With SpaceX commanding a valuation north of $2 trillion following its blockbuster Nasdaq debut, a growing chorus of market analysts is making the case that investors chasing space-and-AI exposure may find better value, lower risk, or stronger growth elsewhere. Here are five stocks repeatedly cited as alternatives worth considering instead.

1. Nvidia (NVDA)

While SpaceX’s valuation is based on moonshot bets, Nvidia is the dominant player in artificial intelligence infrastructure. It trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of just 16 and grew its revenue by 85% in the first quarter to $81.6 billion. Its adjusted quarterly profits of $45.5 billion were nearly 2.5 times SpaceX’s entire 2025 revenue.

That comparison underscores the core argument bulls make for Nvidia over SpaceX: Nvidia is already generating the kind of cash flow that SpaceX’s AI ambitions remain years away from matching, all while trading at a multiple analysts consider reasonable relative to its growth.

2. Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon offers investors a comparable blend of established AI infrastructure and direct competition with SpaceX’s own satellite ambitions. While SpaceX is trying to become a leading AI company, Amazon already is one. Its Amazon Web Services is seeing accelerating revenue growth, and its custom chip business gives it a cost edge.

The company also has its own space ambitions, looking to challenge SpaceX’s Starlink satellite internet service with its own offerings, while the acquisition of Globalstar gave it important spectrum and direct-to-device capabilities. One analyst argued Amazon “is a great company with two proven and growing businesses” that “should be worth much more than SpaceX’s moonshot bets.”

3. Alphabet (GOOGL)

Alphabet’s case rests on a similar logic: a company with already-proven AI infrastructure, plus its own under-the-radar space project. While SpaceX is trying to become a leading AI company, Alphabet is already the most complete one. Its Gemini model is a top-tier foundation model, while its Tensor Processing Units give it a significant advantage by reducing training and inference costs.

Notably, Alphabet isn’t ignoring space either. It actually owns a large stake in SpaceX, and its Project Suncatcher is developing a constellation of solar-powered satellites powered by TPUs and free-space optical links to perform machine learning in space. The company believes the cost of a space-based data center could become comparable to a land-based one by the mid-2030s.

4. Rocket Lab (RKLB)

For investors who specifically want direct exposure to the launch and space-infrastructure business SpaceX dominates, analysts point to Rocket Lab as a far cheaper way to participate in the same trend. Rocket Lab is a space stock with huge potential at a fraction of its market capitalization. It’s pulling in record revenue, with $200 million in the first quarter alone, up more than 63% year over year, and has a backlog of $2.2 billion.

Rocket Lab’s highly anticipated medium-lift reusable rocket, the Neutron, is slated for its debut late this year. It will immediately scale up Rocket Lab’s payload capacity to roughly 13,000 kilograms, allowing it to compete directly for the high-margin national security and deep-space missions currently monopolized by SpaceX. The company has already locked in a five-launch deal for the Neutron before it even leaves the pad.

5. Redwire (RDW)

For investors seeking a “picks and shovels” approach to the space economy rather than a bet on any single launch provider, several analysts have pointed to Redwire as an appealing option. One closely followed view calls Redwire the best SpaceX alternative, and its product explains why. It builds the space-grade solar arrays that power satellites and spacecraft in orbit. That hardware is hard to copy, so even SpaceX would likely source it rather than build it. So Redwire grows by supplying the sector, not by competing.

Redwire’s first-quarter revenue rose 58% year-over-year to $97 million, with gross margin expanding to 26.6% from 14.7% a year prior, and the company reported a record backlog of $498.1 million. On a positive note, Redwire trades at 7 times trailing sales, the lowest valuation cited among comparable space stocks — though it’s worth noting the company is still losing money, posting first-quarter earnings of negative $0.40 per share that missed expectations, with a large portion of that loss tied to equity-based compensation.

The Bull Case for SpaceX, for Balance

Not every analyst agrees the alternatives are clearly superior. SpaceX’s business model carries genuine offsetting strengths: Starlink already gives the company a large recurring revenue base, while Starship can help lower launch costs. The xAI merger gives SpaceX its own AI products, including Grok. Colossus is SpaceX’s large AI data center system, giving the company a way to sell computing capacity to AI customers such as Anthropic. SpaceX has multiple growth engines and may be less affected by weakness in any one business line than a single-focus competitor would be.

SpaceX’s AI infrastructure business is also gaining real momentum through outside partnerships. The company has entered into a cloud services agreement with Alphabet, under which Google will pay $920 million per month from October 2026 to June 2029 for access to AI compute capacity. Anthropic has also agreed to lease the full computing power of SpaceX’s Colossus 1 data center.

The Case Against

Skeptics counter that SpaceX’s valuation still requires near-flawless execution to justify. Elon Musk has predicted $1 trillion in revenue by 2030, but he has a long history of overly optimistic forecasts, and the chances of the company coming anywhere close to that number are slim. There are major technical hurdles that need to be overcome to have data centers in space, and no one can be certain this is a good business, let alone one that is right around the corner.

SpaceX also carries substantial financial risk regardless of its strategic positioning. Its AI business is still losing money. SpaceX’s business model is also capital-intensive, with capital expenditures reaching $20.7 billion in 2025 and $10.1 billion in the first quarter of 2026 alone.

The Bottom Line

There is no single consensus answer on whether SpaceX or one of these alternatives represents the smarter investment, and the dispersion in analyst opinion reflects genuine, substantive disagreement about how to value a company straddling rocketry, satellite connectivity, and unproven orbital AI ambitions simultaneously. Some analysts favor established mega-cap technology names like Nvidia, Amazon, or Alphabet for their proven cash flow and lower relative valuations. Others favor smaller, more direct space-sector plays like Rocket Lab or Redwire that offer cheaper entry points into the same secular growth trend SpaceX represents, without SpaceX’s premium price tag.

As with any investment decision, particularly involving newly public or rapidly evolving sectors like commercial space and AI infrastructure, it’s worth doing your own research, weighing your personal risk tolerance and time horizon, and consulting a qualified financial advisor before deciding where to put your money. This overview is intended to summarize the competing perspectives currently circulating among market analysts, not to tell you what to buy or sell.

The NBA offseason is heating up across the Atlantic Division, with the Boston Celtics still wrestling with whether to pursue Milwaukee Bucks superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Philadelphia 76ers signaling they intend to build around an aging but still productive Joel Embiid, and the defending champion New York Knicks facing difficult financial decisions despite their first title in over five decades.

Boston’s High-Stakes Dilemma

Jaylen Brown is coming off arguably the best season of his career, earning All-NBA honors for the second time while remaining firmly in his prime. Trading a player of that caliber for a star on the other side of 30 always carries some risk. At the same time, Boston could be looking at a classic sell-high opportunity.

The Celtics’ season ended in stunning fashion after blowing a 3-1 first-round series lead to Philadelphia. As the series progressed, Boston had no answer for Joel Embiid, who averaged 28.7 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 7.3 assists over the final three games. The collapse exposed Boston’s need for more size, physicality, and star power in the frontcourt. There are few players in basketball capable of addressing those shortcomings more dramatically than Antetokounmpo.

Any potential Giannis deal would likely force the Celtics to weigh the value of young assets such as Hugo Gonzalez against the immediate championship upside Antetokounmpo would provide, according to The Athletic’s Jay King.

A Complicated Negotiating Posture From Boston

Despite the persistent reports linking Boston to Antetokounmpo, recent reporting suggests the Celtics are approaching any potential deal cautiously. NBA insider Jake Fischer reported that Boston is reluctant to attach much more alongside Brown in a potential Antetokounmpo deal. The Celtics understand that any realistic path toward acquiring the two-time MVP likely begins with their 29-year-old All-NBA wing, but they have reportedly established a high threshold for how much additional talent and draft capital they are willing to surrender.

That cautious posture comes as Milwaukee appears to be using a competing offer to drive up the price. The perception around the league is that the Bucks are operating as though they have a passable trade offer from the Miami Heat and are attempting to see if they can improve upon it before the start of the draft, assuming they still view that as a self-imposed deadline. Miami’s offer is reportedly built around Tyler Herro, Kel’el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., and the 13th overall pick, with more draft picks and players potentially included as well. Fischer has also heard that the Bucks would like to send out Bobby Portis as part of any Giannis trade.

Notably, recent reporting suggests Milwaukee may have genuine interest in Brown himself rather than simply viewing him as a mechanism for acquiring more draft assets — a distinction that, if accurate, could meaningfully shift the calculus for both franchises.

Philadelphia’s Commitment to Embiid

Unlike Boston’s open-ended star pursuit, the Sixers appear to have settled on a clear, if more conservative, plan for their own franchise centerpiece. The Sixers don’t appear to have many alternatives when it comes to Joel Embiid. In a recent mailbag, Gina Mizell of The Philadelphia Inquirer suggested Philadelphia is unlikely to find a trade market for the former MVP given his contract and ongoing injury concerns. Instead, the organization appears committed to finding ways to maximize Embiid’s availability moving forward.

That commitment is grounded in encouraging on-court evidence from this past season. The good news is that when Embiid played for the Sixers this season, he looked nearly as good as ever, at least on the offensive side of the floor, according to Keith Smith’s offseason preview for Spotrac. Paul George also had strong stretches of play after his return from suspension.

However, the team’s options to add quality depth this summer are limited, and it’s likely that they pick up three players on team options, bring back one of Kelly Oubre Jr. or Quentin Grimes, and fill out their remaining roster spots with veteran minimum deals.

New York’s Apron Squeeze

For the Knicks, the challenge looks different entirely: managing the financial consequences of success rather than searching for a path back to contention. Knicks owner James Dolan’s comments about looking to avoid the second apron have raised eyebrows around the league, according to James L. Edwards III of The Athletic, who notes that while the penalties for going into the second apron are indeed onerous, teams with the ability to win the championship should be more open to operating in that range.

Six players from this year’s championship team will be free agents this summer: Mitchell Robinson, Landry Shamet, Jordan Clarkson, Ariel Hukporti, Mohamed Diawara, and Jeremy Sochan. Edwards predicts that Diawara will be back next season after a strong rookie year, but the futures of others — especially New York’s two highest-profile free agents, Robinson and Shamet — are less clear.

Jose Alvarado picking up his $4.5 million player option would further tighten the financial picture, which is why Edwards speculates that the New York native could decline his option and re-sign on a multiyear deal with a lower starting salary instead.

Ultimately, Dolan’s edict suggests that one or both of Robinson or Shamet won’t be back next season, unless the team trades a player already on a guaranteed deal — or the Knicks owner changes his mind about surpassing the second apron.

An Internal Celtics Question Beyond Brown

Beyond the financial and roster calculations facing all three franchises, Boston’s decision also carries a significant internal relationship dimension tied to the team’s other star. As the Celtics weigh how to improve their roster to compete with the champion Knicks, their decision on whether to enter the Antetokounmpo sweepstakes or keep their Tatum-Brown tandem intact has set the tone for an intriguing offseason of change. Jayson Tatum, who returned from a ruptured Achilles earlier than expected last season, is widely expected to be consulted, even informally, given how directly any Giannis trade would reshape the roster around him.

With the NBA Draft fast approaching and Milwaukee reportedly working against a self-imposed deadline to finalize a deal, the Celtics face a genuinely consequential decision in the coming days: whether to part with their All-NBA wing in pursuit of a two-time MVP, or to keep their existing core intact and look elsewhere to address the frontcourt deficiencies exposed in their playoff collapse against Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Sixers appear set on a steadier, lower-variance path centered on maximizing Embiid’s health and availability, while the Knicks will need to navigate one of the more complex financial offseasons of any recent championship team, with at least one significant free agent departure looking increasingly likely as Dolan holds firm on avoiding the second luxury tax apron.

MIAMI — San Francisco Giants outfielder Lee Jung-hoo continued his strong debut Major League Baseball season, collecting two hits in a 6-3 loss to the Miami Marlins on Saturday and narrowing the gap with the National League batting leader to a single point.

Lee went 2 for 4 with two doubles and two runs scored, raising his batting average to .331 through 260 at-bats. The performance came as the Giants committed four errors in the defeat at loanDepot park.

The 27-year-old Korean star led off the second inning with a double off Marlins starter Max Meyer, then added another two-bagger in the eighth against reliever Cade Gibson. His consistent contact and extra-base power have been hallmarks of his transition to the major leagues.

Miami’s Otto Lopez, currently the National League batting leader, went 1 for 5, maintaining a .332 average. The slim margin of .001 between the two players underscores the competitiveness of the race as the season progresses toward its midpoint.

Lee’s two doubles contributed to San Francisco’s offensive output, but defensive miscues proved costly. The Giants’ errors allowed Miami to capitalize on opportunities and secure the victory despite Lee’s contributions.

The South Korean native has adapted remarkably well to Major League Baseball since signing with the Giants. His plate discipline and ability to drive the ball to all fields have drawn praise from teammates and coaches. The two-hit game marked another step in his development as a consistent offensive threat.

Giants manager Bob Melvin highlighted Lee’s growth. The outfielder’s work ethic and willingness to learn have impressed the coaching staff as he navigates the challenges of his first full major league campaign.

Lopez has been a revelation for the Marlins this season, establishing himself as a steady presence in the lineup. His ability to make consistent contact has kept him atop the batting average leaderboard for much of the year.

The tight race between Lee and Lopez adds intrigue to the National League batting title pursuit. With several months remaining in the regular season, both players will face pressure to maintain their high averages while their teams compete for playoff positioning.

Lee’s performance comes amid a challenging stretch for the Giants. The team has dealt with injuries and inconsistency but remains competitive in the National League West. His contributions provide stability in the lineup during difficult periods.

The Marlins capitalized on San Francisco’s defensive lapses to secure the win. Despite the loss, the game showcased baseball’s unpredictability and the importance of fundamental execution across all nine innings.

As the season unfolds, Lee’s adjustment to major league pitching continues drawing attention. His success reflects broader trends of international players making significant impacts in Major League Baseball. Asian talent has enriched the league’s diversity and competitiveness.

The Giants’ front office invested heavily in Lee during the offseason, viewing him as a cornerstone for their lineup. His early performance validates that decision while raising expectations for continued production.

Lopez’s emergence as a batting leader represents another success story for player development within the Marlins organization. His consistency provides a foundation for Miami’s lineup as the team navigates a rebuilding phase.

The batting race adds narrative depth to the 2026 season. With multiple contenders capable of challenging for the title, fans can expect compelling storylines as players pursue individual excellence amid team objectives.

Lee’s two doubles demonstrated his ability to drive the ball with authority. His plate approach combines patience with aggressive swings when pitches enter his zone, characteristics that have defined successful major league hitters.

The Giants will look to build on Lee’s contributions as they face a demanding schedule. Consistent offensive production from their outfield remains crucial for playoff aspirations in a competitive division.

For the Marlins, the victory provided a much-needed boost. Strong pitching and timely hitting helped overcome San Francisco’s offensive threats while capitalizing on defensive opportunities.

Baseball’s international appeal continues growing through players like Lee. His success bridges cultural gaps while inspiring young athletes in South Korea and across Asia to pursue major league dreams.

As the season reaches its midpoint, both Lee and Lopez will face increased scrutiny. Maintaining high batting averages requires sustained focus and adaptation to opposing strategies throughout the long campaign.

The Giants’ loss highlighted areas needing improvement, particularly defensive fundamentals. Addressing such issues will be critical as the team positions itself for a strong second half.

Lee’s performance provides optimism for San Francisco fans. His ability to produce in crucial situations makes him a valuable asset as the Giants pursue postseason qualification.

The close batting race promises continued excitement. With Lee trailing by the slimmest of margins, every at-bat carries significance as players chase individual honors alongside team success.

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With the 2026 MLB season past its midpoint, several significant injury developments have emerged involving some of the league’s biggest names. Here is a breakdown of the five most notable injury storylines currently shaping rosters across the league.

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. Faces an Uncertain Timeline

The Atlanta Braves are proceeding with caution regarding the return timeline for their star outfielder. Braves manager Walt Weiss indicated that it will be some time before Ronald Acuña Jr. is back on an MLB field. Weiss noted that the Braves will exercise caution with Acuña Jr., as this is the second time that he’s injured his hamstring in that particular spot. Acuña Jr. was placed on the IL with a Grade 1 hamstring strain last week.

The recurring nature of the injury appears to be the central factor driving Atlanta’s conservative approach, with the organization seemingly unwilling to rush their star back onto the field given the history of hamstring trouble in that same location.

2. Shohei Ohtani Pitches Through Knee Inflammation

Despite ongoing knee concerns, Los Angeles Dodgers two-way star Shohei Ohtani has continued taking the mound, with the team now actively managing his workload around the lingering issue. Dodgers two-way player Shohei Ohtani picked up a win on June 17 against the Rays. However, Ohtani was doing so as he continues to deal with knee inflammation from the injury he suffered last week. Manager Dave Roberts indicated that Ohtani’s knee will need to be managed moving forward.

The situation adds a layer of uncertainty to one of the most closely watched storylines in baseball this season, given Ohtani’s historic two-way workload and the Dodgers’ careful, six-man rotation approach designed specifically to protect his arm and overall health.

3. Max Scherzer Returns to the Injured List

Veteran right-hander Max Scherzer’s season has hit another setback after a recurrence of a previous issue forced him from his scheduled turn in the rotation. Max Scherzer was scratched from his scheduled start versus the Red Sox on the 17th, as he is now back on the injured list. The Toronto Blue Jays placed Scherzer on the injured list with back spasms, marking the latest interruption in what has been an injury-affected campaign for the future Hall of Famer.

4. Gleyber Torres Lands Back on the IL With Oblique Strain

The Detroit Tigers have lost a key infielder to a recurring type of injury that has sidelined numerous players across the league this season. Tigers infielder Gleyber Torres is back on the IL with an oblique injury. Torres was placed there on June 18, retroactive to June 16, with a left oblique strain, removing an important offensive piece from Detroit’s lineup as the team continues its push through the second half of the season.

5. A Wave of Pitchers Moved to the 60-Day IL

Beyond the individual headline cases, several pitchers across multiple organizations were formally transferred to longer-term injured list designations this week, reflecting the cumulative toll of a long MLB season on pitching staffs. Cole Ragans and Spencer Strider were transferred to the 60-day IL, dealing with an elbow impingement and elbow inflammation, respectively. Andrew Nardi of the Marlins, Griffin Conine of the Marlins, Welinton Herrera of the Rockies, and Robert Garcia of the Rangers were also transferred to the 60-day IL, a procedural move that typically signals an extended absence is now expected for each player.

Other Injuries Worth Watching

Beyond the top five storylines, several other significant injuries have continued to develop across the league in recent days. Braves outfielder Michael Harris II and Mariners outfielder Luke Raley both sat out with back issues, while Mariners outfielder Julio Rodríguez was removed from a game against the Orioles on the 17th with an unknown, apparent injury — a situation that will require further evaluation before his status becomes clear.

In Los Angeles, the Dodgers continue managing an unusually deep list of pitching injuries. Catcher Will Smith, dealing with a stiff neck, went through a full workout on June 16 but remains unlikely to be activated as soon as he becomes eligible. Outfielder Teoscar Hernández, recovering from a left hamstring strain, is set to take part in a simulated game before potentially beginning a rehab assignment. Right-hander Tyler Glasnow, dealing with lower back spasms, has made little progress in his rehab and is currently not throwing, with an expected return now pushed to mid-July at the earliest.

Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal, recovering from surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow, indicated he felt great after a recent bullpen session and could be in line to make a rehab start with Triple-A Toledo in the coming days — a notable development given Skubal’s standing as one of the most coveted names on this summer’s trade market, contingent on his health.

Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz, dealing with a hamstring strain suffered in late May, was expected to be sidelined for two to four weeks, according to manager Terry Francona, representing a significant loss for the Reds’ infield during that stretch.

With the trade deadline now less than two months away, the health status of several of these players — particularly Skubal, given his rumored availability, and Ohtani, given his unprecedented two-way workload — will likely continue drawing significant attention from front offices, fantasy baseball players, and fans alike. Teams across the league will be closely monitoring rehab assignments and return timelines in the coming weeks as rosters continue adjusting to accommodate the wave of injuries that has affected nearly every contender’s pitching staff and lineup depth heading into the second half of the season.

A teething toy that has been sold on Amazon for years is being recalled after at least three reports of choking, according to the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC).

The GOPO TOYS Pull String Teething Toys “violate the mandatory standard for toys because the silicone strings are smaller and longer than permitted,” the commission said in an alert. “The strings can reach the back of children’s throat and become lodged, posing a serious risk of respiratory distress and deadly choking hazard.”

The recall was issued on Thursday and includes more than 70,000 units of the product.

Consumers should immediately stop children from using the toy and contact GOPO Toys for a full refund, the commission said, adding that consumers will be asked to destroy it by cutting all the silicon strings and writing “DESTROYED” in permanent marker on the toy.

CHOKING EMERGENCY? HOW TO DO THE HEIMLICH MANEUVER — AND WHEN TO AVOID IT

A teething toy that has been sold on Amazon for years is being recalled after at least three reports of choking, according to the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission. (U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission / Unknown)

A photo should be sent to recalls@gopotoys.com and the teething tooth thrown out.

The toys were sold on Amazon between August 2023 and March 2026 and were distributed from San Bernardino, California, and made in China.

500K PACKAGES OF MACARONI AND CHEESE SOLD AT ALDI RECALLED OVER UNDECLARED SOY LECITHIN

The toys were sold on Amazon between August 2023 and March 2026 and were distributed from San Bernardino, California, and made in China. (U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission)

At least three children had the toy reach the back of their throat, “resulting in respiratory distress or choking,” the CPSC said.

Earlier this month, 40,000 reusable baby bottles sold at Walmart were recalled over a potential choking hazard.

And in January, the CPSC announced a recall of another teething toy that also had a choking risk after dozens of incidents.

The recall was announced by the United States Consumer Product Safety Commission. (Pavlo Gonchar/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Approximately 6,800 Yetonamr pull-string teething toys were recalled at the time due to violations of mandatory toy safety standards.

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The Yetonamr toy is similar in design to the GOPO TOYS product.

Spain will feel they have a point to prove against Saudi Arabia after a disappointing opening draw with Cape Verde at the 2026 World Cup. Luis de la Fuente’s European champions are fancied by many to be lifting the trophy at New York New Jersey Stadium on July 19, but their tournament started in hugely disappointing fashion, as they were held to a goalless draw by tournament debutants Cape Verde, with veteran goalkeeper Vozinha and a stoic defense in front of him frustrating Spain’s superstars.

A Worrying Statistical Trend

The attention now switches to Sunday’s contest at Atlanta Stadium, where La Roja will hope to lay down a marker and re-emphasize their status among the pre-tournament favorites. However, there will be a slight concern for Spain, who have now failed to win any of their last four World Cup games, with three draws and a loss — their joint-longest winless streak in the competition. Moreover, they have won just two of nine matches across the last three editions, losing once and drawing the other six.

The goal-scoring drought has reached a particularly stark milestone. Their last two World Cup games have ended goalless; Spain have never gone three matches without scoring in the competition. Since scoring in the 11th minute against Japan on Matchday 3 of the 2022 group stage, they have completed exactly 2,500 passes and taken 49 shots, but to no avail.

Dominant Possession, No Reward

The numbers from the Cape Verde draw underscore just how rare Spain’s scoreless outcome truly was given their level of control over the match. Spain had 74.3% possession in the Cape Verde draw, which represents the fourth-highest figure on record since 1966 by a team that failed to score in a World Cup match. One of those other three highest possession shares came in their previous game in the competition against Morocco in 2022, at 76.8%.

Yamal Could Push for a Bigger Role

One potential source of attacking spark for Spain heading into Sunday’s match involves a teenage sensation who saw limited minutes in the opener. Lamine Yamal might hope for a more prominent role having been named on the bench against Cape Verde as he continues to build up his fitness after injury. On Matchday 1, he attempted the most dribbles despite only coming on in the 71st minute, with five. By contrast, Spain’s starting wingers, Gavi, with zero, and Ferran Torres, with three, only attempted three between them.

Spain’s midfield generation was also a bright spot statistically, even amid the broader scoring frustration. Teammate Rodri made six defensive line-breaking passes in the game, the most of any player across groups A through H. He also made five line-breaking passes leading to a shot, the joint-most in the opening round of World Cup games by any player in those groups, alongside Türkiye’s Hakan Çalhanoğlu.

Saudi Arabia’s Encouraging Start

Spain’s upcoming opponent enters Sunday’s match with renewed confidence following a hard-fought result of their own in the opening round. Saudi Arabia took an important point in a 1-1 draw against Uruguay in their opening Group H match, which may be especially important given Cape Verde’s unexpected draw against Spain. Abdulelah Al Amri put Georgios Donis’s side ahead in the 41st minute, but Maxi Araújo equalized for the South American outfit just 10 minutes from time.

Despite earning the point, Saudi Arabia faced significant defensive pressure throughout that match. Saudi Arabia allowed Uruguay to have 41 touches in their box in that game, their most against in a World Cup match since France had 46 in 1998. They also faced 47 crosses, including corners, their joint-most in a single match in the competition, also matching 47 against Belgium in 1994.

Al Owais Stands Tall in Goal

Much of Saudi Arabia’s resilience against Uruguay traced directly back to a standout individual performance from their goalkeeper. Goalkeeper Mohammed Al Owais was busy between the sticks, making nine saves in the match. Only Mabrouk Zayed versus Spain in 2006 has ever recorded more in a World Cup match for Saudi Arabia, with 11.

Al Owais has prevented three goals across his five appearances in the competition, with 10.0 expected goals on target against and seven actually conceded, though he is yet to keep a clean sheet at the tournament. Saudi Arabia will be looking to go unbeaten across their first two matchdays for the first time, with this their seventh participation in the World Cup.

A History That Heavily Favors Spain

The two nations’ limited history together points decisively in Spain’s favor heading into Sunday’s contest. Spain have gone head-to-head with Saudi Arabia on three prior occasions and triumphed each time, scoring nine goals and conceding just two. Those victories included a 1-0 win in their only previous World Cup encounter, which took place in the group stage of the 2006 tournament.

Saudi Arabia’s broader record against European opposition at the World Cup offers little additional encouragement. Saudi Arabia have faced European opposition at the World Cup on 11 occasions, losing 10 of those. However, their solitary victory did, coincidentally, take place in the United States, with Saudi Arabia emerging 1-0 victors over Belgium in Washington back in 1994. The game was notable for a sensational solo goal from Saeed Al-Owairan, who dribbled the ball from his own half before scoring the winner.

The Prediction

Spain may have started their tournament in less-than-impressive fashion, but they are still the obvious favorites with the Opta supercomputer to triumph in this clash. Indeed, they are given an 87.4% win probability, compared to just 3.8% for Saudi Arabia, with the draw considered an 8.8% shot.

The Squads

Spain’s squad includes David Raya, Joan García, Unai Simón, Marc Pubill, Alejandro Grimaldo, Eric García, Pedro Porro, Aymeric Laporte, Pau Cubarsí, Marc Cucurella, Marcos Llorente, Mikel Merino, Fabián Ruiz, Gavi, Dani Olmo, Yéremy Pino, Álex Baena, Rodri, Martín Zubimendi, Pedri, Ferran Torres, Nico Williams, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Víctor Muñoz, and Borja Iglesias.

Saudi Arabia’s squad includes Nawaf Al Aqidi, Mohammed Al Owais, Ahmed Al Kassar, Ali Majrashi, Ali Lajami, Abdulelah Al Amri, Hassan Al Tambakti, Saud Abdulhamid, Nawaf Bu Washl, Hassan Kadish, Moteb Al Harbi, Jehad Thikri, Nasser Al Dawsari, Musab Al Juwayr, Aiman Yahya, Salem Al Dawsari, Abdullah Al Khaibari, Ziyad Al Johani, Alaa Al Hejji, Mohamed Kanno, Mohammed Abu Al Shamat, Feras Al Brikan, Saleh Al Shehri, Khalid Al Ghannam, Abdullah Al Hamddan, and Sultan Mandash.

What’s at Stake

With Spain still searching for their first goal of the tournament and Saudi Arabia hoping to extend their unbeaten start through two matchdays for the first time in program history, Sunday’s clash at Atlanta Stadium carries significant weight for both sides’ positioning within Group H. A Spain victory would restore much of the pre-tournament confidence surrounding Luis de la Fuente’s squad, while another underwhelming result would only intensify scrutiny on a team many had penciled in as among the strongest contenders to lift the trophy in July.