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India’s premium has almost entirely disappeared now: Ben Powell, BlackRock

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India's premium has almost entirely disappeared now: Ben Powell, BlackRock
Ben Powell, chief investment strategist for APAC at BlackRock Investment Institute, said he is turning more constructive on Indian equities after the recent underperformance. In an interview with Himadri Buch, Powell spoke about India as an investment destination, IT stocks and US bond yields, among other topics. Edited excerpts:

Is the worst of the foreign investor selling in India over?

Over the last couple of quarters, Indian equities have had a more difficult time, largely driven by things beyond India’s control. One is the AI super boom, and two is the conflicts in the region and the consequent energy shock. Energy prices have come all the way back down, and oil supply looks quite abundant globally. So, for India, that is good news. India is very close to the top of the list, and you could see a continuation of foreign flow back into India, creating a so-called virtuous circle.

After two years of underperformance, are Indian stock market valuations still expensive right now?
India’s premium has almost entirely disappeared now. So the valuation is more reasonable versus other emerging markets. When we look forward over the next six or 12 months, we can have more confidence in the earnings forecast. That is quite encouraging for Indian equities.

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Where does India sit in your emerging markets basket?

We are neutral on emerging market equities. Neutral is not bearish; it means fully invested. We want to take a little bit of profit in some of the AI super boom. It’s not that we are negative on Taiwan and Korea.
So, we are taking emerging market equity to neutral within that mix tactically, and for India, I am turning a little bit more constructive. Within the mix, the relative preference is adjusting more in the direction of Indian equities on the tactical side in the next six months.
What is your assessment of the sharp sell-off in Indian IT stocks?
We will have to wait and see. We call it scarcity and abundance. People are hoping that AI can create an abundant future, but we are not there yet, so we need to treat the world as it is.

There is not much evidence of the impact on jobs, and the US labour market continues to be very strong. For now, it feels the market has a little bit oversold indiscriminately. AI is a big deal, we agree with that. But the skill as an investor is to be more nuanced, to pick your spots.

US bond yields have risen 4.3% to 4.4% with markets expecting the new Fed chair to be hawkish. What will be the interest rate trajectory there?

The Fed is not going to do much is our judgment, because all of us are wrestling with a very complicated world. Their uncertainty and reluctance to move policy is completely reasonable, given a very uncertain path of inflation, growth and unemployment. So the Fed will be on pause for this year, trying to work out what is going on, including the impact of AI.

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The uncertainty around inflation is very high, so we think US 10-year yields can go higher, even when the Fed is waiting and seeing.

What does higher US bond yields mean for the AI investment story?
The 10-year yields can go up, and AI trade can continue. We are underweight in US government bonds, long duration, and overweight US equities. The reason is earnings.

Do you see signs of an AI bubble?
We think the AI boom will continue. This should mean we have earnings strong enough to drive these companies and the overall market forward, even as the 10-year yield goes a little bit higher over the next six months.

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Parkeston support in Kal power plan

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Parkeston support in Kal power plan

The state government could use privately-owned Parkeston power plant near Kalgoorlie to support the city’s grid, three years after knocking back a bid by its owners to do just that.

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SoftBank gains as report says it revives $10 billion OpenAI-backed loan talks

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SoftBank gains as report says it revives $10 billion OpenAI-backed loan talks

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HP Stock Doesn’t Deserve To Be So Unloved (NYSE:HPQ)

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HP Stock Doesn't Deserve To Be So Unloved (NYSE:HPQ)

This article was written by

I’m a full-time investor with a strong focus on the tech sector. I graduated with a Bachelor of Commerce Degree with Distinction, major in Finance. I’m also a proud lifetime member of the Beta Gamma Sigma International Business Honor Society. My core values are: Excellence, Integrity, Transparency, & Respect. I always, to the best of my ability, hold true to these values which I believe are key for long-term success. I would like to invite all of my readers to leave their constructive criticism and feedback in the comments section so that I can further enhance the quality of my work moving forward. Thank you and God Bless America!

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Kroger to buy Giant Eagle for $1.65B after failed Albertsons merger

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Kroger to buy Giant Eagle for $1.65B after failed Albertsons merger

Kroger announced Wednesday it will acquire regional supermarket chain Giant Eagle in a $1.65 billion deal, marking the grocery giant’s first major acquisition since regulators blocked its proposed $25 billion merger with Albertsons nearly two years ago.

The acquisition will strengthen Kroger’s presence across several Midwestern and Mid-Atlantic markets as traditional grocery chains compete with Walmart and Amazon while consumers continue searching for lower prices after years of elevated inflation.

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“We evaluated the opportunity carefully, and the strategic fit is clear,” Kroger CEO Greg Foran said in a statement. “Giant Eagle expands our reach into attractive adjacent markets.”

SEPHORA JOINS WALMART, TARGET WITH NEW ‘QUIET HOURS’ SHOPPING EXPERIENCE

A Kroger store.

Kroger announced Wednesday it will acquire regional supermarket chain Giant Eagle in a $1.65 billion deal. (Shelby Tauber/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Giant Eagle operates about 197 supermarkets and 11 standalone pharmacies across northern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland and Indiana. Kroger currently operates roughly 2,700 supermarkets and multi-department stores, along with about 2,200 pharmacies, across 35 states.

The transaction includes $1.25 billion in cash and the assumption of approximately $400 million in Giant Eagle’s outstanding liabilities.

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Giant Eagle operates about 197 supermarkets and 11 standalone pharmacies across northern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland and Indiana. (Allison Farrand/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

The acquisition follows the collapse of Kroger’s proposed merger with Albertsons in late 2024, when courts blocked the deal over antitrust concerns, prompting the nation’s largest traditional supermarket operator to pursue other avenues for growth.

The grocery industry remains fiercely competitive as retailers battle for market share amid persistent pressure on household budgets. Kroger has sought to keep prices competitive as shoppers remain price-conscious, while Walmart has continued to gain grocery market share and Amazon has expanded its online grocery offerings.

Kroger said it expects the Giant Eagle acquisition to increase adjusted earnings beginning in the second full year after the transaction closes, which is expected in 2027.

Outside of a Kroger grocery store.

A Kroger grocery store in Covington, Kentucky, on June 2, 2024.  (Jeffrey Dean/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

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The deal also reflects a broader wave of consolidation across the consumer sector, with companies pursuing acquisitions to gain scale and navigate inflationary pressures, changing consumer preferences and heightened competition.

Reuters contributed to this report. 

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Sony to end physical PlayStation game discs for new releases starting in 2028

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Sony to end physical PlayStation game discs for new releases starting in 2028

Sony is ending production of physical discs for all new PlayStation game releases beginning in January 2028, marking a significant step in the gaming industry’s ongoing transition to digital distribution. 

Sony Interactive Entertainment announced the decision Wednesday in a post on its official PlayStation Blog, saying all new games released after January 2028 will be available through the PlayStation Store and retailers in digital formats only.

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The company said the move reflects changing consumer behavior as more players purchase and download games digitally rather than buy physical copies.

“As consumer preferences and the broader entertainment industry continue to shift away from physical discs to digital, physical game disc production for all new games releasing on PlayStation consoles will be discontinued starting January 2028,” Sony said in the announcement.

UBISOFT CO-FOUNDER CLAUDE GUILLEMOT KILLED IN PLANE CRASH THAT CLAIMED 2 LIVES

playstation gamepad

Sony is ending production of physical discs for all new PlayStation game releases beginning in January 2028. (Emanuele Cremaschi/Getty Images)

The change will not affect games that have already been released or titles scheduled to launch on disc before January 2028.

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The decision represents another milestone in the entertainment industry’s broader migration away from physical media. Music, movies and PC gaming have increasingly embraced digital distribution over the past decade, reducing manufacturing, packaging and shipping costs while giving consumers instant access to purchases.

A PlayStation 5 inside a box.

The change will not affect games that have already been released or titles scheduled to launch on disc before January 2028. (Jim Vondruska/Reuters)

Sony said games will continue to be available through both the PlayStation Store and retailers, though new releases after January 2028 will be sold in digital formats rather than on physical discs.

Ticker Security Last Change Change %
SONY SONY GROUP CORP. 20.21 +0.15 +0.75%

The company said the transition will allow it to better align with how most players access games today while continuing to give customers flexibility in where they purchase new titles.

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“We’ll continue to prioritize our resources to drive innovation in how players can access games and provide choices as to where players prefer to purchase new games, whether that’s at retailers or PlayStation Store,” Sony said. “We remain committed to delivering a world-class gaming experience to our fans and we thank you for your continued support.”

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IMG to acquire UK security firm for $346m

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IMG to acquire UK security firm for $346m

East Perth-based security firm Intelligent Monitoring Group will acquire one of the UK’s largest residential security companies in a deal worth over $340 million.

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Home listing prices fall at fastest annual pace in at least 9 years

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Mortgage rates rise to 6.22%: Freddie Mac

Home listing prices are declining at the fastest pace in at least nine years as sellers adjust to a slower market and look to attract buyers.

The national median asking price fell 2.5% in June compared with a year ago, declining to $430,000 based on the latest data from the Realtor.com monthly housing market trends report.

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June marked the eighth consecutive month of price decreases, and the 2.5% asking price drop was the deepest annual decline in the history of the data set, which dates back to 2017.

“Sellers are reading market conditions and are pricing accordingly from the start rather than listing high and cutting later, and buyers are taking note and making bids,” said Realtor.com chief economist Danielle Hale.

HOUSING AFFORDABILITY UNLIKELY TO RETURN TO MORE FAVORABLE LEVELS OF THE PAST, ECONOMIST SAYS

An open house for a home.

Home listing prices fell at the fastest annual rate since 2017, Realtor.com data showed. (Daniel Acker/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

The report found that for a buyer who bought a $430,000 home in June with a 20% down payment and an average mortgage rate of 6.49%, the typical monthly payment was $2,172.

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That figure is about $132 less per month, and more than $1,500 less per year, than what the typical buyer owed in June 2025, which had a median price of $440,950 and an average mortgage rate of 6.82%.

Another notable metric suggesting the affordability pressures in the housing market are easing is that the typical home listed for sale is spending the same amount of time on the market as it did a year ago, holding steady at 53 days.

INCOME NEEDED TO AFFORD A MEDIAN-PRICED HOME HAS NEARLY DOUBLED SINCE 2020, REPORT FINDS

A home for sale in California.

Pending home sales have grown for more than half a year. (Paul Bersebach/MediaNews Group/Orange County Register via Getty Images)

Pending home sales also rose 3.7% year over year through June, which marked the seventh consecutive month of growth despite the share of listings with a price cut shrinking by 1.9 percentage points to 18.8%.

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Other economic indicators were little changed in June, as mortgage rates settled around 6.5% and Federal Reserve policymakers unanimously held the benchmark federal funds rate steady at its current range of 3.5% to 3.75% amid elevated inflation readings.

ONE IN THREE ADULTS UNDER 35 LIVES WITH PARENTS AS HOUSING COSTS SOAR, DATA SHOWS

People outside a home.

New homes listed for sale have risen over 2% in the last year. (David Ryder/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

“It was a no-news-is-good-news June,” said Realtor.com senior economist Jake Krimmel. “While it may seem obvious now, this was far from a foregone conclusion just a few months ago.”

Sellers have also increasingly moved off the sidelines amid the price declines in a sign of confidence that they’ll find a willing buyer, as new listings increased 2.4% from a year ago.

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“Unlike last year, sellers are willing to take a slight haircut to move, and buyers get a little relief on price to offset rates that settled higher than hoped,” Krimmel said.

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LARRY KUDLOW: We Must Fight for Our Freedoms

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LARRY KUDLOW: Unconditional deadlines should be the next Iranian step

Just about a year after signing the One Big, Beautiful Bill with its major league tax cuts, the stock market is roaring.

In this year’s second quarter, the S&P 500 is up 15 percent and the NASDAQ up 21 percent — the best performance in 6 years. The small-cap Russell 2000 had the best first half in 35 years. The Dow Jones index is above 52,000.

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Business is booming and profitable. Employment is rising. Oil and gas prices are coming down. The dollar is strong.

America is getting ready to celebrate the July 4th signing of the Declaration of Independence 250 years ago. Here’s what President Reagan said to the Republican National Convention in 1980, on the eve of his landslide victory over President Carter.

“Can we doubt that only a Divine Providence placed this land, this island of freedom, here as a refuge for all those people in the world who yearn to breathe free?”

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Reagan loved to talk about freedom. It’s a wonderfully powerful word.

So is the most important sentence in history from the Declaration of Independence, that we “are endowed by our Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.”

I keep coming back to this because it’s so important. And I keep thinking about freedom and free-enterprise, I keep thinking about liberty and limited government, the rule of law and private property, free market competition, and individual incentives.

They all go together. They all underscore the greatness of American core values and our economy. We reward the entrepreneurial spirit and the risk takers who define it. It’s so important.

Yet we must defend freedom and free-enterprise. We must avoid the burdens of taxation and regulation and foolish socialist government giveaways.

Instead, we must reward work — for work itself is a core value. Like Reagan and President Trump and the founders, I believe America’s best days are ahead. Yet we must fight for these freedoms.

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Alibaba pays $600M in DOJ deal over illegal online marketplace sales

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Alibaba pays $600M in DOJ deal over illegal online marketplace sales

Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba has agreed to pay $600 million and enter into a non-prosecution agreement with the Department of Justice (DOJ) after admitting it failed to prevent tens of thousands of illegal product sales into the U.S. through its online marketplaces.

The DOJ announced Wednesday that Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and its U.S.-based payment processor, AUS Merchant Services, will pay a combined $600 million to resolve allegations they failed to stop merchants from selling and importing illegal pharmaceuticals, controlled substances, regulated chemicals and pill-making equipment through Alibaba.com and AliExpress.com.

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As part of the agreement, Alibaba admitted that between January 2016 and December 2024, roughly 80,000 unlawful product sales involving imports into the U.S. violated the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act, and other federal laws.

ALIBABA TOUTS NEW AI MODEL IT SAYS RIVALS DEEPSEEK, OPENAI, META’S TOP OFFERINGS

People walk past the Alibaba headquarters.

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and its U.S.-based payment processor, will pay a combined $600 million to resolve recent Justice Department allegations. (Qilai Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images, File / Getty Images)

The company acknowledged those transactions generated more than $200 million in gross merchandise value.

Court documents say the company failed to fully incorporate certain wire transfer data into its transaction monitoring system, causing it to miss some high-risk transactions. In at least one instance, a merchant continued selling prohibited products to U.S. buyers after AUS investigated and reported the seller. 

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Federal investigators conducted more than 40 undercover purchases of pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical counterfeiting equipment that were illegal to import into the U.S., the DOJ noted.

TRUMP, OPENAI CEO WEIGH IN ON DEEPSEEK FRENZY

AUS Merchant Services, formerly known as Alipay U.S., also admitted shortcomings in its anti-money laundering compliance program.

According to court documents, the company failed to fully incorporate certain wire transfer data into its transaction monitoring system, causing it to miss some high-risk transactions. In at least one instance, a merchant continued selling prohibited products to U.S. buyers after AUS investigated and reported the seller.

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Ticker Security Last Change Change %
BABA ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. 97.99 +2.01 +2.09%

“Companies operating online marketplaces — whether based in the United States or abroad — must implement appropriate safeguards to prevent bad actors from exploiting their platforms,” Assistant Attorney General Brett A. Shumate said in a statement. “If they fail to do so, the Department will hold them accountable.”

TECH MOGUL DOUBTS DEEPSEEK CLAIMS, SAYS US MEDIA FELL FOR ‘CCP PROPAGANDA’

pills

Allegations included failing to stop merchants from selling and importing illegal pharmaceuticals, controlled substances, regulated chemicals and pill-making equipment through Alibaba.com and AliExpress.com. (iStock / iStock)

Alibaba said it cooperated fully with the Justice Department’s investigation and has agreed to strengthen compliance measures governing products sold by third-party merchants on its e-commerce platforms.

“Alibaba reached a mutually satisfactory resolution with U.S. regulators on bringing stricter compliance to the sale of products in the United States by third-party merchants on its e-commerce platforms,” an Alibaba spokesperson told FOX Business on Wednesday. “This settlement reflects a thorough regulatory process with Alibaba’s full cooperation and our commitment to best-in-class standards of control, policies, and measures against non-compliant product sales.”

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Under the agreement, Alibaba will pay a $125 million criminal penalty and forfeit $200 million, while AUS Merchant Services will pay an $85 million criminal penalty and forfeit $190 million.

Both companies also agreed to strengthen their compliance programs and continue cooperating with federal investigators.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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PMI Drops

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China's PMI Data Suggests Domestic Demand Remains Soft

PMI Drops

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