Oil Futures Pull Back After Major Gains

1539 ET – Oil futures slip but post weekly gains on escalating conflict in the Middle East, with Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis stepping up attacks on Saudi facilities and making territorial advances to strengthen their position near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. “Although much of today’s price pullback appears attributable to talk of Middle East countries discussing a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and some bearish demand aspects to today’s monthly IEA report, the larger negative driver in our opinion, is simply a deserved market correction following this week’s dramatic gains,” Ritterbusch & Asosciates says in a note. WTI settles down 2.4% at $100.05 a barrel for a 9.4% weekly gain. Brent falls 2.8% to $104.61 and is up 8.7% on the week. (anthony.harrup@wsj.com)

Oil Demand Loss More Damaging for Developing Countries

1239 ET – The IEA’s latest estimate for a 2.5 million barrels-a-day drop in oil demand this year because of the U.S.-Iran conflict puts losses on a par with declines in 2008/09 combined during the global financial crisis, says Raymond James investment strategy analyst Pavel Molchanov. “In developed economies, oil demand destruction involves mostly mild effects, such as suspended airline routes. In lower-income countries, more painful impacts—factory closures, fuel rationing—are visible.” The IEA sees demand barely recovering pre-conflict levels in 2027, “and a portion of demand destruction may be permanent,” he adds.(anthony.harrup@wsj.com)