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In this video I break down the latest Bitcoin price action to determine if we are seeing a major bottom or just a temporary bounce. I analyze the current market structure using the Elliott Wave model to identify the key support and resistance zones that will dictate the direction of the market for the coming week.

I cover the current four-hour timeframe, explaining how the market is behaving within its trend channel and why the distinction between a wave two and a potential C-wave recovery is critical. You will learn exactly what signals I am watching for on the shorter-term charts, including what constitutes a shift in momentum versus a continuation of the bearish trend.

Whether you are looking for clarity on the macro outlook or the specific levels to watch for day-to-day moves, this breakdown provides a clear roadmap. We look at the probabilities of a continued decline versus a breakout, giving you the context needed to navigate the current volatility.

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The content provided on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments, or a financial service under applicable laws.
All analyses and opinions expressed are strictly personal views. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions and act at your own risk. Always consider your individual risk profile and, if necessary, consult with an independent financial advisor.
Some of the links provided in this description may be affiliate links. If you choose to use them, MCO Global may receive a commission – at no additional cost to you. Thank you for supporting the channel.

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Raoul Pal just delivered one of his most important Bitcoin updates of the year—and surprisingly, it’s more cautious than many investors expected.

While Bitcoin continues to show resilience following months of consolidation, Pal argues that the single most important driver of markets—liquidity—is still not accelerating fast enough to support a true parabolic breakout.

In this video, we break down Pal’s latest analysis on:

✅ Why liquidity explains nearly 87% of Bitcoin’s long-term price movements

✅ Why Bitcoin may still be trading below fair value

✅ The critical role of US banks and Treasury markets

✅ Why a steeper yield curve could unlock the next wave of liquidity

✅ Michael Howell’s latest global liquidity warning

✅ The connection between AI investment, government spending, and Bitcoin

✅ Why Bitcoin could still be headed much higher over the long run

Pal believes global liquidity, US broad liquidity, and M2 money supply are all moving in the right direction. However, the narrow liquidity measures that have historically shown the strongest correlation with Bitcoin remain relatively weak.

Could this explain why Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim previous highs despite ETF inflows, improving economic data, and growing institutional adoption?

Watch until the end to see why the next phase of the Bitcoin bull market may depend less on crypto-specific news and more on the global liquidity cycle.

👇 Let us know in the comments:

Do you agree with Raoul Pal’s cautious outlook, or do you think Bitcoin is already preparing for its next major breakout?

If you enjoyed the video, don’t forget to Like 👍 Subscribe 🔔 and Share!

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Sources: Raoul Pal The Journey Man and Real Vision
The Everything Code… At Your Fingertips | Raoul Pal The Journey Man

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👉 FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER
This channel is intended to share tips and investment videos by experts. We DO NOT GIVE FINANCIAL ADVICE! Please consult a licensed financial advisor and do your own research before making any financial action.

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Released on: 2025-05-30

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