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How the Oil Trade Rippled Across Wall Street in a Chaotic Week

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How the Oil Trade Rippled Across Wall Street in a Chaotic Week

Shaia Hosseinzadeh bet that a war in the Middle East would upend global markets.

This was the week his wager paid off.

His OnyxPoint Global Management had already been snapping up shares in liquefied natural-gas companies, rare-earth firms and energy producers when missiles and drones started to fly to and from Iran. Wall Street’s initially sanguine response to conflict, Hosseinzadeh said, “gave us more conviction to lean in to the trade.”

Just last month, when the hedge fund founder was discussing opportunities and risks ahead with investors at the Ritz-Carlton South Beach in Florida, U.S. oil prices had largely languished below $65 a barrel for months. Some forecasters projected more declines to come, leaving oil bulls on the outside looking in. But as U.S. warships massed near the Middle East and rumors swirled of huge trades for pricier oil, Hosseinzadeh saw one risk that loomed large.

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U.S. Gasoline Prices Are Up by Nearly a Quarter Since War Broke Out

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A gas station in downtown Los Angeles.

U.S. gasoline prices have now climbed 23.5% since the war began, climbing to a national average of $3.68 a gallon on Saturday. The global price of oil has surged even more sharply, rising 40% over the same period to $103.14 a barrel on Friday. Historically, gas prices tend to lag behind shifts in crude oil costs, suggesting further increases could be on the horizon.

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Goldman cuts near-term TOPIX targets on heightened geopolitical concerns

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Goldman cuts near-term TOPIX targets on heightened geopolitical concerns

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Market crash wipes Rs 34 lakh cr in March so far; can tax harvesting help investors?

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Market crash wipes Rs 34 lakh cr in March so far; can tax harvesting help investors?
Sensex and Nifty have seen a massive selloff amid the raging Iran-Israel war, wiping out nearly Rs 34 lakh crore from the total market capitalisation of BSE in March so far. As bears dominate the markets, investors may consider tax harvesting as a way to save on taxes.

Tax harvesting involves two methods tax loss harvesting and tax gains harvesting. Investors are liable to pay capital gains tax on equities only when the shares are sold. While taxes are payable on gains, investors also have an opportunity to save taxes if they incur losses.

What is tax loss harvesting?

Tax loss harvesting involves selling equities that are at a loss and then carrying forward the loss to offset gains in future years. The loss can be carried forward for up to eight assessment years from the assessment year in which it was incurred.

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Example: An investor named John sold shares of X Company on Friday (bought in February last year) and made a profit of Rs 5 lakh. Since the holding period is more than 12 months, this is treated as a long-term capital gain (LTCG).

Breaking down his tax liability: Rs 1.25 lakh of the profit is exempt, while the remaining Rs 3.75 lakh is taxed at a flat rate of 12.5%. John wants to reduce his tax liability using tax loss harvesting.


John also owns shares of Y Company, which have fallen significantly below his purchase price. By selling Y shares and incurring losses of Rs 3.75 lakh, his overall tax liability for the year is reduced to zero, as the losses offset the gains from X shares.
“This method is called tax loss harvesting. Normal human tendency is to sell shares that are profitable and hold shares that are in loss. Tax loss harvesting is about selling shares incurring substantial loss so that it can offset profits already made. Unless you sell the shares, you cannot claim the loss under Income Tax law,” said tax and investment expert Balwant Jain.For short-term capital gains (STCG), i.e., profit from selling shares held for less than 12 months, the tax is 20% flat and does not enjoy the Rs 1.25-lakh exemption like LTCG. You can book losses up to the gains made during the year to reduce STCG liability, Jain explains.

What if the stock you want to sell for tax loss harvesting is expected to rally in the future? In John’s example, if he believes Y shares will rise, he can still book a loss and buy the same stock in a different trading account on the same day. If he has only one demat account, he can repurchase the stock the next day. However, intraday sale and purchase on the same day using the same account will not qualify for tax loss harvesting.

What is tax gains harvesting

Consider an investor named Harry. He holds 100 shares of A Company for more than 12 months. Today, the total profit from selling all shares would be Rs 3 lakh.

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If Harry sells only 41 shares and continues to hold the rest, his LTCG reduces to Rs 1.23 lakh, which falls under the exemption limit, resulting in zero tax liability. This strategy is called tax gains harvesting.

In the July 2024 budget, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman revised STCG and LTCG rates:

  • STCG: increased from 15% to 20% for shares held less than 12 months.
  • LTCG: increased to 12.5% on gains exceeding Rs 1.25 lakh for shares held 12 months or more.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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US airline CEOs urge Congress to end standoff, pay airport security officers

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US airline CEOs urge Congress to end standoff, pay airport security officers


US airline CEOs urge Congress to end standoff, pay airport security officers

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Is Your Business Developing New Products? It Could Qualify for Tax Breaks.

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Is Your Business Developing New Products? It Could Qualify for Tax Breaks.

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TPG Can Navigate the Private Credit Unwind. Hold on to the Stock.

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TPG Can Navigate the Private Credit Unwind. Hold on to the Stock.

TPG Can Navigate the Private Credit Unwind. Hold on to the Stock.

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Bitcoin: Strategy and ETF demand provide 6% weekly lift amid regional conflict

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Bitcoin: Strategy and ETF demand provide 6% weekly lift amid regional conflict

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FedEx Overtakes UPS as the New King of Delivery

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FedEx Overtakes UPS as the New King of Delivery

All hail the new king of packages. 

For the first time in history,

FedEx

FDX

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-0.41%

decrease; red down pointing triangle eclipsed United Parcel Service UPS -0.69%decrease; red down pointing triangle this week in market capitalization, a sign of how much Wall Street is rewarding the delivery giant that can shrink the fastest to boost profits.

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Oil poised for further gains as Middle East conflict threatens export facilities

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Oil poised for further gains as Middle East conflict threatens export facilities

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Market And Economic Implications From The War In Iran

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Market And Economic Implications From The War In Iran

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Lawrence Fuller has been managing portfolios for individual investors for 30 years, starting his career at Merrill Lynch in 1993 and working in the same capacity with several other Wall Street firms before realizing his long-term goal of complete independence when he founded Fuller Asset Management. He also manages the Focused Growth portfolio on the new fintech platform called Dub, which is the first copy-trading platform approved by securities regulators in the US, allowing retail investors to copy the portfolio and ongoing trades of the manager they choose automatically. You can also find him on Substack and lawrencefuller.substack.com.He is the leader of the investing group The Portfolio Architect, which focuses on an overall economic and market outlook that complements an all-weather investment strategy designed to produce consistent risk-adjusted market returns. Features include: Portfolio construction guidance, access to an “All-Weather” model portfolio and a dividend and options income portfolio, a daily brief summarizing current events, a week ahead newsletter, technical and fundamental reports, trade alerts, and 24/7 chat. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Lawrence Fuller is the Principal of Fuller Asset Management (FAM), a state registered investment adviser. He is also the manager of the Focused Growth portfolio on the copy-trading platform Dubapp.com. Information presented is for educational purposes only intended for a broad audience. The information does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale of purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. FAM has reasonable belief that this marketing does not include any false or material misleading statements or omissions of facts regarding services, investment, or client experience. FAM has reasonable belief that the content as a whole will not cause an untrue or misleading implication regarding the adviser’s services, investments, or client experiences. Past performance of specific investment advice should not be relied upon without knowledge of certain circumstances or market events, nature and timing of investments and relevant constraints of the investment. FAM has presented information in a fair and balanced manner. FAM is not giving tax, legal, or accounting advice.
Mr. Fuller may discuss and display charts, graphs, formulas, and stock picks which are not intended to be used by themselves to determine which securities to buy or sell, or when to buy or sell them. Such charts and graphs offer limited information and should not be used on their own to make investment decisions. Consultation with a licensed financial professional is strongly suggested. The opinions expressed herein are those of the firm and are subject to change without notice. The opinions referenced are as of the date of publication and are subject to change due to changes in market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass.

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