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Bitcoin Miners Position for Volatile Report

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MARA Holdings Inc.’s stock advanced modestly on February 24, 2026, closing at $8.05 after gaining 2.22%, as investors positioned cautiously ahead of the Bitcoin mining company’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings report scheduled for February 26, amid ongoing sector challenges and a broader crypto market rebound.

MARA Holdings, Inc

The shares, trading on NASDAQ under ticker MARA, traded in a range of $7.59 to $8.17 during the session with volume of approximately 37 million shares—below recent averages but still elevated. The stock has declined sharply year-to-date in 2026, down roughly 14-15% from early January levels, and remains well below its 52-week high of $23.45 reached in 2025. The pullback reflects pressure from Bitcoin price volatility, rising energy costs, increased competition, and a shift in investor sentiment toward profitability amid a maturing digital asset industry.

MARA Holdings, formerly Marathon Digital Holdings, operates large-scale Bitcoin mining facilities powered by sustainable energy sources, including hydro and nuclear, across North America. The company has emphasized energy efficiency and strategic Bitcoin accumulation, holding significant reserves to benefit from price appreciation while generating revenue from mining rewards and sales.

The February 24 gain followed a multi-day stabilization around $7.50-$8.00, with analysts attributing the modest uptick to pre-earnings repositioning and a slight Bitcoin recovery. Trading volume reached about $290 million, ranking the stock 424th in activity for the day, indicating selective interest rather than broad enthusiasm.

The upcoming earnings release, set for after market close on February 26 with a conference call at 5:00 p.m. ET, represents a pivotal moment. The Zacks consensus estimate calls for a net loss of $0.23 per share—wider than the year-ago profit of $1.24—while projecting revenue of approximately $223.9 million to $224 million, up 4.4% year-over-year. Expectations center on mining output, energy costs, Bitcoin holdings, and any updates on expansion or diversification efforts.

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MARA has pursued a dual strategy of efficient Bitcoin mining and strategic asset retention, with recent quarters showing resilience despite industry headwinds. The company has highlighted low power costs through long-term contracts and investments in sustainable infrastructure. However, analysts note challenges from halving events reducing block rewards, higher competition, and potential dilution from capital raises.

The firm has also explored adjacent opportunities, including partnerships and infrastructure development to support broader digital energy applications. A February 20 announcement scheduled the earnings call, with results to be detailed in a shareholder letter on the investor relations site prior to the webcast.

Wall Street views remain mixed but lean toward Hold to Moderate Buy. Consensus among covering analysts sets average 12-month price targets around $19.27—implying significant upside of over 130% from current levels—though targets vary widely reflecting the stock’s high beta of 5.56 and sensitivity to Bitcoin movements. Some firms highlight MARA’s scale and energy advantages as positives for long-term recovery, while others caution on near-term profitability and execution risks.

Broader sector dynamics influence sentiment. Bitcoin mining stocks have faced volatility in 2026 following 2025’s crypto rally, with concerns over energy prices, regulatory scrutiny, and the transition to post-halving economics. MARA’s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 and current ratio above 2.0 provide some balance sheet stability, but the stock trades below its 50-day ($9.46) and 200-day ($13.66) moving averages, signaling technical weakness.

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Upcoming catalysts include the February 26 report, where management will likely address guidance for 2026, Bitcoin production trends, cost controls, and any progress on non-mining initiatives. Positive surprises on revenue, margins, or Bitcoin holdings could spark a rebound; wider-than-expected losses or cautious outlook might extend downside.

MARA Holdings continues to navigate a transitional phase in the digital asset sector. Its focus on sustainable operations and large-scale mining positions it to benefit from any sustained Bitcoin rally or increased institutional adoption. However, proving consistent profitability amid cyclical pressures will be key to regaining investor confidence.

As earnings approach, the stock’s trajectory hinges on execution and macro crypto trends. With shares at levels well below recent peaks, some see opportunity in the volatility, while others await clearer signs of stabilization in the mining landscape.

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