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Altseason chatter collapses as dogecoin correlation hints at rebound

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(Santiment)

The crypto crowd has given up on altcoins. And that might be the most bullish thing about them right now.

Santiment’s social volume tracker shows weekly mentions of “altseason” across social media have fallen to rock bottom, the lowest reading in at least two years.

The term is essentially a proxy for retail greed and speculation. When everyone’s talking about altseason, it usually marks a top. When nobody’s talking about it, large holders have historically started accumulating.

(Santiment)

Every major spike in altseason chatter over the past two years coincided with a local top in DOGE. Every period of silence was followed by a rally. The pattern isn’t perfect, but the correlation between crowd disinterest and subsequent price recoveries is hard to ignore across multiple cycles.

The current apathy is earned. Altcoins have been brutalized since October’s crash. Dogecoin is down roughly 75% from its cycle peak. Solana has shed over 60%. Cardano has lost more than 70%.

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The broader altcoin market has been bleeding against bitcoin for months, with capital rotating into BTC and stablecoins rather than chasing lower-cap tokens. There’s simply nothing left to be excited about if you’ve been holding alts through this drawdown.

Other sentiment indicators confirm the exhaustion. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has spent most of February and March oscillating between “fear” and “extreme fear.”

The Coinbase Premium Index stayed negative for over 40 consecutive days through February, signaling that U.S. retail interest was absent even from bitcoin, let alone more speculative assets. Google Trends data for terms like “best crypto to buy” have flatlined while searches of “bitcoin to zero” hit a U.S. record earlier in the month.

Meanwhile, the on-chain picture has been quietly diverging from sentiment. Bitcoin wallets holding 100+ BTC approached 20,000 for the first time in late February, suggesting large holders were accumulating the dip.

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The data does not directly mean a rally is imminent; however, with the ongoing Iran conflict pressuring financial markets all over the world. The altcoin market needs bitcoin to stabilize before it can rotate lower on the risk curve.

The conditions for an altseason aren’t here yet, but the sentiment setup is.

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Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim’s BTC reserves proposal blocked by city, provincial law

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Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim’s BTC reserves proposal blocked by city, provincial law

Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim’s plan to invest city reserves in bitcoin is not permitted under the Vancouver Charter and British Columbia’s Municipal Finance Authority Act, a staff report says.

The briefing released ahead of a March council meeting recommends closing a 2024 motion to make Vancouver a “bitcoin-friendly city,” after staff determined the plan violates municipal investment rules embedded in the city’s charger. Staff wrote they “conclusively determined that under the Vancouver Charter, bitcoin is not an allowable investment asset for the City.”

The conclusion reflects the highly restrictive framework governing how Canadian municipalities can invest public funds. Section 201 of the Vancouver Charter allows the city to invest idle funds only in a narrow set of instruments, such as federal or provincial government securities, government-guaranteed bonds, municipal debt, bank-guaranteed investments, credit union deposits and certain pooled investment vehicles.

British Columbia’s Municipal Finance Authority Act reinforces the restriction.

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Municipal investment pools are limited to conservative assets such as government bonds, municipal securities, bank deposits and highly rated commercial paper.

The law defines eligible securities as bonds, debentures, deposit certificates and promissory notes, reflecting a framework built around fixed income and cash equivalents. Stocks, commodities and cryptocurrencies are not included.

A narrower question remains unresolved: whether Vancouver could still pursue the softer branding goal embedded in the motion by accepting bitcoin for taxes or fees, provided the cryptocurrency is immediately converted into Canadian dollars.

While the charter regulates how city funds are invested, it does not necessarily govern how payments are processed.

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Major whales scoop up 4.18B XRP since the 10/10 market crash

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XRP news: Major whales scoop up 4.18B XRP since the 10/10 market crash - 1

Large XRP holders have significantly increased their positions in recent months, accumulating billions of tokens following the sharp market downturn that began around October 10.

Summary

  • Large XRP holders accumulated 4.18 billion tokens following the Oct. 10 market crash, according to Santiment data.
  • Wallets holding 10M–100M XRP now control roughly 10.87B tokens, signaling sustained whale accumulation.
  • XRP is currently consolidating near $1.40, with key support at $1.35 and resistance around $1.50–$1.60.

The broader crypto market experienced a notable correction during that period, with several major assets retracing after a strong rally earlier in the year. The Ripple token (XRP) was among the tokens affected, sliding from above the $2.30 region and entering a prolonged downtrend that lasted through early 2026.

However, the sell-off appears to have created an accumulation opportunity for large investors.

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Data from Santiment shows that wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP have steadily increased their balances since the October crash. These addresses collectively added roughly 4.18 billion XRP over the period, pushing their combined holdings to about 10.87 billion XRP.

XRP news: Major whales scoop up 4.18B XRP since the 10/10 market crash - 1
Whales accumulating XRP | Source: Santiment

Meanwhile, the largest whale cohort, wallets holding 100 million to 1 billion XRP, have also maintained elevated holdings, with balances recently climbing toward 8.74 billion XRP.

The sustained rise in these wallet balances suggests that major investors have been quietly accumulating during the market pullback rather than exiting positions, a pattern that historically precedes stronger market moves once broader sentiment improves.

XRP price analysis

At press time, XRP is trading near $1.40, stabilizing after weeks of sideways price action following the earlier decline from the $2.20 region.

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XRP news: Major whales scoop up 4.18B XRP since the 10/10 market crash - 2
XRP price analysis | Source: Crypto.News

The daily chart shows XRP forming a consolidation range between roughly $1.35 and $1.50, indicating a potential base-building phase as volatility continues to compress.

Momentum indicators remain neutral. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 45, suggesting that the asset is neither oversold nor overbought. This typically reflects a market waiting for a stronger directional catalyst.

Meanwhile, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator is slightly negative near -0.11, indicating mild capital outflows despite the ongoing whale accumulation.

Key technical levels to watch include support around $1.35, which has held multiple times in recent weeks. A breakdown below this level could open the door toward $1.20.

On the upside, resistance sits near $1.50, with a stronger barrier around $1.60. A decisive breakout above this zone could signal renewed bullish momentum if whale accumulation continues.

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Vancouver Staff Say Bitcoin Cannot Be Held in City Reserves

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Vancouver Staff Say Bitcoin Cannot Be Held in City Reserves

Vancouver city staff said Bitcoin cannot be held in municipal reserves and recommended that the city council drop a proposal to create a Bitcoin reserve.

City staff, led by Colin Knight, general manager of the Finance and Supply Chain Management department, “conclusively determined” that Bitcoin (BTC) is not an “allowable investment” for the city under the Vancouver Charter, according to a motions update report dated March 2.

Staff recommended merging the motion with other related initiatives to reprioritize resources, with a final decision pending a council vote at a meeting on March 10.

Source: Vancouver City Council

The proposal to create a Vancouver Bitcoin reserve was originally introduced in late 2024 by Mayor Ken Sim as part of a motion titled “Preserving the City’s Purchasing Power Through Diversification of Financial Reserves — Becoming a Bitcoin-Friendly City.”

The council passed the motion with six votes in favor and two opposed. However, the latest developments could stall the proposal entirely.

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Bitcoin’s inflation hedge argument fades amid bear market

Introducing the proposal in 2024, Mayor Sim said the motion was partly aimed at helping the city hedge against inflation using Bitcoin, which has often been described as “digital gold” because of its fixed supply capped at 21 million coins.

“As an open, decentralized, and secure digital asset, Bitcoin has been recognized by many financial experts and analysts as a potential hedge against inflation and currency debasement,” the motion reads.

Related: Bitcoin is forming a bottom as the 4-year cycle ends: VanEck CEO

The argument that Bitcoin acts as an inflation hedge has weakened recently as the cryptocurrency’s price declined sharply. Bitcoin has fallen about 50% from its October 2025 peak of above $126,000, returning to late-2024 levels and briefly touching lows near $60,000.

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Bitcoin (BTC) price chart since late 2020. Source: CoinGecko

Despite skepticism from some analysts who argue Bitcoin does not behave like digital gold, macroeconomists such as Lyn Alden remain bullish on the digital asset relative to gold in the near term.

“If I had to bet Bitcoin versus gold over the next two to three years, I would bet Bitcoin,” Alden said on the New Era Finance podcast on Wednesday.

Magazine: Would Bitcoin really be at $200K if not for Jane Street? Trade Secrets