Business
Strong demand and tight inventory push used car prices to 3-year high
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American consumers who are in the market for used cars are facing the highest prices in nearly three years, according to a new report.
Wholesale prices for used vehicles rose to their highest level since the summer of 2023 in March, with the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index rising 6.2% year over year to a reading of 215.3.
Data from Manheim, a Cox Automotive brand and the largest wholesale marketplace in the U.S., found that demand for used vehicles remains strong. Values rose 1.4% in the month of March, which the report noted is well above long-term norms, and are up 2.3% from the start of 2026.
“As soon as this year began, prices at Manheim started moving higher as dealers anticipated strong demand from higher tax refunds to consumers,” said Jeremy Robb, chief economist at Cox Automotive.
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Used car prices at the wholesale level rose to their highest level in nearly three years, the Manheim data showed. (Bess Adler/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
“Sales conversion rates, a clear sign of demand, were higher against 2025 for every week but one in Q1, and vehicle value trends at auction show we are well ahead of last year and where we would normally be during a spring bounce in the wholesale markets,” Robb added.
“We thought we’d see some impact from the Middle East conflict, and that may still happen. But right now, the data is clear: used-vehicle demand is healthy and inventory levels are relatively tight,” he added.
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Cox said it’s unclear whether the Middle East conflict will impact U.S. consumer demand. (David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
The Manheim report found that buyer activity was strengthening and there was increased competition for the available inventory in the wholesale lanes, as the sales conversion rate rose to 68.2% in March. That’s 4.6 percentage points higher than the most recent three-year average for March and is up 5.5 percentage points from the revised-higher February rate of 62.7%.
Used electric vehicles (EVs) also showed strength in the first quarter with firm pricing and activity for the quarter as values rose alongside the seasonal increase.
It noted that used EVs offer consumers affordability advantages over new EVs, while there’s also an increasing flow of off-lease EVs entering wholesale channels.
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Demand for used EVs has been strong given the affordability differential with new EVs, the report found. (David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Retail used vehicle sales also showed momentum, with first quarter sales up about 2% compared with the same level a year ago. Inventory also tightened, with the days’ supply metric declining below 40 in March, which was the lowest point this year and down from a year ago.
Cox Automotive’s outlook for 2026 sees used vehicles continuing a stronger-than-expected start to the year, before being offset by a softer second half of 2026 with total used vehicle sales declining 1% year over year.
“As we move towards summer, we expect Manheim values to hold their ground with many more consumers yet to file their tax returns this year,” Robb said.
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“The end of March typically proves to be the ‘peak’ for price action at Manheim. The Middle East conflict could dampen the spirits of the U.S. consumer, but we just haven’t seen it yet – our data is showing resiliency in the economy,” Robb said.
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Oil Price Today (April 8): Crude oil price crashes 15% as Trump agrees 2-week ceasefire with Iran. What are experts saying?
The shift in stance came just ahead of Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a key route that carries 20% of the world’s oil supply, or face broad attacks on its civilian infrastructure.
“This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump wrote on social media. Earlier on Tuesday, he had warned that “a whole civilization will die tonight” if his demands were not met.
Crude oil price on March 8
Brent crude fell $14.84, or 13.6%, to $94.43 a barrel, while WTI declined $16.13, or 14.3%, to $96.82 a barrel as of 0023 GMT.
Iran said it would stop its attacks if actions against it ceased. It also indicated that safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz would be ensured for two weeks in coordination with its armed forces, according to a statement by Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi on Wednesday.
Trump also said the U.S. had received a 10-point proposal from Iran, describing it as a workable basis for negotiations, and added that both sides were close to reaching a long-term peace agreement.
The U.S.-Israeli war with Iran had driven the sharpest monthly increase in oil prices on record in March, with a rise of more than 50%.
Over the past month and a half, the war has focused heavily on targeting critical energy infrastructure, disrupting key supply channels and heightening concerns across global energy markets.
What are experts saying?
International brokerage Macquarie has said that even if tensions ease in the near term, oil prices are likely to find support in the $85–$90 range.
Experts say if ongoing tensions persist, the outlook for crude oil remains volatile and tilted upward. Continued conflict in the Middle East, especially disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, would keep supply chains constrained, pushing Brent and WTI prices higher and sustaining inflationary pressures worldwide.
“Even with a peace deal, Iran may be emboldened to threaten the Strait of Hormuz more frequently in the future, and the market will price in heightened risk to the Strait of Hormuz going forward,” MST Marquee analyst Saul Kavonic, told Reuters.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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Aehr Test Systems, Inc. (AEHR) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Operator
Greetings. Welcome to the Aehr Test Systems Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded.
I will now turn the conference over to your host, Jim Byers of PondelWilkinson Investor Relations. You may begin.
Jim Byers
PondelWilkinson Inc.
Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Aehr Test Systems Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. With me on today’s call are Aehr Test Systems’ President and Chief Executive Officer, Gayn Erickson; and Chief Financial Officer, Chris Siu.
Before I turn the call over to Gayn and Chris, I’d like to cover a few quick items. This afternoon, right after market closed, Aehr Test issued a press release announcing its third quarter fiscal 2026 results. That release is available on the company’s website at aehr.com. This call is being broadcast live over the Internet for all interested parties, and the webcast will be archived on the Investor Relations page of the company’s website.
And I’d like to remind everyone that on today’s call, management will be making forward-looking statements that are based on current information and estimates and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed in the company’s most recent periodic and current reports filed
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