Crypto World
Will US Get CLARITY This Week? Bitcoin’s New $80K Target: Hodler’s Digest
CLARITY hinges on Trump’s ethics
Polymarket suggests the odds of the CLARITY Act passing this year are just 40%, after a raft of Democratic Senators, including Chris Murphy, Jeff Merkley and Chris Van Hollen, spoke out against the bill.
A crucial Senate vote could happen as early as this week, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune stating it will definitely be held before Aug. 10.
Democrat Senator Elizabeth Warren is trying to spoil the vote by highlighting how much money President Trump has extracted from the industry. She demanded Trump voluntarily release his crypto earnings for this year, after his 2025 disclosure, showed he earned more than a billion dollars from crypto last year. The controversy means that Senate Democrats are unlikely to support the bill without a provision banning elected officials promoting or issuing cryptocurrency.
Summer Mersinger, the CEO of the Blockchain Association and a former commissioner at the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, said: “Ethics is the big elephant in the room.”
“For my members and what we are advocating for on the Hill… look, whatever you decide on ethics, that’s really not our concern. That is politics. That’s Congress. That’s elected officials. But please don’t let it kill all the hard work that we put in the rest of the bill.”

Source: Polymarket
Prediction markets see record Q2 volume, France blocks Polmarket
Crypto markets continued to flounder in the second quarter, with the notable exception of prediction markets.
Spot trading volume across the top 10 centralized exchanges (CEXs) fell from $2.7 trillion in the first quarter to just $1.95 trillion in the second, according to CoinGecko’s latest Crypto Industry Report.
CEX perps volume also declined 10% to $12.7 trillion, while the stablecoin market slipped 1.6% to $305.1 billion. In contrast, prediction markets recorded their strongest quarter on record with $113.8 billion in notional volume.
Polymarket’s World Cup winner market alone has attracted more than $3.3 billion in trading volume, while contracts tied to the 2028 US presidential election rank among the platform’s largest markets, according to Polymarketscan data.
Meanwhile, France’s National Gambling Authority has just ordered internet service providers to block access to Polymarket as it considers prediction markets to be illegal gambling.
Polymarket is blocked in 33 countries… unless you have a VPN of course.

Strategy became a symbol of the dot-com crash: Could history repeat?
Senate agrees SBF should serve his time as FTX distributes another $900M
The US Senate has adopted a resolution opposing executive clemency for former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried.
The measure cannot block a presidential pardon but reflects bipartisan Senate opposition.
Bankman-Fried was sentenced to 25 years in federal prison in March 2024 after being convicted of fraud and conspiracy charges linked to FTX’s collapse in 2022.
Speculation about a possible presidential pardon grew after Bankman-Fried applied for clemency from Trump in June 2026.
On Friday, the FTX Recovery Trust said it would distribute about $900 million to creditors in the fifth round of repayments. The trust has now paid out about $10 billion since the company filed for bankruptcy.
Tokenized stocks hit record $2.3B
The global market capitalization of tokenized stocks rose to a record $2.3 billion on Wednesday, as more investors sought exposure to blockchain-based equity products.
The Ethereum network boasted the largest market share, at 34%, followed by BNB Chain with 30% and the Solana network with 23%, data aggregator Token Terminal shared in a Wednesday X post.
The largest increase came from Kraken exchange’s xStocks, which accounted for $507 million worth of tokenized stocks and Binance’s bStocks, with $334 million. Ondo Finance remained the largest tokenized stock issuer with $955 million in onchain equities, according to Token Terminal data.
The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, which is the custodian of $114 trillion in assets, last week launched a trial of tokenized securities in partnership with more than 40 financial firms.
Robinhood Chain also aims to become a leader in tokenized stocks, however its volume to date is largely driven by memecoins.

Is Robinhood Chain’s success bullish or bearish for ETH the asset?
US and UK to align stablecoin rules, but Genius Act rules are TBA
The US Department of the Treasury and HM Treasury in the UK have issued four joint recommendations on digital assets.
The task force recommended that authorities consider a private-sector-led group focused on “testing of cross-border use cases for tokenized assets” and that financial agencies in the US and the Bank of England identify shared approaches on the regulation of tokenized assets.
The statement said that stablecoins “should be fully backed, on at least a one-to-one basis, by high-quality, liquid assets,” aligning with the US law.
Ironically, a few days later it emerged the US regulatory agencies had all missed Saturday’s rulemaking deadline for the GENIUS stablecoin act. Missing the statutory deadline does not invalidate the GENIUS Act, but will result in issuers having less time to comply before the rules go into effect in January.

Source: ZachXBT (but DYOR)
Winners and Losers
At the end of the week, Bitcoin (BTC) is at $64,620, Ether (ETH) at $1,868 and XRP (XRP) is at $1.09. The total market cap is at $2.21 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.
Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin winners of the week are Pump.fun (PUMP) which gained 36%, Venice Token (VVV) on 10%, and Litecoin (LTC) which is up 7%.
The top three altcoin losers of the week are DeXe (DEXE) after it lost 27%, Lighter (LIT) which was down 17%, and Worldcoin (WRLD) which fell 14%.
Prediction of the Week
Bitcoin gets new $80K August target
Bitcoin (BTC) may hit up to $80,000 by August if it clears nearby resistance, a new prediction says. A macro tide could be the spark to ignite the next move higher.
Crypto trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe said earlier this week that BTC/USD has successfully defended “crucial” support.
“It’s holding the crucial level at $61,000 and flipping important MAs for support, indicating that there’s more momentum on the horizon,” he wrote, referring to moving average trend lines.
“I’m expecting to see a rally to $68,000 in the next 1-2 weeks, followed by a continuation towards $75,000-80,000 in August.”
Not everyone agreed with the analysis, including nichoxbt who thinks the price is heading back under $60,000.

Source: Nichoxbt
Top FUD of the Week
Consensys unknowingly outsourced developer work to North Korean
Blockchain company Consensys accidentally used a software developer linked to North Korea, who had access to some of its systems for a month.
First reported on Friday by Drop Site, Consensys earlier this year took on a software developer via a “reputable third party service provider” who was later discovered to have ties to the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.
The move caused the Metamask developer to temporarily suspend product releases, but said an investigation has “confirmed there was no misappropriation of assets or data, no malicious code deployed, and no impact to user safety and security.”
Kaspersky identifies malware framework targeting crypto investors
Cybersecurity company Kaspersky said a newly identified malware framework is targeting cryptocurrency investors.
Dubbed “OkoBot,” the malware initiates an infection chain that starts with social engineering tactics such as ClickFix, which tricks users into running malicious commands, or trojanized GitHub apps that deliver a backdoor to infected devices, the cybersecurity company wrote in a Wednesday report.
A separate malware campaign seeks to infiltrate the devices of Web3 developers via fake LinkedIn recruitment opportunities, according to SlowMist.
Attackers contact blockchain devs via LinkedIn, posing as recruiters. They then send fake GitHub repositories to victims, claiming they contain code that needs to be assessed before the interview, the security company said in a Saturday report.
Base’s social bet left it trailing in prediction markets and perps: Pollak
Base creator Jesse Pollak says he is stepping back from leading the Base App after admitting he made a “wrong bet” on social, leaving the chain to fall behind on prediction markets and perpetual futures.
In a post to X on Wednesday, Pollak said he had bet that creator, content and messaging apps would drive adoption, but instead the market “disintegrated completely.”
Pollak said he now realized financial applications are the way forward for the network, with a focus on trading, payments and AI agents.
The Base App will now return to Coinbase, and will be overseen by crypto influencer and trader Jordan Fish, better known on X as “Cobie.”
Top Magazine Stories of the Week

Strategy became a symbol of the dot-com crash: Could history repeat?
MicroStrategy blew up during the dot-com era, before Michael Saylor transformed it into the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder. Did he learn his lesson?
Is Robinhood Chain’s success bullish or bearish for ETH the asset?
Surging volumes on Robinhood Chain could be very good for Ethereum, but only if the “ETH is money” crowd turn out to be right.
Gambling on random Pokémon cards: Onchain gagcha hits record high as crypto sinks
Users spent a record $324 million on onchain gacha in June, even as Bitcoin hit a 21-month low. The thrill of scoring a top Pokemon card from a random pack is becoming big business.
Cointelegraph publishes long-form journalism, analysis and narrative reporting produced by Cointelegraph’s in-house editorial team with subject-matter expertise. All articles are edited and reviewed by Cointelegraph editors in line with our editorial standards. Content published in here does not constitute financial, legal or investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals where appropriate. Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence.
Crypto World
Kioxia Crashed 45% in a Month: Why Are Analysts Still This Bullish?
Japan’s Kioxia Holdings Corporation (285A) stock crashed 45% in a month, but Wall Street analysts still expect it to climb another 118% from here.
That gap raises an obvious question. Why do so many analysts still back a stock that crashed this fast?
The Bull Case Analysts Are Sticking To
Kioxia shares fell to a low of ¥52,110 last Friday, but have managed a small comeback, up nearly 9%, to ¥55,860 on Tuesday, July 21. However, this still leaves the stock down 42% for the month, currently.
This is especially noteworthy given Kioxia hit a record high of ¥111,250 on June 22, making it briefly Japan’s largest company by market cap, overtaking Toyota.
Despite this boom-and-bust, Kazuyoshi Saito, senior analyst at Iwai Cosmo Securities, still holds his target at ¥132,000.
“The fundamentals have not changed at all,” Saito said.
He argues the AI-driven demand story remains solid. He expects the shares to recover once technical selling fades.
Meanwhile, Nomura Securities raised its target from ¥115,000 to ¥126,000 last week. Huaxing Research lifted its target above ¥100,000 around the same time. The consensus target near ¥121,959 implies about 118% upside from Tuesday’s close.
Why the Bulls Look Out of Step With the Chart
Kioxia’s chart doesn’t look like a stock about to rally 118%. The stock’s boom-to-bust reversal has wiped out most of this year’s gains.
Some analysts say the memory stock rally has run too far, not just cooled off.
In contrast, Ikio Mitsuishi, portfolio manager at Aizu Securities, expects Kioxia to stay weak until at least late August. He said investors may avoid piling back into one stock so fast. Many could rotate into cheaper, less volatile names instead.
A Pattern That Goes Beyond Kioxia
Kioxia isn’t the only Asian chipmaker swinging this hard. SK Hynix’s Nasdaq-listed shares have surged more than 20% in a day, then dropped double digits days later.
The wider chip selloff across Japan has erased trillions of yen in market value this month.
The real test for Kioxia bulls isn’t the target price. It’s whether Asia’s chip-stock volatility settles down before earnings season arrives.
The post Kioxia Crashed 45% in a Month: Why Are Analysts Still This Bullish? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin ETFs post a fifth straight day of inflows in a first since April
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs took in about $227 million on July 20, a fifth consecutive day of net inflows for the first time since late April, per SoSoValue data. Ether ETFs added about $38 million, led by BlackRock’s ETHA.
The five-day run has pulled in roughly $727 million, the most sustained stretch of buying since the record outflows of June. Total bitcoin ETF assets have climbed back to about $79 billion from a July low near $75 billion. BlackRock’s ETHA drove the ether side with about $34 million.
Bitcoin has held its range near $63,000 as last week’s chip-driven selloff paused, and the return of the ETF bid is the piece that had been missing through a quarter of mostly outflows.
The test is what it holds through. The Fed meets July 28 and 29, and Big Tech earnings land this week, with Alphabet, Tesla and Intel reporting the numbers that will show whether AI spending, the trade bitcoin has moved with all month, is still climbing.
Crypto World
UK Parliament begins inquiry into banking chokepoint for crypto businesses
UK politicians want to know the extent to which the country’s banks have choked-off cryptocurrency firms by refusing them bank accounts and introducing restrictions on crypto-related payments, in a cross-party inquiry kicked off on Tuesday.
The UK’s Crypto and Digital Assets All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) is chaired by Lord Vaizey of Didcot, the former UK Government Minister for the Digital Economy, and Labour MP Gurinder Singh Josan CBE, according to a press release.
Ever since crypto came into being, difficulties around attaining banking relationships have made life hard for players in the space, with a systematic debanking of firms and individuals, particularly in the U.S. being referred to as “Operation Chokepoint 2.0.”
Several major UK banks have also introduced restrictions on crypto-related payments, the APPG said in a statement. As such the inquiry will focus on a dearth of bank accounts for crypto businesses, including associated professional services such as insurance.
Crypto World
SEC Charges Mining Operator With “Automatic” Fraud Scheme Worth $22M
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed a lawsuit against crypto mining investment firm Mining Automatic and its founder, Zan Shaikh, accusing them of raising $22 million from investors while allocating only a small portion of the money—about 13%—to mining operations.
According to the SEC’s complaint, the scheme was run through Massachusetts-based Bright Vision Distribution LLC. The agency alleges the business collected funds from more than 380 investors between June 2023 and May 2025, promising monthly, guaranteed returns tied to cryptocurrency mining.
Key takeaways
- The SEC alleges investors were promised guaranteed monthly returns from mining, despite the company generating far less revenue from mining than it paid out.
- Proceeds, according to the SEC, were heavily directed toward advertising and personal or unrelated expenditures rather than mining operations.
- The SEC says Mining Automatic stopped making investor payments by March 2025 and that investors had not recovered their principal.
- The regulator is also signaling a broader shift toward rulemaking for digital assets alongside enforcement actions.
SEC alleges mining payouts didn’t match promised returns
The core allegation in the SEC’s complaint is that the promotional claims did not reflect the operation’s financial reality. The agency states that Mining Automatic advertised payouts as returns from crypto asset mining while its mining activities allegedly produced only about $1.1 million.
Meanwhile, the SEC claims investors received roughly $1.8 million in purported returns. The agency argues that the shortfall required payments to be funded using money from other investors, describing the operation as having “some of the hallmarks of a Ponzi scheme.”
In addition to questioning the returns model, the SEC points to how investor funds were used. The complaint alleges that about $7 million was spent on advertising to attract additional investors, while Shaikh purportedly used investor money for real estate, vehicles, entertainment, and transfers into personal accounts.
Fundraising scope and alleged investor exposure
In its filing, the SEC says Bright Vision Distribution LLC collected the $22 million from more than 380 investors over a two-year span, from June 2023 through May 2025. The SEC also alleges that as the program unraveled, payments stopped by March 2025.
Once payments halted, the SEC contends that none of the investors had recovered their original investment amounts. The complaint states that more than $20 million in principal remains unpaid, according to the SEC’s allegations.
For investors and market participants, the lawsuit underscores a recurring risk in the crypto-adjacent “yield” space: returns tied to mining or other on-chain activities can be presented in a way that obscures financing gaps, and “guaranteed” payout language can draw closer scrutiny from securities regulators.
Regulator seeks penalties and restrictions on Shaikh
The SEC is seeking multiple remedies in the case, including disgorgement and civil penalties. The agency also requests permanent injunctions and asks the court to bar Shaikh from selling securities and from serving as an officer or director of a public company.
These requests reflect the SEC’s typical enforcement posture in cases that it frames as securities fraud and unregistered securities activity, particularly where the regulator argues investor money was misused and returns were not supported by the underlying business model.
The complaint is publicly available on the SEC’s website: SEC litigation document.
Enforcement arrives amid SEC’s stated rulemaking push
While the Mining Automatic case focuses on alleged wrongdoing by a specific operator, it is also landing during a broader period in which the SEC has emphasized building clearer regulatory frameworks for digital assets. Under Chair Paul Atkins, the agency has increasingly pointed to rulemaking efforts rather than relying solely on enforcement.
In June, the SEC published its 2026–2030 Strategic Plan, identifying blockchain technology, tokenization, and crypto market infrastructure among its long-term priorities while reaffirming its investor-protection mandate. Later, in July, the SEC outlined a 2026 rulemaking agenda that includes potential new rules for crypto broker-dealers, digital assets traded on national securities exchanges and alternative trading systems, and possible exemptions or safe harbors for certain digital asset offerings. (The SEC’s agenda was covered in earlier reporting by Cointelegraph: SEC crypto rule changes 2026 agenda.)
At the same time, congressional activity is also aimed at reshaping how U.S. oversight works across agencies. A proposed legislative package—referred to as the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act—would, if enacted, clarify the respective roles of the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The bill is expected to face a key Senate vote before the August recess, according to the broader legislative timeline described alongside recent crypto oversight coverage.
In that context, the Mining Automatic lawsuit functions as both a case-specific warning and a signal of where the SEC may draw lines: where a company offers “investment” arrangements with promised returns, the regulator may treat the arrangement through a securities lens—especially when the underlying economics do not appear to support the payout structure.
What to watch next
Investors and builders should watch how the court addresses the SEC’s allegations about the mismatch between advertised mining returns and the company’s stated mining revenue, as well as whether the SEC’s accompanying push toward digital-asset rulemaking eventually narrows the space for similarly structured “guaranteed return” offerings. In the meantime, the case adds another enforcement datapoint for anyone evaluating crypto-linked investment products marketed as stable, predictable yield.
Crypto World
Ethereum Could Lead the Next Bull Market: Is Hayes Preparing with More Buys?
Arthur Hayes bought another 1,332.5 ETH ($2.53 million) today, according to on-chain tracking data shared on X. The purchase extends a buying streak from the BitMEX co-founder. It also renews attention on Ethereum’s institutional demand story.
Hayes sold 6,000 ETH at a roughly $606,000 loss in June. He then reversed course with a series of buybacks in July as some discuss Ethereum’s role in the next bull run for crypto.
Hayes Extends a Pattern of ETH Accumulation
The latest purchase follows Hayes’ return to Ethereum earlier this month. He acquired roughly 1,939 ETH then across two OTC-style transactions. That reversal came weeks after his June exit.
Critics have flagged Hayes’ record of praising tokens like HYPE, ZEC, and WLD before quietly exiting those positions. Ether trades at $1,906, up 1.74% over 24 hours, with a market capitalization over $230 billion.
Some See Institutional Demand Driving the Next Cycle
With some larger accumulation and whale movement around ETH, some are noting a broader shift in Ethereum’s bull case toward institutions. Bitmine Immersion Technologies Chairman Tom Lee argues that Wall Street adoption now drives Ethereum’s growth, not crypto-native speculation. He points to BlackRock’s tokenized BUIDL fund and Robinhood Chain’s use of ETH as a gas token.
“Unlike the crypto bear market of 2022, Wall Street is building on Ethereum.”
— Tom Lee
The staking data backs that thesis. Ethereum’s staking ratio hit an all-time high of above 33% at the end of June, according to CryptoQuant. BlackRock helped drive that shift when it launched the iShares Staked Ethereum ETF, which locks most of its holdings in staking contracts.
Institutions and ETFs held more than 9% of Ethereum’s total supply as of last year, and that share has likely grown since. Also last year, Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick argued that Ethereum treasuries are among the strongest institutional crypto trades available, citing staking yield and stronger valuations compared with Bitcoin and Solana treasury vehicles.
Hayes’ latest buy may reflect conviction in that institutional thesis. Or it may just be another short-term trade. The coming days should make it clearer.
The post Ethereum Could Lead the Next Bull Market: Is Hayes Preparing with More Buys? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Cramer Says Dump Tech Before Intel, Tesla, Alphabet Earnings: Will Inverse-Cramer Strike?
Jim Cramer told “Mad Money” viewers to avoid new tech buys just as Intel, Tesla, and Alphabet prepare to report earnings this week, reviving questions about whether the Inverse-Cramer Effect will strike again.
The host said he is directing new money into industrials and financials instead. He named FedEx, Honeywell Aerospace, and Goldman Sachs as safer bets during the current selloff.
A Pattern Already in Motion for Cramer
Cramer’s tech retreat follows his own Inverse-Cramer Effect moment. He called Intel his favorite chip stock on July 15. The shares sank roughly 8% hours later, even after ASML confirmed a manufacturing milestone.
That reversal revived a running Wall Street joke. Traders often profit more from betting against Cramer’s on-air calls than from following them. The same pattern hit Nike, which crashed 15% hours after a bullish Cramer call.
Cramer has swung bullish elsewhere too. He issued a call to buy Nvidia even as a broader AI chip stock selloff rattled the sector.
Three Earnings, One Test
Intel reports second-quarter results Thursday, July 23 and analysts expect earnings near $0.21 per share. That would mark a swing from a $0.10 per-share loss a year ago. They also expect revenue of roughly $14.4 billion, up close to 12% year over year.
Alphabet and Tesla both report Wednesday, July 22, after the close. Analysts expect Alphabet to post earnings of $2.87 per share, up 24.2% year over year. They project Google Cloud revenue will reach $22.79 billion, up 67.3%.
Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles last quarter, well above estimates. Analysts expect revenue near $25.81 billion and earnings of $0.50 per share. The stock still trades at 177 times forward earnings, the richest multiple among its mega-cap peers.
Some analysts already see a bull case forming for chip stocks if Alphabet’s cloud and AI hardware numbers beat expectations.
If all three names rally on their reports, Cramer’s tech exodus will look premature. If they stumble, his rotation call holds, and the Inverse-Cramer Effect stays benched for at least one more week.
The post Cramer Says Dump Tech Before Intel, Tesla, Alphabet Earnings: Will Inverse-Cramer Strike? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
mixed derivatives data signals potential breakout
Key takeaways
- Stellar (XLM) continues to trade in narrow ranges as investors await the next major price catalyst.
- Derivatives data presents mixed signals, with bearish long-to-short ratios offset by positive funding rates for XLM.
- XLM remains below key moving averages, leaving its short-term outlook dependent on whether bulls can reclaim major resistance levels.
Stellar (XLM) is trading within narrow ranges on Tuesday as investors weighed conflicting signals from derivatives markets and on-chain activity. Stellar remains under pressure near an important support area.
The combination of bearish positioning in derivatives markets and improving funding rates suggests traders remain divided on the next major move, increasing the likelihood of heightened volatility in the coming sessions.
Derivatives data paints a mixed picture for XLM
Market positioning remains uncertain across both cryptocurrencies. According to CoinGlass, the long-to-short ratio stood at 0.81 for XLM on Tuesday.
Ratios below one indicate that short positions continue to outnumber long positions, reflecting a cautious outlook among derivatives traders.
However, funding rates tell a different story. Stellar’s funding rate flipped positive on Monday and reached 0.0068%.
Positive funding rates indicate that traders holding long positions are paying those with short positions, a sign that bullish sentiment is gradually improving despite the dominance of bearish bets.
Data from CryptoQuant indicates selling pressure continues to dominate both the spot and derivatives markets, with large whale orders pointing toward cautious investor sentiment.
This persistent selling activity could limit the token’s ability to sustain any meaningful upside in the near term.
Key support remains under pressure
Stellar was trading around $0.187, continuing to consolidate near a critical support zone.
The token remains below its 50-day EMA near $0.189, while hovering just above the 100-day EMA around $0.187, indicating that buyers are attempting to defend this level despite the broader bearish trend.
Momentum indicators remain relatively subdued. The RSI is positioned near 53, reflecting weak but stable momentum, while a slightly positive MACD reading points to consolidation rather than a strong directional move.
On the upside, Stellar faces immediate resistance at the 50-day EMA, followed by the 200-day EMA near $0.196 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around $0.200.
If selling pressure resumes, initial support lies at the 100-day EMA near $0.187, followed by the horizontal support at $0.177 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement around $0.173. A deeper correction could expose the long-term support level near $0.142.
With technical indicators sending mixed signals and derivatives markets reflecting growing indecision, both XRP and Stellar appear to be approaching a pivotal point where a decisive breakout or breakdown could determine their next medium-term trend.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Has Exited Capitulation Regime as Momentum Rebuilds: Analysts
Bitcoin momentum is rebuilding, but confirmation has not arrived yet, said analytics platform Swissblock on Monday as BTC tapped a five-week high of $65,700.
“Bitcoin has exited its capitulation regime and is once again inside the transition area,” they added.
Swissblock identified the current area as “where a new impulse begins, or momentum fades back into weakness.”
Where to Next for Bitcoin?
It added that the next test is clear and it needs to “reclaim the ignition line” to push above the “next Inflection point.” “Every sustained rally began with this sequence, but not every transition has succeeded,” it said.
Bitcoin has been in the capitulation zone since early June when it fell below $70,000, having remained below it ever since. It hit a current cycle low of around $58,000 at the end of June and has been trending higher ever since, gaining 12% over the past three weeks, which has moved it into a higher momentum or transition zone.
Is a bitcoin:native breakout on the verge of happening?
Momentum is rebuilding, but confirmation has not arrived yet.
Bitcoin has exited its Capitulation regime and is once again inside the Transition Area.
This is where a new impulse begins or momentum fades back into… pic.twitter.com/m0GBVttR7n
— Swissblock (@swissblock__) July 20, 2026
CryptoQuant analyst ‘Darkfost’ said on Monday that Bitcoin has spent 95% of its time at a higher MVRV. This metric compares market cap, calculated as price multiplied by supply, with its realized value, which reflects the price of each coin when it last moved.
“This shows just how significantly undervalued BTC is today compared to its historical evolution.”
Meanwhile, crypto trader ‘Daan’ said the $65,000 level has capped price for the entirety of July so far, before adding:
“But I do think the longer price spends here, the more likely the $65K level is to break. Especially with the higher lows being made over the past 3 weeks.”
BTC Price Outlook
Bitcoin was trading at $65,500 at the time of writing, following a 1% gain on the day. It tapped $65,700 in late trading on Monday, which is its highest level since June 15 when it topped $67,000 briefly.
Zooming out shows that the asset remains within a seven-week range-bound channel, but at resistance at the upper bounds of that channel.
“If BTC breaks above $66K, the next key level to watch is $66,700,” said Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson.
“This is the Structural Midline, a key on-chain level from the Structural Market Bands that has historically acted as a highly reliable reaction zone,” he said before adding that bears will likely try to regain control around this area.
The post Bitcoin Has Exited Capitulation Regime as Momentum Rebuilds: Analysts appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
CFTC Orders Kalshi to Honor Trades a Michigan Court Told It to Cancel

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission ordered KalshiEX, LLC to fulfill trades that a Michigan state court had directed the prediction-market operator to cancel, escalating a fight over whether states can reach into federally regulated derivatives venues. In Release Number 9267-26, dated… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
What next as bitcoin hits a two-week high near $65,500
Two other supports lined up behind the move. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have now drawn inflows for five straight sessions totaling more than $600 million, the most sustained institutional buying since mid-July and a reversal of the eight-week outflow run that ran through late June.
And oil, which had climbed for two days on the war, pulled back, with Brent falling 1% to about $88.58 as Iran said mediators were circulating proposals to ease hostilities, including a reported suggestion for a 10-day halt in strikes.
“Current bitcoin and ether prices are low but fair, given the macro uncertainties pervading markets,” said Jeff Mei, chief operating officer at BTSE, who pointed to the Fed meeting as the event traders are positioned around.
“Traders expect rates to hold steady but are looking for more signals as to what’s to come later in the year,” Mei added.
The read on that meeting is where the rally meets its limit. The Federal Reserve gathers July 28 and 29, and markets put the odds of a July rate increase at about 15%, though a September move is still live.
Spot-market volume across crypto stayed subdued even as prices rose, the sign of a tape lifted by returning risk appetite rather than fresh conviction, and higher oil and Treasury yields remain the levers that could keep the Fed hawkish and cap risk assets.
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