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Bitcoin’s Next Fed Test Is Today’s FOMC Meeting: Will $75K Hold?

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Markets are pricing roughly a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting, according to the Danske Research Team.

The team revised its own call this week and now expects that outcome. For Bitcoin watchers, the key distinction is between market expectations and a confirmed policy decision: the hike is still expected, but it has not yet been delivered.

The research team says tightening now likely represents the path of least resistance, given current market pricing and its longstanding view that rate hikes are eventually on the horizon.

At the same time, it does not regard the decision as completely settled. That leaves the meeting relevant not only for the headline rate decision, but also for the details released alongside it.

Readers following FOMC odds into the September rate decision should distinguish between the reported 90% probability and any broader claims about how Bitcoin or other assets are positioned. The supplied research supports the market-pricing estimate, but it does not provide a verified assessment of Bitcoin positioning, leverage, or current price action.

Will the Expected Hike Be the Main Bitcoin Catalyst?

FOMC odds put a September Fed hike at 90%, but Bitcoin watchers must also track the vote, dot plot and updated economic projections closely.
SOURCE: Kalshi

The Danske Research Team identifies the FOMC meeting as the week’s main US event. Alongside its expected 25-basis-point hike, the team expects the Fed to publish updated economic projections and a fresh set of rate projections, commonly called the dot plot.

The vote itself is also worth watching. Danske Research Team expects two or three dissenters in favor of holding rates, even as it maintains its call for a hike. That expectation underscores that the meeting is not a done deal. The final decision and any recorded dissents will provide the clearest evidence of how the committee resolved that tension.

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The projections also carry an expected qualification. The team still expects the FOMC to publish the dots even if Fed official Warsh again chooses not to submit personal rate-path views. If that happens, the published material would still be available, but it would not include Warsh’s personal submission.

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What the Fed FOMC Signal Could Mean for Bitcoin

For Bitcoin-focused market analysis, the meeting presents several elements to monitor: the rate decision, the vote count, updated economic projections, and the dot plot.

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Available evidence shows that the market strongly expects a hike and that projections and dots are expected to be published. It does not establish a specific Bitcoin reaction to any of those elements.

Commentary about the dot plot, future policy language, or a possible press-conference message should therefore be treated as market interpretation rather than a conclusion supplied by the primary research.

Likewise, it would be premature to describe any particular outcome as bullish or bearish for Bitcoin without independently verified market evidence.

The immediate question is not whether market pricing confirms it. It does not. The reported probability reflects expectations ahead of the meeting, while the FOMC’s decision will determine the actual policy outcome. The same caution applies to claims about risk assets, crypto-market volatility, or how fully expectations are reflected in trading activity.

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Coinbase risks larger impact after CLARITY Act setback, Saxo says

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Crypto Breaking News

Crypto-linked equities slid again after the U.S. Senate failed to move forward the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act through a key procedural vote, leaving the bill’s timeline in serious doubt. According to Yahoo Finance data cited in coverage, shares of Coinbase, Circle, and Strategy continued to trade lower into Wednesday.

While the selloff affected multiple parts of the crypto market, Saxo Bank said the impact is not uniform—exchange operators like Coinbase face a more direct regulatory exposure because market-structure rules can shape registration requirements, eligible assets, and who is allowed to participate in U.S. crypto markets.

Key takeaways

  • Saxo Bank highlighted Coinbase as the most directly exposed company to CLARITY because market-structure provisions could determine its core trading operating model in the U.S.
  • Circle’s exposure is more closely tied to U.S. stablecoin adoption and earnings from reserves, while Strategy’s performance depends primarily on its Bitcoin holdings and financing.
  • The CLARITY Act failed a procedural vote on Tuesday (49-50), falling short of the 60 votes required to advance.
  • Ethics provisions remained a major sticking point even after last-minute concessions.
  • The Senate’s limited remaining calendar before the Nov. 3 midterm elections and Dec. 18 adjournment creates a narrow window for any revival of the legislation this year.

Why the bill matters more for exchanges

In a Wednesday note, Saxo strategist Ruben Dalfovo argued that exchanges may be more vulnerable to CLARITY’s final shape than other crypto-linked businesses. The reason is straightforward: if Congress adopts “market-structure” rules, those provisions can influence whether firms must register in particular ways, what assets can be traded, and the conditions under which investors and participants can access U.S. crypto markets.

“Coinbase is most exposed to clearer market rules because trading and crypto participation directly affect its business,” Dalfovo wrote.

That distinction is important for investors trying to parse a sector-wide move after procedural legislative setbacks. Even though the same headline—CLARITY failing to advance—hit crypto stocks broadly, Saxo’s framework suggests the regulatory “transmission mechanism” differs by business model.

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Different exposures across Coinbase, Circle, and Strategy

Saxo’s note separated the companies into different regulatory sensitivities.

Circle’s business, Dalfovo said, is more tightly linked to adoption of its U.S. dollar stablecoin, USDC. The firm’s revenue dynamics are also connected to interest earned on its reserves—so stablecoin-related policy developments and the broader environment for regulated stablecoins may matter more for Circle than exchange-specific rules.

For Strategy, Saxo described exposure as primarily driven by its Bitcoin holdings and financing structure. In other words, the company’s near-term performance is less about trading-market participation rules and more about its capital structure and BTC exposure.

Despite these differing exposures, the market still reacted as a group. Cointelegraph reported that shares of the three companies fell between 5% and 10% after the Senate procedural vote, even though the potential implications for each business are not identical. Early Wednesday trading continued the pressure, with Coinbase, Circle, and Strategy down between 2% and 6% according to Yahoo Finance data.

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The procedural defeat and the ethics hurdle

CLARITY’s setback came on Tuesday when senators voted 49-50 against invoking cloture on a motion to proceed. That procedural step is often crucial because it limits further debate and allows a bill to move toward consideration on the Senate floor. In this case, it fell far short of the 60 votes needed.

According to the reporting referenced in the article, ethics provisions remained a major sticking point. Even with last-minute concessions aimed at addressing concerns over public officials’ crypto-related interests, lawmakers did not reach consensus sufficient to move the bill forward.

This matters because procedural votes are frequently treated by markets as a signal about whether legislative momentum exists. When cloture fails, the practical likelihood of reaching a final vote can drop sharply—especially in a shorter session with competing priorities.

Narrow time window in the Senate

The failure also significantly narrows the bill’s prospects for the rest of this Congress. The Senate has a limited legislative calendar around the Nov. 3 midterm elections and is targeting Dec. 18 for adjournment, which leaves fewer opportunities to revive the bill and schedule additional votes before the current term ends.

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In practical terms, that creates uncertainty for firms and investors that have been watching CLARITY as a potential source of clarity. The bill is not just “on or off” but may effectively move into a delayed or uncertain future depending on whether new negotiations can overcome the ethics concerns.

For exchange operators in particular, the stakes are tightly linked to how market-structure rules ultimately land—because those rules can determine operating requirements and trading scope. For stablecoin issuers, the policy pathway may be more about adoption and reserve treatment, while for Bitcoin treasury companies the key variable remains the interplay between crypto regulation and their BTC-focused strategies.

Going forward, traders and investors will likely watch whether CLARITY returns to the agenda before the end-of-year deadline, and whether the Senate can reach a workable compromise on the ethics language that stalled the cloture vote.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Entertainment

Mormon Wives’ Whitney, Mikayla, Mayci Reunite With Demi

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Where Does Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Couple Stand

Whitney Leavitt just staged an unexpected MomTok reunion!

Former and current Secret Lives of Mormon Wives cast members came together on Tuesday, September 15, to cheer on Whitney’s husband, Conner Leavitt, at the season 35 premiere of Dancing With the Stars.

Whitney shared a video via TikTok in support of Conner, which featured fellow MomTok members Mayci Neeley and Mikayla Matthews — and former costar Demi Engemann.

“Mommy needed some back up 😛👀,” Whitney, 33, wrote over the video as she tried to rally viewer votes for Conner, 32, during Tuesday’s DWTS season premiere.

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Where Does Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Couple Stand


Related: ‘Mormon Wives’ Couples Status Check: Who Is Still Together? Who Broke Up?

For some The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives couples, going on a reality TV show made their marriage stronger — while others crumbled under the pressure. When Hulu debuted The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives in September 2024, viewers were introduced to Jen Affleck and husband Zac Affleck, Demi Engemann and husband Bret Engemann, Whitney […]

She captioned the post, “MOMTOK RIDES AT DAWN!!”

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Despite Whitney bringing MomTok stars past and present together to support her husband, Conner was the first contestant eliminated from DWTS season 35 alongside professional partner Adele Zaikman.

Demi, 31, left Mormon Wives during production on season 4, which aired in March, amid scrutiny over what happened between her and Marciano Brunette when they filmed Vanderpump Villa in 2024.

Demi previously accused Marciano of “unwanted touch” during production of the show in Italy. Marciano, 33, later filed a lawsuit against Demi, accusing her of damaging his reputation by claiming he was a “sexual predator.”

“The truth is straightforward. Engemann and Marciano met while filming in Italy. They flirted. They spoke privately. They shared a consensual kiss. They separated,” Marciano’s lawsuit, filed in December 2025, read. “After filming, Engemann stayed in contact with Marciano for months through calls, FaceTime, texts, invitations, and even location sharing. That behavior confirms a continued relationship, not a person reacting to sexual assault.”

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Marciano and Demi settled the lawsuit out of court in August.

“Demi Engemann, [Mormon Wives producers] Jeff Jenkins Productions LLC, and Marciano Brunette have reached an agreement out of court resolving all claims among them,” a spokesperson for Demi told Us at the time. “The parties will have no further comment on the matter.”

Demi appeared on the first three seasons of Mormon Wives, costarring alongside Whitney, Mayci, Mikayla, Taylor Frankie Paul, Layla Taylor, Jen Affleck and Miranda McWhorter, who joined the cast in season 2.

1713390564V1 Taylor Frankie Paul Reveals Support from Mormon Wives Cast

“Mormon Wives” cast.
Disney/Fred Hayes

Whitney announced her departure from the show earlier this year, concluding her stint with the show’s recently aired fifth season.

Earlier this week, Mikayla, 26, confirmed her exit midway through production on season 6, citing Taylor’s involvement in the new season despite recent personal and legal issues.

“I’ve said from the beginning of this that I’m not comfortable being a part of something that continues to platform behavior I don’t agree especially given my own experience growing up in a home with multiple forms of abuse,” Mikayla said via Instagram. “There’s no amount of money worth going against my morals or changing the stance I’ve had since I first saw and heard the things that made me feel this strongly.”

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Flo Milli, Coi Leray, Daniel Kaluuya, Leon Thomas & Claressa Shields Celebrate NYFW at ESSENCE Fashion House

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Flo Milli Coi Leray Daniel Kaluuya Leon Thomas Claressa Shields Celebrate NYFW At ESSENCE Fashion House Image0011

NYFW might be about the runways, but the parties are where fashion, music and culture collide—and ESSENCE Fashion House brought all three.

Flo Milli Coi Leray Daniel Kaluuya Leon Thomas Claressa Shields Celebrate NYFW At ESSENCE Fashion House Image0011

Held at Jean’s in New York City, the celebration drew a fashionable crowd including Coi Leray, Daniel Kaluuya, Leon Thomas, Claressa Shields, Key Glock, Sydney Colson, Brandon Blackwood, Bernard James, Tia Adeola, Fe Noel, Romeo Hunte, Bruce and Glen Proctor and more.

Flo Milli Coi Leray Daniel Kaluuya Leon Thomas Claressa Shields Celebrate NYFW At ESSENCE Fashion House Image003

Style icon Va$htie Kola kicked off the night behind the decks before Flo Milli took the stage for a special performance. Mellow Domingo later kept the party moving into the early hours.

Flo Milli Coi Leray Daniel Kaluuya Leon Thomas Claressa Shields Celebrate NYFW At ESSENCE Fashion House Image002

The room offered its own snapshot of contemporary culture, with designers mingling with musicians, actors rubbing shoulders with athletes, and some of fashion’s most recognizable creatives trading the runway for the dance floor.

Flo Milli Coi Leray Daniel Kaluuya Leon Thomas Claressa Shields Celebrate NYFW At ESSENCE Fashion House Image0041

Guests also stopped by presenting partner smartwater’s Hydration Station, while beauty favorites from Fenty Beauty, Mielle, HAUS LABS, MAKEUP BY MARIO, The Honey Pot and more filled the evening’s curated gift bags.

Between Va$htie on the decks, Flo Milli onstage and a room filled with fashion’s movers and shakers, ESSENCE Fashion House proved that some of NYFW’s best moments happen after the runway lights go down.

What do you think?

Photo Credit: Getty Images for ESSENCE

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Robinhood CEO Caught ‘Physically Squirming’ When Asked About Crypto Tokenization on CNBC

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Robinhood CEO Caught 'Physically Squirming' When Asked About Crypto Tokenization on CNBC



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TimeStamps:
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01:41 Robinhood CEO CNBC Interview
04:14 Vlad Caught Physically Squirming
07:42 Tokenization is Inevitable
09:19 Join AI Trade Wars, $100K prize pool)

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#Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #News #Ethereum #Invest #Metaverse #Crypto #Cardano #Binance #Chainlink #Polygon #Altcoin #Altcoins #DeFi #CNBC #Solana

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***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! JUST OPINION! I AM NOT AN EXPERT! I DO NOT GUARANTEE A PARTICULAR OUTCOME I HAVE NO INSIDE KNOWLEDGE! YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT! USE ALTCOIN DAILY AS A STARTING OFF POINT!

Bitunix, WEEX, Binance are exchange partners for the channel.

*The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.

Disclosures of Material holdings:
Most of my crypto portfolio is Bitcoin, then Ethereum, but I hold many cryptocurrencies, possibly ones discussed in this video.

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Material holdings over $5000 (in no particular order): BTC, ETH, SOL, DOT, SUPER, LINK, LMWR, HEART, BORG, ONDO, SUPRA, WMTx, RSC, ATH, TAO.

This information is what was found publicly on the internet. This information could’ve been doctored or misrepresented by the internet. All information is meant for public awareness and is public domain. This information is not intended to slander harm or defame any of the actors involved but to show what was said through their social media accounts. Please take this information and do your own research.

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Man Utd vs Brighton LIVE: Carabao Cup match stream, latest team news, lineups, TV, prediction

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Man Utd vs Brighton LIVE: Carabao Cup match stream, latest team news, lineups, TV, prediction

Brighton only made it as far as the fourth round last time out, losing to eventual finalists Arsenal, and Fabian Hurzeler will be keen for a sustained cup run. He has his work cut out for him, though, with as many as ten first-team players including Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma set to miss out through injury at Old Trafford. The youngster JJ Gabriel will miss out for United, though, after putting in a transfer request.

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Trimming investment holdings for beginners: what it means and when to do it

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Russian spies using crypto and Telegram to incite chaos across Europe

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Russian spies using crypto and Telegram to incite chaos across Europe

Russian spies are using Telegram and crypto to entice teenagers and young adults across Europe to carry out acts of sabotage and violence.

That’s according to a study released by the Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD) and shared with the i Paper

The study revealed that Russian actors are targeting teenagers and young adults via a network of Telegram groups called “com networks” in which participants compete for clout by uploading harmful content.

I Paper discovered two clips shared in these groups took place in the UK. In one instance, someone filmed themselves smashing a car that belonged to a care worker. 

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Read more: Russia offered crypto to firebomb Sir Keir Starmer’s home, report

Another showed what appears to be the same person throwing a brick through the window of a house.

One week after these incidents, Ukrainian police arrested two young boys, aged 11 and 15, who were allegedly planning to attack their school with guns and explosives “on the orders of the Russian Federation.”

The Security Service of Ukraine described these incidents as a Russian intelligence operation.

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According to the ISD, there are “multiple indicators suggesting possible Russian state-linked support” for parts of the network, and organizers “mirror established Russian methods for recruiting ‘disposable agents’ for violence abroad.”

The study’s author, Steven Rai, claims they’ve seen the Russia-linked Telegram chats offer crypto for arson attacks, and that these payments within the com networks are “completely new.” 

An all-encompassing umbrella group made up of a collection of these Telegram networks claims it wants to bring participants of different views together with “one goal” to cause chaos. 

One part of this collective claims to be allied with Direct Action, a Russian-manufactured far-right group that organised the fire bombing of former UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer’s house.

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In this case, thousands of dollars worth of the stablecoin USDT was reportedly offered to a 22-year-old Ukrainian in return for carrying out the attacks in the hopes of attracting press coverage. 

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Man United v Brighton LIVE: Latest team news, line-ups and more from Carabao Cup

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How can I watch it?

Fans in the UK can watch the match for free on ITV1, with coverage starting at 7:30pm BST. Viewers can also stream the game on ITVX.

Alternatively, fans can watch the match on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Football, with coverage starting at 7pm BST. If you’re not a Sky customer, you can grab a NOWTV Day Pass here to watch without a subscription.

Mike Jones16 September 2026 17:42

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When is Man United vs Brighton?

Manchester United’s clash with Brighton in the Carabao Cup kicks off at 8pm BST on Wednesday 16 September at Old Trafford.

Tonight’s match between Man Utd and Brighton takes place at Old Trafford
Tonight’s match between Man Utd and Brighton takes place at Old Trafford (Reuters)

Mike Jones16 September 2026 17:36

Manchester United vs Brighton

With just four points from their opening four games, United will hope for a change of fortunes against the Seagulls, who knocked them out of the FA Cup on home soil last season.

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Mike Jones16 September 2026 17:30

Good evening!

Welcome to The Independent’s coverage of tonight’s Carabao Cup action which sees Manchester United host Brighton in the third round of the competition.

Michael Carrick’s side haven’t had the best start to the season, and lost the Manchester derby on Sunday, so they will want to impress and advance in the cup in a bid to build some momentum.

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Brighton, meanwhile, are playing with confidence and come to Old Trafford on the back of a 5-0 hammering over Coventry. The Seagulls are in good and it would not be surprising if they were to progress tonight.

We’ll have all the action, team news and updates throughout the evening so stick with us as we build up to kick off at 8pm.

Mike Jones16 September 2026 15:21

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SK Hynix talks to Intel about making RAM chips on U.S. soil

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Apple supplier SK Hynix allegedly wants to start producing memory on U.S. soil, and it’s asking for help from Intel to make it happen.

The global memory crisis is causing companies to pay high prices for the chips, while producers make plans to expand production. The situation may result in the unusual move by SK Hynix to bring RAM manufacturing to an entirely new continent.

According to sources of Reuters on September 16, SK Hynix is in talks with processor maker Intel over plans to make memory in the United States.

The sources say that SK Hynix could potentially lease a section of Intel’s planned Ohio facility. There’s also the prospect of SK Hynix creating a joint venture with Intel and AI companies that are consuming memory supplies on future production.

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The talks are described as exploratory in nature, and no plans have been set in stone. Other deal structures are also being planned.

While the prospect of more memory production sounds great under the current economic climate, any agreement with Intel about its Ohio production won’t be immediately helpful. Nor will it be for years.

Intel floated the plan to build the $20 billion facility in 2022, and originally intended to open the first by 2025. However, they are now planned to be completed between 2030 and 2032.

SK Hynix’s own plans to massively expand its memory production locally also won’t help anytime soon. Announced in August 2026, the $38.3 billion effort will make two new semiconductor fabrication plants in South Korea, but that won’t conclude until 2029.

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Political good, political bad

The move could be a considerable win for the United States and the Trump Administration, which wants to increase US-based production.

Back in June, the administration claimed a massive win by saying Intel was making chips for Apple. SK Hynix memory production would be considered another victory, especially as it is a supplier for Apple products.

However, this would depend on SK Hynix being allowed to make such a deal in the first place. Sources say that the South Korean government could step in and block such an initiative due to the sensitivity of the technologies.

A role reversal

If SK Hynix and Intel do make some form of deal, it would complete one capitalistic circle of sorts.

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In 2020, SK Hynix bought Intel’s NAND SSD business, NSND component and wafer business, and a Dalian NAND memory manufacturing facility in China. At the time, Intel retained its Optane business.

At the time, the transaction cost SK Hynix $9 billion.

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