Crypto World
Why is crypto market going down today? (March 6)
The crypto market pulled back on Friday following a strong rebound on Thursday.
Summary
- The crypto market backpedalled on part of its recent gains after BTC faced rejection at $74K.
- Concerns around a major options expiry event and capital rotation to traditional safe-haven assets have also suppressed demand for risk assets.
After rallying nearly 5.5% over the past day, the global crypto market capitalization once again retracted, dropping 2% to $2.48 trillion on Friday, March 6. Bitcoin (BTC) was down 1.8% in the daily timeframe, while Ethereum (ETH) posted losses of 1.3%. Other major cryptocurrencies, such as BNB (BNB), XRP (XRP), and Solana (SOL), also faced similar losses as the broader market cooled.
As crypto prices fell, it triggered the liquidation of traders with highly leveraged bullish positions across leveraged markets. Data from CoinGlass shows that nearly $167.5 million of the total $252 million liquidations that took place in the past 24 hours came from long positions.
Amidst the market drop, the crypto fear and greed index fell by 4 points to 18, a sign that risk-on sentiment among investors seems to be evaporating.
The crypto market fell after Bitcoin faced rejection at $74,000 on Thursday after rallying over 16% in the past 5 days. This came as investors booked profits, which is quite common after an asset has rallied over multiple days.
Bitcoin’s rejection and successive drop caught highly leveraged traders off guard, triggering a cascade in liquidations which then rippled off to other altcoins in the leveraged markets.
Multiple analysts note that the rejection has left BTC vulnerable to more downside and has dampened the short term outlook for the entire sector.
$2.68 billion options expiry today
Another key reason why the market slipped lower today is fears surrounding a $2.68 billion options expiry across the crypto market on the Deribit exchange at 8:00 a.m. UTC.
Notably, around 32,000 Bitcoin contracts with a notional value of $2.2 billion are set to expire with the max pain price at $69,000. Concurrently, Ethereum options worth $397 million will also settle today.
Such a massive options expiry event typically leads to significant price volatility as traders adjust or close out their positions. The open interest of the total crypto market has dropped 4.76% over the past 24 hours, suggesting traders seem to be unwinding their bets ahead of the potential price swings.
Rising energy prices spark rotation to traditional safe-haven assets
The crypto market also tanked amid rising energy prices after Iran’s suspected attack on U.S. oil ships around the port of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted global supply chains.
Investors fear that rising crude oil and gas prices due to the conflict could reignite inflation. Consequently, they have turned risk-averse as they rotate capital towards traditional safe-haven assets such as gold, which has performed significantly better during these uncertain times.
Stalled crypto legislation
Investor sentiment was also hurt after progress on the CLARITY Act, a highly anticipated U.S. market structure bill, stalled once again.
While U.S. President Donald Trump has called for a swift implementation of the framework, the landmark bill hit a new impasse after leading banking groups rejected a White House compromise for the bill, citing risks to traditional institutions.
The delay has cast severe doubt on whether the CLARITY Act can pass before the 2026 summer recess, removing a major regulatory tailwind for the industry.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Liquidity Analysis Eyes $65,000 Support Retest to Come
Bitcoin (BTC) has “annihilated” short sellers with its latest trip to monthly highs as crypto liquidations pass $500 million.
Key points:
-
Bitcoin bears suffer as BTC price action hits $74,000.
-
Analysis sees more liquidations to come, including longs, with possible market dips below $70,000 to test support.
-
Bitcoin inflows begin to copy a broad ETF rebound in place through 2026.
BTC price analysis: “Bulls just took back control”
New analysis from CryptoReviewing, the pseudonymous cofounder of trading community Wealth Capital, says that the “entire market scenario” for Bitcoin has changed.
The past few days have seen BTC price swings take out both long and short positions worth hundreds of millions of dollars, but the trip to $74,000 ultimately cost bears more.
“Bears just got annihilated,” CryptoReviewing summarized.
Accompanying exchange order-book data from monitoring resource CoinGlass shows price slicing through walls of liquidations.
Wednesday’s liquidation total for Bitcoin and altcoins neared $600 million, with more shorts erased than on any day since Feb. 25.

“And now the entire market scenario has changed… At $73,000 – $75,000 we have a large liquidity zone which could be swept, potentially leading to even higher levels,” CryptoReviewing continued.
“However, $65,000 – $71,000 below has roughly 4x more liquidity built up, making it the ‘more likely’ zone from a liquidity perspective to be visited next. Bulls just took back control.”

Such a support test is also on the radar for Keith Alan, cofounder of trading platform Material Indicators.
As part of a new market analysis published on Wednesday, Alan argued that a consolidation phase should form part of a reliable trend change.
“A support test, sooner than later, would be healthy, but I’m not sure that the market is going to make it that easy on us. However this develops, IMO, the longer it takes to grind up, the more durable the rally will likely be,” he wrote.
Alan nonetheless warned that long-term bearish signals remained in place, expecting Bitcoin’s “next leg down” to result from the current setup.
Bitcoin ETFs in focus amid “historic acceleration”
As Cointelegraph reported, price upside has accompanied renewed interest in Bitcoin from institutional sources.
Related: ‘This is not World War III:’ Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw net inflows of nearly $500 million on Wednesday.
Data from UK-based investment company Farside Investors confirms that inflows have been net positive on all but one trading day since Feb. 24. Even then, outflows were modest at just $27.5 million.
So far in March, the ETFs have taken in over $1.1 billion in capital.

Commenting, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted that ETF interest has broadly spiked this year, making the US Bitcoin and Ethereum offerings relative laggards after months of outflows.
“Investors are pouring money into US funds at a record pace: US-listed ETFs have pulled in +$380 billion so far in 2026, on track for the best year on record. This marks a +80% increase compared to the first two months of 2025,” it revealed on X.
Kobeissi described the US ETF industry as “experiencing a historic acceleration in investor demand.”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto World
OKX introduces social networking feature to connect crypto traders inside its app
Crypto exchange OKX has launched a new social trading platform called Orbit, designed to connect traders through shared strategies, market insights, and community-driven discussions.
Summary
- OKX launched Orbit, a social trading network where users can share trade ideas, market insights, and strategies.
- The platform aims to combine social media-style interaction with crypto trading tools to help traders collaborate and learn from each other.
- The launch follows broader momentum for the exchange, including a recent surge in the OKB token after an ICE-linked investment tied to the OKX ecosystem.
OKX launches in-app trader network
According to the exchange, Orbit functions as a social network built specifically for crypto traders, enabling users to share trade ideas, post analysis, and interact with other market participants in real time.
The platform aims to combine elements of social media with trading-focused tools to help users discover strategies and track market sentiment more efficiently.
Through Orbit, traders can publish posts, discuss market developments, and follow experienced traders to gain insights into different trading approaches. OKX said the platform is designed to help both retail and experienced traders collaborate, learn from each other, and stay informed about emerging trends in the digital asset market.
The launch reflects a broader shift across the crypto industry toward community-driven trading ecosystems, where investors increasingly rely on social signals, influencer commentary, and peer insights to guide trading decisions.
Orbit is part of OKX’s broader effort to expand its product ecosystem beyond traditional exchange services. In recent months, the company has been rolling out new features aimed at strengthening user engagement and building a more integrated crypto platform.
The expansion comes as OKX has also been gaining momentum in its native token ecosystem. The exchange’s OKB token surged yesterday after reports that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, made a strategic investment tied to OKX’s ecosystem, highlighting growing institutional interest in the platform.
The move helped boost market sentiment around OKB and underscored OKX’s efforts to strengthen its position among the largest global crypto exchanges.
Crypto World
Judge Freezes 70 BTC from BlockFills in Court Dispute Tied to User Funds
A US Judge has temporarily frozen 70.6 Bitcoin tied to cryptocurrency lending and trading company BlockFills and ordered a full segregated account of customer funds after Dominion Capital accused the company of misappropriating customer assets and commingling funds, according to a court filing.
The complaint, filed Feb. 27, alleges that BlockFills unlawfully retained millions of dollars in customer crypto assets and used commingled funds to cover losses. Judge Mary Kay Vyskocil issued a temporary restraining order (TRO) for 70.6 Bitcoin (BTC), worth about $5 million, currently held by BlockFills, which Dominion says belongs to it, according to a Tuesday court filing.
BlockFills must respond to the court order by March 17, 2026. The order comes three weeks after BlockFills halted withdrawals in February.

The TRO was issued against the defendant without notice because Dominion Capital clearly showed the “immediate and irreparable injury, loss, or damage” that will result to the plaintiff before the defendant may be heard in opposition, the filing reads.
BlockFills halts user withdrawals amid Bitcoin crash
BlockFills announced a halt to customer deposits and withdrawals amid the broader crypto market correction on Feb. 11.
The company said it decided to stop withdrawals to protect clients and restore liquidity on the platform following Bitcoin’s decline to $60,000.
Related: Analysts reject Jane Street ‘10 a.m. dump’ claims, say Bitcoin isn’t easily manipulated
“Management has been working hand in hand with investors and clients to bring this issue to a swift resolution and to restore liquidity to the platform,” wrote BlockFills in the statement, adding that clients have been able to open and close their existing spot and derivatives positions.

The decision impacted about 2,000 institutional clients, including asset managers and hedge funds that contributed to the $60 billion trading volume logged on BlockFills in 2025, according to its annual report.
Related: Indiana lawmakers pass crypto rights bill banning discriminatory taxes
Chicago-based BlockFills is an institutional-focused platform serving professional traders, hedge funds and asset managers, with a minimum $10 million threshold for certain services, including its Options Products.
Dominion Capital is a New York-based investment company founded in 2011, primarily focusing on private equity, structured finance and real estate investments.
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Crypto World
Dubai Regulator Warns KuCoin Over Unlicensed Crypto Services
Dubai’s digital asset regulator has instructed entities behind crypto exchange KuCoin to halt unlicensed virtual asset activities in the emirate, warning investors that the platform is not authorized to serve Dubai residents.
In a Thursday investor and marketplace alert, the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) said that Phoenixfin Pte Ltd, MEK Global Limited, Peken Global Limited and Kucoin Exchange EU GmbH, all commercially advertising as KuCoin, may be providing virtual asset activities to Dubai residents, “without the necessary regulatory approvals and misrepresenting its licensing status.”
VARA said the group had been instructed to cease and desist all unlicensed digital asset activities and stressed that KuCoin did “not hold any licence to provide Virtual Asset services in/from Dubai.”
The watchdog added that any virtual asset activities advertised or conducted by the entities were in breach of VARA regulations and wider United Arab Emirates legislation, including Dubai Law No. 4 of 2022 and Cabinet Resolution No. 111/2022, which require all virtual asset service providers to be licensed to operate legally.

VARA also clarified that “any promotion, advertising, or solicitation related to KuCoin has not been approved,” and that the exchange was not permitted to offer, promote or market virtual asset products or services in Dubai or to its residents.
Related: KuCoin taps former LSEG exec Sabina Liu to lead MiCA expansion in Europe
Consumers engaging with unlicensed platforms face “significant financial risks and potential legal consequences” for violating regulatory requirements or even criminal laws, the regulator warned.
VARA urged Dubai-based users to avoid using KuCoin for virtual asset services, to verify that companies are on its public register of licensed providers before transacting and to report any suspected unlicensed activity directly to the authority.
Dubai alert follows Austria freeze on KuCoin EU operations
The Dubai alert comes shortly after Austria’s Financial Market Authority froze new business at KuCoin EU, the Vienna-based entity that holds a Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation license, citing failures to maintain key Anti-Money Laundering, Counter-Terrorist Financing and sanctions compliance roles.
KuCoin’s European management said that it had voluntarily paused new onboarding and some trading activities while it worked to refill those positions and bring the business back into full compliance.
Cointelegraph reached out to KuCoin for comment but had not received a response by publication.
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Crypto World
Vara tells crypto exchange KuCoin to halt operations in Dubai
Dubai’s digital assets regulator said cryptocurrency exchange KuCoin has been operating without the necessary regulatory approvals and licensing, and must cease and desist from serving clients in the region.
“Kucoin does not hold any licence to provide virtual asset services in/from Dubai. Any activities related to Virtual Assets advertised or conducted by this company are therefore in breach of the VARA Regulations,” the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) said in a statement.
“Any promotion, advertising, or solicitation related to Kucoin has not been approved by VARA, and the company is therefore not allowed to offer, promote, or market any Virtual Asset products or services in Dubai or to its residents,” the regulator added, advising consumers and investors in Dubai to avoid engaging with Kucoin.
The alert comes just weeks after Austria’s financial regulator prohibited the European arm of KuCoin from conducting new business and onboarding customers due to a lack of appropriate compliance staff.
A few months earlier, Austria’s finance regulator, FMA, granted KuCoin a Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) permit to operate across the European Union.
KuCoin, a Seychelles-based cryptocurrency exchange founded in China in 2017, is now one of the largest offshore crypto platforms, ranked in the top 10 by trading volume.
Crypto World
Justin Sun ‘Very Pleased’ With $10 Million SEC Settlement
The US regulator has dismissed all claims against Sun, the Tron Foundation, and BitTorrent Foundation.
Justin Sun, the founder of the Tron Foundation, took it to X to announce that the claims against him made by the US Securities and Exchange Commission have been officially dismissed after reaching a $10 million settlement.
The lawsuit began during the height of the previous SEC administration’s war on crypto, when he and a few other parties were sued for several trading schemes.
Lawsuit Dismissed
Sun outlined on X that he was “very pleased” with the decision made by the US regulator to dismiss all claims against him, the Tron Foundation, and the BitTorrent Foundation. He believes this move “brings closure,” but promised that he will continue building.
Sun added that the United States, which needs to become a global crypto hub as claimed numerous times by President Trump and his administration, will be a main focus in his future plans.
I am very pleased to confirm that the SEC has moved to dismiss all claims against me, Tron Foundation, and BitTorrent Foundation.
Today’s resolution brings closure, but I never stopped building. I will continue to focus on accelerating innovation in the United States and around…
— H.E. Justin Sun 👨🚀 🌞 (@justinsuntron) March 5, 2026
The decision to resolve the civil fraud case comes with a $10 million settlement, but Sun and his companies did not admit or deny any wrongdoing, said US District Judge Edgardo Ramos in Manhattan.
The Lawsuit Itself
It began in 2023 when Sun was accused of organizing the unregistered sale of crypto securities tied to the TRX and BTT tokens and of manipulating trading volumes. According to the SEC, Sun attempted to artificially inflate the trading volume of TRX through wash trading schemes between April 2018 and February 2019, making employees of the Tron Foundation participate in more than 600,000 illegal trades using accounts controlled by them and the BitTorrent Foundation.
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The agency also claimed that Sun sold a large portion of the TRX tokens on the secondary market and generated proceeds of “$31 million from illegal, unregistered offers and sales of the token (TRX).”
Two years after the lawsuit began, the US watchdog asked the federal court overseeing the case to issue a stay, which paused the proceeding. However, once the US administration changed, Sun became a major financial supporter of Trump-linked crypto ventures, purchasing billions of WLFI tokens, which made him the largest backer of World Liberty Financial.
Although TRX and BTT crashed immediately after the lawsuit began three years ago, the impact on the performance over the past 12 hours after Sun’s announcement has been minimal. TRX is 0.5% up on the day, while BTT is actually 1% down.
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Crypto World
Crypto News Today: $2.6 Billion Options Expiry With Volatility Expected
In crypto news today, the markets are bracing for a spike in Bitcoin volatility as approximately $2.6Bn in options contracts are set to expire across major exchanges. Bitcoin USD is currently holding firmly above the $70,000 threshold, but derivatives data indicate a potential gravitational pull downward toward the ‘max pain’ price of $69,000.
With 31,700 Bitcoin contracts and 184,000 Ethereum contracts rolling off the board, traders are watching closely to see if the 08:00 UTC settlement triggers a relief rally or a short-term correction.
The expiry comes as spot markets attempt to consolidate after adding +$150Bn to the total market cap earlier this week, as it reached $2.5 trillion once more.
Prices have been cooling off since Friday morning, and the divergence between the current spot price and the max pain levels suggests the next few hours could be choppy.
Bitcoin Options: $69,000 Max Pain Level — What It Means for BTC Price
The lion’s share of today’s expiry lies in Bitcoin, with a notional value of roughly $2.2Bn. Data from CoinGlass highlights a max pain point of $69,000, slightly below the current trading range. If prices gravitate toward this level before settlement, Bitcoin could see a sharp flush to punish over-leveraged longs.
The put/call ratio for this batch of contracts sits at 1.7, indicating a heavy dominance of bearish bets. A ratio significantly above 1.0 typically signals that traders are hedging against downside risk, with more expiring shorts (puts) than longs (calls) in the mix.

Open interest (OI) on Deribit remains highest at the $60,000 strike price, suggesting that while the immediate max pain is near $69,000, the broader market structure still has significant defensive positioning lower down.
If Bitcoin holds above $70,000 through the settlement window, the failure of these bearish puts to profit could force a rapid unwinding, potentially fueling a move toward $75,000.
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Ethereum Options: $1,950 Max Pain: Volatility Risk for ETH USD
Ethereum faces its own settlement pressure today, with approximately 184,000 contracts expiring carrying a notional value of around $380M. Unlike Bitcoin’s bearish skew, Ethereum’s put/call ratio stands at 0.85, signaling a more balanced but slightly bullish sentiment among traders.
However, the max pain price for ETH is significantly lower at $1,950. With Ethereum trading well above this level, the risk of a “pinning” event, in which price is pulled down to maximize option writer profits, is less severe but not impossible.
Recent discussions around Ethereum’s roadmap have added fundamental noise to the price action, but today’s moves will likely be driven by these derivatives flows.
If ETH can maintain its distance from the $1,950 max pain point, it confirms strong spot demand, potentially setting the stage for a run at $2,200.

Analyst Views: Is a Relief Rally Coming, or is a Deeper Correction Next?
Market watchers are divided on whether this option’s expiry will mark a local top or a refueling station for the next leg up. Data from GreeksLive shows that selling call options has dominated trading over the last 48 hours.
“Despite ongoing price gains, momentum has slowed,” the firm noted, pointing out that Bitcoin is poised to challenge $75,000 only if it can shake off the expiry-induced drag.
A contrarian view suggests that the high put/call ratio on Bitcoin acts as a signal for a squeeze. When the crowd is heavy on puts, the market often moves the opposite way to punish the majority.
Market sentiment has suddenly flipped in recent days, and if spot buyers absorb the selling pressure at $69,000, the path of least resistance remains up.
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The post Crypto News Today: $2.6 Billion Options Expiry With Volatility Expected appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Goes Mainstream: Morgan Stanley, TD Bank, and Citi Announce Major BTC Plans
TLDR:
- Morgan Stanley plans to offer Bitcoin trading, lending, yield, and custody services to clients in the near future.
- TD Bank shifts focus to Bitcoin products, stablecoins, and tokenized deposits following a major regulatory stance change.
- Citi aims to make Bitcoin bankable by adding BTC custody to its $30 trillion traditional asset management structure.
- Bitcoin for Corporations event revealed that legacy banks are actively building BTC products driven by regulatory clarity.
Bitcoin is entering the core product lines of three major global financial institutions. Morgan Stanley, TD Bank, and Citi each announced plans to offer Bitcoin-related services.
These statements were made at the Bitcoin for Corporations event held last week. The event brought together Bitcoin-native builders and executives from traditional banking.
Regulatory clarity and rising client demand appear to be driving this shift forward. Together, these three banks mark a turning point for Bitcoin in mainstream finance.
Morgan Stanley and TD Bank Outline Their Bitcoin Service Plans
Amy Oldenburg, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Morgan Stanley, spoke directly at the event. She stated that “2025 was incredible for the bank’s digital assets journey.”
Morgan Stanley has confirmed future plans to offer Bitcoin trading, lending, yield, and custody. These services represent a clear expansion of the bank’s digital asset capabilities going forward. Oldenburg’s confirmation indicates the bank is building a full-spectrum Bitcoin product suite for clients.
Jeff Solomon, Special Advisor and Vice Chair at TD Bank, also addressed the gathering directly. He noted that “the regulatory stance on digital Assets has flipped from avoidance to adoption.”
This shift has opened new space for banks to build Bitcoin-based products confidently. TD Bank is now focused on delivering stablecoins, tokenized deposits, and Bitcoin products to customers. Solomon’s remarks reflect a growing confidence among legacy banks in digital asset integration.
Both banks reflect a clear trend taking shape across traditional financial institutions. Banks are no longer treating Bitcoin as a compliance risk to keep at arm’s length. Instead, they are building direct products that connect regulated clients to Bitcoin markets.
The changing regulatory environment has played a central role in accelerating these decisions. Client interest has further pushed institutions to move from observation into active product development.
Citi Plans to Bring Bitcoin Into Its $30 Trillion Asset Management Structure
Nisha Surendran, Head of Digital Asset Custody at Citi Investor Services, shared a focused message. Her central idea was direct and clear: “make Bitcoin bankable.”
Later this year, Citi plans to bring Bitcoin into its $30 trillion asset management structure. The bank will start with institutional custody and key management as its first practical steps. These services allow clients to hold Bitcoin securely within a fully regulated financial environment.
Citi’s scale sets this move apart from other institutional Bitcoin efforts in the market. The bank currently manages $30 trillion in traditional assets across its global client base. Bringing Bitcoin into that structure could expose it to a broad range of institutional investors.
Custody and key management lay the groundwork for deeper Bitcoin integration over time. They also build confidence for clients who want Bitcoin alongside their existing portfolio holdings.
The combined plans from Morgan Stanley, TD Bank, and Citi show Bitcoin’s growing place in traditional finance. Each bank is approaching digital assets from its own strategic angle.
Yet all three are moving toward offering Bitcoin-based products to institutional clients. This momentum shows that Bitcoin is no longer a fringe consideration for legacy banks. The coming months will reveal how quickly these commitments translate into actual client offerings.
Crypto World
John Daghita arrested in Saint Martin for alleged $46M crypto theft
A U.S. government contractor accused of stealing more than $46 million in crypto from the U.S. Marshals Service has been arrested in Saint Martin following a joint international law enforcement operation, according to the FBI.
Summary
- John Daghita was arrested in Saint Martin for allegedly stealing more than $46 million in cryptocurrency from the United States Marshals Service.
- The arrest followed a joint operation between the Federal Bureau of Investigation and France’s French Gendarmerie Nationale, including the elite Groupe d’intervention de la Gendarmerie nationale.
- Kash Patel said the case highlights continued international cooperation to track down suspects accused of defrauding U.S. government agencies.
John Daghita captured in a joint FBI operation
In a statement shared on social media, FBI Director Kash Patel confirmed that suspect John Daghita was apprehended overnight by the Federal Bureau of Investigation working alongside France’s elite law enforcement units.
The arrest took place on the Caribbean island of Saint Martin.
According to Patel, the operation was carried out by the French Gendarmerie Nationale, including its elite tactical force, the Groupe d’intervention de la Gendarmerie nationale, in coordination with the FBI.
Authorities allege that Daghita stole more than $46 million in cryptocurrency from the United States Marshals Service, a federal agency responsible for managing and securing seized assets, including digital currencies confiscated in criminal investigations. The agency has historically overseen large crypto holdings obtained through high-profile cases, with funds typically stored in government-controlled wallets until they are auctioned or otherwise disposed of.
Patel praised the international coordination involved in the arrest, highlighting assistance from the French Gendarmerie’s International Cooperation Team Serious Crime Unit in Saint Martin as well as tactical support from the Gendarmerie unit based in Guadeloupe.
“FBI will continue working 24/7 with our international partners to track down, apprehend, and bring to justice those who attempt to defraud American taxpayers—no matter where they try to hide,” Patel said.
Details about how the alleged theft occurred or when the funds were taken have not yet been publicly disclosed. Authorities have also not indicated whether the stolen crypto has been recovered.
Daghita is expected to face further legal proceedings as authorities coordinate next steps following his detention in Saint Martin.
Crypto World
ETH USD: Is the Ethereum Breakout a Bull Trap?
The Ethereum price slammed into the critical $2,160 resistance level yesterday, and after attempting to reverse a historic six-month losing streak, ETH USD looks to have rejected and is now trading back under $2,100.
Price action is currently extremely volatile, with ETH falling -1.6% over the last 24 hours to trade near $2,080, leaving traders paralyzed between a potential breakout and a classic bull trap.
While bullish momentum is building on lower timeframes, many European trading desks are warning of a classic bull trap setup, a fakeout that lures buyers in before flushing the price to new lows.
With the asset sitting at a make-or-break pivot, this coming weekend could define the Ethereum trend for the remainder of Q1 2026.

Ethereum Price Analysis: What’s Next After $2,160 Rejection?
While the 12-hour timeframe is teasing a massive reversal pattern that has bulls salivating, Ethereum needs to hold above $2,000. A daily close above this level would confirm the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline sitting firmly at that crucial $2,160 level.
Adding to the bullish case is a clear divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has been making higher lows while the price consolidated. This momentum shift suggests that sellers are finally becoming exhausted.
If buyers can defend the $2,000 zone and clear the $2,160 resistance level, the immediate path of least resistance flips to the upside, targeting the 200-day moving average.
However, the risk of a fakeout remains high. If ETH USD fails to clear this breakout and slips back below $2,000, the bullish structure would be invalidated.
In that scenario, the price would likely retest the $1,900 support zone. Traders watching the crypto price prediction today are acutely aware that volume must sustain this move, as a breakout on low volume is a prime candidate for a reversal.
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On-Chain Data Shows Massive Accumulation for ETH USD: Is It Enough?
On-chain metrics reveal aggressive accumulation despite chart resistance. Data from Glassnode shows that long-term holders added 252,142 Ethereum to their holdings in February 2026.
This “averaging down” behavior indicates that investors see current prices as a buying opportunity, regardless of short-term volatility.
This accumulation trend coincides with updates on Ethereum’s long-term roadmap from Vitalik, boosting confidence among institutional investors.
The disparity between increasing holder balances and stagnant prices often signals a potential supply shock, assuming macro conditions don’t lead to liquidation.
Currently, support levels are holding, with the realized price for short-term holders aligning with market prices, suggesting that the capitulation phase may soon end.
Analysts Warn: Is This a Bull Trap?
Despite some market optimism, analysts are highlighting significant structural risks on the weekly timeframe.
Benjamin Cowen points out that Ethereum is trading below its weekly “bull market support band,” and the 50-week and 200-week moving averages are near a death cross.
This has raised concerns among seasoned traders that the current rally might be a “bull trap.” If resistance at $2,160 holds, analysts predict a potential drop to $1,320-$1,345, a level not seen since the last cycle’s early accumulation phases.
Additionally, a new Chinese AI, Kimi, forecasts volatile market conditions leading into 2026 before any sustained all-time highs can occur.
To counter this bearish outlook, bulls need a weekly close above $2,300 on ETH USD to regain structural support; without it, the macro trend remains bearish.
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The post ETH USD: Is the Ethereum Breakout a Bull Trap? appeared first on Cryptonews.
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