Business
Nifty bulls foot Rs 19 lakh crore bill for Iran war, Sensex down 3,300 points in 5 days. Bear market coming?
The Sensex has plunged 3,330 points in the brutal selloff, raising questions about whether this is merely a correction or the start of a full-blown bear market.
The carnage has been broad-based and merciless. PSU banks, tourism and airline stocks, real estate, banking and auto sectors have led the decline as escalating Middle Eastern tensions disrupted key oil and gas supplies, driving crude prices higher and threatening India’s fragile twin deficits. Defence stocks emerged as the only major winners, with Mazagon Dock, Solar Industries and Paras Defence surging amid the war.
“Persistent FII outflows, totaling over Rs 23,000 crore this week, reflect a broader de-risking strategy as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a surge in Brent crude toward $86 weigh heavily on emerging market sentiment,” said Vinit Bolinjkar, Head of Research at Ventura Securities.
The pain runs deeper than headline indices suggest. Around 80% of listed stocks with a market capitalization of at least Rs 1,000 crore have already fallen 20% from their all-time highs, technically a bear market in the broader market even as the Nifty is down only 7% from its peak.
Also Read | Iran war shock for Nifty bulls: How to tweak your portfolio for peace of mind
Technical indicators are flashing red across the board. The market is trading well below short-term and medium-term averages and is forming a lower top on daily charts. A bearish candle on weekly charts is also indicating further weakness from current levels.
Bolinjkar warned that the short-term outlook remains cautious due to rupee volatility and inflationary crude spikes. He expects high volatility to persist, favoring domestically-insulated sectors like capital goods and consumer durables, while globally-exposed pockets may face continued headwinds until macro-uncertainty subsides.
However, he noted that the structural narrative remains intact due to the “DII cushion”, domestic institutions bolstered by unwavering SIP inflows have absorbed selling pressure and prevented a deeper breakdown below the critical 24,300 Nifty support level.
Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments, painted an equally grim picture. “A sustained rise in oil prices could weigh on investor sentiment and adversely affect India’s twin deficits, inflation trajectory, and the RBI’s monetary stance. An uptick in U.S. 10-year bond yield and a stronger dollar have prompted FIIs to adopt a risk-off approach toward domestic equities,” he said, though he noted that “selective value-buying opportunities are expected to emerge, offering long-term investors attractive entry points.”
The question on every investor’s mind: is this the beginning of a prolonged downturn or a buying opportunity?
Also Read | 80% of Indian stocks are in bear market. Is it time to be greedy or fearful?
Fund managers are divided. Vinay Paharia, CIO at PGIM India Mutual Fund, acknowledged the crosscurrents. “At this juncture, we are seeing a mix of positives and a slew of uncertainties,” he said, pointing to healthy GDP prints, prospective trade deals, low interest rates and indirect tax cuts as positives, while flagging “global geopolitical uncertainty and its consequent impact on trade routes, rising crude and possibly other commodity prices, and AI-related disruption across sectors.”
Paharia warned that “many of the geopolitics-related impacts could be transitory in nature, while AI-related impacts are more long-term and would necessitate changes in business models, faster pivots, and greater agility by impacted companies and not all may be able to adapt.” He urged investors to “look through short-term volatility and focus on areas of self-sustaining growth.”
ArunaGiri N, Founder CEO & Fund Manager at TrustLine Holdings, struck a more opportunistic tone. “Historically, such phases are painful, but they are also when long-term opportunity quietly begins to build,” he said. “At the same time, it may be unwise to expect an immediate recovery. It may linger for a while. The prudent thing to do in such a sell-off is to grab the opportunities when the valuation is attractive instead of trying to time the bottom.”
ASK Investment Managers maintained that while rising trade and geopolitical uncertainty is expected to keep markets volatile, the investment case for India remains strong. “The relative macro stability, improving trade competitiveness and earnings recovery put India on a strong footing.”
The asset manager recommended a decisive tilt toward large caps, where valuations are relatively attractive and earnings visibility remains strong, complemented by selective exposure to micro-caps for investors with a long-term horizon of 5–7 years, given their illiquidity and higher risk. The firm stressed that “disciplined stock selection—focused on high-quality businesses and a concentrated approach—will be the key driver of outperformance as markets become increasingly selective and dispersion in returns widens.”
As geopolitical tensions simmer and oil prices threaten to spike further, Indian markets appear to be entering what Bolinjkar calls a phase of “rational consolidation”, a period where the DII cushion may prevent capitulation, but where volatility and sector rotation will separate winners from losers. Whether this consolidation morphs into a deeper bear market depends largely on factors beyond India’s control: the trajectory of the Iran conflict, crude oil’s next move, and global risk appetite.
For now, the bulls are nursing heavy wounds, and the bears are circling.
Business
High conviction picks! TCS, HDFC Bank, 9 other stocks with upside potential of up to 40%. Do you own any?
The Nifty has fallen more than 2% so far this month amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and continued FII outflows. The impact is more pronounced for India as crude oil prices have climbed, with the country importing nearly 90% of its oil needs. Despite the volatile backdrop, InCred Equities has identified 11 stocks that it believes could perform well in the coming quarters. Here’s the full list.
Business
Form 4 Century Aluminum Company For: 7 March

Form 4 Century Aluminum Company For: 7 March
Business
Form 4 Perimeter Solutions SA For: 7 March

Form 4 Perimeter Solutions SA For: 7 March
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Form 4 OFG Bancorp For: 7 March

Form 4 OFG Bancorp For: 7 March
Business
IdeaForge, Sedemac and more: With 2 more listings in pipeline, how IIT Bombay is churning out IPO multibaggers
Through its incubator, the Society for Innovation and Entrepreneurship (SINE), IIT Bombay has already seen significant gains from startup listings such as ideaForge and is now poised for another windfall from the IPO of Sedemac Mechatronics.
With companies like Atomberg Technologies and Gupshup also exploring public listings, the institute’s long association with technology startups is beginning to deliver substantial financial returns.
ideaForge: Early success story
One of the earliest examples of this success is ideaForge Technology, India’s leading drone manufacturer. The company was founded in 2006 by IIT Bombay alumni Ankit Mehta, Rahul Singh and Ashish Bhat and was incubated at SINE during its formative years.
ideaForge launched its IPO in July 2023 and the issue drew massive investor interest, being subscribed about 106 times. The stock listed at a strong premium, briefly doubling shareholder wealth on its debut.
For SINE, the listing translated into a meaningful monetisation opportunity. The incubator held roughly 1 lakh shares in the company prior to the IPO. At the upper end of the IPO price band of Rs 672 per share, the value of that stake was estimated at around Rs 6-7 crore.
SINE partially exited during the offer for sale, selling about 22,600 shares and realising roughly Rs 1.52 crore from the transaction, while continuing to retain a stake in the company.
Sedemac: A much larger windfall
The institute is now set to benefit even more from the IPO of Sedemac Mechatronics, another startup that emerged from the IIT Bombay ecosystem.
Sedemac was founded in 2007 by Shashikanth Suryanarayanan, an associate professor in the institute’s mechanical engineering department, along with other early team members who were students or researchers associated with the campus.
The company has grown into a manufacturer of electronic control units and genset controllers used across two-wheelers, electric vehicles and industrial applications.
SINE backed the company in its early stages and currently holds 4.08 lakh shares, representing about 0.92% stake.
At the upper end of the IPO price band of Rs 1,352 per share, the value of SINE’s holding stands at roughly Rs 55 crore.
As part of the offer for sale, the incubator plans to sell 2.04 lakh shares. At the IPO price, this portion alone would fetch around Rs 27.58 crore.
The scale of the return is remarkable given the acquisition price. SINE acquired the shares at an average cost of Rs 0.01 each, meaning the 2.04 lakh shares being sold cost only about Rs 2,040.
At the IPO price, the sale implies a gain of about Rs 27.58 crore and a return of roughly 1.3 lakh times the original investment. Even after the partial exit, SINE will continue to hold another 2.04 lakh shares in the company, leaving it with a residual stake worth roughly Rs 27-28 crore at the IPO price.
More IPO candidates emerging
The IIT Bombay startup ecosystem could see more companies head to the stock market in the coming years.
Consumer appliances company Atomberg Technologies is among the startups exploring a public listing. The Temasek-backed firm is weighing an IPO in Mumbai that could raise around $200 million, according to Bloomberg.
Founded in 2012 by IIT Bombay alumni Manoj Meena and Sibabrata Das, Atomberg began by manufacturing energy-efficient ceiling fans and has since expanded into products such as mixer grinders, water purifiers and smart locks.
The company has attracted several prominent investors over the years. In 2023 it raised $86 million in funding from Temasek, Steadview Capital, Jungle Ventures and Inflexor Ventures.
Another startup with links to IIT Bombay’s incubation ecosystem is Gupshup, a conversational messaging platform founded by Beerud Sheth.
The company received early incubation support from SINE during its formative years and has since grown into one of the world’s largest messaging platforms for businesses.
Gupshup recently raised $60 million in fresh funding from Globespan Capital Partners along with debt financing from EvolutionX Debt Capital. The San Francisco-headquartered firm is also considering shifting its domicile to India ahead of a potential public listing in the country within the next one to two years.
Founded in 2004, Gupshup processes more than 120 billion messages annually for over 50,000 businesses across 130 countries.
From campus labs to public markets
For IIT Bombay, the growing list of IPO-bound startups highlights how academic incubation programs are increasingly shaping India’s startup economy. Through SINE, the institute has supported hundreds of early-stage ventures over the past two decades. While many remain private, a handful are now reaching a stage where they can tap public markets.
As companies like Sedemac, Atomberg and potentially Gupshup move closer to listing, IIT Bombay’s long-running experiment with technology incubation is beginning to translate into tangible financial returns alongside entrepreneurial success.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)
Business
Form 144 Madrigal Pharmaceuticals For: 7 March

Form 144 Madrigal Pharmaceuticals For: 7 March
Business
Krishnan Krish S, president of Krystal Biotech, sells $6.58 million in KRYS stock

Krishnan Krish S, president of Krystal Biotech, sells $6.58 million in KRYS stock
Business
Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA) Stock Rallies on Analyst Upgrades, Amtagvi Momentum
SAN CARLOS, Calif. — Shares of **Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc.** (NASDAQ: IOVA) climbed sharply in early March 2026 trading, fueled by renewed analyst optimism and ongoing commercial progress for its flagship tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) therapy, **Amtagvi** (lifileucel). The biotech company’s stock, which has hovered in the low single digits for much of the year, gained traction after multiple price target increases and positive commentary on its revenue trajectory.

As of March 7, 2026, IOVA closed at approximately $5.13, up from recent lows around $4.58, with intraday highs reaching $5.16 in heavy volume sessions. The stock has seen notable volatility, trading in a 52-week range from $1.64 to $5.16, reflecting broader biotech sector pressures but also bursts of enthusiasm tied to clinical and commercial milestones.
The latest catalyst came from UBS, which raised its price target on IOVA from $2 to $4, citing strong fourth-quarter revenue growth for Amtagvi despite a challenging market environment. Other firms followed suit: Baird increased its target to $4 from $3, Barclays to $11 from $10, and Citizens upgraded the stock to Outperform from Market Perform. These adjustments highlight growing confidence in Iovance’s ability to scale its pioneering TIL platform beyond advanced melanoma.
Amtagvi, the first FDA-approved TIL therapy, received accelerated approval in February 2024 for adult patients with unresectable or metastatic melanoma previously treated with other therapies. The personalized cell therapy, manufactured from a patient’s own tumor tissue, has driven rapid revenue ramp-up in its first full commercial year.
Iovance reported preliminary full-year 2025 product revenue of approximately $264 million, within its guided range of $250 million to $300 million. This marked a 61% increase from 2024’s $164.1 million, largely propelled by Amtagvi’s U.S. sales of about $220 million and global Proleukin (aldesleukin) contributions of roughly $44 million. Fourth-quarter product revenue hit $86.8 million, up about 30% sequentially, with gross margins improving to around 50% as manufacturing efficiencies took hold.
Management emphasized accelerating demand through an expanding network of authorized treatment centers (ATCs), faster production turnaround times (32 days or less), and supportive real-world data demonstrating durable responses in advanced melanoma. In a February 2026 earnings update, executives described 2026 as poised for “remarkable” revenue growth, with detailed U.S. product guidance forthcoming soon. Long-term goals include gross margins approaching 70% through full internalization of lifileucel manufacturing.
Pipeline advancements further bolster the bullish case. On February 24, 2026, Iovance announced positive early results from the first clinical trial of lifileucel in soft tissue sarcomas, specifically undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma (UPS) and dedifferentiated liposarcoma (DDLPS). The study showed a 50% confirmed objective response rate, prompting plans for a registrational trial. The data, presented at scientific meetings, sparked a 25%+ single-day stock surge earlier in the year.
In non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), lifileucel earned FDA Fast Track designation for second-line advanced non-squamous NSCLC, supported by interim data showing a 26% objective response rate and durable benefit compared to standard docetaxel. Management targets a supplemental biologics license application (sBLA) and potential accelerated approval/launch in the second half of 2027, eyeing a multibillion-dollar U.S. peak sales opportunity in lung cancer—potentially seven times larger than melanoma.
Additional trials explore frontline melanoma combinations (TILVANCE-301), second-line NSCLC (IOV-LUN-202), endometrial cancer (IOV-END-201), and next-generation engineered TIL therapies like IOV-5001, with an IND submission planned for the first half of 2026. International regulatory progress includes priority reviews in Australia and recommendations in Switzerland, with decisions expected in early 2026.
Financially, Iovance ended 2025 with about $303 million in cash, providing runway into the third quarter of 2027. Full-year costs and expenses totaled around $667 million, resulting in a net loss of $391 million, or $1.09 per share—improvements over prior periods but underscoring the cash-intensive nature of commercial-scale cell therapy.
Analysts maintain a mixed but increasingly positive consensus, with average price targets around $9–$10 implying substantial upside from current levels. High-risk elements persist: competition in solid tumors, manufacturing complexities, and the need for consistent revenue scaling amid biotech funding challenges. Yet, Iovance’s leadership in TIL therapy positions it as a potential platform player if label expansions materialize.
Upcoming investor visibility includes presentations at the TD Cowen 46th Annual Healthcare Conference on March 2 and the Barclays 28th Annual Global Healthcare Conference on March 11, where leadership will likely discuss growth drivers and 2026 guidance.
As Iovance transitions from launch-year execution to multi-indication expansion, the stock’s performance hinges on Amtagvi’s sustained momentum and pipeline catalysts. Investors watch closely for first-quarter 2026 results, expected in May, which could provide clearer visibility into the year’s trajectory.
With its innovative approach to solid tumor immunotherapy and accelerating commercial story, Iovance Biotherapeutics remains a high-conviction name in the biotech space amid 2026’s evolving oncology landscape.
Business
Starting late in mutual funds? Expert shares a Rs 40,000 SIP portfolio strategy for a 50-year-old
This was highlighted in a recent investor query from Dhiraj Kumar, a 50-year-old professional, an investor and a viewer of The Money Show on ET Now, who wants to start investing Rs 40,000 per month in mutual funds. He described himself as someone who is not familiar with handling market risk and prefers a portfolio with moderate risk.
Also Read | Women hold just 25% of mutual fund folios, start investing 5 years later than men: Report
Responding to the query, Pankaj Mathpal, CEO of Optima Money Managers, said that while understanding market risk is important, mutual funds are managed by professional fund managers who actively manage investments and attempt to control risk within the scheme’s mandate.
“As he does not know how to manage market risk, that is very, very important. But the most important thing is that when you invest in a mutual fund, you have to understand that fund managers are also doing that job for you. They are trying to manage the risk but, at the same time, selection of funds should be proper and schemes you select should be suitable as per your financial goals,” Mathpal said.
According to Mathpal, investors should focus on selecting the right mix of funds based on their financial goals and investment horizon. In this case, the investor did not specify a target corpus or a specific financial goal. However, given his age, Mathpal assumed that he could be investing for at least five years or possibly longer.
For someone new to equity-linked investments and looking for moderate risk, he suggested beginning with a combination of hybrid and diversified equity funds.
“To start with, some hybrid funds like multi-asset allocation or dynamic asset allocation funds, flexi cap fund and an index fund can be a good starting point for him,” the expert said.
Mathpal recommended starting with schemes such as ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund, WhiteOak Capital Multi Asset Allocation Fund, HDFC Flexi Cap Fund, and SBI Nifty Index Fund. These funds represent different investment styles, including dynamic asset allocation, multi-asset exposure, actively managed diversified equity and passive index investing.
Also Read | Women’s Day 2026: India’s leading 3 female portfolio managers. Check how they navigate market cycles
Hybrid funds such as balanced advantage or multi-asset allocation funds can help moderate risk by spreading investments across different asset classes like equities, debt and commodities. Flexi-cap funds offer diversification by allowing fund managers to invest across large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap companies depending on market opportunities. Meanwhile, index funds provide low-cost exposure to broader markets by tracking benchmark indices.
Mathpal also highlighted an important behavioural aspect for new investors: patience. With markets expected to remain volatile at times, he advised investors not to track their portfolios too frequently.
Instead, investors should remain disciplined with their investments and review their portfolios periodically rather than reacting to short-term market movements. “Once you start investing, have patience, keep investing and once in a year you can review your portfolio, but your goal should be long term,” he said.
For investors starting later in life, consistency and realistic expectations become even more important. A structured SIP approach, a diversified portfolio and regular but not excessive monitoring can help investors gradually build wealth over time while managing market volatility.
One should always consider their risk appetite, investment horizon and goals before making any investment decision.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in alongwith your age, risk profile, and twitter handle
Business
Bilibili: A Deep Dive Into The 299% Operating Income Surge And New Valuation
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