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Rockets vs. Heat prediction, odds, spread, line, time: 2026 NBA picks for Saturday, Feb. 28

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The Houston Rockets look to win their fourth game in a row when they battle the Miami Heat in a key NBA matchup on Saturday. Houston is coming off a 113-108 win at Orlando on Thursday, while Miami dropped a 124-117 decision at Philadelphia that same night. The Rockets (37-21), who are second in the Southwest Division, are 17-14 on the road this season. The Heat (31-29), who are second in the Southeast Division, are 17-11 on their home floor. Jabari Smith (ankle) is out for Houston, while Miami will be without Nikola Jovic (back) and Norman Powell (groin).

Tipoff from Kaseya Center in Miami is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Heat lead the all-time series 42-34, including wins in nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Rockets vs. Heat odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 225.5. Before making any Heat vs. Rockets picks, check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets if your first $5+ bet wins:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered Week 19 on a sizzling 38-18 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has simulated Rockets vs. Heat 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Rockets:

Rockets vs. Heat spread:    

Houston -3.5 at DraftKings    

Rockets vs. Heat over/under:    

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225.5 points

Rockets vs. Heat money line:    

Houston -148, Miami +124

Rockets vs. Heat picks:    

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See picks at SportsLine

Rockets vs. Heat streaming:

Prime

New users can also target the latest Underdog promo code CBSSPORTS2, good for $75 in fantasy bonus entries when you play $5 in select states.

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Top Rockets vs. Heat predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Rockets vs. Heat, SportsLine’s model is going Over on the total (225.5). The Over has hit in five of the past eight head-to-head matchups between the teams. The Over has hit in each of the past three Houston games, and in four of the last five Miami games. The Rockets are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. The Heat, meanwhile, are 6-4 ATS in their last 10.

The SportsLine model is projecting the Rockets’ Kevin Durant to score 26.8 points on average and be one of five Houston players to score 12.5 or more points. The Heat’s Tyler Herro, meanwhile, is projected to have 19.8 points as five Miami players score 10.7 points or more. The teams are projected to combine for 233 points.

How to make Heat vs. Rockets picks

The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks

So who wins Heat vs. Rockets, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rockets vs. Heat spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

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6 keys for rolling your lag putts within gimme range

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Report: Mavericks converting Canada’s Ryan Nembhard to standard NBA contract

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Another Canadian appears to be sticking around the NBA for the foreseeable future.

A native of Aurora, Ont., the 22-year-old was on a two-way contract with the Mavericks this season after going undrafted in June 2025. Ryan’s older brother is Andrew Nembhard, a starting guard for the Indiana Pacers and a Canadian senior men’s national team member.

Since making his way to Dallas, the younger Nembhard has quickly shown why he was considered one of the NCAA’s top floor generals over his four collegiate seasons.

Through 38 appearances in the NBA, Nembhard is averaging 6.7 points, 1.8 rebounds and 4.9 assists, while shooting 37.9 per cent from beyond the arc. The Gonzaga product’s assist ratio per 100 possessions is the fifth-highest in the NBA among players to have made at least 30 appearances, right behind Toronto Raptors sophomore and backup point guard Jamal Shead.

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Nembhard has also been a serviceable fill-in as a starter, stepping into the first five on 17 occasions in his first NBA season, averaging 9.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 6.1 assists, while shooting 44.4 per cent from distance. He’s also been productive in the G League, averaging 23.0 points, 4.2 rebounds, 10.5 assists and 1.0 steals through six games with the Texas Legends.

Before joining the Mavs on a two-way deal, Nembhard built a decorated resume at the college level. From Big East freshman of the year (2021) with Creighton, to a two-time All-WCC first-teamer with Gonzaga (2024, 2025), and then leading the NCAA in assists as a senior. Nembhard, like his older brother, has also represented Canada at the international level, earning bronze at the FIBA U-19 World Cup.

And while the Mavericks sort out a guard rotation — while Kyrie Irving continues to rehab from injury — next to rookie phenom Cooper Flagg, it appears Nembhard has done enough to be part of that conversation moving forward.

According to ESPN’s Shams Charania, the Mavericks’ decision to waive Tyus Jones less than a day prior to Saturday’s news was made to create a roster spot for Nembhard and his new two-year NBA deal.

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Donald Trump unhappy with FBI director Kash Patel over controversial Olympic locker-room celebration: Report

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FBI Director Kash Patel’s locker room celebration with the U.S. men’s hockey team at the Milan-Cortina Winter Olympics has landed him in hot water with President Donald Trump, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Videos of Patel celebrating in the locker room surfaced following Team USA’s 2-1 overtime victory against Canada which marked the first American men’s hockey gold medal since the legendary 1980 “Miracle on Ice.” The footage captured Patel chugging beer, banging on tables and joining in raucous celebrations with the players.

However, Trump has repeatedly expressed his disappointment to Patel about the incident, a person familiar with the conversation revealed to NBC News. The president was also displeased with Patel’s use of a government jet to travel to Italy for the Olympics.

“Trump — who does not drink — told Patel he was unhappy not only with that scene, but also with Patel’s use of government aircraft for the trip to Milan, Italy, according to the person familiar with the matter,” NBC News reported.

The timing of the trip raised eyebrows as it coincided with a shooting incident at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida where an armed individual breached the security perimeter. Though Trump was not present during the incident, critics questioned whether the FBI director should have been abroad during such a significant security event.


Kash Patel defended his Olympic attendance

Patel has defended his presence at the Olympics stating the trip served official purposes beyond athletic spectating. He maintained that he met with Italian law enforcement and U.S. agencies providing security for the international event as well as overseeing protection for the estimated 250,000 American citizens who traveled to Milan.

“For the very concerned media — yes, I love America and was extremely humbled when my friends, the newly minted Gold Medal winners on Team USA, invited me into the locker room to celebrate this historic moment with the boys,” Patel wrote on X following the controversy.

The FBI declined to comment on Trump’s reported displeasure. White House spokeswoman Abigail Jackson issued a statement emphasizing the administration’s confidence in Patel and highlighting crime rates “dropping across the board” as evidence of successful implementation of the president’s law enforcement agenda.

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This is not the first time Patel has faced scrutiny over his use of FBI aircraft. Senator Dick Durbin, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Judiciary Committee previously requested that the Justice Department’s inspector general investigate what he characterized as Patel’s “misuse or mismanagement of government resources.”