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DraftKings (DKNG) Stock: Can Thursday Earnings Spark a Reversal?

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DKNG Stock Card

TLDR

  • DraftKings reports Q4 earnings Thursday with analysts projecting $0.09 EPS and $1.99 billion revenue, both up year-over-year
  • Shares hit two-year low of $25.01 last week, trading at $26.28 after 3% drop Wednesday, down 23.8% in 2026
  • Company launched DraftKings Predictions to counter prediction market threat and access states without legal sports betting
  • Wall Street analysts now say prediction market fears overblown, estimating only 5% impact on legal betting handle
  • Technical indicators show oversold RSI at 27.7 while 7.8% short interest could fuel post-earnings rally

DraftKings delivers its fourth-quarter earnings report Thursday after the closing bell. Wall Street expects earnings per share of $0.09 on revenue of $1.99 billion.


DKNG Stock Card
DraftKings Inc., DKNG

Zacks Research projects higher earnings of 50 cents per share on the same revenue figure. Both estimates exceed last year’s Q4 results.

The stock closed down 3% Wednesday at $26.28. Year-to-date, shares have plunged 23.8%.

Stock Performance and Technical Setup

DraftKings touched a two-year low of $25.01 on Feb. 5. The stock has failed multiple attempts to break through resistance at $37.50.

Technical indicators paint an interesting picture. The 14-day RSI reads 27.7, signaling oversold conditions. Historically, readings below 30 often precede rebounds.

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Short interest represents 7.8% of the float. That’s nearly three days of potential buying pressure if shorts scramble to cover on positive earnings news.

Options markets expect a 15.9% move after earnings. This dwarfs the stock’s typical 5.3% post-earnings swing. The company has closed higher in five of its last eight earnings sessions, including an 8.6% jump in November.

Prediction Markets Enter the Picture

Three months ago, CEO Jason Robins declared himself “the most bullish” about DraftKings’ future. The stock is down 6% since.

Prediction markets emerged as a concern for investors. These platforms let users bet in states without legalized sports betting, potentially cutting into DraftKings’ growth.

DraftKings responded by launching DraftKings Predictions. The platform serves defensive and offensive purposes. It protects market share while giving the company access to restricted states.

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The move also builds a customer database. If those states legalize sports betting later, DraftKings already has users to convert.

Wall Street Reconsiders the Threat

Analysts are walking back their prediction market concerns. Third Bridge’s Alex Smith doesn’t expect DraftKings to fully commit to the space. Regulatory uncertainty and unproven demand outside sports remain issues.

Sports betting drives 89% of Kalshi’s fee revenue in 2025. Kalshi and Polymarket dominate the prediction market landscape.

Citizens analyst Jordan Bender downplayed the competitive threat in January. His research suggests prediction markets capture roughly 5% of total legal sports betting handle.

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Bender noted one poor Monday Night Football game could match the EBITDA impact of the entire prediction market sector. The comparison highlights how much investors may have overreacted.

Thursday’s earnings call will shed light on DraftKings Predictions performance. Management’s commentary will reveal whether the company views prediction markets as a real threat or minor distraction.

The stock’s oversold condition and high short interest create potential for a sharp move if results beat expectations. Analysts will focus on revenue growth, user metrics, and any updated guidance for 2026.

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Crypto World

Will BTC Price Hit $80K?

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Will BTC Price Hit $80K?

Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) looks set to restart its Bitcoin (BTC) accumulation engine after a short pause, with its STRC preferred stock likely funding fresh crypto purchases this week.

Key takeaways:

  • Strategy may purchase at least $76.25 million in Bitcoin this week.

  • Combined with a technical setup, Bitcoin may rise to $80,000 in April.

Strategy may buy at least 1,111 BTC this week

On Tuesday, STRC closed at $100.02, just above its $100 par value. Trading at or above par gives Strategy room to issue new shares, raise fresh capital and deploy the proceeds into Bitcoin.

STRC price and volume. Source: STRC.LIVE

Estimates from STRC.LIVE suggest Strategy had raised enough by Tuesday’s close to fund the purchase of more than 1,085 BTC, with the weekly total rising to over 1,111 BTC. That is equivalent to around $76.25 million.

MSTR weekly estimated Bitcoin purchases. Source: STRC.LIVE

This is a shift from the previous week, when STRC traded mostly below par and generated no estimated BTC purchases.

As of late March, the company held 762,099 BTC at an average acquisition price of about $75,694, according to its latest filings.

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BTC rebounds as Strategy’s buying window reopens

The renewed buying window has coincided with a bounce in Bitcoin prices.

Since Tuesday, BTC/USD has climbed more than 5%, briefly reaching nearly $69,300. The move mirrors earlier gains seen during periods when Strategy was actively raising capital through STRC to buy Bitcoin.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView

One example came in the week ending March 15, when Bitcoin rose more than 10% despite weak broader risk sentiment. Over the same period, Strategy purchased 22,337 BTC worth about $1.57 billion.

The opposite dynamic emerged afterward. Bitcoin fell 14.55% over the next two weeks, roughly aligning with Strategy’s pause in purchases as STRC slipped below its $100 par value.

On March 23, Strategy unveiled a $44.1 billion capital-raising capacity to buy more Bitcoin via the sales of STRC and other preferred stocks, indicating that it would remain a meaningful source of Bitcoin demand in the coming months.

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Bitcoin eyes $80K after bouncing from flag support

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s rebound began after it retested the lower boundary of its prevailing bear flag pattern as support.

BTC could advance toward the flag’s upper trendline near $80,000 in April if the recovery gains further traction, particularly if boosted by renewed Strategy buying and signs of easing Iran war tensions.

BTC/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

The $80,000 upside target also aligns with the 50-period exponential moving average on the three-day chart, making the area a key near-term resistance zone.

Related: Bitcoin ETFs post $1.3B in March inflows, first monthly gain of 2026

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Conversely, Bitcoin risks losing the flag’s lower trendline support and confirming the pattern’s typical bearish breakdown if those supportive catalysts fade.

In that scenario, the measured downside target would come in near the $49,000–$50,000 zone. That aligns with the downside projections shared by multiple analysts in the past.