Thailand recorded its strongest trade growth in four years in January 2026, with exports jumping 24.4% and imports rising 29.4%, far exceeding economic forecasts.

This surge was primarily driven by a global “upcycle” in demand for electronics related to artificial intelligence and data centers, providing a significant boost to the Thai economy as the government navigates complex trade relations with the United States and China.

Key Points

• Thai exports and imports reached their highest growth rates since late 2021, fueled by outbound electronic shipments and high demand for raw materials and machinery.
• Trade officials attributed the export spike to genuine demand for AI-related technology rather than the transshipment of Chinese goods through Thailand to avoid tariffs.
• Thailand maintained a $4.8 billion trade surplus with the United States in January, while running a $7.2 billion trade deficit with China.
• The Commerce Ministry is prioritizing continued trade talks with the U.S. to maintain cooperation and mitigate the impact of proposed 15% global tariffs.
• The strong trade data provides political momentum for Caretaker Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul’s coalition government, which has pledged to improve Thailand’s economic growth relative to its regional competitors.

The Ministry of Commerce clarified that the export spike is a result of genuine demand rather than the transshipment of Chinese goods. This economic boost arrives as the caretaker government looks to accelerate Thailand’s growth to remain competitive with other major Southeast Asian economies.

What specific technological trends contributed to the 24.4% jump in Thai exports in January 2026?

the specific technological trends and factors that contributed to the 24.4% jump in Thai exports are:

• Artificial Intelligence (AI): The surge was primarily driven by high global demand for electronic components specifically related to AI technology.
• Data Centers: There was a significant “upcycle” in demand for electronics tied to the development and operation of data centers.
• Electronics Sector Upcycle: The broader electronics industry experienced a growth phase, leading to increased outbound shipments of electronic products.
• Inbound Demand for Infrastructure: While exports rose, the document also notes stronger demand for raw materials and machinery, which supported the overall trade activity linked to these sectors.

The Ministry of Commerce, specifically Nantapong Chiralerspong (Director-General of the Trade Policy and Strategy Office), clarified that this spike was a result of genuine demand for these specific technologies rather than the transshipment of Chinese goods through Thailand to avoid tariffs

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