Business
Global Market | Strait of Hormuz tensions keeping oil markets on edge: Richard Yetsenga
Speaking to ET Now, Richard Yetsenga from ANZ Group said the current reaction in oil markets appears to be largely emotional rather than purely driven by fundamentals.
“Oh, it is definitely a knee-jerk reaction. Whether it is sustained or not depends on what actually happens with the conflict. And there is this catch-22 the market is probably in. In one sense the market is saying well the fundamentals look quite poor, 20% of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, it is not operating, that is very bullish for the oil price. On the other hand, implications for the US economy from that are quite poor, inflationary pressure high, gas prices pressure on consumers, political pressure back on President Trump. Does he then back off the military action because of the impact of oil and I think the last 24-48 hours in markets you have seen both sides of this story,” Yetsenga said.
The disruption around the Strait of Hormuz — one of the world’s most critical oil transit chokepoints — has heightened concerns across energy-importing economies, particularly in Asia. With many countries heavily dependent on imported crude, the sudden surge in prices is already forcing governments to consider emergency responses.
Yetsenga noted that most Asian economies are particularly vulnerable because they rely heavily on imported energy.
“Well, you have talked through it right there. Apart from Malaysia, the region is a collection of oil importers and energy importers and that puts them in a very difficult position at the moment. We are only eight or nine days into this conflict, already we are talking about the release from strategic petroleum reserves at a global level, even in some individual economies and then also some sort of supply rationing and already there are challenges with diesel and jet fuel particularly in different parts of the region. This goes into if you like exhibit A) the economic impact of this is potentially quite severe if it is sustained and of course we should be worried about that, but also that economic impact is going to put pressure on the offensive side of this conflict,” he said.
Governments across the region have begun taking precautionary measures. South Korea, for instance, has discussed limits on fuel consumption, while other countries are leaning more heavily on strategic reserves to cushion the immediate supply shock.Despite the intense market speculation that the conflict could end quickly, Yetsenga remained cautious about predicting the timeline of any resolution.
“Sorry, I am not a military strategist. I am not a political expert, that is question for those sorts of people….” he said when asked about expectations of an early end to the war.
However, he acknowledged that financial markets themselves may eventually play a role in shaping political decisions.
“Look, my view is that the pressure that markets put on the administration will ultimately be a factor probably that brings this action to a conclusion. We are only eight days into this or nine days. In previous occurrences it has taken meaningfully longer than this for the Trump administration to back off. So, I think I know the endgame. But the timing honestly we should be transparent is really anybody’s guess,” Yetsenga said.
According to him, the likely outcome is a negotiated halt to hostilities once the United States declares its objectives achieved.
“Oh, the endgame is there is some sort of cessation of hostilities because the US says that we have achieved our objectives and markets will welcome that and go back to some sort of the normalcy that we had before this kicked off the week before last. But, of course, the normalcy also even this year has had Greenland and Cuba and a few other issues in there, so it is still a world which is unsettled but one in which we can be a bit more analytical about,” he added.
For investors and policymakers alike, the coming weeks will likely hinge on whether the conflict escalates further or begins to cool. Until then, energy markets — and the economies that depend on them — remain caught between geopolitical risk and hopes for a swift return to stability.
Business
Top 5 midcap mutual funds deliver up to 25% annualised returns in 3 years; Invesco India Mid Cap leads
Midcap mutual funds have delivered strong returns over the past three years, with the top five schemes offering up to 25% annualised gains. Invesco India Mid Cap Fund leads the pack, followed closely by Nippon India and WhiteOak funds, while some laggards delivered significantly lower returns in the same period.
Business
Why I Don't Invest In BDC ETFs, But Only Cherry-Pick My Own
Why I Don't Invest In BDC ETFs, But Only Cherry-Pick My Own
Business
Can Any Investor Actually Value SpaceX? (Private:SPACE)
I’m a retired Wall Street PM specializing in TMT; since kickstarting my career, I’ve spent over two decades in the market navigating the technology landscape, focusing on risk mitigation through the dot com bubble, credit default of ‘08, and, more recently, with the AI boom. In one word, what I’d like my service to revolve around is momentum.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
Barclays to open new branches and revive bank manager role in high street comeback
Barclays is charting a decisive U-turn on the high street, with plans to open new branches across the country and reinstate the once-familiar “bank manager” job title, a move that signals a broader rethink of how Britain’s traditional lenders compete in an increasingly digital age.
Vim Maru, who has led Barclays UK since 2024, told Business Matters that the bank intended to grow its branch network beyond the current 206 outlets, having already paused a closure programme that saw roughly 80 per cent of its branches shut since 2019. One of his first acts after taking charge was to halt the cull, and he is now pressing ahead with expansion, though he declined to put a precise figure on how many new sites would open.
The shift comes as digital-only challengers such as Revolut and Wise make increasingly aggressive moves into the current-account market, threatening the established banks’ grip on everyday consumer banking. Rather than trying to outpace them on technology alone, Maru is placing his chips on a blend of slick digital services and genuine, in-person support, what he described as the winning formula for modern banking.
He was characteristically blunt about the shortcomings of purely automated customer service. Barclays customers, he insisted, would not find themselves trapped in an endless loop with a chatbot when they needed real help. The bank has also quietly reintroduced traditional role titles, so that customers walking through the door can once again ask to speak to the branch or bank manager.
Maru stopped short of conceding that Barclays had been too aggressive in its earlier round of closures, but acknowledged that the bank needed to reassess how it served its customers every few years. The new branches will sit alongside the shared banking hubs operated through the Post Office, rather than replace them.
Beyond the branch network, Barclays is pursuing growth on several fronts. The bank reported a record number of mortgage applications last year, with processing times slashed from 45 minutes to just 15 thanks to technology improvements that have proved popular with brokers. Its acquisition of the Tesco credit card business in 2024 and Kensington Mortgages, which has doubled in size since Barclays bought it in May 2023, have broadened the division’s reach considerably.
Artificial intelligence is also being deployed to streamline internal processes, though Maru was cautious about the workforce implications. He drew a parallel with the introduction of ATMs, noting that while the machines were expected to eliminate cashier roles, the subsequent rise in fraud and scams meant staff were redeployed rather than made redundant.
On the broader economy, Maru offered a measured reading from the bank’s unique vantage point. Consumer spending has shown resilience, with hospitality holding up well despite a period of heightened anxiety following the outbreak of the Iran conflict. In the opening days of the war, there was a noticeable surge in fuel purchases as motorists rushed to fill up ahead of expected price rises, though spending patterns quickly normalised.
With Barclays chief executive CS Venkatakrishnan having committed to investing £30 billion more in the UK between 2024 and this year, and despite persistent speculation about possible acquisitions of the likes of Santander UK or TSB, Maru said his priority remained organic growth. The bank, he maintained, already had strong momentum — and a renewed high street presence to match.
Business
Hut 8: Why The River Bend Expansion Justifies A Buy Rating
Hut 8: Why The River Bend Expansion Justifies A Buy Rating
Business
8 stocks surged over 50% in each of the last 3 fiscal years; rally up to 3,100%
Eight stocks have delivered over 50% returns in each of the last three fiscal years, defying broader market volatility. With gains ranging from 500% to over 3,100%, these consistent outperformers highlight strong underlying momentum despite fluctuating benchmark returns across FY24 to FY26.
Business
Starwood Property Trust: The Market Is Handing You An 11% Yield At A Deep Discount
Starwood Property Trust: The Market Is Handing You An 11% Yield At A Deep Discount
Business
Bandhan Bank Q4 business update: Advances rise to Rs 1.54 lakh crore, deposits up 10%
Total deposits came in at Rs 1.66 lakh crore, up 10% from a year ago and 6.1% higher on a quarter-on-quarter basis. CASA deposits rose 2.8% year-on-year to Rs 48,751 crore, with the CASA ratio at 29.31% at the end of the quarter.
Retail term deposits saw strong growth, increasing 30.1% year-on-year to Rs 73,796 crore. Overall retail deposits, including CASA, rose 17.7% to Rs 1.22 lakh crore. Bulk deposits declined 6.9% year-on-year to Rs 43,797 crore. Meanwhile, the share of retail deposits in total deposits improved to 73.67% from 68.88% in the same period last year.
The bank reported a liquidity coverage ratio of about 131.76% as of March 31, 2026. Collection efficiency remained robust, with pan-bank efficiency, excluding NPAs, at 98.9% for March 2026, compared to 98.1% in December 2025.
Banking stocks have come under sharp pressure over the past three months, with most lenders underperforming the benchmark Nifty 50 amid a challenging macro backdrop marked by sustained foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, escalating geopolitical tensions, and a surge in energy prices. Bandhan Bank is down 18% in the last 1 month.
The underperformance comes amid persistent FII selling, which has disproportionately impacted financials due to their heavy weightage in benchmark indices. At the same time, the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict has triggered a spike in crude oil prices, raising concerns over inflation and delaying expectations of interest rate cuts by global central banks.
The lender has also been in the headlines after The Economic Times reported that Bandhan Financial Services is exploring exit options for its long-term investors, including GIC Ventures and International Finance Corporation.Also read: HDFC Bank Q4 business update: Lender reports 15% YoY growth in deposits, advances jump 12%
The report said the company has appointed Jefferies to assess investor interest, particularly from private equity funds. The move is also in line with regulatory requirements that mandate Bandhan Financial to reduce the promoter’s stake in the bank to 26% by 2030.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Business
5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8% (April 2026)
Financially Free Investor is a financial writer with 25 years investment experience. He focuses on investing in dividend-growing stocks with a long-term horizon. He applies a unique 3-basket investment approach that aims for 30% lower drawdowns, 6% current income, and market-beating growth on a long-term basis and he focuses on dividend-growing stocks with a long-term horizon.
He runs the investing group High Income DIY Portfolios which provides vital strategies for portfolio management and asset allocation to help create stable, long-term passive income with sustainable yields. The service includes a total of 10 model portfolios with a range of income targets for varying levels of risk, buy and sell alerts, and live chat. Learn more.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ABT, ABBV, CI, JNJ, PFE, NVS, NVO, AZN, UNH, CL, CLX, UL, NSRGY, PG, TSN, ADM, BTI, MO, PM, KO, PEP, EXC, D, DEA, DEO, ENB, MCD, BAC, PRU, UPS, WMT, WBA, CVS, LOW, AAPL, IBM, CSCO, MSFT, INTC, T, VZ, CVX, XOM, VLO, ABB, ITW, MMM, LMT, LYB, RIO, O, NNN, WPC, ARCC, ARDC, AWF, CII, TLT either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way should be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any stock. The author is not a financial advisor. Please always do further research and do your own due diligence before making any investments. Every effort has been made to present the data/information accurately; however, the author does not claim 100% accuracy. The stock portfolios presented here are model portfolios for demonstration purposes. For the complete list of our LONG positions, please see our profile on Seeking Alpha.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
Target Hospitality Stock Set To Benefit From String Of Contract Wins (NASDAQ:TH)
Value-oriented ideas and special situations, generally mid/small cap. Also, orphaned and unfashionable investment ideas, ideally with a catalyst and the prospect of asymmetric upside/downside payoffs. Contrarian tendencies. To some extent I’ll go anywhere if it’s cheap and I’m more influenced by momentum and quality than I used to be.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of TH either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Not intended as investment advice. Author’s opinion only. Article may contain errors/inaccuracies and will not be updated. Author’s holdings may change without notice. Any statements about the future are completely uncertain and should be interpreted as such. Seek professional investment and tax advice before any investment decision.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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