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EUR/USD: All Eyes on the Fed as the Range Reaches Its Breaking Point

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EUR/USD: All Eyes on the Fed as the Range Reaches Its Breaking Point

The dollar’s next move hinges on tonight’s Fed decision, and this time markets genuinely don’t know what to expect. While economists still lean toward a hold—with CME FedWatch odds sitting near 68.5% for no change—Kevin Warsh’s hawkish rhetoric on having “no tolerance” for inflation, paired with growing internal FOMC support for a hike, has pushed hike odds up sharply from just 18% two weeks ago to over 30% today. Complicating things further, Warsh has deliberately scaled back forward guidance, meaning tonight’s press conference may offer fewer clues than usual.

The euro, meanwhile, has already had its say: the ECB held rates steady at 2.25% last Thursday, as expected, with Lagarde reaffirming the 2% target while flagging that energy-driven inflation risks from the Middle East conflict have yet to fully play out. Eurozone inflation cooled to 2.8% in June, but sticky services inflation near 3.5–4% keeps the door only cautiously open for a September move in either direction.

With EUR/USD trading near 1.1408, tonight’s Fed decision—not the ECB—is what will likely determine the pair’s next major direction.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

As the EUR/USD chart shows, the pair has been consolidating within a defined range since late June, squeezed between an ascending trendline and a descending trendline, both converging around the current price near 1.1400. The 200-period EMA continues to slope lower above price, reinforcing a cautious backdrop ahead of tonight’s Fed decision.

Bullish Scenario

Should the dollar weaken on a dovish Fed outcome, price would need to break above the converging trendlines and reclaim the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near 1.1420, with the 200-period EMA just above acting as the next key test. A confirmed break above the EMA would open the path towards the 0.5 and 0.618 retracements near 1.1480–1.1500, where stronger resistance has capped rallies since late June.

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Bearish Scenario

Conversely, a hawkish surprise—or even a hike—could send the euro sharply lower, breaking both the ascending trendline and the psychological 1.1360 support level. A confirmed break here would expose the 1.1320 zone, the 0.0 Fibonacci level marking the origin of the entire recovery move, with further downside risk towards fresh multi-week lows if selling pressure accelerates.

With price coiled right at the intersection of both trendlines and the Fed decision just hours away, EUR/USD looks primed for a decisive move. Will the dollar reassert its dominance, or will the euro finally break free of this range?

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3 reasons Wednesday’s FOMC interest-rate decision is pivotal for bitcoin (BTC) prices: Crypto Daily

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3 reasons Wednesday's FOMC interest-rate decision is pivotal for bitcoin (BTC) prices: Crypto Daily

The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET today, followed by Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Traders typically assign greater weight to FOMC meetings that come with updated economic projections and a “dot plot” of interest-rate forecasts. Today’s gathering lacks both. Yet the outcome still carries outsized importance for three reasons.

Unusual uncertainty over the outcome: Markets are still assigning roughly a 35% probability of a rate increase, CME fed funds futures show. That level of indecision is rare so close to a decision. By now, traders have usually converged on a clear expectation of a hold, hike or cut. Citadel, one of the largest hedge funds in the world, is predicting an increase. The firm argues a move would end forward guidance as a policy choice, an outcome Chair Warsh has long favored.

Bond yields are already rising: Both the 10-year and two-year Treasury yields have broken above key trendlines that defined the shallow pullback in place since 2023 (check the Daily Signal). With the breakout complete, the path of least resistance is now clearly established to the upside.

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Uniswap v4 Fee Maths Under Scrutiny as Adams Defends LP Impact Claims

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Uniswap founder Hayden Adams pushed back publicly against criticism of the protocol’s newly activated v4 fees on Tuesday, arguing that claims the change reduces liquidity provider earnings rest on flawed assumptions. The rebuttal follows Uniswap governance’s approval of protocol fee activation across selected v4 pools on multiple blockchains.

Adams used a 30-basis-point pool as his reference case: a 5-basis-point protocol fee, he said, represents roughly 14% of total swap fees, not a reduction in what LPs earn. His central argument is that protocol fees are additive to the existing fee structure rather than deducted from LP allocations.

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The Technical Dispute at the Center of the Controversy

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That framing is where the controversy sharpens. Critics and portions of the DeFi governance community have pointed to Uniswap’s own v4 documentation, which describes protocol and LP fees as applied sequentially, protocol fee first, then LP fee on the remaining input.

Under that sequential structure, any positive protocol fee mathematically narrows the base on which LP fees are calculated, even if swap volume holds constant.

Adams’ “additive” characterization and the sequential-application mechanics described in protocol documentation represent genuinely different claims about how the fee stack operates.

The primary source does not elaborate on Adams’ technical reasoning for reconciling the two, and no further detail from his X post is available in the sourced reporting. That gap is the live dispute, not whether protocol fees exist, but whether their structural effect on LP returns is material or negligible in practice.

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It is also worth noting that Adams’ arithmetic deserves a brief examination: 5 basis points out of 30 basis points is 16.7% of total swap fees by simple division, not 14%. Whether Adams is applying a different calculation method, perhaps referencing effective LP take after some adjustment, is not explained in the sourced report. The 14% figure is his, and it has not been independently verified in the available sourcing.

Uniswap Scale and the Stakes for LPs

The stakes here are meaningful. Uniswap holds approximately $3.06 billion in total value locked, making it the largest decentralized exchange by TVL according to DefiLlama. Fee structure changes at that scale carry direct consequences for concentrated liquidity providers managing positions across the protocol’s major pools.

Source: DefiLlama

The broader tension sits between UNI tokenholders who benefit from protocol revenue capture and LPs who supply the liquidity that generates those fees.

As Ethereum’s dominant DEX, and as ETH price dynamics continue to influence DeFi activity broadly, Uniswap’s ability to retain competitive liquidity depth while extracting protocol revenue is the central economic question that governance has effectively reopened with this activation.

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For active LPs, the practical question is whether the actual net yield on deployed capital shifts once protocol fees are live across a broader pool.

Adams’ position is that it will not. The math embedded in the protocol’s own documentation suggests the answer is more nuanced than a flat denial. Governance votes to extend v4 protocol fees to additional deployments are expected to continue, meaning this dispute is unlikely to resolve on founder messaging alone; it will resolve on LP performance data as it accumulates.

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The Hidden Cost of Stress at Work

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The Hidden Cost of Stress at Work

These findings, while interesting, couldn’t tell us if being a physician itself caused worse birth outcomes. To help answer that part of the question, we used a “natural experiment” that was designed to improve the working environment for some physicians. Natural experiments are instances in which people are exposed, by chance, to one path or another that allows researchers to study cause and effect (in this case, studying the impact of improved working conditions on health, a question that would be difficult to study in a controlled, randomized study). 

In 2011, the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education enacted a reform that limited the number of hours that first-year residents (physicians in training) could consecutively work to be less than 16 consecutive hours. The reform was intended to improve the working conditions for first-year residents. 

Since the work reform only affected physicians, we could compare the birth outcomes of physician mothers to those of lawyer mothers before and after the reform to understand how an improvement in working conditions affected physician mothers’ birth outcomes. (Lawyer mothers should be unaffected.) In addition, because the reform was targeted at first-year residents, we focused on physicians who were 26 to 30 years old at the time the reform was enacted. 

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Russia Issues Arrest Warrant for Telegram Founder Pavel Durov: Report

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According to several reports, Russia’s Federal Security Service has charged Telegram founder Pavel Durov with facilitating terrorist activity and issued an international warrant for his arrest.

The agency alleged that the messenger app failed to remove content used by Ukrainian intelligence services as well as terrorist and extremist organizations to coordinate sabotage, mass killings, cyber fraud, and other attacks against Russia.

Telegram is among the most used applications on both sides of the Russia-Ukraine war, with more than a billion users around the world.

Although the report stated that Moscow has repeatedly attempted to restrict the app and promote the state-backed MAX service, Russian government bodies, including the Kremlin and the defense ministry, continue to prefer Durov’s platform for official communication.

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Previous reports from earlier this year claimed that Durov was already under investigation in a terrorism-related case. A summons addressed to Suspect P.V. Durov was reportedly delivered to an apartment he had lived in over 20 years ago.

He responded at the time that he was targeted for defending constitutional protections for free speech and private correspondence. His whereabouts remain unknown, according to Reuters.

Today’s charges come approximately two years after Durov was arrested in France as part of an investigation into whether Telegram had failed to adequately prevent criminal activity and cooperate with law-enforcement requests.

The allegations at the time included complicity in organized fraud, money laundering, narcotics sales, the distribution of child sexual abuse material, and making hacking and cryptography tools available without the required declarations. Durov, who now holds French and Emirati citizenships, denied any wrongdoing.

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South Korea Holds Emergency Meeting as 864 Trillion Won Leaves Its Stock Market

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KOSPI Monthly Performance

South Korea convened an emergency market meeting on the evening of July 29. This came as the KOSPI shed 864.5 trillion won in value across two trading sessions.

On Wednesday, the index closed at 5,663.24, down 5.98%, and triggered a market-wide circuit breaker for a second straight day. 

South Korea’s Financial Authorities Meet Amid KOSPI’s Slide

Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol is hosting the session, which started at 6 pm local time, Bloomberg reported. Bank of Korea Governor Shin Hyun-song joined him. FSC Chairman Lee Eog-weon and Financial Supervisory Service Governor Lee Chan-jin also took part, according to media reports.

Lawmakers had questioned senior officials repeatedly in parliament on July 29. They traced part of the selloff to the single-stock leveraged products launched in May.

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Lawmakers argued the ETFs had magnified those price swings. They said speculative trading had concentrated in a small group of blue-chip stocks, which left Korean equities far more volatile than global peers.

Koo apologized at one hearing and conceded the products warranted closer study before launch. He still described them as one cause among several.

“We’ve already put in place a package of measures, but if it’s needed we’ll introduce additional steps to help normalise the market,” he said.

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SK Hynix Missed Estimates Despite a Record Quarter

The meeting followed a turbulent stretch for Korean equities. The KOSPI has dropped 32.54%, or 2,731.41 points, over the past month.

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KOSPI Monthly Performance
KOSPI Monthly Performance. Source: Google Finance

Over the two sessions alone, the index lost 1,092.51 points. Market value fell 600.33 trillion won on July 28 and 264.20 trillion won on July 29.

Korea Exchange halted trading in both markets on each day. It is the first time circuit breakers have hit both on consecutive sessions.

The July 29 decline came as SK Hynix missed analyst expectations despite record quarterly performance. Second-quarter revenue of 79.3 trillion won missed LSEG SmartEstimates of 84 trillion won. 

Operating profit of 60.54 trillion won also trailed the 64 trillion won forecast. The stock closed at 1,401,000 won, down 9.61%. Revenue still grew 257% year over year. 

Meanwhile, another index heavyweight, Samsung Electronics, finished at 208,500 won, down 5.23%. Over the past month, Samsung has lost 35.45%, and SK Hynix has fallen 46.69%.

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TradFi’s Crypto Link Surges Fivefold to $6.6B as Exchanges Add Stocks, Commodities

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Crypto Breaking News

Crypto exchange competition is spilling into tokenized versions of traditional financial assets, according to new research from CoinGecko. A report released Wednesday finds that the market capitalization of tokenized “real-world” assets listed on major crypto trading platforms has climbed sharply, reaching $6.6 billion in June 2026—up from $1.4 billion in January 2025.

CoinGecko’s analysis tracks tokenized exposure across exchanges including Binance, OKX, Bybit, Bitget, Gate and MEXC, spanning categories such as precious metals, US stocks, commodities, global indexes and forex. The data suggests that what began as a metals-led niche has expanded into US equities, with derivatives now playing an outsized role in how these assets are traded.

Key takeaways

  • CoinGecko reports tokenized traditional assets on major crypto exchanges grew to $6.6B in June 2026 from $1.4B in January 2025.
  • Precious metals drove early momentum, but by mid-2026 US stock perpetual futures became the dominant activity by both volume and open interest.
  • Trading is heavily skewed toward derivatives: perpetual futures account for the majority of activity, while spot markets remain smaller.
  • Derivatives appear to be easier for exchanges to scale because they can list leveraged products without necessarily issuing, custodying, or holding the underlying tokenized asset.
  • Centralized exchanges are expanding beyond crypto to retain users as both decentralized exchanges and traditional brokerages compete for share.

Tokenized “real-world” assets accelerate on major exchanges

CoinGecko frames the growth as a response to pressure across the broader exchange landscape. The study identifies that tokenized traditional assets—ranging from metals to equities—have expanded quickly in market cap terms over roughly 18 months.

Crucially, CoinGecko’s report doesn’t just point to total growth; it also maps how trading preferences are shifting. The market’s initial expansion, the report says, was fueled largely by tokenized precious metals. Over time, that focus broadened into tokenized US equities.

By mid-2026, CoinGecko reports that US stock perpetual futures overtook precious metals across both trading volume and open interest. The report attributes this turn to investor attention on semiconductor stocks and to expectations for upcoming initial public offerings (IPOs). While these drivers are specific to equity demand, the broader takeaway is that exchange-listed tokenization is beginning to follow the same “liquidity gravity” seen in crypto: where leverage and activity concentrate, participation follows.

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Derivatives dominate: perpetual futures outpace spot

One of the more actionable elements of CoinGecko’s analysis is its breakdown of trading structure. According to the report, perpetual futures account for “the vast majority” of trading activity, while spot markets are comparatively small.

The reason offered by CoinGecko is practical for exchanges: derivatives are typically the product of choice for traders who prefer leverage, and perpetual contracts can be listed without exchanges needing to issue, custody, or directly hold the underlying tokenized asset.

This helps explain why tokenization can grow even when the broader ecosystem hasn’t fully reached the stage where spot trading of tokenized real-world assets is the main event. In effect, leveraged trading venues can bootstrap demand and liquidity faster than spot markets, because the operational burden of holding and managing the underlying asset is reduced.

Why centralized exchanges are moving beyond crypto

The report positions tokenized traditional assets as an expansion strategy for centralized crypto exchanges. As competition intensifies, exchanges appear to be looking for incremental revenue streams and new user segments rather than relying solely on crypto spot and derivatives.

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CoinGecko points to two pressure fronts. First, decentralized exchanges have chipped away at market share. Second, traditional brokerages are broadening their digital asset offerings, increasingly overlapping with crypto trading ecosystems.

A notable example cited by CoinGecko is Robinhood, which Cointelegraph previously reported has significantly expanded its digital asset offerings (see Cointelegraph’s coverage). The broader implication is that users are not only choosing between venues; they are also increasingly choosing between platforms that blend legacy finance and blockchain-based trading experiences.

Institutional tokenization momentum reinforces the trend

CoinGecko’s exchange-focused findings sit within a wider narrative of institutional adoption. Earlier this year, Standard Chartered projected that tokenization could support the expansion of decentralized finance into a $2.7 trillion market by 2030 through real-world asset adoption (as covered by Cointelegraph in a related report). Separately, Bernstein analysts estimated the broader tokenization market could reach $4 trillion by the end of the decade, citing accelerating embrace of blockchain-based assets by financial institutions (see Cointelegraph’s earlier coverage).

These projections matter because they help contextualize why exchanges are investing effort in tokenized products now rather than later. When large institutions begin to treat tokenization as infrastructure—not just experimentation—liquidity, custody arrangements, and regulatory pathways can improve, making it easier for trading venues to scale.

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Cointelegraph also previously reported partnerships aimed at expanding access to tokenized securities. For instance, BitGo and OTC Markets Group have partnered to expand access for more than 150 broker-dealers (as described in Cointelegraph’s report). In another example, Tradable teamed with the Stellar network to bring up to $1 billion in private credit assets onchain (see Cointelegraph’s coverage).

Taken together, these developments underline a recurring theme: tokenization is increasingly built across the same rails—blockchain networks and token standards—while distribution is where competition shows up fastest. CoinGecko’s data suggests that on crypto exchanges, distribution is increasingly happening through derivatives, with perpetual futures providing the main on-ramp for traders.

Going forward, the key question for investors and traders is whether the current derivative-led structure will translate into deeper spot liquidity and broader usage of tokenized assets—or whether perpetuals will continue to concentrate most activity. CoinGecko’s findings point to an evolving demand map, with equities now playing a larger role than metals; the next watch item is whether that shift persists as tokenized IPO expectations and sector-specific attention change.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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FIFA Draws Fury Over Plan to Sell Stakes in World Cup

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FIFA Draws Fury Over Plan to Sell Stakes in World Cup

Soccer confederations, lawmakers criticize proposal

UEFA, which represents 55 FIFA member associations, was not the only soccer body to express concern about the proposal.

CONCACAF, the confederation that governs soccer in North America, Central America, and the Caribbean and that represents 35 of FIFA’s member associations, said it was “deeply concerned by the lack of due process,” including the fact that plans had been announced “before any discussion with the relevant governance bodies and stakeholders has taken place.”

The Football Association, England’s national football governing body, also said it was “deeply concerned about the lack of process and governance to get to this point, and the apparent substance and principles involved.” FA Chair Debbie Hewitt is one of FIFA’s eight vice-presidents.

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The Asian Football Confederation also expressed concern about the proposal and said it was not consulted on it. The body, which represents 46 FIFA member associations, said it “is disappointed that a matter of such significance entered the public domain” before it was discussed “through the appropriate and established governance channels.”

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Bitcoin bounces to $64,300 but the real move waits on the Fed: Crypto Markets Today

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Bitcoin bounces to $64,300 but the real move waits on the Fed: Crypto Markets Today

The crypto market was mixed before the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision later Wednesday. The CoinDesk 20 Index has added 0.41% since midnight UTC, with 10 members advancing and 10 declining.

Bitcoin , the largest cryptocurrency, added 0.75% to claw back some of Tuesday’s losses after a volatile 48 hours that saw it spike to $66,700 last week before crashing to $62,400 in the wake of the rout in South Korean stocks.

Inflation running at 4.1% makes the case for the Fed to raise the fed funds target rate for the first time in three years. Balanced against that, a pause in Iran-U.S. hostilities has taken some of the heat out of oil prices and slightly trimmed the odds of an increase.

Ether (ETH) is down 0.13% on the day. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index futures are both positive, while gold holds above $4,000 and silver gained 1.40%, suggesting markets are hedging rather than committing ahead of the announcement.

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Derivatives positioning

  • Steady positioning ahead of Fed meeting: The crypto taker long-short volume ratio is almost in a perfect balance ahead of the Fed meeting. Open interest (OI) has held steady near $113 billion over the past 24 hours while volume increased by 10% to $205 billion. Taken together, the numbers point to steady positioning but slightly higher churn.
  • Spot gains yet to lift futures participation: Both BTC and ETH’s spot prices have risen more than 1% in 24 hours, but the moves have yet to translate into increased participation in futures. BTC’s OI remains steady near 750K BTC. ETH’s dropped for a fourth straight day to 14.14 million ETH.
  • UNI is an exception: Most of the top-20 tokens have seen OI hold steady or fall over 24 hours. UNI is an exception, with OI up slightly to 68.53 million tokens, the most since July 13. This validates the 5% upswing in the token’s price in the wake of BlackRock’s decision to bring its tokenized Treasury fund to the decentralized exchange.
  • Mixed signals from OI-adjusted CVD: The 24-hour OI-adjusted CVD paints a mixed picture. It’s positive for tokens such as ADA, TRX, XRP, CC, UNI and ETH, a sign of more and more traders going long at market orders rather than passive limit orders. Other coins display the opposite dynamic.
  • Implied volatility stays near recent lows: Bitcoin and ether’s 30-day implied volatility indexes remain near recent lows, a sign that traders do not expect any near-term jitters. It also contradicts the unease in the analyst community over the fact that traders still assign a 35% probability of the Fed raising rates on Wednesday. This is unusual as markets typically reach a consensus on what the Fed will do before the decision.
  • Puts dominate BTC options volume: In Deribit-listed options, BTC puts at strikes $62,000, $60,000 and $54,000 dominate the 24-hour volume rankings. A put option offers insurance against price drops in the underlying asset. In ETH’s case, calls are at the top of the list.

Token talk

  • XRP led altcoin gains on Wednesday, rising 1.72% to $1.086, with rising 1.48%. Both are continuing to recover from their July lows as the major cryptocurrencies consolidate.
  • Jupiter (JUP) was the standout 24-hour performer among DeFi coins, rising 5.79% as trading volume ticked up, extending a recovery that has now seen it rise in three of the past four days.
  • FET continued its retreat, falling 4.60% since midnight and 6.78% over 24 hours. The AI token is now down nearly 14% over the past week as the sector’s early-July momentum continues to unwind.
  • shed 5.14%, giving back the bulk of last week’s speculative gains as retail enthusiasm fades.
  • Monero (XMR) bucked the trend with a 1.82% gain to $347, quietly extending a run of outperformance from the privacy coin sector that has gone largely unnoticed amid the broader market turbulence.

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Pi Network Explains New Launchpad Model After Big Token Distribution

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The Core Team behind the popular project revealed more details about how its platform can support future ecosystem tokens.

They explained that, unlike other token launches in which projects typically keep the funds raised, their model sends the committed Pi coins directly into a liquidity pool paired with the newly issued ecosystem asset.

The idea is to give each new coin an active liquidity foundation from the beginning while tying tokens to real application functions such as access, payments, rewards, governance, and user engagement.

Pi’s Approach

The new update published by the team hours ago comes just a few days after they confirmed they had completed the token distribution of the Testnet coin called SLICE. With its launch, they created a pool containing the newly-created coin as well as Test-Pi. Users, known as Pioneers within the broader Pi Network ecosystem, can trade through Pi’s decentralized order book.

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However, swaps can also be completed automatically through an automated market maker. The mechanism adjusts the token price depending on the amount of SLICE and Test-Pi remaining in the pool.

Upon exchanging Test-Pi for SLICE, the former enters the pool while the latter leaves it. As SLICE becomes scarcer relative to Test-Pi, its displayed price increases and vice versa when users sell SLICE back to the pool.

The system uses a constant-product formula designed to keep the relationship between the two reserves balanced during each swap.

Over 240,000 Joined the Test

The participation period for the new token ran from June 11 until June 28 (Pi2Day). More than 240,000 Pioneers committed almost 16 million Test-Pi to acquire a supply of 10 million SLICE test tokens.

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The difference with the first Pi Launchpad trial is that SLICE is now connected to a working third-party game called Slice of Pi. This allowed the network to test engagement-based bonuses through a functioning application rather than a dummy project.

The team explained that this option better reflects the intended purpose of future ecosystem tokens as it supports product utility, attracts new users, and encourages activity instead of primarily raising capital.

Users can select how much Test-Pi they want to commit, and the Launchpad automatically does the rest, calculating fair-access requirements and any engagement bonuses. Participants can review their allocations, launch prices, effective purchase prices, and the SLICE liquidity pool now that the distribution phase has been completed.

The team emphasized once again that SLICE will remain a Testnet-only asset with no real value and will never migrate to Mainnet.

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Grayscale Says HYPE Still Looks Cheap Against Fintech Stocks

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Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Performance

Grayscale Research says Hyperliquid (HYPE) may be undervalued against fintech equities. 

The asset manager argues that the token can be valued based on cash flows, like a stock, and, on that basis, it looks cheap.

Grayscale Builds Its Case on a $1 Billion Hyperliquid Earnings Assumption

In a note published Tuesday, Head of Research Zach Pandl valued HYPE using an “earnings per token” method. The approach adapts the earnings-per-share metric used for stocks, since Hyperliquid issues no shares.

Grayscale assumes Hyperliquid will earn roughly $1 billion in 2027, up about 20% from 2025. The firm expects recovering crypto trading volumes and stablecoin reserve income under Hyperliquid’s Aligned Quote Asset framework to drive the growth.

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Pandl estimates the circulating supply will reach 270 million to 310 million tokens by the end of 2027. That produces projected earnings of $3.25 to $3.75 per token. At $54, the resulting forward multiple sits at roughly 15x to 18x.

“Despite the gains in Hyperliquid’s HYPE token this year, it still looks cheap compared to fintech equities,” the note read.

Pandl flagged weaker network revenue growth and faster token supply growth as the main risks to the forecast.

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HYPE Token Price Slides 29% From June Peak

The valuation call arrives during a difficult stretch for the token. HYPE has dropped over 13% in the past month, diverging from large-cap assets that held gains.

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At press time, the token traded near $54, roughly 29% from its all-time high set in mid-June.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Performance
Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

Institutional unstaking and fund outflows have pressured the token through July. Multicoin Capital and Paradigm unstaked around $291 million in HYPE last week.

At the same time, Spot HYPE funds posted $8.6 million in outflows last week, their second straight weekly loss, while assets fell 18% from a July 10 peak.

While Grayscale maintains that HYPE remains undervalued relative to fintech peers, the token continues to face near-term headwinds. 

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Slowing institutional demand and large-scale unstaking could weigh on sentiment, suggesting Hyperliquid’s long-term valuation thesis will depend on whether the protocol can deliver the revenue growth underpinning Grayscale’s forecasts.

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