For all of that left-wing press rabble babble about the Trumpian economy, also known as the great American economy, nearly all of the numbers coming in this spring are showing strength and resilience. Yes there is a war going on, yes gasoline and other energy prices have jumped up because of that war, but it’s very hard to find negative consequences from the Iran energy war shock.

Of course that’s all the lefty press ever writes about, but the lefties are gonna be very disappointed that there is no recession in sight. Indeed, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow is predicting 3.7 percent annual growth in the second quarter. And today’s jobs number is yet another example of a strong economy. It beat expectations by twice as much.

Private sector pay rolls jumped 123,000, following last month’s gain of 190,000. Those are big numbers. The unemployment rate is still at 4.3 percent. That’s virtually a full employment number.

We don’t need hundreds of thousands of jobs each month anymore because the borders are closed. And the so-called break even rate of job growth could be something near zero. Indeed, a good 3 million illegal immigrants have left the United States either through self-deportation or criminal deportation. Anyway, while President Trump has reduced the federal workforce by 345K, the private workforce has moved ahead by nearly that much in just the last 2 months.

Weekly unemployment claims continue at rock bottom. And interestingly it’s the nonsupervisory production workers who have done the best over the past year. Their hourly earnings have increased 3.7 percent while their hours worked have jumped 1 percent. Now what economists call the wage-income proxy, which adds earnings to hours worked, is now showing a 4.7 percent increase. The blue-collar folks are doing better than the white-collar folks.

And the 4.7 percent total wage income gain is still way better than the roughly 3 percent inflation rate favored by the Federal Reserve. And even much more ahead of the 2.7 percent median consumer price index from the Cleveland Fed. Or the 2.4 percent trimmed mean from the Dallas Fed.

Nobody’s thrilled about the energy shock, including myself, but I still believe it will be temporary. And I still believe it’s a small price to pay to the gruesome and barbaric Iranian regime, probably the worst government we’ve seen since the Nazis of a hundred years ago to get rid of all of them.

Anyway, the Institute for Supply Management’s services and manufacturing indexes are strong. Non-farm productivity over the past year is up a fantastic 2.9 percent. And unit labor costs are up only 1.2 percent, which may be the best underlying inflation measure of all. And that feeds into the best profits performance for American business in at least 20 years. Remember profits are the mothers’ milk of stocks. And that leads to the record breaking stock markets.

In Trumpian America, both workforce labor and investment capital are both doing very well. That’s what you get from tax cuts, deregulation and “drill, baby, drill,” and reciprocal fair trade. All of it.

SALT LAKE CITY — Elizabeth Smart, the survivor of a notorious 2002 abduction who became a leading advocate for missing persons cases, expressed cautious optimism Thursday that Nancy Guthrie, the 84-year-old mother of “Today” show co-anchor Savannah Guthrie, could still be alive more than three months after her disappearance from her Arizona home.

In an emotional interview, Smart said she has been closely following the case and believes there is still reason for hope. “I absolutely believe Nancy could still be alive,” Smart told reporters. “We have seen miracles in these cases before, and until we have definitive proof otherwise, we have to hold onto that possibility for the family.”

Nancy Guthrie vanished from her Catalina Foothills home near Tucson on February 1, 2026. Security footage captured a masked individual near her door around the time of her disappearance. Blood evidence, a disabled Ring camera and signs of a struggle led authorities to classify the case as an abduction rather than a missing person or wandering incident. No ransom demand has been made, and no arrests have been announced.

Pima County Sheriff’s Office and the FBI continue to investigate. A rootless hair sample and potential glove DNA recovered from the scene have been sent for advanced forensic testing, including genetic genealogy analysis. Multiple ransom-style notes received by media outlets have complicated the probe, with experts questioning their authenticity.

Elizabeth Smart’s Perspective

Smart, who was abducted at age 14 and held for nine months before her dramatic rescue, drew parallels to her own experience. “There were many times people assumed I was dead,” she said. “But I was alive. Families should never stop hoping until they have concrete answers.” She praised Savannah Guthrie’s public strength while balancing her high-profile career and family life.

Smart has offered to assist the family privately and continues advocating for better coordination between law enforcement agencies in missing persons cases involving elderly victims. She emphasized the importance of keeping Nancy’s case in the public eye without sensationalizing it.

Family’s Ongoing Ordeal

Savannah Guthrie has returned to the “Today” show while advocating for information about her mother. She briefly stepped away from the broadcast earlier this week amid emotional strain but returned the next day. The family has offered a $1 million reward for information leading to Nancy’s safe return.

The unrelated discovery of ancient human bones near the home earlier this week briefly raised hopes before forensic analysis ruled them out. The incident highlighted the challenges of searching desert terrain where old remains are occasionally found.

Investigation Challenges

The case has exposed occasional friction between local authorities and federal agencies. FBI Director Kash Patel publicly criticized initial coordination, though both sides say they are now working closely. Behavioral profilers have suggested the perpetrator may have sought fame or had some prior connection to the victim.

No proof of life has emerged in more than 95 days. Authorities continue operating under the assumption Nancy could be found alive while preparing for all possibilities. Door-to-door canvassing, expanded surveillance reviews and public appeals have generated thousands of tips.

Community Response

The upscale Catalina Foothills neighborhood remains on edge, with yellow ribbons symbolizing hope displayed prominently. Neighbors and the broader Tucson community have participated in searches and vigils. National attention, driven by Savannah Guthrie’s platform, has kept the case visible while the family urges focus on verified information.

Smart’s public expression of hope has resonated widely, with many praising her empathy and willingness to support another family facing a similar nightmare. Her foundation continues working on legislation to improve missing persons protocols, particularly for vulnerable populations like the elderly.

Broader Context

The Guthrie case stands out due to its brazen nature in a secure community and the victim’s connection to a beloved national television personality. Elizabeth Smart’s involvement brings renewed attention and reminds the public that long-term missing persons cases can sometimes end in reunions against the odds.

As the investigation enters its fourth month, law enforcement appeals for any information, no matter how small. The family continues balancing public advocacy with private grief, holding onto hope while preparing for any outcome. Smart’s message of resilience offers comfort to those following the case.

Whether Nancy Guthrie is found alive or the case brings closure through other means, her disappearance has highlighted vulnerabilities even in protected communities and the enduring power of hope in the face of uncertainty. For now, the search continues, supported by a survivor who knows firsthand that miracles in these cases are possible.

WASHINGTON — A federal trade court ruled Thursday that President Donald Trump’s sweeping 10% global tariff policy is illegal, delivering a major blow to one of the administration’s signature economic initiatives and potentially reshaping international trade negotiations. The three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of International Trade found that the tariffs exceeded presidential authority under existing trade laws and violated procedural requirements.

The decision immediately sent shockwaves through financial markets, with stocks of major importers and manufacturers rallying while broader indices showed mixed reactions. White House officials vowed a swift appeal, calling the ruling “judicial overreach” that undermines national security and economic sovereignty. Trade partners from Europe to Asia welcomed the decision but cautioned that uncertainty remains high.

The tariffs, imposed in early 2026 under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act and emergency powers, applied a baseline 10% duty on nearly all imported goods. The administration argued the measure was necessary to address trade imbalances, protect domestic industries and counter perceived unfair practices by countries like China. Critics, including business groups and several U.S. trading partners, challenged the tariffs in court, claiming they were overly broad and lacked proper justification.

In a 68-page opinion, the court sided with the challengers. Judges wrote that while the president has significant discretion in trade matters, the 10% across-the-board tariff went beyond statutory authority and failed to demonstrate a direct link to national security threats as required under the law. The ruling permanently blocks enforcement of the tariff and orders refunds for duties already collected.

Immediate Market and Economic Reaction

Stocks of retailers, automakers and consumer electronics companies rose sharply on the news, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining more than 300 points in afternoon trading. Companies that had absorbed higher costs or passed them to consumers stood to benefit most. Conversely, some domestic steel and manufacturing stocks dipped on fears of renewed foreign competition.

Economists estimated the tariffs had already added billions in costs to U.S. businesses and consumers. The ruling could ease inflationary pressures in certain sectors, though the administration warned that any revenue shortfall would need to be addressed through other means.

White House Response

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt called the decision “disappointing but expected from an activist court.” She said the administration would appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit and, if necessary, the Supreme Court. President Trump, speaking at a rally in Pennsylvania, reiterated his commitment to protecting American workers. “We’re going to keep fighting for fair trade. This is not over,” he said.

Legal experts predict a lengthy appeals process that could extend well into 2027. In the meantime, the tariffs remain on hold pending further court action.

Reactions from Trade Partners

Several U.S. allies expressed relief. The European Union, which had threatened retaliatory measures, welcomed the ruling and called for renewed negotiations on a more balanced trade framework. China described the decision as “a victory for multilateral trade rules,” though tensions over technology and subsidies persist. Mexico and Canada, key partners under the USMCA agreement, said the ruling reinforces regional economic stability.

Business organizations including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the National Retail Federation praised the court’s decision, arguing that broad tariffs harm American consumers and exporters. Labor unions were more divided, with some praising Trump’s original intent while others supported the legal challenge.

Background of the Tariff Policy

Trump first proposed the 10% global tariff during his 2024 campaign as a simple mechanism to protect U.S. industries and generate revenue. The policy was implemented in phases starting in January 2026, with exemptions for certain allies and critical goods. It quickly became one of the most controversial economic moves of his second term, drawing lawsuits from more than a dozen plaintiffs including importers, trade associations and state governments.

The Court of International Trade, which specializes in trade disputes, has historically shown deference to presidential authority in national security matters but drew a line at what it called an overly expansive interpretation of executive power.

Broader Implications for Trade Policy

The ruling could force the administration to pursue more targeted tariff actions or seek new congressional authority. It also raises questions about the limits of executive power in trade, a recurring theme in recent decades. Legal scholars expect the case to eventually reach the Supreme Court, where it could set important precedents for future presidents.

For American businesses, the decision provides short-term relief but continued uncertainty. Many companies had already adjusted supply chains or absorbed costs in anticipation of prolonged tariffs. The appeals process means planning remains difficult.

Political Ramifications

The ruling hands Democrats and free-trade Republicans a significant political victory heading into midterm election season. However, Trump’s base has strongly supported protectionist policies, and the administration is likely to frame the court decision as part of a larger battle against “globalist” institutions.

Congress could step in with legislation to clarify or expand presidential trade authorities, though partisan divisions make swift action unlikely. Bipartisan efforts to reform trade law have gained some momentum in recent months but face steep hurdles.

What Happens Next

The administration has 60 days to appeal. In the interim, importers can seek refunds for tariffs paid since implementation. The court stayed parts of its ruling pending appeal to avoid market chaos. Trade negotiations with major partners are expected to accelerate as all sides reassess their positions.

For consumers, the decision could eventually translate into lower prices on imported goods ranging from electronics and clothing to automobiles and machinery. For U.S. manufacturers competing with imports, the relief may be temporary if new, more targeted tariffs are introduced.

The landmark ruling underscores the complex interplay between executive power, judicial oversight and global commerce in an era of heightened economic nationalism. As the legal battle continues, the future of U.S. trade policy remains uncertain, with profound implications for businesses, workers and consumers alike.

The Thai government has approved a US$12.2 billion emergency borrowing package to mitigate the economic repercussions of the ongoing Middle East conflict.

As the war between the US, Israel, and Iran drives up global energy and shipping costs, Thailand faces slowing growth and rising inflation, prompting officials to implement this significant financial intervention to support low-income citizens and bolster the domestic economy.

Key Points

• The 400 billion baht loan package is intended for deployment between June and September to stimulate spending and provide relief to over 20 million low-income individuals under the “Thais Helps Thais” program.
• The funds will also be directed toward supporting alternative energy initiatives to combat the impact of volatile oil and gas prices.
• Economic forecasts have been revised downward, with the finance ministry cutting GDP growth expectations from 2.4% to 1.6% and projecting core inflation to rise to 3.0%.
• Officials confirmed that the new borrowing will keep public debt within the country’s 70% of GDP ceiling, as debt stood at 66.38% as of March.

While the borrowing package is one of the largest in recent history, the government emphasized that it remains below the levels of debt incurred during the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.

The key economic factors prompting Thailand’s US$12.2 billion emergency borrowing package are as follows:

• Impact of the Middle East Conflict: The war between the US/Israel and Iran, which began in late February, has negatively affected the global economy. This conflict has roiled global energy prices, leading to increased costs for oil, gas, shipping, and consumer goods.
• Rising Inflation: The country is experiencing significant inflationary pressure. Core inflation is now forecast to reach 3.0 percent this year, a sharp increase from the previous estimate of 0.3 percent.
• Slowing Economic Growth: Thailand’s economic growth is decelerating. The finance ministry recently lowered the country’s GDP growth forecast to 1.6 percent, down from 2.4 percent the previous year.
• Need for Economic Stabilization: The government identified the borrowing package as a necessary tool to “cushion the economic impacts,” boost domestic spending, and prevent further economic weakening.

The funds are intended to address these challenges by easing living costs for over 20 million low-income individuals through the “Thais Helps Thais” scheme and supporting alternative energy initiatives. The program also aims to bolster local economies by promoting sustainable practices and encouraging community-driven projects. By integrating these efforts, the initiative seeks to create long-term solutions that not only alleviate immediate financial burdens but also foster resilience and self-sufficiency among vulnerable populations.

Other People are Reading

NUUK, Greenland — Tensions over Greenland’s future intensified this week as President Donald Trump renewed calls for US acquisition or expanded control of the vast Arctic island, prompting Denmark to deploy additional elite forces and Greenland’s leaders to firmly reject any change in sovereignty. The diplomatic standoff, now in its fourth month, continues to strain transatlantic relations and raise concerns about Arctic security.

Trump, speaking at a White House event on May 6, reiterated that the United States “needs” Greenland for national security reasons, citing potential threats from Russia and China in the resource-rich region. He stopped short of repeating earlier tariff threats but maintained that a deal must be reached. Danish and Greenlandic officials responded swiftly, emphasizing that Greenland is not for sale and remains part of the Kingdom of Denmark.

Greenland’s Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen stated categorically that the island “is not a piece of ice” and reaffirmed its commitment to Denmark. “When faced with the choice between the US and Denmark, Greenland chooses Denmark,” he said, echoing earlier parliamentary statements.

Military Posturing and Defense Measures

Denmark has responded to the pressure by significantly bolstering its military presence. Hundreds of elite Danish combat soldiers trained in Arctic warfare have been deployed to Greenland, including senior officers. Reports indicate Denmark prepared contingency plans, including potential runway destruction at key airfields, in case of any US military action — though both sides have publicly ruled out force.

NATO discussions are underway for a possible permanent “Arctic Sentry” mission in Greenland, modeled after initiatives in the Baltic region. European leaders, including those from France and Canada, have opened or expanded consulates in Greenland as a show of solidarity.

Economic and Diplomatic Fallout

Trump’s earlier threats of 10-25% tariffs on several European nations opposing the move were paused after talks in Davos in January, but the underlying dispute lingers. Negotiations have explored increased US military basing rights, resource access, and blocking adversarial mining activities without full sovereignty transfer.

Greenland, with its population of around 56,000, holds vast untapped reserves of rare earth minerals, uranium and other critical resources essential for green technology and defense. Its strategic location makes it vital for Arctic monitoring and potential missile defense systems.

The crisis has triggered psychological strain among residents, with Greenland’s government monitoring mental health impacts. Many locals express anxiety over the uncertainty, though daily life continues amid heightened international attention.

Background of the Dispute

Trump first floated acquiring Greenland in 2019 during his first term. The idea resurfaced strongly in late 2025 and escalated in early 2026, with the administration arguing that Denmark cannot adequately defend the island against growing Russian and Chinese interest in the Arctic. Greenlandic and Danish leaders counter that existing NATO frameworks and bilateral agreements suffice.

A high-stakes January meeting in Washington between US, Danish and Greenlandic officials produced little progress, with both sides claiming different interpretations of the outcome. Subsequent talks have focused on security enhancements rather than outright purchase.

International Reactions

European allies have expressed concern that the dispute weakens NATO unity. Some view Trump’s approach as a distraction from other global priorities, including the situation in the Middle East. China and Russia have watched developments closely, with analysts warning that prolonged instability could create openings for their influence in the Arctic.

Bipartisan US congressional delegations have visited Denmark and Greenland to ease tensions and explore cooperative security arrangements. However, a small number of Republican lawmakers have introduced symbolic measures supporting Greenland as a potential US territory.

Economic Implications

Greenland’s economy, heavily reliant on fishing, tourism and Danish subsidies, faces uncertainty. Potential US investment in infrastructure or mining could bring opportunities, but most residents prioritize maintaining autonomy and their relationship with Denmark.

Global markets have shown sensitivity to the rhetoric, with occasional spikes in rare earth and shipping costs tied to Arctic tensions. Energy security analysts note that while Greenland itself produces little oil, its location affects broader shipping routes and strategic calculations.

Looking Ahead

As summer approaches in the Arctic, military exercises and diplomatic talks are expected to continue. Denmark has called a snap election partly centered on the Greenland issue, while US officials maintain that talks are “on a good trajectory” despite public differences.

For Greenlanders, the crisis has thrust their homeland into the global spotlight like never before. Whether it leads to enhanced security cooperation, greater autonomy, or continued uncertainty remains to be seen. What is clear is that the island’s strategic importance in a warming Arctic with melting ice and new shipping routes has elevated it from a remote territory to a central player in great power competition.

The situation serves as a reminder of how quickly geopolitical flashpoints can emerge in the 21st century. As stakeholders navigate security needs, resource interests and self-determination, the future of Greenland will likely shape broader Arctic dynamics for years to come.

Conference Call Participants

Christopher Carril – KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division
Andrew North – Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division
Andrew Charles – TD Cowen, Research Division
Zachary Fadem – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
Jeffrey Bernstein – Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division
Sara Senatore – BofA Securities, Research Division
Simon Elliott – Evercore Inc.
James Salera – Stephens Inc., Research Division
Lauren Silberman – Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Peter Saleh – BTIG, LLC, Research Division
Jeffrey Farmer – Gordon Haskett Research Advisors
Dennis Geiger – UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Gregory Francfort – Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division
Brian Bittner – Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division
John Ivankoe – JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
James Sanderson – Northcoast Research Partners, LLC
Logan Reich – RBC Capital Markets, Research Division
Jacob Aiken-Phillips – Melius Research LLC
Brian Harbour – Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Brian Vaccaro – Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division

Presentation

NEW YORK — The S&P 500 climbed 54.39 points, or 0.74%, to close at 7,391.50 on Thursday, extending its recent winning streak as strong corporate earnings and unrelenting enthusiasm for artificial intelligence continued to propel major indices higher on Wall Street. The benchmark index has now posted gains in four of the past five sessions, reflecting renewed investor confidence amid resilient economic data and robust performance from technology leaders.

The advance was broad-based, with nine of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finishing in positive territory. Technology led the charge with a 1.8% gain, followed by communication services and consumer discretionary. The Nasdaq Composite outperformed with a 1.2% rise, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 115 points, or 0.23%, to 49,711.98, inching closer to the milestone 50,000 level.

Tech and AI Momentum Remain Dominant Themes

Magnificent Seven stocks once again anchored the market’s upside. Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta Platforms posted solid gains as investors bet on continued capital spending on AI infrastructure. Chipmakers and software companies with heavy AI exposure benefited from optimism that enterprise adoption of generative AI tools is accelerating faster than expected.

Analysts noted that first-quarter earnings season has largely exceeded lowered expectations, with particular strength in technology, industrials and financial services. Several large companies raised guidance, signaling confidence in sustained demand despite higher interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties.

Economic Backdrop Supports Risk Appetite

The market’s resilience comes as inflation appears to be moderating and the Federal Reserve maintains a patient stance on interest rate policy. Recent retail sales data showed consumers remain willing to spend, while corporate balance sheets stay healthy. The 10-year Treasury yield held steady near 4.35%, providing a relatively stable borrowing environment for businesses.

Geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased somewhat after reports of diplomatic progress, helping stabilize oil prices around $78 per barrel. This has relieved inflationary pressures on transportation and manufacturing costs, further supporting equity valuations.

Sector Rotation and Market Breadth

While technology led, there were signs of healthy rotation into other areas. Financial stocks advanced on strong bank earnings, and industrial names benefited from positive outlooks on infrastructure spending. Small-cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000, posted more modest gains but showed improving breadth, suggesting the rally may be broadening beyond mega-cap names.

Volume was above average, indicating genuine conviction behind the buying. Advancing issues significantly outnumbered decliners on the New York Stock Exchange, a positive technical signal for continued upside.

Analyst and Strategist Views

Veteran market watchers described the current environment as constructive. “Earnings are holding up well, AI spending remains robust, and the economy is growing without overheating,” said one chief investment strategist. “The path to new highs for the S&P 500 looks increasingly probable in the coming months.”

Retail participation remains elevated through trading apps and ETFs, while institutional flows show continued preference for quality growth names with strong balance sheets. Some caution persists around elevated valuations in select AI-related stocks, but overall sentiment leans optimistic.

Risks and Watchpoints

Despite the upbeat session, potential headwinds remain. Any renewed escalation in the Middle East could disrupt energy markets and reignite inflation concerns. Slower-than-expected AI returns or reduced capital expenditure by hyperscalers could pressure technology valuations. Upcoming economic data, including consumer sentiment and inflation readings, will be closely monitored.

Longer-term, questions linger about the sustainability of high valuations and the eventual impact of higher interest rates on corporate borrowing and consumer spending. However, for now, the market appears focused on positive near-term catalysts.

Historical Perspective

Thursday’s close adds to the S&P 500’s impressive run since the 2022 bear market lows. The index has more than doubled in that period, driven by technological innovation, corporate earnings resilience and accommodative monetary policy. Reaching the 7,400 level would mark another psychological milestone in this multi-year bull market.

Outlook for Friday and Beyond

Attention now turns to Friday’s economic calendar, which includes more earnings reports and key data points. Any continued positive surprises could help sustain momentum toward fresh record highs. Strategists generally remain constructive for the remainder of 2026, projecting further gains supported by earnings growth and potential monetary easing later in the year.

For individual investors, the message remains one of measured optimism. Diversification across sectors, focus on companies with strong fundamentals and a long-term perspective continue to be sound strategies. The S&P 500’s steady climb reflects confidence in American enterprise and innovation amid periodic challenges.

As trading wrapped up Thursday, the market’s advance underscored a resilient environment where corporate execution and technological themes continue to reward investors. Whether the S&P 500 pushes decisively through 7,400 in coming sessions or consolidates first, the underlying momentum suggests Wall Street retains faith in the durability of the current economic expansion and the transformative power of artificial intelligence.