Valuations moderate after market fall, but India’s premium limits FII comeback

ET Intelligence Group: Valuations of Indian equities have eased after the recent sell-off but that may still not be enough to lure foreign funds back here as the country’s main share indices continue to trade at a premium to emerging market peers.

At the end of Tuesday’s trading session, the NSE Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex had a trailing price-earnings (P/E) multiple of 21.2 times and 21.3 times, respectively. This compares with their P/Es of 22.8 at the beginning of the current calendar year. The Indian benchmark P/Es have softened from the levels of over 23 two years ago. This shows the market is cheaper than it used to be, tempering investor concerns of excessive valuations, which, along with slowing growth, has contributed to foreign investors‘ risk-aversion towards India.

The valuation premium of Indian benchmarks has now narrowed with respect to nine out of 12 major global equity indices. For Instance, Nifty’s premium over the Hong Kong benchmark has reduced to 1.8 times from 2.3 times at the beginning of the year. The premium with respect to the German DAX and French CAC 40 has fallen to around 1.2 from 1.5 by similar comparison. In the case of other benchmarks, including the US Dow Jones and S&P 500, Indian benchmarks continue to trade at a marginal discount, as they did earlier.
The benchmarks have shed over 8% in 2026 so far, including a 4% drop since the beginning of March as investors turn cautious amid the rising concerns over the impact of the West Asian conflict between Iran and Israel. On a year-to-date basis, India has the second-worst performing equity market among major markets in the world behind Indonesia where the local benchmark has lost 14%.