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Global Supply Chains at Risk as the U.S. Proposes 25% Tariff on AI Chips

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The U.S. will impose a 25% tariff on certain advanced AI chips from January 2026 to boost domestic manufacturing, impacting the global semiconductor supply chain and prompting strategic adjustments in Thailand’s electronics sector.

U.S. Imposes 25% Tariff on Advanced AI Chips

The United States will enforce a 25% import tariff on certain advanced AI chips, effective January 15, 2026, under Section 232. This applies globally, including imports from Thailand. The tariff targets high-performance processors such as Nvidia’s H200 and AMD’s MI325X, aiming to strengthen domestic chip manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign suppliers. Some exemptions apply, including chips used in U.S. data centers, research, and startups, which will face a 0% tariff initially.

Global and Thailand’s Semiconductor Industry Impact

The tariff increase is expected to disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain, raising production costs and encouraging investment to return to the U.S. This could cause ripple effects in Thailand, particularly in electronic exports and component supply chains to economies like China and Taiwan. Although Thailand’s direct exports of advanced chips to the U.S. remain limited, indirect impacts and investment volatility in the region may occur.

Strategic Response for Thai Electronics Operators

Thai electronics businesses must quickly adjust strategies to mitigate risks from the tariff changes. Diversifying markets towards ASEAN, Japan, and Taiwan and enhancing competitiveness are key. Long-term efforts should focus on workforce skills development and boosting R&D to increase upstream chip production capabilities. Collaborative public and private sector initiatives are crucial to sustaining Thailand’s role in the global supply chain amid ongoing technological competition.

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