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The AI trade trap: Why successful tech stocks are triggering a trillion-dollar market meltdown in Korea, Taiwan

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The AI trade trap: Why successful tech stocks are triggering a trillion-dollar market meltdown in Korea, Taiwan
An unprecedented concentration crisis in global technology equities has evolved into a structural trap for investors, triggering a violent “Black Monday” unwind that is reverberating across Asian emerging markets, such as Korea and Taiwan. Active portfolio managers are increasingly being forced to dump their best-performing chip heavyweights because these explosive stocks have grown too large for risk compliance limits.

This structural anomaly has distorted regional benchmarks, accelerated a massive migration from active to passive funds, and triggered a historic correction.

The structural breakdown manifested in extreme volatility across the region’s tech hubs. South Korea’s Kospi index plunged more than 8% shortly after the market opened, triggering a mandatory 20-minute trading halt before narrowing its drop as memory giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix rebounded from their session lows.

Also Read | Kospi crashes 9%, trading halted for 20 minutes, as chip rout deepens; Samsung, SK Hynix worst hit

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The Cycle of Forced Selling

The core of the market distortion lies in a mechanical paradox: As tech giants outperform, active funds are legally or structurally required to trim their holdings to manage concentration risks. Just three mega-cap tech firms—Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), Samsung, and SK Hynix—now command nearly a third of the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index.

The concentration is even more extreme on a national level. TSMC occupies a staggering 41.5% of Taiwan’s TAIEX, while Samsung and SK Hynix together comprise 55% of South Korea’s KOSPI.


“We have been forced sellers of TSMC, Samsung and MediaTek,” Sam Konrad, investment manager for Asia Equity Income at Jupiter Asset Management, was quoted as saying by Bloomberg. His fund must shed these chipmaking stocks despite explosive year-to-date gains of 52% for TSMC, 159% for Samsung, and 184% for MediaTek.
This mechanism creates an institutional dilemma where strong performance mandates divestment, artificially capping the upside for active portfolios trying to beat their benchmarks.”As equities continue to outperform, funds will find it increasingly difficult to add exposure, reinforcing a cycle of forced selling and enlarging underweight positions even amid strong fundamentals,” Herald Van der Linde, head of equity strategy for Asia Pacific at HSBC in Hong Kong, noted in a research report. HSBC data confirms that TSMC has become the largest portfolio underweight among Asian and global emerging-market funds.

Emerging Market Exhaustion and Fund Outflows

Data from Elara Securities India confirms that the Global Emerging Market (GEM) trade is experiencing its first major phase of sustained exhaustion since its rally began. GEM fund redemptions expanded to $3 billion, the largest outflow since December 2021, marking a clear breakdown in momentum.

The capital flight has extended significantly beyond Korea and Taiwan to hit other major emerging markets. China saw foreign investors pull $3.7 billion, the largest single-week redemption in over a year, while South Korea logged six consecutive weeks of foreign outflows, compounded by a record $27.9 billion foreign portfolio rebalancing outflow.

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The systemic nature of the unwind is visible in the broader indices. Goldman Sachs data reveals that while the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index is up 27% year-to-date, it is actually down 4% when South Korea and Taiwan are excluded.

This regional distortion has accelerated a massive, unprecedented migration from active stock-picking to passive indexing. Over the last five years, Asia’s active funds have suffered $269 billion of cumulative outflows. Meanwhile, passive funds have accumulated $510 billion, with a quarter of that volume arriving in just the last six months.

“The size of recent inflows into the region’s passive funds… has no precedent across the last 10 years,” said William Bratton, head of cash equity research for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Securities.

This phenomenon mirrors the “Magnificent Seven” dynamic on Wall Street, where tech giants account for about a third of the S&P 500. However, concentration in Asia has unfolded at a faster and more extreme pace, turning regional indices into concentrated bets on just one or two stocks and undermining the diversification benefits of benchmark investing.

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Broader Trade Implications

The shockwaves from the AI tech unwinding are bleeding directly into structural commodities and the wider electrification ecosystem. Precious metal funds witnessed $2.8 billion of outflows, driven heavily by gold (-$2.1 billion) and silver (-$910 million, a 12-week high redemption), while energy funds recorded their second consecutive week of outflows. These asset classes had operated as indirect beneficiaries of the global AI infrastructure and electrification trade.

Furthermore, Wall Street’s nine-week winning streak concluded abruptly following a hot jobs report that ignited fears of a hawkish policy pivot by the US Federal Reserve, sending technology stocks into their largest one-day decline.

Despite the steep selloffs, which saw South Korean equities slide 12% and Taiwan fall 6% from their record highs, market opinions remain starkly divided on whether this correction marks a peak or a buying opportunity.

Some money managers are exploiting the correction to pivot to alternatives further down the supply chain, like mid-sized semiconductor equipment makers, or shifting money toward cheaper domestic themes like robotics. China’s CSI Robot Index actually bucked the broader market declines, rising 1.4%.

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SS&C Technologies: Strong Results, Attractive Valuation, And Lingering Debt Concerns

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Marex Group Stock Impresses With Q4 Results (NASDAQ:MRX)

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I am an independent trader and analyst specializing in the micro-cap market. My strategy combines technical analysis with the CAN SLIM method, developed by William O’Neil, to identify high-growth, underanalyzed companies. I focus on financial trends, profit growth, and institutional capital accumulation to uncover stocks with significant upside potential. In addition to equities, I have experience in Forex trading, which has helped me better understand price movements, market volatility, and sentiment-driven trends. My research approach integrates both fundamental and technical analysis, allowing me to identify strong growth stocks before they gain widespread attention. Key indicators I prioritize include relative strength, trading volume shifts, and accelerating profit growth—all of which help pinpoint stocks with the highest potential. Writing for Seeking Alpha is an integral part of my investment process, enabling me to refine my strategies, test investment theses, and engage with the investor community. In my articles, I aim to deliver in-depth company analyses, focusing on stocks with strong growth trends, improving fundamentals, and technical setups that signal potential breakouts. Through structured research, I strive to enhance market understanding and provide actionable investment insights.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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ETF assets in Brazil nearly triple in two years to $22.8bn

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ETF assets in Brazil nearly triple in two years to $22.8bn

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Tower Semiconductor: Riding The AI Wave With A Margin Of Danger (NASDAQ:TSEM)

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Tower Semiconductor: Riding The AI Wave With A Margin Of Danger (NASDAQ:TSEM)

This article was written by

Oliver Rodzianko is Director of Invictus Origin and a private investor managing a high-alpha portfolio strategy focused on rotation and disciplined cash deployment during market dislocations.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Nvidia to Invest $1 Billion in Naver as Part of $10 Billion South Korea AI Infrastructure Expansion Push

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Nvidia To Report Quarterly Earnings

Nvidia Corp. will invest $1 billion in South Korean internet giant Naver Corp. to help finance a major expansion of an artificial intelligence data center under construction in the country, the company announced late Friday, adding to a sweeping wave of investment deals from the world’s most valuable company.

The funding is part of a broader $10 billion financing package that will allow Naver, one of South Korea’s largest cloud service and internet portal operators, to more than triple the size of the facility it is building at its GAK Sejong hyperscale data center in Sejong, South Korea, expanding the site from 55 megawatts to 200 megawatts of capacity by 2028. Under the terms of the agreement, Canadian asset manager Brookfield will serve as the project’s exclusive capital partner, funding up to $9 billion through a nonbinding term sheet, while Nvidia contributes the $1 billion investment and Naver covers the remaining financing needed to complete the project.

A hub for both Korean and U.S. AI development

The expanded facility will run on Nvidia’s artificial intelligence computing hardware, including its advanced Vera Rubin and Blackwell chip platforms, and is designed to give both Korean and U.S.-based AI developers access to production-scale computing power for building next-generation AI models, agents and services. The project will use Nvidia’s DSX AI factory platform, and Naver has said it intends to eventually expand its deployment of Nvidia infrastructure to a full gigawatt of capacity, a dramatic scale-up from the facility’s original footprint.

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Naver founder and chairman Haejin Lee credited the new financing with accelerating the company’s broader AI ambitions, saying Nvidia’s investment and the infrastructure agreement with Brookfield had “propelled NAVER’s vision for the AI factory business into a robust execution phase.” The deal also deepens technical collaboration between the two companies, with Naver continuing development of its HyperCLOVA X AI models using Nvidia’s Nemotron open-source models and joining the broader Nemotron Coalition, a group of companies working on open AI model development.

Nvidia said its planned investment remains subject to standard closing conditions, including Naver finalizing at least $9 billion in committed financing for the project separate from Nvidia’s own contribution.

Part of a much larger Korea push

The Naver investment was announced alongside a separate, far larger commercial partnership between Nvidia and South Korea’s SK Group, which the companies described as worth more than $500 billion in total business over time. That figure includes money Nvidia will spend purchasing memory chips from SK Hynix, currently the world’s largest supplier of high-bandwidth memory used in AI systems, as well as purchases by SK Group of Nvidia’s AI supercomputers.

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Nvidia also said it will work directly with SK Hynix to help design future generations of high-bandwidth memory chips, an effort aimed at securing reliable access to a component that has remained in short supply amid the global buildout of AI data centers. Separately, SK Telecom is set to build more than 2 gigawatts of AI data centers across the Korean Peninsula, an amount of power roughly equivalent to what would be needed to supply 1.5 million homes. The first of these so-called AI factories built by SK Telecom is expected to open next year.

Speaking about the broader relationship with SK Group in an interview with Bloomberg Television, Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang emphasized the scale of the partnership. “So between us, we’re going to do half a trillion dollars’ worth of business,” Huang said, describing the depth of the commercial relationship between the two companies.

Timed to a high-profile diplomatic visit

Both the Naver and SK Group announcements coincided with a visit to Silicon Valley by South Korean President Lee Jae Myung, who traveled to San Francisco for an AI summit where the deals were formally unveiled. Huang, addressing the broader significance of Nvidia’s expanding footprint in the country, described the current moment as a turning point for South Korea’s technology sector. “This is the golden ages for Korea,” Huang said, pointing to the country’s semiconductor manufacturing strength and industrial base as key reasons behind Nvidia’s continued investment there.

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Additional technology agreements between Korean and American companies are reportedly still being finalized as part of the broader push tied to President Lee’s visit, suggesting Friday’s announcements may not be the last major deals to emerge from the trip.

Part of a year-long investment spree

The Korea-focused deals extend a pattern of aggressive dealmaking Nvidia has pursued over the past year as it works to secure both the chip supply chains and downstream infrastructure needed to support explosive global demand for AI computing power. Nvidia’s relationship with South Korean technology companies has deepened steadily in recent months, following earlier chip supply agreements the company struck with Samsung, Hyundai and SK Group during a prior visit by Huang to the country, part of a broader effort to secure long-term partnerships across the region’s semiconductor and industrial sectors.

South Korea has separately set a goal of deploying roughly 200,000 high-performance GPUs by 2030 as part of its national AI strategy, though the country continues to face infrastructure challenges tied to energy supply and data center cooling capacity as it works to scale up its AI computing footprint.

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With Nvidia’s $1 billion Naver investment still pending customary closing conditions, and Naver working to finalize the remaining $9 billion in project financing alongside Brookfield, the full scope of the Sejong data center expansion is not expected to be completed until 2028. In the meantime, the scale of Friday’s announcements — spanning direct equity investment, chip supply agreements and multibillion-dollar infrastructure commitments — underscores how central South Korea has become to Nvidia’s broader strategy for securing both chip manufacturing capacity and the physical infrastructure needed to keep pace with global AI demand.

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The AI Trade Faces A Final Flush Lower, I'm Buying It

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Naver Shares Sink Nearly 6% Despite $10 Billion Nvidia and Brookfield AI Deal Amid Dilution Fears

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Samsung Electronics, long known as the world's biggest smartphone and memory chip maker, is crucial to South Korea's economic health

Shares of Naver Corp. fell nearly 6% in Seoul trading Friday, even as the South Korean internet giant unveiled a landmark $10 billion investment package with Nvidia Corp. and Brookfield Corp. to dramatically expand its artificial intelligence data center infrastructure — a reaction that underscored growing investor anxiety over how the company plans to finance its ambitious AI buildout.

Naver stock closed at 207,500 won, down 12,500 won, or 5.68%, on the Korea Exchange. The decline came on the same day the company formally announced the financing agreement with Nvidia and Brookfield in San Francisco, a deal that would more than triple the size of an AI data center under construction at Naver’s GAK Sejong hyperscale facility, expanding it from 55 megawatts to 200 megawatts of capacity by 2028.

A deal investors met with skepticism rather than enthusiasm

Under the terms of the agreement, Brookfield agreed to a nonbinding term sheet to provide up to $9 billion as the project’s exclusive capital partner, while Nvidia committed to investing $1 billion directly into Naver, with Naver responsible for funding the remainder of the roughly $10 billion project. Despite the scale of the commitment, market analysts pointed to the financing structure itself as a likely source of investor unease. Raising several billion dollars in external financing typically requires either significant new debt or equity dilution, a dynamic that can weigh on existing shareholders even when the underlying investment is viewed as strategically sound.

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Naver’s stock had already been trading well below its 52-week high of 304,000 won heading into Friday’s session, and the latest decline pushed shares closer to the lower end of their 52-week range of 181,100 won to 304,000 won. The stock had fallen more than 8% over the trailing 12 months even before Friday’s drop, reflecting a broader period of pressure on the company’s valuation.

Broader tech selloff added to the pressure

Naver’s decline also came amid a rougher session for technology stocks across Asia and the United States. SK Hynix, one of South Korea’s largest chipmakers and a key Nvidia memory supplier, fell 3.5% in Seoul trading the same day, following a Bloomberg report that the company had fully exhausted its cap on converting locally held shares into U.S.-listed depositary receipts. In the U.S., the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.64% Friday as chip stocks broadly weighed on the index, even as the S&P 500 closed nearly flat and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained on strength in Apple shares. Nvidia’s own stock has faced volatility in recent sessions as well, with some reports noting the chipmaker’s shares have declined even following positive AI infrastructure announcements, as investors increasingly focus on evidence of returns from major AI spending commitments rather than the announcements themselves.

Naver’s chairman frames the deal as transformative

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Despite the market’s muted reaction, Naver’s leadership struck a notably optimistic tone about the partnership. Speaking at the AI summit in San Francisco where the deal was announced, Naver founder and chairman Lee Hae-jin described the scale of the investment in stark terms. “This time, Nvidia and Brookfield have invested a large sum of $10 billion in us,” Lee said, characterizing the deal as an opportunity for the company to make a significant leap forward. He added that the partnership would help Naver scale up its data center operations more quickly by leveraging the global reach and expertise of both Nvidia and Brookfield, beyond simply providing capital.

According to reporting from Seoul Economic Daily, Lee and Naver Chief Executive Choi Soo-yeon traveled to Brookfield’s headquarters in Toronto earlier in the week to finalize details of the AI infrastructure investment and financing arrangement ahead of Friday’s announcement.

Execution risk remains front and center

Analysts tracking the deal have flagged several risks that could explain investor caution, even setting aside financing concerns. Brookfield’s $9 billion commitment remains structured as a nonbinding term sheet rather than a finalized agreement, and Nvidia’s own $1 billion investment is subject to standard closing conditions, including Naver successfully finalizing the remaining financing separate from Nvidia’s contribution. The expanded facility also needs to become operational on a relatively tight timeline, with the 200-megawatt buildout targeted for completion by 2028 in a global AI infrastructure market that continues to shift rapidly as demand patterns evolve.

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Some analysts have also pointed to Naver’s broader strategic positioning as an added source of complexity. The company has separately been pursuing a roughly $10.3 billion acquisition of a cryptocurrency exchange, a move that would fold a fast-growing but heavily regulated business into a traditional internet and technology conglomerate at the same time it is undertaking its largest AI infrastructure commitment to date.

Long-term outlook remains more optimistic than the stock reaction suggests

Even with Friday’s decline, most analysts covering Naver maintain a bullish long-term outlook on the stock. Coverage from multiple research firms shows an overwhelming majority of analysts rating the stock a “buy,” with average 12-month price targets well above current trading levels — in some cases suggesting upside of more than 50% from Friday’s closing price. That gap between near-term market sentiment and longer-term analyst expectations suggests investors may be drawing a distinction between the strategic merits of the Nvidia and Brookfield partnership and the near-term financial mechanics of how Naver intends to pay for its share of the project.

With the deal still pending finalized financing terms and regulatory and closing conditions still to be worked through, Naver’s next scheduled earnings report, expected in early August, is likely to draw close attention from investors looking for more clarity on how the company plans to fund its portion of the AI infrastructure buildout. Until those details become clearer, Friday’s stock reaction suggests the market remains more focused on the financing risk embedded in the deal than on the long-term strategic upside Naver’s leadership has emphasized publicly.

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OneSource Q1FY27 slides: semaglutide drives 37% revenue growth

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Brazil recalls ambassador to Argentina after Milei attacks Lula, sources say

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Intel’s Best Days Are Still Well Ahead (Rating Upgrade) (NASDAQ:INTC)

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Intel: Getting Better, But Not Quite There Yet

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JR Research is an opportunistic investor. I was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst, and also by Seeking Alpha as a “Top Analyst To Follow” for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. I identify attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. My picks have consistently demonstrated market outperformance over time. My approach combines timely and sharp price action analysis with fundamentals as my foundation. I also tend to avoid overhyped and overvalued stocks while capitalizing on battered stocks with significant upside recovery possibilities. I run the investing group Ultimate Growth Investing which specializes in identifying high-potential opportunities across various sectors. My main ideas revolve around stocks with strong growth potential, and also well-beaten contrarian plays. I designed the group for investors seeking to capitalize on growth stocks with solid fundamentals, robust buying momentum, and appealing turnaround plays to generate alpha consistently. Learn more

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NVDA, AMD, TSM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Celldex: ‘Strong Buy’ Barzolvolimab Carries To Q4 2026 CSU Data Readouts (NASDAQ:CLDX)

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Celldex: 'Strong Buy' Barzolvolimab Carries To Q4 2026 CSU Data Readouts (NASDAQ:CLDX)

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Terry Chrisomalis is a private investor in the Biotech sector with years of experience utilizing his Applied Science background to generate long term value from Healthcare. He is the author of the investing group Biotech Analysis Central which contains a library of 600+ Biotech investing articles, a model portfolio of 10+ small and mid-cap stocks with deep analysis for each, live chat, and a range of analysis and news reports to help Healthcare investors make informed decisions.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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