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Markets likely to look past geopolitics as oil risks remain contained, says Andrew Freris

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Markets likely to look past geopolitics as oil risks remain contained, says Andrew Freris
In an environment where global markets have repeatedly faced geopolitical shocks, investors appear increasingly conditioned to look through conflicts unless they materially disrupt growth or inflation. Speaking to ET Now, Andrew Freris, CEO, Ecognosis Advisory argued that even rising tensions involving the United States and Iran may not have a lasting impact on markets, though crude oil remains a key variable.

Markets growing used to conflict
Freris suggested that markets have built resilience after years of geopolitical uncertainty.

“In the last three years the world has got quite accustomed to wars… I think the markets will simply ignore it. It is as simple as that.”

His remarks reflect a broader shift in investor psychology, where geopolitical events tend to cause short-term volatility but rarely derail broader trends unless they trigger supply shocks.

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US data and Fed outlook
With weaker trade and jobless data and key releases like GDP and inflation readings on the horizon, investors are assessing what lies ahead for US monetary policy. Freris expects little clarity from the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.


“The Personal Consumer Expenditure Index… has gone up down… with no specific trend… the Fed is not going to cut interest rates for several more months.”
He also downplayed concerns around the US trade deficit, describing it as more political than economic in nature, while emphasising that inflation and labour conditions are likely to offset each other.Oil dynamics remain balanced
On crude, Freris highlighted the role of strong US production alongside OPEC supply decisions in keeping prices contained despite geopolitical tensions.

“United States is very neck to neck with OPEC… I do not want to spend too much time on the price of oil as a particular input into global inflation.”

He added that while inflation remains above central bank targets, current levels are not alarming in a global context.

The takeaway
The broader message for investors is that while headlines around geopolitics and oil may create noise, the real drivers remain inflation, growth, and central bank policy. For now, expectations of steady US economic momentum and delayed rate cuts continue to underpin market sentiment.

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eBay Buys Depop for $1.2 Billion, Gaining Gen Z Secondhand Fashion Focus

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eBay Buys Depop for $1.2 Billion, Gaining Gen Z Secondhand Fashion Focus

EBay will acquire the secondhand fashion platform Depop from Etsy ETSY 9.28%increase; green up pointing triangle for approximately $1.2 billion, adding an app popular with younger consumers to the online auction site’s core marketplace business.

Jamie Iannone, chief executive officer of eBay EBAY 3.13%increase; green up pointing triangle, said Wednesday that the addition of Depop to its portfolio would boost its footprint while also expanding its presence in the fashion market.

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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TTM Technologies: AI And Defense Growth (NASDAQ:TTMI)

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This article was written by

I’m an independent equity trader and licensed financial advisor focused on uncovering high-upside opportunities in overlooked sectors especially focusing on small-caps, energy, commodities, and special situations. My investment strategy is based on growth. I look for fundamental momentum (EPS, ROE, revenue), price-volume confirmation, and macro filters. I also use econometric tools and calculations to analyse market direction, cycles and behaviour. I’ve been managing personal capital since 2020 and advising under MiFID II since qualifying with a license. I hold a bachelor’s in Business Administration and Economics and am currently completing a master’s in Finance. My masters thesis topic: Impact of Financial Results Announcements on Stock Returns and Trading Volumes of Micro-Capitalization Gold Mining Companies.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Aston Martin warns on profits as US tariffs and falling sales hit earnings

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The luxury car maker warned earnings will fall below £184m for 2025 as it also sells F1 team naming rights for £50m

File photo dated 28/2/2013 of the Aston Martin logo.

The Aston Martin logo(Image: PA)

Aston Martin has cautioned that it will report lower-than-anticipated profits for the previous year, driven by declining sales as it grapples with pressure from US tariffs. The news came as the luxury car manufacturer also revealed the sale of naming rights for its Aston Martin F1 team to a related party in a bid to bolster its finances.

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London-listed Aston Martin Lagonda has been pressing ahead with efforts to turn its fortunes around under Canadian billionaire Lawrence Stroll. However, the company shed light on the scale of the challenge ahead with its latest profit warning update.

The car manufacturer told shareholders on Friday that gross profit margins and adjusted earnings before interest and tax are expected to come in “slightly below” the lower end of analyst expectations.

This means the Warwickshire-based company is anticipating earnings below £184 million for 2025.

Senior figures said it followed the company navigating “a highly challenging trading environment” throughout the year.

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The firm stressed that it made headway on its transformation despite mounting pressure from increased tariffs in the US and a decline in deliveries of higher-margin Special model vehicles.

Total wholesale volumes fell to 5,448 in 2025, down from 6,030 the previous year, the company confirmed.

The US remains the car maker’s largest market, though it was struck by a 10% tariff last year, reduced from a previously planned 27.5%.

Aston Martin has taken steps in recent months to strengthen its financial position, including scaling back investment plans last October. The company revealed on Friday a £50 million agreement to sell the naming rights of its Aston Martin F1 Team to associated party AMR GP Holdings.

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Under the terms of the deal, AMR will retain use of the Aston Martin name in F1 through to 2055. Executives confirmed the agreement would strengthen Aston Martin’s liquidity position.

Aston Martin has its headquarters in Gaydon, Warwickshire, with a manufacturing base in St Athan, South Wales, and a base in Newport Pagnell.

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NSW Announces Plans to Introduce Minimum Age Requirement for E-Bike Riders

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The New South Wales government has announced plans to introduce a minimum age requirement for e-bike riders.

Should this be implemented, children under the age of 12 will not be allowed to ride e-bikes in NSW.

NSW Plans to Introduce Minimum Age Requirement for E-Bike Riders

According to a report by 7NEWS, Transport Minister John Graham said that current rules have raised serious safety concerns.

“At the moment it’s legal for a primary school kid with no peripheral vision who can barely lift one of these bikes to ride it on NSW streets,” Graham explained.

“It’s simply dangerous to have kids as young as 10 or 11 on these high-powered bikes,” he added.

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The transport minister went on to emphasize that “We want kids on their bikes, we want them outdoors and off their screens, but we don’t want them hurting themselves and that’s the common-sense approach we’re taking here.”

Rapid Increase in Number of E-Bikes

According to The Guardian, the NSW government has noted that these has been a rapid increase in the number of e-bikes in the state.

Specifically, the government estimates that there are around 760,000 e-bikes in NSW.

According to the data presented in the report, the state recorded a total of 226 e-bike-related injuries in 2024. That number rose in 233 injuries and four deaths in just the first seven months of 2025.

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Police Minister Yasmin Catley welcomed the idea of having age restrictions, saying that it could “prevent dangerous behaviour before more people are seriously hurt.”

“Police see firsthand the consequences when powerful ebikes are misused,” Catley said. “This is about getting the balance right, so e-bikes remain a useful transport option without putting the public at risk.”

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Citizens lowers Invitation Homes stock price target on oversupply

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Citizens lowers Invitation Homes stock price target on oversupply

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Citizens raises Hamilton Insurance stock price target on strong market conditions

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Citizens raises Hamilton Insurance stock price target on strong market conditions

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Commodities: Trump Sets A Deadline For Iranian Deal

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Commodities: Trump Sets A Deadline For Iranian Deal

From Trump to trade, FX to Brexit, ING’s global economists have it covered. Go to ING.com/THINK to stay a step ahead. We’re sorry we can’t reply to individuals’ comments.Content disclaimer: The information in the publication is not an investment recommendation and it is not investment, legal or tax advice or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instrument.This publication has been prepared by ING solely for information purposes without regard to any particular user’s investment objectives, financial situation, or means. For our full disclaimer please click here.

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UK retail sales rise 1.8% in January as tech and fuel drive growth

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Supermarkets struggled in January, ONS figures show

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January’s retail sales boost was driven by art galleries and tech retailers(Image: PA Archive/PA Images)

British retail sales increased by 1.8 per cent in January as non-food retailers outperformed struggling supermarkets, Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures reveal.

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Automotive fuel sales, art galleries and technology retailers drove this expansion, the ONS said, which was partly offset by declining supermarket sales.

Retail sales rose marginally on a three-month basis, climbing by 0.1 per cent in the three months to January.

This comes as retailers warn they are facing record-high employment costs, with chief financial officers cautioning they may have to cut jobs as Labour’s employment reforms come into effect.

January’s sales growth is substantial compared to 0.4 per cent growth in December, as reported by City AM.

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Grant Fitzner, ONS chief economist, said: “Retail sales rose slightly in the latest three months, as sales continued to pick up in the new year following a weak November.

“Motor fuel sales increased a little across the period, while sales of art works, tech retailers and furniture stores also performed well. These were partially offset by falls in supermarket sales.”

Whilst the volume of retail sales grew in January the value of this spend is down 37 per cent, from £59.9m in December to £37.9m in January.

And as supermarkets struggled, non-food retail sales performed well, driven in part by robust sales in commercial art galleries in January.

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The value spent in food retailers plummeted 31 per cent from £22.9m in the busy Christmas period to £15.7m in January. Computer, telecommunications and furniture retailers have also experienced robust performance in recent months.

Online sales rose by 10.8 per cent year-on-year for the three months to January, and increased by 1.8 per cent compared to the three months to October 2025.

This was partly due to higher rainfall which deterred Brits from visiting physical retailers, according to the ONS.

Marty Bauer, a senior ecommerce specialist at Omnisend, said: “The early part of the year is now driven less by impulse purchases and more by intentional buying.

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“Discount-led events, loyalty offers and personalised promotions will have played a crucial role in converting browsers into buyers, particularly online where price comparison is effortless.”

Nicholas Found, head of commercial content at Retail Economics, stated: “For now, retail remains a market where value wins, but volumes lag. Inflation is easing, yet growth of underlying units remains subdued as households spend carefully rather than freely.

“At the same time, retailers are grappling with mounting employment and operating costs. Retailers are being forced to find productivity gains while competing harder for every pound of demand.”

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Why MJ Is No Longer A Sell

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Why MJ Is No Longer A Sell

Why MJ Is No Longer A Sell

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Rheinmetall wins contract for Luchs 2 reconnaissance vehicle turrets

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Rheinmetall wins contract for Luchs 2 reconnaissance vehicle turrets

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