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NatWest commercial boss on what the Government can do to help businesses large and small at a time of crisis

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Robert Begbie visits Manchester Accelerator to talk about innovation, mid-markets and economic shocks

Pictured at NatWest's Accelerator in Manchester city centre are Robert Begbie, CEO, Commercial & Institutional, left, and Libbie Mowbray, Accelerator Community Manager for Manchester

Robert Begbie, CEO, Commercial & Institutional, left, and Libbie Mowbray, Accelerator Community Manager for Manchester (Image: Reach plc)

The Government needs to try to give businesses reassurance and stability at a time of global crisis – that’s the message from a key NatWest leader as he visited the North West to meet entrepreneurs. Robert Begbie, CEO Commercial and Institutional at NatWest, visited the bank’s Manchester business accelerator to meet some of the entrepreneurs growing their businesses from the Spinningfields hub.

He spoke to BusinessLive about the bank’s network of Accelerator hubs that aim to support scale-ups and start-ups across the country. And he and North West regional director Steve Sankson also spoke about the power of mid-market firms to drive the economy in Manchester and beyond.

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Asked about the state of the markets after the Iran war, Mr Begbie said the most important thing the Government could do in the medium term was to ensure stability in policymaking.

He said: “The Government can’t control what’s going on in the Middle East. That’s completely outwith their control. But stability in the environment for businesses to operate in is hugely helpful.

“The Government has set in train a number of things around their industrial strategy, their trade strategy, overall growth, regulatory reform, and all of those will make a difference. But they take time. The culmination of those things over a period of time all helps, they’re all building blocks to creating a more sustainable and higher growth, higher productivity economy.

“A combination of that, plus everybody else including us playing our role in that growth, will ultimately create the conditions for companies to grow and the economy to grow.”

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It’s too early to say what long-term impact the ongoing conflict in the Middle East might have on the economy, but Mr Begbie said fragile business confidence was likely to be damaged.

He said: “If you look through the last 10 years, what we found generally is that businesses have done incredibly well to cope with those shocks, whether they’re domestic, international, whether they are inflation-related, whether they’re health-related as in the case of the pandemic or geopolitical-related. And this is another one.

“It’s unfortunate because we felt that for the first time in quite a long time there was a pretty stable set of conditions for businesses to invest and grow. And with that comes confidence and the confidence to invest in your business, the confidence to grow, confidence to want to expand your markets or expand your even your geographies – part of our role was to help customers to expand out where they do business.

“Growth was minimal, but at least it was growth – rates were coming down, inflation was coming down, we’d come through the other side of some of the Budget measures… certainly talking to businesses locally and talking to the teams, it felt like there was a growing mood of optimism and confidence in the economy.

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“I think it’s too soon to say that what’s happened in the last two weeks is going to permanently damage that, but clearly in the short term it just introduces uncertainty.”

The magic middle: Why mid-market companies are vital to growth

Mr Begbie said NatWest’s own recent results had been strong with growing business lending, including a 50% growth year-on-year in its gross lending to it Business Banking customers. He said: “If our lending book is growing in the mid market we know there’s something good going on in the UK mid market

“What we started to see at the end of last year to this year was more M&A activity around the large corporate end of the UK… and as a major bank into UK PLC we’ll be involved in some of those transactions.”

Mr Begbie said the bank wanted to be ambitious for itself and for its customers, and said: “We’re now in a situation where there’s a bit of uncertainty, but with uncertainty that gives us a chance to step up and help support those customers.”

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NatWest has had a big focus on mid-market firms, which it says are vital to the economy but can often be overlooked by policymakers in favour of corporate giants and headline-grabbing start-ups. Earlier this month the group appointed 12 Mid-Market Champions in 12 UK nations and regions.

Mr Begbie said the mid-market was “responsible for so much of the employment in the UK, so much of the growth and a one per cent growth in that sector is worth many times more.”

NatWest sign

NatWest took some of its mid-market customers to 11 Downing Street

He was at Number 11 Downing Street earlier this month for the first Mid-Market Growth Council reception, alongside NatWest CEO Paul Thwaite.

He said: “We took some of the members of the council but we also took some of our mid-market companies from up and down the country and it was great. Paul spoke briefly the Chancellor spoke. We all have the same objective here – everybody in the room wants to help stimulate growth and make the country a more prosperous place, but that can only happen if we put all the things in place.”

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The North West’s innovation champion is Steve Sankson. He said: “If you think about business support, it’s targeted at SMEs, start up, scale up, innovation. Big businesses typically look after themselves. In that regional mid market business, there’s actually a lack of targeted support or intervention.

Author avatarAlistair Houghton

READ MORE: NatWest snaps up Evelyn Partners for £2.7bn and launches share buyback

“If you look at any growth plan from a regional perspective, they focus on emerging sectors, emerging clusters. But true growth comes from the mid-market as well.

“Mid-market businesses have got very common issues. If you get a group of 20 mid-market businesses, they’re all facing the same skills issues. They’re grappling with increasing complexity and burden being placed on business. Actually being able to address some of those issues either through policy, or collectively coming together to say ‘what’s the issue in Manchester’, could be quite powerful.

“Everybody’s talking about Greater Manchester right now. Mid markets grow more quickly in Greater Manchester than any other region, they’re more innovative in Greater Manchester than in any other region.”

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‘We’re helping people live out their dreams’

Mr Begbie said he loved visiting NatWest’s Accelerators across the country. The Manchester one has helped hundreds of entrepreneurs, and on the day of BusinessLive’s visit a group of entrepreneurs was learning about how to create perfect short, sharp pitches for investors.

He said: “I’ll tell everybody who works for us to go to an accelerator. We’re helping people live out their dreams here. But also, we attract some of the most passionate, enthusiastic colleagues of anywhere in the organisation to work in our accelerators.

“Those accelerators, and they’re all slightly different, all share the same themes of passionate colleagues and passionate entrepreneurs. There’s some incredible successes as well. I met one of the founders of a business that went through the Birmingham Accelerator 10 years ago. And that is now a £50m business. And they became advocates for us. So we get the benefit of seeing businesses becoming successful businesses and we played a small part in that.”

Robert Begbie, CEO of NatWest Commercial & Institutional (left) is pictured with Dr Mark Cox (right), founder of Orli Health and winner of the NatWest Accelerator Pitch competition in London.

Robert Begbie, CEO of NatWest Commercial & Institutional (left) is pictured in 2025 with Dr Mark Cox (right), founder of Orli Health and winner of the NatWest Accelerator Pitch competition in London.(Image: Patch Dolan Photography)

NatWest is also looking to grow its accelerator network by connecting with universities.

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Mr Begbie said: “We announced last year we were going to put the equivalent of these accelerators into 10 universities up and down the UK. We’ve announced four, the other six will follow. We’ve had one in Warwick University for a while, which is a clean transport accelerator.

“The reason for picking universities is to take some of those ideas that spin out of universities, but struggle to find a way to commercialise.”

The bank has also launched a strategic partnership with the University of Manchester aimed at improving student employability and supporting innovation.

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AGNC Is Yielding 13%, And Top Rated: We Predict A Dividend Hike In 2027 (NASDAQ:AGNC)

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AGNC Is Yielding 13%, And Top Rated: We Predict A Dividend Hike In 2027 (NASDAQ:AGNC)

This article was written by

Rida Morwa is a former investment and commercial Banker, with over 35 years of experience. He has been advising individual and institutional clients on high-yield investment strategies since 1991. Rida Morwa leads the Investing Group High Dividend Opportunities where he teams up with some of Seeking Alpha’s top income investing analysts. The service focuses on sustainable income through a variety of high yield investments with a targeted safe +9% yield. Features include: model portfolio with buy/sell alerts, preferred and baby bond portfolios for more conservative investors, vibrant and active chat with access to the service’s leaders, dividend and portfolio trackers, and regular market updates. The service philosophy focuses on community, education, and the belief that nobody should invest alone. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AGNC either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Beyond Saving, Philip Mause, and Hidden Opportunities, all are supporting contributors for High Dividend Opportunities. Any recommendation posted in this article is not indefinite. We closely monitor all of our positions. We issue Buy and Sell alerts on our recommendations, which are exclusive to our members.

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Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Buy or Sell as AI and Cloud Growth Fuel Analyst Optimism?

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Atlassian

NEW YORK — Investors evaluating Atlassian Corporation’s prospects heading into the second half of 2026 face a compelling growth story underpinned by strong cloud migration, artificial intelligence integrations and expanding enterprise adoption of its collaboration tools, despite recent share-price volatility that has left the stock trading near $88.88 as of early May. Wall Street largely recommends buying the shares, with consensus price targets implying 35-77 percent upside as the company capitalizes on digital transformation trends.

Atlassian, known for flagship products like Jira, Confluence and Bitbucket, has successfully transitioned much of its business to the cloud, driving recurring revenue and higher margins. Fiscal third-quarter results released in April showed robust performance, with shares surging 30 percent post-earnings on beats and raised guidance. Analysts highlight the company’s AI-powered features, such as automated workflows and intelligent search, as key differentiators in a competitive software landscape.

Current valuation metrics reflect a balance between growth potential and near-term pressures. Atlassian trades at a premium to some peers but offers attractive entry points for long-term investors given projected revenue growth of 18 percent-plus annually. Forward price-to-earnings estimates and discounted cash flow models support analyst enthusiasm, with several firms maintaining Buy or Strong Buy ratings.

The consensus among 28-42 analysts rates Atlassian a Moderate Buy to Strong Buy. Average 12-month price targets range from $144.67 to $169.18, with optimistic forecasts reaching $295 or higher. BTIG recently hiked its target following earnings, citing momentum in cloud adoption and AI innovation. The lowest targets sit around $95, acknowledging execution risks.

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Atlassian’s cloud migration strategy has accelerated revenue visibility and customer retention. Enterprise clients increasingly prefer subscription models that deliver continuous updates and scalability. AI enhancements across the product suite, including Jira’s intelligent automation and Confluence’s smart summaries, position the company to capture more wallet share in project management and knowledge-sharing tools.

Challenges include macroeconomic uncertainty affecting IT spending and competition from Microsoft, ServiceNow and smaller disruptors. Atlassian’s heavy investment in research and development has pressured short-term margins, though long-term returns are expected to justify the spend. Currency fluctuations and international exposure add volatility for the Australia-based company listed on Nasdaq.

Recent performance shows resilience. Despite a year-to-date decline amid broader tech rotations, Atlassian’s fundamentals remain solid. Strong free cash flow generation supports potential share buybacks or accelerated innovation. The company’s focus on large enterprises and high-growth verticals like software development and IT operations provides a durable moat.

For growth-oriented investors, Atlassian represents exposure to digital collaboration trends that are unlikely to fade. Remote and hybrid work models sustain demand for its tools, while AI integration opens new use cases. Valuation, while not cheap, appears reasonable relative to projected earnings growth of 20 percent-plus in coming years.

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Value investors may wait for further pullbacks or clearer margin expansion. The stock’s beta indicates sensitivity to market swings, making it less suitable for conservative portfolios. Dividend absence further limits appeal for income seekers, though capital appreciation potential remains high.

Analyst notes emphasize Atlassian’s market leadership in developer tools and collaboration software. Jira’s dominance in agile project management and Confluence’s role in knowledge management create sticky customer relationships. Expansion into new verticals and geographic markets supports long-term revenue diversification.

Risks include execution on cloud migration timelines, potential customer pushback on pricing and regulatory scrutiny of big tech. Geopolitical tensions or recessionary pressures could delay enterprise purchases. Competition in AI features may intensify, requiring continued innovation spending.

Portfolio allocation depends on risk tolerance. Aggressive investors may add to positions on dips, targeting 13-18 percent annualized returns based on consensus models. Balanced portfolios might pair Atlassian with more defensive tech names. Long-term holders benefit from secular tailwinds in software-as-a-service.

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As fiscal 2026 progresses, attention turns to quarterly results and guidance. Cloud revenue mix, AI adoption metrics and margin trends will influence sentiment. Management’s track record of delivering on strategic initiatives provides confidence for many covering the stock.

Atlassian’s story in 2026 centers on leveraging its platform to drive efficiency and innovation for customers worldwide. While near-term volatility is possible, the company’s positioning in critical enterprise workflows supports a generally bullish outlook. Investors comfortable with software-sector dynamics may find current levels attractive for long-term compounding.

The software maker’s ability to adapt to evolving workplace needs while maintaining product excellence will determine success. With strong analyst backing and secular growth drivers, Atlassian remains a name worth watching — and potentially owning — as the year unfolds.

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