How Middle East Conflict Is Accelerating Asia’s Energy Transition

Asian countries are rapidly transitioning to renewables and alternative fuels due to the Middle East oil crisis, with China leveraging reserves and boosting clean energy, while nations like Indonesia and Vietnam explore biofuels despite environmental concerns.

Key Points

• Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, especially in the Strait of Hormuz, are causing energy supply shocks, with Asia being the most affected region. 
• Asia’s high dependence on imported fossil fuels, particularly from the Middle East, has led to economic strain, energy emergencies, and increased costs for households and industries. 
• The crisis has forced several Asian countries, including the Philippines, Thailand, and India, to implement short-term measures such as subsidies, tax cuts, and increased coal usage, which could hinder long-term renewable energy investments. 
• Countries like Vietnam and China, which have prioritized renewable energy and diversified energy sources, are more resilient to energy shocks. 
• The crisis underscores the importance of clean fuels and renewables for energy security, prompting countries to reassess biofuel and clean energy strategies. 
• The 2026 Energy Transition Index (ETI) provides a framework to evaluate how countries balance energy security, affordability, and sustainability amid such disruptions. 

How is the current crisis creating critical vulnerabilities for Asia?

Asian markets are the top destination for gas exports from Qatar and the UAE. In 2025, nearly 90% of all gas shipped through the Strait of Hormuz headed to Asia, while just over 10% went to Europe. This heavy reliance is made worse by the lack of alternative supply routes, unlike Europe, which boosted its gas import options after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

How do recent disruptions in oil markets reinforce the case for clean fuels?

Clean fuels can help countries better handle geopolitical disruptions when made from local resources like renewable electricity or homegrown biogenetic feedstocks and residues. This is pushing governments in Asia and the EU to rethink biofuel blending rules and overall clean-fuel plans with energy security in mind. In China, for example, the top energy authority has vowed to speed up hydrogen industry growth and take advantage of cheaper sources like domestic wind and solar power.

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