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D-Street likely to raise more toasts to US deal

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D-Street likely to raise more toasts to US deal
Mumbai: India’s equity markets may extend late last week’s rally into Monday, buoyed by the announcement of the broad contours of the India-US trade deal over the weekend and an upbeat Wall Street on Friday. Analysts said sectors positioned to benefit from the pact could see investor interest early this week, but a runaway rally in the market looks unlikely as further upsides could revive valuations concerns.

“Markets are likely to react positively at the start of the week, also thanks to the strong global cues,” said Sham Chandak, head of institutional equities at Elios Financial Services.

US stocks surged on Friday led by a recovery in technology stocks after the recent selling. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.47%, closing above the 50,000 level for the first time. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also jumped around 2%.

In response to the trade deal-related announcements, auto ancillaries, jewellery exporters, textile and apparel exporters, chemical manufacturers, pharmaceuticals and API manufacturers should move higher, said Chandak.

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“Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL), breweries and auto manufacturers will likely not move higher, given the potential competition they may face post the deal. The market will probably wait to see the fine print of the final agreement.”


The Nifty and Sensex had gained 1.5-1.6% in a six-day event-laden trading week.
“The joint statement is likely to act as the catalyst to trigger a breakout above the 25,500-25,850 range,” said Vipin Kumar, AVP – derivatives and technical research at Globe Capital Market. “A sustained trading above 25,850 will mark a bullish breakout that could push indices toward the 26,150-26,200 spot levels in the immediate near term.” Other analysts struck a more cautious note. Siddarth Bhamre, head of institutional research at Asit C Mehta, said much of the upside from the trade deal has already been priced in.

“While sectors such as pharmaceuticals and gems and jewellery could stand to benefit, the inclusion of a clause allowing commitments to be revised if either side fails to comply leaves some uncertainty,” he said. “With no clear assurance that all provisions will be fully implemented, investors remain cautious.”

JM Financial Institutional Securities said the agreement is a “clear sentiment positive” for Indian equities, particularly export-oriented sectors, but elevated valuations suggest that incremental foreign inflows may be gradual rather than immediate.

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Australian household spending falls in December after two strong months

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Australian household spending falls in December after two strong months


Australian household spending falls in December after two strong months

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Israeli President Herzog begins Australia trip at site of Bondi Beach attack

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Israeli President Herzog begins Australia trip at site of Bondi Beach attack


Israeli President Herzog begins Australia trip at site of Bondi Beach attack

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Trump administration appeals ruling on releasing New York City tunnel funds

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Trump administration appeals ruling on releasing New York City tunnel funds


Trump administration appeals ruling on releasing New York City tunnel funds

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Asian stocks rise, Nikkei jumps after Takaichi win

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Asian stocks rise, Nikkei jumps after Takaichi win
Asian stocks rose at the open as investors took cues from a Wall Street rally on Friday, following a volatile week driven by concerns over valuations in technology stocks.

The Nikkei 225 Index surged as much as 5.7% to a record as a historic election victory by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi buoyed markets. The Kospi Index — a poster child for artificial intelligence investments — jumped over 4%. US equity-index futures advanced after the underlying gauges rose about 2% on Friday amid dip buying, while Bitcoin also recovered from its tumble. Yields on 10-year Treasuries rose almost two basis points on Monday.

Gold and silver opened the week higher, even though the precious metals are still way off their record highs. Brent crude dipped around 1% as tensions eased in the Middle East.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed to a record 50,000 on Friday, reflecting a shift toward cyclical stocks as investors pared exposure to technology. Monday’s rally in stocks sets up a critical week ahead, with markets gauging whether demand can broaden as scrutiny intensifies around valuations and the scale of investment tied to AI.

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Traders were taking advantage of the selloff earlier last week, picking up some cheap stocks to extend the rotational trade into cyclicals and away from tech, said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG in Sydney. The Wall Street tailwind and Japan election results mean “at least for the very, very short term, we’re going to see a good risk-on session across Asian equity markets,” he added.


Meanwhile, the yen fluctuated Monday as Takaichi secured a historic election triumph. The result cleared the way for more fiscal stimulus under Takaichi, adding pressure on Japanese bonds while potentially lifting stocks. Yields on the nation’s 10-year government bond rose five basis points on Monday.
Japan’s election outcome reinforced expectations for looser fiscal policy and sustained pressure on the yen, with investors bracing for so-called Takaichi trades to dominate markets on Monday.

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Bangladesh votes in world’s first Gen Z-inspired election

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Bangladesh votes in world’s first Gen Z-inspired election


Bangladesh votes in world’s first Gen Z-inspired election

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Trump congratulates Japan’s Takaichi on election win

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Trump congratulates Japan’s Takaichi on election win

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Dow Jones Average breaks 50,000 level for first time

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Dow Jones Average breaks 50,000 level for first time

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged to close above the 50,000 mark for the first time on Friday.

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ICICI Pru’s Anish Tawakley moves to DSP Asset Managers

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ICICI Pru's Anish Tawakley moves to DSP Asset Managers
Mumbai: Anish Tawakley, co-chief investment officer for equities at ICICI Prudential Asset Management Co., has quit the firm. He is set to join DSP Asset Managers as its chief investment officer. Tawakley who joined ICICI in 2016 managed ICICI Prudential Large Cap Fund, ICICI Prudential Small cap Fund and ICICI Prudential business cycle fund and ICICI Prudential Minimum Variance Fund, managing a total of ₹1.07 lakh crore in assets.

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Seafood stocks dip amid margin pressure and competition

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Seafood stocks dip amid margin pressure and competition
ET Intelligence Group: Shares of seafood companies fell 3-7% on Friday after a sharp four-day rally that followed euphoria over the India-US trade deal announcement on February 2. Despite a better medium term outlook due to the deal, which is expected to boost marine exports from India, investors are observing caution given the near-term challenges including margin pressure amid intense competition. The sector’s outlook will hinge on how the trade negotiations progress and the American tariff stance for other seafood-exporting nations.

The trade deal between the two nations is crucial for the Indian marine exports since the US is India’s largest market with 36.3% share in FY25, according to the data from the government’s Niryat (exports) portal. In addition, frozen shrimp makes up nearly two-thirds of India’s marine shipments to the US.

India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) expects a lower tariff rate to improve India’s cost position relative to Ecuador, Vietnam and Indonesia. This may also help reverse the slowdown in exports seen between August and November 2025 when Indian shipments to the US sharply declined amid effective duty rates as high as 58% compared with 18-49% for other exporting countries. Ind-Ra also expects the shrimp processing industry to fare better than its earlier forecast of a 12% year-on-year revenue decline and a 150-basis points margin compression for FY26. Improved order visibility is also likely to ease working-capital pressures.

Traders Lose Appetite for Seafood as Trade Pact Talks ContinueAgencies

Margin pressure, intense competition weigh on the sector’s outlook

According to CareEdge, shrimp exports to the US rose 5% during the five months to August and then fell by 35% in August over July 2025, following strong frontloading of volumes ahead of higher reciprocal US tariffs. Indian exporters shifted towards other countries, but it affected profitability given that the US market generates higher value.
This is reflected in the financial performance of top marine exporters. Revenue growth for a sample of six exporters improved year-on-year for two quarters to September 2025, but margins softened, with average operating margin before depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda margin) slipping to 5.3% in the September quarter from 6.7% in the June quarter.

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Though the trade deal has boosted hopes of a US market recovery, with the peak holiday season over and global demand set to soften in 2026, analysts expect the rebound to be gradual.
Shares of marine exporters jumped 6-31% on the BSE in five trading sessions since February 2, following the announcement of the India-US trade deal. Avanti Feeds and Waterbase were the top gainers, rising 31% and 27% respectively, while Sharat Industries and Coastal Corporation saw comparatively smaller gains of about 6% and 10%.

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Asia rallies as Japan shares surge to record peak

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Asia rallies as Japan shares surge to record peak


Asia rallies as Japan shares surge to record peak

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