, widening from a loss of about $0.078 a year earlier, and kept its full-year 2026 outlook unchanged, still forecasting net sales of roughly $101 million and operating profit of about $72 million, while refraining from giving ordinary or net income guidance due to Bitcoin price sensitivity.

Strong operating income offset by Bitcoin valuation loss

Metaplanet ended the quarter holding 40,177 Bitcoin, up from 35,102 at the end of December 2025, after adding about 5,075 BTC in Q1 to become the third-largest publicly listed Bitcoin treasury, through a combination of new equity and Bitcoin-backed borrowing.

Consolidated Financial Results for Q1, FY2026. Source: Metaplanet

On a fully diluted basis, Bitcoin holdings per share increased from 0.0240486 BTC to 0.0247319 BTC, corresponding to a first-quarter BTC yield of 2.8%, which the company highlights as a key performance indicator for shareholder value creation, as it measures Bitcoin per-share growth after dilution.

Metaplanet’s capital structure continued to evolve over the quarter, with total net assets falling from $2.96 billion at Dec. 31 to approximately $2.60 billion, as Bitcoin-related valuation losses outweighed equity raised during the quarter.

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Short-term borrowings also increased as the company drew further on its $500 million Bitcoin-collateralized credit facility, under which it had $302 million outstanding as of May 13, 2026, it said.

Metaplanet shares traded lower on Wednesday in Tokyo, at around 327 Japanese yen (roughly $2.07), down 3.82% at the time of writing from Tuesday’s close, according to data from Yahoo! Finance.

Magazine: Bitcoin will not hit $1M by 2030, says veteran trader Peter Brandt

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