Foreign investor appetite for Indian equities may be cooling sharply, if insights shared by Nithin Kamath are anything to go by. In a recent social media post, the Zerodha co-founder said feedback from a stock market insider suggests that global investors are increasingly turning cautious on India, citing a mix of macro, valuation, and policy concerns.

According to Kamath, India is currently viewed as geopolitically vulnerable—particularly to potential oil shocks—while the absence of compelling artificial intelligence-led investment opportunities has further dampened its appeal. Elevated valuations and concerns around the rupee have also added to investor hesitation.

He noted that many foreign investors who were sitting on gains have already booked profits and are reallocating capital to other markets such as Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, and parts of Europe, where relative valuations and growth narratives appear more attractive.

Policy-related factors are also playing a role. Kamath highlighted that India’s capital gains tax framework—especially the structure of long-term and short-term capital gains (LTCG/STCG)—along with the recent increase in Securities Transaction Tax (STT), has made the market less competitive versus global peers that are currently attracting stronger inflows.

With foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows turning volatile, Kamath suggested that rationalising these tax structures could be a “low-hanging fruit” to improve India’s attractiveness and bring global investors back into the fold.

“Asked someone from the industry whether foreign investors are still interested in allocating to India. The TLDR: Interest has pretty much died out. India is seen as geopolitically exposed, especially to an oil shock. There are no real AI plays. Valuations are rich. And the rupee situation doesn’t help. On top of that, investors who were sitting on gains have taken money off the table and are now looking at markets like Japan, Taiwan, Korea, Europe etc instead,” the tweet said.
“He also pointed out that our LTCG/STCG structure and the increase in STT have made India less attractive compared to other markets that are seeing inflows. If we need to attract FPIs back, and we do, fixing this feels like pretty low-hanging fruit,” Kamath added.Nifty is down 9% this year, as FIIs continue to leave India. They have offloaded equities worth Rs 1,77,271 crore so far this year. In just six sessions this month, they have sold Rs 46,149 crore worth of stocks.
Domestic markets ended with cuts today, ending their five-session gaining streak. They fell amid significant selling pressure in financial stocks along with auto and FMCG counters. Nifty plunged 222.25 points or 0.93% to finish at 23,775.10. Meanwhile, Sensex declined 947.22 points or 1.22% to settle at 76,615.68.

(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

New Delhi: India’s growth projection of 6.6% for FY27 faces downside risks from the Gulf conflict, but the economy remains well placed to navigate the global energy shock, supported by strong macroeconomic buffers, the World Bank said on Thursday.

The country is expected to remain among the fastest-growing major economies. Growth for FY27 reflects the impact of higher global energy prices due to the Middle East conflict and is expected to average 7.1% in FY28-29, it noted.

The World Bank has assumed oil prices at $90-100 per barrel for FY27.

Despite external risks, macroeconomic strength and policy measures are expected to provide some insulation. However, the multilateral lender flagged energy diversification, prudent fiscal management and trade liberalisation as key priorities.

Aurelien Kruse, lead economist for India at the World Bank, said the country entered the current fiscal year from a position of strength.

“Substantial foreign reserves, low inflation, predominantly rupee-denominated public debt, a healthy financial sector, and trade diversification efforts play a major role in providing resilience from external headwinds,” said the World Bank.
The Reserve Bank of India expects growth of 6.9% for FY27. Without the ongoing conflict, growth was estimated at 7.2%, supported by stronger-than-expected performance in FY26, the World Bank said.

India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected at 7.6% in FY26, driven by private consumption, manufacturing, exports and investment, despite high tariffs imposed by the US.

Inflation is projected to rise to 4.9% in FY27, according to the World Bank, due to higher food prices, partial pass-through of global energy prices and currency depreciation pressures. Elevated energy prices are also likely to raise input costs for industry.

“Boosting private sector-led growth will be critical to strengthening economic resilience and supporting more young people to enter the workforce,” said Paul Procee, acting country director for India at the World Bank.

He added that achieving the goal of Viksit Bharat will require a predictable, business-friendly environment to unlock investment and create jobs at scale in sectors such as energy and infrastructure, manufacturing, tourism, healthcare and agribusiness.

New Delhi: India’s growth projection of 6.6% for FY27 faces downside risks from the Gulf conflict, but the economy remains well placed to navigate the global energy shock, supported by strong macroeconomic buffers, the World Bank said on Thursday.

The country is expected to remain among the fastest-growing major economies. Growth for FY27 reflects the impact of higher global energy prices due to the Middle East conflict and is expected to average 7.1% in FY28-29, it noted.

The World Bank has assumed oil prices at $90-100 per barrel for FY27.

Despite external risks, macroeconomic strength and policy measures are expected to provide some insulation. However, the multilateral lender flagged energy diversification, prudent fiscal management and trade liberalisation as key priorities.

Aurelien Kruse, lead economist for India at the World Bank, said the country entered the current fiscal year from a position of strength.

“Substantial foreign reserves, low inflation, predominantly rupee-denominated public debt, a healthy financial sector, and trade diversification efforts play a major role in providing resilience from external headwinds,” said the World Bank.

The Reserve Bank of India expects growth of 6.9% for FY27.

Without the ongoing conflict, growth was estimated at 7.2%, supported by stronger-than-expected performance in FY26, the World Bank said.

India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected at 7.6% in FY26, driven by private consumption, manufacturing, exports and investment, despite high tariffs imposed by the US.

Inflation is projected to rise to 4.9% in FY27, according to the World Bank, due to higher food prices, partial pass-through of global energy prices and currency depreciation pressures. Elevated energy prices are also likely to raise input costs for industry.

“Boosting private sector-led growth will be critical to strengthening economic resilience and supporting more young people to enter the workforce,” said Paul Procee, acting country director for India at the World Bank.

He added that achieving the goal of Viksit Bharat will require a predictable, business-friendly environment to unlock investment and create jobs at scale in sectors such as energy and infrastructure, manufacturing, tourism, healthcare and agribusiness.

Retail footfall was up in March shows new figures from MRI Software.

The retail sector in Wales has been boosted with a healthy rise in shopping numbers, shows new research.

According to data from MRI Software, based on a survey of 700 store managers, in the five week period from March 1st to April 4th, footfall increased by 6.3% on February across all retail destinations and was up 2.8% year-on-year. This sustained growth reflects the impact of key calendar events, including Mother’s Day, St Patrick’s Day and the early start to Easter trading, which encouraged consumers back into physical retail destinations.

High streets experienced the strongest growth up 8.7%, followed by retail parks, up 6.3% and shopping centres 1.6%. The broad uplift across the board highlights the strength of in‑person visits to retail stores and destinations as spring trading begins.

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As expected, Mother’s Day played an important role in shaping March’s footfall patterns. The week leading up to Easter delivered a 1.8% uplift week on week. However, when compared with the same period last year leading into Mother’s Day, footfall was 1.6% lower, suggesting shoppers were more considered in their spending.

Earlier in the month, St Patrick’s Day celebrations combined with warmer weather also helped in driving activity, particularly on Wales’ high streets where footfall rose 7.5% week on week during mid-March. Strong weekday increases during that week suggest social occasions combined with warmer weather continue to shape how consumers combine retail, leisure and hospitality visits.

The upward trend continued into the early Easter trading period, with the week leading into the holiday delivering a 7.5% increase in footfall across all Welsh retail destinations week on week. High streets led the growth recording an increase in footfall of 8.7% highlighting Easter as one of the year’s major retail trading periods outside of Christmas.

When measured against the equivalent week leading up to Easter 2025, footfall declined slightly by 0.2% overall. This suggests that while seasonal events still drive strong bursts of activity, consumers are approaching holiday spending more cautiously this year.

Jenni Matthews, analyst at MRI Software, said: “Despite ongoing economic uncertainty, footfall growth across Wales suggests that consumers are continuing to prioritise physical retail visits, particularly where value, convenience and a clear purpose are evident.

With Easter falling earlier in the calendar this year, March effectively marked the starting point for spring trading. While footfall trends remain stable, the data shows that events, holidays and social activities continue to drive visits to retail destinations, but shoppers are becoming more intentional as economic pressures persist. For retail stores and destinations, the challenge will be in demonstrating value to its shoppers as they become increasingly deliberate with their purchases.”

BOISE, Idaho — Micron Technology Inc. shares climbed more than 3% Thursday to trade around $420.50 as investors continued to reward the memory chipmaker’s dominant position in the artificial intelligence boom, fueled by sold-out high-bandwidth memory production through 2026 and blockbuster guidance signaling another quarter of record revenue and margins.

The NASDAQ-listed company (MU) rose as high as $425 intraday amid broader optimism in tech stocks following a U.S.-Israel-Iran ceasefire that eased some geopolitical concerns. Micron has delivered staggering gains of more than 300% over the past year and roughly 40-50% year-to-date in 2026, with its market capitalization now exceeding $460 billion as it capitalizes on insatiable demand for advanced DRAM and HBM used in AI data centers.

Micron, a leading producer of DRAM, NAND flash and high-bandwidth memory essential for training and running large AI models, posted explosive fiscal second-quarter results in mid-March that crushed Wall Street expectations. For the quarter ended Feb. 26, 2026, the company reported revenue of $23.86 billion, up 196% from a year earlier and beating forecasts. Adjusted earnings per share surged to $12.20 from $1.56 in the prior-year period, handily topping consensus estimates.

CEO Sanjay Mehrotra highlighted “exceptional” performance driven by tight industry supply, strong AI demand and superior execution. Gross margins expanded dramatically to around 74%, reflecting premium pricing on AI-optimized products. The company also raised its dividend by 30% amid surging free cash flow, which hit record levels in the quarter.

Even more impressive was Micron’s guidance for the fiscal third quarter ending May 2026: revenue of $33.5 billion plus or minus $750 million — a figure that would represent another massive sequential jump and exceed the company’s full-year revenue for many prior years. Non-GAAP gross margin is projected near an eye-popping 81%, with adjusted EPS around $19.15. Management cited higher pricing, lower costs and a favorable product mix as drivers for further margin expansion.

“AI demand far exceeds supply, and we see that tightness continuing into 2027,” Mehrotra told analysts on the earnings call. The company’s entire HBM production for calendar 2026 is already sold out under binding agreements, providing rare visibility in the notoriously cyclical memory industry.

Micron has aggressively ramped production of its HBM3E and next-generation HBM4 products. In mid-March, the company announced it had begun high-volume shipments of its HBM4 36GB 12-high stack, designed for NVIDIA’s upcoming Vera Rubin platform. The new memory delivers more than 2.8 TB/s of bandwidth — a 2.3 times improvement — along with over 20% better power efficiency compared with prior generations.

While some reports have circulated about potential qualification delays or shifts in NVIDIA’s HBM4 allocations for initial Rubin builds, with SK Hynix and Samsung potentially taking larger early shares, Micron executives have pushed back strongly. Management reiterated that its full 2026 HBM supply — including HBM4 — remains fully contracted, with ongoing discussions for pricing and volume on advanced nodes. The company is also shipping samples of even higher-capacity HBM4 48GB 16-high stacks and expanding capacity through new fabs in the U.S., Singapore and Taiwan.

Analysts have responded with a wave of bullish upgrades and price target increases. KeyBanc recently set a $600 target, while UBS raised its target to $535. Consensus price targets now hover around $465 to $500, with some firms calling for $700 or more in optimistic scenarios. Ratings remain overwhelmingly Buy, with Wall Street viewing Micron as one of the purest and most leveraged plays on the AI infrastructure supercycle.

The company’s Cloud and Data Center business unit, which includes HBM sold to hyperscalers and GPU makers, has been the primary growth engine. Demand for memory in AI training clusters continues to outstrip available supply, even as non-OPEC+ producers add capacity elsewhere in the semiconductor chain. Micron’s technological edge in stacking and efficiency has allowed it to command premium pricing while competitors play catch-up.

Beyond HBM, Micron is seeing strength in traditional DRAM and NAND for data centers, PCs and smartphones. The firm highlighted innovations such as PCIe Gen6 SSDs and SOCAMM2 memory modules, further broadening its AI-adjacent portfolio.

Financially, Micron has transformed from a cyclical laggard into a high-margin growth story. Fiscal 2026 revenue is on track for massive expansion, with some analysts projecting full-year figures approaching or exceeding $70-80 billion in optimistic models. Free cash flow generation has enabled both aggressive capital spending — now projected above $25 billion for the year to fuel capacity growth — and shareholder returns via the dividend hike.

Still, risks remain inherent to the memory sector. While AI demand currently masks traditional cyclicality, any slowdown in hyperscaler capital expenditure, resolution of HBM4 technical bottlenecks across the industry or unexpected supply surges could pressure pricing. Micron’s heavy reliance on a concentrated customer base, including major AI players, introduces some concentration risk. Geopolitical tensions, export restrictions and the capital-intensive nature of fab expansions also warrant monitoring.

The stock’s rapid ascent has left valuations elevated by historical standards, though forward multiples remain reasonable given projected earnings growth. Shares have pulled back modestly from recent peaks near $471 but continue to attract momentum and growth-oriented investors.

Thursday’s gains built on a strong session earlier in the week, with elevated trading volume signaling sustained interest. By mid-afternoon, shares traded near $420.50, up about 3.4% on the day.

Micron executives expressed confidence in sustained fundamentals. With new manufacturing sites coming online gradually — meaningful contributions not expected until fiscal 2028 in some cases — supply constraints are likely to persist, supporting pricing power in the near to medium term.

As artificial intelligence spending by companies like Microsoft, Google, Meta and Amazon accelerates, with combined 2026 data center capex forecasts in the hundreds of billions, memory suppliers capable of delivering high-performance, power-efficient solutions are in the spotlight. Micron’s pivot toward AI-optimized products has decoupled it somewhat from broader PC and consumer cycles.

Upcoming fiscal third-quarter results, expected in late June, will be watched closely for further evidence of margin sustainability and any updates on HBM4 ramps or customer diversification. Analysts will scrutinize utilization rates, pricing trends and commentary on 2027 visibility.

For now, sentiment remains firmly bullish. Micron’s record backlog-like visibility in HBM, technological leadership and disciplined execution position it as a cornerstone player in the AI supply chain. Whether the current rally can extend further will depend on continued hyperscaler demand, successful capacity scaling and the broader trajectory of AI adoption.

Micron Technology, founded in 1978 and headquartered in Boise, employs tens of thousands worldwide. Its products power everything from smartphones and servers to the most advanced AI supercomputers. Once viewed primarily as a commodity memory maker, the company has emerged as a critical enabler of the artificial intelligence revolution.

With HBM capacity sold out for the year and explosive guidance pointing to another record quarter, Micron appears poised for what many describe as a multi-year growth phase — provided it can navigate the technical and supply challenges that define the high-stakes AI hardware race.

This article was written by

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Market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has given approval to BSE to launch derivative contracts on the ‘BSE Focused IT Index’. BSE said in a regulatory filing on Thursday that details regarding the launch and contract specifications will be notified via separate exchange circulars.

The BSE Focused IT is a sector index that measures the performance of the 14 companies belonging to the Information Technology sector that are also BSE 500 firms.

The index constituents are Coforge, Cyient, HCL Technologies, Infosys, KPIT Technologies, LTIMindtree, Mphasis, Oracle Financial Services Software, Persistent Systems, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Tata Elxsi, Tata Technologies, Tech Mahindra and Wipro.

BSE Focused IT index was launched on October 7, 2024. The index has delivered negative 24% returns between January and March.

BSE shares ended 3% up on the NSE today at Rs 3,260 despite weak markets. Nifty plunged 222.25 points or 0.93% to finish at 23,775.10. Meanwhile, Sensex declined 947.22 points or 1.22% to settle at 76,615.68.

The stock also hit a fresh 52-week high of Rs 3,285.70. The capital market stock has seen a stellar run on the D-Street, delivering 76% returns in the past year. These returns came at a time when Indian markets faced multiple headwinds including rich valuations leading to FII outflows, tariff issues, a falling rupee and weak earnings. The latest setback for global markets including India has been the Iran-Israel war.
BSE shares are currently trading above their 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) of Rs 2,851 and Rs 2,609, respectively.The multibagger counter has delivered 2,070% returns in the past three years.

Also read: Why FPI interest in India ‘has pretty much died out’: Nithin Kamath points to valuations, taxes and global alternatives

(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)