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LARRY KUDLOW: Trump Was Right About Tariffs

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LARRY KUDLOW: Trump Was Right About Tariffs

In case you didn’t see it, late Friday afternoon President Trump posted an op-ed piece on the Wall Street Journal website entitled: “My Tariffs Have Brought America Back,” and it appeared in the Saturday morning print edition. I don’t think people focused on it because everybody was talking about Mr. Trump’s superb nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Fed chairman. Yet it’s worth revisiting his piece, which is kind of a rebuttal to all the criticisms by the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board, regarding Mr. Trump’s tariff policies.

Anyway, the President makes a lot of important points. For one thing, he notes that there was never any retaliation against his tariffs, and therefore all the Smoot-Hawley 1930s talk turned out to be false alarms. Instead of retaliation, there were deals, and Mr. Trump points out deals with Communist China, Great Britain, the European Union, Japan, and a number of countries in Southeast Asia. Yet as he said, the deals reduced barriers for American exports, and may have well led to stock market booms, not only here in America, but in all the countries that came to the dealmaking table.

Meanwhile, I’ll just insert that Smoot-Hawley raised tariffs to 60 percent or 70 percent. Yet most of the effective Trump tariffs are really closer to 15 percent. And as the president points out, a couple of $100 billion in tariff-related revenues have helped lower the budget deficit by as much as 27 percent. American exports are way up, imports are lower, and the trade deficit has narrowed substantially.

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Mr. Trump gives much of the credit for the economic boom to the One, Big, Beautiful Bill, regarding tax cuts, lighter regulation, and “Drill, Baby, Drill.” Yet his policy of trade reciprocity, really does look like a great success.

To quote Mr. Trump: “We have proven, decisively, that, properly applied, tariffs do not hurt growth — they promote growth and greatness, just as I said all along.” And he also cites a Harvard Business School study that foreign producers and non-American big corporations are paying at least 80 percent of the tariff costs. Very interesting. He also notes that the various trade deals prompted by the tariff tool are generating tremendous foreign investment in America.

Now, Mr. Trump likes to use $18 trillion. The official White House website says $9.6 trillion. Of course, he loves to embellish, and anyway, who’s to say he won’t get the commitments? And anyway, just getting half of it is remarkable.  

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Another important point in his tariff piece was the use of the levies in international diplomacy, where trade diplomacy became an important national security tool. And this is something the pending Supreme Court decision hopefully will fully take into account.

Just today, Mr. Trump got an agreement from India to stop buying Russian oil, in return for which America will lower its tariff on India to 18 percent from 25 percent. Another interception of trade policy with foreign policy. All in, the Trump reciprocal tariffs have surely contributed to the Trumpian economic boom. And you know what folks? On another day I’m going to tell you why he’s really a free trader at heart.

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Can Omnitech IPO deliver long-term growth for investors?

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Can Omnitech IPO deliver long-term growth for investors?
ET Intelligence Group: Omnitech Engineering, a high precision engineered components manufacturer, plans to raise Rs 418 crore through a fresh issue to fund new facilities and to repay debt. It will also raise Rs 165 crore through an offer for sale.

The promoter group’s stake will fall to 74.2% after the IPO from 94.1%. The company has a loyal customer base with 97% of revenue coming from repeat business. With about 79% of its revenue coming from exports, including 58% from the US, the company faces geographical and tariff related risks. Additionally, It exhibited a longer working capital cycle and had negative cash flow from operations in FY25. Given these factors, investors may wait to see clarity in financials.

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Incorporated in 2006, Omnitech caters to customers across sectors such as energy, motion control and automation, industrial equipment systems, metal forming and others. It has three manufacturing units, all in Gujarat thereby creating geographic concentration risks. For instance, flooding from excessive rainfall in FY25 disrupted operations. It has a leased warehouse in Houston, USA. The company imports about 37% of its materials and uses hedging techniques to reduce currency risks.

Omnitech has Most Parts in Place, Cash Flow a ConcernAgencies

World Matters Biz is growing at high-precision components maker, but co is exposed to tariff shifts and has longer working capital cycle

Financials
Between FY23 and FY25, revenue grew by 39.1% annually to ‘342.9 crore and net profit rose 16.5% to ‘43.9 crore. Around 30% revenue comes from top three customers. The company has a longer working capital cycle – net working capital days at 256 in the six months to September. This may increase working capital needs thereby raising interest outgo.

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Cash flow from operating activities was ‘11.8 crore in the first half of FY26, but the company faced operating cash flow deficit of ’69 crore in FY25, dropping from positive cash flow of ‘39.4 crore in FY23. Though return on equity (ROE) dropped sharply to 21.6% in FY25 from 53.9% in FY23, it remains well above peer range of 6-13%. For the six months ended September 2025, the company’s revenue and net profit was ‘228.2 crore and ‘27.8 crore, respectively.
Valuation
Considering the post-IPO equity and annualised profit for FY26, the price-earnings (P/E) multiple is 50 compared with above 66 for peers including Azad Engineering, Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing, and PTC Industries.

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Vedanta share price rise 5% as BofA upgrades stock to Buy, raises target price by 75%. Here’s why

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Vedanta share price rise 5% as BofA upgrades stock to Buy, raises target price by 75%. Here’s why
Shares of Anil Agarwal-led Vedanta Ltd rallied as much as 5% to their intraday high of Rs 727.40 on the BSE on Wednesday after BofA Securities upgraded the stock to “Buy” from “Neutral” and sharply raised its target price to Rs 840 from Rs 480 — an increase of 75%.

The international brokerage cited a more constructive outlook for aluminium prices, supportive silver prices and an attractive dividend yield of over 6% estimated for FY27. It also highlighted that significant deleveraging at the parent level reduces the risk of any increase in brand-fee rates or inter-corporate loans.

BofA has raised its FY26E–FY28E EBITDA estimates for Vedanta by 16–21%, factoring in higher aluminium price assumptions, an increased fair value for Hindustan Zinc, depreciation in the USD-INR rate and a lower holding-company discount of 5%, compared with 15% earlier.

Vedanta Q3 snapshot

Vedanta reported a 61% year-on-year jump in consolidated profit to Rs 5,710 crore for the third quarter, with revenue rising 19% to Rs 45,899 crore. EBITDA climbed 34% year-on-year and 31% sequentially to a record Rs 15,171 crore, while margins expanded sharply to 41%, supported by higher metal prices, stronger premiums, improved volumes and cost efficiencies.

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The aluminium business stood out operationally, with alumina production rising 57% year-on-year to a record 794 kilo tonnes, while aluminium cost of production declined 11% year-on-year to $1,674 per tonne, aiding margin expansion. Zinc India and international zinc operations also delivered strong growth on the back of favourable commodity prices and improved volumes.
The stronger operating performance translated into better capital efficiency, with return on capital employed improving to 27%, up nearly 300 basis points from a year ago.

Vedanta share price performance

Vedanta share price has been off to a strong start in 2026, rallying 20% on a year-to-date basis. The stock is up 60% in the last six months.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Form 144 AUTOLIV INC For: 25 February

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Form 144 AUTOLIV INC For: 25 February

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Cognex head of corporate M&A sells $3.46 million in stock

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Cognex head of corporate M&A sells $3.46 million in stock

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Piyush Pandey sees buying opportunity in IT stocks despite AI fears

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Piyush Pandey sees buying opportunity in IT stocks despite AI fears
Indian IT stocks may have faced a bout of market jitters over artificial intelligence (AI) disruption, but industry expert Piyush Pandey from Centrum sees long-term opportunities despite short-term volatility.

According to Pandey, current valuations are “extremely comfortable” and most stocks are trading below their five-year averages. “As of now, it looks like most of the stocks are in oversold zone and I would say, the fears from the AI are overblown. And as most of these management we also believe that AI would provide more opportunities in the medium to long term. In fact, there can be some price deflation for certain legacy projects, but that should be more than compensated with increasing volume of IT projects,” he explained in an interview to ET Now.

Pandey emphasized that while the near-term impact might be temporary, IT companies are well-positioned for growth over the next one to two years.

When asked whether the AI disruption is materially different from previous technology shifts such as cloud and internet adoption, Pandey noted, “Even with this disruption, it is more about improvement in productivity. Revenue per employee would increase, headcount addition would be more measured, and some routine tasks can get automated. IT services companies are well entrenched in the entire IT ecosystem where they understand the client’s context and their tech journey over decades.”

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He added that this productivity boost could make previously unviable legacy transformation projects feasible. “Near term we might see some disruption, but I remain positive and it looks like even for FY27 performance would be slightly better compared to what we had in FY26,” Pandey said.


Concerns over AI reducing man-hours and impacting revenue models were addressed as well. “In this AI age I believe it would shift from man-hour base to fixed price or outcome-based projects. There has been significant increase in productivity, especially in coding hours, but for clients who were previously unable to implement IT projects, now it becomes easier and more affordable,” he said.
On margin pressure, Pandey commented, “There would be some margin compression for legacy projects. But as IT companies move towards outcome-based billing, margins would be broadly protected. For global tech companies in the US, if they cannot monetize AI properly, their margins can take a hit. There is more of a bubble case in AI for US tech companies, but for Indian companies, the opportunities are just too huge.”From an investor’s perspective, Pandey recommends patience. “Let the price stabilise, maybe it can take a month or so. But at the current valuations, if somebody has a long-term horizon… and even Q4 would be reasonably good. So, if somebody has a longer term, one can add; otherwise, they can wait for the prices to stabilise.”

He advises a balanced approach between largecap and midcap IT names. “I would say mix of a largecap and Infosys and Coforge one can have 50-50,” he said, highlighting them as top picks.

Pandey also flagged key metrics to monitor in the AI-driven IT cycle: “Companies will start reporting on deal TCV, especially AI-led deal TCV, and one needs to track the pace at which AI-led deal TCV grows. Even Infosys reported around 5.5% revenue from AI-led services and TCS had a similar number at around 5.8%, that $1.8 billion. AI-led revenue, AI-led deal TCV, and how the mix is changing quarter to quarter needs to be tracked. Plus, headcount addition is still important to keep their employee pyramid intact.”

With measured optimism, Pandey believes the Indian IT sector is poised to navigate AI disruption while delivering value to long-term investors.

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HSBC ADR earnings beat by $0.03, revenue topped estimates

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HSBC ADR earnings beat by $0.03, revenue topped estimates

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RealReal chief product officer sells $210k in stock

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RealReal chief product officer sells $210k in stock

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Mortgage Rates Dip Under 6%. 3 Things Weighing on Housing Stocks.

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Mortgage Rates Dip Under 6%. 3 Things Weighing on Housing Stocks.

Mortgage Rates Dip Under 6%. 3 Things Weighing on Housing Stocks.

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Everything you need to know about the new school uniform law

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Everything you need to know about the new school uniform law

New guidelines have been issued by the Department of Education in the wake of law changes on uniforms.

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Virginia Governor Spanberger rips into Trump on economy, immigration

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Virginia Governor Spanberger rips into Trump on economy, immigration


Virginia Governor Spanberger rips into Trump on economy, immigration

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