Crypto World
Tether brings $23B gold push into crypto-backed loans
Tether is expanding the use of Tether Gold as crypto lender Ledn adds support for XAU₮.
Summary
- Tether is expanding XAU₮ utility by bringing tokenized gold into Ledn’s lending platform this year.
- XAU₮ holders will be able to borrow against gold without selling the underlying tokenized bullion.
- The move follows Tether’s wider shift toward gold, Bitcoin mining, AI, and infrastructure assets.
The move will let users hold and trade tokenized gold on Ledn, with gold-backed loans expected later this year.
The plan extends Tether’s wider gold strategy at a time when tokenized bullion is gaining more use in crypto markets. Each XAU₮ token represents one fine troy ounce of physical gold stored in Swiss vaults.
XAU₮ joins Ledn’s lending platform
Ledn said it has added support for XAU₮ alongside Bitcoin, USD₮ and USA₮. The platform said users can now hold and trade XAU₮, while borrowing against the tokenized gold product will come later in 2026.
The product follows the same structure Ledn has used for Bitcoin-backed loans. Users can access liquidity while keeping exposure to the underlying asset instead of selling it for cash.
Ledn said client collateral remains held 1:1 and is not lent out or used to generate yield. That point matters after the 2022 crypto lending failures, when weak risk controls and rehypothecation hurt many customers.
The company said demand is growing for services that combine long-term asset ownership with financial flexibility.
“As digital assets become an increasingly important part of the global economy, demand is growing for solutions that combine long-term ownership with financial flexibility,” Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino said.
Tether expands its gold strategy
Tether Gold has grown sharply over the past year as demand for tokenized gold increased. Tether said XAU₮ reserves reached 707,747.139 fine troy ounces by March 31, 2026.
That was up from 520,089.350 fine troy ounces at the end of 2025. Tether said XAU₮’s market value rose from about $2.25 billion to more than $3.3 billion during the first quarter.
The wider $23 billion gold figure refers to Tether’s broader bullion position across its products. Reuters reported that Tether held about 132 metric tons of gold for USDT reserves at the end of March, valued near $19.8 billion, while XAU₮ accounted for about 22 tons.
Tether has also moved to focus more on XAU₮ after closing Alloy and aUSDT. As previously reported, users can redeem aUSDT and recover XAU₮ until Sept. 17 before Alloy support ends.
Gold-backed loans mirror Bitcoin lending
Gold-backed lending is not new in traditional finance. Banks, bullion dealers and large financial firms have long used physical gold as collateral.
Tether and Ledn are trying to bring that model into digital asset markets. Tokenized gold can move on blockchain rails while still tracking ownership of physical bullion held in custody.
This setup may appeal to users who want to keep gold exposure but still need liquidity. A borrower could use XAU₮ as collateral and receive stablecoins without selling the gold-backed asset.
The model also gives Tether another way to add use cases around XAU₮. Instead of acting only as a tokenized gold holding, XAU₮ could become collateral inside crypto lending markets.
Tokenized gold push widens
The Ledn plan follows other recent moves around Tether Gold. Tether and Fasset launched a Visa card with XAU₮ rewards, allowing eligible users to spend through the card and earn up to 6% cashback in tokenized gold.
That product placed XAU₮ closer to everyday payments. It also showed how Tether is testing uses for tokenized gold beyond storage and trading.
The company has also invested beyond stablecoins. Tether has backed Bitcoin mining, renewable energy projects, AI infrastructure, Gold.com and Antalpha as part of a wider technology and infrastructure push.
For Tether, the Ledn deal gives XAU₮ another practical role. Users may soon be able to borrow against tokenized gold in a structure closer to Bitcoin-backed lending, without giving up exposure to the underlying bullion.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Weekly Death Cross Looms as Michael Saylor Signals More BTC Buying
TLDR:
- Bitcoin approaches a rare weekly death cross as traders monitor long-term market direction closely.
- Strategy’s mNAV has dropped below 1.0 for the first time during this market cycle.
- Michael Saylor hinted at more Bitcoin discussions despite growing valuation concerns.
- Technical signals and institutional buying remain key factors shaping Bitcoin sentiment.
Bitcoin could soon print a rare weekly death cross as bearish technical signals return to the market. At the same time, Michael Saylor has hinted that Strategy may continue accumulating Bitcoin despite growing pressure on its valuation.
The two developments have reignited discussion around Bitcoin’s price outlook and institutional demand. Investors are now watching technical charts alongside corporate buying activity for the next major market signal.
Bitcoin Weekly Death Cross Raises Fresh BTC Price Concerns
Crypto Rover shared that Bitcoin is approaching a weekly death cross, a technical pattern that appears when the long-term moving average falls below the shorter trend. The account noted that the previous weekly death cross preceded another 28% decline in Bitcoin’s price.
The same post highlighted Bitcoin’s historical four-year market cycle. According to Crypto Rover, another extended correction could align with the later stages of the current cycle if previous patterns repeat.
The signal has attracted attention because weekly chart formations appear far less often than daily indicators. Traders typically monitor them for broader market direction rather than short-term volatility.
Despite the technical setup, the pattern alone does not determine future price action. Market participants continue weighing macroeconomic conditions, liquidity, and institutional demand alongside historical chart behavior.
Michael Saylor Hints at More Bitcoin Buying Despite Strategy Valuation Pressure
While bearish technical signals circulated, Michael Saylor posted that more charts would be needed, a familiar response that often precedes fresh Bitcoin discussions. His comment followed renewed debate surrounding Strategy’s ability to continue funding Bitcoin purchases.
Wise Advice pointed to Strategy’s market value relative to its Bitcoin holdings. The account noted that the company’s modified net asset value, or mNAV, has fallen below 1.0 for the first time during the current market cycle.
According to the same discussion, Strategy previously suggested that issuing new equity below roughly 1.22 times mNAV could reduce shareholder value. That threshold has prompted questions about whether additional equity-funded Bitcoin purchases remain practical under current market conditions.
Even so, Saylor’s brief response has kept attention on Strategy’s long-standing Bitcoin accumulation strategy.
Investors now await any official filings or announcements that could clarify whether another Bitcoin purchase is approaching while the company navigates changing market dynamics.
Crypto World
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Crucial Daily RSI Divergence That Could Save ETH From New Lows
Ethereum remains under pressure across higher timeframes, but the latest price action is showing early signs that bearish momentum may be losing strength. While the broader trend remains decisively bearish, the recent movements suggest that sellers may be approaching exhaustion after weeks of sustained downside.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
ETH’s recent rejection from the $1.72K-$1.78K supply zone triggered another leg lower, pushing it back into the critical $1.46K-$1.53K demand region. This zone has acted as support multiple times throughout June and continues to attract buyers whenever the price approaches it.
The most notable development on the daily timeframe is the emerging bullish divergence on the RSI. While the asset has continued making lower lows during June, the RSI has been forming higher lows near oversold territory. This divergence suggests that downside momentum is weakening despite ETH remaining near cycle lows.
Although a bullish divergence alone does not guarantee a reversal, it often appears during the latter stages of bearish trends and can serve as an early warning that sellers are losing control. As long as ETH holds above the $1.46K-$1.53K support area, the divergence remains valid, increasing the probability of a relief rally.
However, confirmation would require a break above the nearest resistance zones, particularly the $1.72K-$1.78K supply area. Until then, the broader trend remains bearish despite the improving momentum profile.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
On the 4-hour timeframe, Ethereum has spent the past several sessions consolidating above the lower demand zone after the sharp sell-off from resistance.
A descending trendline has capped every recovery attempt since the June 22 rejection. However, the asset is now compressing directly beneath that trendline, while volatility continues to contract. This setup creates the possibility of a short-term breakout if buyers can push through trendline resistance.
A successful breakout would likely target the $1.72K-$1.78K supply zone, which served as the origin of the latest decline. Such a move would align well with the bullish RSI divergence visible on the daily chart and could provide the first meaningful recovery rally in several weeks.
On the downside, the $1.52K area remains the key level to monitor. Losing this support would invalidate the short-term bullish scenario and shift focus back toward deeper downside continuation within the broader downtrend.
For now, Ethereum appears trapped between support and descending resistance, with the next directional move likely determined by whichever side breaks first.
Sentiment Analysis
The liquidation heatmap reveals an interesting shift in liquidity positioning.
While liquidity remains concentrated above the current price, particularly between roughly $1.68K and $1.80K, Ethereum is currently trading beneath these large clusters. Markets often gravitate toward areas with substantial leveraged positioning, making those overhead liquidity pools attractive short-term targets.
This creates a scenario where ETH could stage an upside liquidity sweep before any larger directional move develops. A breakout above the 4-hour descending trendline would increase the probability of price moving into these overhead liquidity pockets, triggering short liquidations and fueling a squeeze toward the $1.7K-$1.8K region.
At the same time, the heatmap also shows notable liquidity beneath the market around the lower support region, meaning both sides of the range remain vulnerable to liquidation-driven volatility.
Combined with the bullish daily RSI divergence and the compression beneath 4-hour trendline resistance, the current setup suggests Ethereum may first attempt an upside liquidity grab before the market determines whether a more sustainable recovery can develop. The reaction around the $1.72K-$1.80K liquidity cluster will likely provide important clues regarding Ethereum’s next major trend.
The post Ethereum Price Analysis: The Crucial Daily RSI Divergence That Could Save ETH From New Lows appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Highest IQ Holder Backs an XRP Supercycle as 3 Bullish Signals Hit at Once
The world’s highest IQ record holder just declared that the XRP Supercycle is only beginning, while three bullish signals hit the chart at the same time. The token trades near $1.05 as the narrative quickly gains momentum.
The combination of high-profile sentiment and technical alignment is reshaping how traders frame the next XRP cycle.
Why the Highest IQ Holder Sees an XRP Supercycle Starting
A supercycle is a multi-year market phase in which an asset moves through extended upside expansion rather than a typical shorter rally. The XRP narrative just got a major sentiment boost from YoungHoon Kim, holder of the verified world record for the highest IQ at 276.
Kim publicly declared on X that the XRP Supercycle is only just beginning. His statement immediately spread across crypto communities, framing the current phase as the very early innings.
Furthermore, the message landed at a moment when both technical and on-chain indicators are aligning for the Ripple token.
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Such declarations always generate excitement among holders. However, the framing matters because it aligns with structured cycle perspectives shared by serious technical analysts. As a result, the supercycle conversation has expanded beyond pure sentiment and into long-term, data-driven market modeling for XRP.
Technical analyst ChartNerdTA recently highlighted relevant historical cycle data. XRP’s moves from one periodic cycle high to the next have averaged three to five years over the past decade-plus.
Furthermore, this remains one of the cleanest cycle structures in the entire crypto sector.
The data points toward a specific possibility. If a cycle bottom forms during 2026, the next major XRP top could realistically land between 2028 and 2030.
The current market context supports the broader bullish thesis. XRP’s market capitalization remains above $65 billion with 24-hour trading volume still active, according to CoinGecko data.
Institutional interest stays strong, supported by ongoing spot ETF inflows and Ripple’s expanding cross-border payments business across multiple international corridors.
The 3 Bullish Signals Now Lighting Up XRP
A bullish signal is a technical or on-chain indicator that suggests buying pressure may begin to outweigh selling momentum in the short term. XRP has just triggered three of them at once, reinforcing the broader narrative pushed by the highest-IQ holder this week.
The first signal comes from the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator on the daily chart. The setup printed a fresh “9” buy signal, as flagged by analyst Ali Charts. Furthermore, the reading often signals exhaustion in downtrends and tends to precede short-term relief rallies lasting 1 to 4 candles.
The second signal is a Morning Star Doji candlestick pattern. The formation took shape across the past three sessions near the $1.02 to $1.07 support zone. As a result, the structure now reinforces the case for a localized bottom in the short-term XRP price action.
The third signal comes from on-chain activity. Daily active addresses jumped from around 23,000 on June 14 to nearly 39,500 in recent days. Moreover, the surge points to genuine network engagement rather than speculative positioning alone, driving short-term price recovery.
Together, the three signals form a rare alignment. Technical reversal patterns are now meeting concrete on-chain growth at a defended support zone. However, confirmation will require sustained buying volume and a clean break above immediate resistance toward the $1.30 level.
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The wider question remains open. A confirmed near-term move would mark the first technical validation. However, if the supercycle thesis from the highest IQ holder holds, the real story lies years ahead.
Either way, the current setup combines technical, on-chain, and narrative forces in a way XRP has rarely seen before.
The post Highest IQ Holder Backs an XRP Supercycle as 3 Bullish Signals Hit at Once appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
How Binance Turned CZ Into a Billionaire Richer Than Bill Gates
TLDR:
- Forbes estimates CZ’s fortune at $110B, placing the Binance founder ahead of Bill Gates in the latest rankings.
- Binance ownership remains the largest contributor to CZ’s wealth despite past regulatory settlements and leadership changes.
- Forbes says Bill Gates’ continued philanthropy has reduced his personal fortune while keeping him among top billionaires.
- CZ noted crypto wealth changes rapidly because private company valuations and digital asset prices fluctuate daily.
Changpeng Zhao, widely known as CZ, has moved ahead of Bill Gates on the latest Forbes billionaire rankings. The shift reflects the growing value of Binance alongside rising digital asset markets.
CZ’s estimated fortune now stands at $110 billion, placing him above the Microsoft co-founder in Forbes’ published list. The milestone also highlights how crypto infrastructure has become a significant source of global wealth.
CZ Tops Bill Gates as Binance Valuation Lifts Net Worth
Forbes estimates CZ’s net worth at $110 billion. Bill Gates follows with an estimated $108 billion. The updated rankings place CZ at No. 17 globally, while Gates ranks No. 19.
The largest contributor to CZ’s fortune remains his ownership stake in Binance. Forbes estimates that he still controls roughly 90% of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange.
The value of that stake has increased alongside stronger activity across digital asset markets. CZ also holds substantial personal cryptocurrency investments.
Previous public statements indicate that most of his personal assets remain invested in crypto, including Bitcoin and Binance Coin. Forbes factors those holdings into its overall wealth calculations.
CZ acknowledged the published ranking after its release but noted that billionaire estimates can change rapidly. He pointed to crypto market volatility, saying real-time valuations often differ from published figures because private company values and digital assets fluctuate continuously.
Binance Recovery Strengthened CZ’s Position
Binance remained the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange despite major regulatory challenges over the past several years.
After stepping down as chief executive following a U.S. settlement in 2023, CZ retained his reported ownership stake in the company.
According to Forbes, Binance’s business recovered as trading activity stabilized and the exchange maintained a leading share of global crypto trading volume. That recovery significantly increased the estimated value of CZ’s equity.
Posts shared by DeFiTracer on X highlighted the updated Forbes rankings, describing CZ as the richest individual in the cryptocurrency industry. The discussion quickly spread across the crypto community as investors compared traditional technology fortunes with wealth created through digital asset infrastructure.
The rankings also reflect Bill Gates’ long-term philanthropic strategy. Forbes notes that Gates has continued transferring substantial assets to charitable causes through the Gates Foundation, reducing his personal fortune over time while remaining among the world’s wealthiest individuals.
The latest billionaire list illustrates how ownership of crypto infrastructure can rival wealth generated through traditional technology companies.
While token prices influence personal fortunes, Binance’s business valuation remains the largest driver behind CZ’s estimated net worth, according to Forbes. The figures also serve as a reminder that billionaire rankings change frequently as private company values and cryptocurrency markets continue to move.
Crypto World
EBA Outlines Landmark EU Crypto Fines as New Rules Take Effect
The European Banking Authority (EBA) has published a consultation paper outlining how it plans to calculate fines for crypto asset issuers that breach the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework. The proposal—released June 26—signals that regulators intend to move from rulemaking to consistent, standardized enforcement for “significant” token issuers.
Under the draft methodology, the EBA would apply a structured two-step process: it would first establish a baseline severity for an infringement and then adjust the result based on aggravating or mitigating factors. The framework is designed to cover significant asset-referenced tokens (ARTs) and significant e-money tokens (EMTs), with penalty caps intended to be large enough to deter major market players.
Key takeaways
- The EBA’s June 26 consultation sets out a standardized method for determining MiCA-related fines for issuers of “significant” ARTs and EMTs.
- Fines could reach statutory ceilings of up to 12.5% of annual turnover for significant ART issuers and up to 10% for significant EMT issuers, or up to two times the profits from the violation.
- The EBA’s enforcement “teeth” arrive as MiCA licensing requirements take effect on July 1, ending a transitional period for many firms.
- Crypto firms that miss licensing deadlines face operational constraints—and potentially the very types of conduct targeted by the EBA’s fine methodology.
- Executives have a consultation window until September 28 to comment on the EBA’s approach, but the July 1 compliance deadline leaves little time for adjustments in practice.
A penalty playbook for MiCA breaches
MiCA is the EU’s landmark digital asset regulation, built to bring order to the market by requiring token issuers and crypto service providers to meet bank-like compliance expectations—covering issues such as consumer protections and capital reserves—to access the bloc’s single market.
In its consultation paper, the EBA focuses on enforcement for significant tokens as defined under MiCA. The document proposes a consistent approach to fines rather than leaving penalty levels to ad hoc determinations. According to the EBA, the methodology begins by evaluating the baseline seriousness of an infraction and then accounts for behavior-specific circumstances, such as factors that would increase or reduce culpability.
The proposed ceilings are explicitly framed as punitive. The consultation states that final penalties could be set up to statutory maximums of 12.5% of annual turnover for issuers of significant ARTs and 10% for issuers of significant EMTs. The paper also references a cap of two times the profits generated by the violation, a design intended to prevent companies from treating enforcement risk as a cost of doing business.
EBA’s consultation paper (June 26) lays out the framework in more detail, including the procedural steps the authority would use when calculating penalties.
MiCA licensing deadline turns the calendar into a compliance cliff
The fine methodology arrives at a moment when the industry is already facing a hard operational deadline. By July 1, crypto companies must have obtained formal licenses from national regulators to legally offer services across the EU and to market stablecoins within the 27-nation bloc. The deadline ends the transitional period that allowed some operators to continue functioning under less stringent local rules.
The EBA’s penalty methodology is therefore more than a theoretical enforcement blueprint. Companies that fail to secure regulatory authorization by July 1 could be forced to halt or narrow certain activities. The timing also raises the risk of triggering conduct that falls under the types of non-compliance the EBA’s framework is meant to penalize.
Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph also highlighted that the July 1 deadline would constrain firms unable to complete MiCA authorization processes in time. In practical terms, that means executives and compliance teams may be operating under uncertainty while regulatory paperwork catches up—right as the EBA is preparing to standardize what happens when rules are broken.
Binance’s EU restrictions underscore the operational impact
One of the clearest real-world signals comes from Binance. According to Cointelegraph, the exchange notified European Union users that it would restrict access to some services after it failed to secure MiCA authorization from a member state ahead of the July 1 deadline. The reported reason was that Binance withdrew its MiCA license application in Greece.
As users shared notices on social media, Binance indicated that it would stop onboarding new EU users and limit certain services for EU-based accounts effective July 1. The notices also stated that withdrawals would remain available after that date, aligning with regulatory expectations that customers should be able to exit their positions even when trading or onboarding restrictions apply.
The timing matters for market participants because it suggests a likely pattern: without authorization, major venues may shift from growth mode to risk containment. For users, that translates into fewer options for new entry, while for institutions and market makers it can affect liquidity planning and compliance coverage across jurisdictions.
Cointelegraph reported that Binance saw substantial daily net outflows around the announcement, citing DefiLlama data. The exchange’s subsequent outflow figures over the following two days were also reported by Cointelegraph, reflecting how quickly liquidity can move when regulatory access changes.
EU enforcement in focus as the US relies more on action-by-action
Beyond the specific penalty mechanism, the EBA consultation highlights a broader enforcement posture. By publishing a clear fining methodology just as MiCA licensing takes effect, EU authorities appear to be emphasizing predictability and deterrence—leaving less room for interpretation that enforcement might be gradual or forgiving.
This contrasts with a more enforcement-driven approach often associated with the United States, where regulatory outcomes can depend heavily on case-by-case actions. In the EU’s model, the framework aims to define the penalty logic upfront, providing firms with a clearer sense of the regulatory “cost of non-compliance” if they operate without the required authorizations or breach MiCA obligations.
The EBA also set a consultation period that runs until September 28, giving industry participants time to lobby for changes to the fine methodology. Still, the practical reality is that companies must operate compliantly well before the EBA’s final guideline is locked in—meaning the July 1 deadline will test compliance systems first, and only then will firms try to influence the methodology through formal feedback.
As the consultation deadline approaches, market participants should watch whether national regulators align quickly on implementation details and how quickly firms adapt their compliance programs ahead of and after July 1—because the EBA’s penalty framework will likely shape boardroom decisions long before any final rules are formally adopted.
Crypto World
Will Bitcoin Price Recover in July?
Bitcoin (BTC) is heading for its worst monthly loss since mid-2022, with BTC down roughly 18.5% in June as price struggles to hold the psychological $60,000 support level.

BTC/USD monthly chart. Source: TradingView
Will Bitcoin’s downside momentum extend in July, or is BTC preparing for a recovery?
Key takeaways:
- Bitcoin’s liquidity map shows a major short-liquidation “magnet zone” near $67,600.
- BTC has historically gained 7.6% on average in July, while midterm-year seasonality points to an even stronger 10.3% average return.
Bitcoin may hit $75,000 in July
July may become a “bullish month for Bitcoin,” according to analyst Fleh, who predicted BTC price to rally toward $75,000 next month.
The bullish thesis is based on Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap, which shows a large concentration of short liquidation levels sitting above the current price.
On the monthly chart, the strongest visible liquidity cluster sits near $67,645, where the chart shows around $247.39 million in liquidation leverage and roughly $2.26 billion in cumulative short liquidation leverage.

Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap (1 month). Source: CoinGlass
For beginners, such clusters are often called “magnet zones.” When many leveraged positions are concentrated around the same price area, the market can move toward that zone because liquidations create forced buying or selling pressure.
In this case, significant liquidity sits above Bitcoin’s current price near $60,000.
If BTC rebounds and pushes toward $67,600, short sellers may be forced to close their positions. Since closing shorts requires buying Bitcoin back, that can add fresh upside pressure and fuel a short squeeze.
“I think $BTC bottoms here at 60k for now, targeting 75k to the upside before any chance of lower,” Fleh said in a Saturday post.
BTC rises 7.6% on average in July
Bitcoin’s historical monthly returns also support Fleh’s bullish July outlook.
BTC has returned a 7.6% gain on average in July, making it one of its stronger months after a typically weaker June, which shows an average return of -1.40%, according to CoinGlass data highlighted by analyst CGT_Trader.

Bitcoin monthly returns tracking the July performance in since 2013. Source: CoinGlass/CGT_Trader
The trend has appeared even during bear market years.
For instance, Bitcoin rose 20.96% in July 2018 and 16.8% in July 2022. More recently, BTC gained 2.95% in July 2024 and 8.13% in July 2025, strengthening the case for another green month ahead.
A separate midterm-year seasonality chart also shows that- Bitcoin has averaged a 10.3% gain during the month, its strongest monthly return in such years.

Bitcoin performance by month during US mid-term election years. Source: More Crypto Online
That compares with an average 17% loss in June, pointing to the possibility of a post-sell-off mean-reversion bounce.
Based on Bitcoin’s current price near $60,000, its historical July average return of 7.6% projects a move toward roughly $64,500, while the stronger midterm-year average of 10.3% points to about $66,100.
A repeat of Bitcoin’s bear-market July rebounds from 2022 and 2018 would put BTC between $70,000 and $72,500, while a 2020-style July rally would bring Fleh’s $75,000 target within reach.
BTC’s dip below the 200-week SMA may extend slide
Bitcoin’s ongoing drop below its 200-week simple moving average (200-day SMA, the blue line) near $62,445 raises the risk of further downside in July.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView
A similar loss of long-term moving-average support preceded deeper weakness during the 2022 bear market, when BTC continued lower before forming a bottom.
Related: Bitcoin faces fresh capitulation risk as 50K BTC moved at a loss
Bitcoin’s bear flag breakdown raises the odds of a price decline toward $55,000 in July unless BTC quickly reclaims the 200-day SMA.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
Crypto World
EBA Unveils Stablecoin Fines Matrix
The European Banking Authority on Friday unveiled a sweeping framework to penalize cryptocurrency issuers that violate the European Union’s digital-asset laws, signaling a tougher enforcement stance as the trade bloc finalizes its historic regulatory architecture.
The consultation paper published June 26 establishes a standardized playbook for hitting non-compliant issuers of what the EBA considers “significant” tokens with potentially multimillion-euro penalties. Under the proposal, the Paris-based watchdog will deploy a strict two-step process to determine fines, assessing the baseline severity of an infraction before factoring in aggravating or mitigating behavior.
The move represents the sharpening of teeth for the EU’s landmark Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation. Introduced to bring order to a historically freewheeling sector, MiCA is the world’s first comprehensive regulatory regime for digital assets, forcing token issuers and crypto service providers to operate with bank-like compliance, consumer protections and capital reserves if they want access to the single European market.
The stakes for non-compliance are explicitly designed to be punitive. According to the EBA’s consultation paper, final penalties could reach statutory ceilings of 12.5% of annual turnover for issuers of significant asset-referenced tokens and 10% for significant e-money tokens, or two times the profits generated by the violation, caps meant to deter even the largest global digital-asset operators.

Cover screenshot of European Banking Authority’s 14-page consultation paper.
Source: EBA
The roll-out of the penalty framework comes at a critical juncture for Europe’s digital asset industry, landing just days ahead of a crucial July 1 deadline. By the start of next month, cryptocurrency firms must have secured formal licenses from national regulators to legally offer their services or market stablecoins within the 27-nation bloc, ending a transitional grace period that allowed many operators to function under looser local rules.
Related: Binance faces EU service limits next week as MiCA rules take effect
Firms that fail to secure their regulatory passports by July 1 face the prospect of being forced to halt operations entirely or risk triggering the exact infractions, such as unauthorized public disclosures or organizational failures, that the EBA’s new framework is built to penalize.
Binance pushes “pause” on EU operations after license fail
The world’s biggest exchange operator, Binance, last week notified European Union users that access to key services will be restricted after the exchange failed to secure MiCA authorization from a member state before the July 1 deadline after it withdrew its MiCA license application in Greece.
Those restrictions include halting the onboarding of new EU users and limiting certain services for EU-based accounts effective July 1, according to exchange notices shared by users on social media.

Notice sent by Binance to customers in Poland. Source: IT_Tech_PL
The notices said users will still be able to withdraw their assets after that date, stating that “all digital assets are still available for withdrawal,” in line with applicable regulatory requirements.
Binance recorded $1.96 billion in daily net outflows on Wednesday, following its withdrawal announcement, according to DefiLlama data viewed by Cointelegraph on Sunday. The exchange then saw another $2.52 billion and $1.46 billion in net outflows over the following two days.
EU move shows sharp contrast with US enforcement approach
The timing underscores the European Union’s broader strategy to position itself as the dominant global standard-setter for digital finance, contrasting sharply with the regulation-by-enforcement approach seen in the United States. By laying out clear financial penalties right as the licensing mandate takes effect, authorities in Brussels are telling the market that the era of leniency is officially over.
The industry now has a three-month consultation window ending September 28 to lobby for changes to the EBA’s penalty methodology. However, with the July 1 licensing cliff edge just days away, executives will have to navigate an unforgiving compliance environment long before the final fining guidelines are formalized under law.
Crypto World
How does Pi mining work? The tech behind the tap
Pi Network lets tens of millions of people “mine” crypto by tapping a button on their phone once a day, with no hardware, no electricity bill, and no drained battery. That sounds too easy to be real mining, and in a sense it is not. Here is what Pi mining actually does, how the Stellar Consensus Protocol underneath it works, and what your daily tap really secures.
Summary
- Pi mining is not computational mining in the Bitcoin sense; it is a daily check-in that distributes PI tokens and feeds a trust graph the network uses to reach agreement.
- Pi runs on a version of the Stellar Consensus Protocol, a Federated Byzantine Agreement system that reaches consensus through overlapping groups of trusted participants instead of energy-intensive proof-of-work.
- Mobile users contribute their trust relationships through Security Circles, while the actual transaction validation runs on computer nodes, not on phones.
- There are four roles, Pioneer, Contributor, Ambassador, and Node, and the daily tap mainly proves you are a real human and keeps your token rewards flowing.
- The model trades the energy cost and hard security guarantees of proof-of-work for accessibility, and it depends on honest trust circles and a node network that is still maturing.
Pi mining is the process by which Pi Network distributes its PI tokens to users who confirm their participation through a mobile app and contribute trust relationships to the network, rather than by solving the energy-intensive computational puzzles that power Bitcoin mining. That distinction is the single most important thing to understand about Pi, because the word “mining” carries heavy baggage from Bitcoin, where it means racing thousands of specialized machines to solve cryptographic problems and consuming enormous amounts of electricity in the process. Pi uses the same word for something almost entirely different. A Pi user opens an app once every 24 hours, taps a button, and is credited with newly minted PI.
No puzzle is solved, no hardware is strained, and no meaningful electricity is consumed. This has made Pi one of the most-downloaded crypto apps in the world, with tens of millions of users, and also one of the most debated, because the obvious question is how something so effortless can be called mining at all, and what, if anything, the daily tap actually accomplishes. The answer lies in the consensus mechanism Pi is built on, a system called the Stellar Consensus Protocol, and in a reframing of what “mining” means. In Bitcoin, miners contribute energy and computation to secure the ledger, and they are rewarded for it; in Pi, the contribution is different.
Users supply trust relationships, vouching for people they know, and those relationships aggregate into a structure the network uses to agree on which transactions are valid. This guide explains how that works from the ground up. It covers why Pi rejected proof-of-work in the first place, how the Stellar Consensus Protocol reaches agreement without energy-intensive competition, what Security Circles are and how they feed the network, the four roles a participant can play, what the daily tap genuinely does as opposed to what users often assume, a worked example of how one person’s activity flows into consensus, why the mining rate falls over time, and the criticisms and limits that any honest account has to include. By the end you will understand both the clever idea at the heart of Pi and the real questions that surround it.
What Pi mining actually is
Begin by stripping the word “mining” of its Bitcoin associations, because they cause most of the confusion. In Bitcoin, mining is the work of validating transactions and securing the ledger by solving cryptographic puzzles, and the energy spent doing it is what makes the network hard to attack. Pi mining is not that. When a Pi user taps the lightning button in the app, the phone does not solve anything, does not validate transactions, and does not run any heavy computation.
What the tap does is twofold: it signals that the user is a real, active human participating in the network, and it keeps that user eligible to receive newly distributed PI tokens. In Pi’s own framing, mining is the act of making a contribution to the consensus algorithm in order to secure the ledger, in exchange for rewards, but the contribution a mobile user makes is not energy. It is trust. That is why Pi mining is better understood as a combination of two things: a distribution mechanism and a trust-gathering mechanism.
As a distribution mechanism, it is the way PI tokens are handed out fairly to a large population without requiring anyone to buy expensive equipment, which is the project’s central pitch of accessibility. As a trust-gathering mechanism, the daily check-in and the connections a user makes feed into the network’s way of telling real participants apart from bots, which matters because a system that gives away tokens to anyone who taps a button needs some defense against people creating thousands of fake accounts to farm rewards. The daily tap, and especially the trust relationships a user builds, serve that defense. This is why Pi places so much emphasis on identity verification and on the social connections between users: the whole model rests on being able to distinguish genuine humans from fake ones, and the “mining” activity is partly how it gathers the raw material to do that.
Calling it mining is a marketing choice that borrows Bitcoin’s vocabulary, but mechanically it is closer to a daily proof-of-participation than to anything involving computation. For readers comparing the two models, the model Pi rejected is proof-of-work, where miners expend computation and electricity to secure the chain. Pi’s design replaces that energy cost with a trust-based participation model. The tradeoff is accessibility on one side and a different set of security assumptions on the other.
Why Pi does not use proof-of-work
To understand why Pi works the way it does, you have to understand what it is reacting against. Bitcoin and similar cryptocurrencies use a consensus mechanism called proof-of-work, in which participants called miners compete to solve a difficult mathematical puzzle, and the first to solve it gets to add the next block of transactions and earn a reward. Proof-of-work is genuinely secure and has protected Bitcoin for over a decade, but it has two consequences that Pi’s founders saw as barriers. The first is energy: the global competition to solve puzzles consumes vast amounts of electricity, which is both an environmental concern and a cost.
The second is access: because the competition rewards raw computing power, serious mining requires specialized, expensive hardware and cheap electricity, which puts it out of reach of ordinary people and concentrates it among well-resourced operators. Pi Network was founded by two Stanford researchers, Nicolas Kokkalis and Chengdiao Fan, with the explicit goal of making cryptocurrency accessible to anyone with a smartphone, and proof-of-work was incompatible with that goal. A system that demands costly hardware and large electricity bills cannot, by design, be opened to billions of ordinary phone users. So Pi needed a fundamentally different way of reaching consensus, one that did not depend on burning energy or owning powerful machines, while still allowing the network to agree on a single, valid history of transactions without a central authority in charge.
That requirement led the project to a different family of consensus mechanisms, one built not on computational competition but on trust between participants. The choice it landed on was the Stellar Consensus Protocol, and understanding it is the key to understanding everything Pi does, because it is what allows a phone tap to stand in for the energy a Bitcoin miner would otherwise spend. Pi’s own explanation of mobile mining also frames the design this way, saying its consensus algorithm is adapted from SCP and Federated Byzantine Agreement rather than proof-of-work. The shift from work to trust is the core design decision behind Pi mining.
The Stellar Consensus Protocol, explained
The Stellar Consensus Protocol, usually shortened to SCP, is a way for a decentralized network to agree on the state of a shared ledger without proof-of-work, and it was created by David Mazières, a computer scientist associated with the Stellar blockchain. Its underlying model is called Federated Byzantine Agreement, and the core idea is a genuine departure from how Bitcoin works. Instead of every participant competing, or relying on a fixed, predetermined set of validators chosen by a central authority, each participant in an SCP network decides for itself which other participants it trusts. The set of validators that a given participant chooses to trust is called its quorum slice.
Crucially, no central body assigns these trust relationships; each node selects its own, which is what makes the system both open and decentralized. Consensus then emerges from the overlap of these individual trust choices. When enough of the participants that a node trusts, and enough of the participants they in turn trust, all agree on a transaction or a block, that agreement propagates across the network until a global decision forms. In plainer terms, nodes reach agreement by exchanging messages and aligning with the peers they trust, and because trust relationships overlap and interlock across the whole network, a decision that begins locally spreads until the entire system converges on it.
There is no puzzle to solve and no energy to burn; the security comes from the structure of overlapping trust rather than from computational work. This is why the Stellar Consensus Protocol can run on modest hardware and reach agreement quickly with low energy use, which is exactly the property Pi needed. The protocol has well-studied properties of open membership, flexible trust, and fast, low-bandwidth messaging, and it is a real, respected approach to consensus, not something Pi invented. What Pi did was adapt SCP and layer on top of it a way to gather the trust relationships from a mass of ordinary mobile users, which is where Security Circles come in.
Security Circles and the global trust graph
The bridge between millions of phone users and the Stellar Consensus Protocol is a feature called the Security Circle. Each Pi user is encouraged to build a Security Circle by adding a small number of people, typically three to five, whom they personally know and trust. This is a deliberately human act: you are vouching for specific individuals, asserting that they are real people you have reason to trust. On its own, one person’s Security Circle is a tiny thing, a handful of trust links.
But Pi’s design aggregates every user’s Security Circle into a single, enormous structure called the global trust graph, a map of who trusts whom across the entire network of tens of millions of users. This global trust graph is what feeds Pi’s consensus mechanism, and it is the mobile user’s actual contribution. Where a Bitcoin miner contributes energy, a Pi mobile user contributes trust relationships and the active, daily confirmation of them. The individual Security Circles become the raw material from which the network builds its quorum slices, the overlapping trust sets that the Stellar Consensus Protocol uses to reach agreement.
The graph also serves a defensive purpose that is central to Pi’s whole proposition. Because the network distributes tokens to participants, it is a tempting target for people who would create armies of fake accounts to harvest rewards, an attack known as a Sybil attack. The trust graph is Pi’s main defense: if real humans only add other real humans they know to their circles, then fake accounts struggle to embed themselves in the web of genuine trust, and the network can prioritize the accounts that sit within dense, authentic trust relationships over isolated or suspicious ones. This is why the social dimension of Pi is not incidental but foundational, and why Pi’s identity-based design belongs in the broader debate about proving real humans in crypto.
The security of the whole system is meant to rest on the authenticity of the trust relationships that ordinary users build, which is also one of the model’s most debated features. If users build careful circles with people they genuinely know, the graph can become a useful Sybil-resistance layer. If users add strangers just to boost earnings, the quality of the graph weakens. That tension is central to understanding both Pi’s accessibility and its open questions.
The four roles: Pioneer, Contributor, Ambassador, and Node
Pi organizes participation into four roles, and understanding them clarifies who does what in the network. The most basic role is the Pioneer, which is simply a user who opens the app once every 24 hours and taps the button to confirm they are a real, active human and not a bot. Pioneers are the foundation of the user base, and the daily check-in is the minimum act of participation that keeps a user earning. The Pioneer role, on its own, does not validate transactions or secure the ledger in any direct technical sense; it confirms presence and keeps the rewards flowing.
The second role is the Contributor, which is a user who actively builds a Security Circle by adding trusted people. This is the role through which a user supplies the trust relationships that feed the global trust graph, so Contributors are the ones doing the work that actually matters for the consensus mechanism, even though that work consists of nothing more technical than choosing which people to vouch for. The third role is the Ambassador, a user who grows the network by referring new members, typically rewarded with a boost to their earning rate for doing so. Ambassadors expand the network’s reach, though, as critics point out, referral-based growth is also the feature that draws comparisons to multi-level marketing.
The fourth and most technically significant role is the Node. Node operators run Pi’s node software on a computer, not a phone, and it is these computer nodes that perform the heavy lifting of actually running the consensus algorithm and validating transactions, using the trust graph that all the mobile users have collectively built. The four roles together describe a division of labor: Pioneers prove they are real and keep earning, Contributors supply trust, Ambassadors grow the network, and Nodes do the actual computational work of reaching consensus. Recognizing that the validation happens at the Node level, not on phones, is essential to understanding what mobile “mining” really is.
What the daily tap really does
Here is the honest core of how Pi mining works, the part that promotional descriptions tend to blur. When you tap the button each day as a Pioneer, you are not validating transactions, you are not running the consensus algorithm, and you are not securing the ledger in the way a Bitcoin miner secures Bitcoin. What you are doing is two specific things. First, you are confirming that you are a real human who is actively present, which keeps your account in good standing and keeps you eligible to receive PI.
Second, through your Security Circle and your ongoing confirmation of those trust links, you are contributing to the global trust graph that the network’s computer nodes use to reach consensus. Your phone is a source of trust data, not a validator. The crucial point, in Pi’s own words, is that the heavy lifting of running the consensus algorithm based on the trust graph still falls to computer nodes. The mobile phones create and confirm the trust relationships; the nodes use those relationships to do the actual work of validating transactions and securing the ledger.
So when a Pi user says they are “mining,” what is really happening is that they are feeding the security model with trust and keeping their reward stream active, while the computational securing of the network happens elsewhere, on the node layer. This is not a criticism so much as a clarification, because it explains both why Pi mining can be so effortless and why it is so different from what most people picture when they hear the word mining. The effortlessness is real because the user truly is not doing computational work. The contribution is real too, but it is a contribution of trust and presence, not of energy or computation.
Understanding this distinction is the difference between thinking you are personally securing a blockchain with your phone and understanding that you are providing one input, trust, into a system whose actual validation happens on computers run by node operators. That is also why “mining” in Pi should not be evaluated with the same checklist as Bitcoin mining. The daily tap is closer to proof of participation and identity maintenance than to proof-of-work. The right question is not whether the phone solves blocks, because it does not, but whether the trust graph and node layer mature enough to secure a real network.
A worked example: how one Pioneer’s activity flows into consensus
To make this concrete, follow a single user through a day. Imagine a Pioneer named Maria who has had the Pi app for a few months. Each morning she opens the app and taps the lightning button, which starts a 24-hour earning cycle and credits her with PI at her current rate. That tap, on its own, simply tells the network that Maria is a real, active human and keeps her rewards flowing.
So far, nothing about the ledger has changed; Maria has only confirmed her presence. The part that feeds the network is Maria’s Security Circle. Some weeks ago, Maria added five people she knows personally, her sister, two close friends, a coworker, and a former classmate, to her Security Circle, vouching for each as a real, trustworthy person. Those five trust links are Maria’s contribution to the global trust graph.
When the network’s computer nodes run the Stellar Consensus Protocol to agree on the next set of transactions, they draw on the vast web of trust relationships that Maria and tens of millions of other users have built. Maria’s five links are a tiny but real part of the overlapping trust sets, the quorum slices, that the nodes use to reach agreement, and because Maria’s circle connects to her contacts’ circles, which connect to theirs, her small contribution is woven into the larger structure that lets the whole network converge on a shared, valid history. If Maria also chose to run node software on her computer, she would move into the Node role and take part directly in the validation work; as a Pioneer with a Security Circle, she instead supplies trust that the nodes consume. The reward she receives for her daily tap is, in effect, payment for her presence and her trust contribution.
This is the full loop of Pi mining at the level of one person: tap to prove presence and earn, build a circle to contribute trust, and let the node layer turn that aggregated trust into consensus. The example also shows why Pi’s model is both accessible and contested. Maria did not need an ASIC miner, a warehouse, or a power contract, which is the whole point. But the quality of her contribution depends on the authenticity of her trust choices, and the strength of the network depends on millions of similar choices being honest.
The mining rate and why it falls
A practical feature that surprises many new users is that the rate at which they earn PI is not fixed; it falls over time, by design. Pi built in a declining emission schedule loosely modeled on the way Bitcoin’s block reward halves over time, intended to create scarcity as the network grows. In Pi’s history, the base mining rate has dropped sharply at population milestones: it halved as the network crossed 1 million users, halved again at 10 million, and has continued to decline as the user base has grown into the tens of millions. A Pioneer today earns a small fraction of what early users earned for the same daily tap.
The logic is that rewarding early participants more generously bootstraps the network, while tapering rewards as it grows prevents the supply from expanding too fast and preserves some scarcity. On top of the declining base rate, a user’s actual earnings are shaped by multipliers tied to the roles described earlier. Building a Security Circle increases your rate, referring new users as an Ambassador adds a boost, engaging with apps in the ecosystem can contribute, and some users choose to lock up their PI for a period in exchange for a higher rate. So two users tapping on the same day can earn quite different amounts depending on how much they have contributed to the network’s trust and growth.
All of this sits against the backdrop of Pi’s very large maximum supply, on the order of 100 billion tokens, of which only a portion is currently in circulation. That large supply, combined with the way new tokens enter the market as users complete verification and move their balances onto the live network, is a structural factor that weighs on the token’s price, a dynamic worth keeping in mind alongside the mechanics of how the mining itself works. For readers following the market side, how mined Pi reaches the market explains why unlocks, migration, and supply absorption matter after tokens become transferable. The declining rate is, in part, the project’s attempt to manage that supply, rewarding participation while trying not to flood the market.
Risks, criticisms, and what mining really secures
An honest explanation of Pi mining has to address the genuine criticisms and limits, because they go to the heart of what the model is and is not. The most fundamental point, already noted, is that mobile “mining” does not secure the ledger the way proof-of-work does. The daily tap proves presence and feeds the trust graph, but the actual validation runs on computer nodes, and the security of the whole system rests on the trust graph being authentic and on the node network being sufficiently decentralized and robust. That leads directly to the central criticism: the trust-based security model is debated.
Its strength depends on real humans adding only other real humans to their circles, and skeptics question how reliably that holds at a scale of tens of millions of users, and how resistant the system truly is to manipulation if trust links can be gamed. Centralization is another recurring concern. For much of its life Pi has operated with significant control held by its founding team and foundation, including over key aspects of the network and the pace of its decentralization, which sits uneasily with the decentralized ideal that the consensus model is meant to embody. The node network that does the real validation is still maturing, and the degree to which it is truly decentralized is a fair question.
Critics also point to the referral mechanics, the Ambassador role and its rewards for recruiting new users, as resembling the structure of multi-level marketing, where growth is driven by recruitment, and they note that the long period during which Pi could be mined but not traded or used invited skepticism about whether the tokens would ever have real value. There are technical limits too, including questions about the network’s transaction throughput and its capacity to serve a user base of its claimed size. None of this means Pi is necessarily a scam, a charge its supporters reject by pointing to its real technical development and large verified community, but it does mean a clear-eyed user should understand exactly what their daily tap does and does not accomplish. You are not single-handedly securing a blockchain with your phone.
You are providing trust and presence to a system whose validation happens on a node network, in exchange for tokens whose ultimate value depends on the project delivering real utility and decentralization over time. That is the honest picture of what Pi mining secures, and what it does not. For price-focused readers, where the mined token trades is a separate question from how the mining mechanism works. For consensus comparisons, another way networks reach consensus shows how other systems use locked capital rather than proof-of-work or Pi’s trust graph.
Frequently asked questions
Is Pi mining real cryptocurrency mining?
Not in the way Bitcoin mining is. Bitcoin mining involves solving cryptographic puzzles with specialized hardware, consuming large amounts of energy, to validate transactions and secure the ledger. Pi mining involves tapping a button in an app once a day, which solves nothing and consumes no meaningful energy. What the tap does is prove you are a real, active human and keep you eligible for PI rewards, while the trust relationships you build feed the network’s consensus mechanism.
The actual transaction validation runs on computer nodes, not phones. So Pi uses the word mining, but mechanically it is closer to a daily proof-of-participation than to computational mining.
What is the Stellar Consensus Protocol?
The Stellar Consensus Protocol, or SCP, is a way for a decentralized network to agree on a shared ledger without proof-of-work, created by computer scientist David Mazières. It uses a model called Federated Byzantine Agreement, in which each participant chooses for itself which other participants it trusts, forming what is called a quorum slice. Consensus emerges when these overlapping trust choices align across the network, so a decision spreads until the whole system converges on it. Because security comes from the structure of overlapping trust rather than from computational work, SCP uses little energy and can run on modest hardware, which is why Pi adapted it for mobile use.
What does tapping the button actually do?
Two things. First, it confirms you are a real human who is actively present, which keeps your account in good standing and your PI rewards flowing. Second, combined with your Security Circle, it contributes to the global trust graph that the network’s computer nodes use to reach consensus. What it does not do is validate transactions or secure the ledger directly; your phone is a source of trust data, not a validator.
In Pi’s own description, the heavy lifting of running the consensus algorithm falls to computer nodes, while mobile users supply the trust relationships those nodes rely on. So the tap is about presence and trust, not computation.
What is a Security Circle?
A Security Circle is a small group of people, typically three to five, whom a Pi user personally knows and trusts and adds to their account, vouching for them as real, trustworthy individuals. On its own a Security Circle is just a few trust links, but Pi aggregates every user’s circle into a single global trust graph spanning the whole network. That graph is the mobile user’s real contribution: it feeds the consensus mechanism and serves as the network’s main defense against fake accounts, since genuine humans adding only other genuine humans makes it harder for bot armies to embed themselves in the web of authentic trust. The social authenticity of these circles is foundational to Pi’s security model.
Why does my Pi mining rate keep dropping?
By design. Pi built in a declining emission schedule, loosely modeled on Bitcoin’s halving, to create scarcity as the network grows. The base rate has halved at population milestones, dropping as the network passed 1 million and then 10 million users, and continuing to fall as it reached the tens of millions, so a Pioneer today earns a fraction of what early users earned. Your actual earnings also depend on multipliers from building a Security Circle, referring users, engaging with the ecosystem, and optional lockups.
The declining rate is partly an attempt to manage Pi’s very large maximum supply of around 100 billion tokens, rewarding early participation while trying to limit how fast new supply enters.
Is Pi Network legitimate, or is it a scam?
It is truly debated, and this guide does not resolve it. Supporters point to real technical development, the adaptation of a respected consensus protocol, and a large verified community as evidence that Pi is a serious project. Critics raise concerns about centralized control held by the founding team, the maturity and true decentralization of the node network, referral mechanics that resemble multi-level marketing, the long period when Pi could be mined but not used, and questions about the network’s technical capacity. A clear-eyed view is that Pi is a real project with real open questions, and that any user should understand exactly what their daily tap accomplishes and treat the token’s ultimate value as uncertain instead of assured.
This article is educational information, not financial advice. Details of Pi Network’s mechanics, mining rate, supply, and development reflect information available as of June 28, 2026, and can change. Pi Network is a debated project, and its token’s value and future remain uncertain. Verify current details from official sources and consider your own circumstances before participating or making any decision.
Crypto World
Everyone Expects XRP to Crash Further: Is Ripple About to Surprise the Market?
The past several months have not been kind to XRP. After it marked a new all-time high in mid-July 2025, it has been mostly downhill, losing over 70% of its value, dumping toward $1.00, being surpassed by BNB and USDC in terms of market cap, and registering six consecutive months in the red at one point.
Amid all of these adverse developments, some analysts have turned highly bearish on the asset. While the dominant belief is that XRP has reached its most crucial moment during this cycle, some, such as Ali Martinez, pointed to potential drops to the next crucial support levels at $0.80, $0.62, or $0.51 if the $1.00 floor gives in.
Glassnode warned that XRP token holders continue to realize more losses than profits, indicating intensifying selling pressure even among investors in the red. Even ChatGPT made some worrying predictions if the asset indeed flips $1.00 from support into resistance soon. But maybe such low sentiment is what is needed for XRP to turn things around.
Run Up Instead?
Paradoxically, history shows that the markets rarely reward such consensus. In fact, Warren Buffett has said it best, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
Extreme pessimism has frequently appeared near important turning points across the crypto market. BTC, ETH, and XRP have all experienced periods where sentiment collapsed and remained there for a while before major recoveries began. This is generally possible when weak hands exited, and long-term investors quietly accumulated.
For XRP, this accumulation appears to be coming from ETF investors, as the funds tracking its performance have seen a green-only streak of eight consecutive weeks, while the BTC and ETH ETFs have bled out heavily.
The recent sell-off also pushed several on-chain and technical metrics into historically oversold territory. Some analysts argue that XRP may be approaching a zone where risk-reward begins to improve, even if short-term volatility persists.
History is indeed on XRP’s side. Recall that the asset’s sentiment had plunged to similar levels in mid-June but skyrocketed by double digits within 24 hours as the analytics company Santiment attributed that rally to the deteriorating investor behavior.
July Agrees
Current data show that XRP is on track to close June with a decline of over 20%, its worst monthly performance since February 2025. Data from CryptoRank suggests that this aligns with previous performances, as June has been a predominantly bearish month for the asset.
On the contrary stands July. XRP has closed each of the past six editions in the green, showing some impressive gains. Five out of the six have seen double-digit price increases, including massive 45%+ pumps in 2020 and 2023. The median gain for July stands at close to 11%.

The post Everyone Expects XRP to Crash Further: Is Ripple About to Surprise the Market? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Why SBI paid $289 million for an unprofitable crypto exchange: Architect Partners
SBI Holdings is a financial services group with businesses spanning securities, banking, insurance, asset management and venture investing with a market capitalization of about $11 billion. The Tokyo-based company is one of Japan’s most active traditional-finance participants in digital assets, with stakes and partnerships across crypto trading, liquidity, tokenization, stablecoins and blockchain-based settlement.
Bitbank is one of the country’s largest licensed cryptocurrency exchanges, offering spot trading, custody and other digital-asset services to retail and institutional clients.
Cheaper, quicker to buy
Crypto mergers and acquisitions have remained brisk in 2026 as banks, payments firms and exchanges race to build regulated digital asset businesses rather than develop them in-house.
The industry has recorded 144 deals worth $11.8 billion so far this year, according to data from Architect Partners, with buyers increasingly targeting exchanges, custody providers, data firms and stablecoin infrastructure as regulatory clarity draws more institutional capital into the sector.
According to Payne, the Bitbank acquisition is about more than customer growth. The deal brings a Financial Services Agency-licensed exchange, one of Japan’s deepest altcoin liquidity pools and an institutional custody business, Japan Digital Asset Trust, giving SBI capabilities that would be far more costly and time-consuming to build internally.
The acquisition comes at a pivotal moment for Japan’s crypto industry. Legislation passed by the country’s lower house on June 11 would shift crypto assets under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, aligning them with securities regulation. The reforms lower the tax rate on crypto gains to a flat 20% and pave the way for spot bitcoin , ether (ETH) and XRP exchange-traded funds, while simultaneously imposing more stringent capital, custody and disclosure requirements on exchanges.
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