Business
Commonwealth Bank CBA Stock Rises to $160.79 on Strong Banking Sector Momentum
SYDNEY — Commonwealth Bank of Australia shares climbed to a new intraday high of $160.79 on Monday, gaining $1.39 or 0.87 percent, as investors rewarded the country’s largest lender for its resilient performance amid stable interest rates and solid economic conditions in the domestic market.
The modest but steady gain pushed CBA’s market capitalization above A$270 billion, reinforcing its position as one of Australia’s most valuable public companies and a bellwether for the broader banking sector. Trading volume was elevated throughout the session, reflecting continued investor confidence in the major banks despite global economic uncertainties.
CBA’s upward movement came as the broader S&P/ASX 200 index traded mixed, with financial stocks outperforming resource names that faced pressure from softening commodity prices. The bank’s shares have now risen more than 12 percent year-to-date, outperforming the benchmark index and highlighting the defensive appeal of Australia’s big four banks in the current environment.
Commonwealth Bank CEO Matt Comyn expressed optimism about the bank’s positioning when speaking at a recent industry conference. “We continue to see resilient customer balance sheets and disciplined lending growth across our key portfolios,” Comyn said. “Our focus remains on supporting customers through the cycle while delivering sustainable returns for shareholders.”
Strong First-Half Results Underpin Confidence
The share price strength follows CBA’s recent first-half results, which showed a 6 percent increase in cash earnings to $5.1 billion. The bank maintained a strong net interest margin despite competitive pressures and benefited from lower loan impairment charges as Australian households continued to demonstrate financial resilience.
Analysts highlighted CBA’s diversified revenue base, including wealth management, business banking and institutional services, as a key advantage. Morningstar analyst Jonathon Mott maintained a “buy” recommendation on the stock, citing its market-leading position and attractive dividend yield.
“Commonwealth Bank remains the highest-quality franchise in the Australian banking sector,” Mott said. “Its capital strength, customer franchise and digital capabilities position it well for continued outperformance even as the economic environment evolves.”
Interest Rate Environment Supports Banks
The Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to hold the cash rate steady at 4.35 percent has provided a relatively stable backdrop for the major banks. While mortgage holders face ongoing pressure from higher borrowing costs, strong employment and wage growth have helped contain bad debts.
CBA reported a low impairment ratio of just 0.12 percent of gross loans, well below historical averages. The bank also increased its interim dividend to $2.45 per share, maintaining its status as one of Australia’s highest-yielding blue-chip stocks.
However, not all commentary was positive. Some analysts warned that rising competition in the mortgage market and potential regulatory changes could pressure margins in the second half of the year. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority continues to monitor household debt levels closely, which could lead to tighter lending standards if economic conditions deteriorate.
Broader Banking Sector Performance
CBA’s gain came as peers also traded higher. Westpac rose 0.6 percent, ANZ increased 0.4 percent, and National Australia Bank added 0.7 percent. The financial sector as a whole outperformed the broader market, reflecting investor preference for defensive, dividend-paying stocks amid global volatility.
The strength in Australian banks contrasts with mixed performance in other sectors. Mining stocks faced headwinds from weaker iron ore and copper prices, while technology and consumer discretionary names showed varied results depending on individual company news.
Investor Sentiment and Market Outlook
Institutional investors appear to be increasing exposure to the major banks, drawn by attractive valuations and reliable dividends. CBA currently offers a forward dividend yield of approximately 4.2 percent, making it appealing for income-focused portfolios in a higher interest rate environment.
Retail investors have also shown strong interest, with CBA consistently ranking among the most traded stocks on the ASX. Self-managed superannuation funds in particular have maintained significant holdings in the big four banks, viewing them as core long-term investments.
Looking ahead, analysts expect the banking sector to remain resilient provided the Australian economy avoids a sharp downturn. The labor market remains tight, consumer spending is holding up, and house prices have stabilized in most capital cities. These factors support continued demand for credit and limit the risk of significant bad debt increases.
However, risks remain. A sharper-than-expected slowdown in China could impact commodity prices and regional economies, while any renewed global banking stress could affect sentiment toward the sector. Domestic regulatory changes around climate risk and responsible lending could also influence bank profitability over time.
Strategic Initiatives Driving Growth
CBA has invested heavily in digital transformation and customer experience initiatives. Its mobile banking app continues to lead the market in user satisfaction, and the bank has expanded its wealth management offerings through the integration of recent acquisitions.
The lender is also positioning itself for growth in emerging areas such as sustainable finance and small business lending. These strategic moves are intended to diversify revenue streams and reduce reliance on traditional mortgage lending, which has faced margin pressure in recent years.
Comyn has emphasized the importance of technology and innovation in maintaining CBA’s competitive edge. “We are investing in the capabilities that will define banking in the decade ahead,” he said. “Our customers expect seamless digital experiences, and we are committed to delivering them.”
What This Means for Investors
For long-term investors, CBA continues to represent a high-quality Australian blue-chip stock with strong fundamentals and a proven track record of delivering shareholder returns. The current share price offers a reasonable entry point for those building diversified portfolios with exposure to the domestic economy.
Short-term traders may find opportunities in the stock’s volatility around earnings releases and economic data points. However, the bank’s defensive characteristics make it better suited for buy-and-hold strategies rather than short-term speculation.
Financial advisers recommend considering CBA within the context of an overall asset allocation strategy. Its relatively low beta compared to more cyclical sectors can provide portfolio stability during periods of market turbulence.
Broader Economic Context
CBA’s performance reflects the underlying strength of the Australian economy despite global headwinds. Strong employment, contained inflation and resilient consumer spending have supported the banking sector even as other parts of the economy face challenges.
The Reserve Bank of Australia’s cautious approach to monetary policy has created a relatively predictable environment for lenders. While further rate hikes remain possible if inflation proves sticky, most economists expect the cash rate to remain on hold for the foreseeable future.
As Australia navigates an environment of higher interest rates and global uncertainty, CBA’s ability to maintain profitability and capital strength positions it favorably compared to many international peers.
The bank’s steady share price appreciation this year demonstrates investor confidence in its management team and business model. For those considering exposure to the Australian market, CBA remains one of the most reliable and transparent large-cap options available on the ASX.
With solid fundamentals, attractive dividends and a clear strategic direction, Commonwealth Bank continues to justify its place as a core holding for many Australian and international investors. As the year progresses, its performance will be closely watched as a key indicator of the health of both the domestic economy and the broader banking sector.
Business
Micron CEO details $250 billion US investment amid chip, memory shortage
Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra explains why the company’s memory technologies are seeing massive demand in the era of artificial intelligence on ‘The Claman Countdown.’
Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra detailed the company’s new $250 billion U.S. investment as the chip-making giant responds to surging demand for memory storage in the age of artificial intelligence.
The Boise-based technology company announced Thursday the billion-dollar investment will help Micron’s long-term objective of producing 40% of its DRAM chips in the United States.
“The demand for memory is at unprecedented levels. Memory is in deep shortage right now,” Mehrotra told “The Claman Countdown” on Thursday.
With existing semiconductor facilities in Idaho and Virginia, Micron is expanding its footprint by opening a new manufacturing site in central New York.
OREGON DATA CENTERS FACE SHARP ELECTRICITY RATE HIKE UNDER NEW LAW

Sanjay Mehrotra, CEO of Micron, testifies during the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation hearing on semiconductors on Wednesday, March 23, 2022. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images / Getty Images)
FOX Business’ Liz Claman joined the CEO during the first concrete pour at the new location.
🔍 Got a story tip? Email nora.moriarty@fox.com
Mehrotra told Claman that memory is the key enabler of AI innovation and said data centers make up more than 50% of the demand.
“Memory is essential to AI,” he said. “AI is driving the demand, and that’s where the value of memory is really high because it enables the performance of AI.”
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick discusses President Donald Trump’s trade policy on ‘The Claman Countdown.’
More memory allows AI to increase accuracy, speed and intelligence, Mehrotra explained.
But while data centers are driving demand for Micron, the need for memory also stems from virtually every modern technology, including smartphones, computers and cars, that rely on data storage.
WORKERS WHO DON’T USE AI MORE LIKELY TO BE LAID OFF, SURVEY FINDS

“Data Center Alley” during high temperatures in Sterling, Virginia, US, on Monday, June 23, 2025. (Pete Kiehart/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
“The demand is very strong for memory today,” the CEO said. “Memory is critical for AI across data center, consumer devices, automotive, industrial, defense, aerospace.”
“Your phone, your PC, your car, they all need memory,” he added. “Automobiles, fully self-driving cars are like data centers on wheels. They require a lot of memory and storage.”
📲 More stories at @newswithnora on X
Micron’s technologies, including DRAM, NAND and NOR chips, support the evolution of compute-intensive applications and artificial intelligence platforms. The company plans to invest $3 billion in the domestic semiconductor industry to strengthen America’s manufacturing footprint.
Mehrotra said demand will only grow as advanced technologies continue to evolve, noting that more sophisticated systems require greater computing power and memory capacity.

Micron Technology headquarters in Boise, Idaho, U.S., on Sunday, March 28, 2021. (Photographer: Jeremy Erickson/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
“In the future, when we look at robotics coming in, fully self-driving cars, these all need intelligence. Intelligence is about data. Where does data live? It lives in the memory,” he said.
Micron expects the initiative will create thousands of direct and indirect jobs while expanding domestic chip manufacturing.
GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO BY CLICKING HERE
Mehrotra said he hopes the investment will help boost domestic production, though surging demand continues to outpace supply.
“Despite our best efforts to accelerate bringing up supply here, as well as globally… The demand continues to build up and we do not see when supply catches up with demand,” the CEO said.
Business
FTSE 100 volatile as Iran strikes lift UK borrowing costs
The FTSE 100 spent another session lurching between gains and losses after fresh US attacks on Iran, but for Britain’s small business owners the more troubling number sits in the bond market, where gilt yields remain stuck above 4.9 per cent, their highest level since 10 June.
“The shock at the resumption of attacks in the Middle East has started to ease off, but investors are skittish, with early gains evaporating on the FTSE 100,” said Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Hargreaves Lansdown. The blue-chip index clawed back ground in early trade before sentiment turned wary again.
Investors are weighing the likely outcome of the latest round of military action, with both Iran and the US hitting targets in the region. President Trump has declared the ceasefire to be over, yet he has already been heard on Air Force One musing about the prospect of a deal and whether he is inclined to talk to Iran.
“It already seems that a door may be opening to fresh negotiations, even though both sides continue to talk tough,” Streeter said.
There is some relief on the cost front. Brent crude has retreated to around $77 a barrel, down from above $80 yesterday, taking a little heat out of the fuel and freight bills that hit small firms hardest. Mining stocks rebounded, with gold and silver producers gaining as easing oil prices soothed inflation worries and nudged the dollar lower, making dollar-priced commodities more attractive to international buyers.
But nobody in the market is treating the pullback as a turning point. For owner-managers, the risk is that the calm proves temporary and energy costs surge again just as budgets for the second half of the year are being set.
“If energy prices start climbing again, higher costs would rapidly ripple through businesses across multiple sectors, while pricier fuel would eat into household budgets and encourage more cautious consumer spending,” Streeter warned.
That would be an unwelcome echo of the spring, when the oil shock from the Middle East conflict briefly had markets betting on an interest rate rise rather than cuts. With CPI inflation at 2.8 per cent in the year to May and the Bank of England holding Bank Rate at 3.75 per cent, any fresh energy spike would make cheaper borrowing harder to deliver.
The geopolitics is only half the story. Gilt yields, which feed through to the swap rates underpinning business loans, commercial mortgages and asset finance, are also being propped up by turbulence closer to home. Investors are weighing what a Burnham premiership could mean for tax and spending plans, an uncertainty that Business Matters research suggests is already unsettling the vast majority of SME owners.
“With so many moving parts, investors are demanding a bigger premium to lend to the UK, and gilt yields look set to remain sensitive to every fresh political and geopolitical twist,” Streeter said.
For small firms, the practical message is unglamorous but clear. Cheaper oil is welcome, but with borrowing costs pinned near recent highs and the political weather changeable at home and abroad, this is a moment for stress-testing cash flow rather than banking on calmer markets.
Business
Why I’m Buying Healthcare REITs Before Wall Street Does
I’m Luuk Wierenga, an economics teacher from the Netherlands with a strong passion for income investing. As a REIT specialist I specialize in identifying Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) that are temporarily out-of-favor with Mr. Market. I use fundamental economic insights to assess the true intrinsic value of a stock. My investment horizon is long-term, and my strategy revolves around contrarian and deep-value opportunities. I also contribute to the investing group High Dividend Opportunities led by Rida Morwa and a team of other top Seeking Alpha income investing analysts. The service focuses on sustainable income through a variety of high yield investments with a targeted safe +9% yield. Features include: model portfolio with buy/sell alerts, preferred and baby bond portfolios for more conservative investors, vibrant and active chat with access to the service’s leaders, dividend and portfolio trackers, and regular market updates. The service philosophy focuses on community, education, and the belief that nobody should invest alone.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of XRN either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
Applied Materials: You’re Late To The AI Party (NASDAQ:AMAT)
Passage Research focuses on identifying variant perception through a blend of fundamental analysis and alternative data. The research process combines detailed financial modeling with real-time datasets to underwrite earnings power, margin durability, and forward expectations.The author has spent over a decade on Wall Street, most recently spending the last five years working in the hedge fund industry as an analyst. Typical coverage spans consumer, TMT, industrials and special situations, with an emphasis on asymmetric risk/reward and catalyst-driven opportunities.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Short position through short-selling of the stock, or purchase of put options or similar derivatives in AMAT over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
NatWest Accelerator launches at Tyseley Energy Park
NatWest has opened a new business Accelerator at Tyseley Energy Park in Birmingham, handing West Midlands founders direct access to capital, coaching and investor networks in a region whose advanced engineering and manufacturing sector already generates £22 billion a year and supports 273,000 jobs.
The hub, launched in partnership with TEP Birmingham and Webster & Horsfall Group, is aimed squarely at founders and growth businesses trying to make the leap from promising idea to investable company.
There is a pleasing symmetry in the choice of venue. TEP is owned by Webster & Horsfall Group, a family-owned Birmingham manufacturer with more than 300 years of industrial heritage and a banking relationship with NatWest stretching back to 1948. The Group still makes specialist wire and wire-rope products for the aerospace, automotive, marine and medical industries, while transforming part of its historic Tyseley site into an energy and innovation cluster.
For small business owners, the practical offer is worth noting. Members receive specialist coaching, workshops, peer support and introductions to investors, commercial partners and sector experts, alongside access to NatWest’s venture banking, sustainability finance and IP lending propositions. Membership is free, and the bank plans to grow its Accelerator community to 50,000 members during 2026, with entrepreneurs able to join through the digital platform at natwest.com/accelerator.
The location puts members inside a working industrial cluster rather than a glass-box co-working space. TEP Birmingham is home to more than 20 energy and technology organisations working across low-carbon energy, sustainable transport, resource recovery, advanced materials and the circular economy, bringing entrepreneurs together with manufacturers, universities, policymakers and infrastructure providers.
The timing is no accident either. The West Midlands Growth Plan identifies commercialisation of technologies developed by businesses, universities and research institutions as a key route to growth, while the Government-backed Local Innovation Partnerships Fund, led by UK Research and Innovation, is designed to bridge the gap between research and commercialisation in regions like the West Midlands. Ministers have already awarded regions up to £20 million each to back high-potential innovation clusters.
The launch also aligns with the West Midlands Investment Zone, which is targeting growth in advanced manufacturing, including battery technology, digital industries and green sectors, and sits neatly alongside the Government’s wider push to put advanced manufacturing at the heart of its industrial strategy.
Robert Begbie, CEO of NatWest Commercial & Institutional, said: “The West Midlands has the industrial strength, technical expertise and entrepreneurial ambition to become one of the UK’s leading regions for green growth.
“But strong ideas need more than technology alone. Businesses also need capital, customers, commercial expertise and the right networks.
“This partnership brings those elements together. By combining our Accelerator network, venture banking expertise and sustainability finance capabilities, we can help more businesses commercialise, attract investment and scale.”
Robert Horsfall, Director of Webster & Horsfall Group and co-founder of TEP Birmingham, said: “TEP Birmingham was created to bring business, universities and the public sector together to develop and commercialise new ideas. The NatWest Accelerator adds a vital new element, giving founders and growth businesses access to finance, commercial expertise and wider industry networks.
“Together, we want to help more businesses find partners, secure investment and grow here in the West Midlands.”
NatWest already operates Accelerator hubs in Birmingham and at the University of Warwick. The new Tyseley location connects the three sites into a single regional ecosystem, meaning a founder in Digbeth or a spin-out in Coventry now has a shorter route than ever to investors, industry partners and, crucially, the bank manager.
Business
Steven Cress’ Top 10 Stocks For 2026 (Mid-Year Review)
Yutthana Gaetgeaw/iStock via Getty Images

Download this episode on Apple Podcasts or Spotify
Transcript
Rena Sherbill: Very excited to welcome back our very own Steve Cress, our head of Quant and all things quant. And today we are talking mid-year update for the top stocks of the year 2026. Steve, welcome back to Investing Experts.
Steve Cress: Thank you much for having me and organizing this today. It’s a pleasure to be with you.
Rena Sherbill: It’s always a pleasure to have you. I know our audience feels the same. You were with our very own Daniel Snyder yesterday, talking this mid year update in top stocks.
What do you have for us today? We have seen pretty fantastic returns. If you’re looking for alpha, you’ve got some alpha.
Steve Cress: We have. Just by way of background, for those who don’t know me, I’ve been with Seeking Alpha since 2019. Prior to Seeking Alpha, the majority of my career was spent at Morgan Stanley. I was there for 13 years running a prop desk in quantitative strategies. I also was the head of international at Northern Trust Global Investments. I also founded a hedge fund, which I managed from London.
And I also simultaneously started a FinTech company, which for lack of a better description, was sort of an automated analyst where we married conventional analysis with systematic processes and created a fintech company. Seeking Alpha liked it so much they bought it and I joined Seeking Alpha in 2019.
So I just wanted to provide a little color on my background. what we’re gonna cover today, a little bit about what’s happening with the markets, and then we’ll provide an update on our top 10 stocks that we selected back in January.
Which are up 70% to the end of June 30th. So they’ve had quite a return that’s up 70% on average for 10 stocks. And a little bit beyond the top 10 stocks, what people could do if they like those names that we recommend, and they’d want it more than once a year.
So I will start with a recap on the markets. The markets, both the S&P (SP500) and the Dow Jones (DJI) near record highs. you can see the national. NASDAQ (COMP:IND) was sort of at a record high in the beginning of June and between June first and today, I feel like we’ve seen several rotations of risk on, risk off with big movements into safe haven sectors, asset classes, then right back out again, then right back in again.
Today risk is back on. A couple days ago, risk was off. And the markets really more of the Nasdaq than the markets overall are reflecting that volatility as well as the VIX.
The S&P 500, kinda hard to tell that there are difficult periods if you’re just looking at the overall return. Because the underlying sectors are just rotating in and out. So that performance is staying fairly high.
But if we break it down to sector performance, if you look at the table on the right-hand side, you’ll see the year-to-day performance. Technology stocks have done incredibly well, up 27%, industrial stocks up about 19%, and energy up about 18% to get an indication of the volatility, this was actually from a day ago.
And you can see technology was down 2.7% two days ago. today it’s the best performing sector. and what I will say, which is interesting about this, even with technology up 27% year to date and industrials up 19% year to date, our top 10 stocks again are up close to 70%.
So right now, at this time, looking at the CNN fear and greeted index, if you look at the bottom chart. You’ll see we are in fear territory. A year ago, we were in extreme greed territory.
So it’s very interesting to see the sentiment of investors while basically the S&P and the Dow are at all-time highs, and the Nasdaq is just slightly off its all-time highs. But the fear does indicate that investors are concerned. Obviously, there’s geopolitical events, big uncertainty with the war between the US and Iran.
There’s uncertainty over inflation, which has been far stickier than expected. A lot of that had to do with the surge that we had in oil. But also tariffs created pressure on inflation. And of course, that also leads to higher interest rates, which have been higher for longer. And if you want back a year ago, one of the reasons why the market was an extreme greed, a year ago, we the investors really believed that interest rates would be coming down during 2026. In fact,
The anticipation was that there would be three rate cuts. And this next chart really indicates that. You could see this chart it provides the market implied number of rate cuts in 2026 and 2025.
And you could see back in July and September, and even in November of 2025, the market was expecting three interest rate cuts. And then you fast forward to really March and April of 2026.
Those expectations went out the window because interest rates and inflation have been higher than expected. And now the market is actually expecting increases by the end of the year. So when I go to the next table, this is actually interest rate traders, in essence, voting where they believe interest rates will be for the December FOMC meeting and what’s going to happen with that Fed meeting.
And the target rate probability is that 21% of interest rate traders believe that rates will be unchanged, but you have 41% expecting a 25 basis point increase. You have 28% of traders expecting a 50 basis point increase, and you had 8% of traders actually expecting a 75 basis point increase.
So this is entirely different than a year ago when we saw the sentiment indicator from CNN in the range of extreme greed.
Now it is fear because of a lot of uncertainty. And one of the reasons why the market does continue to trade well is earnings have continued to perform. Both top and line earnings for many companies are meeting expectations, along with the incredible capex spending that is occurring for AI. And this chart is from Goldman Sachs. And I think what’s really interesting about this, you could see in 2027.
They’re expecting about 1.4 trillion in hyperscaler AI CapEx. When I made this presentation about a year ago, that 1.5 trillion figure was in the 2035 period. And it’s already been fast forward how much CapEx spending.
And really, when you read the headlines now in the newspapers, you’re seeing mega tech companies, like the Mag 7 companies, actually having bond issuances to raise capital for their AI CapEx spending.
So a lot of underlying companies, it’s not just the big tech companies that are benefiting, a lot of underlying companies are benefiting from this spending and they’re making real money.
They’re earning revenues, they’re generating earnings. And there’s a lot of stocks that we have recommended, especially earlier in the year, that have benefited from that. So this is not a type of situation where there’s a hope that these companies will generate revenue or earnings.
They actually are. So that much spending is actually taking place. And this table here shows where we are with earnings growth. The blue line shows where we are today. And the gray line shows where we were on March 31st. And in all instances for all gig sectors, with the exception of healthcare, investors are anticipating that earnings will continue to grow year over year. And this chart is provided by Facts Ed.
In fact, they are stating that S&P earnings are expected to grow by 24% year over year for the calendar year 2026. So that is actually quite strong, and that really helps support the market at its current levels.
However, in addition to the geopolitical uncertainty and the inflation uncertainty and labor uncertainty and interest rate uncertainty, there is also some seasonal uncertainty, which is on the horizon that’s not too far in November, we have midterm elections.
And if you look back over the last 25 midterm elections, the market has actually been down preceding that election. the good news is even though on average the market comes off prior to the election on average by about 18%, immediately after the election, for the three-month period after the market rebounds on average by 5.8%.
For the six month period, it rebounds on average 10.5%. And for a full year after the midterm election, on average, the market is up 14.8%. So if the market does decline, and history shows that it does going into midterm elections, in addition to all the other uncertainties that we have, there could be a correction.
It would probably be a great buying opportunity. And we have a track record of showing if you purchase stocks with strong fundamentals, as we recommend.
We have a service called Alpha Picks, and of course we focus on quant strong buys and it’s Alpha Picks, a really unique service where we just highlight our two favorite strong buys every month.
On the trading date closest to the first of the month and the 15th of the month, we issue an article of the stock that we’re recommending. And we have a portfolio of about 40 stocks now. And I think what’s really interesting, as I’ve mentioned, we focus on companies with really good fundamentals.
Had you purchased the Alpha Picks portfolio in September 2022, when the market had a little mini crash, it was down about 17.10%. If you purchased Alpha Picks at that time, the portfolio and held it, you would be up 396%. a little bit more recently in the first quarter of 2025, there was a correction and also known as Liberation Day. On April 3rd, the market declined by 12%. And if you bought the Alpha Picks portfolio during that decline and held it, it would be up 146%.
And more recently, we had the oil shock that occurred on March 27th. The market pulled back about eight and a half percent. And if you purchase the Alpha Pix portfolio, then you would already be up a whopping 41%. So this is not only a testament to Alpha Picks, but a testament to buying stocks with strong fundamentals during corrective phases.
Quant really helps to eliminate emotion from investing. A lot of times when individuals recommend stocks or take those recommendations, there’s quite a bit of emotion behind it. It could be a Wall Street analyst who has a close connection with a CEO or a CFO. It could be a family relative that you inherited the stock from. And with Quant, we really try to eliminate the hearsay and the emotion and we stick to the data.
Quant is a data-driven process. It is similar to what a fundamental analyst does at Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs or Merrill Lynch. We do look at fundamentals, and the five core factors that we look at are value, growth, profitability, EPS revisions, and momentum.
I refer to it often as a GARP plus strategy. GARP is growth at a reasonable price. So we take that strategy, but we add the power of computer processing. So I I have been an analyst myself, and most analysts on Wall Street.
Typically could really only cover about 15 to 20 stocks. When you employ the power of computer processing, you have the ability to analyze 5,000 stocks, but you also have the ability to analyze those stocks every single day. And that’s exactly what we do.
We run our databases every single day with fresh numbers. So we’re looking at all the companies that we cover, we’re looking at their balance sheets, cash flow statements, income statements, and hundreds of financial metrics.
And part of the quant process is actually to compare the metrics for every company compared to its sector. And by doing this comparison, we can actually separate the strong companies from the weak company. So that’s why we use quant.
It gives us a lot of breadth in terms of our coverage universe and we know the data is fresh. As a result, every day we can see if a sock is a strong buy or a strong sell. And it’s way better than like looking at an analyst research report from eight weeks ago.
Because you want to make an investment decision based on fresh data, not data from eight weeks ago. Because a lot can change in eight weeks or four weeks or even two weeks.
So we have a very good track record. You can see over the last five years that it was up 180% compared to refreshing Wall Street analyst drawn buys every day. They were up only 17% compared to our 180%. And that’s also versus the S&P up 54%. But outside of our overall quant system, when you look at our top 10 stock recommendations, that has a very good track record too.
If you took our top 10 stocks from 2025, those were up 91% versus the S&P up 27%.8 percent and that’s if you bought them in January of twenty twenty five and held them to the end of June 2026 recently so that’d be 91% versus 21% that was for 2025 if you looked at 2024 the top 10 stocks were up 329% versus the S&P up 60% if you looked at 2023 our top 10 stocks were up 232% versus the S&P up 95%.
And if we come to our most recent selection of stocks in January of this year, 2026, the top 10 stocks at the end of June were up 69.56% versus the S&P up just 8.32%. So we’ve had a really good track record picking quant strong buys at our top 10 at that, at the beginning of the year and halfway through the year.
To show you how the performance was of the underlying stocks that we selected, we had Micron Technology (MU), which was our best performing stock. That was up 267%.
We had (AMD), another semiconductor company up 144%. We had Coherent (COHR), an IT company, up 109%. We had Ciena (CIEN) up 107%. We had a defense company in the industrial sector up 64%. We had Allstate Financial (ALL), which is an insurance company, property and casualty, up eighteen point six three percent.
And Celestica (CLS), another IT company, up 17%, and Incyte Healthcare (INCY) up 12.64%. So eight of the stocks handedly beat the S&P 500. We did have two stocks that were down, Barrick Mining (B) and Willdan (WLDN) down 18% and 27%.
But in total, the average return of those stocks was up almost 70% compared to the S&P 500, up 8.32%. And if you took the S&P 500 on an equal weighted basis, that was up 10.3%
This is what the top 10 looks like right now. We have seven of the stocks still a strong buy. One of them is a hold, which is Barrack Mining Corporation, and two of them are now holds, Coherent and Willdan. And actually, at one point, Willdan fell to a sell but came back to a hold. So that sort of provides you with a little bit of the data on our performance.
What I like to show people in terms of fundamentals. If you took the top 10 stocks, they have an average forward revenue growth rate. And forward revenue growth rate is using consensus estimates from analysts for each stock. So the average growth rate would be about 33% compared to the S&P 500, up 8.5%. And the average EPS growth rate for our top 10 stocks is 88% compared to the S&P at 19.66%. Our companies do have a rich PE.
The forward PE is 34 times on average compared to the SP 24 times, but you’re getting 88% EPS growth versus 19.6. So it’s well worth the multiple being a little bit higher.
I want to provide an update on a couple of our stocks that were from the top 10 in the beginning of the year. Micron Technology, as I mentioned, was up 267%. That is a semiconductor company. It still ranks number one out of all our IT stocks and number one out of 69 semiconductor companies.
And in fact, despite the stock being up 267%, the valuation framework is actually more attractive now than it was six months ago. The current valuation factor grade from Seeking Alpha is an A minus. And these factor grades are sector relative, so it’s not in absolute terms.
When you look at that valuation grade or growth grade or profitability, it shows you the company relative to the sector. And an A, of course, is just about as good as you can get.
The valuation is great. And six months ago it was B plus. Growth is an A plus, which puts it at the highest growth rate versus the IT sector. Profitability is an A plus versus the sector. Momentum is an A plus and
The EPS revisions and A-grade. EPS revisions are actually the quantity of analysts taking the rest of it’s up versus down. And this again is relative to the sector. So relative to the sector, the EPS revision movement is far stronger. AMD, which is Advanced MicroDevices, another semiconductor stock, that one ranks five out of 531 technology companies.
And within semiconductors, it ranks four out of 69. You can see that the valuation grade here on the right hand side is a C. So the valuation is in line with the sector. But interesting enough, six months ago, it was actually a D plus. So the valuation framework is actually better now compared to where it was then.
And the stock is up 144%. So in essence, you should almost ignore the return that these stocks had because when you look at them compared.
To the rest of the sector, the valuation framework is better and the growth framework is better and the profitability. So there are a lot of reasons to own these stocks now and not be concerned that they’re at a 52-week high or the level of movement in the share price.
Our number three company is Ciena Corporation. Here’s another example of a stock that’s up significantly. Since January, it’s up 107%.
And here the valuation grade is a C plus versus D six months ago. So again, valuation framework is better. And the growth grade here is an A versus A minus. So even a slight improvement in the growth scenario. So lots of great reasons to still own these stocks that we recommended in the beginning of the year.
Now, as I mentioned, not all the stocks were winners. We did have two losers. Barrick Mining Corporation is down 18%. Even with the stock being down 18%, it is still ranked a quant buy, and the value compared to the sector and the growth compared to the sector is still relatively strong.
Barrick Mining is a leading mining company with a strong focus on copper, and copper is the metal of electrification. So there are strong tailwinds for this company with the developments that we have with AI and data centers and the huge consumption of electricity.
The company’s forward EPS growth rate is fifty-four percent versus the sector at 14%. They have nine billion in cash from operations. And if you look at the PEG, which is a ratio that I really like, it’s a valuation metric where you take the PE and growth combined on a PEG basis, it’s at a 57% discount to the sector.
So stock is down, and that mostly is due to a weird phenomenon that occurred that year, probably one of the strangest events for gold and companies that focus on gold or gold mining.
Typically, when you have geopolitical events that are very hostile, there is a rotation into gold stocks. This year was completely different. as the crisis occurred with the US and Iran, there was a big impact on the dollar, and gold actually had an inverse relationship to the dollar this time around.
Many gold stocks actually fell and it’s really driven by sentiment because the fundamentals for this company look fantastic. So it is still a buy.
One company that did not look fantastic was Willdan. That stock was down 27%. It is rated a hold now. You can see we’re very transparent, so we show the rating history every single day, and you can see the brief period where it actually went to a sell, and then it went right back to holding. The stock did appreciate when it moved from a sell to hold.
The valuation for this company is better now than it was six months ago. The growth is not quite as strong. And I believe it’s because there were expectations that growth was not going to be quite as strong as it was. That is one of the reasons why the stock fell 27%.
So those were that was a recap of our top 10. Where do we go beyond the top 10 for January?
Well, next week on Tuesday, July 14th, I’ll be announcing my top ten stocks for the second half of the year. So hopefully you can join us. Rena, at some point you might be able to put a link here to that event and people will be able to register for it.
So we don’t do top ten just in January, we also do top ten in July. And hopefully again you can join us for that presentation. But we also have other products and you can’t really rely just on investing twice a year in January. July.
We have investable products. We have three products, and I’m sure one of these products could be suited for the needs of most investors. One of the products is the Pro Quant Portfolio, which is a portfolio of 30 stocks. It’s fixed at 30 stocks and it provides a high frequency of ideas. Every Monday it rebalances. If that is a little bit too frequent for you in terms of trading, Alpha Picks book.
Might be a much better product. AlphaPix focuses on just our top two quant strong buys every month. As I mentioned earlier, on the first and the 15th of the month, we issue a research report with our recommendation. and it’s had great performance.
And then if you are a little bit more interested and conservative, we actually have a product which we just launched in June called the Quant Growth and Income Portfolio. That is a portfolio of 30 dividend-paying stocks, and it rebalances every other Wednesday, so twice a month. On average, there might be two stocks during that rebalance every other Wednesday.
And again, all the stocks there pay dividends, and it is focused on both capital appreciation and income generation. And all three products have had great performance. the Alpha Picks product here, this is actually not the 52 week return, but since inception, it’s up 378% compared to the S&P up 97%.
And that’s since July of 2022. The other products that I’m showing here, the since inception return for the Pro Quant Portfolio, which started, we’re on a one-year anniversary now, pretty much. That is up 54% in the last year versus the S&P on an equal weighted basis up 24%.
And QGI, the quant growth and income product, which we just launched in June, is already up six percent compared to its benchmark, which is the Vanguard High Yield Index ETF, which is pretty flat for the year.
So Rena, let me ask, first, I want to say thank you for allowing me to present on our top 10 stocks. And I’m sure you probably have a couple questions.
Rena Sherbill: That is actually exactly what I have. A couple questions indeed. thank you for taking the time, packed full of like really quality info.
I just wanted to highlight for those listening, number one, this video will be up on our YouTube channel, on Seeking Alpha’s YouTube channel. You can always catch Investing Experts clips and episodes on our playlist there that you can find under podcasts.
Also, those that just want to listen to this episode, those wondering where Steve was getting that data from, it’s on the quote pages of those stock tickers on Seeking Alpha. And you can have all of that at your fingertips and eyesight if you are a premium member. Just wanted to make note of that.
So, my first question, Steve, is a question that we have gotten a lot on your appearances in the recent, I would say in the recent 12 months, especially since QG&I came out. People wondering why not make these ETFs?
Steve Cress: Very good question. And we do get that a lot. at Seeking Alpha, we provide investment research. We’re not an asset manager, we’re not a broker dealer, we’re not an investment bank. our focus is really providing investment research, and we have a couple channels that we do that through.
We have thousands of contributors that write articles on individual stocks and ETFs and the macro economy, and that’s available on premium. We have news on stocks all over the world and we have our Seeking Alpha quant system. So they’re really three independent sources of investment research, but we’re not an asset manager. So hopefully that answers the question.
Rena Sherbill: I think it does. Appreciate that.
So, my other question for you is actually not my own question, although I I like it very much and support it. It’s from our friend Gary Vaughan over at Daily Stock Picks, who, as you know well, is a huge, huge fan of yours. So here’s his question:
Steve, can you take one of your picks and tell us the story of how you found it? We see the research you use on the platform. It’s amazing, but year after year you do find these winning stocks. So the finding is the special sauce. Is the quant telling you the sector to look at. Can you tell us one stock you researched and decided against including in the list and how you found it and why it did not make the cut? Thank you in advance.
Steve Cress: Yeah, so when I provide the list of top ten, the first thing I do is I go to the Seeking Alpha screen and I sort stocks by the quant recommendation of the strong buy. So they’re all ranked, you’ll find over 4,800 stocks ranked. And I sort of filter it down to our quant strong buys.
Now, when I provide the top 10 lists, there are some criteria and parameters that I use. I don’t want to put all the eggs in one basket. So a lot of times there could be quite a bit of congestion of a certain sector. So I’ll try to limit any one sector to about four stocks, then I move on to the next sector.
So there could be stock five, six, seven, eight that doesn’t get included because it’s the same sector. in this case, you know, recently IT has been leading, which is probably no surprise if you looked at the S&P 500 and the top 10 stocks or almost all technology stocks in the S&P 500.
So there is a really strong clustering effect right now. And I want to eliminate that clustering effect. I want to reduce the risk. So I only allow four stocks from one sector. That’s probably the predominant reason for eliminating stocks. But I am also looking for companies that have really strong revenue growth rates and earnings growth rates.
And there could be a stock that might be super profitable and have a great valuation where it ranks high. And when we rank our stocks, I should mention we use five investment factors that are all weighted. I believe I mentioned them earlier, which are value, growth, profitability, momentum, and EPS revisions, all five of those factors have a weight.
Sometimes a single factor could be a real outlier. So by example, a company could have like a PE of three. So it would definitely be like an A, you know, if the other valuation factors were just as cheap. But if I’m focusing on revenue and earnings growth, I might pass over that stock, even though it could have a higher ranking.
So these are sort of two examples for passing over stocks. And Gary, that was a great question. Thank you very much.
Rena Sherbill: Much appreciated. I’m gonna piggyback off Gary’s question if that’s okay. Anything that missed the list any of the years that you’ve been doing it? Like does anything stick in your mind in terms of one you wish you had put on but didn’t? Or are you like pretty religiously devoted to the process?
Steve Cress: Well, there could always be a stock that you miss. I will say for this time around, the second half of the year, I wanted the list to be completely fresh. Because of the past when I’ve gotten to the half year mark, people have commented several of the stocks were picked in January and they already own them.
So what we’re actually gonna do this time is we’re gonna highlight the names that would have been on the list, but were already picked in January.
So we’re gonna highlight those names and then we’re gonna have 10 completely fresh names.
Rena Sherbill: That’s a great tease. The B cuts made the A cuts. Love that. Love that. Okay, awesome. That’s July 14th. Steve, appreciate it. Any final words?
And anybody that’s interested in more Steve and quant content, please follow Steve Cress on Seeking Alpha. Steve, any final words?
Steve Cress: No, I just really appreciate everyone who attends and their time today. taking you know the the effort to listen to our podcast. I truly appreciate it. And Rena, thank you so much for organizing it. Really appreciate it.
Business
Form 4 Samsara Inc For: 9 July

Form 4 Samsara Inc For: 9 July
Business
Samsara evp, cto John Bicket sells $9.67m in shares

Samsara evp, cto John Bicket sells $9.67m in shares
Business
Zelenskiy says Patriot missile licences agreed with US at political level

Zelenskiy says Patriot missile licences agreed with US at political level
Business
UK startup funding hits record $17bn in H1 2026
UK start-ups raised a record $17bn (£12.7bn) in the first half of 2026, double the amount raised in the same period last year and the strongest opening to any year since 2022, according to new figures from Dealroom and HSBC Innovation Banking.
Yet only 16 per cent of large funding rounds involved domestic investors, a statistic that should give anyone cheering the headline number pause.
Britain is, on this evidence, still comfortably Europe’s start-up capital. The UK attracted 39 per cent of all European venture capital investment in the period, more than France, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland combined.
Artificial intelligence did most of the heavy lifting. AI companies raised a record $12.6bn (£9.4bn), nearly three quarters of everything invested, and took 19 of the 28 megarounds of $100m (£75m) or more completed in the half. All four rounds above $1bn (£750m) went to AI firms, the largest being the $2.1bn (£1.6bn) raised by Isomorphic Labs.
“The first half of 2026 demonstrates the continued strength of the UK’s innovation ecosystem, with record levels of investment reflecting growing confidence from both domestic and international investors,” said Emily Turner, chief executive of HSBC Innovation Banking UK.
“What is particularly encouraging is how AI is increasingly being applied across sectors. We’re seeing it create new opportunities in sectors from life sciences and deep tech to enterprise software, while helping companies compete on a global stage.”
Encouraging, certainly. But the fine print tells a more awkward story about who is writing the cheques. With domestic investors involved in just 16 per cent of the biggest rounds, the returns from Britain’s most successful companies will overwhelmingly flow to funds in San Francisco, New York and the Gulf rather than to British pensions and portfolios. It is a familiar complaint: veteran investors have long warned that only 20 per cent of the capital backing UK scale-ups is domestic, leaving 80 per cent of the upside to overseas backers.
There is a second wrinkle for business owners reading past the record total. Capital is piling up at the two ends of the market, into early-stage bets and a handful of enormous late-stage rounds, while established growth companies in the middle face a tougher route to finance. Late-stage deals took 68 per cent of all capital raised in the half, up from 42 per cent a year earlier. Separate figures published this week showed the same pattern across UK tech: funding nearly doubled, but the money went to fewer companies.
For the typical SME seeking a £2m to £10m growth round, in other words, the boom may feel oddly distant. A record year in aggregate is proving demanding in person, and firms without AI credentials or unicorn ambitions will find investors choosier than the headlines suggest.
Policymakers are not blind to the gap. The British Business Bank has more than doubled its direct equity investing in nine months, explicitly to signal to UK institutions that they should follow. And under the Mansion House Accord, seventeen of Britain’s biggest workplace pension providers have pledged to put 10 per cent of their portfolios into private assets by 2030, with at least half of that ringfenced for the UK.
Until that money arrives, the first half of 2026 stands as a curious sort of triumph: proof that Britain can build companies the whole world wants to own, and a reminder that Britain itself remains reluctant to buy.
-
Fashion6 days agoWeekend Open Thread: High Hopes
-
NewsBeat5 days agoTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding staffer hilariously struggles to keep her cool while checking in megastars
-
Crypto World6 days agoStandard Chartered Secures MiCA License as ESMA Adds 37 New Crypto Firms
-
Fashion3 days agoOpen Thread: What Great Books Have You Read Recently?
-
Politics6 days agoThe House | “Reframing the debate from a binary discussion of winners and losers”: Yuan Yang reviews ‘We Are Not Machines’
-
Fashion12 hours agoLoro Piana Fall 2026 Enters Houston’s Art Scene
-
News Videos3 days agoWhats Hidden Inside This Cash Register? #treasure #reselling #money
-
Tech3 days agoAnthropic’s new “J-lens” reveals a silent workspace inside Claude that mirrors a leading theory of consciousness
-
Crypto World6 days agoESMA Expands Crypto Register by 37 Firms Following MiCA Transition Period
-
Business3 days agoAXT Shares Jump Nearly 14% as Semiconductor Materials Maker Rebounds on AI-Linked Indium Phosphide Demand
-
Sports2 days agoJoshua Pacio ‘more complete’ ahead of ONE rematch vs Malachiev
-
Crypto World4 days agoSouth Africa proposes crypto tax guidance under existing rules
-
Crypto World3 days agoSK hynix (000660.KS) Stock Dips as $28B Nasdaq ADR Offering Drives AI Memory Expansion
-
News Videos3 days agoBest Time to Enter Small Caps Right Now? Another Bull Run? | Financially Free
-
Tech4 days agoLenovo laptops are now shipping with YMTC SSDs, a sign of Chinese NAND entering the mainstream
-
Business7 days agoWhat a 10 Percent Drop Means for Buyers, Sellers and Renters
-
Sports2 days ago
We have punished the disrespect
-
News Videos3 days agoAvoid entering in FOMO #bitcoin #cryptocurrency #trading #scalping
-
Crypto World7 days agoAlibaba bans Claude Code over alleged backdoor security concerns
-
Tech5 days agoNeuralink Threads Its Way Straight Through the Brain’s Armor

You must be logged in to post a comment Login