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Nobitex users rush for exit after Tehran airstrikes crash Iranian currency

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Nobitex users rush for exit after Tehran airstrikes crash Iranian currency

A popular trading pair on Iran’s largest crypto exchange, Nobitex, is experiencing problems with inadequate liquidity and market fluctuations after it was suspended amid ongoing US-led airstrikes in the country.

Nobitex’s Telegram account posted on February 28 that it was suspending the Tether/Toman market until the following morning due to the “current emergency situation and per the directive of the Central Bank.”

When it was reopened, Nobitex claimed there had been “a temporary disruption in the supply and demand balance.”

“This situation led to momentary fluctuations and prices outside the market’s normal trend,” it said, adding that user positions priced at less than 145,000 Tether/Toman were liquidated as a result. 

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Read more: US senators call Binance ‘repeat offender’ over $2B Iran transfers

“Nobitex has decided to review all positions that were liquidated at prices below 145,000 Tether and reverse the process.”

It also warned that any transactions voluntarily placed below the 145,000 Tether/Toman price mark “will not be subject to this reversal process.”

“Additionally, until the review and reversal process is complete, affected users are requested to refrain from any transfers or withdrawals of the relevant assets to ensure the process proceeds without disruption,” Nobitex said.

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Users in Iran are withdrawing crypto from Nobitex

Nobitex said on Saturday that internet outages in the country were slowing down its ability to process crypto withdrawals. The exchange also disabled the ability to create new futures positions with a leverage greater than one due to increased price volatility. 

These announcements were made as the exchange experienced a 700% surge in outflows minutes after the first US-Israel airstrikes in Iran. 

Crypto analytics firm Elliptic noted that the surge equated to an hourly withdrawal rate of almost $3 million at its peak, and “potentially represents capital flight from Iran.”

Read more: Crypto sleuth links $500M in Iranian USDT to stolen Bybit funds

It added that “Initial tracing of recent outflows from Nobitex suggests that the funds are being sent to overseas cryptoasset exchanges that have historically seen significant inflows from Iran.”

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Coinbase Director Conor Grogan noted that Nobitex hasn’t processed any outbound transactions on its Ethereum addresses across the weekend, adding that TON transactions going through might be “botted activity.”

Nobitex’s site is also currently displaying an error 504, and crypto analyst Chainalysis noted that other Iranian exchanges like Ramzinex are also offline.

US and Israel kill Iran’s supreme leader

The conflict began on Saturday after the US had been increasing its military presence in the region for weeks in order to push Iran to accept a new nuclear deal.

US President Donald Trump has accused Iran of building nuclear weapons and has encouraged the country’s citizens to prepare to overthrow their current government. 

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There’s been civil unrest in the country since January when a government crackdown reportedly killed tens of thousands of protesters. 

Elliptic’s findings show that the exchange experienced another outflow surge around this time, as well as outflows that coincided with new sanctions this year.

Read more: US hits Iran’s ‘shadow banking’ network in Hong Kong, UAE

Airstrikes launched by Israel and the US against military targets killed Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in his Tehran compound, alongside other top government officials. Most of Khamenei’s family have also reportedly been killed.

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In the wake of the strikes, Middle East analysts have suggested that Iran’s political system won’t collapse quite yet as it distributes power across multiple institutions, such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, and isn’t centralized with Khamenei.

Iran has launched drone and missile strikes across the Middle East in response to the military operations and has targeted Israel, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and other countries in the region.

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Crypto World

xAI Moves to Retire $3B Debt Early as Musk Advances the Planned SpaceX IPO

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR

  • xAI plans to repay $3 billion in high-yield bonds earlier than expected to reduce debt before major corporate steps.
  • The company will redeem the bonds at $117 on the, which reflects recent price movement.
  • Early repayment may trigger penalty costs because the bonds were expected to remain outstanding for two years.
  • Musk merged xAI and X under one structure while working to simplify debt across his companies.
  • Lenders were informed that both X and xAI debt will be repaid, although funding sources were not disclosed.

xAI will retire $3 billion of bonds early as the company reshapes its debt, and SpaceX prepares for a public listing, and lenders track rapid changes across Musk’s merged businesses.

Early Bond Repayment by xAI

xAI will repay the bonds at 117 cents as pricing data shows the debt rising toward that level. The move follows June’s bond sale that featured a coupon of 12.5 percent.

The redemption comes even though the structure suggested a longer timeline before repayment. The step underlines efforts to simplify obligations before further corporate actions.

Bank sources say early repayment usually triggers charges tied to make-whole terms, and xAI may incur such costs. They also state, “The process continues without disclosure of funding sources.”

Trace data shows the bonds climbed about three points on Monday to near 117 cents. The shift reflects rising expectations of an early call.

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Debt Strategy and Business Consolidation

Musk merged xAI with SpaceX under a single holding entity last year. The group now carries about $18 billion of combined obligations.

Lenders say repayment plans also cover debt tied to X, formerly Twitter. They add that Morgan Stanley told them repayment will proceed as arranged.

X borrowed about $12.5 billion during Musk’s takeover, while xAI raised $5 billion through loans and bonds. Both moved under xAI Holdings after restructuring.

xAI revised its debt documents to restrict asset transfers and set a ceiling for future secured borrowing. Those provisions protect collateral for lenders.

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SpaceX Prepares for IPO Filing

SpaceX may file confidentially for an IPO this month, according to sources. They say valuation targets exceed $1.75 trillion.

The company has not accessed bond markets, unlike X and xAI, which faced heavy servicing costs. X paid large monthly interest amounts, while xAI used cash rapidly.

SpaceX bought xAI last month and intends to expand data center capacity. The combined business holds a valuation of about $1.25 trillion.

People familiar with the matter say Musk plans to advance the offering timeline. They also report ongoing financing work tied to debt reduction.

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Morgan Stanley declined to comment when contacted. Representatives for X and xAI did not respond to requests for comment.

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Iran Crypto Outflows Rose 700% After US-Israel Attack

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Iran Crypto Outflows Rose 700% After US-Israel Attack

Iran’s top crypto exchange saw a significant spike in crypto withdrawals within minutes of the US and Israel launching strikes in Tehran on Saturday. However, a widespread internet outage curbed additional outflows.

In a post on Monday, Elliptic said crypto outflows from the Nobitex exchange surged by more than 700% to over $500,000 within minutes of the first airstrikes, with a chart showing that outflows reached nearly $3 million in a single hour later that day. 

Crypto outflows on Nobitex from late February to March 1. Source: Elliptic

Elliptic said the sharp rise in outflows “potentially represents capital flight from Iran,” with its initial tracing showing that many of those funds were sent to foreign crypto exchanges.

“This allows funds to be moved out of Iran while avoiding some of the scrutiny of the global banking system,” Elliptic said.

However, crypto outflows from Nobitex fell sharply after Saturday, which fellow crypto forensics platform TRM Labs attributed to the Iranian regime enforcing strict internet blackouts.

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Iran’s internet connectivity reportedly fell by approximately 99% shortly after the conflict unfolded, TRM noted.

TRM also opposed Elliptic’s conclusion that capital flight is leaving Iran, stating:

“It appears that the country’s crypto ecosystem is not showing signs of acceleration or capital flight, but instead experiencing a downturn in both transactions and volume as the regime enforces strict internet blackouts.”

The crypto outflows come as the US and Israel seek to topple the current Iranian regime and wipe out its nuclear and missile programs. Iran responded with airstrikes of its own on neighboring countries, creating further instability in the region.