Crypto World
CFTC Proposes Prediction Market Rules Favoring Sports Contracts
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has proposed new rules for prediction markets, signaling that sports event contracts are generally not contrary to the public interest even though federal law classifies them as “gaming.”
Released on Wednesday, the proposal distinguishes sports event contracts from games of pure chance, saying markets based on final scores and win-loss records can aid price discovery. Contracts tied to player injuries, officiating decisions or other outcomes that could encourage manipulation, however, are unlikely to meet the public interest test.
The proposal also clarifies that election contracts are not considered “gaming” under the relevant federal laws. Reuters reported this could further ease regulatory uncertainty for platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, which rose to prominence during the 2024 US presidential election as traders increasingly turned to prediction markets to gauge the race’s outcome.
The draft rules are open for public comment for 45 days and could help define the future regulatory framework for US prediction markets.
Gary Kalbaugh, a partner at Cahill Gordon & Reindel LLP in New York, said the proposal is principles-based rather than a blanket approval, noting that each contract would still be subject to a case-by-case public interest analysis.
“‘Gaming’ is defined more broadly than anticipated and sweeps in sports events,” Kalbaugh wrote on Wednesday. “Contracts settling on aggregate outcomes (final scores, win-loss, season stats) are presumptively permissible.”

Source: Gary Kalbaugh
Related: Anchorage backs Treasury’s GENIUS AML rules, seeks secondary-market sanctions clarity
Increased regulatory clarity comes as prediction markets see adoption surge
The proposed rules come as prediction markets — described as an “asset class” in the draft — continue to gain momentum, with Kalshi and Polymarket reaching multibillion-dollar valuations amid rising investor and institutional interest.
Both companies have expanded their ties to traditional financial markets. Kalshi recently partnered with Nasdaq to launch a new category of prediction markets that allows users to forecast the future valuations of private companies ahead of their initial public offerings.
Polymarket, meanwhile, has partnered with Dow Jones to integrate real-time prediction market data into its media brands, including The Wall Street Journal.
“The prediction markets continue to become more mainstream, with newly formed partnerships with news organizations and more firms moving quickly into this space,” said Melinda Roth, a professor of sports law and corporate finance at Georgetown University Law Center. “As these markets continue to grow, the unanswered question is if event contracts are financial instruments or are they simply gambling.”
Analysts at Bernstein say prediction markets are seeing growing institutional adoption as investors seek alternative macro-hedging tools through binary-outcome contracts.
Magazine: How to fix suspected insider trading on Polymarket and Kalshi
Crypto World
Kalshi Files to Add Perpetual Futures on 12 Altcoins, Three Days After CFTC Cleared Its Bitcoin Contract

Kalshi filed on Monday to add perpetual futures contracts on 12 altcoins, three business days after the Commodity Futures Trading Commission approved its BTCPERP bitcoin contract as the first US-regulated crypto perpetual. The submission covers perpetuals on ether, XRP, solana, dogecoin, stellar,… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Schwab Targets Mid-2027 Crypto Spot Trading and Custody for the $5.2T Advisor Channel

Charles Schwab is targeting mid-2027 to bring spot crypto trading, transfers, and custody to the registered-investment-advisor channel that already houses $5.2 trillion of client money on its custody platform, Jalina Kerr, managing director at Schwab Advisor Services, told reporters at the firm's… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Why ZEC’s Latest Rally May Depend Entirely on One Support Level
Zcash (ZEC) briefly climbed above $470 this week from lows of just under $300. The token has since stabilized near $425 amid a broader market retreat.
A specific price region has now been identified that could decide whether the privacy network’s native asset continues recovering or enters another brutal decline phase.
Danger Ahead Below $360
Alphractal founder Joao Wedson said ZEC has reached a crucial point where its next price move could decide whether the token continues recovering or slips back into a deeper bear market. In his latest analysis, Wedson stated that Alphractal’s CVDD model, which is used to identify major market tops and bottoms, currently places ZEC in a very important zone.
He also highlighted the MVRV Z-Score indicator, which recently dropped close to zero after ZEC tested its Realized Price during the latest market correction. According to Wedson, that on-chain level acted as strong support and helped ZEC rebound after the sharp decline.
Even with the recovery, he stressed that bulls now need to defend the $360 level to prevent further weakness in the market. Wedson warned that if ZEC falls below $360, the privacy token could enter a much more aggressive bear market phase and face heavy capitulation pressure.
In that case, Alphractal would turn its attention back to the CVDD Channel to track possible lower support levels between $48 and $170. He added that $48 would represent the most bearish outcome and was also the level where ZEC formed its bottom in the previous market cycle.
Ironwood Upgrade
Zcash is preparing for a major network upgrade to address concerns around the token’s circulating supply. The Ironwood upgrade, which is expected in late July, will introduce a mechanism allowing node operators to independently verify ZEC supply without relying on developers.
The move comes after the discovery of a counterfeiting vulnerability in Zcash’s Orchard shielded pool. Although developers fixed the issue in June, they admitted there was no reliable way to confirm whether attackers had minted counterfeit coins before the patch.
Once activated, Ironwood will transition users from the old Orchard pool into a fresh pool.
The post Why ZEC’s Latest Rally May Depend Entirely on One Support Level appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Philippines’ central bank complicates Binance’s return to the country
Binance is trying to enter the Philippines market through a local partner. Regulators are making clear it won’t be simple.
The country’s central bank said neither the world’s largest crypto exchange nor its local partner, BlockShoals Technologies Inc., holds the necessary license to operate as a virtual asset service provider (VASP) in the country, BitPinas media reported.
The license, issued by Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, is essential to facilitate crypto payment and transaction rails and is separate from any approval granted by the country’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
CoinDesk reached out to Binance for a comment.
Binance has previously been active in the country. But in 2023, the SEC noted it was operating without a license. It ordered internet service providers and app stores to block the exchange the following year.
Last month, Binance said it is working with BlockShoals, a local fintech company that received initial SEC clearance in November under the regulator’s sandbox framework. The sandbox, called StratBox (Strategic Sandbox), is a controlled, supervised environment for fintech and crypto firms to test financial services.
According to BitPinas, the central bank has explicitly stated that participation in the sandbox doesn’t substitute for central bank licensing, and entities seeking to operate in the country must comply with both frameworks independently.
The report also says the SEC revised its language in the sandbox deal, describing Binance as a global crypto-asset service provider rather than a global VASP, a narrower designation. The revised terms also require BlockShoals to integrate its systems with a licensed domestic VASP within 90 days before any user onboarding through Binance infrastructure can begin.
Binance is back at the door. Whether it gets in, and on whose terms, remains to be seen.
Crypto World
Delaware Lawmakers Advance Bill To Ban All Cryptocurrency Kiosks Statewide
Delaware lawmakers have advanced House Bill 441. This bill would ban the installation, ownership, and operation of all crypto ATMs across the state.
The bill, sponsored by Representative Cyndie Romer and Senator Spiros Mantzavinos, targets a class of machines that regulators say has become a tool for scammers.
Why Delaware Is Targeting Crypto ATMs
Federal data frames the urgency. The FBI’s Internet Crime Complaint Center recorded more than 13,400 kiosk-related complaints in 2025, with losses totaling more than $388 million. That marked a 23% rise in complaints and a 58% year-over-year increase in losses.
In Delaware alone, residents filed 181 cryptocurrency-related complaints and 255 wallet complaints last year, totaling combined losses of nearly $26.9 million. More than half of those complaints came from people over 50.
Romer argued that the machines offer little to regular crypto traders. She noted that kiosk fees can reach 20% of a transaction, compared with 0.4% to 1% on online exchanges.
“These kiosks reduce digital currency to a predatory cash grab… There is no reason to support a business structure that enables scammers to extort money from our most vulnerable populations,” she stated.
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A Widening State Crackdown
Delaware would join roughly 30 states that have passed kiosk-related legislation since 2023. Indiana and Tennessee have enacted comprehensive bans.
The regulatory pressure has reshaped the sector. Bitcoin Depot, once the largest US operator, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in May and pulled its network offline, citing state bans and mounting litigation.
Missouri, meanwhile, has sued operator CoinFlip for alleged facilitation of fraud. The crackdown extends beyond US borders, with Canada proposing a national ban in its 2026 Spring Economic Update.
In Delaware, under HB 441, existing machines would go dark immediately, with full physical removal required within 90 days. Operators collecting fees from illegal transactions would face refund obligations or forfeiture to a state fund.
The bill now heads to the Senate. Whether Delaware becomes the next state to clear a full ban may hinge on the chamber’s coming session.
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The post Delaware Lawmakers Advance Bill To Ban All Cryptocurrency Kiosks Statewide appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
BlackRock’s income-paying bitcoin ETF nears launch at a fee that undercuts rivals
BlackRock is close to launching a bitcoin fund that pays an income.
The world’s largest asset manager filed its fourth amendment for the iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF on Tuesday, according to its SEC filing. The fund will trade on Nasdaq under the ticker BITA.
The income comes from options. The fund holds bitcoin and shares of IBIT, BlackRock’s $47 billion spot bitcoin ETF. Each month it sells call options on those IBIT shares.
A call option gives the buyer the right to purchase the shares at a set price. The fund collects a fee, called a premium, for selling that right. That premium is the income it hands to investors.
As such, selling calls caps how much the fund gains if bitcoin rallies hard. Investors take steady income in exchange for giving up part of a big move. The fund plans to write calls on 25% to 35% of its value at a time.
The fee is the edge, however. BlackRock set the sponsor’s fee at 0.65%, which sits below the two largest covered-call bitcoin funds, YBTC and BTCI, which charge 0.95% and 0.99%, Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas said in a post on X.
BlackRock just filed a new (and probably final) amendment for their Bitcoin Premium Income ETF $BITA and WE HAVE A FEE: 65bps. Obv higher than $IBIT et al but lower than the two biggest ETFs in ‘covered call’ category which are 95bp and 99bp. My guess is this is going to launch… pic.twitter.com/KBwFrmkdbJ
— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) June 10, 2026
Balchunas added he expects the fund to launch very soon, noting BlackRock is under pressure to beat Goldman Sachs to market, with Goldman’s own bitcoin fund due to go live around July 1.
BlackRock already has the strongest distribution base in the spot bitcoin ETF market. Its iShares Bitcoin Trust, IBIT, has become the flagship product of the sector, regularly drawing the largest inflows and often absorbing capital even when rival funds see redemptions.
IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC have increasingly turned the U.S. spot bitcoin ETF market into a two-firm race, with smaller issuers often contributing little to daily flows.
The launch would be another step in turning bitcoin into an income product for mainstream investors. The filing shows the fund is already seeded and has started buying bitcoin and IBIT shares – a sign it is close to being ready.
Crypto World
Major Bitcoin Demand Drop Sparks Debate Over Cycle Bottom Formation
Bitcoin (BTC) has held above $62,000 on Thursday after a modest 2.3% surge in the last 24 hours. Amid increased investor anxiety, a new analysis suggests that Bitcoin may be moving closer to a potential bottom.
According to the latest CryptoQuant Weekly Report, the asset is currently trading a little over 15% above its Realized Price of $53,600, a level that, in previous market cycles, has often been associated with the formation of major market bottoms.
Mixed Signals
However, current demand conditions remain weak across the market. For instance, “Total Bitcoin,” measured by combining speculative perpetual futures trading and apparent spot buying, declined by around 652,000 BTC over the past week, the largest weekly contraction since January 2022.
At the same time, ETF demand growth has fallen to its lowest level on record, which essentially means that institutional buying, a major driver in the current cycle, is slowing down.
Market cycle analyst Benjamin Cowen has also pointed out that major bottoms are typically confirmed only after key indicators cross and not beforehand, meaning the process can take time. This is in line with CryptoQuant’s view that Bitcoin may be entering a value zone, but a confirmed bottom has not yet formed.
There is still limited panic selling in the market, as on-chain data also shows that realized losses remain well below levels seen in earlier capitulation phases.
However, not all analysts agree that Bitcoin is approaching a bottom, with some expecting further downside ahead. Doctor Profit, for one, recently said that Bitcoin has entered Stage 5 of his six-stage bear market model, which he describes as a period of strong emotional pressure in the market. He warned that thinking the worst is already over is a mistake seen in past cycles, where traders became optimistic too early before another major fall.
According to the analyst, Bitcoin could still fall to the $40,000 to $48,000 range. He called this range the “Confirmed BlackRock Bottom,” while linking it to the price level where BlackRock launched its spot Bitcoin ETF in early 2024.
Capital Outflows
Separate blockchain metrics also point to continued weakness. Another analyst, Axel Adler Jr., flagged ongoing signs of capital outflows and loss realization in the Bitcoin network. He found that Bitcoin’s Realized Cap 30D Change has dropped to -1.1%. The outflows have reached this level for the first time since mid-March.
He noted that Realized Cap has fallen by about $12 billion from its mid-May peak of $1.087 trillion to $1.075 trillion, and the pace of decline has accelerated in recent days. During the same period, Bitcoin also saw a sharp price drop, while adjusted SOPR has remained below 1.0 for 13 consecutive days, which indicates continued selling at a loss and no clear recovery in on-chain profitability.
The post Major Bitcoin Demand Drop Sparks Debate Over Cycle Bottom Formation appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Is This The Beginning of a Deeper Correction?
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 Mini on FXOpen) is down more than 6% from its recent highs, with Friday, 6 June, standing out as the defining session: a single-day loss of approximately 4.74% marked the worst daily performance of 2026.
The S&P 500 (US SPX 500 Mini on FXOpen) declined around 4% from its highs, while the Dow Jones (Wall Street 30 Mini on FXOpen) posted a more contained loss of approximately 3%. Investors and traders are now asking the same question: Is this the beginning of a deeper correction, or simply an isolated bout of volatility?
Why Did US Markets Sell Off?
The sell-off was driven by a combination of geopolitical, macroeconomic, and technical factors. On the geopolitical front, US/Israel–Iran negotiations have shown signs of escalation in recent days, injecting uncertainty into already fragile risk sentiment.
The primary catalyst, however, was Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls report, which showed 172,000 jobs added compared with forecasts of just 85,000. The stronger-than-expected reading sent the US dollar sharply higher, putting pressure on all inversely correlated assets, including equity indices, gold, silver, forex pairs, and cryptocurrencies.
Adding further headwinds, Wednesday’s CPI print showed inflation holding at 4.2% (Core CPI: 2.9%), potentially pushing the Fed, now under new Chair Warsh, to keep rates on hold for longer.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
The chart presents two contrasting scenarios.

On the bullish side, the price defended the 28,200–28,300 support zone twice, triggering a rebound toward the 28,800–29,000 region, a key former support level now acting as resistance. A clean break above this level could suggest the broader uptrend remains intact, while a rejection might initiate a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
On the bearish side, a confirmed break below the lows of 9 and 11 June could potentially expose the 25,800–26,000 zone — where a key former resistance and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the late-March rally converge. An RSI divergence on the 4H time-frame, already visible before the sell-off, appears to be playing out in support of this scenario.
With dollar strength, sticky inflation, and geopolitical risk all weighing on sentiment, these levels could prove decisive in the sessions ahead.
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Crypto World
The Indicator That Called DOGE’s Collapse Just Flashed a Rare Buy Signal: Analyst
Dogecoin could be primed for a major reversal, at least according to the metric that recently predicted its price crash to a 14-month low.
Meanwhile, analysts seem confident that DOGE’s current price range is a “good accumulation zone,” something that whales have taken advantage of lately.
DOGE to Rebound Soon?
The leading meme coin rode the mid-May push wave quite impressively, going from $0.092 to a multi-week peak at almost $0.12 at the time. However, the subsequent market-wide correction and overall weakness led to massive price declines.
One of the indicators that suggested a more notable DOGE drop was the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential. It flashed a major sell signal for the OG meme coin in early May on the 3-day chart, and although it took some time, the asset indeed dumped hard, going from $0.113 to under $0.08, which became its lowest price tag in over a year.
Now, this same indicator, which is used to determine the underlying asset’s market exhaustion in either direction, has flipped bullish, according to Ali Martinez. The analyst predicted that after the 30% correction, a “rebound could be around the corner” for DOGE.
Meanwhile, fellow analyst MikybullCrypto outlined a similar perspective, indicating that the meme coin currently sits on a “good level for accumulation.” As reported yesterday, Dogecoin whales have started purchasing at these lower levels, accumulating over 200 million tokens in a week.
Some Reaction?
Another popular crypto commentator, Daan Crypto Trades, also weighed in on DOGE’s recent price moves, suggesting that the token typically retraces to the $0.06-$0.08 range in bear markets. History shows, though, that it tends to get “some kind of reaction” once it gets there.
This same level was tested in February, and it held, but he added that “it’s still good to watch.” Daan noted that DOGE has fallen out of investors’ radar lately, but that doesn’t mean that it cannot repeat some of its previous historic rallies, many of which began from the current levels.
$DOGE Not one that many people are trading or looking at, but I do always like to watch high timeframe sweeps/supports on majors like these.
DOGE does tend to move back to this $0.06-$0.08 zone during its bear markets and usually gets some kind of reaction.
Obviously this level… pic.twitter.com/NE9TCJPTm2
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) June 10, 2026
The post The Indicator That Called DOGE’s Collapse Just Flashed a Rare Buy Signal: Analyst appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Japan to Regulate Crypto Like Stocks, Could Pave Way for ETFs
The country’s parliament is poised to pass legislation that would bring cryptocurrencies under the same regulatory framework as stocks.
The bill passed the lower house of Parliament today and is expected to take effect next year after going through the upper house.
The proposal could classify cryptocurrencies as financial instruments, subjecting assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum to stricter trading rules while potentially lowering the tax burden for investors.
It’s important to note that Japan’s government had already approved a bill that granted crypto status of financial instruments, marking an attempt to bring digital assets closer to securities for oversight purposes.
Lower Taxes and ETF Hopes Take Center Stage
One of the most closely watched parts of this particular legislative reform is taxation. Crypto gains in Japan have historically been taxed as miscellaneous income, with rates that can climb as high as 55%. Under the proposed framework, gains could be taxed closer to 20%, which is the rate applied to stocks.
That change would make the local crypto market much more attractive to retail and institutional investors, especially compared to the current system, which industry participants have long criticized as a bit too restrictive.
The move could also open the door for new regulated products, such as spot crypto exchange-traded funds. Bloomberg reported that the bill may help pave the way for ETFs, which give investors a fully regulated way to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin without having to hold them directly.
Commenting on the matter was Masato Yoshizawa, a representative for the Financial Services Agency, who said:
“We aim to foster more innovation by creating a sound trading environment. We’re not necessarily giving crypto a stamp of approval, but we’re aiming for healthy market growth.”
Japan Also Pushes for More Oversight
But the proposed legislation is not only focused on growth. By bringing cryptocurrencies under the rules that regulate stocks, Japan is also preparing stricter guardrails for trading activity. This means more control over insider trading, stronger disclosure requirements, and more restrictions altogether.
Naturally, this would align crypto much more closely with Japan’s existing financial market structure, where investor protection and market transparency are central in legislation.
That said, the next step is whether the upper house passes the bill and how regulations define all the details before the expected implementation next year.
The post Japan to Regulate Crypto Like Stocks, Could Pave Way for ETFs appeared first on CryptoPotato.
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