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Nebius Group Stock Rockets Above $134 on Massive AI Deals and Cantor Overweight Initiation

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Nebius Group N.V.

AMSTERDAM — Nebius Group N.V. shares surged more than 7% Thursday to trade around $134.60 as investors bet big on the fast-growing AI cloud provider’s landmark infrastructure contracts with hyperscalers and fresh Wall Street coverage highlighting its role in the artificial intelligence buildout.

Nebius Group N.V.
Nebius Group N.V.

The NASDAQ-listed company (NBIS) climbed as high as $141 intraday Thursday, extending a blistering rally that has seen the stock deliver more than 430% gains over the past year. The momentum accelerated this week following Cantor Fitzgerald’s initiation of coverage with an Overweight rating and a $129 price target, while broader optimism around AI infrastructure spending lifted related names amid easing geopolitical tensions.

Nebius, the restructured international AI infrastructure business formerly tied to Yandex, has emerged as a pure-play beneficiary of exploding demand for GPU-powered cloud capacity. The company operates advanced data centers optimized for large-scale AI training and inference, leveraging high-density compute clusters built around NVIDIA hardware.

In its most recent earnings released Feb. 12, Nebius reported explosive fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $227.7 million, up 547% from a year earlier, though it missed analyst expectations of roughly $243 million to $247 million. Full-year 2025 revenue reached $529.8 million, a 479% jump from $91.5 million in 2024. The company swung to an adjusted EBITDA profit of $15 million in the quarter from a prior loss, while posting a net loss of $249.6 million driven by heavy capital expenditures.

Management highlighted strong execution, with year-end annualized recurring revenue (ARR) hitting $1.25 billion — beating its own guidance range of $900 million to $1.1 billion. Active power capacity stood at 170 MW by year-end, ahead of internal targets.

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For 2026, Nebius guided to revenue between $3 billion and $3.4 billion, with ARR projected at $7 billion to $9 billion and adjusted EBITDA margins approaching 40% in the back half of the year as utilization ramps. The aggressive outlook reflects rapid deployment of new GPU clusters and long-term capacity agreements.

The biggest catalyst has been a string of mega-deals underscoring Nebius’s growing clout in the neocloud space. In March, the company announced a landmark agreement with Meta Platforms valued at up to $27 billion over five years. The pact includes $12 billion in committed dedicated AI infrastructure capacity starting in 2027, plus up to $15 billion in additional capacity purchases. The deal ranks among the largest infrastructure commitments Meta has made and validates Nebius’s ability to secure hyperscale anchor tenants.

Nebius has also secured significant business with Microsoft and other large customers, contributing to a reported backlog of committed capacity deals exceeding $45 billion when including potential expansions. In March, NVIDIA made a $2 billion strategic investment in Nebius to support next-generation hyperscale AI cloud infrastructure, providing both capital and a powerful endorsement from the GPU market leader.

The company is aggressively scaling its footprint. Plans include construction of one of Europe’s largest AI campuses in Finland with 310 MW capacity and multiple new data centers across Europe and North America. Nebius aims to deploy advanced systems including NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin NVL72 platforms in 2026. Capital expenditures are expected to run between $16 billion and $20 billion this year to fuel the expansion, funded in part by a $4.3 billion convertible notes offering completed in March and its strong cash position of approximately $3.68 billion.

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Analysts have grown increasingly bullish. Consensus ratings lean toward Moderate Buy to Strong Buy, with an average price target around $154 to $171, implying 15% to 27% upside from recent levels. Some firms see even higher potential, with targets reaching $215 or more if execution on capacity deployment stays on track. Northland Securities and BofA have issued positive calls, while Cantor’s fresh Overweight initiation Thursday helped spark the latest leg higher.

“Nebius is one of the few scaled players capable of delivering dedicated AI infrastructure at the speed and density hyperscalers require,” one analyst noted following the Meta announcement. The company’s vertically integrated approach — controlling power, facilities, networking and GPU clusters — gives it an edge over traditional cloud providers facing allocation constraints.

Still, risks are substantial. Nebius remains deeply unprofitable on a GAAP basis and is burning significant cash on capex. Free cash flow turned deeply negative in recent quarters as the company races to bring new capacity online. Execution challenges include securing sufficient NVIDIA GPUs amid industry-wide shortages, navigating regulatory and grid hurdles for data center builds, and delivering on ambitious utilization targets.

Competition is intensifying from established players like CoreWeave as well as hyperscalers expanding their own infrastructure. Nebius’s heavy reliance on a handful of large customers also introduces concentration risk, though long-term contracts provide revenue visibility.

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The stock’s valuation has expanded dramatically alongside its growth narrative. Trading at elevated multiples on forward sales, the shares reflect expectations of triple-digit revenue growth for several years. Market capitalization now exceeds $30 billion, up sharply from levels seen just months ago.

Thursday’s gains came on elevated volume, with shares breaking toward recent highs near $141. The rally builds on a more than 25% year-to-date advance in 2026 and follows positive commentary from market influencers, including Jim Cramer highlighting data center expansion trends.

Nebius executives expressed confidence in the outlook. Founder and CEO Arkady Volozh has described 2025 as the company’s “first full year of operations” marked by exceptional growth. Management is focused on converting its massive pipeline into contracted revenue while maintaining capital discipline where possible.

The company continues to innovate on its AI Cloud platform, recently introducing serverless AI capabilities and acquiring assets like Tavily to enhance agentic search features. These moves aim to broaden appeal beyond raw compute to higher-value AI services.

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As artificial intelligence capital spending by Big Tech surges — with combined forecasts for major hyperscalers topping hundreds of billions in 2026 — providers like Nebius that can deliver scarce, high-performance GPU capacity are commanding premium attention.

Whether the current momentum sustains will depend on upcoming milestones: progress on data center deployments, potential new customer wins, and the May earnings report (estimated around late April to mid-May) that could provide further color on 2026 ramp. Analysts will scrutinize utilization rates, gross margins and capex efficiency.

Nebius Group employs a growing global team and operates from its base in Amsterdam while maintaining data centers across multiple continents. Originally emerging from the international assets of the former Yandex group after geopolitical restructuring, the company has fully repositioned as an independent AI infrastructure leader.

For investors, Nebius represents a high-beta play on the AI theme — offering explosive upside potential but with commensurate volatility and execution risk. The combination of secured mega-deals, NVIDIA backing and aggressive capacity buildout has turned it into one of the more compelling stories in the AI supply chain.

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As Thursday’s trading showed, sentiment remains firmly in growth mode. With power capacity expanding rapidly and long-term contracts providing a foundation, Nebius appears well-placed to capture a meaningful slice of the AI infrastructure market — provided it can navigate the capital-intensive path ahead.

Shares closed Wednesday near $125 before powering higher. By mid-afternoon Thursday, they traded around $134.60 with strong participation from momentum and growth-oriented funds.

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Ready to rumble? Hunter Biden challenges Trump’s sons to cage match

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White House warned staff against betting on futures markets amid Iran war, official says

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White House warned staff against betting on futures markets amid Iran war, official says
The White House warned staff against improperly leveraging their positions to place bets in futures markets in an email on March 24, a day after ‌President ⁠Donald Trump ordered ⁠a brief pause in some Iran strikes, a White House official said on Thursday.

Some of Trump’s major policy decisions have been preceded by well-timed bets, leading some experts to question whether information had somehow leaked ahead ⁠of time.

Exchange ‌data and Reuters calculations showed an unidentified trader or traders bet $500 ⁠million on Brent and WTI crude futures in a one-minute period shortly before Trump called a five-day delay on March 23 in attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure, after which oil prices crashed 15%.

“While he (Trump) seeks a strong and profitable stock ‌market for everyone, members of Congress and other government officials should be prohibited from using nonpublic ⁠information for financial benefit,” White House spokesman Davis Ingle told Reuters in a statement.

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The Journal, which previously reported the news, said the announcement was made in a staff-wide email from the White House management office.

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Aehr Test Systems Shares Soar Past $68 as AI-Driven Bookings Explode Despite Q3 Revenue Miss

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Aehr Test Systems

FREMONT, Calif. — Aehr Test Systems Inc. stock rocketed higher Thursday, climbing more than 8% to trade around $68 as investors bet on the semiconductor test equipment maker’s surging order book tied to artificial intelligence infrastructure, even after the company posted mixed fiscal third-quarter results.

Aehr Test Systems
Aehr Test Systems

Shares of the NASDAQ-listed company (AEHR) rose as much as 10% intraday Thursday, building on a 26% surge the previous session following its earnings release. The stock has now skyrocketed more than 210% year-to-date in 2026, turning it into one of the hottest small-cap plays in the chip sector amid booming demand for AI processors and data center components.

Aehr, which specializes in wafer-level and package-level test and burn-in systems, reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $10.3 million for the period ended Feb. 27, missing Wall Street expectations of about $10.8 million and plunging 44% from $18.3 million a year earlier. The company swung to a non-GAAP net loss of $1.5 million, or 5 cents per share, compared with a year-ago profit of 7 cents per share. However, the loss was narrower than the consensus forecast of a 7-cent loss.

The revenue shortfall stemmed largely from a shift in product mix and timing of shipments, but investors quickly zeroed in on far stronger forward-looking signals. Aehr booked a whopping $37.2 million in new orders during the quarter — delivering a book-to-bill ratio exceeding 3.5 times — pushing its effective backlog to a record $50.9 million when including post-quarter wins.

“We are seeing significant demand from AI and data center customers,” Aehr President and CEO Gayn Erickson said in a statement accompanying the results. The company highlighted production orders for its FOX-XP wafer-level burn-in systems from a lead AI processor customer and follow-on wins in silicon photonics for hyperscale data center optical interconnects.

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Analysts and market watchers described Aehr as a “quiet bottleneck” in the AI supply chain. Its equipment stresses semiconductors through burn-in testing to weed out early failures, ensuring reliability for high-power AI chips used in training and inference workloads at massive data centers. Only a fraction of advanced AI accelerators currently undergo full wafer-level burn-in, leaving substantial room for adoption growth as hyperscalers ramp production.

Recent orders underscore that momentum. In February, Aehr landed a $14 million order for FOX-XP systems from its lead AI processor customer. It also secured follow-on business for silicon photonics devices critical to high-speed optical connections in AI servers. Earlier in the year, the company won initial orders for its Sonoma ultra-high-power systems to burn-in next-generation AI ASICs for a major hyperscale customer.

“These wins position Aehr at the heart of AI infrastructure buildout,” said one analyst who upgraded the stock following the earnings. Craig-Hallum upgraded Aehr to Buy from Hold, citing improving business momentum, while Lake Street raised its price target to $56 from $50.

Aehr also announced a $60 million at-the-market equity offering Thursday, giving it flexibility to fund growth or acquisitions as demand accelerates. The company completed the acquisition of Incal Technology last year to expand its footprint in AI semiconductor testing.

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For the full fiscal year ending May 2026, Aehr reaffirmed guidance for revenue on the high end of $45 million to $50 million. It expects second-half revenue between $25 million and $30 million and reiterated a path to non-GAAP profitability in the fourth quarter.

The upbeat bookings outlook helped offset concerns about the current-quarter softness, which management attributed partly to lumpy shipment timing and a temporary emphasis on package-level burn-in products.

Aehr’s technology addresses a critical pain point in semiconductor manufacturing. As chips for electric vehicles, AI, silicon carbide power devices and photonics become more complex and power-hungry, the need for rigorous testing and stabilization before deployment grows. Aehr’s FOX family of systems can test and burn-in full wafers or singulated die in parallel, improving yields and reducing costs for customers.

The company’s products serve diverse end markets, including AI processors, data center infrastructure, automotive, industrial and silicon photonics for optical I/O. Demand from hyperscale cloud providers building out AI training clusters has become a dominant driver.

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Wall Street’s view on Aehr remains mixed but tilting more positive. Consensus ratings hover around Hold with an average price target near $68, though some firms see higher upside if AI orders continue to materialize. The stock’s rapid run has left it trading at elevated valuations, with a market capitalization now exceeding $2 billion.

Investors appeared unfazed by the revenue miss, focusing instead on the massive backlog and potential for a strong second half. Broader market sentiment also helped, with a ceasefire agreement between the U.S., Israel and Iran easing some geopolitical tensions and lifting risk assets.

Aehr executives expressed confidence in a rebound. Management highlighted expectations for a “near-term follow-on production order” from its lead hyperscale customer and said bookings for the second half should land on the high side of prior $60 million to $80 million guidance.

Shares closed Wednesday at $63.16, up sharply on the earnings reaction and macro tailwinds. By mid-afternoon Thursday, they traded near $68.19, extending gains.

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The surge reflects growing recognition that Aehr’s niche expertise in reliability testing could prove essential as the AI boom demands ever-more robust semiconductors. Hyperscalers and chip designers cannot afford failures in massive AI clusters, making burn-in a non-negotiable step.

Still, risks remain. Aehr derives a significant portion of revenue from a handful of large customers, exposing it to order timing volatility. The company has yet to achieve consistent profitability, and competition in the test equipment space could intensify.

For now, momentum favors the bulls. With AI capital spending showing no signs of slowing and Aehr’s backlog at record levels, the company appears poised for a potential inflection as shipments ramp in coming quarters.

Aehr Test Systems, founded in 1977 and headquartered in Fremont, employs about 136 people. It has installed thousands of systems worldwide and continues to innovate in wafer-level solutions that enable parallel testing of hundreds or thousands of devices simultaneously.

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As the semiconductor industry grapples with exploding complexity driven by AI, companies like Aehr that provide critical enabling technology are drawing fresh attention from growth-oriented investors.

Whether the stock can sustain its blistering pace will depend on execution in the back half of the year and the ability to convert that hefty backlog into revenue and, ultimately, profits.

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Jury orders Abbott to pay $53 million in preterm infant formula trial, media report says

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EDEN: No Longer Expensive, But Not Much Incentive To Turn Bullish Either

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China’s factories jolts back to inflation on Iran war price shock

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China’s factories jolts back to inflation on Iran war price shock


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Oil prices rise after strikes on Saudi oil facilities

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Oil prices rise after strikes on Saudi oil facilities
BEIJING: Oil prices rose in early trading on Friday following attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure, and as markets evaluated the risk premium from the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, despite a fragile truce agreed between the U.S. and Iran.

Brent crude futures gained 83 cents, or 0.87%, to $96.75 a barrel as of 0100 GMT. West Texas Intermediate futures were up $1.04, 1.06%, at $98.91 ‌a barrel.

“The initial ⁠wave ⁠of relief following President Trump’s two-week ceasefire announcement has quickly given way to underlying doubts,” IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said in a note.

Iran and the U.S. agreed on Tuesday to a two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, but fighting was still taking place following the announcement.

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“All eyes remain firmly on tanker tracker flows through the Strait of Hormuz for any signs of increased activity ahead of peace talks scheduled in Pakistan on Friday,” Sycamore said.


Analysts say Pakistan will ⁠try to ‌push in the talks for a more durable peace agreement but may lack the leverage needed to compel the reopening of the key Strait of ⁠Hormuz.
Iran wants to charge fees for ships passing through the strait under a peace deal, a Tehran official told Reuters on April 7. Western leaders and the U.N.’s shipping agency have pushed back on the idea. The crucial artery for oil and gas flows has been effectively shut down by the conflict, which began on February 28 when the U.S. and Israel launched air strikes on Iran.

Brent prices could reach $190 a barrel if flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain ‌at the current level, said John Paisie, president of energy consultants Stratas Advisors.

“If Iran allows increasing flows the price of oil will be more moderated, but still well above pre-war levels.”

Attacks ⁠on Saudi Arabia’s oil production capacity have cut the kingdom’s output by around 600,000 barrels per day (bpd) and reduced throughput on its East-West Pipeline by 700,000 bpd, the Saudi Press Agency reported on Thursday.

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The announcement “shifts the narrative from episodic disruption to a measurable supply shock,” JPMorgan analysts said in a research note.

Some 50 infrastructure assets in the Gulf have been damaged by drone and missile strikes over the nearly six weeks since the conflict started, and around 2.4 million bpd of oil refining capacity have been taken offline, according to JPMorgan.

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Regions call for bigger wind farm setbacks, property rights

Councils in WA’s grain belt want the state government to impose bigger setbacks and stronger end-of-life rules on wind farm proponents and let locals decide how they want to use community funds.

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ASEAN’s Premier Logistics Hub for Warehousing, Trade Facilitation, and Investment Opportunities

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ASEAN's Premier Logistics Hub for Warehousing, Trade Facilitation, and Investment Opportunities

Singapore’s logistics hub centralizes regional trade, reduces inventory costs, enhances supply chain agility, and leverages advanced port, airport, and trade agreements for efficient, cost-effective ASEAN operations.

Singapore’s Role in Regional Trade and Logistics

Singapore’s logistics sector mainly functions as a regional trade coordination hub rather than serving a demand-driven domestic market. In 2025, the country’s total trade exceeded S$1.2 trillion (about US$890 billion), with re-exports comprising nearly 45% of this volume. This structure allows multinational corporations to centralize inventory management and distribution decisions in Singapore, minimizing working capital exposure by avoiding fragmented stockpiling across diverse ASEAN markets with varying regulations and demand patterns.

Strategic Advantages for Supply Chain Management

This high throughput enables companies to delay allocation decisions until goods arrive regionally, enhancing forecast accuracy and reducing excess inventory. For firms adopting China+1 strategies, Singapore acts as a control point where supplies from multiple production sites are consolidated and redistributed based on real-time demand signals. Efficient integration across maritime, air, and warehouse logistics is crucial for seamless execution, with Changi Airport handling approximately 1.9 million tonnes of freight in 2025 and connecting over 300 global cities.

Enhancing Supply Chain Efficiency within ASEAN

Singapore’s trade facilitation framework improves working capital efficiency by streamlining import, clearance, and redistribution processes. Customs clearance typically occurs within 24 hours, significantly lowering inventory dwell time and improving cash flow. Its extensive free trade agreement network enables tariff optimization through re-export structuring, allowing companies to reduce total landed costs without relocating production, further strengthening Singapore’s position within ASEAN supply chains.

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