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Meesho slides 40% from peak, slips below listing price. Here is why brokerages still see 26% upside

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Meesho slides 40% from peak, slips below listing price. Here is why brokerages still see 26% upside
Shares of e-commerce firm Meesho have slid about 12% over the past week after its Q3 earnings disappointed the Street. Consolidated net losses for the December quarter ballooned nearly 13-fold to Rs 491 crore, compared with a loss of Rs 37 crore in the year-ago period. The stock has also slipped below its listing price after an initially strong debut, amid concerns over growth sustainability. However, a couple of leading foreign brokerages continue to see silver linings, pointing to factors that could still work in the company’s favour.

Meesho was listed in December at Rs 162 on the NSE, marking a 46% premium over the issue price of Rs 111. After rallying sharply to a peak of Rs 254 on December 18, the stock has since reversed nearly 40% and is now hovering around Rs 151, its Thursday closing price. Notably, Meesho had turned into a 129% multibagger within just seven sessions of listing before entering the current downtrend.

The December-listed e-commerce company reported a 32% year-on-year jump in revenue in Q3FY26 to Rs 3,518 crore versus Rs 2,674 crore in the corresponding quarter of the last financial year.

The company’s losses rose on a sequential basis as well, climbing from Rs 411 crore in Q2FY26, while the topline recorded a 14% quarter-on-quarter growth versus Rs 3,074 crore in the July-September quarter.

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What brokerages recommend

Swiss brokerage UBS has maintained a Buy rating on Meesho with a target price of Rs 220. The stock was recommended at a price of Rs 173, implying a 26% upside.
“The topline growth was strong but profitability was impacted by one-off factors and is expected to revert back in the next two quarters,” the note said. UBS attributed the decline in contribution margin by 110 bps in Q2 and a further 100 bps in Q3, with an additional 16 bps impact due to network restructuring. “This impact was largely one-off and driven by the merger of two of the largest 3PL players, Delhivery and Ecom, into a single entity, which temporarily constrained the availability of 3PL providers for Meesho. As a result, Meesho accelerated the expansion of its in-house logistics arm, Valmo, leading to short-term network inefficiencies and higher costs,” the brokerage noted, adding that management expects these costs to normalise over the next two quarters.

UBS also highlighted management’s expectation of steady-state ad revenues of 5.5-6%. Margin improvement is expected to be driven by ads and other value-added services, while the logistics premium is likely to remain range-bound at 2-2.5% of net merchandise value.

BofA Securities has retained a Neutral view on the stock, though it sees a 9% upside, implying a target price of Rs 190. The stock was recommended at Rs 174.

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The company’s Q3 revenues were ahead of BofA’s estimates.

The US brokerage is of the view that Meesho will continue to decide the right mix between Valmo and 3PL partners based on the lowest cost structure.

“Some capacity at Valmo was built at a very fast pace and was not optimised for costs. The company will fix this and then start to scale up Valmo again. Incremental costs from Q2 and Q3 are expected to normalise over the next two quarters, with operating leverage benefits from investments made across technology, marketing and logistics scale-up,” the note said.

According to BofA, Meesho’s growth over the next three to four years is expected to be led by faster expansion in annual transacting users rather than an increase in transaction frequency. The brokerage noted that first-year users typically transact less compared with more mature cohorts, with the top quartile of Meesho’s users clocking an average annual frequency of over 20 transactions. BofA added that the company is likely to maintain its logistics margin within a 2-2.5% contribution margin range on net merchandise value, with any gains from operational efficiencies expected to be passed on to users.

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(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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NatWest has announced plans to dramatically expand its Accelerator community, with an ambition to support 50,000 entrepreneurs across the UK in 2026 – a five-fold increase on the target it set for 2025.

The move follows a standout year for the programme, during which the bank supported around 12,000 founders. That figure exceeds the total number of entrepreneurs the Accelerator had backed over the previous decade combined, highlighting the rapid acceleration in both scale and impact.

The expansion forms part of NatWest’s new five-point Growing Together plan, which outlines how the bank intends to support long-term UK growth. The strategy focuses on backing regional economies, championing mid-market businesses, strengthening infrastructure and housing, improving financial confidence among families and young people, and supporting the innovators shaping the future economy.

NatWest said it believes banks have a role to play beyond providing finance, using their regional footprint, expertise and convening power to bring together businesses, communities and policymakers to help remove structural barriers to growth and unlock productivity across the UK.

At the heart of the expansion is the NatWest Accelerator community, which is built around peer networks, local cohorts and access to expert mentors, investors and specialist support. The programme is designed to help early-stage and high-growth businesses launch, scale and build resilience.

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Data released by the bank shows the impact of the programme on participating businesses. Companies that completed the Accelerator grew their turnover by an average of 104 per cent year-on-year, compared with 20 per cent growth among a control group. In addition, nine out of ten Accelerator businesses were still trading three years later, compared with fewer than half in the control group.

Robert Begbie, CEO of Commercial & Institutional Banking at NatWest Group, said the expanded ambition reflects the bank’s confidence in the programme’s effectiveness.

“We know that to build the economy of the future we need to back the innovators who will power it,” he said. “Entrepreneurs are the driving force behind innovation, job creation and long-term economic growth across the UK. By raising our ambition for 2026, we’re reinforcing our commitment to back founders at every stage – from idea to scale-up – and help them turn ambition into sustainable success.”

The commitment was welcomed by government and business groups. Small Business Minister Blair McDougall said the announcement reflected the kind of practical support needed to unlock the potential of small businesses nationwide, while Aaron Asadi, CEO of Enterprise Nation, described NatWest as unmatched among banks in its support for UK entrepreneurs.

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Shevaun Haviland, Director General of the British Chambers of Commerce, added that expanding the Accelerator would give more founders access to the advice and peer networks they need to grow with confidence.

As part of the expansion, NatWest will continue to grow its network of Accelerator hubs and on-campus university partnerships. The bank has already established hubs in collaboration with universities including Manchester, Oxford, York, Brighton and Warwick, and plans to set up hubs in up to ten universities over the next three years.

The Accelerator also delivers structured growth journeys through its UK hub network and via the NatWest Accelerator app, working in partnership with Google to provide access to digital tools, training and specialist expertise. Pitch events and founder forums held across the UK give entrepreneurs opportunities to showcase their businesses, build networks and access funding.

One business to benefit from the programme is Leeds-based production company Mood Films, which launched in 2024 after evolving from a long-standing mentor-mentee relationship into a creative partnership. After joining the NatWest Accelerator, the founders gained access to co-working space, one-to-one coaching and workshops covering funding, sales, marketing and future planning.

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Louis Jones, co-founder and director of photography at Mood Films, said the programme helped the team move from being filmmakers learning the basics of business to confident founders with a clear understanding of how to scale.

“Joining the NatWest Accelerator was one of the best decisions we ever made for our business,” he said. “The support helped us understand every area of the business and gave us the confidence to grow now and into the future.”


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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