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Bitcoin shows record weekly oversold as selling pressure eases

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Microsoft stock plunges 11% as Bitcoin traders seek refuge amid broader tech selloff

Bitcoin has hit its most extreme weekly oversold level on record as selling slows.

Summary

  • Research firm K33 says bitcoin is in its deepest weekly oversold zone ever.
  • The move follows months of selling from long-term holders and institutions, though that pressure is now easing.
  • Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed $71,000 with roughly 7% daily gains as derivatives metrics show cautious but stabilizing positioning.

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered the most extreme weekly oversold zone in its history, according to a new report from research firm K33, even as early signs suggest that sustained sell pressure from long-term holders and institutions is finally starting to ease.

The firm notes that over the past several months, systematic selling from older wallets and ETF-related flows pushed prices lower and kept sentiment muted, despite ongoing interest in spot products. Now, with bitcoin back above $70,000 and net outflows slowing, K33 argues that the market is moving into a phase where forced or programmatic selling is less dominant, allowing spot demand to have a clearer impact on price. At the same time, derivatives indicators point to a market that is still cautious rather than euphoric, with traders paying for downside protection even as spot rebounds.

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K33’s oversold signal is rooted in longer-term momentum and breadth metrics, rather than short-term intraday swings, highlighting how extended the prior drawdown had become relative to previous cycles. The report emphasizes that similar readings in past years often preceded medium-term recovery phases, though the timing and strength of those rebounds varied depending on macro conditions and liquidity. In this cycle, the backdrop includes U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs that continue to attract steady, if uneven, inflows, as well as growing interest from corporates and fintech platforms like Coinbase that are integrating digital assets more deeply into their product stacks. For now, the firm characterizes bitcoin’s current state as one of “exhausted sellers” rather than a fully confirmed trend reversal.

Derivatives still signal caution

Despite the oversold reading and price recovery, K33 stresses that derivatives markets are not yet signaling a return to aggressive risk-on behavior. Funding rates on major perpetual futures have normalized from previous extremes and sit near neutral, suggesting that leveraged longs are no longer crowding in at any price, but are also not completely absent. Open interest has climbed from local lows in a more measured fashion, indicating that new positions are being added without the kind of unchecked leverage build-up that often precedes sharp liquidations. Options markets, meanwhile, show persistent demand for puts and elevated implied volatility around key macro and policy dates, reflecting ongoing concern about downside scenarios.

For traders and asset managers, the combination of record weekly oversold conditions and still-cautious derivatives positioning creates an environment where upside follow-through is possible, but not guaranteed. Short-covering rallies can be powerful in this type of setup if spot demand continues and ETF flows stay positive, yet any renewed wave of macro stress or regulatory headlines could quickly reignite selling. Institutional desks focused on structured products and basis trades may see opportunities to re-enter yield strategies as spreads normalize, while long-only investors weigh whether current levels offer an attractive entry point in light of K33’s historical analogs. The key test in the coming weeks will be whether bitcoin can hold above reclaimed support zones while leverage remains contained, confirming that the market has transitioned from forced selling into a more sustainable, accumulation-driven phase.

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Crypto World

Bitwise Cuts $233K Check to Bitcoin Devs Using BITB ETF Profits

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Bitwise donated $233K from BITB profits to Bitcoin nonprofits in its second annual giving cycle.
  • BITB now manages $2.7B in assets, directly increasing the size of this year’s developer donation.
  • Brink, OpenSats, and HRF’s Bitcoin Fund split the contribution across open-source development grants.
  • Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says BITB is the only ETF with an ongoing profit-share pledge to developers.

Bitwise Asset Management has donated $233,000 to three Bitcoin-focused nonprofits. The funds come directly from profits generated by its Bitwise Bitcoin ETF, ticker BITB. 

This marks the second consecutive year the firm has fulfilled a pledge made at the ETF’s January 2024 launch. The commitment ties 10% of gross annual profits to open-source Bitcoin development support.

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF Profits Fund Developer Grants for Second Straight Year

Bitwise directed the donation across three organizations. Brink, OpenSats, and the Human Rights Foundation’s Bitcoin Development Fund each received a portion. 

All three groups focus on funding and training developers who maintain Bitcoin’s core infrastructure. None of them operate for profit.

The pledge originated when BITB first launched in January 2024. Bitwise committed to donating 10% of gross profits annually. The first donation followed that same year. This second contribution signals the firm intends to make the practice routine.

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BITB has grown considerably since its debut. The fund now manages approximately $2.7 billion in assets under management. That growth directly increased the size of this year’s donation compared to the first. 

Larger assets mean larger profits, and a larger share flows to developers.

Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan pointed out that BITB stands alone among ETFs in making this type of ongoing commitment. 

No other Bitcoin ETF has structured a recurring donation tied to fund profits. The observation drew attention within the Bitcoin community.

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Brink, OpenSats, and HRF Bitcoin Fund Split the $233,000 Contribution

Brink focuses on supporting full-time Bitcoin protocol developers through fellowships and grants. OpenSats funds open-source contributors working on Bitcoin and related projects. 

The Human Rights Foundation’s Bitcoin Development Fund supports developers in regions where financial freedom is restricted.

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Each organization allocates funds independently based on its own grant criteria. Bitwise does not direct how recipients distribute the money. The structure keeps the donation at arm’s length from any product or promotional interest.

Bitwise shared the announcement publicly via its official channels. The post credited investors who chose BITB for making the donation possible. It framed the contribution as a reinvestment into the ecosystem supporting the ETF itself.

The broader Bitcoin development community responded positively. The model connects institutional capital with open-source infrastructure in a direct, measurable way. Observers noted it creates a feedback loop: more BITB investment leads to more developer funding.

Bitwise has not disclosed projections for next year’s donation. The amount will depend on BITB’s profit performance through 2025.

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Eight Sleep Secures $50M in Funding to Build AI Sleep Agents

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Stablecoin firm Tether has led a $50 million strategic investment round in sleep technology startup Eight Sleep, to help the company integrate artificial intelligence agents into its sleep tech products.    

The latest funding round was announced on Tuesday, with Eight Sleep raising $50 million at a $1.5 billion valuation. It follows a $100 million raise last August. The firm specializes in sleep health products, primarily across bedding and supplements.

In an announcement on Tuesday, Tether expressed its strong conviction in health technology to support “longevity, performance, and disease prevention,” and will collaborate with Eight Sleep to bring artificial intelligence-based health technology products to market.

​Tether has been using its capital stockpile to invest in a wide range of areas outside crypto. Its investments span the gold sector, media, biotechnology and AI. The firm has also made multiple attempts to buy professional football clubs.

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Source: Matteo Franceschetti

“Technologies that can turn continuous health data into clear, practical insights will shape the future of consumer health and wellness,” Tether said.

“The investment is designed to empower Eight Sleep and establish a long-term collaboration to build advanced AI-driven health technology using, among others, Tether’s QVAC architecture and leveraging QVAC’s edge intelligence to enhance Eight Sleep products,” it added.

Tether’s QVAC is a privacy-focused health tech service launched in December that enables users to integrate their bio-health data from multiple services or products, like smart rings, into a single platform, supported by local on-device AI to help users with data management and health insights.  

Eight Sleep has stated that it plans to build a sleep-focused AI agent to support its Pod, a sleep tech product that automatically adjusts bed temperature, elevation, and sound based on factors such as heart rate, breathing, snoring, time asleep and sleep stages.

​Related: Stablecoin giving grows as ‘crypto philanthropy’ matures: Report

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​The Pod already has AI integrations to track sleep health data; however, Eight Sleep has said the funding will help evolve the company’s current AI tools and capabilities.

“We’ve built the most seamless AI-powered health sensing system in the world, and this partnership with Tether gives us the infrastructure to take that intelligence beyond the Pod, into every aspect of personal health,” noted Franceschetti as part of Tether’s announcement.