Crypto World
Autonomous AI Agents Pose Crypto Financial Risks
Artificial intelligence agents that have autonomous access to crypto wallets could become unstoppable if deployed maliciously or if they escape from sandboxes, experts from a leading academic research consortium warned.
“Unstoppable Autonomous Agents” (UAAs) pose a clear threat if they are deployed to persist automatically and have access to digital assets, according to a June 8 industry review written by 25 academics and experts from top US universities for the Initiative for Cryptocurrencies and Contracts (IC3).
“When combined systematically, crypto tools can channel AI’s fluid power into secure, reliable, and highly autonomous systems,” the researchers wrote. However, this combination could have “far-reaching consequences for users and the financial system,” they added.
UAAs may also be equipped with access to cryptocurrency wallets, social media accounts, APIs, and other external tools, said the researchers.
“The capabilities enabling such agents are already emerging and improving rapidly.”
The warning comes as crypto projects and executives have been pushing the agentic payment and micropayment economy narrative this year, suggesting it could be the biggest use case for decentralized digital assets.
AI self-replication alarm bells
The paper also revealed that existing models can already “surpass self-replication red lines” in local environments, by autonomously creating a live, separate copy of themselves on the same machine, “a capability that could let a system evade shutdown and proliferate.”
Because reward signals used in training often fail to perfectly capture the intended objectives, “UAAs deployed for benign purposes may inadvertently cause harm,” or pursue resource acquisition as a default strategy, they said.
However, the authors noted that models have yet to replicate themselves onto external infrastructure.
Potential AI agent insider trading advantages
A fleet of self-replicating, resource-acquiring agents could also create unpredictable demand and liquidity dynamics in crypto markets.
“AI-powered trading systems could enable collusion between autonomous agents and create unfair insider advantages through opaque strategies.”
Related: China already has compute to train its own Mythos-like AI: Nvidia CEO
The tech sector is already dealing with difficult questions about the threat of unmitigated AI.
Models such as Anthropic’s Claude Mythos have already been shown to be capable of finding and exploiting zero-day vulnerabilities in major operating systems.
Meanwhile, Gartner warned in late May that governance failures around autonomous AI agents could trigger widespread enterprise failures, predicting 40% of companies will be forced to decommission their agents by 2027.
“The harms that could follow from fully autonomous agents of this kind are severe,” the researchers said, suggesting circuit breaker guardrails.

Professor Ari Juels, IC3 co-director and Chainlink Labs chief scientist, presents the paper at ETHConf. Source: IC3
Magazine: Vietnam preps crypto pilot, HK pushes tokenization: Asia Express
Crypto World
Ethereum price forecast as BitMine buys 126,971 ETH: has ETH bottomed?
- BitMine tripled its weekly ETH buy to 126,971 tokens, now holding 4.59% of supply.
- Only 11% of ETH supply is in threefold profit, the lowest reading since Feb 2017.
- A weekly close below $1,500 could push ETH toward the $1,000 support zone.
The Ethereum price dropped to a low of $1,522 last week before bouncing back within the $1,670–$1,712 range at the beginning of this week.
While the recovery is modest, the ETH price is still down 15.3% over the past seven days and 28.1% over the past 30 days. From its all-time high of $4,946 set in August 2025, the token has now shed roughly 66% of its value.
Yet while most retail traders were heading for the exit, BitMine Immersion made a huge purchase.
BitMine makes its biggest ETH buy of 2026
According to the circulated press release, BitMine (NYSE: BMNR) acquired 126,971 ETH last week, tripling its previous week’s purchase of 26,497 ETH.
That brings the company’s total holdings to 5,543,872 ETH, approximately 4.59% of Ethereum’s total supply.
BitMine has stated it intends to reach 5% ownership before the end of 2026, meaning it sits at 92% of that target today.
Currently, the company values its ETH position at roughly $9.04 billion.
Of that, 4,718,677 ETH, worth about $7.7 billion, is actively staked through BitMine’s MAVAN institutional staking platform at a current 7-day yield of 2.99%, generating a projected $230 million in annualized staking revenue.
Chairman Tom Lee has said that at full scale, staking rewards could reach $270 million annually.
Lee’s reasoning for the buy is straightforward. He said the price decline “does not reflect the strengthening of Ethereum’s fundamentals,” adding that the current environment represents the early stages of what he calls a “crypto spring.”
Lee also made a case for Ethereum’s longer-term relevance in the age of AI, arguing that as AI systems become more capable, demand for hardened, decentralized infrastructure will grow, and that Ethereum is positioned to benefit.
What the Ethereum price charts and on-chain data are saying
Despite the institutional buying, the technical picture for the Ethereum price remains bearish.
On the daily chart, ETH is trading well below its 20, 50, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which are clustered between $1,874 and $2,178.
The 14-day RSI sits around 27, and the Stochastic oscillator is at 26, both in oversold territory, though neither has confirmed a reversal.
The MACD reads -143.07, sitting below its signal line of -118.76, while the Aroon Oscillator is at -78.57, indicating sellers still have the upper hand.
The on-chain data reinforces just how stressed this market is.
Only about 11% of Ethereum’s supply currently sits at a threefold profit margin, the lowest reading since February 2017.
Crypto analyst Ali Charts flagged this exact condition, posting on X that ETH trading below the 0.8 MVRV pricing band is a “high-probability long-term accumulation zone.”
He also identified a TD Sequential buy signal, which can suggest seller exhaustion, though it does not by itself confirm a trend reversal.
Ethereum $ETH below the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band is a high-probability long-term accumulation zone.
Buy the dip! https://t.co/LNkygeXO5n pic.twitter.com/2GYDUzFnQi
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) June 8, 2026
Analyst Ash Crypto drew a parallel between the current price action and Ethereum’s June 2022 breakdown, when the Ethereum price collapsed to $880 before bottoming out and recovering.
He noted the current decline represents approximately 68% from the August 2025 peak near $4,953.
Ash’s view is that if the ETH price holds the $1,500 level on a weekly closing basis, a similar recovery pattern could follow.
However, he cautioned that a weekly candle closing below $1,500 could expose the next major support zone around $1,000.
$ETH has only done this once before in its entire history.
Back in June 2022, ETH broke through every support level and crashed to $880. Everyone gave up on it. That turned out to be the exact bottom of the whole bear market.
Now it’s June 2026, the same month, same breakdown,… pic.twitter.com/v8IulXZuPl
— Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) June 8, 2026
On the ETF side, the picture is mixed. The US spot Ethereum ETFs saw $540 million in net outflows throughout May, followed by an additional $168 million in early June.
That said, June 8 marked a reversal, with $82.37 million in daily net inflows recorded, bringing total cumulative inflows to $11.28 billion with aggregate net assets standing at $9.36 billion.
Ethereum has also recorded roughly $66.3 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours, with $33.8 million on the long side, reflecting ongoing volatility and the risk that any short-term bounce remains fragile.
Ultimately, the seven-day trading range of $1,522–$1,980 captures just how wide the swings have been and whether the $1,500 zone holds, and whether BitMine’s conviction buy marks a turning point remains to be seen.
Crypto World
Strategy’s (MSTR) bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC price: Crypto Markets Today
The recovery in bitcoin stalled Tuesday even after Strategy (MSTR) bought more of the largest cryptocurrency following its end-May sale.
Bitcoin was recently trading near $62,600, little changed from Monday. This follows Sunday’s 4% bounce, which briefly took prices above $64,000 on some exchanges, including Coinbase.
Strategy, the largest publicly listed bitcoin holder, said Monday it had bought 1,550 BTC for $101 million, bringing its total stockpile to 845,256 coins. While that’s about 48 times the 32 BTC it sold in the final days of May, the purchase failed to stir the token’s price.
BTC’s immobility isn’t doing any good to the broader market either. The CoinDesk DeFi Select Index has dropped 1.8% in 24 hours and the CoinDesk 80 Index is down 1.3%.
The mood clearly remains risk-averse, with investors lacking conviction to chase upside.
“Bitcoin’s recent rebound shows there is still demand when prices pull back, but investors are not committing capital with the same level of confidence we saw earlier in the year,” Daniel Reis-Faria, CEO of ZeroStack, said in an email.
“While a lot of attention has been placed on Strategy’s buying activity, the bigger factor remains the broader economic environment. Investors are paying close attention to inflation and interest rate expectations ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting, as these factors influence how much risk they’re willing to take across all asset classes, including crypto,” Reis-Faria said.
Derivatives positioning
- Total crypto futures volume slipped 1.3% to $190.7 billion in 24 hours while open interest held largely flat around $103 billion. Liquidations crashed 48% to $301 million, a sign that the most aggressive leverage has already been flushed from the system.
- ZEC is the standout in futures markets. Open interest has climbed roughly 5% to 2.47 million tokens, the highest since May 26, as the token trades at $472, sharply recovering from lows under $300 last week.
- Its 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) is positive, meaning buyers are driving price action with market orders rather than passive limit orders. The catch is that annualized perpetual funding rates remain deeply negative at around -45%, meaning shorts are still firmly in control of positioning. That sets up a potential short squeeze should prices continue rising, as bears face mounting costs to hold their positions.
- Open interest in WLD remains just shy of last week’s record 963.6 million tokens, signaling elevated positioning and heightened potential for price volatility. Bitcoin and ether open interest are steady near Monday levels.
- The 24-hour CVD for most major coins, including bitcoin and ether, is negative, meaning bears are leading price action across the broader market.
- BVIV and EVIV — bitcoin and ether’s 30-day implied volatility indexes — continue their retreats from Friday’s highs, suggesting panic is ebbing. But front-week implied volatility in both is sharply elevated, pointing to heightened expectations around Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release.
- On Deribit, the $60,000 put remains a focal point and is among the most actively traded strikes across multiple expiries in the past 24 hours. The one-week risk reversal is heavily skewed toward puts, with BTC puts trading at an 8 vol point premium to calls, a persistent signal that fears of a deeper price selloff have not gone away.
Token talk
- Humanity Protocol’s H token crashed more than 80% after attackers stole the private keys — the secret codes that control crypto wallets — of a Humanity Foundation member and drained more than $32 million from about 17 wallets, with losses still climbing.
- The token fell from about $0.67 to near $0.13 and briefly touched $0.05, a 24-hour drop of roughly 90%.
- The theft is still in progress. The attacker has been selling the stolen H for ether and minted another 100 million H, worth about $11 million, on BNB Chain, pointing to more selling pressure ahead.
- Humanity, a palm-scan identity project that pitches itself as a rival to , told users to stop touching its bridge and liquidity pools while it works with security firms and exchanges.
- The attack fits the dominant 2026 pattern of thieves going after keys rather than code. Solana’s Drift lost about $285 million in April after attackers seized an administrative key, and Kelp DAO lost roughly $292 million the same month through a single-validator bridge.
- Sahara AI’s SAHARA fell about 60% to roughly $0.016, near its all-time low of $0.01355. About $215 million changed hands against a market cap near $49 million, turnover more than four times the token’s size and the mark of a capitulation event.
- Unlike Humanity, Sahara said there were no security issues with its contracts or products, the same line it posted verbatim on Nov. 29, 2025, when the token fell from about 7 cents to 4 cents. It blamed a pre-scheduled 600 million token transfer to its Chainlink cross-chain bridge and said team and investor allocations are untouched on-chain.
- SAHARA is now down roughly 75% since its June 2025 debut.
Crypto World
Dollar Gains Fresh Momentum: Market Assesses the Impact of the NFP Report
The US dollar strengthened against its major counterparts after the release of a robust US labour market report. Non-farm payrolls increased by 172K in May, well above the forecast of 85K, confirming the resilience of the US economy and reducing expectations of an imminent easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. Additional support for the greenback comes from rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which continue to boost demand for safe-haven assets.
Investors remain focused on developments in the conflict between Israel and Iran. Over the weekend, both sides exchanged large-scale strikes, leading to a further escalation of tensions in the region. The increase in geopolitical risks is contributing to persistent uncertainty across global financial markets and strengthening demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven currency. Against this backdrop, market attention is gradually shifting towards upcoming US economic releases, which are expected to either confirm or challenge the sustainability of the current bullish momentum in the dollar.
USD/CAD
Previously identified reversal patterns in USD/CAD played out successfully, allowing buyers to test a key resistance level on the daily timeframe near 1.3960.
From a technical perspective, USD/CAD has approached a resistance zone formed at the end of March. Following the sharp rally, the market may enter a profit-taking phase, particularly if upcoming macroeconomic data fail to support further dollar strength. However, as long as the pair remains above nearby support levels, the upward momentum is likely to remain intact. A decisive break and close above 1.3960 could pave the way for further gains towards the 1.4000–1.4050 area.
Key events for USD/CAD:
- Today at 15:15 (GMT+3): US ADP Employment Change;
- Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): Canadian Trade Balance;
- Today at 17:00 (GMT+3): US Existing Home Sales.

USD/CHF
USD/CHF also received support from the strong NFP report and continues to advance towards this year’s March highs in the 0.8020–0.8040 region.
Technical analysis of USD/CHF points to the possibility of a test of the nearest resistance levels at 0.8020–0.8040. Should a corrective decline begin, the pair may retreat towards the 0.7910–0.7940 area.
Key events for USD/CHF:
- Today at 18:30 (GMT+3): Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate;
- Today at 19:00 (GMT+3): EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook;
- Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

In summary, the strong employment report has reinforced the dollar’s position and reduced expectations of near-term Federal Reserve policy easing. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East remain an additional supportive factor. At the same time, both USD/CAD and USD/CHF have already approached significant resistance levels, meaning that future price action will depend both on buyers’ ability to establish a foothold above key thresholds and on the next round of US macroeconomic data.
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Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Saylor’s Strategy Deathspiral Looming in the Background
Bitcoin price is trading above $62,700, recovering from its 10% weekly loss in a bearish prediction environment. Beneath the surface, a structural problem at Michael Saylor’s Strategy is building pressure that most traders haven’t priced in.
The math is quietly brutal. Strategy holds 844,000 BTC worth $51.1 billion at current levels, yet carries $21.8 billion in combined debt and preferred stock obligations. This figure has mushroomed more than threefold since early 2025, driven almost entirely by $15 billion in new preferred stock issuances.

Meanwhile, Strategy’s market cap is $41.6 billion, a 31% premium over its net asset value of $31.8 billion. That premium has no obvious floor if sentiment flips.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
Bitcoin Price Prediction: $66K or $59K Retest?
Our short-term model places immediate support at $61,500, barely 1% below spot, with a deeper structural floor near $59,000. The $59k–$60k band is the zone where a genuine drawdown scenario opens up, and that happens to align uncomfortably with Strategy’s average BTC acquisition cost of over $100,000 per coin last year. This means Saylor’s book is already deeply underwater on recent purchases.
Resistance stacks up at $65,000, then $66,000, and eventually $68,000 for any sustained bull reclaim. The pivot levels add intermediate resistance at $64,000 and $64,500, making even a modest bounce a technical obstacle course.
If BTC holds the $62,000 level with resuming ETF inflows, the price could grind back toward $66,000. But it currently looks range-bound, chop between $61k and $66k could become persistent through the week as macro data provides no clear catalyst.
However, a close below $59,000 accelerates forced selling, particularly relevant given the strategy’s leveraged structure. If BTC drops to $50k, Strategy’s fundamental net asset value collapses to roughly $23 billion, far below its current market cap.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Strategy Premium Risk Pressures BTC Sentiment
Here’s the uncomfortable question for BTC longs. If the Saylor Magic Premium evaporates, and the math above suggests it has no fundamental support, who absorbs that selling pressure?
Strategy’s share count has already ballooned from 98 million to 353 million, a 250% increase, eight times the dilution rate of the next largest large-cap diluter. That’s a structural overhead that doesn’t go away with a good macro print.
For traders who want Bitcoin ecosystem exposure without the leverage-and-dilution baggage, the calculus looks different at the infrastructure layer.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself precisely in that gap. It is the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with SVM integration, with sub-second finality and smart contract functionality that brings Solana-grade speed to Bitcoin’s security layer.
The presale has raised more than $32 million at a current price of $0.0136, with staking rewards already live for early participants. Key infrastructure includes a Decentralized Canonical Bridge for BTC transfers and low-latency transaction execution. The project has been gaining momentum alongside Bitcoin’s consolidation above $60k support.
The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Saylor’s Strategy Deathspiral Looming in the Background appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Humanity Protocol says compromised admin keys led to $36M exploit
Humanity Protocol has disclosed that more than $36 million worth of H tokens have been stolen after attackers compromised multiple administrative keys and seized control of bridge infrastructure across Ethereum and BNB Smart Chain.
Summary
- Humanity Protocol said more than $36 million was stolen after attackers compromised administrative keys linked to its Ethereum and BNB Smart Chain bridge infrastructure.
- The project said the breach began with a compromised employee laptop, allowing attackers to seize bridge controls and mint 200 million H tokens on BNB Smart Chain.
- Deposits and withdrawals on affected bridges have been suspended as Humanity Protocol works with exchanges and law enforcement on recovery efforts.
According to Humanity Protocol’s June 9 incident update, the attack originated after an employee’s laptop was compromised, allowing the attacker to gain access to key holders tied to the project’s bridge administration systems.
The disclosure expands on an earlier statement from Humanity founder and CEO Terence Kwok, who had confirmed that private keys belonging to a Humanity Foundation member were compromised.
At the time, the project warned users to avoid the Humanity bridge and related liquidity pools while an investigation was underway.
Compromised bridge controls enabled token theft and minting
Details released by Humanity Protocol show that three of six Gnosis Safe owner keys controlling the Hyperlane bridge ProxyAdmin on Ethereum were compromised. Using those credentials, the attacker transferred ownership of the ProxyAdmin contract to a wallet under their control, upgraded the bridge contract to a malicious implementation, and moved about 141.2 million H tokens in a single transaction.
On BNB Smart Chain, the attacker compromised three of five Safe owner keys and carried out a similar takeover of the bridge’s ProxyAdmin contract. Humanity Protocol said the attacker then deployed a malicious contract containing an unlimited mint function and created 200,000,005 H tokens in two separate transactions.
Earlier on June 9, on-chain analyst Specter reported that more than 17 wallets connected to or interacting with Humanity Protocol had been drained. Initial estimates placed losses near $19 million before later blockchain trackers raised the figure above $30 million.
Blockchain monitoring data cited by Specter showed that the attacker sold a portion of the stolen tokens and converted part of the proceeds into Ethereum. According to the analyst’s Telegram update, roughly $23.7 million had been swapped into ETH, while about $7.9 million remained in H tokens.
Separate monitoring from Blockaid had suggested the attacker obtained proxy administrator rights on BNB Smart Chain and minted 100 million H tokens. Humanity Protocol had not confirmed that claim at the time, though the latest incident report now confirms that the attacker gained administrative control and minted additional H on the network.
Team working with exchanges and law enforcement
In its latest statement, Humanity Protocol said deposits and withdrawals through the affected bridges have been halted while response efforts continue.
The project said it is coordinating with exchanges and other parties to reduce further damage. Alongside an internal investigation, Humanity Protocol said it is also working with police authorities in an effort to investigate the breach and recover some of the stolen funds.
“We know words can’t fix this, but we’re going to show up, keep you in the loop, and do the work to earn back the trust you placed in us. We’re not going anywhere and are still continuing to build.”
Before the latest technical breakdown was published, Kwok said the team was working with security specialists and exchange partners. No reimbursement plan or recovery framework had been announced at that stage.
Market reaction to the exploit was severe, with the protocol’s native token plummeting over 90% in the aftermath.

Source: crypto.news
Humanity Protocol operates a zkEVM-based identity network that uses zero-knowledge proofs and palm biometrics to verify users without storing their personal information in centralized identity databases.
The team said a full post-mortem report will be released once the investigation progresses further.
Crypto World
NVIDIA: Record Revenue Sustains Interest, but Shares Remain Under Pressure
NVIDIA’s revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 surged by 85% to $81.62 billion, marking another record quarter for the company. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.87, exceeding the Wall Street consensus forecast of $1.76. The primary driver of growth remains the data centre segment based on the Blackwell architecture, which accounts for approximately 92% of the company’s total revenue.
At the same time, uncertainty surrounding the Chinese market persists. Although small batches of H200 chips intended for Chinese customers received approval from US regulators, the company has yet to recognise any revenue from these shipments. Regulatory considerations therefore remain a key source of caution in investor assessments.
Technical Outlook

On the four-hour chart, an upward structure has been evident since April. The share price advanced from lows around 165 to May highs near 236, forming a series of higher lows. The ascending trendline drawn through the key support points of this move is currently being tested, with the price attempting to break below it.
The red resistance level around 232 and the green support level near 205 represent the nearest reference points within the current trading range. The Point of Control (POC) zone at 221–222 and the upper boundary of the volume profile around 225 could serve as intermediate targets should a recovery develop.
The price is currently trading below the lower boundary of the volume profile, which may act as the nearest stabilisation area if retested. The RSI indicator and moving averages are showing readings of 41, 48 and 50 respectively. The oscillator remains below the neutral zone, although the indicator’s average lines do not yet confirm the emergence of a clear directional trend.
Key Takeaways
The record earnings report was not enough to prevent a correction in NVIDIA shares, suggesting that the market had been anticipating even stronger results. Meanwhile, regulatory uncertainty regarding shipments to China remains in place. Future price performance will largely depend on how resilient demand from hyperscalers proves to be in the absence of meaningful revenue contributions from the Chinese market.
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Crypto World
SBI Shinsei Bank offers Bitcoin, Ether and XRP rewards on deposits
SBI Shinsei Bank has introduced a campaign that has linked deposit interest payments to cryptocurrency exchange vouchers worth 20% of the interest earned.
Summary
- SBI Shinsei Bank will offer crypto exchange vouchers worth 20% of deposit interest, redeemable for Bitcoin, Ether, or XRP.
- Customers must open an SBI VC Trade account to convert the vouchers into cryptocurrency during the campaign period.
- The new deposit rewards program adds to SBI Group’s growing lineup of crypto services, including lending, investment products, and crypto rewards cards.
According to a report by Nikkei, the Japanese bank will begin a three-month promotional program on Wednesday that covers both ordinary deposits and time deposits with maturities ranging from three months to five years.
Under the offer, customers will receive their regular interest in yen along with vouchers that can later be exchanged for Bitcoin, Ether, or XRP.
To redeem the rewards, customers must open an account with SBI VC Trade, the cryptocurrency exchange operated by SBI Group. Nikkei reported that the vouchers can be converted into digital assets during a designated redemption period.
By attaching crypto rewards to traditional deposit products, the bank is introducing another route for customers to gain exposure to digital assets without purchasing them directly through an exchange.
SBI adds another crypto entry point for retail customers
The latest initiative arrives as SBI Group continues to expand cryptocurrency services across multiple parts of its financial business.
Earlier this year, SBI Group partnered with Visa and Aplus on a crypto rewards credit card that allows users to earn Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP through everyday spending. The card connects reward points with SBI VC Trade and gives customers access to digital assets through card usage rather than direct market purchases.
Elsewhere in the group’s crypto business, SBI VC Trade launched a retail USDC lending service on March 18. Under the product, users lend stablecoins to the exchange for a fixed period in return for yield. SBI VC Trade said the arrangement is structured as a loan to the platform rather than a bank deposit, leaving customers exposed to counterparty risk.
Expansion efforts have also extended to the exchange sector. On May 1, SBI Group disclosed that it was considering acquiring shares in crypto exchange Bitbank and potentially turning the company into a consolidated subsidiary. The discussions followed SBI VC Trade’s absorption of Bitpoint Japan in April.
Investment products tied to digital assets are also under development. According to reports, SBI Securities plans to offer funds created by SBI Global Asset Management, including investment trusts and exchange-traded funds focused on cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ether.
Crypto World
Bank of Japan’s 1% Rate Hike Could be Critical for Bitcoin
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to raise its key short-term policy rate from 0.75% to 1.0% on June 15-16, the highest level in nearly three decades and a potential new headwind for Bitcoin.
What history shows, and how global liquidity could weigh on Bitcoin and crypto markets in the coming weeks?
Why the Bank of Japan Rate Hike Matters
A Bank of Japan rate hike is the central bank’s move to raise the cost of borrowing yen, tightening monetary policy. The June meeting could deliver the first increase in 11 months and the steepest level in nearly thirty years.
According to Nikkei, the decision arrives as Japan continues its cautious withdrawal from ultra-loose monetary policy. The country is also battling persistent inflationary pressures driven by Middle East tensions and rising energy prices worldwide.
The Bank of Japan has revised down its growth forecasts, yet it lifted its core inflation outlook for fiscal 2026. That shift strengthens the case for further policy normalization across the coming quarters, even as the wider economy slows.
For global markets, the implications are significant. Japan’s long period of ultra-low or negative rates fueled a massive yen carry trade, where investors borrowed cheaply in yen to fund higher-yielding investments worldwide, including cryptocurrencies and growth equities.
A rate hike and any resulting yen strengthening could trigger an unwind of those positions. That dynamic typically drains global liquidity and puts pressure on risk assets, with Bitcoin often near the top of the affected list.
The USD/JPY reached the psychologically important 160 level. That threshold has previously prompted intervention or tighter policy from Japanese authorities, suggesting the central bank may act even more decisively if pressure persists.
“USD/JPY is again near the 160 zone, which markets treat as Japan’s unofficial intervention line. Japan already intervened after USD/JPY hit around 160.7, pushing it back toward 155, but the yen later weakened again. that tells you intervention is losing durability unless it is backed by real BOJ tightening,” one analyst exposed.
What History Says About Bitcoin and BoJ Hikes
Crypto analysts and traders have flagged a clear historical pattern. Previous Bank of Japan rate hikes since 2024 have consistently been followed by sharp Bitcoin corrections within the weeks after the announcement.
“Everyone watches the Fed. Smart money watches the BOJ. Every major BOJ hike has drained global liquidity and Bitcoin has reacted violently after each one. The pattern is no longer coincidence the real question is whether markets already front-ran the pain this time”, one user noted in X.
The numbers are striking. Past declines ranged from roughly 23% to over 30% in the weeks following each hike, making the upcoming meeting a key moment for short-term Bitcoin investors to track closely.
Many observers worry the June hike could repeat the cycle. The combination of reduced global liquidity and forced unwinding of leveraged positions could weigh heavily on Bitcoin, which behaves as a high-beta asset across global cycles.
“The BOJ has its next rate decision on June 15-16, and markets are pricing around a 97% chance of a 25 bps rate hike. This matters because every major BOJ hike since 2024 has been followed by a brutal Bitcoin correction. March 2024 hike: Bitcoin dropped around 23%. July 2024 hike: Bitcoin dropped around 25–30%. January 2025 hike: Bitcoin dropped around 31%. December 2025 hike: Bitcoin dropped over 25%,” Crypto Rover warned.
Some traders argue the potential hike is already partially priced in. Others caution that any unexpectedly hawkish signal or surprise from the central bank could amplify volatility across both crypto and traditional financial markets.
Japan’s gradual tightening aims to anchor inflation expectations around the 2% target without derailing economic recovery. Yet for cryptocurrency investors, the so-called Japan effect remains a key macro variable to watch in 2026.
Attention will focus not just on the rate decision itself. Comments on future hikes, bond purchases, and the trajectory of the yen could be equally important in setting the tone for risk assets through the second half of 2026.
The post Bank of Japan’s 1% Rate Hike Could be Critical for Bitcoin appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Circle (CRCL) debuts cirBTC on Ethereum to challenge Coinbase (COIN) in the wrapped bitcoin market
Circle Internet’s (CRCL) wrapped version of bitcoin , cirBTC, is live on Ethereum as the company best known for its dollar-pegged stablecoin takes on Coinbase (COIN) for dominance of the synthetic BTC market.
The New York-based firm said it developed cirBTC, a token backed 1:1 by the world’s largest cryptocurrency, to allow traders to access their bitcoin wealth in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, including lending, decentralized exchange (DEXs), tokenized assets and stablecoins.
Synthetic, or wrapped, bitcoin tokens exist to address the historical lack of provision for DeFi activities on the Bitcoin network. Many cryptocurrency users prefer to hold only bitcoin because it is worth more than every other crypto combined. But using it for DeFi is challenging because that Bitcoin lacks the native programmability of networks like Ethereum.
The first token to cross the divide, wrapped bitcoin (wBTC), was introduced in 2019 and remains the largest, with a market cap of around $7.3 billion. Coinbase’s (COIN) cbBTC, which appeared in 2024, sits at just under $5.4 billion.
Circle is pitching cirBTC to institutions that may focus their crypto allocation on BTC and are familiar with the company and trust its infrastructure due to its visibility in the stablecoin market. Circle’s USDC is the second-largest stablecoin on the market with a cap of over $75 billion.
The introduction of cirBTC could see Circle going head to head with Coinbase and wBTC’s primary custodian, BitGo Holdings (BTGO), for dominance of the institutional synthetic BTC market.
The market cap of all synthetic bitcoin tokens combined hovers between $12.5 billion and $13.5 billion, representing about 1% of bitcoin’s total value of around $1.25 trillion.
Crypto World
BTC, ETH, and XRP Flash Buy Signals After Market Sell-Off: Santiment
During the recent market sell-off, several major crypto assets fell into historic “buy zones,” as indicated by their 30-day MVRV metric, which flashed signals seen in other cycles, according to on-chain analytics firm Santiment.
The firm added that early signs of a relief rally were already appearing across many of the flagged assets.
What the MVRV Data Is Showing
Santiment’s MVRV measures the average profit or loss of traders who opened positions in the last month. The idea is simple: when the average is deeply negative, it means that most recent buyers are sitting on losses, and the selling pressure that usually follows such periods tends to eventually exhaust itself.
According to the firm, that exhaustion point is the moment when “weak hands capitulate, and long-term investors begin accumulating.”
During the freefall between mid-May and early June, five major assets all hit negative MVRV readings at the same time, with Bitcoin (BTC) at -10%, Ethereum (ETH) at -12%, and XRP at -8%. All these, per Santiment’s assessment, fell into what it described as a “fair buy” zone.
Others with a negative 30-day MVRV were Chainlink (LINK) and Cardano (ADA), whose -18% put it in the “strong buy” zone. The analytics platform noted that its chart showed that many of these assets had already started rebounding after entering these zones, thus “reinforcing a pattern that has repeated throughout multiple market cycles.”
It was, however, careful not to overstate the signal, writing that “no indicator guarantees immediate gains” but saying that the recent bounce suggested that the pain of average traders had “reached levels severe enough to create favorable risk-reward conditions across much of the crypto market.”
Where Crypto Markets Stand
The broader picture is a bit messy, with BTC trading around $63,000 at the time of writing, an improvement of just 1% in 24 hours. Additionally, per CoinGecko data, the OG crypto was down nearly 11% over the past week, after plunging to $59,000 last Friday for the first time since November 2024.
One analyst, Merlijn The Trader, predicted the bounce from $59,000, but warned that it may not be the full story. He drew a parallel to the 2022 bear market where a similar rebound came right before the actual capitulation low. According to him, BTC could push toward $65,000 to $70,000 before a final leg down into a DCA zone between $48,000 and $59,000.
On its part, ETH was changing hands at just under $1,700, up by roughly 2% on the day but still down nearly 16% on the week. Like Bitcoin, the weekend was also poor for the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency after it slumped to a 14-month low near $1,500.
Most other large-cap assets, including the rest on Santiment’s list, also posted similarly modest daily recoveries while remaining deeply negative across seven-day and monthly windows.
The post BTC, ETH, and XRP Flash Buy Signals After Market Sell-Off: Santiment appeared first on CryptoPotato.
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