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Ethereum derivatives open interest drops 5.62% in 24-hour leverage flush

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Sharplink refreshes brand as ETH staking reaches $1.7 billion

Ethereum derivatives markets saw a sharp bout of deleveraging over the past day, with total ETH contract open interest across major centralized exchanges falling 5.62% to 27.119 billion dollars, according to Coinglass data. ​

According to data from Coinglass, the total open interest of Ethereum (ETH) contracts across the network has contracted by 5.62% in the past 24 hours, bringing the figure down to 27.119 billion dollars.

The decline signals a decisive round of risk reduction in the derivatives market, with traders closing or being forced out of leveraged positions as conditions turn more defensive. While granular liquidation figures were not provided, the magnitude of the move suggests a mix of voluntary deleveraging and margin-driven position exits rather than a purely organic rotation.

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Binance remains the largest concentration point for ETH derivatives risk, now holding 5.74 billion dollars in open interest, while Gate registers 2.866 billion dollars, Bybit 2.059 billion dollars, and OKX 1.772 billion dollars. This clustering of leverage on a handful of venues means that order book dislocations or sudden funding shifts on these exchanges can quickly bleed into spot pricing. For basis and spread traders, the reset in open interest may open up cleaner arbitrage conditions after a period of elevated speculative positioning.

Historically, single‑day pullbacks of this scale in open interest have often acted as either mid‑trend “cleanup” events or the first leg of a broader de‑risking cycle, depending on subsequent spot demand and funding dynamics. If funding normalizes and fresh spot buying emerges, the current move could be framed as a healthy clearing of excess leverage built up during prior rallies. However, if open interest continues to grind lower while spot remains under pressure, it would indicate that systematic and speculative capital are still in distribution mode.

At press time, Ethereum is trading around 2,067 dollars, down approximately 3.65% over the past 24 hours, broadly echoing the scale of the derivatives drawdown. In the near term, traders are watching the 2,000‑dollar psychological level as key support; holding that zone while open interest stabilizes would support a consolidation narrative, whereas a decisive break lower alongside further OI contraction could signal an extension of the current downside phase.

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Crypto World

XRP price eyes a rebound as ETF inflows rise, exchange outflows rise

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XRP’s price remained flat today, March, continuing the consolidation phase that began in February. However, ongoing inflows into exchange-traded funds and declining exchange supply suggest that a rebound may be on the horizon.

Summary

  • XRP price has formed a double-bottom pattern pointing to a strong rebound.
  • The supply of XRP tokens on exchanges has dropped to the lowest level in years.
  • Data shows that spot XRP ETF inflows have continued rising this month.

Ripple (XRP), one of the top cryptocurrencies, was trading at $1.4282 on Thursday, inside a range it has been in the past few weeks. This price is 28% above the year-to-date low of $1.1137.

American investors are still buying XRP ETFs, a sign that they expect it to rebound in the coming weeks. SoSoValue data shows that spot XRP ETFs added $4.2 million in inflows on Wednesday as the crypto market rally restarted. It was the seventh consecutive day of inflows, with the cumulative total rising to $1.26 billion.

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Increased buying by American institutional investors in a time when the price is stuck in a tight range is a sign of accumulation, which often leads to a strong rebound.

Another sign of accumulation is that XRP outflows from exchanges are increasing. Data compiled by CryptoQuant shows that over 7 billion XRP tokens exited exchanges in February. The total amount of XRP tokens in exchanges has dropped to the lowest level in years.

A possible reason why investors are accumulating XRP tokens is its strong fundamentals, including the ongoing Ripple USD growth. The stablecoin has accumulated over $1.5 billion in assets, with its daily volume soaring to over $1.5 billion. 

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RLUSD is benefiting from the rising demand from both retail and institutional investors, a trend that may continue after its integration on Ripple Prime.

XRP price forecast: Technical analysis 

xrp price
Ripple price chart | Source: crypto.news 

The eight-hour chart shows that the XRP price has remained in a narrow range in the past few weeks. 

A closer look shows that it formed a double-bottom pattern at $1.3350 and a neckline at $1.6745. This pattern normally means that short-sellers are largely uncomfortable placing short trades below that level.

The coin has moved slightly above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average. Also, the Percentage Price Oscillator has crossed the zero line, while the Relative Strength Index has jumped above 50.

Therefore, the most likely XRP price forecast is bullish, with the next key target being the neckline at $1.6638. The bullish view will become invalid if it drops below the key support level at $1.3350.

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Iran Strike Bets Usher Moves to Curb Prediction Markets

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Iran Strike Bets Usher Moves to Curb Prediction Markets

Senator Chris Murphy says it’s likely people close to Donald Trump with “inside information” made bets on prediction markets on when the US would strike Iran.

US Democratic lawmakers are working on a bill to police prediction markets after raising insider trading concerns over bets made on the timing of Israeli and US strikes on Iran.

Democrat Senator Chris Murphy said in a video posted to X on Wednesday that what he claimed were White House insiders made a “very specific bet” on Friday that the US would go to war with Iran on Saturday.

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“Obviously, there are people close to Donald Trump who, on Friday, knew what was happening on Saturday, and it is very likely — probable even — that the people that placed those bets were people with inside information,” he said.

Murphy added that allowing bets on war to continue could see those close to the president “pushing us into war because they can cash in.”

A number of bets on Polymarket were widely circulated on Saturday, where six newly-created accounts reportedly earned around $1 million betting on the timing of US strikes on Iran.

In several cases, bets were made just hours before explosions were first reported in Tehran.

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Bets on US strikes in Iran have so far generated $529 million in volume on Polymarket. Last month, a Polymarket trader made about $400,000 from a well-timed wager on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

Trading volume on Iran strike bets tops $500 million. Source: Polymarket 

Bill to target prediction market insider trading 

Reuters reported on Thursday that Murphy and Democratic House Representative Mike Levin are working on the bill, intensifying pressure on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi.

Related: Polymarket user gains $400K betting on ZachXBT investigation

“It’s unbelievably clear to ​me that if anyone is using prior knowledge of military action for financial gain, that ​should be absolutely illegal,” Levin said. 

He added that commodity laws ban event contracts tied to war, terrorism, or other events “contrary to the public interest,” but the rules give prediction markets too much freedom.

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