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CPI Maps and Bitcoin $76,000-$83,000 Scenarios

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Bitcoin is approaching Friday’s August CPI report near $78,000, with $80,000 as the key level before a potential move toward $82,000-$83,000. The inflation release is also central to expectations for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, as Treasury yields and the dollar remain important parts of the market backdrop for crypto and equities.

Markets assign roughly a two-thirds probability to another Fed rate hike, based on futures pricing. That pricing could shift when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the CPI data, making the report an important test for Bitcoin’s next major level.

Economists expect August headline CPI to rise about 0.4% month over month and 3.4% year over year, while core CPI is expected near 0.2% monthly and 2.4% annually. Oil prices are above $110 a barrel, and Treasury yields are approaching 5%, adding to the focus on whether inflation remains elevated.

A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen concerns that energy costs are contributing to broader inflation pressure. Wholesale prices rose in August, with the producer price index increasing 0.4% month over month and headline PPI rising 5.4% year over year. That annual PPI reading was 3.4 percentage points above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Final-demand energy prices rose 4.2%, while goods prices broadly increased 1.1% and services prices rose 0.1%.

The PPI report arrived ahead of the CPI release and the Fed’s policy decision. Traders slightly increased their bets on a rate increase following the PPI data, with the odds close to 66% in CME Group FedWatch futures pricing.

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What the Inflation Signal Does and Does Not Prove?

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The market framework centers on the relationship between CPI, Fed expectations, Treasury yields, and risk appetite. A cooler CPI print could pull Treasury yields and the dollar lower, helping Bitcoin reclaim $80,000 and potentially reopening the path toward $82,000-$83,000.

A hotter reading, particularly a core result around 0.4% or above, could reinforce expectations for a September rate hike and bring $76,000 into focus.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller has suggested that a sufficiently hot inflation print could influence the September decision. At the same time, the CPI report is one input among several for policymakers, while market reactions can also reflect changes in Treasury yields, the dollar, and equity sentiment.

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Bitcoin $80,000 Resistance and $76,000 Support

Bitcoin enters the CPI release near $78,000. In the cooler-inflation scenario outlined by the available market analysis, $80,000 is the level Bitcoin would need to reclaim before the $82,000-$83,000 area comes back into view. In a hotter-inflation scenario, $76,000 is the downside area in focus.

Bitcoin (BTC)
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These price areas frame the immediate reaction discussed around the inflation release. The CPI data, rate expectations, Treasury yields, and the dollar could all shape how Bitcoin trades following the report.

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If August CPI comes in cooler than the expected 0.4% monthly and 3.4% annual headline readings, Treasury yields and the dollar could soften. That outcome could help Bitcoin reclaim $80,000 and potentially reopen the path toward $82,000-$83,000. It could also support rate-sensitive equities, including the broader QQQ and SPY market measures cited in the available analysis.

If inflation runs hotter than expected, especially if core CPI is around 0.4% or above, expectations for a September rate hike could strengthen. Higher yields and a firmer dollar would place the $76,000 area back in focus for Bitcoin. Friday’s CPI release and the Fed’s upcoming decision, therefore, remain the key events shaping the near-term macro backdrop.

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Metaplanet cuts executive reward pool by 41%, extinguishes $220 million in value

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Could BoJ be the next central bank to tighten, hitting BTC


The bitcoin treasury firm cut the potential Series 10 share pool to 188.2 million.

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India Pilot Issues $107M Tokenized Bonds Via New Tokenized Bond Pilot

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Crypto Breaking News

India is moving tokenized corporate bonds from theory to execution. SEBI, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have launched a pilot that issues and settles selected corporate bonds as digital tokens within regulated market infrastructure.

In the program, three issuers have completed initial sales totaling 10.25 billion rupees (about $107 million). SEBI said the first deals test how tokenized bonds can be issued, held, and settled on a distributed ledger while payments are linked to the RBI’s wholesale central bank digital currency (CBDC).

Key takeaways

  • SEBI’s “Demat 2.0” pilot supports tokenized corporate bond issuance and holding on a distributed ledger managed by India’s statutory depositories.
  • Total pilot issuance so far is 10.25 billion rupees across three companies, including two 5 billion rupee offerings.
  • Settlement is designed to be faster: SEBI says atomic settlement reduces the gap between moving funds and bonds.
  • Investors may use existing Demat accounts, but they must enable Demat 2.0 and maintain a wholesale CBDC wallet for settlement through participating banks.
  • SEBI claims tokenization preserves legal protections, including bond repayment obligations and investor safeguards.

Demat 2.0 links tokenized bonds to RBI’s wholesale CBDC

SEBI said on Thursday that Demat 2.0 enables corporate bonds to be issued and held as digital tokens on a distributed ledger operated by statutory depositories. The system is designed to connect with the RBI’s wholesale CBDC using the central bank’s Unified Market Interface.

SEBI also described two core technical changes aimed at improving operational speed:

  • Atomic settlement, intended to remove the delay between the movement of money and the movement of bonds.
  • Smart contracts, which SEBI said can automate periodic interest and redemption workflows.

The practical implication for market participants is straightforward: if settlement timelines are shortened and payment and delivery are synchronized, issuers may reduce execution friction and investors may experience cleaner post-trade mechanics compared with longer traditional cycles.

Initial issuers and amounts complete the first phase

SEBI’s pilot began with three issuances across different company types. The first issuance was led by REC, a public-sector lender. On Monday, REC raised 5 billion rupees from 18 investors.

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Next, Larsen & Toubro (L&T) issued another 5 billion rupees, raised from four investors, on Wednesday.

On the same day, IIFL, a non-bank lender, issued 250 million rupees in bonds to a single investor.

SEBI said the infrastructure allows issuers to receive funds on the day of bidding, rather than waiting two to three days later. That shift matters because faster funding cycles can improve liquidity planning for issuers and potentially reduce the operational window that intermediaries manage during issuance.

Pilot built on a smaller test plan reported earlier

The rollout represents an expansion beyond an earlier plan described in reporting from Reuters. In August, Reuters said India planned to test tokenized corporate bonds through an REC issuance of less than 5 billion rupees with selected investors. According to SEBI’s latest update, the pilot ultimately grew beyond that initial scope: SEBI’s launch includes two additional issuers, bringing the total issuance to more than double what was originally expected from REC.

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SEBI also indicated that the pilot is not the end of the story. SEBI said later phases will explore:

  • Secondary trading using existing request-for-quote platforms.
  • Access for retail investors, with the pilot’s experience used to guide any broader rollout.

This staging approach is important for readers to understand. Early tokenized bond pilots often limit participants and trading complexity to reduce operational risk. Here, SEBI’s roadmap suggests the regulatory focus may shift from primary issuance mechanics—how bonds are minted and settled—to market liquidity questions such as how tokenized bonds behave in trading environments and how retail access is operationally handled.

How investors participate without opening a separate account

SEBI said investors can hold the tokenized bonds in their existing Demat accounts. That reduces the friction typically associated with onboarding new digital instruments—especially in markets where Demat participation is already common.

However, participation is not entirely plug-and-play. SEBI said investors must:

  • Enable Demat 2.0 through their depository.
  • Maintain a wholesale CBDC wallet with a participating bank to settle payments.

SEBI also emphasized that the tokenization layer does not alter the bonds’ underlying legal framework. The regulator said tokenization does not change the legal status of the bonds, the repayment obligations, or investor protections.

For the market, that clarification matters: investors may be more willing to participate in tokenized instruments when the regulator ties new settlement mechanics to the same legal rights they already understand in traditional bond markets.

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What to watch next is whether the pilot’s promised settlement acceleration translates into measurable operational benefits as the program moves toward secondary trading and wider access. SEBI’s planned next steps will likely be the real stress test—determining whether tokenized issuance can scale from controlled primary deals to active market trading without creating new settlement, liquidity, or compliance bottlenecks.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto Price Analysis Sep-11: ETH, XRP, ADA, BNB, and HYPE

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This Friday, we examine Ethereum, Ripple, Cardano, Binance Coin, and Hyperliquid in greater detail.

Ethereum (ETH)

Ethereum fell 3% this week as the price curved down once it touched $2,500. The current support is found at $2,400 and may soon be tested, considering that momentum has turned somewhat bearish and a pullback is ongoing.

As long as the price can hold above $2,400, ETH has a good chance to make higher highs. However, any weakness at this key level could put sellers back in charge as they seek to send this cryptocurrency lower.

Looking ahead, Ethereum has to consolidate around existing levels if it wants to maintain its rally. The challenge is that buy volume is declining, and bulls are showing signs of exhaustion. This makes a deeper correction more likely if nothing changes.

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eth_price_chart_1109261
Source: TradingView

Ripple (XRP)

XRP had a bad week after the price crashed 9%. This follows sellers rejecting a breakout at the $1.6 resistance. With bulls on the defensive, they have retreated at the $1.3 support level.

A test of the key support appears imminent based on the current price action. If it holds, then this cryptocurrency can book a higher low and encourage buyers to return for another go at $1.6.

Looking ahead, XRP is at a key turning point. The $1.3 level can make or break the momentum that drove the price up 60% in less than a week in late August.

xrp_price_chart_1109261
Source: TradingView

Cardano (ADA)

ADA is similar to XRP as it also failed to clear the resistance at $0.23. This is bad news for bulls, and the price closed 9% lower this week. With bullish momentum under threat, buyers will struggle to regain control here.

If nothing changes, then Cardano will have no other choice but to fall below $0.20 and maybe even re-test the key support at $0.15. While a consolidation period would be normal, it could give sellers a chance to return in force.

Looking ahead, ADA needs to find renewed interest from buyers if it wants to escape its current range between $0.23 and $0.15. Anything less would see bears take control again.

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ada_price_chart_1109261
Source: TradingView

Binance Coin (BNB)

Binance Coin dropped a modest 2% this week after sellers reversed the price action around $780. Since then, BNB has been pulling back, and a test of support at $690 appears likely in the coming days.

Ideally, this cryptocurrency will hold above $690 if buyers want to maintain their advantage and momentum. Any price below this key level will see it turn into a resistance, which could push BNB much lower.

Looking ahead, even if the ongoing pullback turns into a more significant correction, this cryptocurrency will remain bullish as long as it can secure a higher low. That includes any price above $580, which is the next key support level.

bnb_price_chart_1109261
Source: TradingView

Hype (HYPE)

Hyperliquid made a new record price at almost $90 last week. However, this week, the price pulled back and closed 10% lower. This is unfortunate, and if the current weekly bearish engulfing candle remains as it is, that will be a bad signal for the market.

Taken together, this suggests a bearish bias, at least in the short term, with key support at $76 and $70. Even so, as long as the price can stay above $70, the overall uptrend channel will remain intact.

Looking ahead, HYPE has continued to impress in 2026 despite any volatility, with consistently higher highs. A test of the $100 psychological level seems likely before any significant selling returns.

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hype_price_chart_1109261
Source: TradingView

The post Crypto Price Analysis Sep-11: ETH, XRP, ADA, BNB, and HYPE appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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India Pilots Tokenized Bonds, Issues $107M in First Phase

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Crypto Breaking News

India’s capital markets are taking a tangible step toward blockchain-based settlement. The country’s securities regulator and central bank have launched a pilot that enables corporate bonds to be issued and held as tokenized assets, with settlement linked to the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) wholesale central bank digital currency (CBDC).

On Thursday, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) said its “Demat 2.0” initiative allows corporate bonds to be issued and recorded as digital tokens on a distributed ledger maintained by India’s statutory depositories. The system is designed to connect to the RBI wholesale CBDC using the central bank’s Unified Market Interface (UMI).

Key takeaways

  • SEBI’s Demat 2.0 pilot tokenizes corporate bond issuance and ownership records within India’s regulated depository framework.
  • Settlement is tied to the RBI wholesale CBDC via the UMI, with SEBI describing “atomic settlement” to reduce timing mismatches between cash and bonds.
  • The first issuers—REC, Larsen & Toubro (L&T), and IIFL—collectively raised 10.25 billion rupees (about $107 million) across multiple transactions.
  • SEBI says issuers can receive funds on the day of bidding rather than the typical two- to three-day delay.
  • Investors can use existing Demat accounts, but must enable Demat 2.0 through their depository and have a wholesale CBDC wallet with a participating bank for settlement.

The Demat 2.0 pilot and the first set of tokenized bond issuances

SEBI said Demat 2.0 enables tokenized corporate bonds to be issued and held on a distributed ledger managed by statutory depositories. The pilot architecture is intended to keep corporate bond legal issuance and investor protections within the existing framework, while modernizing the recording and settlement layer.

Three companies participated in the initial launch. SEBI reported that public-sector lender REC raised 5 billion rupees from 18 investors on Monday. Engineering and construction conglomerate Larsen & Toubro (L&T) followed with a separate 5 billion rupees issuance from four investors on Wednesday. Non-bank lender IIFL also issued 250 million rupees to a single investor on the same day.

In practical terms, SEBI said the infrastructure is designed to accelerate the payment window. Instead of funds arriving two to three days after bidding, the regulator claims issuers receive funds on the day of bidding. SEBI linked this improvement to “atomic settlement,” describing it as a mechanism that removes delay between transfers of money and transfers of bonds.

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The regulator also pointed to smart contracts as a way to automate key cash-flow events associated with the bonds, including interest and redemption payments. While the details of the smart-contract logic were not elaborated in the announcement, SEBI’s emphasis is clear: the pilot aims to streamline both settlement timing and payment operations.

From a smaller REC test to a broader first phase

The pilot expands beyond what was initially described in earlier reporting. In August, Reuters said India planned to test tokenized corporate bonds through an REC issuance of less than 5 billion rupees with selected investors. The subsequent SEBI update indicates the launch went further than that preliminary plan.

SEBI’s description of the first phase shows that the pilot moved past the original REC-only concept to include two additional issuers. With REC at 5 billion rupees and the combined additions of L&T and IIFL, the first-phase total rose to more than double the originally reported amount expectation for REC.

SEBI also said the issuances in the first phase remain ongoing. It described later phases as building out functionality, including secondary trading using existing request-for-quote platforms and opening access to retail investors. The regulator added that experience from the pilot would inform any wider rollout.

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How investors access tokenized bonds without changing Demat structure

A key question for tokenized-market pilots is whether investors must rebuild their infrastructure. SEBI said tokenized bonds can be held in existing Demat accounts without opening a separate account or completing new KYC processes.

However, SEBI noted that participation still requires enablement of Demat 2.0 through an investor’s depository. On the settlement side, investors must also maintain a wholesale CBDC wallet with a participating bank to receive and settle payments under the pilot’s CBDC-connected workflow.

SEBI further characterized the approach as a combination of three elements: (1) bonds issued “natively on a distributed ledger,” (2) ownership records maintained by statutory depositories, and (3) settlement conducted in CBDCs within existing regulated market infrastructure. The regulator’s framing suggests the pilot is meant to reduce friction between new settlement mechanics and the established compliance and custody system investors already rely on.

What remains unchanged: legal status and investor protections

Tokenization can raise concerns about legal enforceability and consumer safeguards, especially when settlement technology shifts from traditional rails to blockchain-linked workflows. SEBI addressed this directly by stating that tokenization does not alter the legal status of the bonds, repayment obligations, or investor protections.

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That clarification matters for market participants evaluating risk: it implies the pilot is focused on changing how bonds are issued, recorded, and settled—rather than redefining the underlying contract or regulatory rights attached to the instruments. For issuers, the pitch is largely operational (faster funding and potential payment automation). For investors, the emphasis is on continuity of rights even as settlement infrastructure evolves.

As the first phase continues, the market will be watching whether SEBI’s promised advantages—same-day funding, atomic settlement behavior, and smooth automation of interest and redemption—hold up in practice. The next milestone will likely be how Demat 2.0 is extended toward secondary trading and broader investor access, and whether the pilot’s approach can scale without creating new operational bottlenecks.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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A ‘fly’ is now trading crypto and is only down 1%

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A 'fly' is now trading crypto and is only down 1%

The digital equivalent of a fly’s brain is now capable of trading BTC, ETH, USDC, and SOL on Coinbase.

Coinbase software engineer Alex Wormuth has created a simulation of a fly’s working brain and linked it to Coinbase’s AI agentic software, allow the “brain” to buy, sell, or hold crypto in response to live prices. 

So far, the fly’s overall returns are negative, losing almost a dollar after a day’s trading. 

It currently holds $59 worth of USDC, almost $5 worth of BTC, $17 of ETH, and $17 of SOL. 

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Read more: RIP Mr. Goxx, the crypto trading hamster who beat Bitcoin and Warren Buffet

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Researchers successfully map fly’s brain

This crypto bro fly is only possible thanks to a neuron graph released last week by Google and a team of scientists at the Howard Hughes Medical Institute Janelia Research Campus. 

They claimed to have mapped an adult male fruit fly’s brain and ventral nerve cord with 166,000 neurons and 125 million synaptic connections, making it “the largest brain map by number of neurons to date.”

The brain map, otherwise known as “connectome,” took 20 years to create.

An image of the detailed fly connectome shared by Google.

The research will help scientists better understand the brain’s ability to process complex behaviours, and study conditions such as Alzheimer’s, dementia, and schizophrenia.   

Developers are turning the fly bisexual

Now that the fly’s brain is accessible to the wider public, developers have taken it upon themselves to concoct even weirder scenarios for it. 

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One developer who goes by the username “Breg Grockman” claims to have taught the fly to parallel park a car.

In their simulation, the fly’s brain operates a 3D Mini Cooper S. It can supposedly carry out a three-point turn and is able to honk the horn. 

Read more: Anthropic’s AI doomsayer worked at Ripple

Grockman is also offering advertising space on the car, with two slots already being bought up by crypto traders promoting fly-themed memecoins “$FLYCOIN” and “$CARLA”

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The fly has also been trained by an AI game developer to solve a Rubik’s Cube, and another developer taught it to play Beat Saber.

Others claim to have exposed the brain to doomscrolling, and Wormuth’s latest project puts it in a Facebook-style stimulus scenario.

AI researcher Evan Sinclair Smith claims to have uploaded the brain into Minecraft and created an in-game fly for it to pilot.  

The strangest use case so far has been developed by AI developer Nico Christie, who claims to have “turned the fly bisexual” after blocking its “mAL output” and measuring its spike responses to female and male fly brains. 

The fly isn’t actually sentient

It’s worth noting that this isn’t some sentient fly’s consciousness uploaded to the internet.

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Smith noted that his Minecraft fly demo reconstructs the fly’s neural connections to adjust movements in the game, and that it’s just “an interactive way to explore a connectome, not evidence of consciousness or a complete recreation of a living fly.”

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Bitcoin and Gold Prices Crash As Core CPI Runs Hot

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Bitcoin and Gold Price Performance. Source: TradingView

US inflation delivered a mixed signal in August, with headline consumer prices matching expectations while underlying inflation came in hotter than economists forecast.

Bitcoin and Gold prices crashed in the immediate aftermath as the data adds fresh uncertainty for investors watching the Federal Reserve’s next policy move.

Bitcoin and Gold Price Performance. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin and Gold Price Performance. Source: TradingView

August CPI Report Shows Core Inflation Sticky

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, matching market expectations, while annual inflation climbed 3.4% year-over-year, also in line with forecasts.

However, the closely watched core CPI measure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3% month-over-month, above the 0.2% expected increase. Core inflation remained at 2.4% annually, matching forecasts.

The hotter monthly core reading may keep pressure on the Fed as policymakers assess whether inflation is continuing to ease enough to justify further interest-rate cuts.

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The post Bitcoin and Gold Prices Crash As Core CPI Runs Hot appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to deliver

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Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to deliver


Bitcoin’s golden cross may support the longer-term outlook, but history suggests much of the upside often occurs before the signal appears.

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ADA Price Forecast: Approaches Critical Support as Correction Risks Grow

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ADA Price Forecast: Approaches Critical Support as Correction Risks Grow

In Cardano news today, ADA trades at $0.205 as of this writing, down -4% on the day and still nursing a weekly loss north of -8%. Now, all eyes are on the crucial $0.2 support level, which hasn’t been lost since the beginning of September.

Derivatives data isn’t helping the bullish case. CoinGlass puts ADA’s long-to-short ratio at 0.91, near a one-month low, while the funding rate flipped negative on Friday to -0.0007%, shorts are now paying longs to stay positioned, a classic bearish tell.

CryptoQuant’s summary flags large whale orders building in futures even as both spot and futures markets show “heating” conditions, a combination that reads as cautious rather than confident.

ADA is consolidating just above its 50-day and 100-day EMAs at $0.198 and $0.200, with the 200-day EMA still capping upside at $0.241. For context, Bitcoin’s setup shows a comparable tug-of-war between support and resistance right now.

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Cardano News: Will ADA Hit $0.24 This Week or Will $0.20 Support Crumble?

ADA’s RSI sits near 50, balanced, not directional, while the MACD stays marginally negative below the zero line, suggesting bullish pressure exists but hasn’t committed. Volume hasn’t offered much conviction either.

The bull case: ADA holds the $0.198–$0.200 EMA cluster, reclaims $0.210 as support rather than resistance, and pushes toward the 61.8% Fib at $0.231 before testing the $0.236–$0.245 resistance band where the 200-day EMA lives. A clean break above that cluster would validate a trend reversal; anything short of it is just noise.

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The base case: continued chop between $0.198 and $0.213 as the market waits for a catalyst, with the September 15 Clarity Act vote cited as a potential volatility trigger for the broader altcoin space.

The bear case: a decisive close below $0.195 (the 38.2% Fib) opens the door to $0.173, and eventually the $0.150 horizontal floor. Traders watching correction risk should keep both scenarios on the radar; the market isn’t offering clean signals right now.

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LiquidChain Targets Early Mover Upside as Cardano Tests Key Levels

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ADA holders watching an -8% weekly drawdown, with resistance stacked overhead at $0.24, face a familiar problem: even a successful breakout targets a modest $0.30, and that’s the optimistic case.

At a market cap already in the billions, Cardano’s asymmetric upside is limited compared to projects still in price discovery. That’s where attention is shifting toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays.

LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is a Layer 3 infrastructure project building a unified execution environment that fuses Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single layer, a “deploy-once” architecture meant to let developers build once and reach all three ecosystems rather than fragmenting liquidity across chains.

The presale has raised $965,587.23 to date, with tokens currently priced at $0.014954. Core features include Single-Step Execution and Verifiable Settlement, both designed to remove the friction of cross-chain bridging.

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Trump Administration Proposes Cutting Grace Period for H-1B and Other Visas

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Trump Administration Proposes Cutting Grace Period for H-1B and Other Visas

Its removal would also reduce administrative work, as the existing rule states the DHS could skip or shorten the grace period at its discretion. According to the document, from Oct. 1, 2017, through May 20, 2026, the DHS calculated 1.9 million petitions or applications on which USCIS had to assess whether the 60-day period could have potentially applied.

A ripple effect

The DHS acknowledges that the policy changes would not only affect prospective employers but also families of the workers who may be forced to leave the U.S.

The proposal could also affect the immigration status of dependents of H-1B visa holders. Immigration advocacy group FWD.us estimates about 730,000 H-1B visa holders living in the U.S., plus 550,000 dependents, including spouses and children.

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But according to the proposal, the department says it believes “the harm of the up to 60-day discretionary grace period outweighs the potential benefit it provides to the impacted aliens and employers, the alien’s dependents, and the community at large.”

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Compound Opens Institutional Market With 87% LTV

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Compound Foundation Names Coinbase And Anchorage Alumni To Run $52 Million Institutional Push


Compound Foundation has opened a USDC lending market that takes ETH, wstETH, WBTC and cbBTC at loan-to-value ratios of up to 87%, three weeks after relaunching the protocol around institutional credit. The Institutional Market is the first product out of the $52 million program COMP holders… Read the full story at The Defiant

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