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Bitcoin’s $73K push may hinge on ETF demand: Analysts

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Dave Portnoy vows to hold Bitcoin even if it crashes to zero

Bitcoin has climbed toward $73,000 after a record short squeeze and falling U.S. Treasury yields powered an 11% rally, but analysts have warned that continued ETF and spot demand will decide whether the breakout holds.

Summary

  • Bitcoin has gained about 11% in 24 hours and reached a two-month high near $73,000.
  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs drew $517 million on Aug. 19, their strongest inflow since May.
  • Nearly $2.7 billion in bearish crypto positions were liquidated as Bitcoin broke above $70,000.
  • Analysts see ETF demand, Treasury yields and U.S. political progress as the next tests.

Bitcoin’s short squeeze has accelerated the breakout

Nansen Senior Research Analyst Nicolai Søndergaard told crypto.news that forced short covering accelerated Bitcoin’s rise, although institutional demand and improved liquidity conditions had already given the market an upward bias.

“Bitcoin’s move above $70,000 reflects a combination of forced short covering, renewed institutional demand and a more supportive liquidity backdrop,” Søndergaard said.

Bitcoin traded near $72,600 after reaching about $72,800 on Aug. 20, extending a rally that began when the price cleared resistance around $65,000 and $67,000. The asset had spent roughly six weeks inside a narrow range before the breakout caught bearish traders positioned for another decline.

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CoinGlass data showed that more than $1 billion in Bitcoin shorts were liquidated within about one hour. Across the crypto market, short liquidations reached approximately $2.7 billion over 24 hours, the largest total in records dating to 2021. Shorts accounted for about 92% of almost $3 billion in total liquidations across more than 172,000 traders.

As reported earlier on Thursday, Bitcoin gained 11.4% in 24 hours as the liquidations forced traders to buy the asset needed to close their positions. Forced purchases then pushed the price through additional liquidation levels, adding speed to the rally.

Søndergaard said that relatively contained open interest showed that the price increase did not come only from traders adding fresh leverage. Liquidation data also showed far more pressure on shorts than longs, supporting his view that forced covering drove the speed rather than the full direction of the move.

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ETF demand may determine whether $70,000 holds

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $517 million in net inflows on Aug. 19, according to SoSoValue data cited by the analysts. The daily total was the strongest since May and offered early evidence that institutional buyers were participating alongside traders closing short positions.

LVRG Research Director Nick Ruck said the Treasury announcement helped improve institutional sentiment after months of net ETF outflows. Allocators may now view Bitcoin’s recent trading range as a more favorable entry point, he added, rather than a reason to remain on the sidelines.

Ruck cautioned that a single inflow session would not establish a lasting institutional trend. A clearer course for U.S. interest rates, progress on the CLARITY Act, or expanded access through retirement accounts could provide stronger confirmation, according to the analyst.

“Sustained inflows are unlikely without additional confirmation,” Ruck said. “Until those catalysts develop, inflows will likely remain temporary rather than structural.”

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Once forced buying fades, Søndergaard expects spot and ETF flows to determine whether Bitcoin can build support above $70,000. The price has moved above its 20-week and 200-day moving averages as well as the estimated short-term holder cost basis near $68,700, placing many recent buyers back in profit.

Momentum readings have become stretched, however. Søndergaard placed the one-hour relative strength index near 78 and the four-hour RSI above 85, while positive funding rates showed that leveraged positioning had become crowded on the long side.

A sustained hold above $70,000 would support the breakout, according to Søndergaard. A retreat into the $69,700 to $69,000 zone could serve as a normal retest rather than confirm a full trend reversal, although losing the area would expose the market to more selling.

CoinEx Chief Analyst Jeff Ko identified the 200-day moving average near $69,000 as the central technical level. Turning the former resistance area into support would strengthen the setup, he said, especially after approximately $650 million in net ETF inflows during the week.

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Lower Treasury yields have eased pressure on Bitcoin

The rally began as the U.S. Treasury announced that it would at least double its long-end liquidity-support buybacks. Beginning Sept. 9, the maximum purchase size for nominal coupon securities in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year sectors will rise from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation.

Following the announcement, the 30-year Treasury yield fell from 5.34%, its highest level in 19 years, to about 5.19%. Falling yields reduce the return offered by low-risk government debt and can make assets such as Bitcoin more attractive to investors willing to accept additional volatility.

Nick Ruck said lower yields also ease financial conditions and reduce borrowing costs for companies and investors. Continued buybacks could support risk assets for several months if long-term rates remain contained, he added, while renewed inflation or fiscal concerns could reverse the relief.

Ko described the program as a liquidity-management tool rather than quantitative easing because the Treasury is changing the composition of its liabilities instead of creating central-bank money. Given the program’s limited size compared with the Treasury market, he interpreted the announcement mainly as a policy signal that officials are prepared to support liquidity at the long end.

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BTSE Chief Operating Officer Jeff Mei also called the buybacks a short-term response to a lasting fiscal problem. The purchases may cool yields, but they do not reduce the federal deficit or remove inflation pressure, he said.

“When yields drop and the dollar weakens, risk assets tend to rally, and we’ve already seen Bitcoin move higher on the news,” Mei said.

For borrowing costs to remain lower, Mei said markets would need evidence of a slowing U.S. economy or a resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Without progress on either issue, persistent inflation and government borrowing could push yields back up.

U.S. policy has added a political premium

Bitget Wallet Research Analyst Lacie Zhang said Bitcoin has started trading with a U.S. political premium as the White House presses for crypto legislation before the November midterm elections.

During an Aug. 19 event with executives from Coinbase, Gemini, Ripple, Chainlink Labs, and other companies, President Donald Trump urged Congress to approve what he called a “fair version” of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. The bill would establish federal market rules and divide oversight between the SEC and CFTC.

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Previous White House event coverage detailed the approaching Senate test, which requires 60 votes to advance the legislation. Lawmakers are expected to return in September, leaving limited working time before campaigning for the midterms takes priority.

Zhang said the administration has an incentive to show lower borrowing costs, strong financial markets, and progress in high-growth industries before voters go to the polls. Democrats gaining Senate seats could expose the administration’s crypto policies to added scrutiny, which gives the White House and industry groups a reason to seek legislation before the election, she added.

The SEC supplied another policy catalyst on Aug. 18 by proposing Regulation Crypto Assets, a framework for certain investment contracts involving digital assets. The proposal includes an exemption for offerings of up to $5 million over four years and another for qualifying offerings of up to $75 million in a 12-month period.

Under the proposed SEC framework, a conditional safe harbor would also address when an investment-contract relationship tied to a crypto asset can end. Stakeholders will have 60 days to submit comments, and the proposal does not change current registration requirements unless the SEC adopts final rules.

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Zhang warned that connecting Bitcoin sentiment to the election calendar creates political risk. Failure to move the CLARITY Act, controversy involving political conflicts of interest, or a loss of regulatory momentum after the midterms could weaken investor confidence, she said.

President Xi Jinping’s expected U.S. visit in September could add another political element, according to Zhang, because Trump has grouped crypto, artificial intelligence and financial technology within his push for American technology leadership. She described the visit as a policy context rather than a direct cause of Bitcoin’s daily move.

Ruck said ETF inflows would need support from contained Treasury yields and further regulatory progress to continue. Without those conditions, institutional purchases may appear in isolated sessions instead of developing into a sustained source of Bitcoin demand.

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Ex-Fed Chief Dudley Warns Stocks Are in Bubble Territory as Treasury Boosts Buybacks

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The Buffet Indicator is pointing to a severely overvalued stock market.

Bill Dudley, a former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, says the US stock market is in bubble territory, pointing to stretched valuations and a slowing artificial intelligence (AI) investment cycle.

Dudley made the comments on Bloomberg Television this week, as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent moves to contain a sharp rise in long-term bond yields.

Stretched Valuations Underpin the Bubble Call

Dudley pointed to the Shiller CAPE ratio, the Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio, which sits near 41. That compares with a 25 to 30-year average of about 17, and a record of 44 set in December 1999. In simple terms, investors are paying far more for each dollar of company earnings than history suggests is safe.

He also cited the Buffett Indicator, the ratio of stock market value to gross domestic product (GDP), which stands around 240%. Warren Buffett has said readings above 100% signal an overvalued market. This indicator is suggesting the stock market is strongly overvalued.

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The Buffet Indicator is pointing to a severely overvalued stock market.
The Buffet Indicator is pointing to a severely overvalued stock market. Image Source: Long Term Trends

AI Spending Faces a Slowdown

Dudley expects capital expenditure (capex) growth among AI hyperscalers, the large cloud providers building AI infrastructure, to decelerate in 2027. That would squeeze profit margins across the sector and its suppliers.

He also questioned whether the industry can generate the estimated $2 trillion in revenue needed to justify current investment levels. Historically, he noted, excess returns from major technological booms tend to get competed away as rivals pile in.

Broadcom is reportedly negotiating a chip-financing package that could reach $100 billion. The deal would support Anthropic’s IPO plans, with the AI firm targeting a stock market debut as soon as October.

Treasury Moves Add to the Pressure

The 30-year Treasury yield surged above 5.3% this week, its highest level since 2007. The Treasury Department responded with a long-bond buyback increase, doubling the size of its debt repurchases.

However, Dudley said the fiscal backdrop complicates the Federal Reserve’s task regardless of the bond-market intervention.

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“The Fed has to take the world as it is.”

— Bill Dudley, Bloomberg

The coming months may show whether AI capex growth slows fast enough to avoid a sharper market correction.

The post Ex-Fed Chief Dudley Warns Stocks Are in Bubble Territory as Treasury Boosts Buybacks appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Arbitrum Activates Elara With Optional Compliance Filters for Dedicated Chains

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Arbitrum Activates Elara With Optional Compliance Filters for Dedicated Chains


Arbitrum activated ArbOS 61 Elara on Aug. 20, adding optional protocol-level transaction screening, priority-fee support and an alternative data-availability interface for dedicated chains, while changing base-fee administration and expanding Stylus capacity on Arbitrum One. The upgrade went live… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: What’s Next for BTC After Massive 12% Daily Surge?

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Bitcoin has staged a sharp recovery from the lower end of its recent range, pushing back toward $70K after spending several weeks consolidating below a descending trendline. The latest move has improved the short-term structure considerably, although BTC is now approaching an important resistance cluster that could determine whether this is the start of a broader recovery or simply a range breakout that needs confirmation.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

The daily chart shows Bitcoin recovering from the $60K support area after a prolonged decline from the all-time highs. The price subsequently formed a broad consolidation structure, with the market repeatedly finding buyers around the $60K-$62K region while rallies were capped by a descending trendline.

The most important development is the latest breakout. BTC has moved decisively above the long-term descending trendline and the $66.5K resistance zone, with the asset currently around $72K. This represents a meaningful structural improvement because the trendline had been containing the recoveries for months.

However, the breakout is now facing its first major test. The $72K-$74K area represents the next significant resistance zone visible on the chart. A sustained move through this region would strengthen the bullish case and potentially expose the $80K-$82K resistance area next.

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On the downside, the former $66.5K resistance zone is now the first important area to monitor. A daily close back below this region would weaken the breakout and raise the possibility of a return toward the critical $60K demand zone.

Overall, the daily structure has shifted from a clear sequence of lower highs into a potential bullish reversal. Confirmation above $66.5K would be important, while failure to hold that zone could turn the recent move into a false breakout and likely lead to another capitulation event.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart provides a clearer picture of the immediate breakout. BTC had been trading inside a contracting structure, characterized by a descending upper trendline and a gradually rising lower boundary. This created a compression pattern that persisted from July into mid-August.

The breakout finally occurred, and Bitcoin surged through both the descending trendline and the $66K-$67K resistance zone. The move was particularly aggressive, with BTC quickly advancing from the mid-$64K area toward $70K.

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The $66K-$67K zone is therefore the key short-term pivot. As long as Bitcoin remains above it, the breakout structure remains intact, and the market could continue toward the next daily resistance around $72K-$74K.

At the same time, the speed of the move means a retest would not necessarily be bearish. A pullback toward $66K-$67K followed by a successful rebound could provide stronger confirmation that the former resistance has turned into support.

For now, momentum clearly favors the buyers on the 4-hour timeframe, but the next challenge is whether buyers can convert the breakout into sustained price acceptance above $70K.

On-Chain Analysis

The futures average order size chart provides an additional perspective on the recent price action. The indicator separates futures activity into normal orders, big whale orders, small whale orders, and retail orders, allowing the composition of trading activity to be viewed alongside Bitcoin’s price.

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The recent price recovery from the $60K area toward $70K has featured a mixture of normal and whale-sized orders, with green and light-green clusters appearing repeatedly during the advance. This suggests that larger orders have remained active around the latest recovery rather than the move being driven exclusively by smaller retail transactions.

At the same time, the chart shows substantial red retail-order clusters during several previous major price swings, including periods around the $70K region and the subsequent decline. The latest advance toward $70K does not show the same degree of persistent retail-order dominance visible during some earlier rallies.

That backdrop is constructive, although the indicator alone does not establish whether the larger orders are predominantly long or short. The more important takeaway is that the current price recovery is occurring alongside renewed activity from larger futures participants.

The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: What’s Next for BTC After Massive 12% Daily Surge? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Optimism Redirects $49.7 Million Airdrop Reserve After Late Deciding Vote

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Allbridge Halts Core Bridge After $1.65M Flash Loan Exploit


Optimism governance approved a proposal to move 546.9 million OP tokens, valued at roughly $49.7 million at the time of the vote, from an allocation reserved for future user airdrops into a Strategic Ecosystem Fund administered by the Optimism Foundation. The change removes the remaining dedicated… Read the full story at The Defiant

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X in Talks to Use Stablecoins for Content Creator Royalties: Report

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X is exploring stablecoin payments for content creators as it replaces its long-running Revenue Sharing program with a new rewards system.

The talks could put USDC at the center of creator payouts just as X expands its broader payments offering.

X Explores Stablecoins for Creator Payments

CoinDesk reported on August 20 that X is discussing the use of stablecoins such as Circle’s USDC to pay royalties to influential users for their content.

The conversations are still ongoing, according to a person familiar with the plans who also works with other social media platforms testing stablecoins for influencer commissions, suggesting X is not alone in weighing the move.

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The report comes as X changes how creators earn money on the platform. The company announced early this month that it is ending new enrollment for its Revenue Sharing program and introducing the Original Content Rewards Program.

Under the new system, eligible creators earn money from qualified impressions generated by their original content. Those impressions must come from Premium users on the Home Timeline, with at least half of the post visible. Creators need at least 500 verified followers and 500,000 Home Timeline impressions from verified users during the previous 90 days. They must also subscribe to X Premium, Premium+ or Premium Business and maintain an account in good standing.

Existing Revenue Sharing participants can continue earning through September 7, but X plans to begin allowing such users to apply for Original Content Rewards from September 8, with their first payment under the new program scheduled for September 25. The stablecoin discussion could therefore affect how these payments are eventually delivered.

X Money Adds Another Piece

Stablecoins now carry a combined market value of over $300 billion and are already used by businesses to move money across borders faster and more cheaply than traditional banking rails allow.

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X’s interest in the fiat-pegged digital assets for creator pay follows Elon Musk’s broader financial ambitions for the platform. In March, he confirmed that X Money, the app’s in-house payment product, would open to early public access within weeks, a step toward what he called an “everything app” that folds financial services into social media.

The product launched to a limited group of US Premium+ users in June before expanding to a wider set of paid subscribers by late July. It currently works as a dollar-based wallet, letting eligible users hold balances, send free instant transfers to other X Money users, receive direct deposits, and spend through a Visa debit card, with up to 6% annual yield on balances and cashback on purchases.

However, it does not yet support crypto or stablecoins, despite heavy speculation before its launch. Some of Musk’s other companies have leaned on the technology before, including SpaceX, which reportedly collects cross-border payments from Starlink customers in emerging markets using stablecoins, a precedent that makes X’s interest less of a surprise.

The post X in Talks to Use Stablecoins for Content Creator Royalties: Report appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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We Need to Change How We Think About Aging, Says AARP’s CEO

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We Need to Change How We Think About Aging, Says AARP’s CEO

“Pop culture today is thinking about living longer and what we want our lives to look like,” Minter-Jordan says. “We’re able to really home in on that as a means of engaging younger demographics, but also bringing visibility to the growing ‘50-plus’ in our country.” 

That includes reminding people age 65 and older that Social Security and Medicare are instrumental for health and financial resiliency later in life. In 2025, the 90th anniversary of the Social Security Act, Minter-Jordan traveled the country highlighting the importance of both programs and telling the stories of members who depend on them. More than 3 million AARP activists contacted their Congressional leaders to remind them that Social Security and Medicare aren’t handouts, she says, but benefits that people have earned. 

As a physician, Minter-Jordan knows that living longer isn’t always as good as it sounds. The gap between people’s “health span”—how long they’re healthy—and lifespan is about 12.5 years, she says. (It’s typically worse for women.) But AARP wants to help to close that gap. AgeTech Collaborative, AARP’s startup accelerator, connects hundreds of companies that are designing products to help people age better with investors and entrepreneurs who can help bring their products to market. Its Community Challenge grants invest in small local projects nationwide that make age-oriented design changes to public places. Under Minter-Jordan, AARP has doubled the amount of money it grants to fund practical improvements that benefit older Americans, like more benches in community parks. 

Minter-Jordan, who is in her 50s, says that people are sometimes surprised to see someone relatively young as the face of an organization representing an aging America. But that’s kind of the point, she says. Beyond middle age, people are still contributing a great deal to American society and the economy. There are now 57 million Americans over age 50 in the workforce, and Minter-Jordan wants the rest of the country to realize that their experience makes them valuable. 

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“This is a longevity revolution,” she says. “The businesses, employers, and policymakers who take older Americans seriously and design for their actual lives are the ones that are going to be positioned to grow and lead.”

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Stablecoin issuers face an operational test before 2027, Telcoin president says

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Europe banks pick stablecoin partners as MiCA srives shift

US stablecoin issuers have entered a five-month preparation window before the GENIUS Act’s expected Jan. 18, 2027, effective date, which places licensing and operating controls at the center of market access.

Summary

  • Stablecoin issuers will generally need a federal or state license from Jan. 18, 2027.
  • Patrick Gerhart said integrated compliance systems will present the hardest licensing challenge.
  • US platforms face separate restrictions on distributing unapproved stablecoins from July 18, 2028.
  • Treasury is considering customer and location checks that could affect offshore issuers and platforms.

The US Treasury proposed new definitions on Aug. 17 covering when a company issues a payment stablecoin in the United States and when a digital asset platform offers one to a US customer.

Although the proposal clarifies which activities fall under the law, Patrick Gerhart, president of Telcoin Digital Asset Bank, told crypto.news that securing a license will require issuers to prove their compliance, reserves, and technology systems work together under daily operating conditions.

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“The hardest part will be building the operating infrastructure behind the license,” Gerhart said. “A stablecoin issuer needs much more than a reserve account and a compliance policy on paper.”

President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law on July 18, 2025, establishing separate regulatory paths for federally supervised issuers and qualifying state-regulated companies. Under the law, only permitted issuers may issue payment stablecoins in the United States once the framework takes effect.

Its effective date is technically the earlier of Jan. 18, 2027, or 120 days after the responsible federal agencies complete their final regulations. Regulators missed a July 18, 2026, statutory deadline for finishing the rules, however, leaving issuers with less time to adapt before the expected January start.

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Stablecoin licensing will require working controls

Based on Telcoin’s chartering process, Gerhart said regulators will expect an issuer to show how it identifies customers, traces incoming funds, monitors transactions, manages reserves and handles redemptions.

Each function may require a separate policy, but the licensing test will involve how the controls operate as a single system. According to Gerhart, compliance, risk, technology, reserve management, and banking relationships cannot remain isolated workstreams.

“For issuers working toward 2027, I would expect the biggest challenge to be demonstrating that those controls actually work together operationally,” he said.

“They have to function as one operating model, and regulators will want to see that the institution is ready to manage that model at scale.”

Federal proposals support his assessment. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency’s draft framework covers reserve assets, redemptions, custody, liquidity, capital, audits, risk management, regulatory reporting and operational backstops. Application, examination, and wind-down procedures also form part of the proposed rules.

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OCC-supervised issuers would have to maintain eligible reserves and redeem stablecoins at par. Nonbank companies seeking approval as federal qualified payment stablecoin issuers would follow a separate application process, while bank subsidiaries, qualifying state issuers, and foreign companies would face requirements suited to their regulatory status.

Comptroller Jonathan Gould reportedly expects the agency to finalize its rules by November after considering industry comments. Completion by then would give issuers only about two months before Jan. 18, although the rules remain subject to revision.

Meanwhile, a separate proposal from the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network and the Office of Foreign Assets Control would treat permitted stablecoin issuers as financial institutions under the Bank Secrecy Act.

FinCEN and OFAC have proposed requirements for customer identification, due diligence, suspicious-activity reporting, and sanctions compliance. Issuers would also need the technical ability to block, freeze, or reject prohibited transactions and comply with lawful government orders.

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Telcoin spent years preparing its banking model

Telcoin’s experience provides Gerhart with a direct view of the work involved. Nebraska granted Telcoin Digital Asset Bank its final charter in November 2025 under the Nebraska Financial Innovation Act, which the state enacted in 2021 to create a regulated path for digital asset depositories.

The state described Telcoin’s charter as the first of its kind in the United States. Nebraska officials said the bank’s stablecoin reserves would primarily consist of US government bonds or deposits at FDIC-insured banks in the state.

Before granting final approval, Nebraska regulators required an operating structure covering capital, reporting, security, and customer safeguards. State rules impose surety bond and insurance requirements, as well as funding for three years of operating expenses.

Digital asset depositories must also maintain customer-complaint procedures and written plans for responding to data breaches or other cybersecurity incidents. Certain security events require immediate notice to the Nebraska Department of Banking and Finance.

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While developing its model, Telcoin worked with state regulators to explain how its technology operated and determine how existing banking requirements applied to the business, Gerhart said.

“We spent years working with Nebraska regulators and building the policies, procedures, reporting, and risk controls needed to operate a digital asset bank within a regulated banking framework,” he said.

Telcoin is building its services around eUSD, a bank-issued stablecoin designed to connect conventional dollar accounts with public blockchain networks. According to Gerhart, customers could move between bank-held dollars and an on-chain dollar asset without combining services from a separate bank, exchange, and stablecoin company.

For businesses, he said the model could support faster settlement and allow payments to be built into blockchain-based products. Consumers could access blockchain applications while retaining a relationship with a regulated bank.

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Gerhart attributed another potential benefit to the banking controls governing reserves, custody, compliance, and redemptions. Blockchain supplies the transfer speed and programmability, he said, while the regulated institution provides a familiar operating structure.

US rules could favor prepared issuers

The GENIUS Act allows issuers with no more than $10 billion in consolidated outstanding stablecoins to choose state-level supervision when the Treasury determines that the state’s rules are substantially similar to the federal framework.

Companies exceeding the threshold generally fall under federal supervision. The OCC will oversee federally qualified nonbank issuers, stablecoin subsidiaries of national banks and federal savings associations, along with certain state-qualified companies under its authority.

Gerhart said institutions that have already invested in banking and regulatory systems may enter the new regime with an advantage. Existing controls, reporting systems, and regulator relationships could take years for less-prepared competitors to reproduce.

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Under his assessment, however, banks will not simply displace established nonbank stablecoin companies. Issuers will still need interoperability and practical uses alongside regulatory approval to win customers.

“The issuers that succeed will be the ones that can combine regulatory compliance with interoperability and real utility. Regulation opens the door to more participants, but the ability to integrate with existing financial infrastructure and actually serve customers will determine who gains traction.”

An earlier explanation of the law detailed additional issuer obligations, including one-to-one reserve backing, monthly attested disclosures and a ban on paying yield directly to stablecoin holders.

Eligible reserves include cash, insured bank deposits, short-term Treasury bills, Treasury-backed repurchase agreements and qualifying money market funds. Corporate debt, loans, precious metals and cryptocurrencies do not qualify as reserve assets under the framework.

Platforms face a separate 2028 access deadline

From July 18, 2028, digital asset service providers generally cannot offer or sell a payment stablecoin to people in the United States unless an approved issuer issues it.

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Treasury’s proposal treats exchanges, custodians, transfer providers and businesses offering financial services tied to digital asset issuance as service providers. Its US restrictions are intended to reach offshore activity when a platform offers or sells stablecoins to a person located in the country.

Under the proposed definitions, direct solicitation and US-facing advertising could count as an offer. A platform may also fall within the rule if it responds to an unsolicited request by agreeing to sell a stablecoin or telling potential customers how to bypass location restrictions.

Treasury is seeking feedback on whether platforms should use customer identification, account-opening data, geographic restrictions, device or network checks, contractual declarations and transaction monitoring to determine a customer’s location. IP address and identity-document checks are among the specific controls under consideration.

Foreign issuers would retain a route into the American market if the Treasury considers their home regulatory regime comparable, they register with the OCC, and they can comply with lawful orders and reciprocal arrangements.

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Given the operational work involved, Gerhart said platforms should already be identifying every stablecoin they list, its issuer, the issuer’s home jurisdiction and the controls needed to limit customer access when required.

“The 2028 deadline gives platforms more time, but it is not something they should leave until 2028 to address,” he said.

Issuers should also begin reviewing reserve reconciliation, redemption procedures, KYC, anti-money laundering controls, sanctions systems, and regulatory reporting, according to Gerhart. Treasury will accept comments on its latest proposal for 60 days after the notice is published in the Federal Register.

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State Farm Is Sending $5 Billion in Dividend Payments to Customers

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State Farm Is Sending $5 Billion in Dividend Payments to Customers

When will customers get their dividend payments?

The payments began going out on July 31. State Farm has not indicated when they will stop. 

“Millions of customers have already received their individual dividend payments, with more on the way,” State Farm announced when the payments began. 

Customers will be notified by State Farm regarding their pending payments “beginning late summer of 2026,” the company’s website states, adding that dividend payments are being sent out “in waves by state where the policy is assigned.”

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Over 7.2 million checks have been mailed since payments began, with another 3.8 million set to go out this week, a State Farm spokesperson told CBS News in an email.

How much could eligible customers get paid?

The dividend payments average $100 per vehicle, according to State Farm. 

The amount an eligible customer receives will vary based on a couple of factors, however. The payment a customer gets will be based on a percentage of the premiums they paid, and that percentage ranges from 4% to 10% depending on the customer’s state.

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Ethos to auction 20% of WHUF supply from $1M FDV

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Ethos to auction 20% of WHUF supply from $1M FDV

Ethos Network has scheduled a September 1 auction for 20% of the WHUF token supply, setting its opening fully diluted valuation at $1 million and its maximum valuation at $99 million.

Summary

  • 20% of the total WHUF supply will be offered through the September 1 auction.
  • Bidding will begin at a $1 million FDV and cannot exceed a $99 million FDV.
  • Buyers can qualify for protection covering 85% of their purchase price for 12 months.
  • Contributor XP and qualified referrals will determine additional token rewards.

Ethos Network said in an Aug. 20 X post that registration had opened for the WHUF auction, which includes added rewards tied to Contributor XP and participant referrals.

“Hello, Whuffie,” the protocol wrote while introducing WHUF and listing the main auction terms.

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Under the announced limits, selling 20% of the supply at a $1 million FDV would value the auctioned portion at $200,000. The same allocation would be worth as much as $19.8 million at the $99 million cap, based on the relationship between the offered supply and the stated valuation range.

Ethos has not disclosed how much capital it expects to raise because the final amount will depend on bids submitted during the auction. The announcement also did not provide a final token price, circulating supply at launch, exchange listing schedule, or complete allocation plan for the remaining 80%.

WHUF auction includes conditional price protection

The official WHUF sale page describes the 85% price guarantee as conditional protection rather than an automatic refund for every buyer.

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Participants must vouch their WHUF tokens in an Ethos account during a 30-day guarantee period and keep the tokens vouched to retain coverage at 85% of their purchase price for 12 months, according to the page. The available information indicates that removing the tokens from the vouch may affect eligibility, although Ethos has not yet published complete redemption instructions in an accessible auction document.

Vouching is an existing part of the Ethos reputation system. Users deposit assets behind another account to signal that they trust its owner, giving the endorsement more weight than a standard written review, according to the protocol’s website.

Applying the same action to the guarantee ties the protection to participation in Ethos rather than passive token ownership. Buyers seeking coverage would need to commit the purchased WHUF to the protocol under the stated conditions, limiting how freely they could use the tokens while preserving the guarantee.

Ethos has not explained which asset or reserve will fund guarantee claims, how claims will be processed, or whether geographic and identity checks will apply. The project also has not published information on the auction’s accepted payment assets, minimum bid, maximum individual contribution or final allocation method.

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Contributor XP will influence WHUF bonuses

Auction contributors will receive additional rewards weighted by their commitment and Contributor XP, the sale page states. Referrers can also receive a share linked to each qualified bid they bring into the auction, although the project has not publicly listed the exact reward percentages.

Contributor XP has operated as Ethos’s recognition system since the protocol launched on Base in January 2025, as crypto.news previously reported. The system assigns credit to users who help document reputation through reviews, vouches, invitations, and other activity.

At the mainnet launch, Ethos said around 4,500 accounts were eligible for its first XP claim after it screened the distribution for Sybil activity. Each eligible account received 10 referral links, while both parties could gain a 20% increase on their base XP claim when the invited user already had an allocation.

Later campaigns expanded the XP system through daily review bounties and reputation markets. In July, Ethos announced a trading competition carrying almost 35 million XP as its second XP season approached its end.

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The WHUF auction now gives accumulated XP a role in token-sale rewards. Ethos has not said whether XP will convert directly into WHUF, determine a multiplier, or place participants into separate allocation groups.

Ethos has built WHUF around onchain reputation

Ethos describes WHUF as a “Proof of Credibility” token connected to its onchain reputation network. The platform combines social and financial signals to create credibility scores for crypto accounts.

Reviews allow users to submit positive, neutral, or negative assessments, while the credibility of the reviewer and the account’s history can affect each review’s weight. Vouching lets users back an account with deposited ETH, and slashing allows the community to propose penalties against users accused of misconduct.

Ethos also uses wallet age, attestations, social accounts, review history, vouching activity, and suspected Sybil behavior when calculating its credibility scores. The protocol says developers can connect the scoring infrastructure to external applications through its smart contracts.

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The project launched on Base mainnet on Jan. 22, 2025, after operating on the Base Sepolia test network. Its browser extension can display Ethos scores on X and OpenSea, giving users access to reputation data outside the main Ethos application.

In July 2024, Ethos raised $1.75 million from 59 angel investors without a lead venture capital firm. The current sales page says the project later received backing from more than 450 participants through Echo and claims WHUF has only 1% venture capital ownership. A full token allocation table has not yet been published to verify how the remaining ownership categories are divided.

US buyers face unresolved access and securities questions

Ethos has not publicly confirmed whether people in the United States can enter the WHUF auction. The registration page should therefore not be treated as confirmation that US residents are eligible, particularly while the project has yet to publish complete sale terms and jurisdictional restrictions.

Federal treatment of token offerings is also under review. The US Securities and Exchange Commission proposed Reg Crypto on Aug. 18, creating possible registration exemptions for qualifying crypto investment contracts.

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One proposed route would cover offerings of up to $5 million during four years, while another would allow eligible issuers to raise as much as $75 million in a 12-month period. The larger exemption would carry added financial statement and continuing reporting requirements, according to the SEC proposal.

Reg Crypto does not automatically exempt every public token sale. Eligibility would depend on the offering structure, issuer disclosures, and other conditions, while the proposal must still pass through a public comment process before any final rules take effect.

Token distribution will also matter once WHUF becomes transferable. A July token-unlock explainer noted that vesting schedules and cliffs can limit immediate selling by team members and early investors. Ethos has not yet released WHUF vesting periods, team allocations, insider lockups, or the amount expected to circulate when the token launches.

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Woman Charged in Alleged Plot to Bomb the New York State Capitol

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Woman Charged in Alleged Plot to Bomb the New York State Capitol

A criminal complaint filed in federal court on Thursday outlines the FBI’s investigation into Bowie, including how agents reviewed social media posts she had shared with “anti-American messages” and the ensuing sting operation that led them to apprehend her.

An FBI confidential source, the document details, posed as an “ISIS facilitator” and began messaging with Bowie in July about “her plans to attack the New York State Capitol building in Albany.”

Bowie visited the building several times, according to the complaint. Included in the filing and the Justice Department’s press release was an image of an individual wearing all black and holding up a phone, seemingly to take a photo. The individual’s face is not visible in the photo, but authorities identified them as Bowie; the complaint says the image shows Bowie “doing reconnaissance on July 21” on the Capitol building.

The complaint goes on to describe an in-person meeting that Bowie had with two other FBI confidential sources on Aug. 5. The meeting was filmed and recorded, and the complaint alleges that Bowie “reaffirmed her desire to bomb the New York State Capitol” during the encounter. The filing includes part of the transcript from that meeting, during which she allegedly said that she would “ideally do [the attack] on a day when the most amount of senators are there, maybe we time it where there we know there’s a meeting with the senators, try and get a good enough explosive in there to kill the senators and ideally to destroy as much of the building as possible really.” She then said that she wanted “to be able to get away and migrate,” according to the complaint.

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