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Riot stock rises ahead of earnings as a risky pattern emerges

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RIOT stock

Riot stock price rose by over 1.2% on Monday as Bitcoin and other altcoins rose despite the ongoing geopolitical risks. It also rose as traders waited for its financial results.

Summary

  • Riot Platforms stock rose as the crypto market rebounded.
  • The company will publish its financial results on Monday.
  • The stock has formed a diamond reversal pattern, pointing to a potential reversal.

RIOT stock rose to $16.50 from the intraday low of $15.45. It remains 40% above its lowest level in February, with the market capitalization soaring to over $6.14 billion.

Wall Street analysts expect the upcoming results to show that the Bitcoin (BTC) mining giant did well in the last quarter, with its revenue rising by 10% to $158 million. Its annual revenue is expected to come in at $658 million, up by 75% YoY.

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The most recent showed that its revenue jumped to $180 million in the third quarter from $84 million in the same period in 2024. This growth was driven by its mining operations, whose revenue rose from $67 million to $160 million. Its engineering revenue rose to $19 million from $12 million.

Like other Bitcoin mining companies, Riot Platforms is facing major challenges as the coin remains in a technical bear market after falling by over 40% from its all-time high. As a result, it is expanding to the data colocation industry, which is booming as companies boost their capital expenditure.

It recently acquired 200 acres of land in Texas to expand its mining operations. Also, it entered a data center leasing agreement with AMD, a top semiconductor company. Its initial deal is for 25 MW of IT capacity.

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Riot Platforms is under pressure from Starboard Value, an activist investor, who believes that it should accelerate its transition into a data center operator. It wants it to accelerate the rollout of its data centers, a move that will make it more attractive to hyperscalers. For example, IREN has already inked deals worth over $10 billion, while CoreWeave has a backlog of over $50 billion.

Riot Platforms stock price technical analysis 

RIOT stock
RIOT stock chart | Source: crypto.news 

The daily chart shows that the Riot Platforms share price has rebounded from the year-to-date low of $11.85 in February to the current $16.50. 

It remains between the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement level. It also moved slightly above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average.

However, the stock has also formed a diamond reversal pattern, which often leads to a bearish breakdown.

Therefore, it will likely have a bearish breakdown after its earnings. If this happens, the next key target to watch will be the psychological level at $15. 

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Seized Crypto Lapses Push South Korea to Enforce Tighter National Controls

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR

  • South Korea launched a nationwide audit to strengthen controls over seized crypto assets.
  • The Finance Ministry and financial regulators reviewed storage methods and internal access procedures.
  • Officials aimed to identify weak practices and introduce stronger technical safeguards.
  • Police in Gangnam lost 22 BTC after giving custody to an external firm without private key control.
  • The National Tax Service apologized after exposing recovery phrases that led to a major theft.

South Korea moved fast to reinforce digital asset controls as officials addressed recent security failures, and the government ordered urgent checks across agencies, and leaders demanded strict oversight to prevent further losses.

Audit of Seized Crypto Holdings

South Korea launched a nationwide audit after new directives reshaped digital asset management practices. Authorities examined seized coins across agencies and reviewed storage controls. The Finance Ministry coordinated the process with the Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service. Officials targeted holdings gained through tax and criminal cases.

Officials reviewed hardware wallets and custodial accounts and assessed access controls. They said the audit aimed to expose weak procedures and guide new protections. Leaders stated that agencies must “fix system gaps fast” to stop unauthorized transfers. They also confirmed that operational reports will go directly to senior oversight teams.

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Police losses in Gangnam triggered stronger demands for new custody rules. Investigators confirmed that officers lost 22 BTC after handing assets to an outside firm. Officials said the officers never controlled private keys, which raised concerns about current arrangements. Regulators asked agencies to track crypto flows better.

A separate error at the National Tax Service pushed the government to act. The agency disclosed recovery phrases in a public release. Thieves drained most of a $5.6 million holding, and leaders called the failure preventable. The agency apologized and began internal checks.

Legal and Structural Shifts in South Korea

The Supreme Court of Korea ruled in January that exchange-held Bitcoin qualifies as property. This decision cleared earlier confusion over enforcement powers. Officials said the ruling eased asset seizure procedures. They added that agencies can pursue digital holdings more quickly under clear rules.

The government continued updating its Digital Asset Basic Act. Phase two will impose rules for stablecoin reserves and investor protection.  Officials said the updates will strengthen oversight for market players. They also confirmed that agencies will publish final provisions soon.

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Regulators ended a nine-year block on corporate crypto trading in February. They allowed listed firms and professional traders to reenter markets. Authorities said new compliance rules will govern trading activities. They will also monitor corporate flows under updated reporting systems.

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Bitcoin Holds $66,000 as Market Braces for March Rebound

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Crypto Breaking News

Key Takeaways

  • Tom Lee sees March rebound for crypto and US stocks
  • Bitcoin trades at $66K despite Middle East tension
  • Ethereum holds near $1,950 as BitMine keeps buying
  • Oil jumps 13% while US futures slip lower
  • Lee links gold strength to broader market shift

Bitcoin trades at $66,000 after rebounding from weekend lows near $63,000. The asset has gained over 5% from its recent dip. Tom Lee expects a broader market recovery in March despite geopolitical pressure.

He shared his outlook during a recent CNBC interview. Lee stated that March could mark a turnaround month for risk assets. He added that economic growth remains intact despite current fears.

Tensions in the Middle East triggered sharp weekend volatility. Military strikes targeting Iran’s Supreme Leader sparked retaliatory action. Consequently, markets reacted with swift liquidations and price swings.

Data shows that long liquidations reached nearly $300 million. However, the broader market absorbed the shock without extended panic. Therefore, Bitcoin stabilized quickly above key support levels.

Meanwhile, oil prices jumped 13% to $82 per barrel. This level marks the highest price since July 2024. Rising energy costs added pressure to global equity markets.

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US equity index futures declined following the developments. The S&P 500 futures fell 1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 1.5%. Even so, Lee believes the worst selling could occur this week.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Why is the crypto market going up today? (March 2)

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Top gainers in the crypto market

The crypto market is going up today, March 2, even as the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East escalated.

Summary

  • The crypto market remained stable on Monday even as the war in Iran started.
  • This rally happened as the economic impact of the crisis remained limited.
  • The crypto recovery could be a dead-cat bounce, a situation where a falling asset rebounds temporarily.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose to nearly $70,000, while Ethereum (ETH) jumped to $2,065. Other top gainers were coins like Near Protocol, Morpho, Virtuals Protocol, Jupiter, and Pudgy Penguins. The market capitalization of all coins jumped to over $2.38 trillion.

Top gainers in the crypto market
Top gainers in the crypto market | Source: CoinMarketCap

The crypto market rose as the economic impact of the ongoing war in the Middle East remained muted. For example, the Dow Jones Index retreated by just 140 points, while the Nasdaq 100 erased earlier losses and turned positive for the day.

Crude oil price gains were also lower than expected, with Brent settling at $78 and the West Texas Intermediate rising to $73. The two benchmarks were expected to rise to over $100 as the war started.

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A likely reason for the crypto market rally is the inverse of buying the rumors and selling the news. In this case, investors dumped Bitcoin and other coins ahead of the war, and are now buying the news.

At the same time, the crypto market is going up as traders predict that the United States, Iran, and Israel will reach a ceasefire in the near term. Odds of a ceasefire happening by March 31st rose to 46%. Similarly, the odds of it happening by April 30 rose to 66%.

The crypto market is going up after the relatively strong US macro data. According to S&P Global, the manufacturing PMI rose from 50.4 in January to 51 in February. Another report by ISM showed that the manufacturing PMI rose from 51.7 to 52.4 in the same period.

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Meanwhile, Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Tom Lee’s BitMine continued accumulating Bitcoin and Ethereum last week. BitMine accumulated over 50k ETH, while Strategy bought over 3,000 Bitcoin. These purchases have continued even as these companies have experienced billions in losses. 

Still, there is also a likelihood that the ongoing crypto market rally is a dead-cat bounce. A DCB is a situation where a falling asset rebounds briefly and then resumes the downtrend.

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Are Investors Giving Up on BTC?

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Are Investors Giving Up on BTC?

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin futures demand has hit its lowest level since 2024, signaling that many institutional traders are staying cautious.

  • Despite lower confidence from bulls, high CME open interest suggests that major institutions have not left the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has gained 10% since retesting $63,000 on Saturday, providing a glimpse of hope for bulls as stock markets moved in a different direction amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. However, demand for Bitcoin futures has been declining, with open interest reaching its lowest levels since 2024. This trend is causing traders to fear that institutional investors are leaving the market.

BTC futures aggregate open interest, USD. Source: CoinGlass

The Bitcoin futures aggregate open interest on major exchanges declined to $32 billion on Sunday, down 20% from one month prior. Even if measured in Bitcoin terms to adjust for the recent price decline, the current demand for BTC futures stood at the lowest level since August 2024 at 491,300 BTC. Part of this decline can be explained by the forced liquidations of bulls who were caught by surprise.

The demand for leveraged bullish positions has been largely absent since the $126,200 all-time high in October 2025.

BTC two-month futures annualized premium. Source: Laevitas.ch

The annualized premium (basis rate) on Bitcoin monthly futures contracts dropped to its lowest level in a year at 2%. Under neutral conditions, the metric should range from 5% to 10% to compensate for the longer settlement period. Even more concerning is the fact that the basis rate has failed to sustain bullish levels for the past 12 months, a period that happens to include a 50% rally April to May 2025.

Bitcoin’s underperformance relative to gold and the stock market has likely shifted investors’ attention away from the cryptocurrency market. Still, it would be far-fetched to claim that institutional investors have exited the market, given that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade over $3 billion per day on average. Among the ETF holders are some of the world’s largest mutual and pension fund managers.

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Moreover, there are over $79 billion in Bitcoin held onchain by publicly listed companies, including Strategy (MSTR US), MARA Holdings (MARA US), XXI (XXI US) and Metaplanet (MPLTF US). Countries such as Bhutan, El Salvador and the United Arab Emirates have also added Bitcoin exposure. One could argue that there is still a long way to go in terms of institutional adoption, but the present situation is very far from zero.

Bitcoin derivatives signal resilience as bulls hesitate

The Bitcoin options market confirms that derivatives continue to function as expected despite repeated failures to reclaim the $72,000 level.

BTC options put-to-call premiums at Deribit. Source: Laevitas.ch

The Bitcoin put-to-call options premium stayed near 0.7 on Monday. This shows that demand for put (sell) options is lower than for call (buy) options. A brief jump in demand for bearish strategies on Friday did not last. Essentially, the options market shows no signs of major trouble or lasting stress from the past few months.

Related: Bitcoin holders show ‘zero panic’ as BTC hits $70K amid Middle East tensions

Derivatives data also shows a lack of confidence among bulls, especially since Bitcoin is trading 45% below its all-time high. However, there is no evidence that institutional players have left the market. The $7.5 billion in Bitcoin futures open interest on the CME is a clear sign of institutional activity. Despite the selling pressure, every short (sell) order must be matched by a long (buy) order, which keeps the market balanced.

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Eventually, fear and uncertainty fade as more buyers return, marking the end of a downward trend. While it is unclear if $60,000 was the absolute bottom for this market cycle, Bitcoin has again shown it is a secure asset with a fixed supply. The $1.4 trillion cryptocurrency market has proven its strength and shows no signs of failing.