Bitcoin could face further downside pressure after ending June below its 200-week moving average but above its realized price, a combination that crypto analyst PlanB says suggests the market has yet to reach a bear market bottom.

Bitcoin fell 20.5% in June to close the month at $58,526 — its worst monthly performance since June 2022 — below its 200-week moving average of $62,000 but above its realized price of $52,000.

“ALL previous bear market bottoms were below realized price,” said PlanB, the creator of the stock-to-flow pricing model, on Wednesday, adding in a separate post that Bitcoin could drop to $52,000.

The price move would mean Bitcoin falling about 60% from its all-time high of $126,000 in October. The dip could be even deeper, as previous bear markets have seen Bitcoin fall even further, such as 83% in 2018 and 76% in 2022.

BTC is undervalued but can still go lower

“Right now, price is much lower than value and indeed might go lower from here (below realized),” PlanB said. “So, Bitcoin is undervalued but can still go lower.”

BTC is trading between the 200-week moving average and the realized price. Source: PlanB 

Bitcoin’s realized price is the aggregate cost basis of all coins in circulation, calculated by valuing each unspent transaction output (UTXO) at the price when it last moved on-chain. It represents the average price at which holders acquired their coins, serving as a key onchain metric for support levels during bear markets.

Related: Bitcoin bounces off 21-month low, but leverage data signals caution: Was $57K the bottom?

Andri Fauzan Adziima, research lead at Bitrue Research Institute, told Cointelegraph that the June close above realized price but below the 200-week moving average “signals the bear bottom is still ahead per prior cycles.”

“I’m eyeing late-2026 capitulation there before the next leg up, though shallower this cycle due to institutions,” he said.

Lacie Zhang, research analyst at Bitget Wallet, told Cointelegraph that the current consolidation near $60,000 is “approaching a potential bottom zone, with strong historical and technical support likely forming around the $55,000 level if further downside occurs.”

Midterm year market bottom

ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen also speculated there could be a cycle bottom for Bitcoin this year, given it is a US midterm election year. This has previously coincided with bear market bottoms in 2018 and 2022.  

“The second half of midterm years usually marks the accumulation zone/market cycle bottom,” he said.

The US midterms are scheduled for Nov. 3, when all House of Representatives seats and about a third of Senate seats are up for election.

Magazine: Bitcoin slides to $58K, XRP hits $1 but onchain data promising: Market Moves

Tradeweb has carried out an onchain trade that pairs tokenized US Treasuries with tokenized cash, using Franklin Templeton as the seller of a tokenized Treasury security and Virtu Financial as the buyer. The execution reportedly took place over the Canton Network, with the companies saying settlement was completed in real time.

The deal is positioned as an industry milestone because it settles a tokenized Treasury against USDCx, a USDC-backed stablecoin issued on Canton. While the parties did not disclose the trade size, the firms framed the transaction as a practical step toward broader tokenized Treasury market infrastructure—particularly as major back-office plumbing, including DTCC’s planned tokenization services, moves closer to launch later this year.

Key takeaways

• Tradeweb executed a real-time onchain purchase-and-sale of a tokenized US Treasury settled against USDCx on the Canton Network.
• Franklin Templeton transferred the tokenized Treasury to Virtu Financial in exchange for tokenized cash, with Canton Network handling settlement synchronization.
• The trade is described as the first real-time purchase and sale of a tokenized US Treasury against USDCx, according to a Tradeweb spokesperson.
• The timing matters ahead of DTCC’s planned Tokenization Services rollout later this year.
• The transaction underscores how tokenized government bonds are moving from pilots toward production-style workflows.

A tokenized Treasury trade, settled in real time

According to the companies involved, Tradeweb served as the execution venue and source of price discovery for the transaction. Canton Network, meanwhile, coordinated settlement between the tokenized Treasury security and the tokenized cash leg of the trade.

Tradeweb and its counterparties said the trade settled in real time, though the exact notional amount was not released. Execution and settlement roles are often separated in traditional market structure; this type of workflow highlights how tokenization can compress those steps—at least within a controlled network environment—by linking asset and payment rails directly to the same settlement layer.

In a statement provided to Cointelegraph, a Tradeweb spokesperson said the transaction marked what they described as the industry’s first real-time purchase and sale of a tokenized US Treasury settled against USDCx, a USDC-backed stablecoin issued on Canton. Participants included Blockdaemon, Digital Asset, Societe Generale, Franklin Templeton, Tradeweb, and Virtu Financial.

Why the USDCx pairing is meaningful

The stablecoin used for settlement is not a minor detail. In tokenized Treasury markets, the “cash leg” is where many of the operational and compliance questions tend to concentrate: liquidity management, settlement finality, and how the payment instrument fits existing controls.

By explicitly citing settlement against USDCx on Canton, the firms are signaling that tokenized Treasuries can be paired with a stablecoin payment instrument on-chain—without requiring the buyer and seller to rely solely on separate off-chain cash processing. That matters for investors and trading desks because it can reduce settlement friction and shorten the path between trade execution and cash/asset finality, which are often decisive factors in institutional adoption.

At the same time, it remains important to watch how broadly these rails can scale beyond a limited set of participants. Real-time settlement claims are most meaningful when replicated across more counterparties, varied liquidity conditions, and larger volumes. The transaction size was not disclosed, leaving market participants to interpret the operational significance rather than the economic scale.

DTCC tokenization services as the next infrastructure milestone

The onchain trade also arrives ahead of a separate but related development: DTCC’s planned Tokenization Services later this year. DTCC has said the offering will enable participants to tokenize select stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and US Treasury securities while maintaining “the same investor protections and ownership rights as traditional assets,” according to DTCC’s published materials.

In practice, DTCC’s role is often associated with standardizing and simplifying settlement and custody workflows across the industry. If DTCC’s services deliver interoperable tokenization capabilities, they could help bridge the gap between isolated tokenization efforts and wider market participation. That makes Tradeweb and Canton’s transaction more than a standalone experiment—it can be read as preparation for a future where more participants can connect through shared tokenization infrastructure.

What remains uncertain is how DTCC’s approach will interact with existing tokenized Treasury ecosystems, including the specific stablecoin-based cash rails used for settlement. The Tradeweb/Canton transaction shows one functional pathway; the industry will likely be watching whether DTCC supports similar settlement models and whether cash and asset tokenization can be standardized across networks and venues.

Franklin Templeton’s wider tokenization push

This latest transaction fits into Franklin Templeton’s ongoing expansion of tokenized financial assets. Earlier this year, the asset manager partnered with Binance to let institutions use tokenized money market fund shares as trading collateral while keeping the underlying assets in regulated custody. Franklin Templeton has also partnered with Ondo Finance to bring tokenized ETFs onto blockchain networks, pointing to a broader strategy of onboarding institutional use cases through established market counterparties and custody frameworks.

The Treasury segment has been gaining attention alongside money markets and tokenized funds, in part because sovereign debt is often viewed as a foundational asset class for stable, yield-bearing tokenization strategies. While this does not automatically mean tokenized Treasuries will displace traditional Treasuries in size, each successful onchain settlement test reduces uncertainty about whether tokenized ownership can be operationally viable.

Governments and market data: tokenized sovereign debt keeps growing

Tokenized government bond efforts are not limited to the private sector. Several jurisdictions have launched blockchain-based initiatives to test issuance, settlement, and market infrastructure for sovereign debt.

Hong Kong was among the early movers, launching an inaugural digital green bond in 2023 and completing its third digital green bond issuance in November 2025, according to Hong Kong Monetary Authority announcements. Separately, the HKMA has said it will build a digital asset platform to support issuance and settlement of tokenized bonds, with plans to expand the infrastructure to other digital assets and connect with tokenization platforms across the region.

In the UK, the government appointed HSBC Orion to support its Digital Gilt Instrument pilot, designed to test blockchain-based issuance, settlement, and secondary trading of government bonds.

Meanwhile, on-chain Treasuries have reached significant scale in tokenized form. Data from RWA.xyz cited in the announcement places the tokenized US Treasury market at $14.6 billion, spanning 84 on-chain products and representing the largest segment within the tokenized real-world assets market.

Taken together, the picture that emerges is one of gradual maturation: policy pilots are exploring the mechanics of tokenized sovereign debt, while institutional market players are running increasingly production-like trades that validate execution and settlement workflows. The Tradeweb–Franklin Templeton–Virtu Financial transaction adds a concrete “cash + asset” settlement example—one that is particularly relevant for traders and custodians who need clarity on how stablecoin-based settlement can function alongside tokenized Treasuries.

Next, investors and market participants should watch for how DTCC’s forthcoming Tokenization Services change the connectivity and standardization of tokenized Treasuries settlement, and whether real-time USDCx-based settlement models prove replicable across more counterparties and larger volumes.

Zcash price has remained pinned below the $400 level after last month’s Orchard security scare, persistent overhead supply, and cautious derivatives positioning offset signs of improving buying pressure.

According to data from crypto.news, Zcash (ZEC) traded around $396 at the time of writing, little changed over the past week despite a relief bounce across several large-cap altcoins.

The privacy coin continues to recover from its violent early June collapse, when a critical flaw in the Orchard zero-knowledge proof circuit briefly raised double-spending concerns before developers deployed an emergency network upgrade. Although no funds were stolen, the event triggered a wave of liquidation and institutional selling that continues to weigh on price.

The fallout extended beyond the technical fix. Arthur Hayes exited his ZEC position during the panic, while the earlier 50% crash from roughly $624 to $309 left a large concentration of trapped holders at higher prices. That supply continues to emerge whenever ZEC approaches the $400-$420 region, limiting follow-through buying despite the stabilization seen during the past several sessions.

Descending trendline keeps Zcash trapped below key Fibonacci resistance

The daily chart shows ZEC trading just beneath the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near $419, a zone that rejected multiple recovery attempts following the June breakdown. Price also remains below a descending trendline that has defined the lower-high structure since the post-crash rebound peaked near $530 in mid-June.

Momentum indicators remain mixed. The daily RSI sits near 41, leaving room for another recovery attempt without entering overbought territory, while the MACD remains below its signal line despite the bearish histogram steadily shrinking. Together, the indicators suggest selling pressure has eased but buyers have yet to regain control of the longer-term trend.

The 4-hour chart presents a slightly more constructive picture. ZEC has begun testing the descending resistance line that has capped every rally over the past two weeks, while the Chaikin Money Flow has climbed back above zero, suggesting fresh capital has started entering the market. Even so, the Aroon indicator continues to favor the prevailing downtrend, showing that bullish momentum has not yet replaced the existing market structure.

According to analyst Team LAMBO, a decisive move through the immediate ceiling could change the short-term outlook. “ZEC can breakout above 410 to target 440 and 490 again,” the analyst wrote in a recent market update, identifying $410 as the trigger level that could expose the next resistance areas near $440 and $490.

Derivatives positioning also shows why the current range remains difficult to escape. CoinGlass liquidation heatmaps reveal dense clusters of leveraged short positions concentrated around $405-$410 and again near $418-$420. A sustained break through those zones could force short liquidations and accelerate upside momentum. On the downside, another significant concentration of long liquidations sits between roughly $392 and $385, creating an area where volatility could increase if sellers regain control.

Macro risks continue to challenge the recovery thesis

Several external risks continue to limit appetite for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies despite improving technical conditions. Crypto market sentiment remains fragile after weeks of elevated volatility, while investors continue to monitor U.S. inflation data, interest-rate expectations, and geopolitical tensions that have reduced demand for higher-risk digital assets.

Regulatory uncertainty also remains a headwind unique to the privacy coin sector. European compliance initiatives and tighter scrutiny of anonymous digital assets continue to discourage institutional participation, reducing the amount of fresh capital available to absorb the overhead supply left behind by June’s selloff.

The bullish setup would weaken if ZEC fails to hold support around $390, with a break below that level exposing the stronger demand zone near $380 and potentially the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement around $345.

A confirmed close above $410, however, would invalidate the current lower-high sequence and increase the probability of a move toward the $440 resistance area, with $490 becoming the next upside objective if buying momentum accelerates.

Advertisement

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Advertisement

Jupiter has surged more than 15% after a sharp rebound in June protocol revenue revived bullish sentiment despite persistent risk-off conditions across the crypto market.

According to data from crypto.news, Jupiter (JUP) traded around $0.233 at the time of writing after briefly touching an intraday high near $0.238, extending its weekly gain to almost 30%.

The token’s rally followed a sharp improvement in protocol activity during June. Data from DeFiLlama showed Jupiter generated 261,909 SOL in user fees and 76,257 SOL in protocol revenue during the month, reversing three consecutive months of weakening network activity.

Because a portion of protocol revenue feeds Jupiter’s staking and governance model, the jump in cash flow quickly translated into renewed demand for the token.

The move also arrived while risk appetite across digital assets remained subdued. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has continued to hover in Extreme Fear territory near 11 as macro uncertainty and tighter liquidity conditions keep investors selective toward altcoins. Jupiter nevertheless outperformed most large-cap tokens, suggesting traders have prioritized protocol-specific fundamentals over macro headwinds.

Derivatives traders joined the advance rather than fading it. Open interest climbed roughly 11% to $58.7 million, while funding rates stayed positive near 0.0021%, showing leveraged traders have continued paying a premium to maintain long exposure instead of aggressively hedging the rally. That combination generally supports sustained momentum as long as fresh buying continues to absorb profit-taking.

Bulls have reclaimed the long-term trend while momentum targets higher resistance

The daily chart shows JUP has reclaimed its 200-day exponential moving average around $0.219, a level that repeatedly rejected advances during the previous decline. Price has also remained comfortably above the daily Supertrend indicator near $0.169, preserving the bullish structure established after June’s recovery.

Momentum indicators continue to favor buyers. The daily MACD remains above its signal line despite a modest slowdown in histogram expansion, suggesting upside momentum has eased but has not reversed. On the four-hour chart, RSI has climbed to about 63 without entering overbought territory, while the MACD has completed another bullish crossover as price pushes back toward the recent swing high.

The 4-hour structure also shows JUP trading above an ascending trendline that has supported higher lows since early June. Fibonacci retracement levels place immediate resistance near $0.238, followed by the psychological $0.24 region. A decisive close above that zone could expose the May peak around $0.26, while the 0.786 Fibonacci level near $0.218 now serves as the first important support during any pullback.

CoinGlass liquidation data reinforces those technical levels. The largest concentration of short liquidations sits between roughly $0.238 and $0.245, creating a potential liquidity pocket if buyers force another breakout. Below the market, notable long liquidation clusters have formed around $0.22 and $0.21, areas that could attract buyers if price retraces before attempting another advance.

Failure to hold support could revive the previous bearish trend

The bullish outlook would weaken if JUP loses the ascending trendline and falls back below the former breakout zone around $0.218. Such a move would place the 200-day EMA under pressure again and increase the probability of a decline toward the $0.20-$0.19 region, where the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement aligns with previous consolidation.

Macro risks also remain in place despite Jupiter’s strong fundamentals. Persistent risk-off sentiment, reduced liquidity across crypto markets, or renewed weakness in Solana ecosystem tokens could limit follow-through buying. Without continued growth in protocol revenue and sustained derivatives participation, the latest breakout could lose momentum before challenging the next major resistance zone above $0.24.

Bitcoin sits near $58,000 to $60,000 with the Fear and Greed Index buried in extreme fear. History says washed-out sentiment often precedes bottoms, but fear is a signal, not a floor. Here are the gauges traders are actually watching.

Extreme fear is one of the most misread conditions in markets. When the Fear and Greed Index drops into the low teens, the crowd reads it as a reason to run, and the contrarian reads it as a reason to buy. Both are oversimplifying. Sentiment this low tells you that positioning is stretched and conviction is gone, which is often the raw material of a bottom, but “often” is not “now,” and fear can always get more extreme before it breaks.

The useful move is not to treat the fear gauge as a signal by itself, but to read it alongside the harder data on positioning, flows, and price. This piece walks through the signals traders are watching, lays out the bullish and bearish readings of each, and identifies what would actually confirm that the turn has arrived. The key point is simple: fear tells traders to pay attention, not to assume the bottom is already in.

What the Fear and Greed Index is saying

Start with the gauge everyone quotes. The Fear and Greed Index compresses several inputs, volatility, momentum, volume, and social signals, into a single 0 to 100 reading, and the latest chart still shows the market deep in extreme fear. Historically, readings this low have clustered near local bottoms, because they mark the point where sellers have largely exhausted themselves and the marginal holder is fearful rather than greedy. That is the contrarian appeal: when nobody wants the asset, much of the selling may already be done.

The caution is that the index is a description of the present, not a prediction of the future. Extreme fear can persist for weeks, and it can deepen. During genuine downtrends, the gauge has sat in fear for long stretches while price kept falling, so treating a low reading as an automatic buy signal has burned plenty of traders. The right way to use it is as context: it tells you the emotional backdrop is washed out, which raises the odds that other bottoming signals are meaningful, without confirming anything on its own.

That is why how the index works matters before using it as a trading signal. The number is useful because it summarizes the market mood, but it is not a floor under price. For confirmation, traders still need price levels, ETF flows, leverage data, and macro conditions to line up.

Signal one: positioning has reset

The most constructive signal under the surface is what happened to leverage. Open interest in Bitcoin derivatives has collapsed from above $90 billion to roughly $44.5 billion over recent weeks, less than half its peak. That drop reflects long liquidations, profit-taking, and traders reducing speculative exposure. In plain terms, the leverage that builds up in a rally and makes a market fragile has been flushed out.

Why this matters for a turn is mechanical. A market loaded with leveraged longs is vulnerable, because small drops trigger liquidations that cascade into larger drops. A market where that leverage has been cleared is sturdier, because the forced-selling fuel is gone. Resets like this often precede bottoms, since they remove the overhang that drags price lower and leave room for fresh positioning to push the other way.

The bearish reading is that falling open interest also signals fading demand and cautious participation, not just healthy deleveraging. Traders stepping back can mean they see no reason to buy, and a market with thin conviction can drift lower on light volume. The reset is a necessary condition for a durable bottom, but it is not sufficient by itself, because clean positioning can still sit under a price that keeps grinding down.

Signal two: exchange flows and accumulation

The second signal comes from where the coins are moving. Through the drawdown, Bitcoin has seen exchange outflows exceed inflows, meaning more coins are leaving exchanges than arriving. That pattern is typically read as accumulation: holders pulling coins into self-custody or long-term storage rather than keeping them on exchanges ready to sell. When supply leaves the venues where selling happens, it thins the pool of coins available to hit the market.

The bullish interpretation is that long-term holders are quietly buying weakness while short-term traders panic, a divergence that has marked accumulation phases before. Steady outflows during extreme fear suggest conviction underneath the fear, the kind of hands that absorb selling and set the base for a recovery. That is the constructive version of the on-chain story, and it fits with the broader idea that the market is moving from forced selling toward accumulation.

The counterpoint is that exchange flows are noisy and can reflect custody shifts, institutional plumbing, or one-off moves rather than genuine accumulation. Outflows are encouraging, but they are a soft signal, easily overstated. On their own they confirm that some holders are unbothered, not that the bottom is in. They matter most when they line up with stronger evidence from ETF flows and price.

Signal three: the ETF bid

The third signal is the one cutting against the bulls, and it is the most important on the bearish side. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $4.5 billion of net outflows in June 2026, their worst month since launching, removing the steady institutional bid that had cushioned earlier declines. The funds that were supposed to represent durable, price-insensitive demand instead became a source of selling, and their flows have tracked the drawdown closely.

Shares in the Trump family-backed American Bitcoin (ABTC) sank to an all-time low on Wednesday after the crypto miner set a date for a 1-for-15 reverse stock split in a bid to stay listed on the Nasdaq.

American Bitcoin said its reverse stock split will go into effect after the market closes Thursday and will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis when the market opens Monday. It would continue to trade under the ticker ABTC.

It said every 15 shares of the company’s Class A and B common stock will be reclassified as one share. The company expects its common stock to be reduced from more than 1 billion outstanding shares to about 73 million.

American Bitcoin is the only public crypto company tied to the Trump family’s sprawling interests in the sector, and a reverse stock split is typically seen as a negative, as it indicates the company is in distress and is looking to artificially boost its share price. 

American Bitcoin said the split aims to prop up its shares to maintain compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid requirements, which allow the exchange to delist the company if it trades below a $1 closing price for 30 consecutive trading days.

Shareholders had approved the reverse stock split on June 22.

American Bitcoin shares hit all-time low

Shares in American Bitcoin dropped nearly 8.4% to close trading Wednesday at an all-time low of 62 cents. The stock saw a slight lift after-hours, rising 4.5% to 65 cents.

American Bitcoin’s stock tumbled to an all-time closing low of 62 cents on Wednesday. Source: Google Finance

American Bitcoin’s stock is down more than 63% so far this year and has fallen more than 92% since the brand started trading on the Nasdaq on Sept. 3.

The company was co-founded early last year by US President Donald Trump’s sons, Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump.

American Bitcoin merged with the Nasdaq-listed Gryphon Digital Mining to go public, with the Trump brothers and crypto miner Hut 8 together owning around 98% of the newly formed company.

Related: Bitcoin miners need billions to fund AI ambitions, led by IREN’s $21B gap

The company’s falling share price comes amid a wider downturn in the crypto market. American Bitcoin reported in May that it lost $81.7 million in the first quarter.

Other crypto companies have also turned to reverse stock splits to prop up their share price. Bitcoin financial services company Nakamoto completed a 1-for-40 reverse stock split in May in a bid to stay listed on the Nasdaq after it reached a low of 16 cents in April.

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at around $60,000 early Thursday, down 32% so far this year and having more than halved from its peak of more than $126,000 in October, according to CoinGecko.

Magazine: Clarity Act risks repeat of Europe’s mistakes, crypto lawyer warns

American Bitcoin (ABTC) is set to complete a 1-for-15 reverse stock split as it tries to remain listed on Nasdaq, a move that arrives as the company’s shares sink to fresh lows. The miner said the split becomes effective after the market closes on Thursday and will be reflected in trading on a split-adjusted basis when the market opens Monday, with the stock continuing to trade under the ABTC ticker.

Under the plan, every 15 shares of the company’s Class A and Class B common stock will be consolidated into a single share. American Bitcoin expects that its share count will fall from more than 1 billion outstanding shares to about 73 million. According to the company’s release, shareholders approved the reverse split on June 22, and the company now aims to satisfy Nasdaq’s minimum bid rules.

Key takeaways

• ABTC’s 1-for-15 reverse stock split takes effect after Thursday’s market close and begins trading on a split-adjusted basis on Monday.
• American Bitcoin expects its outstanding shares to drop from over 1 billion to roughly 73 million while keeping the ABTC ticker.
• The company’s stated reason is to maintain compliance with Nasdaq’s requirement that the stock not trade below $1 for 30 consecutive sessions.
• Shares fell to an all-time low of 62 cents on Wednesday, down nearly 8.4% on the day, before a modest after-hours rebound.
• The move reflects a broader pattern among crypto-related public companies using reverse splits to address prolonged weakness in share prices.

Reverse split scheduled to protect Nasdaq listing

Reverse stock splits are often viewed by investors as a sign that a company is struggling to keep its stock above exchange listing thresholds. In American Bitcoin’s case, the company explicitly tied the action to Nasdaq’s minimum bid requirements, which can lead to delisting if a stock closes below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days.

American Bitcoin said it is implementing the consolidation to support its share price and maintain compliance with those rules. The company also confirmed that it would continue trading under the ABTC ticker through the process.

Shares hit a record low as crypto equities remain under pressure

Wednesday’s trading brought another sharp decline for ABTC. Shares fell nearly 8.4% to close at an all-time low of 62 cents. After the close, the stock reportedly edged higher by about 4.5% to 65 cents in after-hours trading.

The stock’s broader performance has been weak. American Bitcoin is down more than 63% year-to-date and has fallen more than 92% since it began trading on Nasdaq on Sept. 3, when the company launched through a merger process involving a publicly listed crypto mining entity.

American Bitcoin was founded earlier this year by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, according to the company’s background described in the reporting. The business merged with Nasdaq-listed Gryphon Digital Mining to go public, with the Trump brothers and crypto miner Hut 8 together holding roughly 98% of the combined company.

Financial results and market turbulence weigh on the stock

American Bitcoin’s share weakness is unfolding amid a wider downturn affecting parts of the crypto market and the equities that trade as proxies for it. In May, the company reported that it lost $81.7 million in the first quarter, with the figure cited in earlier coverage from Cointelegraph.

Reverse splits can help companies avoid immediate delisting pressures, but they do not address underlying business fundamentals. For traders, that means investors may still be exposed to the same operational risks—especially in a sector where revenue can be influenced by factors such as mining economics, digital asset prices, and cost structures.

Bitcoin itself was trading around $60,000 in early Thursday trading, down 32% so far this year and more than halved from its October peak of above $126,000, according to CoinGecko.

Broader trend: crypto firms use reverse splits to stay listed

American Bitcoin is not alone in turning to reverse stock splits to manage listing compliance. Another example cited in the reporting is Bitcoin treasury company Nakamoto, which completed a 1-for-40 reverse stock split in May after its shares reached a low of 16 cents in April, also in an effort to remain on Nasdaq.

The pattern is notable because it highlights a recurring tension for crypto-linked equities: when digital assets or mining sentiment deteriorate, smaller-cap listed firms can quickly slip below exchange price floors. Reverse splits can temporarily alter the math of share price—though they leave investors’ proportional exposure unchanged in most cases—while companies work to stabilize operations or regain market confidence.

For ABTC holders, the immediate practical impact is timing. With the split scheduled to take effect after Thursday’s close and begin reflecting on Monday’s open, investors will want to watch how the market recalibrates around the new share count and whether trading volume or liquidity dynamics change after the adjustment.

Going forward, the key unknown is whether the company can sustain its share price long enough to satisfy Nasdaq’s ongoing $1 minimum-bid condition. The next few trading weeks will be the real test: the exchange compliance clock runs on consecutive closing prices, so investors should track ABTC’s daily closes after the effective date to see whether the reverse split achieves its intended listing protection.