Connect with us

Crypto World

Solana (SOL) Bleeds Heavily, Yet Key Indicator Flashes a Buy Signal: Details

Published

on

The past few weeks have been devastating for the cryptocurrency market, with Solana (SOL) being hit especially hard.

And while some analysts expect further losses in the near future, certain indicators signal that a much-needed recovery could be knocking on the door.

Buy Now?

Earlier this month, SOL collapsed to around $60, the lowest level since the end of 2023. As of this writing, it trades at roughly $63 (according to CoinGecko), which is a 33% monthly drop, while its market capitalization has fallen well below $40 billion.

According to Ali Martinez, though, the current bottom might present an excellent opportunity for investors to jump on the bandwagon. He revealed that the TD Sequential indicator has flashed a buy signal on SOL, meaning the price could soon head north to $77.

Advertisement

Another technical analysis tool that suggests a resurgence might be on the way is Solana’s Relative Strength Index. Its ratio (on a daily scale) recently dipped to approximately 15, its lowest mark ever. The index ranges from 0 to 100, and readings below 30 indicate that the asset is oversold and on the verge of a potential rebound. On the other hand, anything above 70 is a warning for a possible pullback ahead.

SOL RSI
SOL RSI, Source: CryptoWaves

X user Henry supported the optimistic outlook. They noted SOL’s recent decline but argued that it looks “absolutely bullish” at the moment, predicting a W-shaped recovery beyond $88, assuming bulls reclaim $79.9. At the same time, the analyst warned that losing the major support level at $60 could be catastrophic.

More Pain Ahead?

Despite the positive signals, the bearish market conditions remain an obstacle, with some industry participants expecting a further price crash for SOL. X user cyclop envisioned a short-term plunge to the $30-$40 range, a level last visited in October 2023. Nevertheless, the analyst is optimistic for the long term, forecasting a pump to $300 in the next 1-2 years.

Lately, many investors have transferred their holdings from self-custody to centralized exchanges: a development that intensifies fears of an additional correction by increasing immediate selling pressure.

SOL Exchange Netflow
SOL Exchange Netflow, Source: CoinGlass

Another worrying factor is the waning interest from institutional investors. Over the past few days, outflows from spot SOL ETFs have exceeded inflows, indicating that pension funds, hedge funds, and other market players have reduced their exposure to the asset. This, in turn, has required the products’ issuers, including Bitwise, Fidelity, Grayscale, Invesco, and others, to sell real SOL to properly back the shares.

Spot SOL ETFs
Spot SOL ETFs, Source: SoSoValue

The post Solana (SOL) Bleeds Heavily, Yet Key Indicator Flashes a Buy Signal: Details appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Divided Fed holds interest rates steady

Published

on

FOMC votes to keep funds rate unchanged
FOMC votes to keep funds rate unchanged

WASHINGTON – The Federal Reserve on Wednesday voted to hold its key interest rate steady but not without opposition from three officials who have expressed concern over inflation and wanted to hike.

Despite increasing support among some officials for a rate increase, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-3 to leave the federal funds rate in a range between 3.5% and 3.75%.

All of the “no” votes came from regional presidents – Beth Hammack of Cleveland, Neel Kashkari of Minneapolis and Lorie Logan of Dallas – who had been the most explicit about the need for higher rates to address inflation that has been above the Fed’s 2% target for more than five years.

The post-meeting statement noted that the three dissenters “preferred to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by ¼ percentage point at this meeting.”

Advertisement

An early challenge for Warsh

This is the first time since September 2016 that three policymakers dissented with a unified view of which direction rates should head.

“We’re reading this as a Committee with vocal hawks,” said Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates at BMO Capital Markets.

The no votes presented an early challenge for Chairman Kevin Warsh, whose refusal to provide clear road signs on where monetary policy is headed led to an unusually high level of uncertainty heading into the meeting.

Markets largely had expected the central bank policymakers to approve another hold on rates, though there had been some inclination – about a 1-in-3 chance, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool – that a surprise rate hike was in the cards. Prediction markets had a higher level of certainty that the Fed would hold.

Advertisement

Warsh has argued that the Fed should spend less time trying to tell markets what it will do and instead emphasizing the conditions under which action would be taken. However, Wednesday’s statement provided neither, even with markets largely expecting the Fed to hike in September.

The post-meeting statement was almost identical to the one following the June 17 decision and was in keeping with the Fed’s actions all year, following three rate cuts in the latter part of 2025.

Officials again noted that “Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty that owes, in part, to the conflict in the Middle East.” The statement further said that job growth has “kept pace with the workforce and the unemployment rate has changed little” even as the U.S. labor force has contracted.

As in June, the statement concluded with the simple declaratory, “The Committee will deliver price stability.”

Advertisement

“The Fed appears to be running out of patience with above-target inflation, despite recent data coming in cold,” said Kay Haigh, global head and chief investment officer of fixed income and liquidity solutions at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. “The committee’s growing hawkish sentiment, shown by the three dissents against today’s hold, has also likely been exacerbated by the recent flare up in hostilities in the Middle East.”

Officials favoring tighter policy argued inflation has been a burden on households and is not showing clear signs of abating. Recent price pressures have reflected both tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump and higher energy costs tied to the Iran conflict.

The full committee in June penciled in one quarter-percentage-point increase by the end of 2026.

Disparate policy views

Governor Christopher Waller also voiced worries recently over inflation, saying higher rates could be necessary if more progress isn’t made. However, he voted in favor of a hold at this meeting.

Advertisement

For his part, Warsh has called inflation “a choice,” and he repeatedly stressed the importance of getting prices in check during recent hearings on Capitol Hill.

But from a policy perspective, Warsh has expressed disdain for the Fed’s past practice of providing forward guidance on its expectations for rates.

Keeping with Warsh’s first meeting, the statement was much shorter than what had become the norm. Warsh has stressed changing the way the Fed communicates, even dedicating one of five task forces he has created to address the issue.

In the weeks leading up to the meeting, his FOMC colleagues had expressed disparate policy views.

Advertisement

New York Fed Chair John Williams has said he sees current policy well positioned to bring inflation back to target. However, Logan countered that “modestly” higher rates would be needed. Hammack also has been an inflation hawk, citing the pressure households are facing from persistently higher prices across the board.

Earlier this week, Trump showed support for Warsh, calling him “fantastic” while noting other Fed officials had “bad intentions” and perhaps had political motivations.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Velotrade publishes comparative review of six prop firms’ rulebooks, finding most funded accounts are closed by rules, not trading

Published

on

Velotrade publishes comparative review of six prop firms' rulebooks, finding most funded accounts are closed by rules, not trading
  • Hidden trading rules often matter more than profit splits.
  • Compare drawdown and payout rules before buying a challenge.
  • Rulebook transparency helps traders avoid costly surprises.

HONG KONG, July 29, 2026 — Velotrade today released its 2026 Prop Firm Transparency Report, a comparative review of the published rulebooks of six proprietary trading firms, Topstep, FTMO, FundingPips, Blue Guardian, HyroTrader and Velotrade.

The report examines the terms that determine whether a funded trader is ultimately paid, and concludes that most funded accounts are closed not because of poor trading, but because of rules set out in evaluation guides and help-center pages.

According to the report, across more than 300,000 funded accounts, only around 7% of traders ever drew a payout, and the reason typically had little to do with trading ability.

The report is intended, Velotrade said, to help traders compare firms on the terms that most often decide a payout rather than on profit splits alone.

Its central finding is that a trader can clear every stage of a challenge and close a position in profit, yet still have the account terminated over a clause that was not read at the point of purchase.

Advertisement

“Could a trader read our rules once, in one sitting, and know every way their account could end?

If the answer is no, the rulebook is not finished. Most of this industry has treated that as a marketing problem.

We think it is the entire product,” said Gianluca Pizzituti, Chief Executive Officer of Velotrade.

Rules, not losing trades, account for most closures

The report cites two separate industry datasets in support of its central claim:

Advertisement
  • In a 2024 study by FPFX Tech covering more than 300,000 accounts (reported via Finance Magnates), just 7% of traders ever reached a payout, and only about 14% cleared a challenge in the first place.
  • A separate 500,000-trader analysis by hoc-trade found that roughly 70% of failures came from hitting loss limits, not from missing profit targets.
  • Consistency rules can erase 33% to 50% of the profit made on a single strong day. Four of the six firms reviewed apply one.

Taken together, the report argues, the figures point to a consistent conclusion: the trade is seldom the issue, the rulebook is.

A market expanding as firms fail

The report situates its findings against rapid growth in the sector.

It notes that monthly searches for “prop firm” climbed from roughly 880 in early 2020 to about 49,500 by 2025, a 56-fold increase, drawing waves of first-time buyers into an industry whose decisive terms sit off the sales page.

That growth, the report states, has been accompanied by high-profile failures.

After MetaQuotes withdrew MT4 and MT5 licenses from prop firms serving US clients in February 2024, several prominent names collapsed.

Advertisement

The report records that The Funded Trader halted operations and later acknowledged more than $2 million in denied payouts; True Forex Funds shut down citing insolvency, leaving roughly 300 traders owed $1.2 million; and SurgeTrader closed within days, with its CEO conceding that about 10% of payout obligations went unpaid.

The same trade, two firms, two outcomes

Every prop account has a maximum-loss line, the report explains, but firms set it in fundamentally different ways, and the difference can decide the identical trade twice.

A fixed drawdown is set from the starting balance and does not shift: on a $100,000 account with a 10% limit, the account fails at $90,000. A trailing drawdown rises with equity and does not fall back.

To illustrate, the report models one account through both approaches.

Advertisement

An ordinary day-seven pullback bottoms out about $10,000 above a fixed $90,000 floor, leaving the account intact and finishing up roughly $6,500.

Under a trailing floor that has ratcheted up near the peak, the report states, the very same dip breaches the line and closes the account outright.

It notes that FTMO anchors its maximum loss at 10% of the starting balance, while Topstep’s trailing limit rises with the end-of-day balance and locks at the start.

Neither firm conceals its model, the report says, but the distinction between fixed and trailing is decisive rather than a footnote.

Advertisement

Consistency rules and the penalty for a strong day

A consistency rule limits how much of a trader’s total profit can come from any one session, the report explains, meaning a trader can perform strongly and still fail.

Under a 40% single-day cap with a $1,000 target, it notes, a strong $450 session represents 45% of profit, over the line, so the evaluation fails even though the target was met.

According to the report, Topstep, FundingPips, Blue Guardian and HyroTrader each apply a version of the rule, during evaluation or on a payout tier, and FTMO applies a 50% Best Day Rule on its 1-Step product, documented in its help center rather than the headline rules.

It adds that the tightest single-day caps tend to sit on the most attractive payout options, and that Velotrade applies no consistency rule at any stage.

Advertisement

For readers weighing the crypto-focused end of the market, Velotrade’s rundown of the top crypto prop firms sets these terms out side by side.

The rule that can close a profitable trade

Loss limits close the most accounts, the report states, but it identifies a quieter rule as the hardest to anticipate, because it can shut an account on a trade that never closes at a loss.

The report describes a max-risk-per-trade rule, which caps how much any single position or trade idea may lose at any moment, measured on unrealized, floating profit and loss rather than on closed trades.

It sits beneath the advertised daily loss limit.

Advertisement

If an open trade’s paper loss so much as touches the cap intraday, even for a second, the report explains, the rule can trigger and the account is closed, even if that trade would have gone on to close in profit.

The report identifies three features that make the rule easy to miss at the point of purchase:

  • It is measured on unrealized loss, so the trade never has to close in the red.
  • It can switch on only after funding, meaning a trader can pass the entire evaluation without ever meeting the rule that then governs the funded account.
  • It can aggregate re-entries, so closing a losing trade and reopening in the same direction can combine the losses toward the cap.

The report notes that firms name the rule differently. Blue Guardian’s “Guardian Shield” force-closes trades near 1-2% unrealized (depending on account type), with a first breach cutting the split to 50% and a second closing the account.

FundingPips applies a “Risk Per Trade Idea” rule at the funded stage that aggregates re-entries. HyroTrader requires a stop-loss within five minutes of every trade, monitored live.

Velotrade, the report states, publishes no secondary per-trade or per-idea cap beneath its daily limit.

Advertisement

None of these is illegitimate as risk management, the report says. Its argument concerns placement: a rule that can end a funded account arguably belongs next to the price, not several pages into a help center.

The six rulebooks, side by side

The report’s full rulebook comparison sets all six firms against the terms that most often decide a payout.

Velotrade noted that, because it both published the report and appears in the final column, that column reflects a market participant’s own position rather than a neutral grade, and said traders should verify current terms directly with each firm.

The comparison, as published in the report, is reproduced below.

Advertisement
Firm Drawdown Model Floating P&L Counted Consistency Rule Position Risk Rule News Trading Weekend Holding Rules Change Where the Detail Lives
FTMO Fixed, from initial balance (10%) Yes, loss line includes unrealized P&L Best day threshold on some account types No secondary per-trade cap on standard accounts Unrestricted in evaluation; short window around targeted releases once funded Allowed in evaluation; funded Standard must close before the weekend; Swing exempt Yes, news and weekend rules tighten at the funded Standard stage Trading objectives pages, FAQ
Topstep Trailing, end of day, locks at starting balance Yes, realized and unrealized P&L Best day threshold in evaluation; separate threshold on payout No formal per-trade cap; full size into major news is a listed risk No fixed blackout window; maximum size into major news flagged Not permitted at any stage; day-trading program with a fixed daily loss Consistency requirement and payout path differ once funded Help center articles
FundingPips Varies by product; most models fixed, one product trails 5% from peak equity Yes, on the daily loss limit across models Consistency score gates the higher on-demand payout tier “Risk Per Trade Idea” cap, funded stage only, aggregates re-entries Unrestricted in evaluation; funded accounts restricted near high-impact news Allowed in evaluation; funded accounts under a temporary restriction Yes; per-trade cap and news and weekend rules activate once funded Rules pages and payout terms
Blue Guardian Daily loss limit plus trailing mechanics, varies by product Yes, uses balance or equity, whichever is higher Applies during evaluation; varies by product “Guardian Shield” near 2% unrealized; first trigger cuts split, second closes Broadly permitted in evaluation; short restricted window Generally permitted, subject to plan rules Yes; the floating loss shield and news restriction are documented Blog and rules documentation
HyroTrader Varies by plan; optional upgrade converts trailing daily Yes, daily drawdown monitored in real time Applies during evaluation only; drops away once funded Mandatory stop-loss within 5 minutes of every trade, monitored live Holding through news permitted; news-only strategies restricted Permitted at every stage, reflecting 24/7 crypto markets Yes; the consistency requirement applies only during evaluation Terms and FAQ
Velotrade Fixed, disclosed from initial balance No secondary floating loss cap published None at any stage, per published rules None published beneath the daily limit Permitted at every stage, per published rules Permitted at every stage, per published rules No; rules stated as consistent from purchase Single published rules page

Source: each firm’s own published rules pages, help-center articles and FAQs, captured July 2026. “Varies by product” means the answer differs across a firm’s account types. Terms change frequently, so confirm current conditions before purchasing.

Where the established firms lead

The report is candid about the other side of the ledger. As a prop firm, Velotrade is new, having launched its challenges in 2026, while FTMO (2015) and Topstep (2012) have run trader evaluations for far longer.

Paying out funded traders at scale, the report acknowledges, is something only time proves, and on that specific record the incumbents have years of history while Velotrade is early.

It notes that several firms also scale funded accounts well beyond Velotrade’s $200,000 ceiling and support more platforms, and advises traders to weigh a clean rulebook and a paid-out track record together.

Advertisement

A ten-minute check before buying a challenge

The report’s practical recommendation is that ten minutes spent reading the terms may matter more than any comparison of profit splits. Drawing on its review of six prop firm rulebooks, it advises traders to establish:

  • Drawdown mechanics: fixed from the initial balance or trailing equity? If trailing, end-of-day or tick-by-tick, and when does it lock?
  • Consistency rules: evaluation, funded, or both? Tied to a payout tier? What is the exact single-day cap?
  • Per-trade caps: is there a secondary cap beneath the daily limit, does it measure unrealized losses, and does it aggregate re-entries?
  • Funded-stage changes: do rules activate, tighten or disappear once funded, and does the account start at a reduced balance?
  • Payout conditions: minimum trading days, withdrawal frequency, first-payout waiting periods, and whether a payout can be declined at the firm’s discretion.
  • Where it is written: are all account-ending rules on a single page, and can support point to each one in writing?

Regulatory attention is increasing

The report notes growing regulatory scrutiny of the sector.

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission is expected to open a public consultation on 1 August 2026 (comments close 30 November 2026) on whether challenge fees amount to “commodity-pool participation interests”, a designation that could bring evaluation-based US futures prop firms under CFTC and NFA registration.

In Europe, the report states, the FCA and ESMA have reiterated that prop marketing to retail must carry prominent risk warnings and drop misleading performance claims, and regulators in Europe, Australia and North America are examining whether charging a fee without delivering funding resembles a pay-to-play model.

None of this is settled law, the report cautions, and some bodies, including CySEC and, for now, ESMA, have signalled that prop trading is not an immediate priority.

Advertisement

But the direction of travel, it argues, is toward standardised, upfront disclosure, the same shift most other consumer financial products have already made.

Conclusion

The report concludes that the prop model itself is sound, since backing skilled traders with firm capital is a reasonable idea, and that what lags is disclosure at the point of sale.

Comparing rulebooks, it argues, deserves at least the same weight traders give to comparing profit splits, because the rulebook, in the end, decides whether the split is ever paid.

About Velotrade

Velotrade is a proprietary trading firm offering funded trading challenges across crypto, forex, stocks, indices and commodities, built around a single, fully published rulebook and a fixed drawdown model.

Advertisement

The firm puts transparency at the center of its offering, aiming to ensure that every rule capable of ending an account is disclosed in one place before a trader buys.

Velotrade Re Limited is incorporated and registered in Hong Kong, where its founding team has operated a licensed invoice-finance business since 2016, with founders drawn from JP Morgan, Bank of America and Dresdner Kleinwort.

All trading services are provided in a simulated environment using demo accounts with simulated funds. For more information, visit velotrade.com.

Media Contact: Velotrade Press Office, [email protected]

Advertisement

Disclaimer: This press release is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Figures and firm terms are drawn from Velotrade’s 2026 Prop Firm Transparency Report and publicly available sources as of mid-2026; terms change frequently, and readers should verify current conditions directly with each firm before purchasing any evaluation. Trading carries significant risk.

This article is authored by a third party, and CoinJournal does not endorse or take responsibility for its content, accuracy, quality, advertisements, products, or materials. Readers should independently research and exercise due diligence before making decisions related to the mentioned company.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Freehand raises $75M to automate enterprise supply-chain spending

Published

on

Paradigm leads M1X Global seed round as funding reaches $8.5M

Freehand has raised $75 million to expand AI agents that handle invoices, supplier negotiations, payments, and other supply-chain tasks for large companies.

Summary

  • Battery Ventures and NewRoad Capital Partners co-led the $75 million funding round.
  • Freehand says its agents are deployed at Meta, Unilever, Pfizer, and Johnson & Johnson.
  • Customers recovered 5% to 10% of spending in some categories, according to company data.
  • The startup will expand beyond invoice management into broader supply-chain operations.

Freehand secures $75 million from US investors

Battery Ventures and NewRoad Capital Partners co-led the round, with Nexus Venture Partners and PSP Growth also participating. Former US Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker runs PSP Growth.

Freehand did not disclose the funding round’s valuation or specify whether it issued equity, debt, or another security. Battery Ventures general partner Dharmesh Thakker will join the startup’s board as part of the transaction.

Advertisement

The funding follows Freehand’s emergence from stealth in February. The company says its software is already used by Meta, Unilever, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer, Dunkin’, and Cardinal Health, although it has not disclosed the size or duration of those commercial agreements.

Unilever confirmed it had adopted the technology for supply-chain work.

“Freehand marks one of the first full-scale agentic deployments at Unilever,” Matt Algar, the company’s global vice-president of supply chain, said.

Algar described the deployment as a shift “from software that assists to software that runs our supply chain.”

Advertisement

How Freehand’s AI agents manage company spending

Freehand focuses on the procure-to-pay process, beginning with invoices. Its AI agents can review contracts, negotiate supplier rates, identify overbilling, process payments, and reconcile transactions inside a customer’s enterprise resource planning system.

These jobs have traditionally required a mix of legacy software and outsourced back-office teams. Freehand is betting that companies will increasingly use autonomous software to complete the work instead of only producing recommendations for human employees.

Its system uses what the company calls a Category Context Graph. The data structure connects information from emails and documents with transaction records stored inside company systems, creating a history of decisions, exceptions, and spending within each category.

Freehand claims early customers completed workflows five to seven times faster and reduced procure-to-pay cycles by more than 70%. It also says some customers recovered between 5% and 10% of spending in complex categories, but those figures have not been independently audited.

Advertisement

US supply-chain costs create an opening for AI

Freehand is targeting a large segment of American business spending. US companies spend more than $20 trillion annually on materials, logistics, data centers, and services, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis figures cited by the startup.

The company estimates that enterprises also spend $16 billion each year on supply-chain software and $348 billion on workers handling tasks that existing systems cannot complete. Those figures are Freehand’s estimates rather than independently verified market totals.

Tariffs, taxes, and tighter immigration rules are adding costs to the outsourcing model used by many US companies. Freehand argues that these pressures could encourage businesses to automate more finance and supply-chain operations.

Funding continues across AI, fintech, and crypto infrastructure

Freehand’s round comes amid continued investor interest in software that automates financial and operational processes. Financial infrastructure startup Augustus raised $180 million in a Series B round at a $1 billion valuation to connect traditional payment networks with stablecoins and continuous settlement.

Advertisement

As crypto.news previously reported, World Foundation secured $52.5 million through a strategic WLD token sale to expand its World ID network. All tokens purchased in that transaction will remain locked for one year.

Robinhood Chain launch platform Memecoin.Fun also raised $3.5 million through USDG. The platform plans to develop launchpad infrastructure, cross-chain bridge functions, and tools supporting memecoins across several blockchains.

Freehand will use its new capital to move beyond invoice checking and payments. Its longer-term plan is to deploy agents across more supply-chain processes and spending categories, placing the company in direct competition with procurement platforms, business-process outsourcing firms, and established enterprise software providers.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Breaking Down the Surprisingly Emotional Ending of Shark Thriller The Devil’s Mouth

Published

on

Breaking Down the Surprisingly Emotional Ending of Shark Thriller The Devil’s Mouth

Before Max’s death, Sara and Max discover an opening that could lead outside the cave. However, they realize the drop is too high to escape safely. Their plan is to wait for the tide to rise, allowing them to jump safely into the ocean from the opening without risking a dangerous fall.

After Max dies, Sara is alone inside the cave. She uses the flare she was carrying to distract the shark and force it away. With it still following her, Sara creates a trap using the unstable rocks inside the cave. She draws the shark toward her and causes it to repeatedly crash into the rocks, until they eventually collapse and crush the shark.

After defeating the shark, Sara searches for another way out of the cave. She finds a second opening in the cave system and climbs through it, emerging near the beach, with trees and sand surrounding the area. Unlike the previous opening that led out toward the ocean, this exit allows Sara to reach land and finally escape the Devil’s Mouth alive.

Reflecting on Sara’s transformation, Newton says portraying her growth required embracing the character’s initial insecurity and her reliance on Max as a source of confidence. “I didn’t like that Sara was such a baby and had to lean into it to discover her strength,” she says. She also highlights the importance of Sara and Max’s complicated friendship, explaining that Wadlow was drawn to “how they have to really turn against each other to find each other.”

Advertisement

By the end of the film, Sara becomes the one making the decisions and taking control of her own survival. “Once I became the apex predator that a teenage girl is, I couldn’t be stopped,” Newton adds.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Coinbase stock holds $163 support before Q2 earnings

Published

on

Coinbase daily chart shows COIN consolidating near $164 between its 20-day and 50-day moving averages as ADX falls to 10.22.

Coinbase stock traded near $164 on Wednesday as investors weighed weak Q2 revenue expectations against Rosenblatt’s $240 price target and growth in newer business lines.

Summary

  • COIN fell 2.07% to $164.43, remaining close to its 20-day and 50-day moving averages.
  • Analysts expect Q2 revenue of $1.31 billion, down 12.8% from a year earlier.
  • Rosenblatt maintained its Buy rating and $240 target, citing derivatives and prediction markets.
  • An ADX reading of 10.22 signals weak momentum before the July 30 earnings release.

Coinbase stock consolidates ahead of earnings

Coinbase (COIN) shares traded at $164.43 on July 29, down 2.07% during the session after moving between $163.04 and $169.69. The stock has stabilized since falling below $140 in late June, but buyers have yet to establish a clear upward trend.

The company will publish its second-quarter results after the market closes on July 30. Coinbase has also scheduled a question-and-answer session for 2 p.m. Pacific Time that day, according to its investor relations announcement.

Advertisement

Wall Street expects revenue to reach approximately $1.31 billion for the April-to-June period. That would represent a 12.8% decline from the $1.50 billion reported in the second quarter of 2025. It would also fall below the $1.41 billion generated during Q1 2026.

Lower crypto trading activity remains the main earnings risk. Coinbase depends partly on transaction fees, leaving its quarterly results exposed to changes in digital asset prices, volatility and retail participation.

Rosenblatt sees Coinbase reaching $240

Rosenblatt maintained its Buy rating and $240 price target before the report. That target implies roughly 46% upside from the stock’s current price.

Advertisement

The investment firm expects Coinbase’s core crypto trading business to remain under pressure but sees derivatives and prediction markets becoming more meaningful revenue sources. Its target is based on 25 times the firm’s estimate for Coinbase’s adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in 2027.

That view reflects Coinbase’s attempt to reduce its reliance on spot trading fees. Investors will therefore look beyond total revenue and examine whether newer products can offset weakness in the company’s core exchange business.

Advertisement

JPMorgan has taken a more cautious position. The bank recently cut its Coinbase price target from $283 to $196 after lowering earnings estimates linked to the company’s USDC revenue-sharing arrangement with Hyperliquid.

Under that structure, Coinbase can classify USDC held on Hyperliquid as on-platform balances but returns 90% of the related reserve income to the decentralized exchange. JPMorgan argued that the agreement could weaken the economics of Coinbase’s stablecoin business, according to a previous crypto.news report.

COIN price lacks a clear trend

The daily chart shows COIN trading between two short-term moving averages. Price at $164.43 sits below the 20-day simple moving average at $165.90 but remains above the 50-day SMA at $162.97.

Coinbase daily chart shows COIN consolidating near $164 between its 20-day and 50-day moving averages as ADX falls to 10.22.
Coinbase price daily chart | Source: TradingView

That positioning points to consolidation rather than a confirmed breakout. A close above $165.90 would be an initial sign of improving short-term momentum, while the $169–$170 area forms the next resistance zone.

A stronger move could bring the 100-day SMA at $178.81 into focus. That level has been falling and remains the main medium-term barrier. Reclaiming it would place COIN on firmer technical ground, although the stock would still trade well below its 200-day SMA at $214.47.

Advertisement

The average directional index stands at 10.22. ADX readings below 20 generally indicate that neither buyers nor sellers control a strong trend. The low reading also suggests earnings could provide the catalyst needed for COIN to move out of its recent range.

Key Coinbase stock levels to watch

Immediate support sits at the 50-day SMA of $162.97. A daily close below that line could expose the $155 region, where buyers returned several times during July.

Further selling would place the $145–$150 zone at risk. That area includes the late-June reversal range, while the June low near $139 remains the larger downside level.

On the bullish side, COIN must first break through $166 and then clear $170. A move above both levels could support a test of $178.81. Earnings above expectations or evidence of stronger derivatives, stablecoin and prediction-market revenue could help drive that scenario.

Advertisement

Rosenblatt’s $240 target remains more ambitious. COIN would need to recover the 100-day and 200-day averages before that level becomes technically viable.

CLARITY Act remains a post-earnings risk

US regulatory developments could influence Coinbase shares after the earnings-driven volatility fades. The CLARITY Act is intended to define the respective roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission in overseeing digital assets.

Lower expectations for the bill’s passage could limit the regulatory upside previously priced into US crypto stocks. A delay would preserve uncertainty for exchanges, token issuers and institutional investors considering broader participation in the market.

Coinbase could benefit if lawmakers establish clearer rules and bring more activity onshore. However, its immediate direction will depend on Q2 revenue, trading volumes, stablecoin income and management’s outlook for the rest of 2026.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Patrick Witt hits back at 134 bank leaders over CLARITY Act

Published

on

CLARITY Act's real obstacle: Trump's crypto business

White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt criticized banking leaders seeking tighter stablecoin reward restrictions as Senate delays pushed the CLARITY Act’s passage odds to a record low.

Summary

  • 134 banking executives and leaders urged senators to expand restrictions on stablecoin rewards and incentives.
  • Witt accused banks of opposing legislation that already prohibits stablecoin issuers from paying interest.
  • Polymarket traders cut the bill’s 2026 passage odds to a record-low 27%.
  • Senate scheduling decisions have narrowed the window for action before the Aug. 8 recess.

Patrick Witt challenges banks over CLARITY Act

Witt pushed back after 134 banking executives and industry leaders sent Senate lawmakers a letter seeking changes to Section 10404 of the CLARITY Act.

The section restricts issuers from paying interest or yield on payment stablecoins. Banking groups want lawmakers to extend the restriction to rewards, bonuses and other incentives offered by stablecoin firms or their partners.

Advertisement

Witt framed the request as inconsistent with the industry’s wider opposition to the market structure bill.

“Banks: We must ban the payment of interest on stablecoins to protect community bank lending!.”

He then noted that the CLARITY Act already bans interest payments before criticizing banks that still warn the bill could damage community lending.

His comments targeted the difference between banks’ support for an interest ban and their objections to other parts of the legislation. Bank representatives maintain that the existing language may leave room for stablecoin platforms to offer benefits with the same economic effect as interest.

Advertisement

Why banks want a wider stablecoin reward ban

Signatories included leaders tied to Bank of America, U.S. Bank, Zions Bank, First Hawaiian Bank, Bank of Hawaii, Hancock Whitney Bank, FNBO, Eastern Bank, Lake City Bank and Univest Financial Corporation.

The group said payment stablecoins should function as transaction tools rather than long-term savings products. It warned that rewards linked to a user’s balance or holding period could encourage customers to move money out of insured bank accounts.

Banking leaders claimed that large deposit outflows could reduce the funding available for lending to households, farmers, small businesses and local employers. They estimated that the effect could drain hundreds of billions of dollars from the traditional banking system.

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon has taken a different position by supporting the CLARITY Act. His stance separates the investment bank from groups demanding tighter stablecoin provisions before the Senate moves forward.

Advertisement

The debate has direct implications for US stablecoin users. Broader restrictions could limit the rewards that exchanges and other service providers offer, even when stablecoin issuers do not pay interest directly.

CLARITY Act odds fall to a record-low 27%

The banking dispute comes as the CLARITY Act faces a shrinking Senate calendar. Polymarket traders have reduced the probability that the legislation becomes law in 2026 to 27%, its lowest recorded level.

Galaxy Digital has separately lowered its passage estimate to 30% as negotiations extend deeper into the legislative year.

Senate Republicans recently released an updated 616-page draft combining texts from the Senate Banking and Agriculture committees. The framework would place digital commodity spot markets under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission while allowing the Securities and Exchange Commission to oversee investment contract assets.

Advertisement

It also includes protections for certain software developers, blockchain developers and decentralized networks that do not control customer assets. White House-backed ethics provisions would restrict digital asset issuance involving federal officials and their spouses.

Senate delay leaves little time before recess

Senate Majority Leader John Thune postponed CLARITY Act action while lawmakers considered federal nominees and the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia Act of 2026. Senators voted on July 28 to advance the sanctions package, leaving fewer working days before the Aug. 8 recess.

Crypto industry participants have urged Thune to begin the cloture process before lawmakers leave Washington, even if a final vote cannot occur. A procedural vote would test whether the bill has enough bipartisan support to overcome Senate hurdles later in 2026.

Failure to begin that process would push the legislation further into an already crowded calendar. Stablecoin reward rules remain one of the issues lawmakers must resolve before the broader US crypto market structure framework can advance.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Federal Reserve holds rates steady, extending pause as markets await Warsh’s policy roadmap

Published

on

Crypto Week Ahead

The Federal Reserve left its benchmark fed funds rate range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% on Wednesday, extending its pause for a sixth consecutive meeting as policymakers continue to grapple with stubborn inflation.

“Inflation remains elevated relative to the Committee’s 2 percent goal, in part reflecting supply shocks that have driven price increases in certain sectors, including energy,” the policy statement read.

“Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty that owes, in part, to the conflict in the Middle East. Productivity growth and capital investment are strong,” the statement added. “Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little.”

There were three committee members dissenting, preferring to raise rates by 25 basis points. Nine voted to keep policy in place.

Advertisement

Bitcoin climbed to above $64,400 following the decision, up over 1% over the past 24 hours. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq bounced, trimming earlier declines. Gold also rose, up 1.2% through the day.

The decision came after one of the most uncertain pre-meeting setups in years. Futures markets had assigned roughly a 65% probability to a hold and 35% odds of a quarter-point increase, according to CME FedWatch data.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Registry Model, 13 Chains: How 1inch Aqua Tackles DeFi’s Fragmented Liquidity

Published

on

⬇

1inch has moved its Aqua liquidity protocol from developer preview to full public release, covering 13 EVM-compatible networks simultaneously, a scope that puts it in direct contact with most of the chains where professional market makers and retail liquidity providers already operate.

The launch addresses one of DeFi’s most persistent structural problems: capital that sits idle across fragmented pools on separate chains, earning suboptimal yields and forcing providers to manage positions across incompatible interfaces.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

How Aqua’s Registry Model Differs from Standard AMMs

Advertisement

Aqua does not use conventional pool deposits. Instead, it operates on a registry-based allowance model: a liquidity provider registers a wallet balance as backing, and that balance can support multiple simultaneous quoted positions without the assets leaving custody.

A swap executes only when it matches the position’s stated terms, at which point the protocol pulls the required assets directly from the provider’s wallet.

The capital efficiency implication is significant in theory. According to the research context, 1inch has cited a scenario where a $100,000 wallet balance backs positions quoting a combined $300,000, but that figure reflects quoted inventory, not available capital.

Advertisement

Actual fill capacity is still constrained by whatever the wallet holds at execution time, so providers carrying concentrated positions or low on-chain balances will hit limits that the quoted figure obscures.

This custody-preserving design contrasts sharply with standard AMMs, where depositing into a pool transfers asset control to a smart contract and exposes the provider to impermanent loss on every price move.

Aqua’s model keeps the asset in the provider’s wallet, which is structurally cleaner for professional market makers who need balance-sheet flexibility, though execution still depends on verified counterparties and on-chain balance checks at fill time.

Chain Coverage and Incentive Structure at Launch

Advertisement

The public release covers Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, BNB Chain, Optimism, Polygon, and Robinhood Chain, among seven others, all EVM-compatible.

That breadth matters because liquidity on EVM chains remains heavily fragmented, with meaningful depth concentrated on Ethereum mainnet and Arbitrum while newer chains struggle to attract professional providers without dedicated incentive programs.

To bootstrap depth across all 13 networks, 1inch is launching a parallel incentives program backed by 10 million 1INCH from the 1inch Foundation and 500,000 USDC from the 1inch DAO.

Advertisement

Rewards are distributed through Merkl and administered by Degensoft Ltd (BVI). The size of the package is meaningful, 10 million 1INCH at current market rates represents a real incentive floor, but the distribution mechanism and lockup terms will determine whether it attracts sticky liquidity or mercenary capital that exits once rewards dry up.

Trade Ripple XRP on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

The post Registry Model, 13 Chains: How 1inch Aqua Tackles DeFi’s Fragmented Liquidity appeared first on Cryptonews.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin and Gold Jump After Fed Rate Hold Splits FOMC 9 to 3

Published

on

Bitcoin and Gold Jump After Fed Rate Hold Splits FOMC 9 to 3

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, but three policymakers voted to raise them. Bitcoin and gold both climbed within minutes of the announcement.

The split vote is the most contested outcome of Kevin Warsh’s short tenure as chair. Interest rate swaps then pulled back from a fully priced September increase.

Why the Fed Rate Hold Split the Committee

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the federal funds target range at 3.50% to 3.75% by a vote of 9 to 3. Cleveland’s Beth Hammack, Minneapolis chief Neel Kashkari, and Dallas president Lorie Logan each wanted a quarter point increase.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

All three dissenters run regional reserve banks. Nobody on the Washington-based Board of Governors broke ranks with Warsh, which keeps the divide outside the Fed’s centre of power.

Warsh took over in May, and his first meeting in June produced a unanimous hold. Analysts had warned he might get a Fed family feud this time instead.

The statement itself barely moved. Policymakers again described activity as expanding solidly despite uncertainty tied to the conflict in the Middle East. They repeated that productivity growth and capital investment are strong.

Advertisement

Inflation, however, remains above the 2% goal. The Committee again blamed supply shocks in certain sectors, energy among them, and repeated its pledge that it “will deliver price stability.”

Traders had treated a hike as a live risk. CME FedWatch showed rare hike odds priced near 30% a day earlier, while Kalshi put the chance at roughly 23% on Wednesday morning.

Bitcoin and Gold Climb as Hike Bets Fade

Bitcoin (BTC) rose from about $63,700 to an intraday high near $64,700 in the quarter hour after the release. Bitcoin’s post-decision price action left it near $64,325, up 1.1% over 24 hours, with a market capitalization of $1.29 trillion.

Gold moved in step. Spot prices climbed from roughly $4,000 to a high above $4,084 before easing back toward $4,076, according to OANDA data.

Advertisement
Bitcoin and Gold Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Rate markets did the rest. Swaps no longer fully price a September hike, which eases some of the strain that had lifted global bond yields to their highest levels since 2008.

Oil remains the swing factor. Brent fell sharply after Washington paused its strikes on Iran, though oil markets moved again on Wednesday as tensions resurfaced.

What Comes Next for Rates and Crypto

Bank of America told clients a July increase would have been without precedent. The bank noted the Fed has not hiked since 1994 with less than 60% odds priced in.

JPMorgan had modeled a hawkish hold as its base case at 50%, with a quarter point hike at 20%. Three dissents hand that hawkish reading more weight than an unchanged rate implies.

Advertisement

Attention now shifts to Warsh’s press conference and to September. Should oil turn higher again, the dissenters regain the argument they lost on Wednesday.

The post Bitcoin and Gold Jump After Fed Rate Hold Splits FOMC 9 to 3 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Could Wildfires Overshadow Spain’s Solar Eclipse?

Published

on

Could Wildfires Overshadow Spain’s Solar Eclipse?
Fire engines stop on a road as smoke rises from a wildfire in San Martin de Valdeiglesias, west of Madrid, Spain, on July 26, 2026. —Manu Fernandez—AP

Spain will be in the path of totality for a solar eclipse on Aug. 12. Not only is it the first time this type of celestial event has been visible to the mainland since 1905—it is also taking place during Europe’s peak tourism season, which runs from June to August. Millions of people live within the 190-mile-wide eclipse path, which reaches 36 of the nation’s 50 provinces, while hundreds of thousands of international travelers are also expected to visit for the occasion. 

Tourists are expected to flock to cities and towns along the path of totality—including parts of Aragón, Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, and Valencia—as well as nearby hubs, where a deep partial eclipse will be visible, like the capital city of Madrid. 

But with multiple wildfires raging amid a particularly hot and dry summer, the rare experience of observing a total solar eclipse may be disrupted by evacuations and widespread smoke.

Read More: What to Know About the Deadly Wildfires in Western Europe

What are the fire conditions leading up to the eclipse?

While Spain is used to wildfires, record-breaking heat in June created a tinderbox in Western Europe, prompting two catastrophic fires: one that broke out on July 24, in the Guadalajara province just northeast of Madrid, devastating over 32,000 hectares (79,000 acres), and another in Ávila, which is in central Spain, that has burned more than 50,000 hectares (123,500 acres) since July 22. The Ávila fire is now the “largest forest fire in our country’s recent history” according to a statement on Sunday from the minister of ecological transition, Sara Aageson.

Together with numerous other fires across the country, they put Spain on track for its worst wildfire season in over three decades. Over 150,000 hectares (370,600 acres) have burned since January, according to Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez—which is six times the area destroyed during the same period last year. Prior to 2025, the worst wildfire year for the country was 1994.

Advertisement

Sánchez said over the weekend that the “scale of the disaster we are living through is very hard to accept.” More than 90,000 tourists and residents have been evacuated or placed under shelter at home orders across central Spain, in parts of Madrid, Toledo, and Ávila. Spanish authorities said at least two people were killed in the eastern provinces of Castellón and Valencia

Sánchez also expressed concern about the weather conditions this week, which brings peak temperatures of nearly 40°C (104°F). Extreme heat makes it difficult to fight existing fires and adds the threat of new ones, which would challenge Spain’s already-stretched resources. 

With additional factors such as gusting winds and a lack of recent rainfall, the fire danger conditions in the country have been classified as “very extreme,” according to the European Forest Fires Information System (EFFIS). 

And those conditions are not likely to improve ahead of the solar eclipse, according to Jason Nicholls, senior meteorologist at AccuWeather.

Advertisement

“There’s a heat wave going on right now, which carries into the weekend,” he tells TIME. “It may ease back a little bit, but then tries to come back again as we get into the week of August 10.”

“I don’t see a lot of significant rain coming into Spain over the next two weeks, so drought conditions will continue to not improve, or even worsen,” he continues, explaining that “wildfire risk will remain extreme across a whole lot of Spain” in the days leading up to the solar eclipse.

How the wildfires could impact eclipse viewers

The wildfires will likely affect both visibility and air quality for eclipse viewers in the country, Becky Wagner, air quality and climate researcher at the University of Sheffield, tells TIME. 

The smoke from the fires contains  “particulate matter” consisting of burnt material, she explains.

Advertisement

“Firstly, that can affect visibility because these particles can reflect the sunlight and just create a haze and a sort of a cloud that is really hard to see through,” Wagner says.

But there is also the question of air quality, which could hinder viewers’ ability to safely stand outside and observe the eclipse. 

“There’s high levels of this smoke, and high levels of the particulate matter within the smoke, which is really harmful to human health, as these particles are really small,” Wagner says, referring to a type of fine air pollutant known as PM2.5, which has been linked to lung cancer and heart disease. “They can be breathed in, and it can affect people’s health, particularly vulnerable populations with respiratory and cardiovascular problems.”

Totality occurs when the moon passes exactly between the sun and the Earth, blocking out the daylight and casting impacted areas into complete darkness for about three minutes. While the experience of totality is brief, breathing in wildfire smoke can make people sick “right away,” leading to coughing and headaches, among other symptoms, according to the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Advertisement

And many eclipse-chasers will seek to observe the phenomenon beyond the moments of totality. Observation often begins as soon as the moon is visible in front of the sun, and lasts until it has completely passed by, meaning that the complete experience of a solar eclipse can span some two to three hours. 

But it’s hard to predict how current conditions might impact the air quality in mid-August, Wagner says, especially as wildfires can often create their own mini weather conditions

Particles “can last in the atmosphere for days to weeks, and they can be transported a really long distance, depending on sort of wind direction and wind speed,” Wagner says. 

Aside from Spain’s progress in quelling the fires this week, there are still active fires in France to consider, since the particulate matter could continue drifting across large portions of its neighboring nation. Wagner points to the wildfires in Canada earlier this month that drifted thousands of miles into the United States, worsening air quality in cities from Detroit to Manhattan.

Advertisement

“So fires in one region of Spain, or one region of Europe, could end up affecting different parts of the country or different countries,” she explains.

Still, Nicholls says that residents in Spain should be able to experience and enjoy the eclipse—with the proper precautions. He recommends wearing a mask when outdoors to avoid inhaling dangerous smoke, as well as limiting exposure to it.

“Maybe hang around inside, and as you get closer to the eclipse, maybe come outside and maybe have a mask on,” he recommends. Then “get back inside to get away from the harmful smoke and poor air quality.”

Read More: Photos Show the Destruction in France and Spain From Ferocious European Wildfires

Advertisement

What are the potential economic repercussions for Spain?

Access to viewing locations could also be impacted by the fires. One of the larger outbreaks is near Valencia—Spain’s third-largest city, which is situated along the Mediterranean. Last month, Space.com said that its beaches will be one of the easiest places to catch a glimpse of the eclipse. But local wildfires could potentially inhibit access to the beaches and other prime viewing spots. Such restrictions could be especially detrimental in light of the surge of tourists Spain is expecting next week—and might even have economic repercussions.

According to Spain’s Ministry of Tourism, the country continues to see an increase in international travelers year over year. And, despite the fires, the ministry is expecting a larger-than-usual boost in tourism next month, with dedicated umbraphiles—or eclipse chasers—traveling just for the occasion. 

“Between August 10 and 16, Spain will welcome 446,000 additional visitors due to the total solar eclipse,” the government said in a statement to TIME, citing an economic impact report from the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Business. “A 7.9% increase in scheduled airline seats is projected, compared to the same period in 2025, as well as a 17.8% rise in hotel reservations for August, compared to the same month last year.”

“It is clear that this event will have a very positive impact on our economy,” the Ministry of Tourism wrote, saying that it is expected to bring in 347.5 million euros ($395 million). The government has not revised its projections due to the wildfires; however, it says that the consequences to tourism are not its primary focus.

Advertisement

“The priority is to address the emergency posed by these fires, protect human lives, preserve the natural surroundings, and minimize the impact on the environment,” the statement said.

But the government’s statement also acknowledged that it has “a Special Security Plan and a Specific Civil Protection Plan” in place for the eclipse, which addresses wildfire prevention in particular, as well as increasing the response capacity of public services in preparations for the large gatherings that are anticipated for the special event.

Spain has yet to issue any travel advisories in response to the fires, but the United Kingdom last week began warning its residents—who make up nearly 20% of annual travelers to Spain—to take precautions if traveling through affected areas of Madrid and Ávila.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025