Crypto World
Buying Bitcoin? Hold at least 3 years to avoid losses, data shows
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has repeatedly tested patient investors, and a long-hold thesis appears increasingly robust when examined through multi-year price histories. A Bitwise Europe study looking at BTC’s price data from mid-2010 through early 2026 finds that the odds of ending a multi-year position in the red shrink dramatically as the holding window extends. In particular, three-year holders show a loss probability of just 0.70%, with even smaller risk over longer horizons. The findings map onto a broader narrative: while near-term volatility and macro headwinds persist, the longest-dated exposure has historically delivered favorable outcomes for those who ride out cycles. The debate around price targets for 2026–2027 remains lively among analysts and researchers, with forecasts ranging widely.
Key takeaways
- A three-year BTC holding has a 0.70% chance of ending in loss; five-year horizons drop to 0.2%, and ten-year horizons sit at 0% based on the Bitwise Europe dataset covering July 2010–Feb. 11, 2026.
- Shorter horizons carry higher risk: intraday BTC positions were 47.1% underwater, with the probability staying elevated at 44.7% over one week, 43.2% over one month, and 24.3% over a one-year window.
- As of a recent Saturday, BTC traded near $65,000 after a roughly 50% decline from the October 2025 peak; the three-to-five year realized price sits around $34,780, meaning long-hold investors in that window remain roughly 90% in profit.
- Cost-basis insights show the depth of drawdowns varied by holding period: those in the 6–12 month band carried a cost basis near $101,250, while the 1–2 year cohort hovered around $78,150, illustrating how longer horizons dampen drawdowns during corrections.
- Forecasts for 2026–2027 remain divergent. Bernstein has kept a bullish target of $150,000 for 2026, while Standard Chartered warns of potential downside toward $50,000 amid weak ETF flows before a recovery toward $100,000 by year-end. Timothy Peterson’s framework points to around $122,000 by early 2027, with odds skewing toward a level above that mark. Some analysts even flag a scenario where a drop toward $30,000 could intensify, should negative forces persist.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC
Market context: The analysis arrives as the macro backdrop and spot-Bitcoin ETF dynamics shape liquidity and sentiment. While near-term moves remain volatile, the data emphasize a structural resilience for long-duration exposure, complicating calls that rely solely on short- or medium-term price actions.
Why it matters
The central takeaway for investors weighing risk and time horizons is that holding Bitcoin for longer stretches has historically reduced downside risk. The Bitwise Europe analysis synthesizes decades of price history to illustrate a simple trade-off: time in the market tends to smooth out volatility and limit losses, even as drawdowns occur along the way. For market participants who favor patient exposure over quick wins, the results reinforce the strategic value of a multi-year horizon when assessing BTC’s risk profile.
But the narrative is nuanced. While long-hold cohorts show impressive downside resistance, shorter-term traders faced meaningful drawdowns during correction cycles. The intraday and weekly metrics underscore that market timing remains a challenging game. Investors who entered positions within the last year or two found themselves under considerable pressure during bear-market rallies and capitulation phases. The realized-price framework adds another layer: even as Bitcoin’s price dips, the difference between current levels and multi-year realized prices can offer a proxy for whether a given entry remains profitable on a longer horizon.
What to watch next
- Track ETF flows and price action around key levels: Bernstein notes modest net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs (around 7%), a dynamic that could influence near-term price action.
- Watch for potential downside catalysts: some scenarios point to BTC testing the $30,000 region if macro and ETF dynamics worsen further, which would compress the cushion for long-term holders.
- Observe longer-horizon projections evolving: Peterson’s model suggests roughly $122,000 by early 2027, while other analysts maintain targets near six figures or higher depending on liquidity conditions and risk sentiment.
- Monitor realized-price indicators as a gauge of profitability across aging cohorts: data from Glassnode’s realized-price-by-age charts help contextualize whether current prices justify holding or adding to positions over time.
Sources & verification
- Bitwise Europe research lead Andre Dragosch’s data referencing BTC price history from July 17, 2010, to February 11, 2026, showing loss probabilities by holding period. Link: X post.
- Glassnode data on BTC realized price by age, used to illustrate realized-profit dynamics across holding windows: Realized price by age.
- Bernstein’s price target for Bitcoin at $150,000 in 2026: Bernstein analysis.
- Standard Chartered commentary on ETF flows and BTC price implications, including a potential move toward $50,000 and a recovery toward $100,000 by end-2026: Standard Chartered note.
- Timothy Peterson’s historical price-metric projection of around $122,000 by early 2027: Peterson model.
- Analyses discussing a potential price bottom around $30,000: BTC to $30k discussion.
Market reaction and key details
Bitcoin’s long-hold resilience narrative sits at the intersection of empirical price histories and forward-looking forecasts. The Bitwise Europe findings underscore a fundamental principle of risk management in crypto: time can be a mitigating factor against pronounced drawdowns, particularly for assets with long and volatile price trajectories like BTC. As of the latest data points, the price remains well above the 3–5 year realized-price band, suggesting investors who carried positions across that horizon stayed financially advantaged despite recent declines. Yet, with near-term price action vulnerable to ETF flow shifts and macro surprises, the timing of new entries or additions warrants careful consideration.
What this means for investors and the market
For builders and institutions, the message is clear: a multi-year exposure approach continues to be a meaningful risk management lever, provided entrants understand that near-term volatility can erase short-term gains. For traders and retail participants, the findings reinforce the importance of horizon management—knowing when to trim, when to accumulate, and how to interpret realized-price signals that contextualize profitability over time. As the debate over BTC’s fair value stretches into 2027, the balance between outflows from ETF products, macro momentum, and the technical price regime will increasingly shape the space. The data do not guarantee outcomes, but they do illuminate how holding patterns have historically influenced risk and reward in one of crypto’s most scrutinized markets.
What to watch next
- ETF flow dynamics and their impact on spot BTC liquidity (watch for updates on net inflows/outflows and price correlation).
- Key downside risk scenarios, including any approach toward the $30,000 level and the subsequent implications for longer-term holders.
- Updated price targets for 2026–2027 from major analysts, including revisions to mid- or high-five-figure forecasts.
- New data from realized-price analyses that track aging cohorts, offering updated insight into profitability by holding window.
Rewritten article: Understanding the enduring appeal of patience in BTC
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has long been framed as a volatile asset class that tests the nerves of investors seeking quick profits. Yet, a synthesis of long-run price history and contemporary market dynamics suggests that the most durable gains may accrue to those who commit to time rather than timing. The Bitwise Europe analysis, which combs through BTC’s price journey from 2010 to early 2026, indicates a striking pattern: the longer you ride the cycle, the less likely you are to sit on losses. Specifically, a three-year holding period yields a loss probability of just 0.70%, while five-year and ten-year windows reduce the risk even further to 0.2% and 0%, respectively.
To put those figures into perspective, the risk calculus for traders who enter BTC positions with shorter horizons is markedly more precarious. Intraday entries show nearly half the time ending underwater, with 47.1% of positions in negative territory. The risk persists, albeit at different magnitudes, over one week (44.7%), one month (43.2%), and even a year (24.3%). These numbers illuminate a pattern: the shorter the time frame, the greater the exposure to abrupt price moves and regime shifts. It helps explain why many seasoned crypto investors emphasize patience and disciplined risk management as essential components of a successful strategy in this space.
The price action context is equally important. As of a recent Saturday, BTC traded around $65,000, roughly half its October 2025 high. Yet the longer-term perspective remains constructive when contrasted with realized-prices: the 3–5 year realized price sits near $34,780, implying that participants who bought around that window and held through the recent drawdown were still sitting on about a 90% profit. This contrast between current market price and multi-year realization offers a tangible signal for investors evaluating whether to add to positions or hold steady through volatility. The historical frame invites readers to consider not just where Bitcoin is today, but where it has been over the last decade and how those cycles tested the resilience of long-term holders.
Forecasts for the 2026–2027 horizon remain divergent, reflecting the many moving parts that drive crypto markets. Bernstein has maintained a bold target of $150,000 for Bitcoin in 2026, arguing that relatively modest outflows from spot-Bitcoin ETFs could sustain a price trajectory higher, even as the asset retrenched by roughly 50% from its prior peak. The analysts characterized the current price action as a “crisis of confidence,” suggesting that sentiment rather than fundamentals is a primary swing factor in the near term. On the other side of the ledger, Standard Chartered has warned of a possible “final capitulation” phase that could pull BTC toward $50,000, driven by weak ETF flows and a softer macro backdrop, before restoring momentum toward the $100,000 mark by year-end 2026. Timothy Peterson’s framework, which leverages a historical average-return approach, points to around $122,000 by early 2027, with a substantial likelihood of trading above that level.
Beyond these headlines, a broader data story centers on the aging of holders and the corresponding realized-price dynamics. Glassnode’s charts of realized price by age underscore a recurring pattern: the cost basis and drawdown profiles depend heavily on how long investors have held their BTC. The 6–12 month cohort, for instance, shows a cost basis near $101,250, translating to about a 35% unrealized loss at a given snapshot, while the 1–2 year cohort sits closer to $78,150, implying roughly a 15% unrealized loss. The practical takeaway is that longer holding horizons tend to dampen the severity of corrections, a trend that aligns with the three-year risk reductions highlighted in the Bitwise analysis. For readers tracking the macro picture, the conversation about ETF flows, risk sentiment, and regulatory signals remains essential, as these factors are likely to influence whether the market shakes off or sustains the next leg higher.
Looking ahead, the path for Bitcoin remains as much about risk management as about price discovery. The consensus between long-hold data and bearish risk scenarios suggests a bifurcated market: patient investors could ride out volatility and exit with meaningful gains, while shorter-term traders might face amplified drawdowns if macro or policy dynamics tilt unfavorably. As with prior cycles, the market’s future hinges on how liquidity, sentiment, and structural demand—whether via ETFs or institutional participation—interact with the entrenched volatility that has defined BTC since its inception. In that context, the discipline of holding—paired with vigilant risk assessment—appears to be the most durable approach for navigating Bitcoin’s evolving landscape.
The Stripe-backed Tempo blockchain gained a pair of heavyweight validators in Visa (V) and Zodia Custody, the crypto custodian majority owned by Standard Chartered (STAN).
Alongside Stripe, Visa and Zodia will participate in the Tempo blockchain by maintaining network security and verifying transactions.
Visa, a long-time collaborator of the payments services provider, configured and managed the validator node entirely in-house, following six months of joint work with Tempo’s engineering team to integrate the card giant’s infrastructure directly into the blockchain, according to a press release.
Visa plans to run nodes on some other blockchains following the Tempo integration. The card network had previously said it will join the Canton Network, where there are plans to serve as a “Super Validator.”
For the past seven years or so, Visa’s blockchain engineers have been “living and breathing stablecoins,” said the head of Visa’s crypto team, Cuy Sheffield. Now the focus is on supporting the evolution of new payment flows such as machine-to-machine commerce using AI agents, he added.
“We’ve been an early design partner, working very closely with the Tempo team, looking at designing infrastructure that can support many types of new payment flows, and particularly agentic payment flows,” Sheffield said in an interview with CoinDesk.
Tempo, which is also backed by crypto investment firm Paradigm, went live last month with Machine Payments Protocol (MPP), a protocol that lets software and AI agents pay for services autonomously.
“Visa is a big part of MPP,” Sheffield said. “We added the MPP card spec. We announced Visa CLI, which is a wallet that is built on top of MPP where agents can use a Visa card to be able to spend. So we’ve been deeply involved in the Tempo and the MPP ecosystem, and now we’re running the underlying infrastructure on Tempo.”
There’s no doubting Stripe’s conviction when it comes to assembling an end-to-end blockchain-based system for stablecoin payments. But, taking a step back, some people might question how open and decentralized such a system is.
Sheffield, in response, said Visa is simply being pragmatic, looking for products that can drive payment volume.
“Our view has always been that decentralization is a spectrum,” Sheffield said. “There are many use cases where decentralization for the sake of decentralization doesn’t solve a problem. I think we’re now entering a phase in the crypto industry where decentralization is not the primary value prop. It’s whether a new payment infrastructure is fast, efficient, programmable and can outperform some existing payment infrastructure for certain use cases.”
Stripe moved into the stablecoin industry when it acquired stablecoin specialist Bridge for $1.1 billion in 2024. Earlier this year, Mastercard made a similar move, buying stablecoin firm BVNK for $1.8 billion.
Asked if Visa had any plans to offer its own stablecoin, Sheffield said:
“It’s so early and the rules haven’t even been fully written yet. We spent a bunch of time with the OCC (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency) and others,” he said. “I think there are many different roles that Visa can play, but everything we do, we want to make sure that we’re doing it in partnership with our clients and our network.”
UPDATE (April 14, 14:16 UTC): Rewrites headline, first paragraph to include reference to Zodia Custody.
Bitcoin extended its latest bounce, surging about 5% on Tuesday to a fresh intraday high near $76,120 as traders weigh a renewed bullish setup and stronger on-chain activity. The move rekindles expectations of a broader rally, with market participants eyeing higher targets if momentum persists and key resistance zones are cleared.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin punched to an intraday high around $76,120, reclaiming earlier resistance and signaling renewed upside momentum.
- Analysts see a potential breakout above an ascending triangle pattern, with the next major hurdle near $80,000 and a measured target around $89,050.
- On-chain activity supports the price move: daily transaction count rose sharply in 2026, reaching 765,130 million as of April 5, a level last seen in November 2024 when BTC briefly topped $100,000.
- Network activity is corroborated by higher fee revenue, with total on-chain fees up about 4% week over week to roughly $153,700, suggesting greater willingness to pay for priority processing.
Price action and the chart setup
Trading data shows Bitcoin breaking above the upper boundary of its latest consolidation, with Tuesday’s rally pushing the price above $76,000—levels not seen since early February. Analysts described the move as a breakout that validates renewed bullish momentum, noting that a decisive close above the $75,000 to $76,000 zone would confirm the breakout and widen the path toward higher targets.
“Bitcoin surged above the $76,000 level, breaking above its March highs and signaling renewed bullish momentum,”
Skeptics and optimists alike are watching the same crucial points: a sustained close above the moving averages near $75,000 and a daily close beyond the resistance front near $80,000. If these thresholds are crossed, traders anticipate a continued push toward the measured target implied by the formation—roughly $89,050—which would mark a meaningful shift in the short-term trajectory.
Technical commentary also highlights the pattern at play: Bitcoin appears to be validating an ascending triangle after breaking above the upper trend line around $73,000 earlier in the week. A close above the confluence of the trend line and the 100-day moving average would bolster confidence in a bullish breakout, while a failure to sustain above $75,000 could reintroduce volatility and test lower supports.
As observers map the road ahead, one analyst emphasized that breaking above the pattern and the 100MA would indicate a genuine shift in momentum, potentially accelerating a move toward the $84,000 area and higher. The discussion underscores how chart structure, not just price level, is shaping expectations for the near term.
On-chain activity corroborates the price move
Price strength is aligning with rising on-chain usage. Bitcoin’s daily transaction count has surged in 2026, reaching about 765,130 million as of April 5, according to CryptoQuant data cited in market briefings. This level marks a multi-month high and echoes earlier bursts of network activity that accompanied major price moves.
That activity level was last observed during a period in November 2024 when Bitcoin briefly traded into the six-figure territory, approximating a macro moment when speculative fervor and investor interest peaked. An analyst known on social channels noted that the current transaction count is higher than during some earlier high-price eras, suggesting sustained network engagement rather than a fleeting spike.
The on-chain signal is complemented by commentary from observers who point to the broader implications of rising usage: increased transaction counts can reflect a growing number of market participants, higher merchant adoption, or greater trader activity seeking to execute orders with priority. In this context, the 2026 uptick in activity helps explain why the market is not only chasing higher prices but also experiencing more active on-chain participation.
“The network is showing bull market behavior,”
That sentiment came from a Twitter analyst who highlighted the robust on-chain activity as a meaningful backdrop to price action. While the precise drivers behind the surge remain multifaceted, the association between rising transaction counts and bullish momentum is a recurring theme in recent market cycles.
Fees rise as demand for on-chain priority grows
Beyond transaction counts, Fee activity also rolled higher. Glassnode’s Market Pulse observed that Bitcoin’s total on-chain fee volume increased about 4% over the prior week, reaching roughly $153,700. The uptick in fees is interpreted as heightened willingness among users to pay for priority processing, signaling sustained or expanding network demand even as price moves unfold.
From a market perspective, rising fees can reflect a mix of transaction acceleration by traders attempting to front-run or secure confirmations in a volatile environment, and real-world use cases driving higher activity. While fees alone do not determine price direction, they provide a complementary read on how busy the network is and how users are prioritizing their transactions in this phase of renewed activity.
What this means for traders and investors
The combination of a renewed price breakout, a believable chart pattern, and stronger on-chain signals paints a cohesive picture of renewed appetite among market participants. For traders, the key inflection point remains the daily close above critical resistance—roughly $75,000–$76,000—and confirmation of the ascending triangle’s breakout with a follow-through beyond the next hurdle near $80,000. If these thresholds hold, the measured move toward the mid-to-upper $80,000s—and potentially toward $89,050—becomes more credible.
Investors will also be watching whether the surge in on-chain activity and rising fee volume persists, as it can indicate longer-term engagement rather than a purely speculative sprint. The last time the network showed similar on-chain vigor was during prior price cycles when BTC breached notable price milestones, which adds a layer of historical context to the current setup.
Nevertheless, uncertainties remain. The macro landscape—regulatory developments, policy shifts, and broader market conditions—will always color Bitcoin’s trajectory. A decisive close above resistance levels, followed by sustained momentum, would strengthen the case for a continued advance; a retreat or muted follow-through could prompt a reversion to nearer support around the $75,000 mark.
For readers watching the next chapters, the immediate priority is confirmation: a daily close above the $76,000 zone and a sustained push beyond $80,000 would provide a clearer path toward the higher targets implied by the chart pattern and the improving on-chain backdrop. Until then, the market remains in a wait-and-watch phase, balancing chart psychology with real-time network activity.
Key takeaways:
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The US Federal Reserve’s shift toward balance sheet expansion may provide the liquidity needed to boost Bitcoin and broader risk markets.
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The war in Iran and high oil prices might be driving investors toward scarce assets to hedge against rising inflation.
On Tuesday, Bitcoin (BTC) price surpassed $76,000 for the first time in over two months, triggering $285 million in leveraged short liquidations. The rally closely tracked the S&P 500, indicating a high probability of a macroeconomic-driven event. Is the war in Iran the only factor behind Bitcoin’s price gains, and what are the odds of a bull trap?
Crude oil prices stabilized near $95 after peaking at $104 over the weekend, a move many traders view as positive. The inverted chart of crude oil prices depicts a high-intraday-correlation environment.
The war in Iran has been a major source of concern due to its impact on US inflation and supply chain logistics, which limits the ability of global central banks to trim interest rates and exerts negative pressure on economic growth.
Simultaneously, gains in the S&P 500 and gold prices likely indicate a higher probability of stimulus measures, causing investors to seek shelter in scarce assets.
The recent gains in the S&P 500 following failed negotiations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz may seem odd, but the added risk of recession provides the strongest incentive for governments to implement expansionary measures. Regardless of whether the US Federal Reserve opts for a cautious approach, the US Congress and the Trump administration can authorize direct investment in infrastructure projects and social programs, or provide tax credits.
Inflationary worries line up with investors’ Fed policy expectations
Bitcoin does not need to compete with stocks or even gold to capture the capital currently held in money market funds and short-term bonds. The longer oil prices remain above $90, the higher the upward pressure on forward inflation.
Reduced expected returns on fixed-income assets may be the primary catalyst behind Bitcoin’s surge above $75,000, and governments have few alternatives without expanding the monetary base.
The US Fed changed its strategy to expand the balance sheet in January, reversing the trend from the previous two years. This move is highly supportive of risk markets, as short-term concerns about the bond market are diminishing. Financial institutions and hedge funds have greater access to liquidity and face less competition to offload US Treasuries, providing temporary relief to the stock market.
Regardless of whether Bitcoin holds above $75,000, there are few incentives for traders to take profits after two months of trading near $68,000, given the meager 10% gains. Even if Bitcoin eventually rallies to $80,000, that would represent a modest 20% gain for those who purchased at $66,500. Unless traders perceive an imminent risk to oil prices, the odds do not favor continued sell pressure on Bitcoin.
Related: Bitcoin’s struggle to build long-lasting uptrend continues–Here’s why
Ultimately, given the likelihood of expansionary monetary policy and inflationary pressures, Bitcoin bears will have a difficult time showing strength, making the odds of a successful bull trap extremely low.
This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research before making any decisions. Cointelegraph makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented, including forward-looking statements, and will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on this content.
The dogecoin price prediction now sits at $0.0934 after a 70-day accumulation pattern squeezed into a descending triangle that analyst Ali Charts says is ready for a 30% move, per BanklessTimes. DOGE spot ETF products pulled in $1.34 million last week, the best single-week figure since January, but that inflow barely moves a $14.2 billion cap that needs billions to shift direction.
Meanwhile, Pepeto already has a live exchange running before its token even hits the open market. More than $9,012,000 poured in from early buyers, and every new stage brings the Binance listing closer.
Dogecoin Price Prediction Under Pressure as 70-Day Triangle Nears Its Breaking Point
Crypto analyst Ali Charts flagged a descending triangle on April 12 where lower highs keep pressing into flat support near $0.088 to $0.090, per BanklessTimes. The week ending April 10 saw DOGE spot ETFs pull in $1.34 million after four straight weeks of zero flow, pushing total net assets to $10.86 million per SoSoValue data. Developer contributions rose 300% year over year per Benzinga, and GitHub proposal #3776 targets cutting block rewards by 90%. The dogecoin price prediction faces a setup where the biggest chart pattern in months is about to snap, and that kind of tension sends the fastest money straight into early-stage entries.
Accumulation Breakout, Returning ETF Demand, and the Entry That Skips the Wait
How Pepeto Delivers What the Dogecoin Price Prediction Cannot Touch
No other token sale this cycle put a working exchange in front of buyers before asking for a single dollar. PepetoSwap, the multi-chain bridge, and the AI contract scanner were all live and tested before the sale opened. That build-first sequence is the reason $9,012,000 flowed in while the typical meme token can barely close its first round.
Zero trading fees on PepetoSwap mean your full stack stays yours after every swap. The bridge moves tokens across Ethereum, BNB, and Solana for free, so transfers never eat into gains. The AI scanner catches risky contracts before capital touches them. And because each stage raises the floor and shrinks what is left, today’s buyers get a better deal than anyone who follows.
The Pepe cofounder whose first project hit $11 billion without a single tool now leads this build alongside a Binance listings veteran. SolidProof audited every contract before the sale went public. Daily staking rewards at 184% APY keep compounding.
Every stage sells faster than the one before, the buzz keeps spreading, and the Binance listing date gets closer by the day. Against that, DOGE sitting at $0.0934 with a weak ETF trickle and no chart confirmation offers nothing close.
Dogecoin (DOGE) Price at $0.0934 as 70-Day Accumulation Nears a Decision Point
Dogecoin (DOGE) sits near $0.0934 per CoinMarketCap, up about 2.32% over the past day, with every major EMA still pressing down and $0.10 acting as the nearest wall. DOGE spot ETFs recorded $1.34 million in weekly inflows after four weeks of silence, pushing total assets to $10.86 million.
On-chain developer work rose 300% year over year, and GitHub proposal #3776 still targets a 90% block reward cut. The 2026 dogecoin price prediction range sits at $0.09 to $0.21. The gap between $0.0934 and the $0.21 bull target works out to about 127%, and all of it needs sentiment to flip. Pepeto’s path to 100x runs through one confirmed listing that gets closer by the day.
Conclusion
DOGE holds at $0.0934, ETF inflows barely trickling, and 70 days of sideways action still unresolved. Meme tokens with no real products behind them keep losing ground. Pepeto stands alone this cycle: a live exchange, the Pepe cofounder’s track record, and a confirmed Binance listing backing every dollar that enters.
Back in 2020, anyone who put $1,000 into DOGE at $0.002 walked away with $365,000 near the top. That kind of return is what Pepeto is built to deliver again, only now a full exchange and a Binance listing back the entry instead of pure hype. The wallets buying today are positioning for the breakout story 2026 gets defined by, and sitting on the sidelines while the dogecoin price prediction grinds sideways is the kind of miss that stings for years.
Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale
FAQs
What is the dogecoin price prediction now that DOGE ETF inflows returned after four flat weeks?
Analysts target $0.09 to $0.21 for Dogecoin in 2026, with recovery needing a confirmed breakout above $0.10 that has not happened yet. DOGE spot ETFs pulled $1.34 million last week after four straight weeks of zero flow.
How does Dogecoin (DOGE) at $0.0934 stack up against a token targeting 100x on listing day?
Dogecoin (DOGE) trades at $0.0934 with a $14.2 billion cap and roughly 127% upside to the bull case over months. Pepeto at its early-stage entry targets 100x from a single Binance listing that keeps getting closer.
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
Crypto World
Tether (USDT) launches crypto wallet to bring stablecoin, bitcoin (BTC) payments directly to users
Tether, issuer of the most popular stablecoin USDT , rolled out Tuesday a self-custodial crypto wallet aimed at putting its stablecoin network directly in users’ hands, aiming to make crypto payments as easy as sending a message.
The new app, called tether.wallet, allows users to hold and send USDT and USAT (USAT) stablecoins, gold-backed token XAUT (XAUT) and bitcoin across multiple blockchains. It removes common friction points by letting users pay transaction fees in the asset they send and by replacing long wallet addresses with human-readable names like “name@tether.me.”
The move is notable for Tether because it marks a shift to a consumer-facing app from being an intermediary in crypto payments issuing the most popular digital dollar, the $185 billion USDT token. Tether said more than 570 million users already interact with its technology, largely indirectly through exchanges and payment rails. The new wallet brings those functions into a direct interface, where users control their private keys and sign transactions on their own devices.
The launch builds on Tether’s Wallet Development Kit (WDK), an open-source toolkit the firm developed for third-party efforts such as the Rumble wallet, which uses Tether’s infrastructure to enable creator payments and peer-to-peer transfers.
“Tether.wallet is ‘the People’s Wallet,’ said Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, “because it truly reflects the natural evolution of Tether’s role, from building the foundation of the digital asset economy to making it directly usable by anyone, ready for a future in which tens of billions of humans, machines, and trillions of AI agents will transact seamlessly at the speed of light.”
XRP price is at $1.3575 on April 14, down 1.32% on the session, as a symmetrical triangle converges toward its apex on the daily chart. A daily MACD bullish crossover has printed simultaneously, with the histogram turning positive for the first time in weeks, adding momentum confirmation to a pattern that has been compressing price since early March.
Summary
- XRP price is trading at $1.3575 on April 14, down 1.32%, as a symmetrical triangle tightens on the daily chart with the upper descending trendline from the February highs and the lower ascending trendline from the March lows converging at the apex.
- The daily MACD (12,26,9) has produced a bullish crossover with the histogram at +0.0060, while the MACD line at -0.0112 has crossed above the signal at -0.0171. Both lines remain below zero.
- A daily close above the SMA 50 at $1.3792 confirms a triangle breakout and opens $1.5625 as the next resistance; a daily close below the lower trendline near $1.30 invalidates the bull case.
XRP (XRP) price is at $1.3575 on April 14, with 24-hour trading volume of $2.24 billion, as the daily chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern compressing price action between two converging trendlines since early March. The upper descending trendline connects the February highs above $1.60, and the lower ascending trendline runs from the March lows around $1.20. The full MA ribbon sits above price: SMA 20 at $1.3398, SMA 50 at $1.3792, SMA 100 at $1.5625, and SMA 200 at $1.9222, forming overhead resistance at each level. Price is at the apex of the triangle, forcing an imminent directional resolution.
The symmetrical triangle on the daily chart reflects the market’s indecision since March, with sellers unable to push XRP below the ascending lower trendline and buyers unable to break through the descending upper trendline. Each successive high has been lower and each successive low has been higher, compressing the range toward a convergence point that is now directly at price. Apex-level compression in symmetrical triangles typically precedes a strong directional move, and the volume context during the pattern matters: declining volume inside the triangle has been followed by an expansion of volume on the breakout in prior XRP patterns.
The MACD (12,26,9) has produced a bullish crossover simultaneously, with the MACD line crossing above the signal at the daily close. The histogram reads +0.0060, a positive reading for the first time since the pattern began. Both lines remain below zero, which means the macro trend is still bearish, but the crossover inside the triangle at the apex is the most constructive shortterm momentum signal XRP has produced in the current consolidation period. A KuCoin technical analysis published on April 8 noted that the MACD bullish crossover in XRP, when accompanied by expanding histogram bars, “could be a potential trend reversal signal” within the broader downtrend.
Key Levels: Support, Resistance, and Price Targets
The SMA 20 at $1.3398 is the immediate dynamic support, sitting just below current price. A daily close below $1.3398 signals that the SMA has failed to act as a floor and brings the lower trendline of the triangle near $1.30 into focus as the last structural support.
On the upside, the SMA 50 at $1.3792 is the first resistance and the level that must be cleared on a daily close basis to confirm a triangle breakout. A confirmed breakout above $1.3792 opens $1.5625 as the next target, where the SMA 100 sits. The extended bull case points to $1.9222, the SMA 200 level and the last major overhead reference before the February highs.
A daily close below the lower trendline near $1.30 breaks the symmetrical triangle structure and exposes $1.20 as the next support, consistent with the 1.0 Fibonacci level identified by analysts as the key floor below the current pattern.
Invalidation: a daily close below $1.30.
On-Chain and Market Data Context
XRP perpetual futures open interest fell sharply from a peak of $10.94 billion in July 2025 to approximately $2.45 billion currently, per Coinglass data, reflecting a significant deleveraging of speculative positioning over the past nine months. This reduction in open interest reduces the risk of a liquidation-driven breakdown and creates a cleaner setup for a technical breakout on lower leverage. XRP ETF inflows recorded approximately $3.3 million in net inflows on April 12, notably outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs on the same session despite broader risk-off conditions.
The SEC CLARITY Act roundtable scheduled for April 16 is a nearterm catalyst that could introduce fresh directional volatility for XRP. The bill, which would establish XRP’s digital commodity status as permanent federal law, is expected to dominate market commentary heading into the session.
If XRP holds above $1.3398 on a daily close basis and the MACD histogram continues to expand, a test of the symmetrical triangle upper trendline and SMA 50 at $1.3792 becomes the primary nearterm target, with $1.5625 opening on a confirmed breakout above it.
Crypto World
Chainlink Price Prediction Targets $30 as US Commerce Department Joins LINK Network While Pepeto Presale Offers 100x
The chainlink price prediction just gained serious weight after Chainlink confirmed on April 12 that the US Department of Commerce, S&P Global Ratings, FTSE Russell, Deutsche Börse, and Tradeweb now distribute data through its oracle network.
LINK sits at $9.39 while a SWIFT and DTCC pilot using Chainlink hit 100% consensus on corporate actions across $58 billion in annual processing. Institutions do not wire this kind of infrastructure into a token they plan to abandon.
But the chainlink price prediction that matters most right now is not the slow climb to $30. It is whether the presale carrying a confirmed Binance listing can reshape a portfolio in weeks while the LINK forecast grinds through the rest of the year.
Chainlink Price Prediction After US Government Data Flows Through LINK Infrastructure
The US Department of Commerce, S&P Global Ratings, FTSE Russell, and Intercontinental Exchange now push data through Chainlink according to BanklessTimes. Total US LINK spot ETF assets crossed $93.78 million with zero net outflows since tracking began, and the reserve wallet holds 2.93 million LINK from protocol fees.
CCIP processes $18 billion in monthly cross-chain volume while securing $29.3 trillion in total value. With Coincub’s bull case at $85 and InvestingHaven at $30, the chainlink price prediction carries more real-world backing than most top-twenty tokens. But a $6.5 billion cap puts a ceiling on the kind of multiples that change lives, and the real 100x lives in a different entry entirely.
Chainlink Price Prediction and the Presale That Will Not Wait for It
Pepeto
Sitting on the LINK chart and hoping for $30 is the slow lane, and slow lanes cost portfolios the entries that actually print life-changing wealth. Pepeto is a fully operational exchange presale created by the same person who took Pepe from zero to $11 billion on 420 trillion tokens without a single working tool. A former Binance exchange engineer directs the technical side, and SolidProof verified every contract before the first dollar entered.
Capital crossed $9.01 million at $0.0000001863 and each round closes ahead of schedule because the wallets getting in already know what happens when this founder launches. PepetoSwap settles every swap without charging a fee so nothing gets skimmed from your bag, and the bridge connects ETH, BNB, and SOL at zero cost so every dollar lands whole.
The chainlink price prediction will print when the cycle turns, but the wallets loading right now are grabbing presale positions where 100x is basic arithmetic grounded in a founder who already delivered at $11 billion scale. Staking at 184% APY stacks tokens every single day while the majority sits frozen waiting for confirmation that whale wallets already gave months ago.
By the time LINK touches $30 and headlines call that a 3.4x win, the Pepeto listing will have already happened and the presale price will be the number that everyone who passed keeps bringing up for the rest of the cycle. That is how every missed presale ends, and that is exactly the window closing right now.
Chainlink (LINK) Price at $9.39 as Government and Institutional Data Partners Stack Up
Chainlink (LINK) trades at $9.39 according to CoinMarketCap, sitting 84% below its $52.88 all-time high with a market cap near $6.5 billion. A 72-day accumulation structure is forming on the chart, ETF net assets crossed $93.78 million, and the Bitwise CLNK fund on NYSE Arca now opens LINK to 401(k) and IRA accounts for the first time.
Analyst forecasts for 2026 range from $9.97 to $85 according to CoinCodex and Coincub. InvestingHaven holds $30, Coincub’s base hits $42, and the bull case reaches $85. Support holds at $8.20 with resistance at $9.55 to $10.40. Compressed Bollinger Bands point to an imminent breakout, but direction depends on broader market strength.
Even the most aggressive chainlink price prediction gives roughly 9x from here, a strong gain for an infrastructure token but nowhere near what presale entries paired with listing triggers can produce.
Conclusion
The chainlink price prediction will reward patient holders, and the infrastructure behind LINK is stronger than anything in the top twenty. But remember when LINK sat at $0.20 and zero institutions cared. No ETF existed. No government agency used the network. The wallets that entered that silence turned tiny positions into seven figures when LINK crossed $52, and most of the market never got in because they waited for proof that only arrived after the move was already over.
Those fortunes were not built by watching a $6.5 billion asset climb slowly. They were built by acting while the price was still a secret, and Pepeto is sitting in that identical window right now with $9.01 million raised, a confirmed Binance listing approaching, and a founder who already turned this exact model into $11 billion. The wallets that recognize this setup are locking entries today, and when the listing hits, the difference between acting now and waiting will be the difference between wealth and regret.
Click Here To Enter The Pepeto Presale
FAQs
What is the chainlink price prediction for 2026 after US government data joins the network?
Analyst targets range from $9.97 to $85, with InvestingHaven at $30 and Coincub reaching $85 in the bull case. CCIP processes $18 billion monthly across $29.3 trillion in secured value.
Can Pepeto beat the chainlink price prediction from presale pricing?
Pepeto at $0.0000001863 targets 100x once the Binance listing opens, compressing into days the returns the chainlink price prediction needs a full year to deliver.
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
Market analysts say Bitcoin (BTC) is showing “renewed bullish momentum” after its 5% rally above $76,000 on Tuesday, with bulls eyeing further gains to $90,000 amid improving network activity.
Bitcoin price hits a 70-day high
Data from TradingView shows the BTC/USD pair rose over 5% on Tuesday to an intraday high of $76,120, levels last seen on Feb. 6.
The surge saw Bitcoin’s price reclaim key support levels, including the $75,000 zone where the 100-day exponential and simple moving averages converge.
“#Bitcoin surged above the $76,000 level, breaking above its March highs and signaling renewed bullish momentum,” analyst CryptoBlockto said in an X post on Tuesday.
The analyst pointed out that the next crucial resistance zone is $76,000 and that clearing it would confirm “a trend reversal and sustained upside momentum.”
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is validating an ascending triangle after breaking above its upper trend line at $73,000 on Monday.
A daily candlestick close above the moving averages at $75,000 would confirm the breakout, with the next line of resistance being the psychological level at $80,000.
Above that, bulls could push the BTC price toward the triangle’s measured target of $89,050, 18% above the current price.
The daily relative strength index has increased to 63 from oversold conditions at 15 reached on Feb. 6, suggesting increasing bullish momentum.
“#Bitcoin is #trading within the horizontal supply zone of an ascending triangle pattern. The 100MA is also acting as a resistance barrier above the current price action,” analyst CryptOpus said in a recent X post, adding:
“A strong breakout above both the #pattern and the 100MA would confirm a #bullish rally in the market.”
As Cointelegraph reported, a close above $76,000 would complete a bullish ascending triangle pattern, clearing the path for a potential rally to $84,000.
Bitcoin’s transaction activity hits 17-month highs
The strength in BTC price is reflected in onchain activity, with Bitcoin’s daily transaction count rising by 62% in 2026 to 765,130 million on April 5.
This metric was last at these levels in November 2024, when the hype around the 2024 US Presidential Election pushed Bitcoin price above $100,000 for the first time in history.
“$BTC daily transaction count is higher than when $BTC was $120K,” analyst CW8900 said in an X post on Tuesday, adding:
“The network is showing bull market behavior.”
Bitcoin’s total fee volume has also climbed, increasing by 4% over the last week to $153,700, indicating “heightened onchain demand,” Glassnode said in its latest Market Pulse report, adding:
“This increase implies an uptick in network activity, potentially signalling a shift in user willingness to pay for transaction priority.”
Bitcoin’s increasing transaction count and fees mean that more users are interacting with the network. It suggests high network activity, which is often correlated with increased interest and market confidence.
This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research before making any decisions. Cointelegraph makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented, including forward-looking statements, and will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on this content.
Someone built a money-losing Polymarket bot that only spends money on “No” trades, i.e. bets that events won’t occur.
It is a little-known fact that approximately three-quarters of all Polymarket bets resolve to a No outcome.
Artist and former Apple researcher Sterling Crispin turned that statistic into a trading bot and open-sourced its code. He published the bot, dubbed Nothing Ever Happens, on April 12, warning his followers to watch the journey, but not to expect profits.
The announcement went viral.
“Why predict the future when 73.4% of all Polymarkets resolve as No?” Crispin wrote. “Stop over thinking it. Nothing Ever Happens.”
That number is pretty close. Polymarket’s own accuracy page put the resolution split at 73.3% No and 26.7% Yes across all resolved markets. In other words, the thesis does come straight from the platform, in a way.
Read more: Assassination markets are legal now but Trump doesn’t have to worry
Probabilities do not guarantee profits
However, knowing that three-quarters of outcomes resolve to No doesn’t necessarily produce a profitable strategy on its own.
Polymarket event contracts open for trading with built-in Yes and No contract prices, adjusted for other odds of an idiosyncratic event occurring.
Consider a No opening for trading at $0.75, for example, which return $1 on a win. That 2,500 basis point profit barely covers the 26.7% of the time the bet is likely to lose entirely.
Crispin appears to understand this. After the original post went viral, he acknowledged “this has to buy below $0.73 long term, the bot has a configurable ceiling set at $0.65 and checks for new markets buying closer to $0.50.”
A ceiling of $0.65 means the bot only buys when No is priced on Polymarket at or below 65%. It hunts for markets where the crowd hasn’t yet priced in the base rate likelihood of a No resolution.
The GitHub repository carries a disclaimer in bold italic: For entertainment only, use at your own risk.
A dashboard screenshot attached to the original post showed a portfolio of $2,859 mostly for demonstration purposes. The code repository has attracted over 400 stars and ships under a public domain copyright license.
Yet another bot losing money on Polymarket
On-chain analysis of 2.5 million wallets by researcher Andrey Sergeenkov found that 84.1% of wallets that have traded on Polymarket have lost money. Only 0.033% have earned more than $100,000.
The simplest possible strategy — to bet on No and walk away — outperforms most of the platform’s users.
Polymarket has leaned into the premise for media attention. Incredibly, the platform hosts a “Nothing Ever Happens” series of parlay markets.
These parlays bundle unlikely events (China invades Taiwan,bitcoin hits $1 million, Trump acquires Greenland) and let traders bet that none of them occur.
A 2026 annual edition carries $489,000 in volume with “Nothing” priced at 56%.
Unsurprisingly, the parlays haven’t paid off. The Jerome Powell Edition resolved to “No,” meaning something did happen. So did the US Strike Edition, after US military action met one of its trigger conditions.
Crispin isn’t a typical crypto trader. He describes himself as a conceptual artist and software engineer and previously spent years at Apple contributing to neurotechnology patents for the Vision Pro headset.
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Paxos Labs has raised $12 million in a strategic funding round led by Blockchain Capital to scale Amplify, a modular platform designed to bring crypto yield, lending, and stablecoin issuance into a single, developer-friendly integration. The Amplify stack comprises three modules—Earn, Borrow, and Mint—built to help platforms convert idle digital-asset balances into revenue-generating financial services while offering a unified path for onboarding and deployment. In the project’s public announcement, Paxos described Amplify as a single SDK with configurable controls, with Paxos handling liquidity provisioning, counterparty vetting, and backend operations, and sharing a portion of generated revenue with integrating partners.
Early adopters include Aleo, Hyperbeat, and Toku, with Hyperbeat reporting more than $510,000 in assets under management since its April 9 launch. The funding round also featured participation from Robot Ventures, Maelstrom, and Uniswap. Paxos Labs operates as an incubated unit within Paxos, a firm that has processed more than $180 billion in tokenization volume for institutional clients, according to the company.
The Amplify initiative is aimed at platforms that already offer crypto custody or trading, seeking to turn passive digital-asset holdings into active, revenue-generating financial products through a streamlined, turnkey integration.
Key takeaways
- Amplify bundles Earn, Borrow, and Mint into a single developer SDK, enabling yield generation, crypto-backed lending, and branded stablecoins without multiple disparate integrations.
- The $12 million strategic round signals investor confidence in modular on-chain financial primitives, with Blockchain Capital leading and backers including Robot Ventures, Maelstrom, and Uniswap.
- Early traction from partners like Hyperbeat, which has accumulated over half a million dollars in AUM since its launch, suggests real-world demand for integrated yield and lending capabilities on user-held assets.
- The move sits within a broader industry push toward yield-bearing crypto products and a shifting regulatory backdrop that debates how such offerings should be overseen in the United States.
Amplify’s modular toolkit and how it works
Earn, Borrow, and Mint form a cohesive suite intended to unlock additional value from digital assets. Earn enables platforms to generate yield on user-held tokens, Borrow provides crypto-backed lending facilities, and Mint allows for the issuance of branded stablecoins. Paxos commits to liquidity management, counterparty vetting, and backend operations, while sharing a portion of the proceeds with integrating partners. The approach is designed to reduce integration complexity for exchanges, wallets, and other crypto service providers that want to augment their offerings without building each component from scratch.
According to the official announcement, Amplify delivers a single, configurable SDK that can be embedded into a platform’s existing stack. Paxos’ role as a liquidity and operational partner aims to streamline onboarding and improve risk controls, enabling tighter integration and faster time-to-market for new financial products tied to digital assets.
Backers, traction, and what it signals for the market
The round’s backers underscore strategic interest in enabling on-chain financial services through interoperable primitives. Blockchain Capital led the fundraising, with participation from Robot Ventures, Maelstrom, and Uniswap, highlighting a mix of traditional crypto-focused investors and prominent DeFi players recognizing Amplify’s potential to scale revenue opportunities tied to user-held digital assets.
Hyperbeat’s reported AUM of over $510,000 since its April 9 launch provides a tangible early signal of demand for yield- and lending-enabled products across partner platforms. Paxos’ longstanding activity in the asset-tokenization space—more than $180 billion in tokenization volume for institutional clients—underpins the credibility of a platform designed to connect custody, trading, and on-chain finance through a unified interface.
Industry context: yield, lending, and regulatory chatter
The Amplify announcement arrives amid a broader wave of platforms expanding beyond custody and trading into yield generation and lending for user-held assets. Notable moves include Kraken’s March integration of a structured products platform from STS Digital to offer options-based strategies on BTC and ETH, and Coinbase’s launch of a tokenized Bitcoin Yield Fund on its Base network to give institutions on-chain access to yield-bearing crypto exposure. In addition, both exchanges have begun offering yield on stablecoins, often by linking to on-chain lending markets.
Institutional-focused providers have also advanced lending against assets held in custody. For example, Anchorage Digital announced a collaboration with Kamino and Solana Company to enable institutions to borrow against staked SOL without moving assets, while Lombard and Bitwise Asset Management teamed up to offer yield and borrowing on Bitcoin through on-chain lending infrastructure.
Beyond product development, policy discussions remain active. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act has grown as a framework proposal to regulate digital assets in the U.S., with industry observers weighing potential implications for yield-bearing products. The American Bankers Association has argued that permitting stablecoin yields could accelerate deposit outflows from smaller banks and raise funding costs, a tension that lawmakers and market participants continue to watch closely.
What to watch next for Amplify and the broader market
Amplify’s success will likely hinge on how quickly more platforms adopt the toolkit and scale deployments across custody and trading ecosystems. The combination of a streamlined SDK, managed liquidity, and revenue-sharing could lower barriers to offering on-chain yield and lending, potentially turning idle balances into recurring revenue streams for a broader slice of the crypto economy. Investors will be watching partner sign-ups, actual yield performance, and how regulatory developments shape the feasibility and design of these products as the market seeks to balance innovation with risk controls.
As platforms experiment with asset-backed lending, yield-bearing stablecoins, and branded on-chain instruments, the market will also assess counterparty risk, liquidity depth, and the sustainability of revenue-sharing models. The coming quarters should reveal whether Amplify’s modular approach translates into broader adoption and meaningful revenue uplift for platforms and their users.
Readers should keep an eye on announcements from Paxos Labs for new partner integrations, updates on liquidity arrangements, and any shifts in regulatory guidance that could impact the deployment of yield and lending features across the crypto ecosystem.
This article was originally published as error code: 524 on Crypto Breaking News – your trusted source for crypto news, Bitcoin news, and blockchain updates.
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